美国的战略石油储备武器也许只会帮倒忙_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

美国的战略石油储备武器也许只会帮倒忙

市场资讯2022-04-01

在石油市场，美国战略石油储备的地位有点像人们当初对俄罗斯军队的遐想。总觉得规模庞大且令人生畏，总之千万别招惹就对了。过去一个月里，在乌克兰泥泞的战场上，俄军的无敌光环受到了近乎致命的打击。拜登政府应该小心点：美国最强大的能源武器可能最后也难免跌落神坛。白宫称，拟未来几个月每天从战略石油储备中释放约100万桶原油以阻止汽油价格上涨。据悉总量可能高达1.8亿桶。。这是一个了不起的数字。一天1百万桶...

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antonyye
·2022-04-02
心怀恶意，好像缺了点什么人类的最基本的东西...。
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catbig
·2022-04-02
给乞丐一块钱，也不能根本改变乞丐的处境，算了！我连一块钱也不给了。。。。
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1
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jianmo
·2022-04-02
** 为了反对而反对屁股决定脑袋
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浴缸潜水员
·2022-04-02
愚人节的文章，果然[得意]
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2
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金融大哼
·2022-04-02
就是这样，投放你能投多少，总会投完的
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GUOT
·2022-04-02
小編你睜大鈦合金的眼兒，看看有用沒用！
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猛逃
·2022-04-01
啥烂媒体窜出来瞎白唬，产油国都不卖油赚钱，都去喝西北风去呀。出动战略储备油是打压一下油价，老美页岩油汽一上来，世界第一产油国自给有余，左右逢源⋯⋯
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黑皮东东
·2022-04-01
赚美国人钱，拿美国说事，道德吗？
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- 张狗剩:
  很道德呀，在一个市场混，当然就会去评论这个市场。很正常
  2023-11-06
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金刚狼割韭菜
·2022-04-01
泡在粪坑里骂别人身上有泥
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5
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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-04-01/doc-imcwipii1716437.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在石油市场，美国战略石油储备的地位有点像人们当初对俄罗斯军队的遐想。总觉得规模庞大且令人生畏，总之千万别招惹就对了。过去一个月里，在乌克兰泥泞的战场上，俄军的无敌光环受到了近乎致命的打击。拜登政府应该小心点：美国最强大的能源武器可能最后也难免跌落神坛。白宫称，拟未来几个月每天从战略石油储备中释放约100万桶原油以阻止汽油价格上涨 。据悉总量可能高达1.8亿桶。。这是一个了不起的数字。一天1百万桶...</p>\n\n<a 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help","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8916b6347724ff555d084ffca064af47","symbols_score_info":{"USO":0.6},"content_text":"在石油市场，美国战略石油储备的地位有点像人们当初对俄罗斯军队的遐想。总觉得规模庞大且令人生畏，总之千万别招惹就对了。过去一个月里，在乌克兰泥泞的战场上，俄军的无敌光环受到了近乎致命的打击。拜登政府应该小心点：美国最强大的能源武器可能最后也难免跌落神坛。白宫称，拟未来几个月每天从战略石油储备中释放约100万桶原油以阻止汽油价格上涨 。据悉总量可能高达1.8亿桶。。这是一个了不起的数字。一天1百万桶相当于当前全球石油需求的1%左右，足以满足一个类似澳大利亚，意大利，西班牙或台湾地区这样规模经济体的大部分需求。这个投放量可能是之前最高纪录的六倍（具体取决于其结构），效果如同按下石油市场上的核按钮一样。但是如果按下核按钮后一切照旧该怎么办？这是部署战略石油储备武器的风险。历史上看，这种干预效果喜忧参半，投放后油价上涨和下跌的可能性都有。其实在2月底俄乌冲突前，WTI自11月23日美国向市场投放5000万桶储备油以来已经上涨了18%。3月前油价达到了八年高点。这没什么可奇怪的。战略石油储备不是石油生产国，它本质上就是一个异常庞大的油库存，在大宗商品市场，库存减少几乎总是会推高油价的。若从现有储备中拿出1.8亿桶原油，则库存量将降至仅3.88亿桶，为1984年以来的最低水平，差不多是比半满略多一些。美国国会已经批准的储备油投放计划将在未来五年中使油库存缩小类似幅度。试想一下，在这个基础上如果再投放储备油，该武器明显会开始生锈。出于这个原因，任何储备油的投放都可能以类似去年11月的交换形式进行，而不是直接出售。根据这种安排，炼油商将不得不承诺置换未来几年收到的每桶原油，而且还要多还点原油作为利息。其效果其实比直接出售更糟糕，因为从长期来看，它们从市场拿走的原油要比投放的更多。根据达拉斯联邦储备银行2019年的一项研究，小布什在其第一个总统任期就用过这个办法来提高取暖油库存，结果最终推动原油价格上涨了约8.5%。对于华盛顿来说，更深层次的问题是，战略石油储备并不是舞台上唯一主角，甚至也不是最强大的。仅在美国，就有六家石油生产商的日产量接近100万桶。美国能源信息管理局预计今年美国油田的产量将增加每日40万桶， 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