昔日大摩“大空头”：美联储即将结束加息，美股有望再涨6%_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

昔日大摩“大空头”：美联储即将结束加息，美股有望再涨6%

智通财经2022-10-31

摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson表示，美联储的加息行动即将结束。Wilson不久前还是华尔街大空头，他正确预测了今年的美股暴跌。策略师预计标普500指数有望再上涨6%至4150点。Wilson在周一的报告中写道，包括10年期和3个月期美国国债收益率曲线倒挂在内的指标，”都支持美联储尽早调整政策，而不是推迟。"因此，本周的美联储会议对美股走势至关重要。所有的目光都将集中在美联储身上。市场...

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Wilson表示，美联储的加息行动即将结束。Wilson不久前还是华尔街大空头，他正确预测了今年的美股暴跌。策略师预计标普500指数有望再上涨6%至4150点。Wils","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zhitongcaijing.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1989772840.SGD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc SGD-H","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","LU1989772923.USD":"CPR Invest - Climate Action A2 Acc 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Wilson表示，美联储的加息行动即将结束。Wilson不久前还是华尔街大空头，他正确预测了今年的美股暴跌。策略师预计标普500指数有望再上涨6%至4150点。Wilson在周一的报告中写道，包括10年期和3个月期美国国债收益率曲线倒挂在内的指标，”都支持美联储尽早调整政策，而不是推迟。\"因此，本周的美联储会议对美股走势至关重要。所有的目光都将集中在美联储身上。市场普遍预计，美联储将在美东时间周三第四次加息75个基点，同时投资者将仔细研究美联储主席杰罗姆•鲍威尔的评论，以寻找其未来行动的线索。过去两周，市场对于美联储货币政策由激进转向温和的预期开始升温，美股出现反弹，尽管大型科技公司的业绩令人失望。“这种价格走势在加息周期结束时并不罕见，尤其是在美联储的紧缩行动接近尾声之际。我们认为美联储的紧缩行动正在接近尾声，”Wilson称。他在最新的机构投资者调查中被评为最佳投资组合策略师。他表示，在未来12个月每股收益预期大幅回落之前，美股将维持涨势。另外，高盛策略师David Kostin表示，美联储收紧政策的步伐可能放缓，再加上仓位清淡和对第四季度业绩强劲的预期，是最近几周股市上涨的原因。Kostin表示：“在1970年以来的17次熊市反弹中，标准普尔500指数在44天内平均上涨了15%。”摩根士丹利策略师短期看涨美股，预计标普500指数将升至4150点，较上周五收盘上涨约6%，并将止损水平设置在3700点。Wilson上周表示，美股熊市可能会在明年第一季度的某个时候结束。而瑞银全球财富管理公司的策略师Mark Haefele则认为，鉴于美国通胀水平非常高，美联储不太可能转向。“我们预计美联储将继续大举加息，直到官方数据显示通胀正在消退，”Haefele表示。“即使美联储最终停止加息，值得记住的是，货币政策很可能在一段时间内保持在限制性水平。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}