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shanshan88
2021-05-28

Anybody thought about stagflation risks?

* European Stoxx 600 up 0.3%* Insurers lead gains* Bank stocks index hits highest since Feb. 2020* A

Anybody thought about stagflation risks?

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(0953 GMT)</p><p>Almost nobody is talking about it, but stagflation would be among the worst possible scenarios for risk sentiment, as it would probably involve rising interest rates coupled with a lack of economic growth.</p><p>It could happen if the so-called supply bottlenecks dampen the recovery and boost inflation and inflation expectations.</p><p>According to Moody’s economists, “the debate about stagflation is going to intensify over the next few months as growth in consumer prices continues to accelerate.”</p><p>But they also reassure investors that “the U.S. is not currently experiencing stagflation, and it’s not going to over the next couple of years.”</p><p>In the early 1980s, the Fed crushed inflation by pushing interest rates into the double digits and causing the economy to suffer severe double-dip recessions.</p><p>“The Fed has learned its lesson, and it has all the tools to address this period if transitory inflation proves to be something else. 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Anybody thought about stagflation risks?

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