摩根士丹利2022加息大预测：料年内美股最多恐跌20%_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

摩根士丹利2022加息大预测：料年内美股最多恐跌20%

市场资讯2022-01-14

摩根士丹利在致客户的研报中预计，美联储将从3月起加息，每个季度加25个基点，并在7月宣布缩表，相当于再加息一次。大摩策略师们预计，当前约在1.7%的10年期美国国债收益率将在第二季升至2.2%，今年末收益率将达2.3%，比先前的预测高出20个基点。还上调了2年期国债收益率预期35个基点至1.6%。股市方面，策略师们预计标普指数存在下半年被抛售10%-20%的条件，年末基准目标在4400点摩根士丹利...

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hewtamkong
·2022-01-15
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href=https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-14/doc-ikyamrmz5254138.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摩根士丹利在致客户的研报中预计，美联储将从3月起加息，每个季度加25个基点，并在7月宣布缩表，相当于再加息一次。大摩策略师们预计，当前约在1.7%的10年期美国国债收益率将在第二季升至2.2%，今年末收益率将达2.3%，比先前的预测高出20个基点。还上调了2年期国债收益率预期35个基点至1.6%。股市方面，策略师们预计标普指数存在下半年被抛售10%-20%的条件，年末基准目标在4400点摩根士丹利...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-14/doc-ikyamrmz5254138.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-01-14/doc-ikyamrmz5254138.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203471011","content_text":"摩根士丹利在致客户的研报中预计，美联储将从3月起加息，每个季度加25个基点，并在7月宣布缩表，相当于再加息一次。大摩策略师们预计，当前约在1.7%的10年期美国国债收益率将在第二季升至2.2%，今年末收益率将达2.3%，比先前的预测高出20个基点。还上调了2年期国债收益率预期35个基点至1.6%。股市方面，策略师们预计标普指数存在下半年被抛售10%-20%的条件，年末基准目标在4400点摩根士丹利预计美元将在年中走强，然后在年底前回落。料美联储将在8月开始启动量化紧缩，将国债和MBS上限分别设在250亿美元和150亿美元，9月上调至500亿美元和300亿美元。料美联储明年再加息两次，同时继续缩表。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}