全球楼市泡沫一个一个爆了_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

全球楼市泡沫一个一个爆了

华尔街见闻2022-11-02

美国房价跌速已创下十三年来最快水平，英国房价或将跌回十年前水平，瑞典房价跌速创十年来最快水平，澳大利亚房价跌速创三十年最快水平...在全球央行的加息潮下，全球楼市击鼓传花的游戏进入尾声，令人闻风丧胆的大崩盘或将重现。欧洲方面，英国房价出现了15个月来的首次下跌；瑞典房价跌速创下了至少十年来的最快水平。美洲方面，美国房价跌速已创下十三年来的最快水平，加拿大第一大城市多伦多房价已降至去年10月以来的...

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至诚之道可以前知
·2022-11-03
全球跌，就中国稳！
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再饥饿也得忍着稳住
·2022-11-03
我们的房地产才开始而已，目前估计%30不到，正常未来应该跌倒%70左右才合理
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虎头纹
·2022-11-03
说说中国楼市
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1
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菜鸟老白
·2022-11-03
只管别人门前的雪.从不问自己瓦上的霜。
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9
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14度的天空
·2022-11-02
国内外汇管制，就是个单机游戏
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8
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猛逃
·2022-11-02
人类史上最大的房产泡沫还没吭声呢，那些小泡泡们咋呼个啥[疑问]
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13
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黑皮东东
·2022-11-02
全球一片哀嚎，唯独我这红旗飘飘。小编想表达此意对吗？但是，你可能失去做人的尊严！诚信。
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12
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- 长浦资本:
  国内房地产和股市一样，只准做多不准做空！[捂脸]
  2022-11-03
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- 虎who:
  道琼斯涨多少了？大A才涨两天 [流泪]
  2022-11-02
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Swordsbaby
·2022-11-02
人们都你买跌咯咯租金变化怎么样？
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TorisQ
·2022-11-02
国内也差不多了硬撑
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3
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AX92
·2022-11-02
真的惨，国内房价.... 各位当一片安好就行，哈哈
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4
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食贝者
·2022-11-02
为什么不说中国楼市？
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4
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只有股票才是最爱
·2022-11-02
一线城市跌一下对中国整个经济有好处的
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2
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- 天天呵呵呵:
  如果国家敢放开让一线跌，国内地产全完蛋。商业银行一起
  2022-11-03
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庄志刚
·2022-11-02
完了
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3
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天道之刀
·2022-11-02
中国的呢？
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3
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跟着队长一起走
·2022-11-02
国内也跌了50%了啊
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- 再饥饿也得忍着稳住:
  没有那么多，%20-30。还早呢？要腰斩，再腰斩.等于夭折
  2022-11-03
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- 霸气威武:
  我们这20-22还涨了点 [笑哭]
  2022-11-02
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- Speculator 1:
  啊？
  2022-11-02
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French预测，英国房价将未来三年将下跌14%，使实际价值跌回2013年的水平。彭博经济学家预计明年房价将下跌约10%。这不禁让人想到三十多年前的大崩盘。当时，英国政府宣布对夫妻购房进行税收减免，导致楼市需求激增，房价飙升。到1980年代末，房价终于不堪重负发生雪崩，之后花了近9年时间才恢复到之前的高点。瑞典房价跌速创十年来最快水平瑞典的情况与英国类似，疫情刺激计划带来了房地产的短暂繁荣。但是，在瑞典央行开始加息后，情况发生了变化。最新数据显示，瑞典房地产市场正在以2013年以来的最快速度崩塌。瑞典国有银行SBAB周三表示，房地产上市网站Booli的交易数据显示截至上月，房价较峰值下跌了19%，公寓价格下跌了13%。它还预计房价将较3月份的高点下跌约20%，降幅略高于北欧银行和瑞典央行的预测。10月份房价环比下降了4%，经季节调整后跌幅为2.3%。相比之下，9月份的名义跌幅为2.6%，这是当时的历史最高水平。数据显示，瑞典各地的房价都在下跌，其中瑞典第二大城市哥德堡的独栋房屋跌幅最大，自峰值以来已下跌19%。包括瑞典在内，北欧目前已成为全球房地产市场崩塌最严重的地区之一。美国楼市持续减速美国上周公布的房价数据显示，美国8月S&P/CS20座大城市季调后房价指数环比跌1.32%，创2009年3月来最大环比跌幅。20个大城市中的每一个城市的价格涨幅都在减速。标普道琼斯指数董事总经理Craig Lazzara在一份新闻稿中表示，“一个月前我们注意到的美国房价的强力减速，在8月得以延续。20个大城市中的每一个城市的价格涨幅都在减速。这些数据清楚地表明，房价增长率在2022年春季达到顶峰，此后一直在下降。”由于美联储激进加息，美国按揭贷款利率飙升，近几个月的房地产数据大多非常低迷，需求遭遇严重打击。今年初，30年期按揭住房贷款的平均利率约为3%，而当前已经飙涨至7%。与此同时，由于卖家不愿意放弃此前享有的低利率，上市的房屋数量也在减少，从供给角度说，这对房价构成一定支撑。不过分析认为，鉴于宏观经济环境更具挑战性，美国房价很可能会继续减速。加拿大第一大城市房价跌回一年前水平积累了30多年泡沫的加拿大楼市也崩了。加拿大第一大城市多伦多基准房价自今年以来的高点下降了17%左右，至去年10月的水平。安大略省基奇纳市和滑铁卢市的基准价格在六个月内下跌了16%。随着加拿大央行的进一步加息，居民将更难负担房贷，预计未来房价还将继续下跌。韩国楼市大幅降温韩国楼市出现萎缩迹象，全国房价连续九个月下跌，上半年公寓成交量较去年同期下降50.6%。韩国央行自去年8月起加息是造成楼市降温的重要原因之一，出口低迷、大城市人口“逆流”和高通胀下购买力的下滑也导致需求锐减。这给央行制造了“降通胀”还是“保增长”的难题。野村经济研究员本次悲观预测，韩国全国房价将从峰值到谷底骤降约10%，衡量整体住房市场状况的价格基准——首尔公寓价格将暴跌18%。这会比2009-2014年金融危机之后韩国房地产市场降温的幅度更大。楼市急剧降温将打击私人消费，在全球半导体行业疲软和出口不振的同时，推动韩国经济陷入更深的衰退。澳大利亚房价跌速创三十年最快水平大型房地产数据分析公司CoreLogic发布的最新数据显示，澳大利亚8月房屋价值下跌1.6%，创下自1983年以来全澳的最大单月跌幅。数据显示，自今年1月以来，悉尼的房价下跌了7.4%。此外，布里斯班、堪培拉、墨尔本等主要城市的房价均有所下滑。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":665417547,"gmtCreate":1667441134290,"gmtModify":1667441137404,"author":{"id":"3533639338107797","authorId":"3533639338107797","name":"至诚之道可以前知","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa00a1c09acbbf99518a8e2db4e74435","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533639338107797","authorIdStr":"3533639338107797"},"htmlText":"全球跌，就中国稳！","listText":"全球跌，就中国稳！","text":"全球跌，就中国稳！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665417547","repostId":1133652867,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665439623,"gmtCreate":1667430188063,"gmtModify":1667430190002,"author":{"id":"3557524781946327","authorId":"3557524781946327","name":"再饥饿也得忍着稳住","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ab10e3ab6f588acfbd6e59d7018330d","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557524781946327","authorIdStr":"3557524781946327"},"htmlText":"我们的房地产才开始而已，目前估计%30不到，正常未来应该跌倒%70左右才合理","listText":"我们的房地产才开始而已，目前估计%30不到，正常未来应该跌倒%70左右才合理","text":"我们的房地产才开始而已，目前估计%30不到，正常未来应该跌倒%70左右才合理","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665439623","repostId":1133652867,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665407635,"gmtCreate":1667408333928,"gmtModify":1667408336481,"author":{"id":"3546388162494555","authorId":"3546388162494555","name":"虎头纹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8934413c88fa3561ac1ad796c526e589","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546388162494555","authorIdStr":"3546388162494555"},"htmlText":"说说中国楼市","listText":"说说中国楼市","text":"说说中国楼市","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665407635","repostId":1133652867,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665406183,"gmtCreate":1667405025942,"gmtModify":1667405028617,"author":{"id":"3546053863987227","authorId":"3546053863987227","name":"菜鸟老白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f820914f2b4ca6ccb02defa29206df9b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546053863987227","authorIdStr":"3546053863987227"},"htmlText":"只管别人门前的雪.从不问自己瓦上的霜。","listText":"只管别人门前的雪.从不问自己瓦上的霜。","text":"只管别人门前的雪.从不问自己瓦上的霜。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665406183","repostId":1133652867,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665578764,"gmtCreate":1667400563559,"gmtModify":1667400566304,"author":{"id":"3504321201358032","authorId":"3504321201358032","name":"14度的天空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad02bbd9d8faa07b109fda1039f6654e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3504321201358032","authorIdStr":"3504321201358032"},"htmlText":"国内外汇管制，就是个单机游戏","listText":"国内外汇管制，就是个单机游戏","text":"国内外汇管制，就是个单机游戏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665578764","repostId":1133652867,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":665571394,"gmtCreate":1667399507819,"gmtModify":1667399510621,"author":{"id":"3518527627041174","authorId":"3518527627041174","name":"猛逃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518527627041174","authorIdStr":"3518527627041174"},"htmlText":"人类史上最大的房产泡沫还没吭声呢，那些小泡泡们咋呼个啥[疑问]&nbsp;","listText":"人类史上最大的房产泡沫还没吭声呢，那些小泡泡们咋呼个啥[疑问]&nbsp;","text":"人类史上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