美国GDP超预期，意味着软着陆？未必，还有个大隐患_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

美国GDP超预期，意味着软着陆？未必，还有个大隐患

华尔街见闻01-26

美国四季度1美元的GDP增长，是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期，是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜，美国商务部发布的数据显示，美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%，远超出市场预期的2%，美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%，相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看，美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元，有分析指出，增长...

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萧谭
·01-27
以高息吸引国际热资本的进入，以战略式的引导进入高科技领域，营造科学技术的繁荣泡沫，来推动美国摆脱过往的经济衰退论调
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haha12138
·01-27
所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息，经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆
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Lancerrr
·01-26
讲真，美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据，只能说好厉害！
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- Lancerrr:
  这一@轮@操@作效果，这tm都能敏感词？
  01-26
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猛逃
·01-26
酸狐狸心态🦊
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亿美元，较GDP增幅高出了154%。这意味着，需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。分析指出，去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元，这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务，也意味着每新增一个工作岗位，就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。此前文章指出，分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去，2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示，联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长，有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。债务方面，美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示，美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧，美国财长耶伦表示：34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”，但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”，我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":267455745196352,"gmtCreate":1706321293360,"gmtModify":1706326328988,"author":{"id":"3581291136225075","authorId":"3581291136225075","name":"萧谭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1bc3b80b063ea63a981afbde03496a7","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c5b6ed6e3b5dcb14f9ef3ceb365e412","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581291136225075","authorIdStr":"3581291136225075"},"htmlText":"以高息吸引国际热资本的进入，以战略式的引导进入高科技领域，营造科学技术的繁荣泡沫，来推动美国摆脱过往的经济衰退论调","listText":"以高息吸引国际热资本的进入，以战略式的引导进入高科技领域，营造科学技术的繁荣泡沫，来推动美国摆脱过往的经济衰退论调","text":"以高息吸引国际热资本的进入，以战略式的引导进入高科技领域，营造科学技术的繁荣泡沫，来推动美国摆脱过往的经济衰退论调","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267455745196352","repostId":2406752471,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":267454650818696,"gmtCreate":1706321021727,"gmtModify":1706326285752,"author":{"id":"4142649482538640","authorId":"4142649482538640","name":"haha12138","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455cef4a28a7f83e91685652d97ca8e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4142649482538640","authorIdStr":"4142649482538640"},"htmlText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息，经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","listText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息，经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","text":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息，经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267454650818696","repostId":2406752471,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":267249171906824,"gmtCreate":1706270849809,"gmtModify":1706276285078,"author":{"id":"3505987662210980","authorId":"3505987662210980","name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3505987662210980","authorIdStr":"3505987662210980"},"htmlText":"讲真，美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据，只能说好厉害！","listText":"讲真，美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据，只能说好厉害！","text":"讲真，美国这一**作效果堪称奇迹。加息如此激进还取得了这样的经济数据，只能说好厉害！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267249171906824","repostId":2406752471,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":267249650352272,"gmtCreate":1706270909776,"gmtModify":1706274226694,"authorId":3505987662210980,"author":{"id":3505987662210980,"idStr":"3505987662210980","authorId":3505987662210980,"name":"Lancerrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":267249171906824,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"这一@轮@操@作效果，这tm都能敏感词？","text":"这一@轮@操@作效果，这tm都能敏感词？","html":"这一@轮@操@作效果，这tm都能敏感词？"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":267249152913656,"gmtCreate":1706270789146,"gmtModify":1706270790572,"author":{"id":"3518527627041174","authorId":"3518527627041174","name":"猛逃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518527627041174","authorIdStr":"3518527627041174"},"htmlText":"酸狐狸心态🦊","listText":"酸狐狸心态🦊","text":"酸狐狸心态🦊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267249152913656","repostId":2406752471,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":3,"favoriteSize":3,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}