韩国散户“中毒”背后，多少人看到了自己的影子_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

韩国散户“中毒”背后，多少人看到了自己的影子

格隆汇2022-03-02

自疫情爆发之初，韩国触底后迅速反弹，并持续走高，眼热的民众纷纷涌入市场。同时，由于韩国允许一人多户，到今年2月，韩国股市活跃的账户已经超过6000万个，约为全国人口的1.16倍。毕竟，与高涨的股票对比，韩国的工资水平却停滞不前，失业率居高不下。加之愈发严重的通胀，股市成为大部分年轻人快速积累财富的主要寄托。糟糕的就业环境，使得大学生们不得不加入炒股行列，希望凭此获得收入。许多人甚至出现厌学情绪，为...

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WanEH
·2022-03-02
阅
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wltan
·2022-03-02
Oh
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1
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夜袭女儿国
·2022-03-02
呵呵呵
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西王食品
·2022-03-02
说的是谁
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3
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mmmm7711
·2022-03-02
我定居在韩国身边很多人都炒股炒币 20多岁的也很多新闻电视节目里一直出现那些所谓的大神们来调动情绪，而且韩国人生性好赌他们只是从换了一种赌博方式罢了
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YouTube军长说币
·2022-03-02
标题取的不错！！
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2
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skenwu
·2022-03-02
人家至少11年就可以买房，我们30年都不一定能买上
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12
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收起
- 夜袭女儿国:
  不要老说实话，不好[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]
  2022-03-02
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- 翻三十倍AHT的涂泥私房:
  哎
  2022-03-02
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尛尛熊
·2022-03-02
珍爱生命，远离股市🤭
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西域雄鹰
·2022-03-02
大家彼此彼此，都是为钱奔波！不谈什么理想！
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11
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hhhdg
·2022-03-02
检查都不检查就发出来？？
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9
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Superlana
·2022-03-02
ajin
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1
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发财囍的老公
·2022-03-02
6000个就是1.16倍了？韩国人好少哦
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investors","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9302239f96d4275976f5139919337bae","symbols_score_info":{"EWY":0.9},"content_text":"自疫情爆发之初，韩国触底后迅速反弹，并持续走高，眼热的民众纷纷涌入市场。同时，由于韩国允许一人多户，到今年2月，韩国股市活跃的账户已经超过6000万个，约为全国人口的1.16倍。毕竟，与高涨的股票对比，韩国的工资水平却停滞不前，失业率居高不下。加之愈发严重的通胀，股市成为大部分年轻人快速积累财富的主要寄托。糟糕的就业环境，使得大学生们不得不加入炒股行列，希望凭此获得收入。许多人甚至出现厌学情绪，为赚取本金去打工的越来越多。上班族也无心工作，有的拿出七八成薪水投进股市，借贷投资的，更不在少数。直到因为投资股票，导致工作频频出错，与周围的人关系不和后，人们才意识到问题的严重性，甚至不得不去求医问诊。当地媒体，把这些症状形容为“股票中毒”。韩国赌博问题管理中心透露，去年共接到“股票中毒”相关咨询案件超过1600件，比疫情前的2019年增加近2倍。症状多以沉迷短线操作、不看行情就出现不安等等。以上这些，看起来有些好笑，我们平时调侃A股股民时，也常常看到类似的段子。但细看背后种种，并不好笑。01艰难反抗首尔的马坡大桥，又称“死亡之桥”，韩国最臭名昭著的自杀地点，有超过800人从这里跳河自杀。他们为何轻生？因为沉重的债务。隐形的债务如跗骨之蛆，挥之不去，如影随形，慢慢吞噬他们的精神和自我。著名杂志《外交政策》曾发表过一篇文章，题目是“韩国不再是年轻人的国家”，副标题是“《鱿鱼游戏》描绘了一幅绝望的风景”。《鱿鱼游戏》是韩国继奥斯卡最佳影片《寄生虫》后，又一部蜚声海外的作品，可没有人为此而高兴。因为在这部剧中，每个韩国人似乎都看到了自己的影子。在国际经济体系中，韩国被称为“金丝雀”，美丽又脆弱。全球经济的任何动荡，这里都会迅速作出反应。美国大放水，身为小弟的韩国，自然紧随其后。自欧债危机起，2016年，韩国央行就把基准利率从3.25%降到1.25%；到2020年，更是降低到0.5%。股市和楼市节节攀升，一个又一个资本泡沫被制造出来。比如，2017年，首尔公寓的均价还是6.06亿韩元，但到了2021年，已经超过12亿韩元，涨幅过半。而且上涨的趋势，根本看不出会有所缓和。尽管文在寅政府一直在努力抑制房价，陆续推出28项调控措施，意图通过税金来控制房价。然而，韩国是私有土地制，大部分土地都在财阀手中，前5%的有钱人掌握着全国83%的房产，用赚取的租金和利息极低的贷款，再去买更多房产。进一步推动房价上涨。即便加息，这种情况也很难好转。因为政府早已负债累累，没有能力，更没有财力与财阀讨价还价，拿回土地。政府的一系列举措，非但没有实现“创造一个更加公平的社会环境”的承诺反而让那些耗尽毕生积蓄并借贷大量钱财买房的人，还要继续支付高昂的税金，从而背负更多债务。贫富差距进一步拉大。到现在，这列脱轨的列车，凭人力已经很难制止。韩国是亚洲第四大经济体，仅次于中国、日本、印度。看似辉煌，但其国内家庭债务与GDP之比，同样冠绝亚洲。据韩国央行统计，到去年底，韩国家庭欠银行与其他金融机构共1862.1万亿韩元，创历史新高，比2020年上涨10.3%。与收入相比，债务的增长速度要快得多。也许很多人都知道，韩国民间广泛流传着“汤匙阶级论”。这套理论的背后，是严重的阶级固化现状。并且，未来似乎更加灰暗。根据韩国开发研究院的调研，近十年社会中上流、中产、贫穷三层阶级的对比，中产不断减少，贫困人群持续扩大。而想要让自己或者子女的阶级上升，在读书、就业上获得更多机会，在首尔买房是首选。但对大多数人来说，这个梦想，渐渐成为幻想。朴槿惠在任时期，普通韩国家庭平均攒够11年钱就可以在首尔买房，但随着最近几年房价和税金的螺旋上升，这个时间周期延长到了14年。《鱿鱼游戏》里，所有参赛者都拿命在赌，希冀自己能成为最终的哪个幸运儿。现实中也一样，残酷的“汤匙阶级论”，让所有处在底层的人窒息。这也是为什么，韩国年轻人们如此醉心于投资数字货币和股票。只有这样，他们才有概率实现财富飞跃，才可能买得起房，才能摆脱“土汤匙”阶层。虽然这个概率很小，但总归有些许希望。对长期饥饿的人来说，乌托邦是一个遍地美食的地方。生活的意义就是填饱肚子，哲学、爱、自由，此刻都是无用的奢侈品。02靠赌翻盘前几年，国内P2P盛行，年轻人之间超前消费的趋势直线上升。更有不少没有收入的大学生，被诱惑借贷，引发一桩桩悲剧。他们借钱干什么？或是旅行，或是购物，基本逃不过吃喝玩乐。韩国年轻人的贷款之风，比之更甚。但他们之中的许多人，并不是要拿这笔钱去享乐。韩国人是发达国家组成的经合组织中，受教育程度最高的群体，有四分之三人在高中毕业后继续上大学。但在去年上半年，韩国20-29岁的失业率高达25.4%，超过四分之一，这是有史以来的最差水平。一方面，韩国有400多万65岁以上的老人还在打拼，另一方面，还有300多万青年处于长期失业状态，在家中啃老。这是全世界内卷最严重的国家。当一个人，不可能考上名校，不可能进入名企，不可能靠微薄的薪水翻身。这个时候，他只有选择赌。炒房无疑是最好的途径。目前，靠着低利率，韩国年轻人中贷款购买公寓的比例，已经创纪录达到42%。但炒房毕竟需要大量原始资金，并不是所有人都能负担得起。再加上，政府不断提高税金限制炒房，大部分人一夜暴富的梦想，几乎都成为泡影。那就只能找其他路子。疫情期间，大量韩国新手投资者，用从礼物、玩具交易和自动贩卖机中获得的资金，开始追求蓝筹股的“价值投资”，引领散户投资迅速增长。尤其是在全球大放水的背景下，韩国央行也大大调低了贷款利率，这更加剧了年轻人的借贷投资心理。用自己微博的积蓄，用父母的积蓄，还不够，就去借贷。据调查，在20-30岁的年轻人中，有80%涉及股票、基金、加密货币相关投资。今天，年轻的散户投资者，已经占韩国股票交易总额的三分之二以上。而在2019年，这一比例还不到50%。与此同时，2021年上半年，因为很容易就能获得低息贷款额度，从10多岁的小孩，到30多岁的大龄青年，韩国年轻人共从证券公司借走38万亿韩元，用于股票投资。2020年，韩国20-30岁年轻人的总债务为8万亿韩元，抵押贷款在一年内从28亿美元飙升至160亿美元，部分人的债务总额占年收入的270%。而在年轻人的失业率已经超过四分之一的环境下，2021年的债务数据，只会更糟糕。面对难以偿还的债务，大部分无法通过正常途径贷款的人（失业者、学生），只能求助高利贷。这背后，隐藏着多少悲惨故事，不难想象。与资本相对雄厚的中老年人比，年轻人投资者的生活，更容易受到资本市场波动的影响。他们已经因为投资，背负了太多债务。现在韩国股市看似还算繁荣，但因为各种宏观因素，已经不复过去两年的大好势头。一旦出现颓势，导致债务无法还上，后果是灾难性的。这个不是未来，而是正在发生的事情。如今，韩国的年轻人，已是破产人数增长最快的人群。韩国国内，曾把80、90后成为“MZ世代”，意为在经济高速发展时代中，最有消费实力的群体。这批人自己却不这么想，自嘲为“三抛世代”：放弃恋爱、结婚、生育。甚至到现在，还出现了“N抛世代”一说：除了生命，一切都能抛弃。包括尊严。如果肩负未来的年轻人，真的都变成这副模样，这个国家的未来可想而知。03尾声前车之鉴，后车之师。韩国发生的种种，对我们也是一种警示。A股股民已经有2亿，是韩国的四倍以上，“中毒”者应该也不在少数。其中，倾家荡产，甚至妻离子散，乃至丢了小命者，并不是没有。并不是股市本身有多大吸引力，而是人性使然。上班赚一万，与炒股赚一万，感受完全不同。但是，几乎没有人能一直赚钱，不要幻想自己是二八原则中的“二”，更不要想单靠炒股发家致富，成功的几率几乎是0。世上没有免费的午餐，这句话不是凭空而来的。巴菲特曾经说：大多数人在别人也感兴趣的时候买入股票，实际上最好的买入时机是别人不感兴趣的时候，买热门股不会有好成绩的。当然，也不是让你买超级冷门股，A股市场永远是具备前瞻性眼光的人才能把握先机。股市就是这样一个地方，确实有人在里面实现了财富自由，但以这个作为目标的人，却往往无法到达终点。这地方美极了，似仙也是仙，似魔也是魔，似天堂也是天堂，似地狱也是地狱。变幻无常。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":632923294,"gmtCreate":1646207340558,"gmtModify":1646207340855,"author":{"id":"4089383496572850","authorId":"4089383496572850","name":"WanEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f13510c4daf7c6eff3a61591fdca817","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4089383496572850","authorIdStr":"4089383496572850"},"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632923294","repostId":1178202249,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":632969321,"gmtCreate":1646202753526,"gmtModify":1646202753806,"author":{"id":"3578894182511949","authorId":"3578894182511949","name":"wltan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578894182511949","authorIdStr":"3578894182511949"},"htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632969321","repostId":1178202249,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,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