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- klcc8692klcc8692
  ·2021-07-08
  Second half is six months - typically indexes do well in Oct to Dec month.
  3 Reasons To Stay Bullish On Stocks In The Second Half Of 2021
  The SPDR S&P 500 ETF(NYSE:SPY) is now up nearly 95% from its March 2020 lows, and it’s understandabl
  3 Reasons To Stay Bullish On Stocks In The Second Half Of 2021
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- klcc8692klcc8692
  ·2021-06-22
  Good
  Microsoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower
  MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management. The stock market closed last wee
  Microsoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower
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half is six months - typically indexes do well in Oct to Dec month.","listText":"Second half is six months - typically indexes do well in Oct to Dec month.","text":"Second half is six months - typically indexes do well in Oct to Dec month.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149467068","repostId":"1192592169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192592169","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625728801,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192592169?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 15:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons To Stay Bullish On Stocks In The Second Half Of 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192592169","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF(NYSE:SPY) is now up nearly 95% from its March 2020 lows, and it’s understandabl","content":"<p>The&nbsp;<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</b>(NYSE:SPY) is now up nearly 95% from its March 2020 lows, and it’s understandable why some investors may be getting a bit uneasy about the big run after the S&amp;P 500 tacked on another 14.4% gain in the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier took a look back at the S&amp;P 500’s historical performance&nbsp;and found at least three reasons history suggests investors should still feel comfortable buying stocks heading into the second half of the year.</p>\n<p><b>1. Good First-Half Performance A Bullish Second-Half Indicator</b></p>\n<p>Historically, when the S&amp;P 500 has an above-average first-half return, it follows up with an above-average second-half return 77% of the time, Suttmeier said.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has averaged a 6.3% second-half return following a strong first-half, well above its 1.7% average second-half return in years with below-average first-half returns. The average peak-to-trough S&amp;P 500 second-half drawdown following above-average first halves is -6.6% compared to an average drawdown of 10% after a below-average first half.</p>\n<p><b>2. First Year Of Presidential Cycle Bodes Well For Returns</b></p>\n<p>Historically, the second half of the first year under a new U.S. president has been underwhelming, generating an average return of just 1%. However, years in which the market performs well in the first half under a new president have produced an average return of 5.9% in the second half of the year.</p>\n<p>Following an above average first-half during year one of a presidential cycle, 67% of second-half drawdowns are in the 0% to 5% range and 78% of drawdowns were less than 10%.</p>\n<p><b>3. Strong First Halves Good News In Bull Markets</b></p>\n<p>During a secular bull market, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged a 9.1% second-half return following an above-average first-half return. In these years, the S&amp;P 500 has generated a positive second-half return 86% of the time. In addition, the S&amp;P has only experienced one historical second-half drawdown of at least 20% in these years, the Crash of 1987.</p>\n<p><b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Looking back at market history can help investors keep things in perspective and provide some helpful insight into market tendencies. Unfortunately, past performance is not necessarily indicative of the future, and there are countless variables impacting U.S. markets in the near term.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons To Stay Bullish On Stocks In The Second Half Of 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons To Stay Bullish On Stocks In The Second Half Of 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 15:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/21881688/3-reasons-to-stay-bullish-on-stocks-in-the-second-half-of-2021><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The SPDR S&P 500 ETF(NYSE:SPY) is now up nearly 95% from its March 2020 lows, and it’s understandable why some investors may be getting a bit uneasy about the big run after the S&P 500 tacked on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/21881688/3-reasons-to-stay-bullish-on-stocks-in-the-second-half-of-2021\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/21881688/3-reasons-to-stay-bullish-on-stocks-in-the-second-half-of-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192592169","content_text":"The SPDR S&P 500 ETF(NYSE:SPY) is now up nearly 95% from its March 2020 lows, and it’s understandable why some investors may be getting a bit uneasy about the big run after the S&P 500 tacked on another 14.4% gain in the first half of 2021.\nBank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier took a look back at the S&P 500’s historical performance and found at least three reasons history suggests investors should still feel comfortable buying stocks heading into the second half of the year.\n1. Good First-Half Performance A Bullish Second-Half Indicator\nHistorically, when the S&P 500 has an above-average first-half return, it follows up with an above-average second-half return 77% of the time, Suttmeier said.\nThe S&P 500 has averaged a 6.3% second-half return following a strong first-half, well above its 1.7% average second-half return in years with below-average first-half returns. The average peak-to-trough S&P 500 second-half drawdown following above-average first halves is -6.6% compared to an average drawdown of 10% after a below-average first half.\n2. First Year Of Presidential Cycle Bodes Well For Returns\nHistorically, the second half of the first year under a new U.S. president has been underwhelming, generating an average return of just 1%. However, years in which the market performs well in the first half under a new president have produced an average return of 5.9% in the second half of the year.\nFollowing an above average first-half during year one of a presidential cycle, 67% of second-half drawdowns are in the 0% to 5% range and 78% of drawdowns were less than 10%.\n3. Strong First Halves Good News In Bull Markets\nDuring a secular bull market, the S&P 500 has averaged a 9.1% second-half return following an above-average first-half return. In these years, the S&P 500 has generated a positive second-half return 86% of the time. In addition, the S&P has only experienced one historical second-half drawdown of at least 20% in these years, the Crash of 1987.\nBenzinga’s Take:Looking back at market history can help investors keep things in perspective and provide some helpful insight into market tendencies. Unfortunately, past performance is not necessarily indicative of the future, and there are countless variables impacting U.S. markets in the near term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129071069,"gmtCreate":1624348450951,"gmtModify":1634007440173,"author":{"id":"3586905082319815","authorId":"3586905082319815","name":"klcc8692","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0bd18e5c2d8c33b7cd75e1090d118a7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586905082319815","authorIdStr":"3586905082319815"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129071069","repostId":"1129393435","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129393435","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624346578,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129393435?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129393435","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n\nThe stock market closed last wee","content":"<blockquote>\n MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The stock market closed last week on a red note. The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for the<b>Nasdaq</b>. Stocks like<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) did better than the rest. MSFT stock is one tick away from an all-time high.</p>\n<p>In fact, on Friday, it was higher than its prior closing high. Even though the stock has been on a tear, there isn’t extreme froth in it. That’s because management has been on point since Satya Nadella took over as CEO. Investors are reaping the rewards of a great adaptation strategy.</p>\n<p>Microsoft grew its revenues 70% in the last four years and doubled its net income. These are impressive statistics that somewhat justify the price action. I said “somewhat” on purpose because I am cautious up here.</p>\n<p>My reason for this is more extrinsic than Microsoft specific. I am confident that they will continue to fire on all cylinders. My concerns stem from the next six months of macroeconomic conditions.</p>\n<p><b>MSFT Stock and the Economy</b></p>\n<p>We have had QE and stimulus programs running so long and so strong that I expect a let down. This patient has been on the heaviest drugs available, and getting off them is going to be painful. The economy is doing very well thanks in large part to government aid.</p>\n<p>First, the Federal Reserve is providing extreme liquidity. Their asset repurchase programs infuse $1.4 trillion a year. Second, the White House is tripling that in direct aid to its citizens. These measures are ending and the stock market will miss their impact.</p>\n<p>In addition, we are in a weird inflation scenario. We all know that everything is more expensive than it’s ever been. Yet the CPI says otherwise, and the Fed is calling it transitory. I fear that there is something more sinister lurking. I don’t want to repeat the blindside of 2008, so it’s best to prep a bit.</p>\n<p><b>A Look at MSFT’s Chart</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10978bc08162a30ddbd9099ddc512015\" tg-width=\"1548\" tg-height=\"817\">My forecast is that there will be a spending crimp going into 2022. If I am right, the indices should suffer and MSFT stock will have to work within that. The rising wedge that it has delivered since the pandemic bottom is very steep. It is up almost 100% since then and 210% from 2018. Even though I am confident of the fundamental reasons it is up here, I am leery about the technical setup.</p>\n<p>When stocks breakout they often revisit prior necklines. In this case, it has three different major pivot zones. None of them would look pretty if they come to fruition.</p>\n<p>For the short term, I acknowledge the remaining potential upside. In the last six months, MSFT stock has had 15% rallies. Each faded half way before launching the next rally. This third one is still ongoing and could have another 6% left in it. Investors buying shares in size must be more confident about their timeline than I am.</p>\n<p><b>A Matter of Timing for MSFT Stock</b></p>\n<p>I understand the traditional long-term perspective, but that logic goes both ways. Patient investors often say that they aren’t trying to time entries. If so, then what’s the harm and waiting out a few ticks higher or lower?</p>\n<p>Call me crazy, but I’d rather start out on a positive note than to buy a top.</p>\n<p>MSFT stock has many strong support levels between here and the 2020 lows. I see buyers lurking in near $238 and $225 per share. Below that there is an even stronger consolidation zone through $200 per share. This stock would be a great buy if it goes there. The only scenario I have for that is if the whole market corrects.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, it is imperative to take positions in tranches. Conviction should be lower than normal when the stock markets are this high. Being patient is prudent even if it means missing on some upside potential. In the long term, it works out better if we made smaller mistakes.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Stock Is Boss, But it Would Be Even Better Lower\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 15:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/msft-stock-microsoft-is-boss-but-even-better-lower/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n\nThe stock market closed last week on a red note. The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for theNasdaq. Stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/msft-stock-microsoft-is-boss-but-even-better-lower/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/msft-stock-microsoft-is-boss-but-even-better-lower/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129393435","content_text":"MSFT stock owners are reaping the rewards of excellent management.\n\nThe stock market closed last week on a red note. The indices fell about 1% to close out a red week, but not for theNasdaq. Stocks likeMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT) did better than the rest. MSFT stock is one tick away from an all-time high.\nIn fact, on Friday, it was higher than its prior closing high. Even though the stock has been on a tear, there isn’t extreme froth in it. That’s because management has been on point since Satya Nadella took over as CEO. Investors are reaping the rewards of a great adaptation strategy.\nMicrosoft grew its revenues 70% in the last four years and doubled its net income. These are impressive statistics that somewhat justify the price action. I said “somewhat” on purpose because I am cautious up here.\nMy reason for this is more extrinsic than Microsoft specific. I am confident that they will continue to fire on all cylinders. My concerns stem from the next six months of macroeconomic conditions.\nMSFT Stock and the Economy\nWe have had QE and stimulus programs running so long and so strong that I expect a let down. This patient has been on the heaviest drugs available, and getting off them is going to be painful. The economy is doing very well thanks in large part to government aid.\nFirst, the Federal Reserve is providing extreme liquidity. Their asset repurchase programs infuse $1.4 trillion a year. Second, the White House is tripling that in direct aid to its citizens. These measures are ending and the stock market will miss their impact.\nIn addition, we are in a weird inflation scenario. We all know that everything is more expensive than it’s ever been. Yet the CPI says otherwise, and the Fed is calling it transitory. I fear that there is something more sinister lurking. I don’t want to repeat the blindside of 2008, so it’s best to prep a bit.\nA Look at MSFT’s Chart\nMy forecast is that there will be a spending crimp going into 2022. If I am right, the indices should suffer and MSFT stock will have to work within that. The rising wedge that it has delivered since the pandemic bottom is very steep. It is up almost 100% since then and 210% from 2018. Even though I am confident of the fundamental reasons it is up here, I am leery about the technical setup.\nWhen stocks breakout they often revisit prior necklines. In this case, it has three different major pivot zones. None of them would look pretty if they come to fruition.\nFor the short term, I acknowledge the remaining potential upside. In the last six months, MSFT stock has had 15% rallies. Each faded half way before launching the next rally. This third one is still ongoing and could have another 6% left in it. Investors buying shares in size must be more confident about their timeline than I am.\nA Matter of Timing for MSFT Stock\nI understand the traditional long-term perspective, but that logic goes both ways. Patient investors often say that they aren’t trying to time entries. If so, then what’s the harm and waiting out a few ticks higher or lower?\nCall me crazy, but I’d rather start out on a positive note than to buy a top.\nMSFT stock has many strong support levels between here and the 2020 lows. I see buyers lurking in near $238 and $225 per share. Below that there is an even stronger consolidation zone through $200 per share. This stock would be a great buy if it goes there. The only scenario I have for that is if the whole market corrects.\nMeanwhile, it is imperative to take positions in tranches. Conviction should be lower than normal when the stock markets are this high. Being patient is prudent even if it means missing on some upside potential. In the long term, it works out better if we made smaller mistakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}