电动三宝现阶段谁更值得买入？分析师：看好理想汽车_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

电动三宝现阶段谁更值得买入？分析师：看好理想汽车

腾讯美股2021-01-23

腾讯证券1月23日讯，电动汽车正在变得越来越受人欢迎，这一趋势是由社会接受程度、绿色心态以及人们对内燃机确实存在缺陷的认识推动的，其中一些缺陷被电动汽车解决了，它们不仅排放更低，还承诺为车主提供很高的性能。目前，电池技术的主要缺点是成本较高，续航时间较短。尽管如此，还是有许多消费者认为电动汽车的收益大于成本，因此其销售正在增加。特别是在中国，政府正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。电动汽车的加速速度快，...

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华尔街海草
·2021-01-26
理想今天解禁，有什么影响呢
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荷兰猪
·2021-01-26
腾讯证券说......
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2
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青春已逝
·2021-01-26
你说看好买入，就哗哗的跌
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SQVKTFET
·2021-01-26
我就一个问题，就是如果新能源车不送牌照了，还有多少买蔚来的，多少买理想的，多少买小鹏的？如果不送牌照了，受影响最大的应该是理想。蔚来有换电，小鹏有智能化和NGP，理想难道考增程式吗？
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- 虾虾613:
  送啥牌照啊，北京早就没了。去年俩油车换的蔚来，人傻钱多吧。
  2021-01-26
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美玉
·2021-01-25
有鬼用
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1
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龙飞凤舞1
·2021-01-25
还用说嘛？
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1
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持续赚钱
·2021-01-25
说了这么多，等于没说
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Dino_upupup
·2021-01-25
單純走近一年的投資表現,說注重什麼品牌護城河，#理想在於我們中國的老百姓來說，就是合適的價錢合適的車，那他為什麼會失敗？
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SHAWNCHONG
·2021-01-23
[微笑]
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- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
  2021-01-24
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CN658888
·2021-01-23
理想？？专利技术在哪里？品牌护城河在哪里？指引企业前进的愿景是什么？你把韭菜当傻子吗？
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- canonwu:
  理想靠营销忽悠。。。
  2021-01-25
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未来10年
·2021-01-23
我看好蔚来和小鹏
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12
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RZSGinvest
·2021-01-23
[无语] [无语] [无语]
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Jessie8590
·2021-01-23
[微笑]
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WAmin
·2021-01-23
瞎扯啥呢[笑哭]
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Milanny
·2021-01-23
看题目就知道是华尔街的瞎眼评论
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One是一款全尺寸SUV混合动力汽车，问世之后在市场上迅速走红。\n理想汽车于2020年7月在纳斯达克挂牌上市，IPO（首次公开募股）发行价为每股11.50美元的股价开盘，首日收盘时上涨了40%。在那之后的几个月里，该股升值了116%。\n在股价大涨的同时，理想汽车的财报也表现强劲。据最近一份财报显示，理想汽车2020年第三季度的汽车销售额为3.63亿美元，环比增长28%，贡献了该公司3.698亿美元总营收中的绝大部分。同样积极的是，该公司的自由现金流环比增长149%，达到1.104亿美元。\n亚历克西斯·李表示，他对理想汽车的技术印象深刻。他指出：“Li One的EREV（增程式电动汽车）动力总成取得了巨大的成功，因为：（1）续航里程更长；（2）低温的影响有限；（3）更容易被购车者接受。在电池成本平价实现之前，这一优势是可持续的，这就使得理想汽车成为了比同业公司更早实现经营现金流正增长和盈利的一家汽车制造商。”\n这位分析师还补充说：“理想汽车是中国第一家成功商业化增程式电动汽车的公司，这是解决司机续航里程焦虑和汽车制造商高BOM（物料清单）的解决方案。增程系统由燃料驱动，除了电池组以外还提供替代电源，这在低温环境下表现得尤为突出，因为在低温环境下，纯电动汽车可能会损失最多50%的里程。”\n他认为，理想汽车的技术对客户和投资者具备关键性的吸引力，因此将其股票评级设定为“买入”，目标价为44.50美元，这个目标价意味着未来一年该股的上行空间为25%。\n2、蔚来汽车\n在国内市场上，蔚来汽车（股票代码：NIO）正在与埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）旗下的特斯拉公司（股票代码：TSLA）争夺电动汽车市场的头把交椅。蔚来汽车的市值为900亿美元，是国内最大的电动汽车制造商。该公司拥有一系列不同的产品，包括锂离子电池SUV和一款水冷电动跑车等。另外，蔚来汽车还正在设计两款轿车和一款面包车，准备在未来的某个时间发布。\n与此同时，蔚来的汽车也很受国内消费者欢迎。根据蔚来公布的数据，该公司2020年的汽车交付量为43728辆，是2019年交付量的两倍多。在2020年的最后五个月，蔚来的汽车交付量连续5个月实现了增长，其中12月份的交付量超过了7000辆。\n蔚来汽车的营收也一直都在稳步增长，并在2020年第二季度和第三季度显示出显著的同比增长。该公司第二季度的营收增长了137%，第三季度则增长了150%，达到6.54亿美元。\n然而，由于蔚来汽车的股价在过去52周已经暴涨1016%，因此进一步上涨的空间微乎其微——至少亚历克西斯·李是这样认为的，这位分析师将为蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为60美元，仅代表着3%的上行空间。\n“我们使用现金流量贴现法（DCF）来对蔚来汽车的股票进行评估。在我们基于这种方法构建的模型中，我们考虑到了销量稳健增长、2024财年实现净利润、以及2023财年实现自由现金流为正值等假设因素。我们采用了8.1%的WACC（加权平均资本成本）和5%的终端增长率，得出60美元的目标价。”他解释道。\n总体而言，华尔街分析师有7人将蔚来汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，6人设定为“持有”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为57.79美元，相比之下其周四收盘价为58.34美元。\n3、小鹏汽车\n跟理想汽车一样，小鹏汽车（股票代码：XPEV）也将目标对准了国内中端电动汽车市场，该公司有两款正在生产的车型，分别是G3 SUV和P7轿车。这两款汽车都是远程电动汽车车型，一次充电可以行驶500到700公里，并配备了先进的自动驾驶系统。G3于2018年12月开始交付，P7于2020年6月开始交付。\n小鹏汽车与理想汽车的另一个共同点是，该公司同样于2020年夏天在美国挂牌上市，该公司在8月份的最后一天登陆纽约证券交易所，IPO发行价为每股23.10美元，最终筹资额为15亿美元。自IPO上市以来，该公司的股价上涨了127%，市值达到374亿美元。\n推动小鹏汽车股价上涨的主要原因是，该公司的销售量实现了增长。根据小鹏汽车公布的数据，该公司在2020年第三季度交付了8,578辆汽车，同比增长265%，其中大部分是P7轿车，这款车型的交付量从第二季度的325辆跃升至第三季度的6210辆。在销售量强劲增长的推动下，小鹏汽车第三季度的营收达到了3.1亿美元，同比增长342%。\n亚历克西斯·李认为，小鹏汽车是一家定位良好的公司，但短期而言可能已经达到了增长的极限。他写道：“小鹏汽车对科技驱动型增长的风险敞口非常大。虽然我们看好其在自动驾驶和动力消耗效率方面的专长，但我们对其2021财年的销售量增长预测为120%，低于华尔街分析师的共识预期；而我们对其20222财年销售量增长的预测为129%，则高于共识预期。”\n有鉴于此，他将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“持有”，目标价为54.40美元，相比之下该股周四报收于54.31美元。总体而言，华尔街分析师有5人将小鹏汽车的股票评级设定为“买入”，2人设定为“持有”，1人设定为“卖出”，这就意味着其共识评级为“温和买入”；这些分析师为该股设定的目标价平均值为51.25美元。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":313045936,"gmtCreate":1611645200025,"gmtModify":1703751880945,"author":{"id":"3562816593763003","authorId":"3562816593763003","name":"华尔街海草","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daf17003307ff0f186c56f8bce70c4dc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"理想今天解禁，有什么影响呢","listText":"理想今天解禁，有什么影响呢","text":"理想今天解禁，有什么影响呢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313045936","repostId":1179161946,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":319444910,"gmtCreate":1611611332630,"gmtModify":1703751595583,"author":{"id":"3525158002740343","authorId":"3525158002740343","name":"荷兰猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9bf507c9155eb149175d79776f6bdee","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"腾讯证券说......","listText":"腾讯证券说......","text":"腾讯证券说......","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319444910","repostId":1179161946,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":319486288,"gmtCreate":1611595240644,"gmtModify":1703751541022,"author":{"id":"3486964597844685","authorId":"3486964597844685","name":"青春已逝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b77563e739420edee84fb8f9a3fe43e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"你说看好买入，就哗哗的跌","listText":"你说看好买入，就哗哗的跌","text":"你说看好买入，就哗哗的跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319486288","repostId":1179161946,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":319410247,"gmtCreate":1611593450989,"gmtModify":1703751519865,"author":{"id":"3568031262274460","authorId":"3568031262274460","name":"SQVKTFET","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"我就一个问题，就是如果新能源车不送牌照了，还有多少买蔚来的，多少买理想的，多少买小鹏的？如果不送牌照了，受影响最大的应该是理想。蔚来有换电，小鹏有智能化和NGP，理想难道考增程式吗？","listText":"我就一个问题，就是如果新能源车不送牌照了，还有多少买蔚来的，多少买理想的，多少买小鹏的？如果不送牌照了，受影响最大的应该是理想。蔚来有换电，小鹏有智能化和NGP，理想难道考增程式吗？","text":"我就一个问题，就是如果新能源车不送牌照了，还有多少买蔚来的，多少买理想的，多少买小鹏的？如果不送牌照了，受影响最大的应该是理想。蔚来有换电，小鹏有智能化和NGP，理想难道考增程式吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319410247","repostId":1179161946,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3389203,"gmtCreate":1611632042211,"gmtModify":1611632042211,"authorId":3560814804530554,"author":{"id":3560814804530554,"authorId":3560814804530554,"name":"虾虾613","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":319410247,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"送啥牌照啊，北京早就没了。去年俩油车换的蔚来，人傻钱多吧。","text":"送啥牌照啊，北京早就没了。去年俩油车换的蔚来，人傻钱多吧。","html":"送啥牌照啊，北京早就没了。去年俩油车换的蔚来，人傻钱多吧。"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":319565136,"gmtCreate":1611590342225,"gmtModify":1703751421858,"author":{"id":"3508198203958243","authorId":"3508198203958243","name":"美玉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f52c800f61355911cccd4be0f15114e0","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"有鬼用","listText":"有鬼用","text":"有鬼用","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319565136","repostId":1179161946,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":319254845,"gmtCreate":1611587275587,"gmtModify":1703751309620,"author":{"id":"3478152461727734","authorId":"3478152461727734","name":"龙飞凤舞1","avatar":"https://static.tigerb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