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- doitrydoitry
  ·2022-07-02
  每次大摩公开叫的时候就是反向入场的机会。
  摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元
  如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧
  摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元
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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩根大通给出灾难性场景：国际油价可能涨至380美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-02 09:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba0e918dfd4ec815c4f78fc4cfc3ea3e","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3663655","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1156965600","content_text":"如果俄罗斯每天减产500万桶，未必会过度损害俄罗斯经济，但受苦的却是西方国家。油价还会涨吗？在摩根大通看来，如果极端情况发生，国际油价将会达到每桶380美元的高位。摩根大通的分析师警告说，如果美国和欧洲的制裁促使俄罗斯实施报复性减产，全球油价可能会达到每桶380美元。目前，七国集团正在敲定一个复杂的机制来限制俄罗斯石油的价格。但摩根大通认为，俄罗斯有能力在不过度损害经济的情况下将每日原油产量削减500万桶。然而，对于世界其他大部分地区来说，结果可能是灾难性的。摩根大通认为，如果俄罗斯每日供应减少300万桶将使基准伦敦原油价格升至190美元，而最坏的情况下，俄罗斯减产500万桶可能意味着原油价格将飙涨至380美元。摩根大通认为：而连锁很可能会通过减产原油、减少出口而给西方带来痛苦。欧美各国对俄罗斯的能源制裁似乎并未达到预期的效果：伴随着制裁加码，俄罗斯石油价格不降反升。俄罗斯政府数据显示，俄罗斯乌拉尔石油相对于布伦特原油的价格实际上已经升值。5月中旬至6月中旬，乌拉尔石油价格达到平均每桶87.49美元，环比上涨了近20%。虽然仍远低于布伦特油价，但两者之间的差距已大幅缩小。来自亚洲的强劲需求支撑了俄罗斯原油的出口。统计数据显示，在6月的前13天，通过Transneft PJSC运营的管道和俄罗斯港口设施的石油出口量平均为462万桶/日，仅略低于5月同期水平。除了亚洲买家支撑外，OPEC有限的增产能力也提振俄罗斯油价。根据法国总统马克龙的信息，阿联酋和沙特两国几乎无法增加石油产量：阿联酋的生产能力已经达到极限；沙特的日产量只能增加15万桶；两国在六个月内没有太大增产能力。俄罗斯石油价格的持续上涨使得欧美能源制裁陷入尴尬的境地。在近日举行的七国集团（G7）领导人峰会上，G7领导人宣布对俄制裁新举措，同意对俄罗斯石油和天然气进口设置价格上限。可能的措施包括禁止向运载俄罗斯石油的油轮提供海运服务，除非这些石油的售价低于某一特定价格。支持者称，该提案将实现两个目标：减少俄罗斯的石油销售以及降低国际油价。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}