大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”

华尔街见闻2021-07-23

虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位...

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Teerak
·2021-07-23
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·2021-07-23
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href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"MS","symbol_name":"摩根士丹利","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173","article_id":"2153602247","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_api","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153602247","pubTimestamp":1627027542,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_api","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"translate_title":"Morgan Stanley: This 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Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。\n\nWilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。\n此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。\n\n周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。\n\n此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。\nWilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":175741447,"gmtCreate":1627050514689,"gmtModify":1631889011945,"author":{"id":"3578895363297107","authorId":"3578895363297107","name":"Teerak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70741f8f742a273f9c4a9f268fca7aa3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578895363297107","authorIdStr":"3578895363297107"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175741447","repostId":2153602247,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153602247","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627027542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153602247?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 16:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153602247","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研","content":"<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29167088202da4665dc02dc3eab60b3e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。<b>这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738e2ac698d44c189e9629ab7d15146f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Wilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。</p>\n<p>此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，<b>等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ccdb21dd8b2aad9077a296ffcb0a17c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0294e676dd9fad5a953972f4f51349d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。</p>\n<p>Wilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 16:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153602247","content_text":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。\n\nWilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。\n此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。\n\n周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。\n\n此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。\nWilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5315255,"gmtCreate":1627100043173,"gmtModify":1631889011943,"authorId":3572683426659077,"author":{"id":3572683426659077,"idStr":"3572683426659077","authorId":3572683426659077,"name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":175741447,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"是真的吗？","text":"是真的吗？","html":"是真的吗？"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":175611428,"gmtCreate":1627028262264,"gmtModify":1633768649309,"author":{"id":"3577573137638375","authorId":"3577573137638375","name":"88Money88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce1bb7384d5d5441b25cc67c7f99381e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577573137638375","authorIdStr":"3577573137638375"},"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175611428","repostId":2153602247,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153602247","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627027542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153602247?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 16:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153602247","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研","content":"<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29167088202da4665dc02dc3eab60b3e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。<b>这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738e2ac698d44c189e9629ab7d15146f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Wilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。</p>\n<p>此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，<b>等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ccdb21dd8b2aad9077a296ffcb0a17c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0294e676dd9fad5a953972f4f51349d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。</p>\n<p>Wilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 16:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153602247","content_text":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。\n\nWilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。\n此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。\n\n周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。\n\n此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。\nWilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":175610047,"gmtCreate":1627028131789,"gmtModify":1633768651342,"author":{"id":"3571552996196002","authorId":"3571552996196002","name":"BabyShark222","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571552996196002","authorIdStr":"3571552996196002"},"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175610047","repostId":2153602247,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153602247","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627027542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153602247?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 16:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153602247","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研","content":"<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29167088202da4665dc02dc3eab60b3e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。<b>这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738e2ac698d44c189e9629ab7d15146f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Wilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。</p>\n<p>此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，<b>等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ccdb21dd8b2aad9077a296ffcb0a17c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0294e676dd9fad5a953972f4f51349d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。</p>\n<p>Wilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大摩：这一指标发出警报，美股面临“重大调整风险”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 16:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636173","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153602247","content_text":"虽然标普500指数过去一个月创下新高，但市场广度指标（Market Breadth）恶化已对美股发出警报，显示美股或面临“重大调整风险”。\n摩根士丹利首席股票策略师Michael Wilson在最近研报中表示，当前美股广度指标为近一个月最低，相比创下52周新高的股票数量，创52周新低的股票以更快速度增加。\n\n同时，目前位于标普50日均线上方的股票数量低于50%，虽略高于此前30%的低点，但仍处低位。这表明，部分大型成分股可能对标普指数上升做了主要贡献，而股市并没有全面上升。\n\nWilson表示，而对于成分股质量较低的指数而言，情况还要糟糕得多。\n此外，报告显示，相对于市值加权，等权重的标普500指数已经出现大幅回调，也能与市场广度指标恶化得出相同结论。\n\n周期性和防御性股票也出现分化，市场愈发开始由前者向后者转换。Wilson称，这表明美股正进入一个更加脆弱的时期。\n\n此外，市盈率方面，Wilson指出，在周期中期过渡期间，远期市盈率通常会下降20%；而到当前市盈率只下降了5%，远期收益却上涨了近20%。因此目前为止，标普500指数上涨了约15%。\nWilson认为，种种迹象表明，美股当前面临重大调整风险，“市盈率应该会在未来几个月开始大幅下跌，使标普指数更接近我们的年终目标位3900点”，这将意味着10%的下跌空间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5303510,"gmtCreate":1627028155157,"gmtModify":1635223117984,"authorId":3571552996196002,"author":{"id":3571552996196002,"idStr":"3571552996196002","authorId":3571552996196002,"name":"BabyShark222","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":175610047,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"羨慕","text":"羨慕","html":"羨慕"},{"id":5308309,"gmtCreate":1627050540089,"gmtModify":1635222905872,"authorId":3578895363297107,"author":{"id":3578895363297107,"idStr":"3578895363297107","authorId":3578895363297107,"name":"Teerak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70741f8f742a273f9c4a9f268fca7aa3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":175610047,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Good","text":"Good","html":"Good"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":41,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}