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AaronJFord

Chairman of Ford Aerospace LLc

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- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-05-13
  https://metamask.app.link/send/0x6caC81D8983B862D0AE3b69416a74F538fb05821@1?value=1e18
  Tesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze
  Tesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.Adverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.In the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.Despite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes o
  Tesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze
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- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-04-18
  Why negotiate how did Elon know that the guy is legit did he do Any coding live to showhe didn’t have a remote . Also did he send any transmissisions and pod any data in n.e.oI wonder if Elon is on this platform . Tiger musk could be powerful warrior
  Tesla, ex-engineer settle lawsuit over Autopilot source code
  BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has settled a lawsuit against a former employee who copied t
  Tesla, ex-engineer settle lawsuit over Autopilot source code
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- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-04-18
  Fact check musk
  Can I get verification Elon musk has a licence to trade in Hong Kong stock exchange I tried to sell 1M his stock in honkers it divertedto nasdaq and external platforms which are easily manipulated . And his stock makes me insufficient return for time wasted ten minutes of losing a million trading
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  Fact check musk
- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-04-17
  How do I post a video in Community section.The queens husbands funeral was not shown on television in Australia. He was my boss lord lieutenant , we ruled China for you
  Einhorn: "The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely"
  In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its "new normal" - in a letter sent t
  Einhorn: "The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely"
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- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-04-17
  My Safe Bet Of the day
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- AaronJFordAaronJFord
  ·2021-04-14
  Thank You For Inviting Me to This Trading Platform 🙏🏼
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His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.Despite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes o","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.</li>\n <li>Adverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.</li>\n <li>Intense competition in key markets and construction delay at the German factory do not help.</li>\n <li>Selling pressure could intensify in the second half of the year as call options expire, reversing last year's gamma squeeze.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The automotive industry is a highly competitive, capital intensive, low margin business at the best of times. It is also a very difficult business to enter. In addition to massive capital requirements, success in the automotive business demands talented and experienced engineers, a network of factories, and powerful logistics to manage the complexities of the supply chain and manufacturing process.</p>\n<p>In the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla (TSLA) CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.</p>\n<p>Despite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes of Bricklin and DeLorean to enter the business, the promised advent of electric cars has produced a new wave of would-be automakers. Investors have piled into shares of these new entrants hoping to duplicate Tesla’s skyrocketing share performance, driving prices into bubble territory.</p>\n<p>However, Tesla’s financial results continue to demonstrate that the electric car business is no different from the rest of the automotive business. As more competition enters the BEV market prices are squeezed until profit margins are razor-thin. After 16 years of losses, Tesla finally reached profitability, not from selling cars, but from selling regulatory credits to other automakers. I think Tesla has clearly demonstrated that from a profitability viewpoint, electric cars are just cars with a different drive-train and the transformation to electric drives does not change the fundamental nature of the automotive business.</p>\n<p>The EV bubble is now deflating, Tesla is down 30% from its January high. Tesla’s would-be imitators have fared even worse, Lordstown Motors (RIDE) is down 73%, Fisker (FSR) -60%, Canoo (GOEV) – 62%. Tesla’s Chinese competitors' share prices are also falling, despite sharply rising sales. NIO (NIO) is down 40% and XPeng (XPEV) and Li Automotive (LIV) have both fallen more than 50%.</p>\n<p>Against this backdrop of falling share prices among EV companies, Tesla is facing a few headwinds of its own including:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Adverse publicity resulting from quality and safety issues and a public backlash that will probably impact sales in China, its fastest growth market</li>\n <li>Increasing doubts about the safety and capabilities of Tesla’s Full Self Driving option, and the associated liabilities</li>\n <li>Construction delays at the German factory</li>\n <li>Intense competition from legacy automakers in its key markets</li>\n</ul>\n<p>But there is one factor that does not get the same attention in the media but may have an impact on Tesla’s share price in the second half of this year. It is the potential selling pressure from the high volume of “in the money call” options that expire in the next year – The unwinding of the gamma squeeze that some investors claim was the reason why Tesla’s shares reached their astronomical heights last year.</p>\n<p>Option hedging has a significant impact on Tesla’s share price</p>\n<p>Typical trading volumes for TSLA options are around 1 million contracts per day, equivalent to 100 million shares. Share volumes are around 30 million per day, which includes volume generated by market makers option hedging. With those relative volume levels, options trading is certain to have a significant influence on Tesla’s share price.</p>\n<p><b>Delta hedging and the gamma squeeze</b></p>\n<p>When option market makers sell an option, they hedge their exposure by buying shares (or selling if they are exposed to put options). The number of shares they buy or sell (known as Delta) depends on the relative price movement between the option and its underlying share.</p>\n<p>The value of Delta changes with the share price and the time to expiry. The chart below shows how those changes affect the number of shares that the option market makers buy to hedge their call option exposure. Three curves are shown with one-week, four-week, and one-year expiry dates, the X-axis is the share price relative to the option strike price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f6fe1d60b7cacf9eece9460c672dc8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\"><i>Variation of option price with share price and expiry: Data sourced from Option Council</i></p>\n<p>Last year, when Tesla shares were hot, a lot of investors bought long-dated “out of the money” call options which would have been delta hedged by the option market makers. The green curve on the chart above is the delta curve for options with a 1-year expiry. As an example, a $400 call contract ($2,000 pre-split) bought a year ago, would have been on the left edge of the green curve, it would have been hedged at the time with the purchase of about 28 shares.</p>\n<p>If the share price had stayed the same over the past year, those shares would have been gradually sold as the delta curve moved towards the orange and blue curves. However, Tesla's share price has risen and is now about 170% of the $400 call option strike price, the delta is 0.98, another 70 shares have been purchased for hedging.</p>\n<p>This additional share buying for hedging is the \"gamma squeeze\". It has been one of the factors driving the price of Tesla shares upwards, and it will be a factor driving the share price down as the squeeze unwinds with the expiry of the options.</p>\n<p><b>Option expiry and the unwinding of the gamma squeeze</b></p>\n<p>As the expiry date approaches, delta tends to a value of 1.00 for in-the-money options and zero for out-of-the-money options. In theory, market makers would like to be holding, at expiry, one share for every ITM call option minus one share for each ITM put option to which they are exposed.</p>\n<p>If the options are held to expiry, they are exercised and the long or short position transfers to the option holder, with no effect on the market. However, most option holders do not hold the option to expiry, many will sell the option before expiry or hedge the position by buying or selling shares.</p>\n<p>Selling an ITM call option that has a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to sell 100 shares and selling an ITM put option with a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to buy 100 shares, so an imbalance between open interest in ITM calls and ITM puts will result in a net sale (or purchase)</p>\n<p>If option trading were the only driver of market prices the share price on expiry would trend towards the point where the open interest in ITM calls equals the open interest in ITM puts. I’ll refer to that as the put/call balance point.</p>\n<p><b>The effect of short expiry versus long expiry options</b></p>\n<p>Most weekly options don’t come to the market until 8 weeks before expiry, they tend to be traded at strike prices close to the share price, so the put/call balance point is usually close to the share price, and the impact on expiry is small.</p>\n<p>But the options that have been on the market for longer, the June, September, and January regular options show a strong imbalance between ITM calls and ITM puts, and much higher overall open interest. Option market makers are holding significant long positions to hedge those ITM calls, and those long positions will unwind as the calls approach expiry, releasing millions of shares onto the market.</p>\n<p>Based on data from May 7th, open ITM call interest in the June 18thoptions exceeds ITM put interest by 170,000 contracts (17 million shares), the balance point is at $440 as shown in the chart below:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f47d2184c62ffb8f38c4cc633baac772\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><i>Open interest in Tesla Calls and Puts that are in the money at various share prices: Source data from Options Council, May 7th.</i></p>\n<p>If this theory is correct, as the upcoming June 18thcall option expiry approaches it will tend to push the Tesla share price towards $440 as the gamma squeeze unwinds, creating downward pressure on the share price.</p>\n<p>This does not all happen on options expiry day, open interest in the June ITM calls has been falling steadily since I started keeping records in February, indicating that some investors have been taking profits already.</p>\n<p><b>A falling share price generates downward gamma</b></p>\n<p>In addition to the effects of options expiry, there is the gamma effect as the share price moves up or down. The delta values move up or down their respective curves and option market makers buy or sell options to maintain their hedges. A falling share price generates selling of shares to unwind option hedges for all options, not just the expiring options, and it has the same directional effect for both puts and calls, i.e. selling when the price moves down and buying when the price moves up. This effect will magnify any downward moves, just as it magnified upward moves as Tesla’s share price rose last year.</p>\n<p>If you Google \"gamma squeeze\" you will find many articles describing how heavy call buying forces share prices up, but very few of those articles mention that the gamma squeeze works in both directions.</p>\n<p><b>Summary and Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>There is a large volume of deep-in-the-money call options purchased during Tesla’s share price run-up last year that will expire June 18th. This option expiry may precipitate selling as the option positions are closed and market makers remove their delta hedges. This will put downward pressure on the share price as the options expire. Further downward pressure is likely as the September and January options move towards expiry.</p>\n<p>Options trading is not the only factor that determines share prices but combined with other factors that appear to be pressuring Tesla’s share price at present, I think this would be a good time to take profits if you hold a long position, and don’t be tempted to buy the dip if the share price drops over the next few weeks.</p>\n<p><b>A note about data source and possible inaccuracies</b></p>\n<p>All the information used to develop the charts, calculations, and conclusions in this article has been downloaded fromThe Options Councilwebsite. The information has some flaws which limit the accuracy of the data.</p>\n<p>Option open interest is posted on the site daily before the market opens. The information posted is total open interest, not net open interest. If someone holds a long call and someone else holds a short call of the same strike and expiry, those positions will post as two open interests. That introduces inaccuracy in the data because we don’t know how much of the stated open interest is long and how much is short.</p>\n<p>However, I believe that most of the long-dated deep-in-the-money calls will be long positions and the conclusions are valid.</p>\n<p>I hold a very small position in July puts.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.\nAdverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1139120087","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.\nAdverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.\nIntense competition in key markets and construction delay at the German factory do not help.\nSelling pressure could intensify in the second half of the year as call options expire, reversing last year's gamma squeeze.\n\nThe automotive industry is a highly competitive, capital intensive, low margin business at the best of times. It is also a very difficult business to enter. In addition to massive capital requirements, success in the automotive business demands talented and experienced engineers, a network of factories, and powerful logistics to manage the complexities of the supply chain and manufacturing process.\nIn the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla (TSLA) CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.\nDespite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes of Bricklin and DeLorean to enter the business, the promised advent of electric cars has produced a new wave of would-be automakers. Investors have piled into shares of these new entrants hoping to duplicate Tesla’s skyrocketing share performance, driving prices into bubble territory.\nHowever, Tesla’s financial results continue to demonstrate that the electric car business is no different from the rest of the automotive business. As more competition enters the BEV market prices are squeezed until profit margins are razor-thin. After 16 years of losses, Tesla finally reached profitability, not from selling cars, but from selling regulatory credits to other automakers. I think Tesla has clearly demonstrated that from a profitability viewpoint, electric cars are just cars with a different drive-train and the transformation to electric drives does not change the fundamental nature of the automotive business.\nThe EV bubble is now deflating, Tesla is down 30% from its January high. Tesla’s would-be imitators have fared even worse, Lordstown Motors (RIDE) is down 73%, Fisker (FSR) -60%, Canoo (GOEV) – 62%. Tesla’s Chinese competitors' share prices are also falling, despite sharply rising sales. NIO (NIO) is down 40% and XPeng (XPEV) and Li Automotive (LIV) have both fallen more than 50%.\nAgainst this backdrop of falling share prices among EV companies, Tesla is facing a few headwinds of its own including:\n\nAdverse publicity resulting from quality and safety issues and a public backlash that will probably impact sales in China, its fastest growth market\nIncreasing doubts about the safety and capabilities of Tesla’s Full Self Driving option, and the associated liabilities\nConstruction delays at the German factory\nIntense competition from legacy automakers in its key markets\n\nBut there is one factor that does not get the same attention in the media but may have an impact on Tesla’s share price in the second half of this year. It is the potential selling pressure from the high volume of “in the money call” options that expire in the next year – The unwinding of the gamma squeeze that some investors claim was the reason why Tesla’s shares reached their astronomical heights last year.\nOption hedging has a significant impact on Tesla’s share price\nTypical trading volumes for TSLA options are around 1 million contracts per day, equivalent to 100 million shares. Share volumes are around 30 million per day, which includes volume generated by market makers option hedging. With those relative volume levels, options trading is certain to have a significant influence on Tesla’s share price.\nDelta hedging and the gamma squeeze\nWhen option market makers sell an option, they hedge their exposure by buying shares (or selling if they are exposed to put options). The number of shares they buy or sell (known as Delta) depends on the relative price movement between the option and its underlying share.\nThe value of Delta changes with the share price and the time to expiry. The chart below shows how those changes affect the number of shares that the option market makers buy to hedge their call option exposure. Three curves are shown with one-week, four-week, and one-year expiry dates, the X-axis is the share price relative to the option strike price.\nVariation of option price with share price and expiry: Data sourced from Option Council\nLast year, when Tesla shares were hot, a lot of investors bought long-dated “out of the money” call options which would have been delta hedged by the option market makers. The green curve on the chart above is the delta curve for options with a 1-year expiry. As an example, a $400 call contract ($2,000 pre-split) bought a year ago, would have been on the left edge of the green curve, it would have been hedged at the time with the purchase of about 28 shares.\nIf the share price had stayed the same over the past year, those shares would have been gradually sold as the delta curve moved towards the orange and blue curves. However, Tesla's share price has risen and is now about 170% of the $400 call option strike price, the delta is 0.98, another 70 shares have been purchased for hedging.\nThis additional share buying for hedging is the \"gamma squeeze\". It has been one of the factors driving the price of Tesla shares upwards, and it will be a factor driving the share price down as the squeeze unwinds with the expiry of the options.\nOption expiry and the unwinding of the gamma squeeze\nAs the expiry date approaches, delta tends to a value of 1.00 for in-the-money options and zero for out-of-the-money options. In theory, market makers would like to be holding, at expiry, one share for every ITM call option minus one share for each ITM put option to which they are exposed.\nIf the options are held to expiry, they are exercised and the long or short position transfers to the option holder, with no effect on the market. However, most option holders do not hold the option to expiry, many will sell the option before expiry or hedge the position by buying or selling shares.\nSelling an ITM call option that has a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to sell 100 shares and selling an ITM put option with a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to buy 100 shares, so an imbalance between open interest in ITM calls and ITM puts will result in a net sale (or purchase)\nIf option trading were the only driver of market prices the share price on expiry would trend towards the point where the open interest in ITM calls equals the open interest in ITM puts. I’ll refer to that as the put/call balance point.\nThe effect of short expiry versus long expiry options\nMost weekly options don’t come to the market until 8 weeks before expiry, they tend to be traded at strike prices close to the share price, so the put/call balance point is usually close to the share price, and the impact on expiry is small.\nBut the options that have been on the market for longer, the June, September, and January regular options show a strong imbalance between ITM calls and ITM puts, and much higher overall open interest. Option market makers are holding significant long positions to hedge those ITM calls, and those long positions will unwind as the calls approach expiry, releasing millions of shares onto the market.\nBased on data from May 7th, open ITM call interest in the June 18thoptions exceeds ITM put interest by 170,000 contracts (17 million shares), the balance point is at $440 as shown in the chart below:\nOpen interest in Tesla Calls and Puts that are in the money at various share prices: Source data from Options Council, May 7th.\nIf this theory is correct, as the upcoming June 18thcall option expiry approaches it will tend to push the Tesla share price towards $440 as the gamma squeeze unwinds, creating downward pressure on the share price.\nThis does not all happen on options expiry day, open interest in the June ITM calls has been falling steadily since I started keeping records in February, indicating that some investors have been taking profits already.\nA falling share price generates downward gamma\nIn addition to the effects of options expiry, there is the gamma effect as the share price moves up or down. The delta values move up or down their respective curves and option market makers buy or sell options to maintain their hedges. A falling share price generates selling of shares to unwind option hedges for all options, not just the expiring options, and it has the same directional effect for both puts and calls, i.e. selling when the price moves down and buying when the price moves up. This effect will magnify any downward moves, just as it magnified upward moves as Tesla’s share price rose last year.\nIf you Google \"gamma squeeze\" you will find many articles describing how heavy call buying forces share prices up, but very few of those articles mention that the gamma squeeze works in both directions.\nSummary and Conclusion\nThere is a large volume of deep-in-the-money call options purchased during Tesla’s share price run-up last year that will expire June 18th. This option expiry may precipitate selling as the option positions are closed and market makers remove their delta hedges. This will put downward pressure on the share price as the options expire. Further downward pressure is likely as the September and January options move towards expiry.\nOptions trading is not the only factor that determines share prices but combined with other factors that appear to be pressuring Tesla’s share price at present, I think this would be a good time to take profits if you hold a long position, and don’t be tempted to buy the dip if the share price drops over the next few weeks.\nA note about data source and possible inaccuracies\nAll the information used to develop the charts, calculations, and conclusions in this article has been downloaded fromThe Options Councilwebsite. The information has some flaws which limit the accuracy of the data.\nOption open interest is posted on the site daily before the market opens. The information posted is total open interest, not net open interest. If someone holds a long call and someone else holds a short call of the same strike and expiry, those positions will post as two open interests. That introduces inaccuracy in the data because we don’t know how much of the stated open interest is long and how much is short.\nHowever, I believe that most of the long-dated deep-in-the-money calls will be long positions and the conclusions are valid.\nI hold a very small position in July puts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379266060,"gmtCreate":1618747783350,"gmtModify":1618747855825,"author":{"id":"3581346459871094","authorId":"3581346459871094","name":"AaronJFord","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e371a52e17af6e1b07466ed9fc3de8ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581346459871094","idStr":"3581346459871094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why negotiate how did Elon know that the guy is legit did he do Any coding live to showhe didn’t have a remote . Also did he send any transmissisions and pod any data in n.e.oI wonder if Elon is on this platform . Tiger musk could be powerful warrior&nbsp;","listText":"Why negotiate how did Elon know that the guy is legit did he do Any coding live to showhe didn’t have a remote . Also did he send any transmissisions and pod any data in n.e.oI wonder if Elon is on this platform . Tiger musk could be powerful warrior&nbsp;","text":"Why negotiate how did Elon know that the guy is legit did he do Any coding live to showhe didn’t have a remote . Also did he send any transmissisions and pod any data in n.e.oI wonder if Elon is on this platform . Tiger musk could be powerful warrior","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379266060","repostId":"2127620831","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2127620831","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1618564363,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2127620831?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 17:12","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Tesla, ex-engineer settle lawsuit over Autopilot source code","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2127620831","media":"Reuters","summary":"BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has settled a lawsuit against a former employee who copied t","content":"<p>BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has settled a lawsuit against a former employee who copied the source code of the electric vehicle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EV\">$(EV)$</a> maker's Autopilot technology, according to a U.S. district court filing dated April 15.</p>\n<p>Tesla filed the lawsuit in 2019, saying its employee Cao Guangzhi, who worked at Tesla for two years, copied the source code before in January 2019 joining XMotors, the U.S. unit of Chinese self-driving car startup Xpeng Inc .</p>\n<p>Terms of the settlement, which included a monetary payment made by Cao to Tesla, were not disclosed. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>Tesla's Autopilot is a driver assistance system that handles some driving tasks and allows drivers to take their hands off the steering wheel, though the company emphasises it still requires driver supervision and does not make the vehicle autonomous.</p>\n<p>Tesla has a factory in Shanghai, putting it in direct competition with Xpeng and other Chinese companies in the world's largest electric vehicle market.</p>\n<p>A statement to Reuters on behalf of Cao from his legal representative confirmed the settlement and said Cao had never accessed any Tesla data after he left Tesla, or provided Tesla information to XMotors or anyone else.</p>\n<p>Cao later left XMotors, the company told Reuters in a statement on Friday. XMotors, which was not a party in the case, said it respected intellectual property rights and relied on its in-house developed proprietary R&amp;D and intellectual property.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Yilei Sun in Beijing and Shubham Kalia in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and David Holmes)</p>\n<p>((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, ex-engineer settle lawsuit over Autopilot source code</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, ex-engineer settle lawsuit over Autopilot source code\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-16 17:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has settled a lawsuit against a former employee who copied the source code of the electric vehicle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EV\">$(EV)$</a> maker's Autopilot technology, according to a U.S. district court filing dated April 15.</p>\n<p>Tesla filed the lawsuit in 2019, saying its employee Cao Guangzhi, who worked at Tesla for two years, copied the source code before in January 2019 joining XMotors, the U.S. unit of Chinese self-driving car startup Xpeng Inc .</p>\n<p>Terms of the settlement, which included a monetary payment made by Cao to Tesla, were not disclosed. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>Tesla's Autopilot is a driver assistance system that handles some driving tasks and allows drivers to take their hands off the steering wheel, though the company emphasises it still requires driver supervision and does not make the vehicle autonomous.</p>\n<p>Tesla has a factory in Shanghai, putting it in direct competition with Xpeng and other Chinese companies in the world's largest electric vehicle market.</p>\n<p>A statement to Reuters on behalf of Cao from his legal representative confirmed the settlement and said Cao had never accessed any Tesla data after he left Tesla, or provided Tesla information to XMotors or anyone else.</p>\n<p>Cao later left XMotors, the company told Reuters in a statement on Friday. XMotors, which was not a party in the case, said it respected intellectual property rights and relied on its in-house developed proprietary R&amp;D and intellectual property.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Yilei Sun in Beijing and Shubham Kalia in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and David Holmes)</p>\n<p>((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2127620831","content_text":"BEIJING, April 16 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc has settled a lawsuit against a former employee who copied the source code of the electric vehicle $(EV)$ maker's Autopilot technology, according to a U.S. district court filing dated April 15.\nTesla filed the lawsuit in 2019, saying its employee Cao Guangzhi, who worked at Tesla for two years, copied the source code before in January 2019 joining XMotors, the U.S. unit of Chinese self-driving car startup Xpeng Inc .\nTerms of the settlement, which included a monetary payment made by Cao to Tesla, were not disclosed. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.\nTesla's Autopilot is a driver assistance system that handles some driving tasks and allows drivers to take their hands off the steering wheel, though the company emphasises it still requires driver supervision and does not make the vehicle autonomous.\nTesla has a factory in Shanghai, putting it in direct competition with Xpeng and other Chinese companies in the world's largest electric vehicle market.\nA statement to Reuters on behalf of Cao from his legal representative confirmed the settlement and said Cao had never accessed any Tesla data after he left Tesla, or provided Tesla information to XMotors or anyone else.\nCao later left XMotors, the company told Reuters in a statement on Friday. XMotors, which was not a party in the case, said it respected intellectual property rights and relied on its in-house developed proprietary R&D and intellectual property.\n(Reporting by Yilei Sun in Beijing and Shubham Kalia in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and David Holmes)\n((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379364165,"gmtCreate":1618679786457,"gmtModify":1618713527634,"author":{"id":"3581346459871094","authorId":"3581346459871094","name":"AaronJFord","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e371a52e17af6e1b07466ed9fc3de8ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581346459871094","idStr":"3581346459871094"},"themes":[],"title":"Fact check musk","htmlText":"Can I get verification Elon musk has a licence to trade in Hong Kong stock exchange I tried to sell 1M his stock in honkers it divertedto nasdaq and external platforms which are easily manipulated . And his stock makes me insufficient return for time wasted ten minutes of losing a million trading&nbsp;","listText":"Can I get verification Elon musk has a licence to trade in Hong Kong stock exchange I tried to sell 1M his stock in honkers it divertedto nasdaq and external platforms which are easily manipulated . And his stock makes me insufficient return for time wasted ten minutes of losing a million trading&nbsp;","text":"Can I get verification Elon musk has a licence to trade in Hong Kong stock exchange I tried to sell 1M his stock in honkers it divertedto nasdaq and external platforms which are easily manipulated . And his stock makes me insufficient return for time wasted ten minutes of losing a million trading","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379364165","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379310227,"gmtCreate":1618672222269,"gmtModify":1618674050978,"author":{"id":"3581346459871094","authorId":"3581346459871094","name":"AaronJFord","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e371a52e17af6e1b07466ed9fc3de8ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581346459871094","idStr":"3581346459871094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How do I post a video in Community section.The queens husbands funeral was not shown on television in Australia. He was my boss lord lieutenant , we ruled China for you&nbsp;","listText":"How do I post a video in Community section.The queens husbands funeral was not shown on television in Australia. He was my boss lord lieutenant , we ruled China for you&nbsp;","text":"How do I post a video in Community section.The queens husbands funeral was not shown on television in Australia. He was my boss lord lieutenant , we ruled China for you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379310227","repostId":"1156411249","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156411249","pubTimestamp":1618562497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156411249?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 16:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Einhorn: \"The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156411249","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent t","content":"<p>In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in the first quarter, badly underperforming the 6.2% return for the S&amp;P 500 index, before proceeding to bash the Fed, broken markets, Chamath and Elon, the basket of short stocks and much more.</p><p>That said, even though as Einhorn writes Greenlight made only a handful of portfolio changes and essentially broke even, \"a lot happened. In general, the investment environment – especially from mid-February through the end of the quarter – was favorable as value outperformed growth, and interest rates and inflation expectations rose.\"</p><p>He then asks if the tide has<i><b>finally</b></i>turned from Growth to Value, noting that \"after a very tough decade, we have only just begun a recovery as shown in this 45-year chart from Goldman Sachs research:\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5db342a0e7b68b8405ce6d4041b71a0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Part of the shift from growth to value, Einhorn writes, may be coming from higher inflation and inflation expectations. As measured by the inflation swap market, 10-year inflation expectations fell from 2.9% in September 2012 to 0.8% in March 2020. The only significant intervening bounce came in 2016, when expectations jumped from 1.5% to 2.3% on expectations of a major stimulus deal from the Trump admin (which never materialized). It is hardly a coincidence that that was the only year in the last decade in which value outperformed growth, as the Greenlight head notes. Fast forward to now, when after bottoming in March 2020, inflation expectations have recovered to 2.5%. The trend became clearer in the middle of May, and value started outperforming growth then, and especially since the middle of February. Indeed, aince May 15, the value-heavy Greenlight returned 80% of the S&amp;P 500 index with half the net exposure.</p><p>Einhorn is even more optimistic about the future when it comes to the \"growth to value\" rotation:</p><blockquote><i>When the time comes, we will have to figure out how to perform better in deflationary periods. But for now, we believe inflation is only going one way – higher – and we are optimistic about our prospects. The wind is now at our backs. The economy is in full recovery mode. Household balance sheets are stronger than they have been in a long time and household income growth was up 13% in February compared to last year. And this is before the latest $1.9 trillion – with a “T” – pandemic relief stimulus. Corporate capital spending is booming. There are shortages and bottlenecks everywhere. Last month nearly one million jobs returned. There are signs of an emerging labor shortage.</i></blockquote><p>As for the Fed, the Greenlight boss writes that \"it fundamentally changed its framework last August. It no longer seems to care that monetary policy works with a lag. Actually, it has embraced an asymmetrical inflation policy: The Fed wants to be ahead of the curve on the downside to protect<s>the stock market and corporate bondholders</s>the economy. Behind the curve is fine on the way up no matter how frothy the stock market the recovery is. Now, it says it is only going to react to actual inflation that exceeds its 2% target for a period of time.\"</p><p>The letter then goes on to muse how the Fed will know when it is blowing the next bubble, and to stop:</p><blockquote><i>... the Fed has indicated that it believes any abnormally high inflation will be transitory. We wonder, how will the Fed know?</i> <i><b>Do price increases come with a label that says “transitory”?</b></i> <i>Our sense is that no matter how hot inflation gets in the coming months, the Fed will continue with zero interest rates and large-scale asset purchases. After all, the U.S. Treasury has a lot of debt to sell and it isn’t clear who, other than the Fed, can absorb the supply.</i></blockquote><p>It's not just Powell who is throwing caution to the wind: so are such mainstream econ \"experts\" as John Oliver:</p><blockquote><i>The bipartisan idea that deficits don’t matter has even reached popular culture. John Oliverdedicated an entire episodeof Last Week Tonight to browbeating anyone who is concerned about the growing national debt. His argument boiled down to: (1) nobody knows how much debt is too much; (2) we have a good need to spend money now; and (3) it won’t be a problem until inflation shows up, and we can deal with it then.</i></blockquote><p>To this, Einhorn's response is simple: \"Though one can debate whether the official government statistics are contrived to avoid capturing inflation\" - and as we have repeatedly noted, inflation is now decidedly a political measurement, one which has been gamed for decades to make it appears as low as possible \"shortages and bottlenecks accompanied by rising demand can only be solved through increased capacity and higher prices. We have also reset the baseline income for non-working adults; it will take higher wages to bring those marginally attached to the labor force back to work.\"</p><p>Concluding this part of the letter, Einhorn writes that while the Fed says it has the tools to fight inflation (and according to Bernanke can cut it in<i>15 minutes</i>), \"it remains to be seen if it will have the stomach to use them when the time comes. That<b>is a discussion for another day. Right now, we remain positioned for rising inflation and inflation expectations.</b>\"</p><p>The Greenlight letter then goes on to lay out just how it plans to capture these rising inflation expectations, listing its top positions as follows, and how they performed in the frist quarter:</p><ul><li><b>Brighthouse Financial (BHF, +22%)</b>benefitted from rising interest rates;</li><li><b>Danimer Scientific (DNMR, +61%)</b>began its life as a public company;</li><li><b>Concentrix (CNXC, +52%)</b>benefitted from strong demand and rising estimates;</li><li><b>Resideo Technologies (REZI, +33%)</b>was helped by the strong housing market;</li><li><b>Change Healthcare (CHNG, +18%)</b>agreed to be acquired by UnitedHealthcare;</li><li><b>AerCap Holdings (AER, +29%)</b>agreed to acquire GE Capital’s aircraft leasing business (GECAS) at a discount; and</li><li><b>An undisclosed healthcare short (-41%)</b>fell due to reduced government reimbursement for its product.</li></ul><p><i>(incidentally, at quarter-end, Greenlight's largest disclosed long positions were Atlas Air Worldwide, Brighthouse Financial, Change Healthcare, Danimer Scientific and Green Brick Partners, with a net average exposure of 118% long and 81% short).</i></p><p>Which is not to say that there were no glitches. One was underperformance by homebuilder and land-developer GRBK, the fund's largest position (more on this in the full letter below). The other performance drag was - as usual- Greenlight's \"short basket\" of bubble stocks.</p><p>What follows next is a tour de force from Einhorn lashing out at all the ways the market is broken, and how the Reddit insanity of Q1 exposed it for all to see:</p><blockquote><i>In late January, the market came to focus on companies with large short interests. Despite having a diversified portfolio, a number of our positions fell into this group and experienced sudden, sharp rises. We adjusted to the dynamic by reducing our exposure to single name shorts, both in number and sizing. To mitigate the potentially uncomfortable net long bias that would have resulted, we added macro hedges of market index and index option shorts. While we do not expect this to be a permanent change, we will evaluate and modify as we go.</i> <i><b>The performance of our short portfolio in 2020 and in early 2021 was unacceptable, so change is certainly needed.</b></i> <i>If we swing a little less hard, we should hit more balls. We have also revised our internal analyst incentive structure to fully emphasize alpha creation.Much has been made of the short-squeezes in late January. In fact, Congress held hearings, where it called the leaders of Robinhood, Melvin Capital and Citadel and an individual investor who made a great call on GameStop (GME) to testify. We have a few thoughts about this to share.</i> <i><b>First, it is very healthy for market participants to discuss and debate stocks.</b></i> <i>This is true both privately and publicly. There are rules about fraud and manipulation that need to be followed,</i> <i><b>but investors discussing why they think GME (or any other stock) should go up or down ought to be encouraged. There is no reason to drag anyone before Congress for making a stock pick.</b></i> <i>Second, it is also fine to make bad stock picks.</i> <i><b>If a hedge fund takes a big position in a stock and is wrong, it loses money. Isn’t this how it is supposed to work?</b></i> <i>Third,</i> <i><b>payment for order flow is just disguised commissions.</b></i> <i>We are in a world where consumers, especially young ones, expect internet services to be free, or at least free to them. A quote widely attributed to Richard Serra about commercial TV in 1973 says it best: “You’re not the customer; you’re the product.”</i> <i><b>If you want the broker to work for you, pay a commission.</b></i> <i>Fourth, Robinhood suspended trading in certain stocks because it was undercapitalized. It is possible that it wasn’t following the regulatory requirements. A regulatory sanction is probably appropriate – but as we’ll discuss below, we won’t be holding our breath.</i></blockquote><p>The punchline:<i>Einhorn slamming Chamath and Elon for pouring the \"real jet fuel\" on the GME squeeze:</i></p><blockquote><i>Finally, we note that the real jet fuel on the GME squeeze came from Chamath Palihapitiya and Elon Musk, whose appearances on TV and Twitter, respectively, at a critical moment further destabilized the situation.</i> <i><b>Mr. Palihapitiya controls SoFi, which competes with Robinhood, and left us with the impression that by destabilizing GME he could harm a competitor.</b></i> <i>As for Mr. Musk,</i> <i><b>we are going to defend him, half-heartedly. If regulators wanted Elon Musk to stop manipulating stocks, they should have done so with more than a light slap on the wrist when they accused him of manipulating Tesla’s shares in 2018. The laws don’t apply to him and he can do whatever he wants.</b></i> <i>Many who would never support defunding the police have supported – and for all intents and purposes have succeeded – in almost completely defanging, if not defunding, the regulators. For the most part, quasi-anarchy appears to rule in markets.</i> <i><b>Sure, Dr. Michael Burry, famed for his role in The Big Short, reportedly received a visit from the SEC after tweeting warnings about recent market trends – and decided to stop publicly speaking truth to power. But for the most part, there is no cop on the beat.</b></i> <i>It’s as if there are no financial fraud prosecutors; companies and managements that are emboldened enough to engage in malfeasance have little to fear.</i></blockquote><p>Einhorn then concludes with three anecdotes to demonstrate his argument that this is not only an \"anything goes\" market where crime is rampant, but proving just how broken the market has become.</p><p>First, consider the investigation of Tether by the Office of the Attorney General of New York (OAG). As Einhorn explains, \"tether is a cryptocurrency that is always worth a dollar (the value is “tethered” to the dollar). Tether is one of the largest cryptocurrencies with about $40 billion outstanding, yet it has not been audited or regulated in any serious manner. In theory, Tether is supposed to have $1 of cash backing every Tether issued. Except it didn’t, at least when it was investigated.\" Incidentally, for anyone still confused, Tether is how theChinese launder billions in domestic funds abroad and outside the Chinese firewallas we explained in December, although so far few have the desire to expose this reality. In any case, here is Einhorn's lament:</p><blockquote><i>The OAG conducted a two-year probe and found that Tether deceived clients and the market by overstating reserves and hiding approximately $850 million of losses around the globe. Tether and its sponsor, Bitfinex, “recklessly and unlawfully covered up massive financial losses to keep their scheme going and protect their bottom lines,” said the OAG. Further, “Tether’s claims that its virtual currency was fully backed by U.S. dollars at all times was a lie.”Did the OAG shut down Tether? Did anyone get arrested or even lose their job? Was the regulatory infrastructure changed to make sure this doesn’t happen again? No, of course not. The OAG assessed an $18.5 million penalty and Tether agreed to discontinue “any trading activity with New Yorkers.” It was as if Bernie Madoff had been told to pay a small fine and stop ripping off New Yorkers, but to go ahead and have fun with the Palm Beach crowd.</i></blockquote><p>Einhorn next highlights one of the stocks most hated by the bearish community: GSX:</p><blockquote>The media is focused on how the banks allowed excessive leverage and poorly (or properly) managed their risks. The real story is how Arch-Egos was able to buy up most of the float of GSX Techedu, <b>causing the stock to soar 400% in the face of unrefuted allegations of massive fraud.</b>The SEC has an ongoing investigation of GSX but appears to not have noticed a single fund (or a small group of funds) essentially cornering the market. A traditionalist could say this was market manipulation and transparently illegal.</blockquote><p>The professional poker player finally points out some of the insane moves observed in pennystocks in Q1, focusing on a tiny deli owner in rural NJ:</p><blockquote><i>Strange things happen to all kinds of stocks. Last year, on one day in June, the stocks of about a dozen bankrupt companies roughly doubled on enormous volume. Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported a boom in penny stocks.Someone pointed us to Hometown International (HWIN), which owns a single deli in rural New Jersey. The deli had $21,772 in sales in 2019 and only $13,976 in 2020, as it was closed due to COVID from March to September.</i> <i><b>HWIN reached a market cap of $113 million on February 8.</b></i> <i>The largest shareholder is also the CEO/CFO/Treasurer and a Director, who also happens to be the wrestling coach of the high school next door to the deli. The pastrami must be amazing. Small investors who get sucked into these situations are likely to be harmed eventually, yet the regulators – who are supposed to be protecting investors – appear to be neither present nor curious.</i></blockquote><p>We don't find it at all surprising that Einhorn's conclusion from his capital markets observations over the past quarter is<i>identical</i>to ours, when we discussed the insane stock moves that dominated much of January and February:</p><blockquote><i><b>\"From a traditional perspective, the market is fractured and possibly in the process of breaking completely.\"</b></i></blockquote><p>Einhorn's full letter is below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519bd51d93865787f487bbfdc930c706\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"496\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1691d37b71b28794a2bc900aaf5b313e\" tg-width=\"857\" tg-height=\"687\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d1e93a00a6d64936e9c09b9b940dbf\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"719\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c11ad8e34545a98ba8ee9c4fa8a78d9\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"477\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8253cd105c8e2727495e1d34c6769b\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"719\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e120ac355802479930a1b1e84bf46e3e\" tg-width=\"901\" tg-height=\"528\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28989c8e07df2deede3e092055e09e70\" tg-width=\"895\" tg-height=\"564\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d526b287d859e129d81853c0be2ace0\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"559\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8599ce79c9573aed1ca3b1266bd3400a\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"534\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae554a242066a92e4095f35260ce325\" tg-width=\"917\" tg-height=\"639\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df45fd1c31a9a0b5a376ec0fe6037598\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"522\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72d0f63d22768ed27882dca1e9f6048\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"420\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf93a682ea1bc652b5107e7ecf902b84\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"456\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0326abf9ee7f93425e7d4cb20e1f375\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"657\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEinhorn: \"The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 16:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156411249","content_text":"In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in the first quarter, badly underperforming the 6.2% return for the S&P 500 index, before proceeding to bash the Fed, broken markets, Chamath and Elon, the basket of short stocks and much more.That said, even though as Einhorn writes Greenlight made only a handful of portfolio changes and essentially broke even, \"a lot happened. In general, the investment environment – especially from mid-February through the end of the quarter – was favorable as value outperformed growth, and interest rates and inflation expectations rose.\"He then asks if the tide hasfinallyturned from Growth to Value, noting that \"after a very tough decade, we have only just begun a recovery as shown in this 45-year chart from Goldman Sachs research:\"Part of the shift from growth to value, Einhorn writes, may be coming from higher inflation and inflation expectations. As measured by the inflation swap market, 10-year inflation expectations fell from 2.9% in September 2012 to 0.8% in March 2020. The only significant intervening bounce came in 2016, when expectations jumped from 1.5% to 2.3% on expectations of a major stimulus deal from the Trump admin (which never materialized). It is hardly a coincidence that that was the only year in the last decade in which value outperformed growth, as the Greenlight head notes. Fast forward to now, when after bottoming in March 2020, inflation expectations have recovered to 2.5%. The trend became clearer in the middle of May, and value started outperforming growth then, and especially since the middle of February. Indeed, aince May 15, the value-heavy Greenlight returned 80% of the S&P 500 index with half the net exposure.Einhorn is even more optimistic about the future when it comes to the \"growth to value\" rotation:When the time comes, we will have to figure out how to perform better in deflationary periods. But for now, we believe inflation is only going one way – higher – and we are optimistic about our prospects. The wind is now at our backs. The economy is in full recovery mode. Household balance sheets are stronger than they have been in a long time and household income growth was up 13% in February compared to last year. And this is before the latest $1.9 trillion – with a “T” – pandemic relief stimulus. Corporate capital spending is booming. There are shortages and bottlenecks everywhere. Last month nearly one million jobs returned. There are signs of an emerging labor shortage.As for the Fed, the Greenlight boss writes that \"it fundamentally changed its framework last August. It no longer seems to care that monetary policy works with a lag. Actually, it has embraced an asymmetrical inflation policy: The Fed wants to be ahead of the curve on the downside to protectthe stock market and corporate bondholdersthe economy. Behind the curve is fine on the way up no matter how frothy the stock market the recovery is. Now, it says it is only going to react to actual inflation that exceeds its 2% target for a period of time.\"The letter then goes on to muse how the Fed will know when it is blowing the next bubble, and to stop:... the Fed has indicated that it believes any abnormally high inflation will be transitory. We wonder, how will the Fed know? Do price increases come with a label that says “transitory”? Our sense is that no matter how hot inflation gets in the coming months, the Fed will continue with zero interest rates and large-scale asset purchases. After all, the U.S. Treasury has a lot of debt to sell and it isn’t clear who, other than the Fed, can absorb the supply.It's not just Powell who is throwing caution to the wind: so are such mainstream econ \"experts\" as John Oliver:The bipartisan idea that deficits don’t matter has even reached popular culture. John Oliverdedicated an entire episodeof Last Week Tonight to browbeating anyone who is concerned about the growing national debt. His argument boiled down to: (1) nobody knows how much debt is too much; (2) we have a good need to spend money now; and (3) it won’t be a problem until inflation shows up, and we can deal with it then.To this, Einhorn's response is simple: \"Though one can debate whether the official government statistics are contrived to avoid capturing inflation\" - and as we have repeatedly noted, inflation is now decidedly a political measurement, one which has been gamed for decades to make it appears as low as possible \"shortages and bottlenecks accompanied by rising demand can only be solved through increased capacity and higher prices. We have also reset the baseline income for non-working adults; it will take higher wages to bring those marginally attached to the labor force back to work.\"Concluding this part of the letter, Einhorn writes that while the Fed says it has the tools to fight inflation (and according to Bernanke can cut it in15 minutes), \"it remains to be seen if it will have the stomach to use them when the time comes. Thatis a discussion for another day. Right now, we remain positioned for rising inflation and inflation expectations.\"The Greenlight letter then goes on to lay out just how it plans to capture these rising inflation expectations, listing its top positions as follows, and how they performed in the frist quarter:Brighthouse Financial (BHF, +22%)benefitted from rising interest rates;Danimer Scientific (DNMR, +61%)began its life as a public company;Concentrix (CNXC, +52%)benefitted from strong demand and rising estimates;Resideo Technologies (REZI, +33%)was helped by the strong housing market;Change Healthcare (CHNG, +18%)agreed to be acquired by UnitedHealthcare;AerCap Holdings (AER, +29%)agreed to acquire GE Capital’s aircraft leasing business (GECAS) at a discount; andAn undisclosed healthcare short (-41%)fell due to reduced government reimbursement for its product.(incidentally, at quarter-end, Greenlight's largest disclosed long positions were Atlas Air Worldwide, Brighthouse Financial, Change Healthcare, Danimer Scientific and Green Brick Partners, with a net average exposure of 118% long and 81% short).Which is not to say that there were no glitches. One was underperformance by homebuilder and land-developer GRBK, the fund's largest position (more on this in the full letter below). The other performance drag was - as usual- Greenlight's \"short basket\" of bubble stocks.What follows next is a tour de force from Einhorn lashing out at all the ways the market is broken, and how the Reddit insanity of Q1 exposed it for all to see:In late January, the market came to focus on companies with large short interests. Despite having a diversified portfolio, a number of our positions fell into this group and experienced sudden, sharp rises. We adjusted to the dynamic by reducing our exposure to single name shorts, both in number and sizing. To mitigate the potentially uncomfortable net long bias that would have resulted, we added macro hedges of market index and index option shorts. While we do not expect this to be a permanent change, we will evaluate and modify as we go. The performance of our short portfolio in 2020 and in early 2021 was unacceptable, so change is certainly needed. If we swing a little less hard, we should hit more balls. We have also revised our internal analyst incentive structure to fully emphasize alpha creation.Much has been made of the short-squeezes in late January. In fact, Congress held hearings, where it called the leaders of Robinhood, Melvin Capital and Citadel and an individual investor who made a great call on GameStop (GME) to testify. We have a few thoughts about this to share. First, it is very healthy for market participants to discuss and debate stocks. This is true both privately and publicly. There are rules about fraud and manipulation that need to be followed, but investors discussing why they think GME (or any other stock) should go up or down ought to be encouraged. There is no reason to drag anyone before Congress for making a stock pick. Second, it is also fine to make bad stock picks. If a hedge fund takes a big position in a stock and is wrong, it loses money. Isn’t this how it is supposed to work? Third, payment for order flow is just disguised commissions. We are in a world where consumers, especially young ones, expect internet services to be free, or at least free to them. A quote widely attributed to Richard Serra about commercial TV in 1973 says it best: “You’re not the customer; you’re the product.” If you want the broker to work for you, pay a commission. Fourth, Robinhood suspended trading in certain stocks because it was undercapitalized. It is possible that it wasn’t following the regulatory requirements. A regulatory sanction is probably appropriate – but as we’ll discuss below, we won’t be holding our breath.The punchline:Einhorn slamming Chamath and Elon for pouring the \"real jet fuel\" on the GME squeeze:Finally, we note that the real jet fuel on the GME squeeze came from Chamath Palihapitiya and Elon Musk, whose appearances on TV and Twitter, respectively, at a critical moment further destabilized the situation. Mr. Palihapitiya controls SoFi, which competes with Robinhood, and left us with the impression that by destabilizing GME he could harm a competitor. As for Mr. Musk, we are going to defend him, half-heartedly. If regulators wanted Elon Musk to stop manipulating stocks, they should have done so with more than a light slap on the wrist when they accused him of manipulating Tesla’s shares in 2018. The laws don’t apply to him and he can do whatever he wants. Many who would never support defunding the police have supported – and for all intents and purposes have succeeded – in almost completely defanging, if not defunding, the regulators. For the most part, quasi-anarchy appears to rule in markets. Sure, Dr. Michael Burry, famed for his role in The Big Short, reportedly received a visit from the SEC after tweeting warnings about recent market trends – and decided to stop publicly speaking truth to power. But for the most part, there is no cop on the beat. It’s as if there are no financial fraud prosecutors; companies and managements that are emboldened enough to engage in malfeasance have little to fear.Einhorn then concludes with three anecdotes to demonstrate his argument that this is not only an \"anything goes\" market where crime is rampant, but proving just how broken the market has become.First, consider the investigation of Tether by the Office of the Attorney General of New York (OAG). As Einhorn explains, \"tether is a cryptocurrency that is always worth a dollar (the value is “tethered” to the dollar). Tether is one of the largest cryptocurrencies with about $40 billion outstanding, yet it has not been audited or regulated in any serious manner. In theory, Tether is supposed to have $1 of cash backing every Tether issued. Except it didn’t, at least when it was investigated.\" Incidentally, for anyone still confused, Tether is how theChinese launder billions in domestic funds abroad and outside the Chinese firewallas we explained in December, although so far few have the desire to expose this reality. In any case, here is Einhorn's lament:The OAG conducted a two-year probe and found that Tether deceived clients and the market by overstating reserves and hiding approximately $850 million of losses around the globe. Tether and its sponsor, Bitfinex, “recklessly and unlawfully covered up massive financial losses to keep their scheme going and protect their bottom lines,” said the OAG. Further, “Tether’s claims that its virtual currency was fully backed by U.S. dollars at all times was a lie.”Did the OAG shut down Tether? Did anyone get arrested or even lose their job? Was the regulatory infrastructure changed to make sure this doesn’t happen again? No, of course not. The OAG assessed an $18.5 million penalty and Tether agreed to discontinue “any trading activity with New Yorkers.” It was as if Bernie Madoff had been told to pay a small fine and stop ripping off New Yorkers, but to go ahead and have fun with the Palm Beach crowd.Einhorn next highlights one of the stocks most hated by the bearish community: GSX:The media is focused on how the banks allowed excessive leverage and poorly (or properly) managed their risks. The real story is how Arch-Egos was able to buy up most of the float of GSX Techedu, causing the stock to soar 400% in the face of unrefuted allegations of massive fraud.The SEC has an ongoing investigation of GSX but appears to not have noticed a single fund (or a small group of funds) essentially cornering the market. A traditionalist could say this was market manipulation and transparently illegal.The professional poker player finally points out some of the insane moves observed in pennystocks in Q1, focusing on a tiny deli owner in rural NJ:Strange things happen to all kinds of stocks. Last year, on one day in June, the stocks of about a dozen bankrupt companies roughly doubled on enormous volume. Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported a boom in penny stocks.Someone pointed us to Hometown International (HWIN), which owns a single deli in rural New Jersey. The deli had $21,772 in sales in 2019 and only $13,976 in 2020, as it was closed due to COVID from March to September. HWIN reached a market cap of $113 million on February 8. The largest shareholder is also the CEO/CFO/Treasurer and a Director, who also happens to be the wrestling coach of the high school next door to the deli. The pastrami must be amazing. Small investors who get sucked into these situations are likely to be harmed eventually, yet the regulators – who are supposed to be protecting investors – appear to be neither present nor curious.We don't find it at all surprising that Einhorn's conclusion from his capital markets observations over the past quarter isidenticalto ours, when we discussed the insane stock moves that dominated much of January and February:\"From a traditional perspective, the market is fractured and possibly in the process of breaking completely.\"Einhorn's full letter is below:","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370538874,"gmtCreate":1618599335898,"gmtModify":1618599335898,"author":{"id":"3581346459871094","authorId":"3581346459871094","name":"AaronJFord","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e371a52e17af6e1b07466ed9fc3de8ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581346459871094","idStr":"3581346459871094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My Safe Bet Of the day&nbsp;","listText":"My Safe Bet Of the day&nbsp;","text":"My Safe Bet Of the day","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42b26b5fb0ea77f14c8853da0fdafcc0","width":"750","height":"1607"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370538874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344379850,"gmtCreate":1618381524770,"gmtModify":1618382176050,"author":{"id":"3581346459871094","authorId":"3581346459871094","name":"AaronJFord","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e371a52e17af6e1b07466ed9fc3de8ad","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581346459871094","idStr":"3581346459871094"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank You For Inviting Me to This Trading Platform 🙏🏼","listText":"Thank You For Inviting Me to This Trading Platform 🙏🏼","text":"Thank You For Inviting Me to This Trading Platform 🙏🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344379850","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}