This Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

This Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market

Barrons2021-10-29

The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity. The yield curve has flattened recently. The ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

159

JeremyKok
·2021-10-30
Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.
回复
5
举报
收起
- SGboy:
  Agreed.
  2021-10-31
  回复
  举报
JayChoong
·2021-10-29
[流泪]
回复
2
举报
ThECROW
·2021-10-29
[弱]
回复
1
举报
lynlion
·2021-10-29
Good
回复
2
举报
Desmondong
·2021-10-29
😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap
回复
4
举报
收起
- Foxie:
  Ya…
  2021-10-29
  回复
  举报
DragonKC
·2021-10-29
When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.
回复
5
举报
收起
- tkj:
  yes.
  2021-10-29
  回复
  举报
CIG
·2021-10-29
反反复复各自解读
回复
5
举报
收起
- ycwoo:
  oooo
  2021-10-29
  回复
  举报
Ahvi
·2021-10-29
I see
回复
3
举报
DQ6
·2021-10-29
Trouble already here for China stock. Look at Tiger broker stock and FUTU. Falling knife...
回复
5
举报

热议股票

7x24

全部

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147983155?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2021-10-29 13:16","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1147983155","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"This Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market","media":"Barrons","content":"<div>\n<p>The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity.\nThe yield curve has flattened recently. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1601382232898","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Indicator Is Signaling Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-29 13:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity.\nThe yield curve has flattened recently. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".DJI","symbol_name":"道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-yield-curve-bonds-51635440287?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","article_id":"1147983155","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147983155","pubTimestamp":1635484615,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1601382232898","name":"Barrons"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for st","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"barrons.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"translate_title":"这一指标预示着股市即将出现麻烦","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"The bond market is signaling some concern over economic growth. That could spell rough waters for stocks in the near term: a potential buying opportunity.\nThe yield curve has flattened recently. The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 1.556% from its 2021 second-half high of 1.702%, hit a week ago, signifying that markets are less optimistic about economic demand and less concerned about the long-term inflation it could bring. Higher inflation, spurred in part by strong demand, means bond investors need higher yields to avoid losing money in real terms on the fixed payments they receive on the debt.\nThe 2-year yield, meanwhile, has risen to 0.49% from 0.46% a week ago, signaling that markets see the current surge in prices across the economy as lasting enough to force the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. That would gradually reduce demand and inflation.\nFigures released Thursday show economic growth is slowing more than many people expected. In the third quarter, gross domestic product increased 2% from the second on a seasonally adjusted annual basis, while the consensus call among economists surveyed by FactSet had been for a 3.5% increase. Growth in the second quarter was 6.7%.\n“Clearly the curve flattening has been significant,” said Tony Bedikian, head of global markets at Citizens Banks. “It’s primarily driven by Fed rate hike expectations that have skyrocketed in the past few weeks.”\nThe difference in yield between 2-year and 10-year debt has fallen to 1.07 percentage points from about 1.24 points a week ago.\nThe stock market seems to have taken note of the bond market’s signal. Gains in the S&P 500 have slowed down. The index is up less than 1% in the past week, while it had gained just under 6% from its level on Oct. 4, the low point in a recent slump, through the close of trading a week ago.\nThe slowdown in gains could turn into a selloff if the yield curve remains flat for a little while longer. That would signify that markets are more confident that the economic growth outlook is deteriorating.\n“If we get to the beginning of the new year and we’re still in a very flat yield curve environment, it’s going to raise some eyebrows that maybe there is an economic slowdown once the Fed eventually does start to hike,” Bedikian said.\nThat isn’t the most likely scenario. Most on Wall Street expect the yield curve to expand. The 10 year yield—at the least—could easily rise to close to 2% over time, given that long-term inflation expectations are above 2%, according to St. Louis Fed data. That is partly because, although the economic outlook has weakened, it remains positive.\nA steeper yield curve would be a good sign for stocks, especially the more economically sensitive, cyclical ones.\nShares of banks and industrial companies have fallen in the past week. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF (ticker: KBE) is down just over 2% and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) has fallen about 0.5%. Those could be worth buying.\n“Fade the technical yield curve flattening and buy the dip in cyclical assets,” Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan’s chief global markets strategist, said in a recent research note. Investors should note the message the bond market has been sending, but take it with a grain of salt.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":857542648,"gmtCreate":1635552184946,"gmtModify":1635552186321,"author":{"id":"3567307840510045","authorId":"3567307840510045","name":"JeremyKok","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b03a485f83b6b2615fad8ac9b87bf4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3567307840510045","authorIdStr":"3567307840510045"},"htmlText":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","listText":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","text":"Wait for tiger broker to drop to $3 then buy. This may blow over soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857542648","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6392106,"gmtCreate":1635643987509,"gmtModify":1635643987543,"authorId":4093688471950400,"author":{"id":4093688471950400,"idStr":"4093688471950400","authorId":4093688471950400,"name":"SGboy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53fad8dabfd576c90fe8050483aa504f","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857542648,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Agreed.","text":"Agreed.","html":"Agreed."}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857858163,"gmtCreate":1635518961053,"gmtModify":1635518979728,"author":{"id":"3574588141038438","authorId":"3574588141038438","name":"JayChoong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a6a1e04b0b5eb370035731b150fb4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574588141038438","authorIdStr":"3574588141038438"},"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857858163","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857813129,"gmtCreate":1635517309750,"gmtModify":1635517313183,"author":{"id":"3583650394724849","authorId":"3583650394724849","name":"ThECROW","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583650394724849","authorIdStr":"3583650394724849"},"htmlText":"[弱]&nbsp;","listText":"[弱]&nbsp;","text":"[弱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857813129","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857352492,"gmtCreate":1635510754749,"gmtModify":1635510755006,"author":{"id":"3578479356531453","authorId":"3578479356531453","name":"lynlion","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a17741f12ada9d6c5ac249f5f862a3cf","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578479356531453","authorIdStr":"3578479356531453"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857352492","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857385583,"gmtCreate":1635508846477,"gmtModify":1635508846586,"author":{"id":"4090723607026590","authorId":"4090723607026590","name":"Desmondong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02ca0463679cdedf58104fb35598d0d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4090723607026590","authorIdStr":"4090723607026590"},"htmlText":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap&nbsp;","listText":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap&nbsp;","text":"😓 only hope for tiger rise up asap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857385583","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6373299,"gmtCreate":1635513991430,"gmtModify":1635513991466,"authorId":3572988793196593,"author":{"id":3572988793196593,"idStr":"3572988793196593","authorId":3572988793196593,"name":"Foxie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857385583,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ya…","text":"Ya…","html":"Ya…"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857388028,"gmtCreate":1635508531158,"gmtModify":1635508532236,"author":{"id":"3577178099298017","authorId":"3577178099298017","name":"DragonKC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90c63c67a4e5f91e9dc0159f5b853ab","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577178099298017","authorIdStr":"3577178099298017"},"htmlText":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"When stock markets are too greed . Time to be fearful . Happy investing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857388028","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6373022,"gmtCreate":1635512857619,"gmtModify":1635512857733,"authorId":3582020830270271,"author":{"id":3582020830270271,"idStr":"3582020830270271","authorId":3582020830270271,"name":"tkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4db3635974ce189ed8129eca6b5b618","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857388028,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yes.","text":"yes.","html":"yes."}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857397877,"gmtCreate":1635506872417,"gmtModify":1635506891096,"author":{"id":"3583974841960176","authorId":"3583974841960176","name":"CIG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c2077e2370e1ffcaca7e29b875be2be","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583974841960176","authorIdStr":"3583974841960176"},"htmlText":"反反复复 各自解读&nbsp;","listText":"反反复复 各自解读&nbsp;","text":"反反复复 各自解读","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857397877","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6371845,"gmtCreate":1635507312791,"gmtModify":1635507312884,"authorId":3565146699964497,"author":{"id":3565146699964497,"idStr":"3565146699964497","authorId":3565146699964497,"name":"ycwoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637be28a03f575af22b76a60dad1181b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":857397877,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"oooo","text":"oooo","html":"oooo"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857399209,"gmtCreate":1635506343446,"gmtModify":1635506343446,"author":{"id":"3574166160473753","authorId":"3574166160473753","name":"Ahvi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd216b3fbf19641a7fe648254585ce79","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574166160473753","authorIdStr":"3574166160473753"},"htmlText":"I see&nbsp;","listText":"I see&nbsp;","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857399209","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857308531,"gmtCreate":1635505814046,"gmtModify":1635505814216,"author":{"id":"3582894720985713","authorId":"3582894720985713","name":"DQ6","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8d37bc40959d32453f15ca0e4178b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582894720985713","authorIdStr":"3582894720985713"},"htmlText":"Trouble already here for China stock. Look at Tiger broker stock and FUTU.&nbsp; Falling knife...","listText":"Trouble already here for China stock. Look at Tiger broker stock and FUTU.&nbsp; Falling knife...","text":"Trouble already here for China stock. Look at Tiger broker stock and FUTU. Falling knife...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857308531","repostId":1147983155,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":159,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":5,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}