The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?

MarketWatch2021-03-19

10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...

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fazrokers
·2021-03-21
random
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KylerLee
·2021-03-19
Hang tight growth stocks.
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- 314d0522:
  [微笑]
  2021-03-19
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TW1
·2021-03-19
Ok
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TW1
·2021-03-19
Ok
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Jinyuan
·2021-03-19
Like and comment plsYou can never understand human behavior. Bond yields are supposed to be stable but yet they soar [捂脸]
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- ahswee:
  agreed. please like and comment thanks!
  2021-03-19
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- Jinyuan:
  Commented! Pla comment to my comment too!
  2021-03-19
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- ahswee回复Jinyuan:
  nice!
  2021-03-19
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imteng87
·2021-03-19
Buy in dip
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3
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- Nebhol:
  Buy the dip definitely
  2021-03-19
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shaunlohloh
·2021-03-19
Hello like and comment too
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4
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- KyleFong:
  Sure. Please reply here back
  2021-03-19
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LEEKONGYONG
·2021-03-19
Like my comment please
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5
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- shaunlohloh:
  Hello. pls help too :-)
  2021-03-19
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- KyleFong:
  Sure. Please reply here back
  2021-03-19
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LEEKONGYONG
·2021-03-19
Market is free to short bond, yield curve control please
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MrSoh
·2021-03-19
Like please
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5
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- schsch:
  sure comment and like[开心]
  2021-03-19
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leexy
·2021-03-19
Like and comment
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5
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- zzcloud88zz:
  Okdone
  2021-03-19
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La0Hu0Tang
·2021-03-19
What gives ?
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2
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- cphoebe:
  Hmm
  2021-03-19
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ALT
·2021-03-19
Please like and comment thanks
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- La0Hu0Tang:
  Comment me pls
  2021-03-19
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- leexy:
  Done
  2021-03-19
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Ma_Yi_Long
·2021-03-19
pls like n respond to my post
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- ALT:
  Pls likE baCk
  2021-03-19
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- La0Hu0Tang:
  Comment me pls
  2021-03-19
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What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":".DJI","symbol_name":"道琼斯","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","article_id":"1104563102","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"market_watch","name":"华尔街大事件"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"marketwatch.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"translate_title":"美联储态度温和，但债券收益率却在飙升。什么给了？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9},"content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":359915784,"gmtCreate":1616319252348,"gmtModify":1634526355994,"author":{"id":"3579362351112270","authorId":"3579362351112270","name":"fazrokers","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0164b69c4070fb492c3a85d878da98f3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"random","listText":"random","text":"random","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359915784","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. 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What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327444718,"gmtCreate":1616120317934,"gmtModify":1634527128272,"author":{"id":"3574746761625491","authorId":"3574746761625491","name":"KylerLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6343877b4edfb9ffddbfde9273a3a1b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Hang tight growth stocks.&nbsp;","listText":"Hang tight growth stocks.&nbsp;","text":"Hang tight growth stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327444718","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832629,"gmtCreate":1616120610731,"gmtModify":1635752327762,"authorId":3575672525273340,"author":{"id":3575672525273340,"authorId":3575672525273340,"name":"314d0522","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327444718,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327441841,"gmtCreate":1616119852083,"gmtModify":1634527131454,"author":{"id":"3575414666461571","authorId":"3575414666461571","name":"TW1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327441841","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327441300,"gmtCreate":1616119826700,"gmtModify":1634527131694,"author":{"id":"3575414666461571","authorId":"3575414666461571","name":"TW1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327441300","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327427924,"gmtCreate":1616118792268,"gmtModify":1634527139231,"author":{"id":"3574286103228100","authorId":"3574286103228100","name":"Jinyuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b083889e4ac40197a5ea0a1dcc0193c4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Like and comment plsYou can never understand human behavior. Bond yields are supposed to be stable but yet they soar [捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment plsYou can never understand human behavior. Bond yields are supposed to be stable but yet they soar [捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment plsYou can never understand human behavior. Bond yields are supposed to be stable but yet they soar [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327427924","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832756,"gmtCreate":1616121894616,"gmtModify":1635752320354,"authorId":3569301571685332,"author":{"id":3569301571685332,"authorId":3569301571685332,"name":"ahswee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df9d1562760402e99c23de8c7a82773","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327427924,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"agreed. please like and comment thanks!","text":"agreed. please like and comment thanks!","html":"agreed. please like and comment thanks!"},{"id":3832865,"gmtCreate":1616122952810,"gmtModify":1635752313798,"authorId":3574286103228100,"author":{"id":3574286103228100,"authorId":3574286103228100,"name":"Jinyuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b083889e4ac40197a5ea0a1dcc0193c4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327427924,"type":1,"supId":3832756,"prevId":0,"content":"Commented! Pla comment to my comment too! ","text":"Commented! Pla comment to my comment too! ","html":"Commented! Pla comment to my comment too! "},{"id":3833971,"gmtCreate":1616134877475,"gmtModify":1635752241595,"authorId":3569301571685332,"author":{"id":3569301571685332,"authorId":3569301571685332,"name":"ahswee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df9d1562760402e99c23de8c7a82773","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3574286103228100,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3574286103228100,"authorId":3574286103228100,"name":"Jinyuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b083889e4ac40197a5ea0a1dcc0193c4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":327427924,"type":1,"supId":3832756,"prevId":3832865,"content":"nice!","text":"nice!","html":"nice!"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":327482260,"gmtCreate":1616117365250,"gmtModify":1634527152741,"author":{"id":"3567166157226906","authorId":"3567166157226906","name":"imteng87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85b7b030b8b0786177d474964394bab4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy in dip","listText":"Buy in dip","text":"Buy in dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327482260","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832199,"gmtCreate":1616117456071,"gmtModify":1635752359652,"authorId":3567411499210880,"author":{"id":3567411499210880,"authorId":3567411499210880,"name":"Nebhol","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0bfc2a45b91e41a283614268857b3a5","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327482260,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Buy the dip definitely","text":"Buy the dip definitely","html":"Buy the dip definitely"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327486093,"gmtCreate":1616117301012,"gmtModify":1634527153557,"author":{"id":"3554971279962368","authorId":"3554971279962368","name":"shaunlohloh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9417d251e570e152139797ec05b5914","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Hello like and comment too","listText":"Hello like and comment too","text":"Hello like and comment too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327486093","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832264,"gmtCreate":1616117894055,"gmtModify":1635752355305,"authorId":3571137612858065,"author":{"id":3571137612858065,"authorId":3571137612858065,"name":"KyleFong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17389fa1acf21e046b50105e4b79fa8","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327486093,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Sure. Please reply here back","text":"Sure. Please reply here back","html":"Sure. Please reply here back"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327483379,"gmtCreate":1616117044491,"gmtModify":1634527155564,"author":{"id":"3570232772432396","authorId":"3570232772432396","name":"LEEKONGYONG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74d9c9f2649cfda0fddd357a5291916","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Like my comment please","listText":"Like my comment please","text":"Like my comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327483379","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832168,"gmtCreate":1616117286086,"gmtModify":1635752362061,"authorId":3554971279962368,"author":{"id":3554971279962368,"authorId":3554971279962368,"name":"shaunlohloh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9417d251e570e152139797ec05b5914","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327483379,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hello. pls help too :-)","text":"Hello. pls help too :-)","html":"Hello. pls help too :-)"},{"id":3832268,"gmtCreate":1616117915400,"gmtModify":1635752354818,"authorId":3571137612858065,"author":{"id":3571137612858065,"authorId":3571137612858065,"name":"KyleFong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17389fa1acf21e046b50105e4b79fa8","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327483379,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Sure. Please reply here back ","text":"Sure. Please reply here back ","html":"Sure. Please reply here back "}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327489744,"gmtCreate":1616117015888,"gmtModify":1634527155801,"author":{"id":"3570232772432396","authorId":"3570232772432396","name":"LEEKONGYONG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74d9c9f2649cfda0fddd357a5291916","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Market is free to short bond, yield curve control please","listText":"Market is free to short bond, yield curve control please","text":"Market is free to short bond, yield curve control please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327489744","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327414493,"gmtCreate":1616116701012,"gmtModify":1634527156864,"author":{"id":"3574575782343795","authorId":"3574575782343795","name":"MrSoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5bdec030dd49d0dabdf0b9138e4311a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327414493","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832159,"gmtCreate":1616117223050,"gmtModify":1635752362902,"authorId":3575927670533252,"author":{"id":3575927670533252,"authorId":3575927670533252,"name":"schsch","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327414493,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"sure comment and like[开心]","text":"sure comment and like[开心]","html":"sure comment and like[开心]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327415276,"gmtCreate":1616116591595,"gmtModify":1634527157710,"author":{"id":"3563930588845537","authorId":"3563930588845537","name":"leexy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99683f45d54760b438ec2c1856261ad3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327415276","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832138,"gmtCreate":1616117049018,"gmtModify":1635752365201,"authorId":3560223458534375,"author":{"id":3560223458534375,"authorId":3560223458534375,"name":"zzcloud88zz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c778f20822cc4b80c4c832a0775addbf","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327415276,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Okdone","text":"Okdone","html":"Okdone"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327412073,"gmtCreate":1616116502292,"gmtModify":1634527159006,"author":{"id":"3556520970499983","authorId":"3556520970499983","name":"La0Hu0Tang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75337e153897f5c0f3b5f47674132fd1","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"What gives ?","listText":"What gives ?","text":"What gives ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327412073","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832072,"gmtCreate":1616116536763,"gmtModify":1631894127988,"authorId":3575160629791342,"author":{"id":3575160629791342,"authorId":3575160629791342,"name":"cphoebe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a18a377d642ecf97986ffb08af0fd53e","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327412073,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","html":"Hmm"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327416547,"gmtCreate":1616116498489,"gmtModify":1634527159125,"author":{"id":"3575346220147121","authorId":"3575346220147121","name":"ALT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be5ce591282da3fbb11ca2132a854e2","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Please like and comment thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment thanks&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327416547","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832065,"gmtCreate":1616116517367,"gmtModify":1635752370157,"authorId":3556520970499983,"author":{"id":3556520970499983,"authorId":3556520970499983,"name":"La0Hu0Tang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75337e153897f5c0f3b5f47674132fd1","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327416547,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Comment me pls","text":"Comment me pls","html":"Comment me pls"},{"id":3832084,"gmtCreate":1616116609674,"gmtModify":1635752368718,"authorId":3563930588845537,"author":{"id":3563930588845537,"authorId":3563930588845537,"name":"leexy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99683f45d54760b438ec2c1856261ad3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327416547,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Done","text":"Done","html":"Done"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":327416080,"gmtCreate":1616116462840,"gmtModify":1634527159364,"author":{"id":"3557722898030015","authorId":"3557722898030015","name":"Ma_Yi_Long","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87e91b153216a6f84a5a4ac58894a42e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"pls like n respond to my post","listText":"pls like n respond to my post","text":"pls like n respond to my post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327416080","repostId":1104563102,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104563102","pubTimestamp":1616116184,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104563102?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104563102","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Fede","content":"<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%</p><p>Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury note yield&nbsp;was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield&nbsp;was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.</p><p>Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.</p><p>Here are some of the theories being thrown around:</p><p><b>Average Inflation Targeting</b></p><p>After the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.</p><p>At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.</p><p>By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.</p><p>“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.</p><p>Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.</p><p>The 5-year break-even rate&nbsp;was around 30 basis points higher&nbsp;than the 10-year break-even rate.</p><p>“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.</p><p><b>Credibility</b></p><p>Amid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note&nbsp;and 7-year note.</p><p>As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.</p><p>After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.</p><p>Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.</p><p>“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.</p><p><b>Big in Japan?</b></p><p>Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.</p><p>“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.</p><p>The Bank of Japan&nbsp;during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.</p><p>The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.</p><p>BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the&nbsp;BoJ’s&nbsp;easing program more sustainable in the long run.</p><p>Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield&nbsp;jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.</p><p>As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.</p><p>Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;saw a modest pullback.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed is dovish but bond yields are soaring. What gives?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-is-dovish-but-bond-yields-are-soaring-what-gives-11616089693?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1104563102","content_text":"10-year Treasury yield flirts with 1.75%Only a day after analysts had hailed the victory of the Federal Reserve over traders doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep monetary policy easy for an extended period, bond yields rose sharply on Thursday.The 10-year Treasury note yield was up nearly 10 basis points to around 1.74%, around its highest level since January 2020. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond yield was knocking on the door of 2.5%, near its loftiest level since mid-2019. Bond prices move inversely to yields.Investors are now scrambling to understand what has prompted the renewed volatility in a Treasury market that appeared to have calmed down after Wednesday’s Fed meeting.Here are some of the theories being thrown around:Average Inflation TargetingAfter the meeting, market participants said Powell’s dovish messaging was, in fact, responsible for higher long-term yields.At the postmeeting news-conference, Powell underlined the central bank would stick to its new framework of average inflation targeting, which would in theory only see the central bank contemplate less accommodative policy if inflation managed a sustained overshoot of 2%.By confirming the Fed’s willingness to stand pat, even if inflation saw a temporary surge beyond 2%, investors may be raising the probability the economy will run hot in the next few years without having to worry about the central bank pulling away the market’s punchbowl. In that scenario, long-term bond yields would have little protection against the risk of an inflationary surge.“This new inflation framework is destined for a steeper yield curve,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, in an interview, referring to the spread between short-term and long-term yields.Yet markets were sending mixed messages. Break-even rates that show inflation expectations among holders of Treasury inflation-protected securities indicated investors did not see price pressures persisting over the longer term.The 5-year break-even rate was around 30 basis points higher than the 10-year break-even rate.“The market is pricing in transitory inflation,” said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in an interview.CredibilityAmid the Treasury-market selloff, the sharpest rises were seen among medium-term maturities like the 5-year note and 7-year note.As a proxy for interest-rate expectations over the next few years, their surge could also have suggested investors may be doubting the central bank’s pledge to keep policy accommodative for a sustained stretch of time.After all, analysts remarked there was only so much the central bank could do to fight investors’ tendency to look ahead.Given the enormous uncertainty around inflation and economic growth as the economy fully reopens and stimulus makes its way into households’ pockets, it was difficult to know where Fed policy would be in a year’s time when the growth and inflation outlook was just as murky.“This cycle is so much, so fast, and so soon. A lot of things are getting distorted,” said Rybinski.Big in Japan?Yet for all the speculation around whether the Fed was the trigger for the Treasury selloff on Thursday, some analysts were looking abroad for answers.“Global central banks came out overnight with a more hawkish stance,” said Miskin.The Bank of Japan during its two-day meeting was looking to adjust its yield-curve control policy where it keeps long-term interest rates capped but allows them to trade in a tight range, according to a report from Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei.The BOJ’s measures would allow the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to move in a range between 0.25% and negative 0.25%, compared with the current range of 0.20% and negative 0.20%.BofA Global strategists said the tweak would allow “further back-end steepening of the [Japanese government bond] curve, alleviating some of the pressure on financial institutions, and making the BoJ’s easing program more sustainable in the long run.Soon after the report, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield jumped, moving from an intraday low of 0.085% to a high of 0.122%. The 10-year has since steadied at 0.107%, according to Tradeweb data.As an anchor of bond yields across the world, analysts said rising rates in Japan can be amplified into broader weakness in Europe and U.S. bonds as Japanese investors reassess the gains from holding domestic debt over their overseas peers.Meanwhile, the jump in Treasury yields was blamed forrenewed pressure on growth-oriented stocks, which stand to suffer most from higher rates due to lofty valuations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumped more than 3% in Thursday trade, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 saw a modest pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":3832067,"gmtCreate":1616116521266,"gmtModify":1635752370032,"authorId":3575346220147121,"author":{"id":3575346220147121,"authorId":3575346220147121,"name":"ALT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be5ce591282da3fbb11ca2132a854e2","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327416080,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Pls likE baCk","text":"Pls likE baCk","html":"Pls likE baCk"},{"id":3832069,"gmtCreate":1616116524542,"gmtModify":1635752369912,"authorId":3556520970499983,"author":{"id":3556520970499983,"authorId":3556520970499983,"name":"La0Hu0Tang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75337e153897f5c0f3b5f47674132fd1","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":327416080,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Comment me pls","text":"Comment me pls","html":"Comment me pls"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":40,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}