夜读 | 交易成功的秘密是什么?_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

夜读 | 交易成功的秘密是什么?

红与绿2022-05-13

几乎所有成功的投资者都是孤独者，因为他们常要做和大众不同的事！弗莫尔曾指出：一位成功的炒手必须如一位成功的商人，正确地预见未来的需求，适时进货，耐心地等待盈利的时刻。要有成为投资专家的欲望无论做什么,没有欲望是不可能成功的。缺少欲望,你会在碰到些小困难时就打退堂鼓。股友们或许会说：“我欲望很强烈,我很想在股市发财。”真是这么回事吗？美国有超过3000万的股民，华尔街曾经对一般的股民做过调查，其结果...

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巧干
·2022-05-31
胜率和盈亏比都重要
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铭发
·2022-05-15
🍏
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1
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浴缸潜水员
·2022-05-14
对于大多数人来说，炒股是游戏，所以，你讲那么多没用。[捂脸]
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闲人马斯克
·2022-05-14
长线，大跌时买入
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闲人马斯克
·2022-05-14
长线，大跌时买入
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被幸福敲了门的人
·2022-05-14
秘密就是少交易，哈哈哈😄
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龙行天下188
·2022-05-14
为了实现赚点零花钱的目标，结果本金都亏损了。地狱只有18层，股票不只18层。要想做一个成功的猎人，就要学会18般功夫。上知天文，下知地理，才能有成功的机会。
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- 文军_1944:
  疯疯癫癫
  2022-05-15
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- In_s:
  什么
  2022-05-15
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- free2talk:
  感谢分享
  2022-05-15
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查看更多 2 条评论
芝加哥公牛队
·2022-05-14
说这些只是失败者的心声！有用吗！
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jjt
·2022-05-13
[得意] [得意] 好文
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旷野步行者
·2022-05-13
是，我也曾总说，在股市里我是否能毕业
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jjt
·2022-05-13
对
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trading?","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86809ea56b3b31393db17400b6e3e642","symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"几乎所有成功的投资者都是孤独者，因为他们常要做和大众不同的事！弗莫尔曾指出：一位成功的炒手必须如一位成功的商人，正确地预见未来的需求，适时进货，耐心地等待盈利的时刻。要有成为投资专家的欲望无论做什么,没有欲望是不可能成功的。缺少欲望,你会在碰到些小困难时就打退堂鼓。股友们或许会说：“我欲望很强烈,我很想在股市发财。”真是这么回事吗？美国有超过3000万的股民，华尔街曾经对一般的股民做过调查，其结果是惊人的：80%的股民入市并非以赚钱为主要目的！炒股是金钱游戏，一个绅士们玩的游戏，股民们入市的主要目的是参加这一游戏。你所有富有的朋友都在炒股,你必须成为他们中的一员，这样在大家的闲谈中你也成为“成功人士”的一分子。每个人都有或多或少的赌性，股市提供了满足赌性的场所，它给你日常烦闷的生活提供的调济。问问你自己，是否也是因这些原因进入股市的？再问一个问题：为了买家里2000元的那台电视机,你跑了几家商场比价？找了多少材料？问过多少人？做了多少研究？昨天你花 20000元买了那只股票，你又做了多少研究,找了多少资料？你买股票下的功夫是买电视机的百分之几？必须指出：欲望必须由努力做基础，否则只是白日梦，白日梦不是欲望是梦。必须具备锲而不舍的精神锲而不舍是句很容易说,但很难做到的话。记得美国前总统柯立芝有句名言：“这个世界充满聪明而失意的人，受过良好教育但成日感叹怀才不遇的人……他们有个共性，缺少锲而不舍的精神。“什么是锲而不舍的精神？它是在忍无可忍的时候，再忍下去的毅力！如果谁认为他能在股市一炮打响，一飞冲天，他准是在做白日梦。就算他运气好，一进场就捞了一笔，这笔钱来得容易，但它只是股市暂时借给他的，他如果不即刻上岸,股市迟早会向他讨回去。想从股市不断赚到钱，你必须有知识，有经验，你必须成为专家。在我炒股的这么多年中，经过许许多多的不眠之夜。我的最高记录是一天亏掉5万美元。5万美元对有钱人来说是小数目，但那时这是我全部资产的一半，相当于当时我妻子两年的工资,而且其中很多是我在餐馆端盘子洗碟子赚来的血汗钱！我今天还能感到当时痛苦到麻木的感觉，随后两星期连饭都吃不下。最痛苦的不是亏钱的数目，钱亏掉不可怕，可怕的是不知有无本事再赚回来！我不断问自己：这个行业适合我吗？我知道大学熬四年能毕业,其它行业也有学徒出师的时候，但股票大学的毕业期何在？像这样每天工作十小时,不仅今天没有工资，也不知道以后会不会有报酬的日子到底要熬多久？我有没有毕业的可能？我是穷人家的孩子，过的是现挣现吃、手停口停的生活，多年省吃俭用的储蓄一天天地减少，这日子有熬出头的一天吗？放弃的念头无日无之。就算到餐馆做跑堂，一天也总能挣上几十块钱。读者可以想象我当时的绝望。当然，我如果当时真放弃了，读者也看不到这本书。五年过去了，回首往事，有时自己都为自己的韧性感到骄傲。我要读者们分享拿破仑·希尔在他的不朽名著《思考致富》中的一句话：“当财富来到的时候，它将来得如此急，如此快，使人奇怪在那艰难的岁月，这些财富都躲到哪里去了？”我的生活经验证明这句话确实无误。这句话和孟夫子的名言“天将降大任于斯人也，必先苦其心智，饿其体肤，劳其筋骨……”有异曲同工之处。成功来得太容易，它通常不会持久。这个世界有太多的地方能让头脑发热的人摔跤，而且你永远猜不到在什么地方摔跤。因为成功若来得太容易，人往往不知福，不惜福，忘了自己是谁！黎明之前总是最黑暗的，你能熬过这段时间，你才能看到光明。请记住：成功的秘诀不外乎是“在忍无可忍的时候，再忍一忍”。要有“与市场斗,其乐无穷”的气派所有成功的投资者对市场及其运作都有极大的兴趣，他们喜欢市场所提供的挑战，有强烈的欲望要战胜这一市场。吸引他们在这一市场搏斗的不是金钱，不是名誉，不是快速致富。金钱只是他们玩股票游戏成功后的奖品。对一般人而言,他们进市场的目的是为了赚钱，这一期望使他们在这行成功的概率变得很低。因为这一期望使他们难以维持冷静的观察力,他们没有耐性等待必然的结果。中国的老话叫“猪油蒙了心”。利弗莫尔曾指出：一位成功的炒手必须如一位成功的商人,正确地预见未来的需求,适时进货,耐心地等待盈利的时刻。要甘于做孤独者几乎所有成功的投资者都是孤独者。他们必须是孤独者！因为他们常要做和大众不同的事。无论是低买高卖还是高买更高卖，他们都必须维持独立的思维，为了与众不同所以作和大众相反的事是极其危险的。他们必须有合理的解释为何大众可能不对,同时预见采用相反思维所将引致的后果。这给他们与众不同时所需的信心。从孩提时代，我们就深知合群从众的重要性。胡思乱想，奇怪的主意，使你失去朋友，受到嘲弄。长期以来我们已习惯于“集体思维”。但炒股需要不同的思维方式。如果股市大多数人都看好某股票，他们都已按自己的能力入场，还有谁来买股使股市继续升得更高？反之如果大多数股民不看好股市，他们都已经脱手出场，那么股市的继续下跌区间也已不大。你如果随大流，则你将常常在高点入市，低点出市，你将成为失败者。当然，何为大多数股民看好大市或大多数股民不看好大市是很难计量的，你主要通过研究“股势”来得到答案。这里强调的是思维的方式。你从小学习的那些讨人喜欢的性格，如听话、合群、不标新立异等等都成为炒股成功的障碍。必须具有耐心和自制力耐心和自制力都是听起来很简单但做起来很困难的事情。炒股是极期枯燥无味的工作。读者会嘲笑我的说法，说：“我炒过股，我觉得极其刺激好玩。”这是因为你把炒股当成消遣，没有将它当成严肃的工作。我是围棋爱好者，我觉得围棋很好玩。但问问那些下棋为生的人，他们一定会告诉你成日打谱是多么的枯燥单调。其中的道理是一样的。每天收集资料，判断行情，将其和自己的经验参照定好炒股计划,偶尔做做或许是兴奋有趣的事，但经年累月地重复同样的工作就是“苦工”。你不把“苦工”当成习惯，你在这行成功的机会就不大。认识到不确定性。或者说，无论你多么聪明，无论你的知识多么丰富，市场依然是无法100%准确预测的。这一点有些人用了三年才明白，有的用了十年，有的用了一辈子也没有明白。但只有明白了这一点以后，我才开始越来越重视盈亏比，不再重视胜率，不再挖空心思考虑明天是涨是跌，不再患得患失担惊受怕，我只是更加珍惜开仓的位置，逐渐学会稳坐不动，做起来也越来越轻松。因为我知道市场怎么走都无所谓，过程虽然曲曲折折但最终结果都是赚！在此引用张三千的一段话吧，他比我说的要好很多：认识到走势的不确定性，并且放弃了追求确定性后，才能够走到下一步。而这一步是最难走的，是耗时间最长的一步。有的人用了整个的职业生涯，有的人用了20多年也没看透，有的人，纯靠自己的悟性和洞察力，从基本面，技术面，混合面，XXX面等等走了一遭，浑身是血的冲了出来，也用了3-5年。当然，还有的人，因为其环境好，身边全是对确定性嗤之以鼻的成熟高手，加上本身悟性也不差劲，更短的时间内就洞察到了这一点。命运，有的时候真有点致命，但是，我还相信，自己赤裸裸趟出来的交易者，其根基，一定是无比牢固的。所谓的根基，并非你掌握了多少理论，而是你到底见过多少真相。这个道理不是很容易理解，我做个直观的对比把：首先，胜率和盈亏比都是很重要的。既能判断对方向又能牢牢拿住单子，当然是最好的，但两者不可兼得，所以有两种风格：短线和长线。做超短线的人胜率必须高一些（因为没有盈亏比的优势），而做长线的人盈亏比比较大。还有，高胜率的风格往往是做短线，做到大资金后，在市场进出不方便，也会影响效果。但是，重视胜率的风格，比较难以成功。因为一个人不可能永远保持高胜率吧，难道他可以预测未来？因此我们看到历史上很多获得短期暴利的人最终都陨落了。另一些高胜率的人是靠牺牲高盈亏比来实现的，比如赚一点就跑。虽然胜率很高，也赚不到大钱。而重视高盈亏比的人，只要执行力足够好，系统别太差，长期下来亏钱是很难的。赚大钱的人往往也是信念中高盈亏比的人。但是对执行力要求比较高。这里引用股票大作手利弗莫尔的一段话，也是斯坦利克罗做成卡片摆放在桌边的一段话：在华尔街赚过百万美元也亏损过百万美元之后，我要给你的忠告就是：我之所以赚大钱，从来不是凭我的作为，而是始终凭我的无为。明白吗？凭我的耐心坚守。正确判断市场方向，其实没有什么奥妙可言。你总是发现很多人在牛市早期便已经看多，他们都有能力精准把握时机并正确行动，当价格恰恰处在有潜力造就巨额利润之处时，便开始买进。然而，他们的结局总是如出一辙——最终都未能坚持正确的决定，从中获取真正足够大的利润。既能够正确判断，又能够耐心坚守，这样的人凤毛麟角。我发现，这属于最难学会的内容之一。但是，作为一名股票作手，只有牢牢掌握这一点之后，才能赚大钱。对一名交易者来说，真正学会交易后赢得几百万美元，比他在懵里懵懂的日子里赚几百美元还容易。会者不难，难者不会，千真万确。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":617052718,"gmtCreate":1653975463038,"gmtModify":1704858410555,"author":{"id":"3558671169934739","authorId":"3558671169934739","name":"巧干","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75c451e7b7cba9a7e6f119ce249b2ae0","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3558671169934739","idStr":"3558671169934739"},"htmlText":"胜率和盈亏比都重要","listText":"胜率和盈亏比都重要","text":"胜率和盈亏比都重要","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617052718","repostId":1103729402,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":612769919,"gmtCreate":1652584739531,"gmtModify":1652584741612,"author":{"id":"4087417063812210","authorId":"4087417063812210","name":"铭发","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e76cab24cc6c958eb47e5e666b30776e","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4087417063812210","idStr":"4087417063812210"},"htmlText":"🍏","listText":"🍏","text":"🍏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612769919","repostId":1103729402,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":612475139,"gmtCreate":1652499634721,"gmtModify":1652499634721,"author":{"id":"3532132223347993","authorId":"3532132223347993","name":"浴缸潜水员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d01d6a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