多家大行唱空，但这一数据显示美股牛市趋势未变_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

多家大行唱空，但这一数据显示美股牛市趋势未变

智通财经网2021-09-14

在标普500指数录得近三个月来表现最差的一周后，华尔街的恐慌指数开始敲响警钟。但在Sundail Capital Research Inc.看来，这实际上是一个长期牛市的好兆头。 Susquehanna衍生品策略师Chris Murphy周一在一份报告中写道，由于担心货币政策收紧和新冠疫情的影响等风险，并且还看不到新一轮的上涨催化剂，投资者正在为期权买单。另外，高盛、摩根士丹利和德意志银行等大行的...

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铃珑
·2021-09-14
是的
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1
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kiore
·2021-09-14
风险颇高了。
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Goepfer周一在一份报告中表示：“对于股市未来走势，谁知道的更多，股票投资者还是波动性交易员？在我看来，短期而言，期权交易员更聪明，中期而言，投资者更聪明。”\nSundial通过分析上周数据发现，标普500指数距离创纪录水平在1%以内，而芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数与标普500指数30日实际波动率背离处于其范围的75%上方，这种情况至少可以追溯到1995年，合计在历史上共出现九次。在此前的八次中，标普500指数在接下来的一至四周内都难以保持任何有意义的涨幅。但在接下来的两个月里，指数都出现了反弹。从长期来看，股市没有出现较大跌幅的情况。\n这传递出一种观点，即市场的短期紧张情绪对股市而言可能是一种潜在的积极发展，因为这凸显出股市缺乏大幅下跌前的繁荣。\n“在我40年的职业生涯中，我们从未见过六家一级银行在指数距离历史高点不到1%的时候集体预测未来将大幅下跌，”Bensignor Investment Strategies首席执行官、前摩根士丹利前策略师Rick 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