一文读懂：吓崩市场的南非变异毒株什么来头？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

一文读懂：吓崩市场的南非变异毒株什么来头？

华尔街见闻2021-11-26

新病毒可能由艾滋病人身上变异而来，现有疫苗可能无效。投资者担心，如果新的变种病毒真的比德尔塔病毒凶猛很多倍，那么全球复苏的主线可能因此被打断。一夜之间，全球市场吓崩了：油价跌超7%，港股跌2.67%，日股跌2.67%，欧股跌4%，美国道指期货跌超2%，恐慌指数飙升15%。背后的原因：博茨瓦纳、南非等多国近日报告了一种新型变异新冠病毒，被命名为名为B.1.1.529。据悉，该病毒由一种旧型...

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133

Jiantew
·2021-11-27
小生怕怕😱
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2
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神话者
·2021-11-27
[微笑]
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2
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康康的
·2021-11-27
好
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2
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收起
- 康康的:
  好
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
Amelia7
·2021-11-27
阅
回复
1
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收起
- 神话者:
  [微笑]
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
hhyw
·2021-11-27
大庄家出完货了，收割散户的血汗钱时刻到😔😔😔
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1
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CKWAI
·2021-11-27
来，回复和点赞，谢谢
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2
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收起
- kimxuan:
  [开心]
  2021-11-27
  回复
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- CKWAI:
  谢谢
  2021-11-27
  回复
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zh2021
·2021-11-27
真是没完没了
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4
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收起
- hhyw:
  好
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
Peiji2082
·2021-11-27
没完没了的病毒🥲
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5
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收起
- LewisDua:
  [流泪]
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
- zh2021:
  [捂脸]
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
Youn7276
·2021-11-27
阅
回复
3
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JaniceZhu
·2021-11-27
又来。 [捂脸]
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3
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Tesla_Wang
·2021-11-27
我怀疑有人故意制造这个病毒。。怎么就这么巧。。
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5
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收起
- 股市轟炸机队长:
  我也是酱认为，是拿来纾阮油价和通膨的涨势，也顺便回调股价。一举三得，又刚巧碰上黑色星期五，机构比较少操作。[微笑]
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
zh2021
·2021-11-26
[捂脸]
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1
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森蚺老鳄鱼
·2021-11-26
香港都失陷了，莫非上海的也是同源病毒
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1
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收起
- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
- zh2021:
  [流泪]
  2021-11-26
  回复
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新新2022
·2021-11-26
人类就灭绝了？真希望成为地球最后一个男人，哈哈哈哈
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1
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长生财神斌小仙
·2021-11-26
大宗商品也崩了
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1
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程军霞
·2021-11-26
👍
回复
点赞
举报
knymok
·2021-11-26
😥
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点赞
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Allenong
·2021-11-26
是不是你预判了市场的预判...然后市场预判了你对市场的预判....最后就是你预判了市场对你对市场预判的对你的预判....到最后南非变异毒株预判你们大家的预判
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1
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- 弹力绳22:
  兄弟，你这是来训练我们的绕口令吗？
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
- 低买高卖谁不会:
  本来还打算周五抄底的，看了盘面情况吓住我了。
  2021-11-27
  回复
  举报
- 灯塔国02:
  我现在空仓，什么预判都不重要，要是再跌一点我就更开心了。
  2021-11-27
  回复
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查看更多 2 条评论
藥瀚
·2021-11-26
无非就是借题发挥，借机搞事，老套路了！既能打压通胀标的，又能接着放水，还没到收割季，后面还将有更大的洪水吧。
回复
8
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- Damon彦:
  拜等不是还有新的2万亿计划吗
  2021-11-26
  回复
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明天自有出路
·2021-11-26
maga释放针对blm的基因武器
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“早期分析表明，这种变异存在大量突变，需要并将进行进一步研究。”\n\n就该病毒是如何产生的这一问题，如今尚未定论。不过，考虑到南非是全球最大的艾滋病患者集中地，有科学家给出了自己的推测。\n据彭博社，伦敦大学学院遗传学研究所的一位科学家认为，考虑到南非有超过820万艾滋病患者群体，该变种病毒或在未经治疗的艾滋病患者体内完成了变异过程。\n这种程度的突变极有可能来自于某个单一感染者，而且这位患者在感染后未能战胜病毒。\n当然，突变多并不意味着就一定是坏消息，后续对这些突变的研究还非常重要。\n不过英国BBC表示，这次的新病毒变体与此前全球流行的主流变体差别极大，这可能意味着现有疫苗会对其失效。\n2. 传播速度快，政府反应更快\n截至周四，南非已发现近 100 例病例，该变种病毒已成为新感染病例中的主要毒株。\n在昨日的媒体简报会上，华盛顿大学全球健康教授 Tulio de Oliveira 表示，据早期的 PCR 检测结果，南非在周三新增的1100例新病例中，约有90%的病例可能由该变种引起。此前，经基因组测序和其他遗传分析，Tulio de Oliveira 团队发现，仅在11月12日至20日期间从豪登省收集的77个病毒样本中，全部都是由B.1.1.529变异造成的。此外，数百个样本的分析工作还在进行中。\n该病毒的扩散速度也不容小觑，11月25日，该病毒首次在出现。在香港大学基因组测序分析后，香港记录到两例B.1.1.529冠状病毒变体。其中，一名游客本月从南非抵达，另一名游客来自加拿大，他们在同一隔离酒店的同一层中。\n为防止疫情卷土重来给经济造成的沉重打击，全球各国政府反应迅速，纷纷做出了应对措施。\n11月26日，英国卫生大臣 Sajid Javid 宣布，将临时禁飞来自南非和其五个邻国的航班；新加坡宣布对在过去 14 天内去过南非和其附近国家的人限制入境；以色列也在周四晚间采取行动；日本内阁官房长官松野弘和曾上周五表示，日本政府正在收集信息，“如果情况恶化，感染扩大，那么政府将迅速作出反应”。\n3. 市场反应：经济复苏困难加剧 避险情绪迅速升温\n前文提及，刺突蛋白上有32个突变的南非变异毒株，其威力远超此前威力最大的Delta变异毒株。因此，科学家近日对其强大的抗疫苗能力与传播速度愈发担忧。\n随着越来越多的投资者了解到了该病毒，对经济复苏的担忧和对金融市场的恐慌情绪在市场上迅速发酵。\n考虑到各国政府此前应对疫情的经验，若疫苗对该变异毒株几乎无效，那么诸如封锁隔离等应对政策或将沉重打击消费者活动，并加剧一限制工业产出的供应链问题，让世界经济的复苏之路上充满荆棘。即便疫苗对病毒效果显著，由于政府的短期管控措施，航运、旅游业也将收到打击。\n此外，在新冠疫情期大放水的各发达国家央行，在如今通货膨胀的屡创新高与利率的大幅波动的环境里已经没有了货币政策的操作空间。\n华尔街见闻提及，如今，市场风险不断提高，众多华尔街分析师都认为当下正处在一个“最非传统的周期”，“极不可能遵循常规路径”，市场很有可能在不远的未来迎来“利率冲击”。\n在这一背景下，变异病毒的来袭更是火上浇油，导致市场恐慌恐慌加剧。反映到量化指标上，自11月16日来不断走高的 Cboe 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