躲过危机后美联储恐更愿加息？警惕会议纪要“炸场”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

躲过危机后美联储恐更愿加息？警惕会议纪要“炸场”

金十数据2023-04-12

在万众瞩目的CPI数据公布后，即将于明天凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要恐怕也不容忽视，投资者将重点寻找这三大信号……美联储周四将提供新的线索，说明政策制定者是如何做出多年来最艰难的决定之一的。在有迹象显示物价压力依然严峻之际，美联储没有理会上月扰乱市场的银行倒闭事件，决定加息25个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在3月21日至22日FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，对于此次加息，FOMC成员达成了“非常强烈的共识...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

中华_WQJ
·2023-04-13
专家危机？
回复
点赞
举报
张明亮
·2023-04-12
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
回复
点赞
举报

热议股票

7x24

全部

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2326946316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1934c9f7d8a7f344609b40476fb2","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2023-04-12 22:11","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2326946316","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"躲过危机后美联储恐更愿加息？警惕会议纪要“炸场”","media":"金十数据","content":"<div>\n<p>在万众瞩目的CPI数据公布后，即将于明天凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要恐怕也不容忽视，投资者将重点寻找这三大信号……美联储周四将提供新的线索，说明政策制定者是如何做出多年来最艰难的决定之一的。在有迹象显示物价压力依然严峻之际，美联储没有理会上月扰乱市场的银行倒闭事件，决定加息25个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在3月21日至22日FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，对于此次加息，FOMC成员达成了“非常强烈的共识...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110211&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"xnew_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>躲过危机后美联储恐更愿加息？警惕会议纪要“炸场”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n躲过危机后美联储恐更愿加息？警惕会议纪要“炸场”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-12 22:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110211&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在万众瞩目的CPI数据公布后，即将于明天凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要恐怕也不容忽视，投资者将重点寻找这三大信号……美联储周四将提供新的线索，说明政策制定者是如何做出多年来最艰难的决定之一的。在有迹象显示物价压力依然严峻之际，美联储没有理会上月扰乱市场的银行倒闭事件，决定加息25个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在3月21日至22日FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，对于此次加息，FOMC成员达成了“非常强烈的共识...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110211&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DJX","symbol_name":"1/100道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110211&type=news&data_type=0","article_id":"2326946316","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61e1934c9f7d8a7f344609b40476fb2"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2326946316","pubTimestamp":1681308677,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"xnew_highlight","name":"金十要闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"在万众瞩目的CPI数据公布后，即将于明天凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要恐怕也不容忽视，投资者将重点寻找着三大信号……","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jin10.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF"},"translate_title":"Fear the Fed would prefer rate hike after avoiding the crisis? Be wary of the meeting minutes \"bombing the field\"","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/993b23d5399deb21dd020e3bfa019f5a","symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".IXIC":1,".DJI":1,"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6},"content_text":"在万众瞩目的CPI数据公布后，即将于明天凌晨公布的美联储会议纪要恐怕也不容忽视，投资者将重点寻找这三大信号……美联储周四将提供新的线索，说明政策制定者是如何做出多年来最艰难的决定之一的。在有迹象显示物价压力依然严峻之际，美联储没有理会上月扰乱市场的银行倒闭事件，决定加息25个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在3月21日至22日FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，对于此次加息，FOMC成员达成了“非常强烈的共识”。所有人的目光都将集中在定于周四凌晨2点公布的会议纪要上，以了解有关这场辩论的细节。花旗集团经济学家克拉克（Veronica Clark）称：“整体信息应该仍然是有很多不确定性，但我们知道通胀问题依然存在，这将是头号问题。”美联储如何权衡取舍？3月份的加息正值动荡时期：硅谷银行在不到两周前倒闭，美联储官员不确定银行业动荡的范围会有多大。但由于通胀率仍远高于美联储2%的目标，官员们仍坚持加息，不过加息幅度不及美联储观察人士在银行问题暴露之前的预期。分析师将关注会议纪要，以了解政策制定者在进一步加息以压低通胀的必要性和加剧金融市场崩溃的可能性之间是如何取舍的。鲍威尔在会议结束后提出了一个关键问题，此后几周他的许多同事也提出了一个问题，即随着美联储试图为通胀和劳动力市场降温，收紧的贷款条件将在多大程度上渗透到经济中。未来的货币政策路径存疑货币政策的滞后性是不可预测的，这让经济学家和市场参与者摸不着头脑，不知道美联储未来的政策路径会是什么样子。今年3月，美联储官员在会后声明中删除了“持续”提高政策利率将是适当的措辞，而是表示可能有必要采取“一些”额外的紧缩措施。他们还估计，根据他们的预测中值，到年底利率将升至5.1%，这意味着今年还需要再加息25个基点。由于现在的政策更多地依赖上一次会议的指引，投资者将从会议纪要中寻找可能支持进一步加息的官员数量。德意志银行美国高级经济学家瑞安（Brett Ryan）表示：“情况已经发生了变化，市场有所稳定，波动性有所减弱，但基本情景出现了什么变化呢？就加息的上行风险而言，最近这段插曲在多大程度上截断了这一上行风险也值得关注。”银行业倒闭影响有多大？美联储3月会议纪要也将让人们得以一窥美国银行业最高监管机构如何看待银行倒闭带来的金融稳定风险及其后果。2月初的会议纪要显示，导致硅谷银行破产的一些问题，即其持有的美债未实现的损失，被视为金融部门的潜在风险。鲍威尔在3月份的会后新闻发布会上表示，官员们对硅谷银行的快速挤兑感到困惑。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯本周表示，他认为美联储大幅加息与银行业面临的压力之间没有联系。尽管如此，银行倒闭带来的潜在信贷紧缩可能有助于美联储实现抗通胀的目标，不过目前尚不清楚信贷环境收紧对经济的影响究竟有多大以及能持续多久。桑坦德美国资本市场首席美国经济学家斯坦利（Stephen Stanley）表示：“他们（指美联储官员）越来越相信自己已经避免了一场危机，所以在我看来，如果他们当时愿意继续加息，那么在其他条件相同的情况下，他们现在可能更愿意加息，当然这取决于是否有必要。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":651039474,"gmtCreate":1681322141198,"gmtModify":1681322142738,"author":{"id":"4118783285145670","authorId":"4118783285145670","name":"中华_WQJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/293e230874bbe941d979617bdaa0250d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4118783285145670","idStr":"4118783285145670"},"htmlText":"专家危机？","listText":"专家危机？","text":"专家危机？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651039474","repostId":2326946316,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":651095271,"gmtCreate":1681314272793,"gmtModify":1681315375744,"author":{"id":"3553638751756745","authorId":"3553638751756745","name":"张明亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ebab7e6b51d9d8e16f4807d4dea2f48","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3553638751756745","idStr":"3553638751756745"},"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651095271","repostId":2326946316,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"favoriteSize":5,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}