美联储褐皮书：经济活动进一步增强，供应短缺问题愈加普遍_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

美联储褐皮书：经济活动进一步增强，供应短缺问题愈加普遍

华尔街见闻2021-07-15

美联储最新“褐皮书”中，对经济活动的描述较此前改善，变为“适度到强劲”增长。褐皮书还称，供应端出现中断的情况变得更加普遍，虽然需求端前景进一步改善，但许多人对供应端表示不确定甚至悲观。此外，四分之三的地方联储称就业出现“略微至温和”增加，其余报告“温和至强劲”增加。当地时间7月15日，美联储发布了俗称“褐皮书”的地区经济调查报告。与上次报告相比，当中对经济活动的描述从“温和复苏”变为“适度到...

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靖焜
·2021-07-15
[微笑]
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- 靖焜:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-15
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- Ylychg:
  🧐
  2021-07-15
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hhyw
·2021-07-15
大跌吧
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Victorng83
·2021-07-15
涨价
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- cy8:
  good
  2021-07-15
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- ming_5868:
  涨
  2021-07-15
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涓流入海
·2021-07-15
涨价是必然结果
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金融业：大多数地区的银行贷款活动小幅或微幅增加。\n\n对于工资和就业方面，美联储在报告当中指出，工资的平均增长速度相对适中，而低薪工人的薪酬增长高于平均水平。劳动力短缺常常被认为是企业无法达到预期水平的原因，健康的劳动力需求是广泛存在的，目前对低技能工作的需求则最为强劲。所有地方联储都注意到了通过非薪酬的现金奖励来招揽并留住员工的情况出现增加，不过有三个地区的工人更替率高于平均水平，而留任率则相对偏低。有部分区域的企业预计，招工难的情况可能将延续到初秋时期。\n对于价格方面，美联储认为价格上升速度是高于平均水平的，其中七个地方联储报告价格上升强劲，其余地方联储则报告价格增长温和。此外美联储还指出，价格压力是广泛存在的，而在酒店业的情况格外突出，因为酒店和餐厅重开面临着材料和工人的供应均受到限制。此外，企业之间的的定价能力也是参差不齐，其中部分联络人表示更高的终端用户需求使得他们可以提高销售价，但也有联系人表示，输入价格的压力压缩了他们的利润空间。\n此外报告当中还指出，虽然有联络人认为目前的价格压力是暂时的，但更多人认为未来几个月的输入成本和销售价格将进一步上涨。对此金融博客ZeroHedge认为，这意味着只有部分人认为当前的通胀是暂时性的，而大部分人认为通胀将会长期化，而且也会变得更高，这与分析师的说法基本一致。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":144573655,"gmtCreate":1626308004777,"gmtModify":1633928078267,"author":{"id":"3583906472464545","authorId":"3583906472464545","name":"靖焜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583906472464545","authorIdStr":"3583906472464545"},"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144573655","repostId":1160056439,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5223149,"gmtCreate":1626308020724,"gmtModify":1635229042100,"authorId":3583906472464545,"author":{"id":3583906472464545,"idStr":"3583906472464545","authorId":3583906472464545,"name":"靖焜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":144573655,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"},{"id":5224045,"gmtCreate":1626312235584,"gmtModify":1635228960343,"authorId":3579527905061704,"author":{"id":3579527905061704,"idStr":"3579527905061704","authorId":3579527905061704,"name":"Ylychg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44bba94c2f5b09cfa3b014163f59f3ba","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":144573655,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"🧐","text":"🧐","html":"🧐"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":144593303,"gmtCreate":1626305020902,"gmtModify":1633928151713,"author":{"id":"3561544476596136","authorId":"3561544476596136","name":"hhyw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62f8a12108672917c80685184f331b6f","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561544476596136","authorIdStr":"3561544476596136"},"htmlText":"大跌吧","listText":"大跌吧","text":"大跌吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144593303","repostId":1160056439,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":144274740,"gmtCreate":1626304569680,"gmtModify":1631889130584,"author":{"id":"4089167509479190","authorId":"4089167509479190","name":"Victorng83","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc8941732911ccbfbcad5a3ca354dc9","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4089167509479190","authorIdStr":"4089167509479190"},"htmlText":"涨价","listText":"涨价","text":"涨价","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144274740","repostId":1160056439,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5222561,"gmtCreate":1626305541966,"gmtModify":1631889130595,"authorId":3581664796192339,"author":{"id":3581664796192339,"idStr":"3581664796192339","authorId":3581664796192339,"name":"cy8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e0b4689f72344b9882519e0991e43e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":144274740,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"good","text":"good","html":"good"},{"id":5222295,"gmtCreate":1626304704963,"gmtModify":1631889130583,"authorId":3532417483771819,"author":{"id":3532417483771819,"idStr":"3532417483771819","authorId":3532417483771819,"name":"ming_5868","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/722d89076d8bfa575b8d66e7aae75a0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":144274740,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"涨","text":"涨","html":"涨"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":144270860,"gmtCreate":1626304227850,"gmtModify":1633928170953,"author":{"id":"4087445017619250","authorId":"4087445017619250","name":"涓流入海","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6dd16f3aed0a8f46a51885d28d99d30","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087445017619250","authorIdStr":"4087445017619250"},"htmlText":"涨价是必然结果","listText":"涨价是必然结果","text":"涨价是必然结果","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"e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