后知后觉？为何美国科技股崩了_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

后知后觉？为何美国科技股崩了

华尔街见闻2021-12-17

12月16日周四，“三巫日”到来的前一天。周三还普涨的科技股们崩了，并将一众股指拉低。三巫日：股票指数期货、期权和个股期权同时到期的日子。美股三权到期日为3、6、9、12月的第三个周五。华尔街见闻提及，周三美联储FOMC会后，科技股意外坚挺。包括FAANMG和特斯拉在内的龙头科技股集体收涨，推动科技股为重的纳斯达克100指数收涨2.35%，跑赢大盘并成为表现最好的指数。然而，到了周四，...

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离尘破
·2021-12-18
每只票都有它的强势期和弱势期。电动三傻经过几个周期我个人觉得理想过35小鹏过55蔚来过45就可以随便做空了。短期一两年之内这三傻不会超过这个价格太多。
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芝麻计划首席执行官
·2021-12-18
这就叫崩了？那岂不是A股天天崩了？标题党哗众取宠[弱]
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12
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- Demonbuster:
  nice
  2021-12-18
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- 小小仙女:
  Like
  2021-12-18
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Youn7276
·2021-12-18
阅
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7
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Fred_6810
·2021-12-17
不入流的小便。这种胡说八道的文章也发。不看苹果，微软 pe多少？
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6
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- Fred_6810:
  关键是小便专业太烂，这种文章也发出来。影响老虎的专业声誉
  2021-12-20
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- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-12-18
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- 左伞:
  人家小编又不挣股票钱，人家靠写文章挣钱，不啥流量高就舔啥吗[吃瓜]
  2021-12-18
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查看更多 1 条评论
vf100
·2021-12-17
就是涨多了
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ahui887798
·2021-12-17
跌了找原因，涨了也找原因，跌了是涨多了的原因！
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3
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- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-12-18
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nicegame
·2021-12-17
啥都有事后诸葛亮
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1
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天罡金斗
·2021-12-17
恒大才叫崩了[捂脸]
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1
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猛逃
·2021-12-17
这就叫崩了[疑问] 可口可乐
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enjoylife168
·2021-12-17
苹果股价还未出现恐慌性的杀盘，等回跌近10%，再考虑进场喔
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Why did American technology stocks collapse","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91f26944915a1d38e8afdf2a1b364121","symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0,"AMZN":0,"FB":0,"GOOG":0,"GOOGL":0,"MSFT":0},"content_text":"12月16日周四，“三巫日”到来的前一天。周三还普涨的科技股们崩了，并将一众股指拉低。\n\n 三巫日：股票指数期货、期权和个股期权同时到期的日子。美股三权到期日为3、6、9、12月的第三个周五。\n\n华尔街见闻提及，周三美联储FOMC会后，科技股意外坚挺。包括FAANMG和特斯拉在内的龙头科技股集体收涨，推动科技股为重的纳斯达克100指数收涨2.35%，跑赢大盘并成为表现最好的指数。\n然而，到了周四，科技股相关板块独跌，芯片股跑输大盘。纳斯达克100指数在周四大幅回撤2.6%，创9月来最大跌幅，抹平前一交易日2.4%的涨幅；费城半导体指数也抹去了美联储会后涨幅，跌超4%，创为5月以来最差表现。\n市场上有分析指出，交易员们的“后知后觉”或是这一反转走势的“幕后真凶”。\n\n市场价格表现是市场共识的体现，短期市场共识受市场情绪所影响，而短期市场情绪又极易受各类因素影响，出现大幅波动，从而导致市场短期的不合理定价。这就使得，在大多数情况下可以当做经济“晴雨表”的股票市场，对于某些特定事件的反应可能具有一定的“滞后性”。\n据彭博社统计，过去16次美联储会议决议发布后，标普500指数有10次在两个交易日内出现了反转行情；债券市场的走势也在11月FOMC会议后出现了反转。\n回顾本轮美国科技股的反转行情，华尔街见闻提及，周三，在FOMC会议公布前为股市最坏情况做好了对冲基金交易员们，在鲍威尔的发布会后发现世界末日并没有来临，自己似乎“过度对冲风险”了。于是他们纷纷转过头平仓掉看跌期权，解除对冲引发γ挤压走高，推动美股的市场情绪彻底走出了低点，上演盘中大逆转。\n\n后知后觉，到了周四，交易员们缓过神来发现不对劲了，这事儿没那么简单啊。\n12月16日，National Securities 的首席市场策略师 Art Hogan 在就表示：\n\n “昨天是令人放松的一天。然而，到了今天，我们又要开始思考，我们应如何为下个季度或明年做好准备？如果预期利率温和上升，那市场将如何表现？思考完这些问题，就必须给高估值的成长股更低一点的估值了。”\n\n因此，市场上有声音认为，周四科技股的大跌是对鲍威尔利率政策的“延时反应”，利率上升的前景打压了很多“投机类”股票的估值。\n据彭博社统计，高盛追踪的一篮子尚未盈利的科技股，在周四整体下跌了超过4%。该指数自1月来下跌了24%，创2014年以来最差表现。\n同时，在Adobe糟糕的四季度财报表现、苹果将招兵买马自研无线芯片的消息流出后，很多分析师动摇了对科技股未来的信心，对其未来开始产生了怀疑。他们担心，未来这条赛道或将过于拥挤，竞争或将愈发激烈，导致科技行业公司未来的利润增长愈发缓慢，从而撑不起当下的高估值。\nCornerstone Macro 的期权主管 Danny Kirsch 表示：\n\n “Adobe 的利润惨淡似乎产生了连锁效应，很多成长型/尚未盈利的科技公司的股价重新进入了下降通道。然而，这次的不同之处在于，连苹果这类此前表现稳定的大盘股也在走低。”\n\n这种担忧如今切实地在市场中蔓延。据彭博社，此前大量涌入高速增长股票的对冲基金，如今正在争先恐后地削减其科技股敞口。在高盛的主要经纪商数据中，如今，对冲基金们持有的软件、互联网行业股票仓位已经降至极低水平。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":699672132,"gmtCreate":1639798955190,"gmtModify":1639798955357,"author":{"id":"3559178581284783","authorId":"3559178581284783","name":"离尘破","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/230798240673bd35e33edddea08ebd97","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3559178581284783","idStr":"3559178581284783"},"htmlText":"每只票都有它的强势期和弱势期。电动三傻经过几个周期我个人觉得理想过35小鹏过55蔚来过45就可以随便做空了。短期一两年之内这三傻不会超过这个价格太多。","listText":"每只票都有它的强势期和弱势期。电动三傻经过几个周期我个人觉得理想过35小鹏过55蔚来过45就可以随便做空了。短期一两年之内这三傻不会超过这个价格太多。","text":"每只票都有它的强势期和弱势期。电动三傻经过几个周期我个人觉得理想过35小鹏过55蔚来过45就可以随便做空了。短期一两年之内这三傻不会超过这个价格太多。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699672132","repostId":2192228149,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":699639488,"gmtCreate":1639789446481,"gmtModify":1639789446481,"author":{"id":"3497341838818110","authorId":"3497341838818110","name":"芝麻计划首席执行官","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b5f39b9613fae0ea2d35fff913c4a2b","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3497341838818110","idStr":"3497341838818110"},"htmlText":"这就叫崩了？ 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