摩根大通：预测美联储将进一步降息取决于美国就业市场表现_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

摩根大通：预测美联储将进一步降息取决于美国就业市场表现

金吾财讯09-19

金吾财讯 | 摩根大通准确地预估了美联储在本周降低利率50个基点的决策，并指出，是否会在不久的将来再次大幅下调利率将取决于美国就业市场的表现。该机构的首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利重申了他的观点，即美联储将在11月进一步减息50个基点，不过他也强调，这一预期是建立在接下来公布的就业数据基础之上的。摩根大通的利率策略团队则认为，在关键的9月就业数据出炉前，美国国债收益率将会在一个特定范围内波动。分析师Jay Barry补充道：“在接下来的几个星期内，美国国债的收益率曲线可能会呈现出更加紧缩的波动趋势。除非9月份的就业数据公布，否则货币市场不大可能体现出更快速度的降息或是更低的目标利率水平。”

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