Buying The Dip Is Dead_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Buying The Dip Is Dead

seekingalpha2021-10-14

Summary Buying the dip died when the volatility sellers failed to show up. There's a mechanical reason why the market has not "bounced back." That mechanical reason has broken down due to fundamental...

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254

Lainey_Lim
·2021-10-15
Sad but seems true that buying the Dip is dead 💀
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非洲韭菜盒子
·2021-10-14
Buy the dip？中概股用这个逻辑得跳楼
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1
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Baby Step 4
·2021-10-14
So what do we do now ?
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4
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Kel9670ong
·2021-10-14
A huge re correction is coming
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3
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Mireyachen
·2021-10-14
Tiger has now become kitten already
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3
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Grest
·2021-10-14
Don’t catch the falling knife
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2
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MHh
·2021-10-14
Hmmm
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5
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3f585b4d
·2021-10-14
A lot of theory only. 😂
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2
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- koolgal:
  Yes I agree. 👍😊
  2021-10-22
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henglaw
·2021-10-14
It’s earnings week. Stay the course.
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8
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DenisL
·2021-10-14
It never happened for the last 27 years. So what changed
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2
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Ahvi
·2021-10-14
Coool
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3
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- 滚股怪:
  Cool
  2021-10-14
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MYrocket
·2021-10-14
Good read
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4
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embraceit
·2021-10-14
Buy at your preferred price and the price you are comfortable with.
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7
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bobsk
·2021-10-14
Just need to buy at a lower dip lolol
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4
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- skylander:
  nice
  2021-10-14
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AxelOng
·2021-10-14
We need data to support the trend
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5
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KYHBKO
·2021-10-14
buying the dip is here to stay. with research into the company's financials, earnings, this may help us to avoid catching a falling knife. let's do our due diligence before we invest.
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9
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- 滚股怪:
  Ert
  2021-10-14
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paracule
·2021-10-14
Buy the dip on uranium stocks work. Buy the dip on UPST, SE, amd looks fine. I'm green on them. Shut your bullshit article
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DragonKC
·2021-10-14
Ha, buy the dip is not dead. There will always be sellers n buyers. That how stock markets work. It's up to investors when the buy the dip.
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- hohok:
  yes
  2021-10-14
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Xiaomiiiii
·2021-10-14
Like please
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3
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CCYMoney
·2021-10-14
Hi
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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuying The Dip Is Dead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-14 11:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459696-buying-the-dip-is-dead><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nBuying the dip died when the volatility sellers failed to show up.\nThere's a mechanical reason why the market has not \"bounced back.\"\nThat mechanical reason has broken down due to fundamental...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459696-buying-the-dip-is-dead\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".SPX","symbol_name":"S&P 500 Index","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459696-buying-the-dip-is-dead","article_id":"1111412750","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111412750","pubTimestamp":1634182832,"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Summary\n\nBuying the dip died when the volatility sellers failed to show up.\nThere's a mechanical rea","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"translate_title":"买蘸酱是死的","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"Summary\n\nBuying the dip died when the volatility sellers failed to show up.\nThere's a mechanical reason why the market has not \"bounced back.\"\nThat mechanical reason has broken down due to fundamental shifts.\n\nThe market has been melting, and that \"buy the dip\" mentality seems to be in trouble. There's an excellent reason for why buying the dip hasn't worked, and probably why it won't work this time around either. All you have to do is look at the VIX and the SKEW indexes to understand why.\nFalling volatility has been a lynchpin of propping up the market every time it falters since the COVID low. Every time the market sank, the VIX would spike higher. Then, a swarm of traders would come in looking to short volatility, which would send the VIX lower, pushing the S&P 500 higher. However, that component of the market appears to be gone. The VIX has been steadily rising since June, with higher lows. More recently, the VIX hasn't been able to get below 18, and each drop in the S&P 500 has seen lower highs.\n\nAdditionally, the SKEW index has cratered in recent weeks. It's because traders that have been betting on volatility falling have likely been shorting at-the-money forms of it, and to hedge those positions, they have been buying out-of-money forms. It's why the SKEW index reached record highs in June as the VIX hit its lows.\nThe SKEW index wasn't rising into June 2021 because traders were trying to hedge against tail risk or an unforeseen event. The SKEW index was rising as a hedge against short volatility positions.\nIf volatility sellers do not return to this market, then a big piece of why the market always has been able to bounce back so quickly on every dip will be gone. Buying the dip will simply not work.\n\nBut with QE likely on its way out, financial conditions are likely to tighten as a result. It seems that volatility sellers have gone missing for a good reason. If that's the case, the considerable risk in the market isn't going to be the fear of missing out. The substantial risk is a meltdown, not all that dissimilar to that of 2018, which I have noted on several occasions many of the same similarities of today to back then.\nThe dollar index may be a big piece of that. It has been surging higher, and that the S&P 500 has been trading precisely the opposite to the dollar's move. When the dollar has been strengthening, the S&P 500 has been falling and vice versa. The dollar is telling us that tapering is coming and very soon. The stock market knows what this means too, and it isn't good for stocks.\nThe two-year Treasury rate has also been creeping higher and now stands at more than 35 bps. The two-year most likely needs to rise much more if the Fed is tapering. By the time the QE taper ended in October 2014, the two-year was around 50 to 60 bps. That means the two-year now has further to climb as this process commences potentially as soon as the November FOMC meeting.\nDespite the stronger dollar, the 10-year has been falling, and that's because the market is picking up on what I have been telling you for months. Growth rates here in the US and around the globe have been slowing and are now near stall speed. They have gotten so slow here in the US that the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is now projecting just a 1.3% third quarter growth rate, an enormous drop from the second-quarter reading of 6.7%.\n\nThe market knows that a strong dollar in regular times exports inflationary forces aboard in countries that buy commodities, finances debt, or conduct business in dollars. It's a global growth killer. On top of that, rising prices for things like energy are already likely to slow growth, and now with the dollar rising, it makes the problem even more prominent. It is driving the rates on the long-end of the curve lower and flattening the yield curve.\nThis time is different from previous pullbacks. This is why this time the pullback is only in its early phases. Earnings estimates have started to come down, and they are likely to come down further because if one thing is crystal clear, GDP growth expectations were way off base, and means that it is highly likely that earnings estimates are way off base, which means earnings growth rates will be heading lower or top of what they have declined.\n\nIt's just a matter of when the stock market realizes that a Fed tapering event will push the dollar index even higher at the worst possible time resulting in a massive global growth scare. Perhaps the biggest reason why the volatility sellers have left the building.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":825701647,"gmtCreate":1634256709946,"gmtModify":1634274408902,"author":{"id":"3586571907390098","authorId":"3586571907390098","name":"Lainey_Lim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6fef4f5ef7a67189e244e640a694be0","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Sad but seems true that buying the Dip is dead 💀","listText":"Sad but seems true that buying the Dip is dead 💀","text":"Sad but seems true that buying the Dip is dead 💀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825701647","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825825218,"gmtCreate":1634218856319,"gmtModify":1634218856319,"author":{"id":"3566900685391720","authorId":"3566900685391720","name":"非洲韭菜盒子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy the dip？中概股用这个逻辑得跳楼","listText":"Buy the dip？中概股用这个逻辑得跳楼","text":"Buy the dip？中概股用这个逻辑得跳楼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825825218","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825898143,"gmtCreate":1634215052519,"gmtModify":1634215052948,"author":{"id":"3585617155516823","authorId":"3585617155516823","name":"Baby Step 4","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ee1c9c06b2929c88e9f5bb3a24cf2d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"So what do we do now ?","listText":"So what do we do now ?","text":"So what do we do now ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825898143","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825163095,"gmtCreate":1634210195775,"gmtModify":1634210196016,"author":{"id":"3578468158955348","authorId":"3578468158955348","name":"Kel9670ong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd86c42e207fbd94e7f8877a29457d71","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"A huge re correction is coming","listText":"A huge re correction is coming","text":"A huge re correction is coming","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825163095","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825189213,"gmtCreate":1634209351675,"gmtModify":1634209351886,"author":{"id":"3580082297864003","authorId":"3580082297864003","name":"Mireyachen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a91c46253c0f6f4ea2e6ca14c8079872","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Tiger has now become kitten already","listText":"Tiger has now become kitten already","text":"Tiger has now become kitten already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825189213","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825117365,"gmtCreate":1634209195706,"gmtModify":1634209195978,"author":{"id":"3581503320247876","authorId":"3581503320247876","name":"Grest","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Don’t catch the falling knife&nbsp;","listText":"Don’t catch the falling knife&nbsp;","text":"Don’t catch the falling knife","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825117365","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825135779,"gmtCreate":1634208332598,"gmtModify":1634208333073,"author":{"id":"4091758936365950","authorId":"4091758936365950","name":"MHh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54b2feced9ef5dcc9e95997d1f4db280","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825135779","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825325428,"gmtCreate":1634203422915,"gmtModify":1634203422915,"author":{"id":"4094345516143680","authorId":"4094345516143680","name":"3f585b4d","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"A lot of theory only. 😂","listText":"A lot of theory only. 😂","text":"A lot of theory only. 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825325428","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6284783,"gmtCreate":1634872282651,"gmtModify":1634872282651,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":825325428,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes I agree. 👍😊","text":"Yes I agree. 👍😊","html":"Yes I agree. 👍😊"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825320385,"gmtCreate":1634202876189,"gmtModify":1634202876189,"author":{"id":"4094906971334360","authorId":"4094906971334360","name":"henglaw","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"It’s earnings week. Stay the course.","listText":"It’s earnings week. Stay the course.","text":"It’s earnings week. Stay the course.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825320385","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825317780,"gmtCreate":1634200805757,"gmtModify":1634200805937,"author":{"id":"4088158505984320","authorId":"4088158505984320","name":"DenisL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d13e043c2c38e5d7bfd53d016d5c6bf","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"It never happened for the last 27 years. So what changed&nbsp;","listText":"It never happened for the last 27 years. So what changed&nbsp;","text":"It never happened for the last 27 years. So what changed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825317780","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825311548,"gmtCreate":1634200059098,"gmtModify":1634200059098,"author":{"id":"3574166160473753","authorId":"3574166160473753","name":"Ahvi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd216b3fbf19641a7fe648254585ce79","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Coool","listText":"Coool","text":"Coool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825311548","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":6198710,"gmtCreate":1634222520081,"gmtModify":1634635809170,"authorId":4091089381144950,"author":{"id":4091089381144950,"authorId":4091089381144950,"name":"滚股怪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b67621b4133ca0db91bff9766152a448","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":825311548,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Cool","text":"Cool","html":"Cool"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825331796,"gmtCreate":1634199315881,"gmtModify":1634199315881,"author":{"id":"3581736647111231","authorId":"3581736647111231","name":"MYrocket","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd0bde4772d2934a09fe0d71f75dbe43","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825331796","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825305882,"gmtCreate":1634197820721,"gmtModify":1634197820721,"author":{"id":"4087110108494710","authorId":"4087110108494710","name":"embraceit","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy at your preferred price and the price you are comfortable with.","listText":"Buy at your preferred price and the price you are comfortable with.","text":"Buy at your preferred price and the price you are comfortable with.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825305882","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825309960,"gmtCreate":1634196658789,"gmtModify":1634196658789,"author":{"id":"3583206503018157","authorId":"3583206503018157","name":"bobsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de805e0ba0f6207aca22cf1f4d68192f","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Just need to buy at a lower dip lolol","listText":"Just need to buy at a lower dip lolol","text":"Just need to buy at a lower dip 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need data to support the trend&nbsp;","listText":"We need data to support the trend&nbsp;","text":"We need data to support the trend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825976773","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825940796,"gmtCreate":1634193966230,"gmtModify":1634193966230,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","vip":2,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"buying the dip is here to stay. with research into the company's financials, earnings, this may help us to avoid catching a falling knife. let's do our due diligence before we invest.&nbsp;","listText":"buying the dip is here to stay. with research into the company's financials, earnings, this may help us to avoid catching a falling knife. let's do our due diligence before we invest.&nbsp;","text":"buying the dip is here to stay. with research into the company's financials, earnings, this may help us to avoid catching a falling knife. let's do our due diligence before we 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the dip on uranium stocks work. Buy the dip on UPST, SE, amd looks fine. I'm green on them. Shut your bullshit article","listText":"Buy the dip on uranium stocks work. Buy the dip on UPST, SE, amd looks fine. I'm green on them. Shut your bullshit article","text":"Buy the dip on uranium stocks work. Buy the dip on UPST, SE, amd looks fine. I'm green on them. Shut your bullshit article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825940469","repostId":1111412750,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":825951010,"gmtCreate":1634193024345,"gmtModify":1634193024640,"author":{"id":"3577178099298017","authorId":"3577178099298017","name":"DragonKC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90c63c67a4e5f91e9dc0159f5b853ab","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ha,&nbsp; buy the dip is not dead. 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