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2021-06-20

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Investors juggle Fed forecast and post-pandemic recovery as Wall Street dips

(Updates to midday U.S. trading) * Major U.S. indices set for biggest drop in a month * U.S. dol

GLOBAL MARKETS-Investors juggle Fed forecast and post-pandemic recovery as Wall Street dips

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The blue-chip Dow and benchmark S&amp;P 500 appeared set for their worst day in a month after Wednesday's policy update from the Fed, in which officials projected interest rate hikes sooner than expected as the economy recovered. Stocks had wavered since that update, but took a steeper turn on Friday after Federal Reserve official James Bullard said inflation was stronger than anticipated. The Dow was down 426.27 points, or 1.26%, the S&amp;P 500 lost 37.79 points, or 0.90%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 83.11 points, or 0.59%. The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, fell 6.94 points or 0.97%. Bullard's remarks came two days after Fed officials projected interest rate hikes as soon as 2023. At this week's meeting, Fed officials vowed to keep up strong monetary support while the economy recovered, while maintaining that they do not see a recent rise in inflation as a long-term economic risk. The U.S. dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, jumped to 92.23, the highest since mid-April. The index is on pace for a weekly gain of about 2%, its best weekly jump in about 14 months. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields gave back some gains at midday, dipping below 1.5%. Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.4583%. While stocks have dipped on the Fed's latest update, analysts noted there is reason for persistent optimism about the U.S. economy and what it could mean for markets. \"We believe that a few more quarters of above-trend growth should continue to push risk assets higher, despite building headwinds from the Fed’s pivot toward more restrictive policy, inflation, and potentially higher taxes,\" said Elyse Ausenbaugh, global market strategist for JP Morgan Private Bank. \"The simple way to think about all of this is that the Fed is starting to remove support because the economy doesn’t need as much anymore.\" QUADRUPLE WITCHING Investors were also on guard Friday given it is a \"quadruple witching day\" on Wall Street, when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire, which can trigger volatility in markets near the close of trading. In the past, the quarterly simultaneous expiration of U.S. options and futures contracts has spurred record trading volumes as investors and dealers buy and sell derivative contracts and shares to replace expiring positions. In a note to clients, Goldman Sachs said Friday there are $818 billion of single stock options set to expire, the second- largest amount in history. Single stock open interest stands at nearly $3 trillion in notional terms, close to the highest level since Jan. 15, according to the report, which was authored by analysts Vishal Vivek and John Marshall and published on Friday morning. Elsewhere, oil mounted a comeback after a dip earlier in the week, while spot gold remained down around 5% for the week after the Fed dented the yellow metal's safe-haven appeal. Oil markets reversed early losses in the day to post gains on anticipated limited U.S. oil output growth this year. Brent crude futures rose 44 cents, or 0.6% to $73.52 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 59 cents, or 0.83% to $71.63 a barrel. Both benchmarks were on track for a weekly gain of about 1%. The dollar's surge has weighed on gold prices, which plunged following the Fed's statement and have yet to mount a comeback. Spot gold prices fell 0.03% to $1,772.85 an ounce, with prices down 5.4% for the week. U.S. gold futures were down 0.14% to $1,772.90 an ounce. Higher expectations of inflation continued to lift long-dated U.S. Treasury yields. 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The blue-chip Dow and benchmark S&amp;P 500 appeared set for their worst day in a month after Wednesday's policy update from the Fed, in which officials projected interest rate hikes sooner than expected as the economy recovered. Stocks had wavered since that update, but took a steeper turn on Friday after Federal Reserve official James Bullard said inflation was stronger than anticipated. The Dow was down 426.27 points, or 1.26%, the S&amp;P 500 lost 37.79 points, or 0.90%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 83.11 points, or 0.59%. The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, fell 6.94 points or 0.97%. Bullard's remarks came two days after Fed officials projected interest rate hikes as soon as 2023. At this week's meeting, Fed officials vowed to keep up strong monetary support while the economy recovered, while maintaining that they do not see a recent rise in inflation as a long-term economic risk. The U.S. dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, jumped to 92.23, the highest since mid-April. The index is on pace for a weekly gain of about 2%, its best weekly jump in about 14 months. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields gave back some gains at midday, dipping below 1.5%. Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.4583%. While stocks have dipped on the Fed's latest update, analysts noted there is reason for persistent optimism about the U.S. economy and what it could mean for markets. \"We believe that a few more quarters of above-trend growth should continue to push risk assets higher, despite building headwinds from the Fed’s pivot toward more restrictive policy, inflation, and potentially higher taxes,\" said Elyse Ausenbaugh, global market strategist for JP Morgan Private Bank. \"The simple way to think about all of this is that the Fed is starting to remove support because the economy doesn’t need as much anymore.\" QUADRUPLE WITCHING Investors were also on guard Friday given it is a \"quadruple witching day\" on Wall Street, when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire, which can trigger volatility in markets near the close of trading. In the past, the quarterly simultaneous expiration of U.S. options and futures contracts has spurred record trading volumes as investors and dealers buy and sell derivative contracts and shares to replace expiring positions. In a note to clients, Goldman Sachs said Friday there are $818 billion of single stock options set to expire, the second- largest amount in history. Single stock open interest stands at nearly $3 trillion in notional terms, close to the highest level since Jan. 15, according to the report, which was authored by analysts Vishal Vivek and John Marshall and published on Friday morning. Elsewhere, oil mounted a comeback after a dip earlier in the week, while spot gold remained down around 5% for the week after the Fed dented the yellow metal's safe-haven appeal. Oil markets reversed early losses in the day to post gains on anticipated limited U.S. oil output growth this year. Brent crude futures rose 44 cents, or 0.6% to $73.52 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 59 cents, or 0.83% to $71.63 a barrel. Both benchmarks were on track for a weekly gain of about 1%. The dollar's surge has weighed on gold prices, which plunged following the Fed's statement and have yet to mount a comeback. Spot gold prices fell 0.03% to $1,772.85 an ounce, with prices down 5.4% for the week. U.S. gold futures were down 0.14% to $1,772.90 an ounce. Higher expectations of inflation continued to lift long-dated U.S. Treasury yields. Benchmark 10-year notes yielded 1.5056%. &lt;^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Global assets Global currencies vs. dollar Emerging markets MSCI All Country World Index Market Cap Fed catches out dollar shorts ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^&gt;(Additional reporting by Thyagaraju Adinarayan, Andrew Galbraith and Tom Westbrook; Editing by Alexander Smith, Mark Potter and Dan Grebler)((Andrew.Galbraith@tr.com; +86 21 2083 0079; Reuters Messaging: andrew.galbraith.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net ; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>: ))</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","IAU":"黄金信托ETF(iShares)","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","EUO":"欧元ETF-ProShares两倍做空","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","USO":"美国原油ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","FXE":"欧元做多ETF-CurrencyShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","GS":"高盛","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","FXY":"日元ETF-CurrencyShares","FXB":"英镑ETF-CurrencyShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","YCS":"日元ETF-ProShares两倍做空"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144777837","content_text":"(Updates to midday U.S. trading) * Major U.S. indices set for biggest drop in a month * U.S. dollar near two-month highs * Oil regains momentum By Pete Schroeder WASHINGTON, June 18 (Reuters) - Wall Street was down and the dollar surged on Friday as investors tried to balance a seemingly more hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve with persistent optimism about the U.S. economy as it emerges from the pandemic. The blue-chip Dow and benchmark S&P 500 appeared set for their worst day in a month after Wednesday's policy update from the Fed, in which officials projected interest rate hikes sooner than expected as the economy recovered. Stocks had wavered since that update, but took a steeper turn on Friday after Federal Reserve official James Bullard said inflation was stronger than anticipated. The Dow was down 426.27 points, or 1.26%, the S&P 500 lost 37.79 points, or 0.90%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 83.11 points, or 0.59%. The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, fell 6.94 points or 0.97%. Bullard's remarks came two days after Fed officials projected interest rate hikes as soon as 2023. At this week's meeting, Fed officials vowed to keep up strong monetary support while the economy recovered, while maintaining that they do not see a recent rise in inflation as a long-term economic risk. The U.S. dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, jumped to 92.23, the highest since mid-April. The index is on pace for a weekly gain of about 2%, its best weekly jump in about 14 months. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields gave back some gains at midday, dipping below 1.5%. Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.4583%. While stocks have dipped on the Fed's latest update, analysts noted there is reason for persistent optimism about the U.S. economy and what it could mean for markets. \"We believe that a few more quarters of above-trend growth should continue to push risk assets higher, despite building headwinds from the Fed’s pivot toward more restrictive policy, inflation, and potentially higher taxes,\" said Elyse Ausenbaugh, global market strategist for JP Morgan Private Bank. \"The simple way to think about all of this is that the Fed is starting to remove support because the economy doesn’t need as much anymore.\" QUADRUPLE WITCHING Investors were also on guard Friday given it is a \"quadruple witching day\" on Wall Street, when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire, which can trigger volatility in markets near the close of trading. In the past, the quarterly simultaneous expiration of U.S. options and futures contracts has spurred record trading volumes as investors and dealers buy and sell derivative contracts and shares to replace expiring positions. In a note to clients, Goldman Sachs said Friday there are $818 billion of single stock options set to expire, the second- largest amount in history. Single stock open interest stands at nearly $3 trillion in notional terms, close to the highest level since Jan. 15, according to the report, which was authored by analysts Vishal Vivek and John Marshall and published on Friday morning. Elsewhere, oil mounted a comeback after a dip earlier in the week, while spot gold remained down around 5% for the week after the Fed dented the yellow metal's safe-haven appeal. Oil markets reversed early losses in the day to post gains on anticipated limited U.S. oil output growth this year. Brent crude futures rose 44 cents, or 0.6% to $73.52 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 59 cents, or 0.83% to $71.63 a barrel. Both benchmarks were on track for a weekly gain of about 1%. The dollar's surge has weighed on gold prices, which plunged following the Fed's statement and have yet to mount a comeback. Spot gold prices fell 0.03% to $1,772.85 an ounce, with prices down 5.4% for the week. U.S. gold futures were down 0.14% to $1,772.90 an ounce. Higher expectations of inflation continued to lift long-dated U.S. Treasury yields. 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