Traders bet Fed will not raise rates as aggressively as forecast_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Traders bet Fed will not raise rates as aggressively as forecast

Financial Times2021-12-17

Markets dismiss central bank guidance amid investor uncertainty over US economic prospects Fed chair Jay Powell said that, with inflation as high as it is, ‘we have to make policy in real time’ © ...

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andrew123
·2021-12-17
Keep finger cross
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TriciaChang
·2021-12-17
Ok
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Shara Jane
·2021-12-17
👍🏻
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2
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Emily.A
·2021-12-17
What a joke
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Vincentttt
·2021-12-17
I don’t think so
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FlorCheah
·2021-12-17
Yeah
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Bin8
·2021-12-17
hope so
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- eric88:
  yes
  2021-12-17
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robot1234
·2021-12-17
Biden still needs to print a lot of dollars for Democrats to win next year mid term election.
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- Bin8:
  yes
  2021-12-17
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- Leongny:
  [Happy]
  2021-12-17
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Jay Powell, chair of the central bank, said that, with “inflation as high as it is, we have to make policy in real time”.\nThe so-called dot plot of interest rate predictions from individual Fed governors published on Wednesday showed three quarter-point rate rises in 2022 followed by another three in 2023.\nInvestors, by contrast, are now betting that a faster tightening cycle in 2022 could lead to fewer rate rises in the years ahead.\n“The most logical conclusion is that the market just doesn’t believe the Fed will ever get past 1.5 per cent,” said Tom Graff, head of international fixed income at Brown Advisory. “With the Fed apparently ready to hike in early 2022, the market is determining that will result in fewer hikes total.”\n\nAlthough a tightening of monetary policy is expected to tamp down inflation, some investors worry it may begin to crimp economic growth, putting a cap on how high the Fed can raise rates. Traders and investors also warned that the rapid shifts prompted by the pandemic, including the quick spread of the Omicron variant, could complicate the Fed’s plans.\n“We think the moves may be driven by market concerns over Covid,” Gennadiy Goldberg, US rates strategist at TD Securities, said about the moves in short-term funding markets.\n“There has been a significant increase in mentions of returns to offices being put on hold and holiday parties being cancelled, so investors may be concerned about the impact of Omicron on the economic recovery,” he added.\nIf the Fed’s dot-plot vision is realised, it would also put the US interest rate policy out of sync with some other big economies, most notably the EU. The European Central Bank said on Thursday it had ruled out the possibility of raising interest rates in 2022 despite higher inflation.\n“It is hard to reconcile three to four Fed rate increases versus none for the ECB,” said Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at NatAlliance Securities.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":699930614,"gmtCreate":1639732942884,"gmtModify":1639732945369,"author":{"id":"3576260758860416","authorId":"3576260758860416","name":"andrew123","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Keep finger cross","listText":"Keep finger cross","text":"Keep finger cross","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699930614","repostId":1169429645,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":699998414,"gmtCreate":1639732572538,"gmtModify":1639732573275,"author":{"id":"3560421500323385","authorId":"3560421500323385","name":"TriciaChang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb6619edb253a8bb8b2776c7d9b0e02","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699998414","repostId":1169429645,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":699999960,"gmtCreate":1639732155842,"gmtModify":1639732511362,"author":{"id":"4100599264111620","authorId":"4100599264111620","name":"Shara Jane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd964536b2c8b19cb41225f8af2d9e4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699999960","repostId":1169429645,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":699905765,"gmtCreate":1639731868841,"gmtModify":1639732454094,"author":{"id":"3576031346025268","authorId":"3576031346025268","name":"Emily.A","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3b31f4722f3cd0e43c1b2b8fad8bdcc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"What a joke","listText":"What a joke","text":"What a 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so","listText":"hope so","text":"hope so","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699900318","repostId":1169429645,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7021462,"gmtCreate":1639731755911,"gmtModify":1639731755951,"authorId":4099541208834280,"author":{"id":4099541208834280,"authorId":4099541208834280,"name":"eric88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c6fdb4d58e3488be01e322fe4a78e0c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":699900318,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>yes</u>","text":"<u>yes</u>","html":"<u>yes</u>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":699041918,"gmtCreate":1639728418257,"gmtModify":1639728995382,"author":{"id":"3561596430587504","authorId":"3561596430587504","name":"robot1234","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Biden still needs to print a lot of dollars for Democrats&nbsp;to win next year mid term election.&nbsp;","listText":"Biden still needs to print a lot of dollars for Democrats&nbsp;to win next year mid term election.&nbsp;","text":"Biden still needs to print a lot of dollars for Democrats to win next year mid term 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