6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱？答案扎心了_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱？答案扎心了

格隆汇2021-10-29

在中国，基民人数已经突破6亿，并且还有大把年轻人的理财意识正在觉醒。但买基金真的容易赚钱吗？近期，中证报联合3家基金公司发布《公募权益类基金投资者盈利洞察报告》，里面有几组数据引起了我的注意： 1、女性买基金比男性更赚钱。截至2021年3月31日，女性投资者平均收益率高出男性1.57个百分点。女性在投资上更舍得投入，平均投入26711元，比男性高出1500元，而且女性投资者比男性的平均交易频率...

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免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

干将莫邪
·2021-10-30
闲钱才能用来投资啊，男人们哪有闲钱啊
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干将莫邪
·2021-10-30
闲钱才能用来投资，成年男人的钱最紧🙈
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Xu徐公
·2021-10-29
长期持有？一般人买卖时间都掌握不到，持有时间越长越痛苦。最后还不是忍痛损失。
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新建文件夹2
·2021-10-29
国内的韭菜可以选择挂钩qqq和spy的qdii基金，按期定投，也有很大机会跑赢美股投资者
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韵涵
·2021-10-29
的确如此
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- 躺平躺到地狱了:
  元旦快乐！感谢支持！祝:2024年交大运，发大财！
  01-01
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朱时
·2021-10-29
韭菜怎么都是韭菜
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- godaddygo:
  [开心] [开心]
  2021-10-29
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阿O
·2021-10-29
转个机吧
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你失散多年的父亲
·2021-10-29
我只想一夜暴富。。。不想缓慢的增长。因为房价不等人，贫富差距大，不快点，贫富差距更大了。。。。
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- 古楼:
  你说的很实在，就是这样，没错对吧，谁想反驳呢，你所购买的东西都在涨，但你的工资发放，利润提取等等什么都不涨，有时候市场平衡真的好，但有时候市场需要平衡吗，平衡就真的好吗，不平衡又真的好吗，怎么才算是真的好，股市给你钱让你买了一套房真的好吗，你会不会想去买第二套房呢，股市不给你钱真的好吗，你所损失与得到的又是什么呢
  2021-10-29
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- 真的英雄:
  梦里什么都有
  2021-10-29
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- ryumine:
  结果在股市又当了富人的垫脚石
  2021-10-29
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The answer is 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这些绩优基金在遭遇最大回撤后，回到前期高点平均耗时1415天（近4年），占基金成立总天数的37%，而最大上涨区间占成立总天数的比例为22%，这个区间涨幅对基金净值的贡献达62%。\n\n100亿、6年、20%，如此优秀的基金经理，同样有超过1/3的时间是在回本，而60%以上的回报是在20%的时间里获得的。\n迷信冠军基金，这是基民的又一大痛点。\n基民做出购买基金决策时，60%的关注点放在了过往基金业绩身上。这是符合人性的，一是惯性思维，幻想着过去优秀的大概率会继续优秀；二是择基不想麻烦，省事想走捷径，最底层的懒癌发作。\n\n然而冠军基金并不能带来超额收益。天风研究显示，TOP10基金（每年末买入上年业绩最好的10只基金）与中证偏股型基金走势大体相符，并没有帮助投资者获取良好的收益。\n\n每年的冠军基金，往往是次两年的“坑”。截止10月26日，今年基金涨幅TOP3分别为前海开源公用事业、前海开源新经济A、全鹰民族新兴，涨幅均超过97%，大幅跑赢沪深300指数100%+。\n\n这3家基金收益冠军，我们可以发现均是重仓新能源产业链（含锂电池），包括比亚迪、宁德时代、亿纬锂能等，以及光伏产业链，包括阳光能源、隆基股份、晶澳科技等。\n\n今年基金冠亚军，均踩中了行业大风口。而在2020年3月之前的2年时间内，均取得了非常糟糕的成绩，涨幅为-7%、4%。\n冠军基金之所以能取得冠军，就是因为当年仓位配置激进，绝对重仓押注单个赛道，碰上当年热门风口，一举夺冠。而这往往不可持续，因为行业风口会大轮换。\n当然，基民亏钱不能完全怪自己。\n基金经理也是市场的一环，多有风格漂移、过度自信、盲目从众等弱点，业绩很难有持续性，让基民也很难受。\n\n这跟大A市场环境有一定关联。1.9亿股民在赌场里面厮杀，快涨快跌，高波动性让股市上蹿下跳，投资难度倍增。\n\n2周而复始\n今年前三季度，中国公募基金发行规模已经突破2.3万亿元，大有超越去年的火热势头。而去年全年规模高达29913亿元，创下历史最高记录。\n\n把时间维度拉长，20年来基金大规模发行跟大盘指数的表现均是密切相关的。第一波发行高潮是2007年，其次是2015年，还有就是去年到现在。\n\n2007年大牛市，受到赚钱效应刺激，基民排队购买基金，与当前线上火爆抢购可以一拼。2007年最高峰的时候，公募基金占比市值的25.7%。\n后来，股市崩盘，泡沫破裂，基民损失尤为惨重——基金份额大幅缩水，基金净值出现暴跌，5毛基金到处都是。当然，这对于基金业的发展冲击巨大。2010-2016年期间，公募市值占比从6.83%下降到区区只有3.28%，从市场绝对的话语权主力变成了一只不痛不痒的市场配角。\n过了很多年，市场再度火爆。2015年牛市，机构抱团疯炒小票，吸引大量基民参与资本市场。后来的剧情，大家也都知道了，前期疯炒的中小盘跌成狗，当年诸多牛股下跌到只剩2-3层，市场上的5毛基金再度出现，基民再度为股灾付出了承重的代价。\n后来，从2018年开始，公募基金开始追随外资的步伐，开始大幅重仓头部龙头，包括白酒、食品、新能源车、光伏等行业。\n经过2年多时间疯狂助推核心资产，公募基金也获利颇多，盈利中位数最近2年每年都维持了50%的高位水平。以史为鉴，过往将近20年历史，一般基金经过2-3年的大幅盈利之后，次年将遭遇下杀的概率很大。\n\n今年有些应验，基金小年板上钉钉。2021年上半年股票型基金平均收益率仅为8.31%，混合型基金为7.66%，QDII基金为8.7%。下半年行情也不怎么样，全年业绩应该跟过去两年相去甚远。尤其是去年被无数基民捧上天的所谓顶流基金，今年能不亏钱都算阿弥陀佛了。基金公司赚的盘满钵满，基民亏得一败涂地，顽疾无解。\n\n不管是股市，还是基金，人性没变，周而复始。\n3尾声\n查理芒格曾经说过，如果我知道我会死在哪里，那我就永远不会去那个地方。那么，对于聪明投资者而言，知道了基民缘何亏钱，就不要去趟浑水了。\n投资基金，看似简单，其实不然。尚佳策略或许是结合自己的行业能力圈去选择基金，并结合前10大重仓股估值高低去分批布局，而不是只看过往业绩表现。除此之外，选择前景行业的指数基金（ETF），并评估估值水平进行定投，也是一个好的办法。\n一切看起来容易，也知道很多道理，但依旧赚不了钱，这才是基民的常态。因为市场是一个博弈场，是不允许绝大多数人盈利的。\n很无奈，但这就是残酷现实。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":857278932,"gmtCreate":1635542710200,"gmtModify":1635542710200,"author":{"id":"3562512543957343","authorId":"3562512543957343","name":"干将莫邪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49f1f1147c782a9aea60ad6c2ea4eb4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3562512543957343","authorIdStr":"3562512543957343"},"htmlText":"闲钱才能用来投资啊，男人们哪有闲钱啊","listText":"闲钱才能用来投资啊，男人们哪有闲钱啊","text":"闲钱才能用来投资啊，男人们哪有闲钱啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857278932","repostId":1112317532,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":857278057,"gmtCreate":1635542643511,"gmtModify":1635561592604,"author":{"id":"3562512543957343","authorId":"3562512543957343","name":"干将莫邪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49f1f1147c782a9aea60ad6c2ea4eb4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3562512543957343","authorIdStr":"3562512543957343"},"htmlText":"闲钱才能用来投资，成年男人的钱最紧🙈","listText":"闲钱才能用来投资，成年男人的钱最紧🙈","text":"闲钱才能用来投资，成年男人的钱最紧🙈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857278057","repostId":1112317532,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":854721893,"gmtCreate":1635485323135,"gmtModify":1635485323135,"author":{"id":"3451434107033413","authorId":"3451434107033413","name":"Xu徐公","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6bb3faf839676c1549f799356e807c","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3451434107033413","authorIdStr":"3451434107033413"},"htmlText":"长期持有？一般人买卖时间都掌握不到，持有时间越长越痛苦。最后还不是忍痛损失。","listText":"长期持有？一般人买卖时间都掌握不到，持有时间越长越痛苦。最后还不是忍痛损失。","text":"长期持有？一般人买卖时间都掌握不到，持有时间越长越痛苦。最后还不是忍痛损失。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854721893","repostId":1112317532,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":854710743,"gmtCreate":1635481759070,"gmtModify":1635481759070,"author":{"id":"3520426307620642","authorId":"3520426307620642","name":"新建文件夹2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad2d17d456da8886e60f00f9593305d9","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3520426307620642","authorIdStr":"3520426307620642"},"htmlText":"国内的韭菜可以选择挂钩qqq和spy的qdii基金，按期定投，也有很大机会跑赢美股投资者","listText":"国内的韭菜可以选择挂钩qqq和spy的qdii基金，按期定投，也有很大机会跑赢美股投资者","text":"国内的韭菜可以选择挂钩qqq和spy的qdii基金，按期定投，也有很大机会跑赢美股投资者","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854710743","repostId":1112317532,"repostType":4,"i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