如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

如果特朗普不认输，会发生什么？

长安街知事2020-11-05

美国大选仍陷于胶着之中，形势落后的特朗普已经提出要重新统计威斯康星州的选票。美媒指出，特朗普需要为重新计票支付大约300万美元，而他的竞选团队正在打电话给支持者“寻求帮助”。与此同时，全美都面临一个非常现实的问题：即使拜登在民意和选举人投票上都是赢家，特朗普仍可能拒绝认输。美国媒体分析了几种特朗普拒绝认输的可能性，在最坏的情况下，一场宪法危机将会到来。特朗普说过的狠话对于特朗普拒绝认输的担心不是...

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牛头山叟
·2020-11-06
游资游来游去找去处
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啤酒肚
·2020-11-06
其实换个层面很佩服美国这种斗争精神，都一把年纪了本该颐养天年在家抱孙子，却在名利场上争得你死我活，这种不服输的精神值得学习。
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- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
  2020-11-06
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里海爸爸
·2020-11-06
有些评论和特朗普一样，无知狂妄幼稚
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辛勤的老牛
·2020-11-06
干脆，民主党，共和党的支持者干一架，谁赢谁当总统！
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天眼天眼
·2020-11-06
继续闹吧，我继续看热闹，闹得越大越好。
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- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
  2020-11-06
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猛逃
·2020-11-06
👂房太监们，搞不明白这是咋回子事，却十分关心，还煞有介事地评论着⋯⋯[晕]
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顺盈
·2020-11-06
看谁造假选票，毕竟人人有一票
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妖王狙击手
·2020-11-06
惊天反转！特朗普输了？2020美国大选相当诡异，本来特朗普选情好过拜登，并在推特上放出豪言：I will be making a statement tonight A big WIN！今晚我会发表声明，大获全胜。大家都认为拜登凉凉的情况下，剧情突然逆转。现在或许轮到特朗普“凉凉”了。昨天看到《华邮》上一篇文章的一段话，有左极端，不过理念上说得倒是到位，完整话（如果拜登当选）这个国家将回归这样一个时代：大多数美国人将不会每日遭受总统的挑拨，政府官员也将因其能力和忠诚而得到提拔，并非靠奉承拍马的能力。总统的成功与否也只取决于政绩而电视收视率。虽然我不认可他这样评价懂王，特朗普还是有不少实实在在政绩的，但是这句话确实有“正能量”。继续期待谁成为当选者。
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FTW
·2020-11-06
阿猫阿狗太监评房事
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华美虎
·2020-11-06
痞劲十足[得意]
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Princes7s
·2020-11-06
只想知道，有什么能投资的股票
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- 超_9323:
  伯克希尔去投资吧看好你
  2020-11-06
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董不懂
·2020-11-06
川普王，大美兴
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Fred_6810
·2020-11-05
法治国际，法庭上见。
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Fred_6810
·2020-11-05
呵呵
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蘇格抄底
·2020-11-05
邮寄是特不靠谱，就像水军可以有几百张身份证
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- 笑不露鼻孔:
  哇⊙ω⊙有道理，快把这个线索推给建国同志，一定让他坚持重新选举
  2020-11-06
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Fred_6810
·2020-11-05
美国是法治国家。如果美国人民这次就是选的拜登，他只能下台，难道还能篡改宪法不成？当总统只是一份工作，收入不咋滴，也没好处。换份工作挺好的。
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花花999
·2020-11-05
民主党造假。
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- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
  2020-11-05
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James_4056
·2020-11-05
长安街之事，怪不得是这种论调
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- 社区成长助手:
  终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引
  2020-11-05
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安徐正静1
·2020-11-05
特朗普很腐败是一定的了，问题是，他会不会成为美国版的朴槿惠？他为了避免这种情况，什么都干得出来，世界大乱........
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nissy
·2020-11-05
红脖子在干嘛呢？上京勤王啊
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，不用去管在那之后寄到的选票。特朗普还一再暗示，如果要他接受拜登的胜利，唯一的办法就是经过最高法院来裁决。不久前，自由派大法官金斯伯格去世后，特朗普迅速提名保守派法官巴雷特填补空缺。他明确表示，希望巴雷特能在最高法院任职，从而对选举期间出现的争端做出裁决。特朗普与巴雷特（右）特朗普似乎已经做好了相应的准备，在选举日之前的周日，他对记者说：“选举一结束，我们就将与律师进行商议。”特朗普将如何挑战选举结果美媒认为，特朗普可以用几个不同的方式拒绝承认失败。第一种情况是，如果选举日的计票结果显示特朗普以微弱的优势领先，他会在最终结果公布前就宣布获胜。消息人士告诉Axios网站，特朗普一直计划这样做。虽然特朗普在11月1日否认了这些报道，但他在11月4日还是这样做了。当地时间4日凌晨2点，特朗普在白宫东翼发表投票日之后的首次演讲，在最终计票结果尚未公布的情况下，他自称：“我们正准备赢下这场选举，直白点说，我们已经赢得此次大选。”特朗普还表示，他计划向联邦最高法院提起诉讼，要求从4日凌晨4时起各地停止接收邮寄选票。11月3日，人们在美国纽约时报广场观看实时计票结果。另一种情况是，最终计票结果显示拜登在普选和选举人团中都以微弱的优势胜过特朗普，但特朗普拒绝接受这些结果，理由是对选民欺诈和非法选票。同样在4日凌晨，特朗普毫无根据地称此次大选是“对美国公众的欺诈……是我们国家的耻辱”。CNN指出，特朗普坚持认为他领先的那些州应该停止计票，事实上很多合法选票还未计入。他还在推特上写道：“我们感到非常震惊，他们（民主党）正在试图窃取美国大选，我们永远都不会让他们得逞，投票所关闭后就（应当）无法再投票！”然而，推特官方直接把他的消息标记并隐藏，将帖文设置共享限制，阻止他进一步宣传。作为现任总统，特朗普的权力巨大。正如无党派组织“完整过渡计划”(Transition Integrity Project)创始人罗莎·布鲁克斯所指出的，拜登只能召开新闻发布会，特朗普却可以调动第82空降师。11月3日，工人为美国纽约一家商店安装防护板。专家预测，在最坏的情况下，特朗普拒绝接受选举结果将引发一场宪法危机，以及广泛的社会动荡和潜在的暴力党派冲突。根据“完整过渡计划”项目的报告，“大选后发生暴力冲突的可能性很高”。特朗普拒绝让步会导致什么结果？事实上，仅仅发推特说选举“被操纵”是不足以推翻计票结果的。长期担任共和党选举事务律师，曾在2000年重计选票官司中在布什团队担纲重要角色的知名律师本杰明·金斯伯格指出，“要想成功指责选举是一场欺诈，总统候选人必须逐个区域证明，要搜集足够的欺诈性选票才可以改变选举结果。夸张的言论在选举诉讼中不会产生任何影响。”除了把官司打到最高法院之外，特朗普及其团队还有一种理论上的取胜之道：让共和党控制的州立法机构任命特朗普的支持者进入“选举人团” (electoral college)，直接去选特朗普。虽然在美国历史上的大部分时间里，各州都允许民众投票决定选举人，但《大西洋月刊》报道说，州议会可以很容易地选择收回选举权，因为宪法将选举人的任命完全交给各州。俄亥俄州立大学宪法学教授、选举法专家爱德华·弗利(Edward Foley)指出，在宾夕法尼亚、密歇根州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州这几个竞争非常激烈、而且州长和立法机构分属不同党派的地方，州长（民主党）和州议会（共和党）可以提交两份不同的选举结果。但是在这种情况下，国会是否应该接受州长的选举名单，或者根本不计算该州的选举人票，目前尚无定论。特朗普（左）与拜登如何处理两份不同的选举结果？路透社称，学者们提出两种可能：第一，如果两方完全无法达成一致，作为参议院议长的现任副总统彭斯可以决定由谁当选；另一种观点认为，众议院最终会在拜登和特朗普之间做出选择。甚至还有一种最出人意料的情况，双方僵持不下，众议院议长佩洛西可能成为代理总统。尽管发生的可能性很小，但不论上述哪种情况最终出现，都意味着美国迎来一场宪法危机。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":302289520,"gmtCreate":1604650306660,"gmtModify":1703834259225,"author":{"id":"3566961646159890","authorId":"3566961646159890","name":"牛头山叟","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566961646159890","authorIdStr":"3566961646159890"},"htmlText":"游资游来游去找去处","listText":"游资游来游去找去处","text":"游资游来游去找去处","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302289520","repostId":1110078379,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":302646928,"gmtCreate":1604631218964,"gmtModify":1703834181254,"author":{"id":"3563861764850246","authorId":"3563861764850246","name":"啤酒肚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ef79500786c0612f3fa3e46fac0d30","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563861764850246","authorIdStr":"3563861764850246"},"htmlText":"其实换个层面很佩服美国这种斗争精神，都一把年纪了本该颐养天年在家抱孙子，却在名利场上争得你死我活，这种不服输的精神值得学习。","listText":"其实换个层面很佩服美国这种斗争精神，都一把年纪了本该颐养天年在家抱孙子，却在名利场上争得你死我活，这种不服输的精神值得学习。","text":"其实换个层面很佩服美国这种斗争精神，都一把年纪了本该颐养天年在家抱孙子，却在名利场上争得你死我活，这种不服输的精神值得学习。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302646928","repostId":1110078379,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3007757,"gmtCreate":1604631391804,"gmtModify":1604631391804,"authorId":3527667803686145,"author":{"id":3527667803686145,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorId":3527667803686145,"name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":302646928,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/934879903\">老虎社区创作指引</a>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":302682561,"gmtCreate":1604622131953,"gmtModify":1703834128024,"author":{"id":"3518527627041174","authorId":"3518527627041174","name":"猛逃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518527627041174","authorIdStr":"3518527627041174"},"htmlText":"👂房太监们，搞不明白这是咋回子事，却十分关心，还煞有介事地评论着⋯⋯[晕]&nbsp;","listText":"👂房太监们，搞不明白这是咋回子事，却十分关心，还煞有介事地评论着⋯⋯[晕]&nbsp;","text":"👂房太监们，搞不明白这是咋回子事，却十分关心，还煞有介事地评论着⋯⋯[晕]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302682561","repostId":1110078379,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":302636775,"gmtCreate":1604617573497,"gmtModify":1703834097020,"author":{"id":"3521353871016651","authorId":"3521353871016651","name":"顺盈","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3521353871016651","authorIdStr":"3521353871016651"},"htmlText":"看谁造假选票，毕竟人人有一票","listText":"看谁造假选票，毕竟人人有一票","text":"看谁造假选票，毕竟人人有一票","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/302636775","repostId":1110078379,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":302845969,"gmtCreate":1604598843451,"gmtModify":1703834049269,"author":{"id":"3564548702989988","authorId":"3564548702989988","name":"妖王狙击手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf0f885b52b9526e3e4913e3114fdb95","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3564548702989988","authorIdStr":"3564548702989988"},"htmlText":"惊天反转！特朗普输了？2020美国大选相当诡异，本来特朗普选情好过拜登，并在推特上放出豪言：I 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