Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle

yahoo2021-03-05

Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...

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Ricoz3143
·2021-03-08
Wat next come
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1
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AhShui
·2021-03-08
Help to like pls
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Kenny77
·2021-03-08
Ya more ev coming up
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- Kenny77:
  Help me to comment and like
  2021-03-08
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Yanosan92
·2021-03-08
[微笑]
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JoeK
·2021-03-07
At least for another 10 years, we will need this gold
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1
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- KopiLim:
  [财迷]
  2021-03-07
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jwjwjw
·2021-03-07
thanks
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Hrms
·2021-03-07
Nice
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xoxoll
·2021-03-06
Help me like and comment
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2
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- EV8:
  👍👍
  2021-03-06
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- Hrms:
  Nice
  2021-03-07
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Aly601
·2021-03-06
Comment
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- Jon000:
  Respons to ny commwnt please
  2021-03-07
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tearach
·2021-03-06
Learning a comment
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2
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Sky1z3
·2021-03-05
Ooo
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1
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treefted
·2021-03-05
no crash!
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2
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- Mageswari:
  haizz
  2021-03-05
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Chriz
·2021-03-05
Fly to the moon
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4
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- Mrkew:
  yeah baby
  2021-03-05
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LEEQF
·2021-03-05
Guys, comment here! What do u think?
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5
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LanXana
·2021-03-05
Comment pls
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4
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- Acestars:
  like and comment
  2021-03-05
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- LanXana:
  Sure
  2021-03-05
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- NovelChew回复LanXana:
  Nice
  2021-03-05
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Mrkew
·2021-03-05
EV hypes. Fly to the moon
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4
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Nicholasbt
·2021-03-05
Money going into crypto also
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6
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- KaedeNyu:
  wow
  2021-03-05
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LamPatrick
·2021-03-05
Oil is the reason why super cycle occur... give a like and comment "huat" if you are in oil future or oil stocks [财迷]
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123321Alex
·2021-03-05
Everyone is gg electric vehicle. Oil will be cheaper
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- KaedeNyu:
  wow
  2021-03-05
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The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. 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The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320577963,"gmtCreate":1615164422252,"gmtModify":1703485038589,"author":{"id":"3572250480206178","authorId":"3572250480206178","authorIdStr":"3572250480206178","name":"AhShui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17900eb752bb98a2a90b76a16717e3c","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572250480206178"},"htmlText":"Help to like pls","listText":"Help to like pls","text":"Help to like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320577963","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320569905,"gmtCreate":1615158302407,"gmtModify":1703484973225,"author":{"id":"3553679778150469","authorId":"3553679778150469","authorIdStr":"3553679778150469","name":"Kenny77","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77c5e512c4b7983d3f3075d8ec4c2f2d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553679778150469"},"htmlText":"Ya more ev coming up","listText":"Ya more ev coming up","text":"Ya more ev coming up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320569905","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3737445,"gmtCreate":1615158327108,"gmtModify":1635757598082,"authorId":3553679778150469,"author":{"id":3553679778150469,"authorId":3553679778150469,"name":"Kenny77","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77c5e512c4b7983d3f3075d8ec4c2f2d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":320569905,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Help me to comment and like","text":"Help me to comment and like","html":"Help me to comment and like"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320538069,"gmtCreate":1615137450151,"gmtModify":1703484935738,"author":{"id":"3561463564748224","authorId":"3561463564748224","authorIdStr":"3561463564748224","name":"Yanosan92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e967a1d29978e7d8fd1ef3e46ddbbf86","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561463564748224"},"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320538069","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":320874410,"gmtCreate":1615086413030,"gmtModify":1703484616369,"author":{"id":"3575261937306050","authorId":"3575261937306050","authorIdStr":"3575261937306050","name":"JoeK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/162445e8b6a553bd412b8a06e3f44c9e","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575261937306050"},"htmlText":"At least for another 10 years, we will need this gold","listText":"At least for another 10 years, we will need this gold","text":"At least for another 10 years, we will need this gold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320874410","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3734650,"gmtCreate":1615089138709,"gmtModify":1635757776453,"authorId":3562886608344748,"author":{"id":3562886608344748,"authorId":3562886608344748,"name":"KopiLim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fcef53a2e715c173a40fafa14a7fe6","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":320874410,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[财迷]","text":"[财迷]","html":"[财迷]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320847405,"gmtCreate":1615085147907,"gmtModify":1703484603198,"author":{"id":"3560660306704431","authorId":"3560660306704431","authorIdStr":"3560660306704431","name":"jwjwjw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59fdc8dca9a584fe183e4dccffb8d97f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3560660306704431"},"htmlText":"thanks","listText":"thanks","text":"thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320847405","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320846828,"gmtCreate":1615084702964,"gmtModify":1703484596746,"author":{"id":"3573173473688350","authorId":"3573173473688350","authorIdStr":"3573173473688350","name":"Hrms","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf3ca26e4c4cbd1584bfa93a5d32859","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573173473688350"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320846828","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320360715,"gmtCreate":1615017730937,"gmtModify":1703484266310,"author":{"id":"3572249185724220","authorId":"3572249185724220","authorIdStr":"3572249185724220","name":"xoxoll","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ed65c2962af2a6fbd414f4d6fe9e378","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572249185724220"},"htmlText":"Help me like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Help me like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Help me like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320360715","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3731588,"gmtCreate":1615019532362,"gmtModify":1635757961778,"authorId":3576472032670521,"author":{"id":3576472032670521,"authorId":3576472032670521,"name":"EV8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":320360715,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","html":"👍👍"},{"id":3734264,"gmtCreate":1615084712866,"gmtModify":1635757803452,"authorId":3573173473688350,"author":{"id":3573173473688350,"authorId":3573173473688350,"name":"Hrms","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf3ca26e4c4cbd1584bfa93a5d32859","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":320360715,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Nice","text":"Nice","html":"Nice"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320396310,"gmtCreate":1615009909630,"gmtModify":1703484212744,"author":{"id":"3573177101318434","authorId":"3573177101318434","authorIdStr":"3573177101318434","name":"Aly601","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eb2ac8b0d41ed9c89961dc09c07de63","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573177101318434"},"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320396310","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3733106,"gmtCreate":1615065875759,"gmtModify":1635757878572,"authorId":3574488501440064,"author":{"id":3574488501440064,"authorId":3574488501440064,"name":"Jon000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31d8b0b435484918436ab24cf32410e7","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":320396310,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Respons to ny commwnt please","text":"Respons to ny commwnt please","html":"Respons to ny commwnt please"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":320933948,"gmtCreate":1614997297384,"gmtModify":1703484076856,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575256032463698"},"htmlText":"Learning a comment&nbsp;","listText":"Learning a comment&nbsp;","text":"Learning a comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320933948","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367619648,"gmtCreate":1614943385884,"gmtModify":1703483255852,"author":{"id":"3568029472899436","authorId":"3568029472899436","authorIdStr":"3568029472899436","name":"Sky1z3","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bd3fbd3cc947cfa9c4307b1149c3120","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568029472899436"},"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367619648","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367872002,"gmtCreate":1614939487606,"gmtModify":1703483209280,"author":{"id":"3576497632905443","authorId":"3576497632905443","authorIdStr":"3576497632905443","name":"treefted","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0d68da303e9d3635036ad5d610c3d48","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576497632905443"},"htmlText":"no crash!","listText":"no crash!","text":"no crash!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367872002","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3723559,"gmtCreate":1614943508167,"gmtModify":1635758304884,"authorId":3570959810686312,"author":{"id":3570959810686312,"authorId":3570959810686312,"name":"Mageswari","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0ce3bc82e7c0927ef52a87eb74c6225","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367872002,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"haizz","text":"haizz","html":"haizz"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367856083,"gmtCreate":1614937909642,"gmtModify":1703483179023,"author":{"id":"3561335246727315","authorId":"3561335246727315","authorIdStr":"3561335246727315","name":"Chriz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c393b32112334e204b0590fb83bbc7d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561335246727315"},"htmlText":"Fly to the moon","listText":"Fly to the moon","text":"Fly to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367856083","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3722849,"gmtCreate":1614938313956,"gmtModify":1635758337111,"authorId":3577966299311118,"author":{"id":3577966299311118,"authorId":3577966299311118,"name":"Mrkew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5176329662514e7bc39bde0705138605","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367856083,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yeah <u>baby</u>","text":"yeah <u>baby</u>","html":"yeah <u>baby</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367851986,"gmtCreate":1614937750945,"gmtModify":1703483176435,"author":{"id":"3572235673675008","authorId":"3572235673675008","authorIdStr":"3572235673675008","name":"LEEQF","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead66a2c538631d15658309f808c7d40","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572235673675008"},"htmlText":"Guys, comment here! What do u think?&nbsp;","listText":"Guys, comment here! What do u think?&nbsp;","text":"Guys, comment here! What do u think?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367851986","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367862295,"gmtCreate":1614936414117,"gmtModify":1703483152339,"author":{"id":"3575362765255061","authorId":"3575362765255061","authorIdStr":"3575362765255061","name":"LanXana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb3c0da8a41317a2e0b18356b9f70e1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575362765255061"},"htmlText":"Comment pls","listText":"Comment pls","text":"Comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367862295","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3722653,"gmtCreate":1614936992238,"gmtModify":1635758343710,"authorId":3571037900661236,"author":{"id":3571037900661236,"authorId":3571037900661236,"name":"Acestars","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb536be016acf6e75b6c4b057fc2395b","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367862295,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","html":"like and comment"},{"id":3722695,"gmtCreate":1614937276663,"gmtModify":1635758342349,"authorId":3575362765255061,"author":{"id":3575362765255061,"authorId":3575362765255061,"name":"LanXana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb3c0da8a41317a2e0b18356b9f70e1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367862295,"type":1,"supId":3722653,"prevId":0,"content":"Sure","text":"Sure","html":"Sure"},{"id":3723758,"gmtCreate":1614945405637,"gmtModify":1635758295779,"authorId":3573693383322975,"author":{"id":3573693383322975,"authorId":3573693383322975,"name":"NovelChew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc4d2fe2028353323fd69523caa4c1c","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3575362765255061,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3575362765255061,"authorId":3575362765255061,"name":"LanXana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb3c0da8a41317a2e0b18356b9f70e1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":367862295,"type":1,"supId":3722653,"prevId":3722695,"content":"Nice","text":"Nice","html":"Nice"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367860161,"gmtCreate":1614935933853,"gmtModify":1703483143203,"author":{"id":"3577966299311118","authorId":"3577966299311118","authorIdStr":"3577966299311118","name":"Mrkew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5176329662514e7bc39bde0705138605","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577966299311118"},"htmlText":"EV hypes. Fly to the moon&nbsp;","listText":"EV hypes. Fly to the moon&nbsp;","text":"EV hypes. Fly to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367860161","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367813071,"gmtCreate":1614934639993,"gmtModify":1703483118530,"author":{"id":"3575175917571867","authorId":"3575175917571867","authorIdStr":"3575175917571867","name":"Nicholasbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cadb0988a4576b82bf4b1f83564a0a96","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575175917571867"},"htmlText":"Money going into crypto also","listText":"Money going into crypto also","text":"Money going into crypto also","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367813071","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3722306,"gmtCreate":1614934926813,"gmtModify":1635758359860,"authorId":3575023630818985,"author":{"id":3575023630818985,"authorId":3575023630818985,"name":"KaedeNyu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a3380d6cf7ff299cbbd1e794c1c8cc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367813071,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>wow</u>","text":"<u>wow</u>","html":"<u>wow</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":367834754,"gmtCreate":1614934260478,"gmtModify":1703483114229,"author":{"id":"3551005900171575","authorId":"3551005900171575","authorIdStr":"3551005900171575","name":"LamPatrick","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e030c454d48868b546dbefa7ff2b4c87","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3551005900171575"},"htmlText":"Oil is the reason why super cycle occur... give a like and comment \"huat\" if you are in oil future or oil stocks&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"Oil is the reason why super cycle occur... give a like and comment \"huat\" if you are in oil future or oil stocks&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"Oil is the reason why super cycle occur... give a like and comment \"huat\" if you are in oil future or oil stocks [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367834754","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":367834194,"gmtCreate":1614934180118,"gmtModify":1703483113544,"author":{"id":"3571791273839540","authorId":"3571791273839540","authorIdStr":"3571791273839540","name":"123321Alex","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/807b76e84e44c6640b1aaa50fcb19a44","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571791273839540"},"htmlText":"Everyone is gg electric vehicle. Oil will be cheaper","listText":"Everyone is gg electric vehicle. Oil will be cheaper","text":"Everyone is gg electric vehicle. Oil will be cheaper","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367834194","repostId":1123831681,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123831681","pubTimestamp":1614934053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123831681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123831681","media":"yahoo","summary":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices","content":"<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.</p><p>That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.</p><p>“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.</p><p>Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.</p><p>Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.</p><p>Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.</p><p>The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.</p><p>Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.</p><p>“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance_sg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil could miss out on the next commodity supercycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-05 16:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-could-miss-out-on-the-next-commodity-supercycle-204925704.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123831681","content_text":"Oil will be left on the sidelines of the next commodities supercycle as rising supply dampens prices, and the global transition to green energy intensifies.That’s the view from Capital Economics on a day whenOPEC+ surprised traders by committing to leave most of its production cuts in place through April. The announcement sent U.S. crude futures (CL=F) to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday. However, the London-based research firm does not expect prices for the pandemic-battered commodity to surge for long.“Slower demand growth and an abundance of supply will limit gains in oil prices over the long term, which we think will ultimately prevent oil from featuring in the next commodity supercycle,” assistant commodities economist Samuel Burman wrote in a research note on Thursday.Capital Economics believes global demand will peak around 2030, and fall continuously thereafter. The firm sees the transition to electric vehicles and sustainable energy being backed by a growing number of first-world governments leading to a “structural decline in oil consumption.” At the same time, it expects long-term economic damage from COVID-19 to limit demand from emerging markets, many of which are also embracing EVs.Commodities have seen four supercycles over the past 100 years. The last one peaked in 2008, after 12 years of expansion.Last month, two of the biggest banks on Wall Street -JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman Sachs- joined others predicting a new commodities supercycle as economies reopen and the risks of the pandemic subside.The expectation is for a long-term boom spanning oil, metals, and agricultural material prices. JPMorgan’s head of oil and gas, Christyan Malek, recently offered one of the most bullish forecasts for oil, suggesting international crude prices could rebound to US$100 per barrel.Burman is skeptical that another commodity supercycle is ramping up, and is less convinced that oil would be a strong performer if one were. He said metals for EVs, such as copper and nickel, are better positioned because demand is strong and increasing supply from mines is challenging.“The greater flexibility of U.S. shale production, and the desire by many oil producers, particularly in OPEC+, to avoid their reserves being left untapped means that the world will soon be awash with oil,” Burman wrote. “By contrast, metals mine supply involves much longer lead times, suffers from dwindling ore quality, and production can’t be ramped up as quickly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3722307,"gmtCreate":1614934933004,"gmtModify":1635758359735,"authorId":3575023630818985,"author":{"id":3575023630818985,"authorId":3575023630818985,"name":"KaedeNyu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5a3380d6cf7ff299cbbd1e794c1c8cc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":367834194,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>wow</u>","text":"<u>wow</u>","html":"<u>wow</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":77,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}