昨夜今晨：“四巫日”道指跌超500点，中概涨跌不一贝壳反弹_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

昨夜今晨：“四巫日”道指跌超500点，中概涨跌不一贝壳反弹

华尔街见闻2021-12-18

周五，投资者评估全球央行货币政策整体收紧对通胀和经济增长的影响，叠加美国市场“四巫日”常伴随的波动，美股大幅震荡，道指最终收跌超500点，金融和能源股领跌。疫情令市场担忧原油需求，WTI原油期货盘中跌幅一度达到3%。截至收盘，标普500指数收跌1.03%，本周累计下跌1.94%。道琼斯工业平均指数收跌1.48%，本周累跌1.68%。纳斯达克综合指数收跌0.07%，本周累跌2.95%。纳斯达克...

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Paulsen表示：“随着美联储变得更加鹰派且市场对更高利率的预期上升，投资者正在降低成长股的敞口。通常情况下，与价值股相比，成长股的久期更长，因为更多比例的现金流是在更远的将来才收到的。”\n中概股方面：\n热门中概收盘涨跌不一。一起教育科技涨11.8%，小赢科技涨超9%，迅雷涨7.4%，斗鱼涨7.1%，贝壳涨5.7%，金山云、雾芯科技涨5.1%，怪兽充电涨4.6%，虎牙涨4.1%，瑞幸咖啡涨2.6%，蘑菇街涨1.6%，网易有道涨1.5%，好未来跌1.1%，小鹏汽车跌1.2%，唯品会、知乎跌超2%，京东跌2.2%，途牛跌4.3%，掌门教育跌超5%，第九城市跌5.9%，趣头条跌11.3%。\n公司新闻方面：\n贝壳找房回应浑水公司做空，称浑水的报告毫无事实依据，存在大量事实错误、未经证实的陈述以及误导性猜测和解读，报告显示出浑水对中国的房产交易行业缺乏基本的认知。贝壳涨5.7%。\n\n当红美国电车股Rivian周四盘后公布了其上市后的第一份财报，结果不尽如人意。Rivian今年三季度净亏损12.33亿美元，符合预期，去年同期亏损2.88亿美元。公司称，距离年底生产1200辆的目标“还差几百辆”，首席执行官表示，在提高皮卡产量的同时，生产SUV的难度高于预期。Rivian跌超10%。\n联邦快递股价上涨约5%，此前公布的季度利润和营业收入超预期，并宣布进行50亿美元的回购。此外，公司还重申了其最初的2022年每股收益预测。\n医疗保健信息技术（HCIT）供应商塞纳（CERN）收涨超13%。周四美股盘后，道琼斯新闻报道称，甲骨文（ORCL）正在洽谈收购该公司，潜在的交易价值可能为300亿美元。\n宏观形势\n本周，全球主要央行密集召开货币政策会议，值此之际，投资者评估2022年前景。美联储加快缩减Taper的步伐，为明年加息铺平道路。英国央行意外加息15个基点对抗通胀，成为去年疫情爆发以来首个加息的主要央行。欧洲央行决定继续放慢抗疫紧急购债项目PEPP，但明年二季度提高常规购债规模。日本央行决定从明年4月起，减少商业票据和企业债持有量，虽然承诺仍维持超级宽松政策。全球整体偏紧的货币政策，令市场担忧会对经济增长有影响。\n美联储多位高官讲话，暗示未来行动路线。理事沃勒称，在明年3月购债结束后“不久”加息是有保障的，可准备明年3月或5月加息，在他看来3月是很可能的时间。联储三把手、纽约联储主席称，美联储不需要为遏制通胀进一步提速Taper，加息是经济向好的正面信号。今年有FOMC投票权的旧金山联储主席称，明年适合加息两到三次。\n疫情方面，本轮南非奥密克戎疫情中，只有1.7%的确诊病例入院，而德尔塔同期为19%；需要吸氧人数比例也有所下降，住院的非重症人数首次多过重症患者。南非本轮疫情住院率大幅下降，或表明奥密克戎感染可能见顶。不过，英国疫情形势依然严峻，单日确诊新冠病例连续三天打破纪录，周五新增93045例确诊，新增111例死亡。此外，美国纽约州新增逾2万例新冠确诊病例，单日新增创新高。\n大宗商品\n美油一度跌3%，英国和欧洲天然气期货本周暴涨超20%，德国电价全周疯狂\n市场担忧奥密克戎病毒影响需求，对油价周五构成压制。此外，美国史上最大规模释放战略油储正式启动，标售1800万桶持续到明年1月。WTI 1月原油期货收跌1.52美元，跌幅2.10%，报70.86美元/桶，盘中跌幅一度达到3%，本周累跌1.13%。布伦特2月原油期货收跌1.50美元，跌幅2%，报73.52美元/桶，本周累跌2.17%。\n虽然近来油价有些低迷，高盛继续唱多。高盛认为，奥密克戎病毒不会影响石油需求，受多个因素的支撑，石油需求将在2022年和2023年达到历史新高，油价有望突破100美元。\n欧洲天然气期货本周累涨逾20%。周五，ICE英国天然气期货收跌2.20%，报344.90便士/千卡，本周累计上涨26.16%，周四最高触及366便士。TTF基准荷兰天然气期货欧市尾盘跌0.53%，报134.9欧元/兆瓦时，本周累涨27.87%。\n德国未来一个月电价欧市尾盘跌9.73%，报371欧元，本周累涨47.51%。德国未来一年电价跌2.26%，报237.5欧元，本周累涨27.11%。\n黄金本周累涨超1%，伦铜回落，内盘期货夜盘多收涨\n周五，COMEX 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