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- solversolver
  ·2021-12-23
  Don't just push the blame to shorties alone, there's nothing they could do to profiteer if Tiger is able to show investors with solid profitability and issue decent dividends.
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  815 评论
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- solversolver
  ·2021-12-17
  The writer is not wrong to question about the profits for a company that's been 20 years. Where is the profits or dividends for the share holders??
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  953 评论
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- solversolver
  ·2021-10-06
  Looks like today may breach $27 easily
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  715 评论
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- solversolver
  ·2021-10-06
  $44 coming soon
  Palantir stock rallies 13% on $823 million Army contract
  Palantir Technologies Inc. shares rallied in the extended session Tuesday after the data-software co
  Palantir stock rallies 13% on $823 million Army contract
  1,065 评论
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- solversolver
  ·2021-07-27
  Seeking alpha by duping investors to sell so that they can gain the alpha??? Before this they say the fair value is around $16-18, now they say fair value is $8 ???
  Palantir: Prepare To Be Disappointed
  Summary We continue to believe that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth i
  Palantir: Prepare To Be Disappointed
  408 评论
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- solversolver
  ·2021-07-26
  They always scares you into thinking a market crash and when it did finally crashed, they will say I told you so lol
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  523 1
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- solversolver
  ·2021-04-19
  Second crash expected very soon
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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the share holders??","text":"The writer is not wrong to question about the profits for a company that's been 20 years. Where is the profits or dividends for the share holders??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699962246","repostId":"1143795954","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829268013,"gmtCreate":1633515689576,"gmtModify":1633515689711,"author":{"id":"3557203309426660","authorId":"3557203309426660","name":"solver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89f0551ad14f2efdd0e376318e5ecbde","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557203309426660","authorIdStr":"3557203309426660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like today may breach $27 easily","listText":"Looks like today may breach $27 easily","text":"Looks like today may breach $27 easily","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829268013","repostId":"1194519706","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829832560,"gmtCreate":1633485706474,"gmtModify":1633485706552,"author":{"id":"3557203309426660","authorId":"3557203309426660","name":"solver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89f0551ad14f2efdd0e376318e5ecbde","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557203309426660","authorIdStr":"3557203309426660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$44 coming soon","listText":"$44 coming soon","text":"$44 coming soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829832560","repostId":"1194519706","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194519706","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633474388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194519706?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-06 06:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir stock rallies 13% on $823 million Army contract","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194519706","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc. shares rallied in the extended session Tuesday after the data-software co","content":"<html><body><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. shares rallied in the extended session Tuesday after the data-software company said it was selected for a U.S. Army intelligence program contract. Palantir shares surged 13% after hours, following a 0.2% rise to close at $23.21.</p>\n<p><img height=\"auto\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1343e5e0bb5b0de52556fa7f10c66fe0\" tg-height=\"624\" tg-width=\"850\" width=\"100%\"/></p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. announced it has been selected by the U.S. Army’s Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics to deliver the Army’s Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the Capability Drop 2 (CD-2) program.</p>\n<p>Palantir was selected to progress to the next phase of the Army’s competitive $823m indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract. After collaborating with the Army on a successful “Test, Fix, Test” process, Palantir will support the Army as they proceed through final testing and fielding.</p>\n<p>Palantir will deploy the Palantir Gotham Platform to support Army Intelligence users worldwide with a globally federated Intelligence data fabric and analytics platform spanning multiple security classifications. This capability will field modern data integration, correlation, fusion, and analytic capabilities that prepare the Army for the next fight against emerging near peer threats.</p>\n<p>The Gotham platform is an operating system for defense decision making and is specifically designed to connect the dots between disparate sources. The Army Intelligence community will use this capability to modernize their data foundation by migrating legacy programs to CD-2. The Army will also use CD-2 to serve as an enabler for future modernization efforts supporting Joint All Domain Operations.</p>\n<p>CD-2 is one of several efforts Palantir is working on with PEO IEW&S to modernize the Army’s intelligence enterprise, alongside Capability Drop 1 (CD-1) and the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) programs.</p>\n<p>“We look forward to the continued partnership with PEO IEW&S and the Army’s Intelligence Community in providing new and exciting technology that help them in their modernization efforts,” said Doug Philippone, Palantir’s Global Defense Lead.</p>\n<p><b>About Palantir Technologies</b></p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies is a software company that builds enterprise data platforms for use by organizations with complex and sensitive data environments. From building safer cars and planes, to discovering new drugs and combating terrorism, Palantir helps customers across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors transform the way they use their data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>Palantir stock rallies 13% on $823 million Army contract</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir stock rallies 13% on $823 million Army contract\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-06 06:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. shares rallied in the extended session Tuesday after the data-software company said it was selected for a U.S. Army intelligence program contract. Palantir shares surged 13% after hours, following a 0.2% rise to close at $23.21.</p>\n<p><img height=\"auto\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1343e5e0bb5b0de52556fa7f10c66fe0\" tg-height=\"624\" tg-width=\"850\" width=\"100%\"/></p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. announced it has been selected by the U.S. Army’s Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics to deliver the Army’s Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the Capability Drop 2 (CD-2) program.</p>\n<p>Palantir was selected to progress to the next phase of the Army’s competitive $823m indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract. After collaborating with the Army on a successful “Test, Fix, Test” process, Palantir will support the Army as they proceed through final testing and fielding.</p>\n<p>Palantir will deploy the Palantir Gotham Platform to support Army Intelligence users worldwide with a globally federated Intelligence data fabric and analytics platform spanning multiple security classifications. This capability will field modern data integration, correlation, fusion, and analytic capabilities that prepare the Army for the next fight against emerging near peer threats.</p>\n<p>The Gotham platform is an operating system for defense decision making and is specifically designed to connect the dots between disparate sources. The Army Intelligence community will use this capability to modernize their data foundation by migrating legacy programs to CD-2. The Army will also use CD-2 to serve as an enabler for future modernization efforts supporting Joint All Domain Operations.</p>\n<p>CD-2 is one of several efforts Palantir is working on with PEO IEW&S to modernize the Army’s intelligence enterprise, alongside Capability Drop 1 (CD-1) and the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) programs.</p>\n<p>“We look forward to the continued partnership with PEO IEW&S and the Army’s Intelligence Community in providing new and exciting technology that help them in their modernization efforts,” said Doug Philippone, Palantir’s Global Defense Lead.</p>\n<p><b>About Palantir Technologies</b></p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies is a software company that builds enterprise data platforms for use by organizations with complex and sensitive data environments. From building safer cars and planes, to discovering new drugs and combating terrorism, Palantir helps customers across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors transform the way they use their data.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194519706","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc. shares rallied in the extended session Tuesday after the data-software company said it was selected for a U.S. Army intelligence program contract. Palantir shares surged 13% after hours, following a 0.2% rise to close at $23.21.\n\nPalantir Technologies Inc. announced it has been selected by the U.S. Army’s Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics to deliver the Army’s Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the Capability Drop 2 (CD-2) program.\nPalantir was selected to progress to the next phase of the Army’s competitive $823m indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract. After collaborating with the Army on a successful “Test, Fix, Test” process, Palantir will support the Army as they proceed through final testing and fielding.\nPalantir will deploy the Palantir Gotham Platform to support Army Intelligence users worldwide with a globally federated Intelligence data fabric and analytics platform spanning multiple security classifications. This capability will field modern data integration, correlation, fusion, and analytic capabilities that prepare the Army for the next fight against emerging near peer threats.\nThe Gotham platform is an operating system for defense decision making and is specifically designed to connect the dots between disparate sources. The Army Intelligence community will use this capability to modernize their data foundation by migrating legacy programs to CD-2. The Army will also use CD-2 to serve as an enabler for future modernization efforts supporting Joint All Domain Operations.\nCD-2 is one of several efforts Palantir is working on with PEO IEW&S to modernize the Army’s intelligence enterprise, alongside Capability Drop 1 (CD-1) and the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) programs.\n“We look forward to the continued partnership with PEO IEW&S and the Army’s Intelligence Community in providing new and exciting technology that help them in their modernization efforts,” said Doug Philippone, Palantir’s Global Defense Lead.\nAbout Palantir Technologies\nPalantir Technologies is a software company that builds enterprise data platforms for use by organizations with complex and sensitive data environments. From building safer cars and planes, to discovering new drugs and combating terrorism, Palantir helps customers across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors transform the way they use their data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809542862,"gmtCreate":1627382504456,"gmtModify":1631884668160,"author":{"id":"3557203309426660","authorId":"3557203309426660","name":"solver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89f0551ad14f2efdd0e376318e5ecbde","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557203309426660","authorIdStr":"3557203309426660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seeking alpha by duping investors to sell so that they can gain the alpha??? Before this they say the fair value is around $16-18, now they say fair value is $8 ???","listText":"Seeking alpha by duping investors to sell so that they can gain the alpha??? Before this they say the fair value is around $16-18, now they say fair value is $8 ???","text":"Seeking alpha by duping investors to sell so that they can gain the alpha??? Before this they say the fair value is around $16-18, now they say fair value is $8 ???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809542862","repostId":"1139478455","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139478455","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627370605,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139478455?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 15:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Prepare To Be Disappointed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139478455","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe continue to believe that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth i","content":"<html><body><p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n<li>We continue to believe that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth is already priced in.</li>\n<li>Our analysis shows that Palantir’s fair value is $8.22 per share, which represents a downside of over 60% from the current market price.</li>\n<li>The dilution risk and the continuous selling pressure are likely going to prevent the appreciation of Palantir’s stock anytime soon.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ce2494cb75075c64622ebd6b351e43d\" tg-height=\"1155\" tg-width=\"1536\"/><span>Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Palantir (PLTR) has been underperforming the market in recent weeks and we believe that its stock still has more room to fall. Our analysis shows that Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current levels and several issues are likely going to prevent its stock from appreciating further anytime soon. For that reason, we continue to believe that it’s better to avoid Palantir at the current price, as its upside appears to be limited.</p>\n<p><b>There Are Several Red Flags, Which You Shouldn’t Ignore</b></p>\n<p>Palantir specializes in creating custom software solutions for collecting data for its clients, who are mostly government agencies and public companies. While some might think that Palantir is a young company with lots of potential, the reality is that it’s not a startup, as it has been in the business for almost two decades already, and since that time it has managed to add less than 200 customers. As a result, the company is exposed to a limited pool of organizations, who generate most of the revenues. This is mostly because Palantir doesn’t have a scalable business. The value of the company’s average contract ranges from $5 million to $6 million, which prevents small and medium businesses from using its services. While Palantir tries to tackle this issue by offering its Foundry platform for the commercial sector at attractive terms, it’s still too soon to tell whether it will improve its affordability to most of the third parties and have any major impact on its financials in the long run.</p>\n<p>In addition, while bulls might want to deny this, but Palantir operates like a consulting company. The company has a special position of a forward-deployed engineer, who analyzes different processes of potential clients and then explains how Palantir’s software could help them improve their operations. Considering this, it’s safe to say that Palantir doesn’t have a unique business model since its whole proposition is that it can analyze the available data better than others. However, nothing stops new entrants from entering the field and offering similar solutions, and nothing stops organizations' internal IT departments from developing better tools to analyze all of the processes at a more affordable price.</p>\n<p>Another downside of Palantir is that despite the increase in margins and gross profit in recent quarters, it never made a profit in its history after being so long in the business. Its operating loss has onlywidenedin recent years from -$600 million in 2018 to -$1.17 billion in 2020, to -$1.22 billion in the last twelve months. This is due to the excessive stock-based compensation program that results in increased expenses and massive dilution, which is something that a lot of bulls tend to ignore. Let’s not forget that the company’s expenses relating to the SBC program increased by around 257% year over year last quarter and were $193 million. At the same time, Palantir already has 1.8 billion shares outstanding, an increase from 1.52 billion shares, which were outstanding at the end of last year. The problem is that the excessive SBC program will continue to be a major issue for the company’s investors since there are still 477 million optionsoutstanding, which will dilute the current shareholders by more than 20% if fully exercised.</p>\n<p>For that reason, we continue to believe that Palantir’s stock will continue to be an unattractive investment and it’ll likely continue to underperform the market. It’s already down ~15% since our bearisharticlewas published a month ago and we believe that there’s more room for a depreciation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/facca499bd702a4193cac4eabbe4a9a2\" tg-height=\"443\" tg-width=\"1280\"/><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Another reason to be bearish about Palantir is due to the fact that there’s an extreme selling pressure, which is created by the company’s insiders and its CEO in particular, who are constantly dumping their shares on an open market. In July alone insiderssoldin total $63 million worth of Palantir shares, which is only $31 million slightly less than what they sold in Q1 when the lockup period expired. Considering this and the fact that they still have ~10% ownership stake in the company, it’s safe to assume they’ll continue to sell their shares and create an even greater selling pressure, which is likely going to prevent the stock from significantly appreciating from the current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>We created a discounted cash flow model to find Palantir’s fair value. The weighted average cost of capital in our model is 6%, while the terminal growth rate is 3%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb588ed877784db58cfe10b7d49d6dae\" tg-height=\"390\" tg-width=\"772\"/><span>Source: Capital IQ, Own estimates</span></p>\n<p>After doing all the necessary calculations, our DCF model showed that Palantir’s fair value is $8.47 per share, which represents a downside of over 60% from the current market price.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9988abd16861dfad80d5febd22b2c1fb\" tg-height=\"368\" tg-width=\"404\"/><span>Source: Own estimates</span></p>\n<p>For relative valuation, we compared Palantir to eight other companies from the tech industry and the SaaS niche in particular. By looking at the numbers below, we could safely say that Palantir is extremely overvalued to others, especially since its EBITDA margin of -72.8% is the worst among its peers, and at a market cap of ~$40 billion, its stock is overpriced.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70de8f9f7b52ae29d77492ed21083982\" tg-height=\"335\" tg-width=\"751\"/><span>Source: Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>By consolidating the DCF model and the relative valuation method and giving the former 75% weight in the final analysis, while giving the latter 25$ weight in the final analysis, we concluded that Palantir’s final fair value is $8.22 per share, which is significantly below its current market price of ~$22 per share.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05db90bdfb26c691331c9cdede01a87b\" tg-height=\"297\" tg-width=\"595\"/><span>Source: Own estimates</span></p>\n<p><b>Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>Despite its advanced data software solutions, Palantir continues to be an unattractive investment in our opinion and its stock is unlikely to move significantly higher anytime soon. The company doesn’t have a unique proposition at an affordable price on the market and there’s every reason to believe that its expenses will continue to increase in the following years due to the higher inflation and increased competition, while its bottom line will continue to suffer. As a result, despite signing new multi-million contracts from time to time, it’s still hard to justify its ~$40 billion market cap. Considering this, we strongly believe that Palantir is not a value investment at this stage, and not a growth play as well since the dilution risk and the continuous selling pressure are likely going to prevent the appreciation of its stock anytime soon.</p>\n<p>While we don’t expect the stock to depreciate to its fair value of $8.22 per share in the foreseeable future, a decent decline from the current market price is more than possible, especially since the company already trades at 28 times its revenues and is considered to be overvalued. For that reason, we stick to our opinion that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth is already priced in.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>Palantir: Prepare To Be Disappointed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Prepare To Be Disappointed\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 15:23 GMT+8   <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441334-palantir-prepare-to-be-disappointed\"><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWe continue to believe that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth is already priced in.\nOur analysis shows that Palantir’s fair value is $8.22 per share, which ...</p>\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441334-palantir-prepare-to-be-disappointed\">Web Link</a>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441334-palantir-prepare-to-be-disappointed","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139478455","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe continue to believe that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth is already priced in.\nOur analysis shows that Palantir’s fair value is $8.22 per share, which represents a downside of over 60% from the current market price.\nThe dilution risk and the continuous selling pressure are likely going to prevent the appreciation of Palantir’s stock anytime soon.\n\nKevin Dietsch/Getty Images News\nPalantir (PLTR) has been underperforming the market in recent weeks and we believe that its stock still has more room to fall. Our analysis shows that Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current levels and several issues are likely going to prevent its stock from appreciating further anytime soon. For that reason, we continue to believe that it’s better to avoid Palantir at the current price, as its upside appears to be limited.\nThere Are Several Red Flags, Which You Shouldn’t Ignore\nPalantir specializes in creating custom software solutions for collecting data for its clients, who are mostly government agencies and public companies. While some might think that Palantir is a young company with lots of potential, the reality is that it’s not a startup, as it has been in the business for almost two decades already, and since that time it has managed to add less than 200 customers. As a result, the company is exposed to a limited pool of organizations, who generate most of the revenues. This is mostly because Palantir doesn’t have a scalable business. The value of the company’s average contract ranges from $5 million to $6 million, which prevents small and medium businesses from using its services. While Palantir tries to tackle this issue by offering its Foundry platform for the commercial sector at attractive terms, it’s still too soon to tell whether it will improve its affordability to most of the third parties and have any major impact on its financials in the long run.\nIn addition, while bulls might want to deny this, but Palantir operates like a consulting company. The company has a special position of a forward-deployed engineer, who analyzes different processes of potential clients and then explains how Palantir’s software could help them improve their operations. Considering this, it’s safe to say that Palantir doesn’t have a unique business model since its whole proposition is that it can analyze the available data better than others. However, nothing stops new entrants from entering the field and offering similar solutions, and nothing stops organizations' internal IT departments from developing better tools to analyze all of the processes at a more affordable price.\nAnother downside of Palantir is that despite the increase in margins and gross profit in recent quarters, it never made a profit in its history after being so long in the business. Its operating loss has onlywidenedin recent years from -$600 million in 2018 to -$1.17 billion in 2020, to -$1.22 billion in the last twelve months. This is due to the excessive stock-based compensation program that results in increased expenses and massive dilution, which is something that a lot of bulls tend to ignore. Let’s not forget that the company’s expenses relating to the SBC program increased by around 257% year over year last quarter and were $193 million. At the same time, Palantir already has 1.8 billion shares outstanding, an increase from 1.52 billion shares, which were outstanding at the end of last year. The problem is that the excessive SBC program will continue to be a major issue for the company’s investors since there are still 477 million optionsoutstanding, which will dilute the current shareholders by more than 20% if fully exercised.\nFor that reason, we continue to believe that Palantir’s stock will continue to be an unattractive investment and it’ll likely continue to underperform the market. It’s already down ~15% since our bearisharticlewas published a month ago and we believe that there’s more room for a depreciation.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nAnother reason to be bearish about Palantir is due to the fact that there’s an extreme selling pressure, which is created by the company’s insiders and its CEO in particular, who are constantly dumping their shares on an open market. In July alone insiderssoldin total $63 million worth of Palantir shares, which is only $31 million slightly less than what they sold in Q1 when the lockup period expired. Considering this and the fact that they still have ~10% ownership stake in the company, it’s safe to assume they’ll continue to sell their shares and create an even greater selling pressure, which is likely going to prevent the stock from significantly appreciating from the current levels.\nValuation\nWe created a discounted cash flow model to find Palantir’s fair value. The weighted average cost of capital in our model is 6%, while the terminal growth rate is 3%.\nSource: Capital IQ, Own estimates\nAfter doing all the necessary calculations, our DCF model showed that Palantir’s fair value is $8.47 per share, which represents a downside of over 60% from the current market price.\nSource: Own estimates\nFor relative valuation, we compared Palantir to eight other companies from the tech industry and the SaaS niche in particular. By looking at the numbers below, we could safely say that Palantir is extremely overvalued to others, especially since its EBITDA margin of -72.8% is the worst among its peers, and at a market cap of ~$40 billion, its stock is overpriced.\nSource: Capital IQ\nBy consolidating the DCF model and the relative valuation method and giving the former 75% weight in the final analysis, while giving the latter 25$ weight in the final analysis, we concluded that Palantir’s final fair value is $8.22 per share, which is significantly below its current market price of ~$22 per share.\nSource: Own estimates\nTakeaway\nDespite its advanced data software solutions, Palantir continues to be an unattractive investment in our opinion and its stock is unlikely to move significantly higher anytime soon. The company doesn’t have a unique proposition at an affordable price on the market and there’s every reason to believe that its expenses will continue to increase in the following years due to the higher inflation and increased competition, while its bottom line will continue to suffer. As a result, despite signing new multi-million contracts from time to time, it’s still hard to justify its ~$40 billion market cap. Considering this, we strongly believe that Palantir is not a value investment at this stage, and not a growth play as well since the dilution risk and the continuous selling pressure are likely going to prevent the appreciation of its stock anytime soon.\nWhile we don’t expect the stock to depreciate to its fair value of $8.22 per share in the foreseeable future, a decent decline from the current market price is more than possible, especially since the company already trades at 28 times its revenues and is considered to be overvalued. For that reason, we stick to our opinion that Palantir’s upside appears to be limited and its future growth is already priced in.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800572414,"gmtCreate":1627310208738,"gmtModify":1631884668187,"author":{"id":"3557203309426660","authorId":"3557203309426660","name":"solver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89f0551ad14f2efdd0e376318e5ecbde","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557203309426660","authorIdStr":"3557203309426660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They always scares you into thinking a market crash and when it did finally crashed, they will say I told you so lol","listText":"They always scares you into thinking a market crash and when it did finally crashed, they will say I told you so lol","text":"They always scares you into thinking a market crash and when it did finally crashed, they will say I told you so lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800572414","repostId":"2154454934","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373354993,"gmtCreate":1618824690012,"gmtModify":1631884668173,"author":{"id":"3557203309426660","authorId":"3557203309426660","name":"solver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89f0551ad14f2efdd0e376318e5ecbde","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557203309426660","authorIdStr":"3557203309426660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Second crash expected very soon","listText":"Second crash expected very soon","text":"Second crash expected very soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373354993","repostId":"1131815435","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}