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Is Tesla Stock A Buy In Current Tech Sell-Off?

英为财情Investing2021-05-17

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is again in a deep bearish spell. Shares of the electric car-maker have shed 27% during the past three months, massively underperforming the high-growth technology stocks.

After reaching a record high of $900.40 on Jan. 27, the stock closed last Friday at $589.74, down about 33%.

This volatile trading is not a new phenomenon for investors. During the past five years, Tesla has produced many boom-and-bust cycles that burned some investors badly. The latest weakness comes after a period of meteoric rise in 2020 that sent it shares soaring more than 700%.

For investors on the sidelines, the big question is whether this sell-off offers an opportunity to buy Tesla. Or, is it the beginning of a much deeper correction? In the short-run, our suggestion is to stay on the sidelines, as there isn’t much out there that could create further excitement around this name.

The latest evidence that Tesla is lacking short-term positive catalysts came from the company’s first-quarter earnings that didn’t offer much insight into 2021 sale volumes. Tesla reiterated that it expects 50% annual growth in deliveries “over a multi-year horizon.” That implies deliveries of about 750,000 cars this year. The unchanged guidance wasn’t encouraging for some analysts and investors who had hoped for more detail after a blowout first-quarter sales numbers.

The latest sales data from China, the company’s second-biggest market, have also added to uncertainty about Tesla’s outlook this year. Sales of Tesla’s locally made cars in China dropped to 25,845 in April, down from 35,478 units in March, according to data from China’s Passenger Car Association released Tuesday. Of those April sales, 14,174 EVs were exported, due, in part, to demand from the European market.

Chip Shortages

In addition to this weakening demand in China, global car-makers are also facing supply shortages of chips. Though that issue isn’t unique to Tesla, it’s significant enough to hurt its year-end production goals. Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk told analysts last month that he expects chip shortages to continue to impact the company in the second and third quarters.

Along with this changing backdrop for growth, comes Musk’s u-turn. The company's chief executive doesn’t spare a moment to divert investors’ attention from Tesla’s core business of making and selling cars. His surprise decision to suspend acceptingBitcoinfor Tesla vehicle purchases is the latest setback to his credibility.

In a post on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) on Wednesday, Musk cited concerns about “rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining and transactions,” for his reversal, which came after his active involvement in recent months to promote digital currencies.

Wedbush’s Dan Ives, who has an outperform rating on Tesla, said in a note that the move was a “shocker” and could increase volatility for the electric vehicle stock.

In a note to clients Ives wrote:

“Musk is now concerned about the use of fossil fuels in Bitcoin mining and transactions, yet the nature of Bitcoin mining has not changed in the last three months, which speaks to why backtracking on the crypto transaction three months later is a very surprising and confusing move to both Tesla and crypto investors,” Ives said.

Bottom Line

Tesla stock is more vulnerable in the group of mega tech stocks at a time when investors are avoiding growth stocks on worries related toinflationand the future interest-rate outlook. We believe this is not a good time to buy Tesla stock as this pullback has more room to run.

免责声明:本文观点仅代表作者个人观点,不构成本平台的投资建议,本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证,亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

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评论24

  • Annalz
    ·2021-05-17
    Up and down is normal like buy and sell 
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  • Soksok
    ·2021-05-17
    May drop 
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  • Soksok
    ·2021-05-17
    May drop further 
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  • Juneriq
    ·2021-05-17
    Collect
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  • ProsPaddles
    ·2021-05-17
    Please drop further so I can buy more!
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    收起
    • Soksok
      May drop further
      2021-05-17
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  • 4M65
    ·2021-05-17
    Sell????
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  • GANCL
    ·2021-05-17
    It may drop further
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    • KLC
      Yes
      2021-05-17
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  • jaywai
    ·2021-05-17
    Moon
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    • jaywai
      Dont FUD
      2021-05-17
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    • jaywai
      Yes
      2021-05-17
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  • BuzzyBee3
    ·2021-05-17
    Bought at a high price, just hope it will go back up:(
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  • BabyHuatHuat
    ·2021-05-17
    Whats new...[摊手]  up amd down loke a rollar coaster...
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  • Benstonk
    ·2021-05-17
    Pls sell
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    • BuzzyBee3
      Why sell? Are you expecting it to drop very badly?
      2021-05-17
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  • JerSoh
    ·2021-05-17
    :(
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    • 37df2d81
      dont be sad
      2021-05-17
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    • JerSoh
      T.T
      2021-05-17
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  • 5793b21a
    ·2021-05-17
    Cool
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  • fuzzcheek
    ·2021-05-17
    Buy.
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    • Art123
      lastest  pls like and comment
      2021-05-17
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    • fuzzcheek
      I believe Tesla is forward thinking in terms of its strategy and concept.
      2021-05-17
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  • weiyun
    ·2021-05-17
    If i compare all current EV cars I think tesla is great. To the moon! 
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    • whitetea
      [笑哭]
      2021-05-17
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  • SandDust
    ·2021-05-17
    400-450? 
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    • whitetea
      [思考]
      2021-05-17
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  • phtan68
    ·2021-05-17
    nope不
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  • Victan
    ·2021-05-17
    [Smile] 
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    • Carolyn93
      [Surprised]
      2021-05-17
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    • Victan
      [Smile]
      2021-05-17
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  • evey77
    ·2021-05-17
    Won’t buy Tesla. China, one of the biggest markets for EVs, will not allow Tesla to have the largest market share, esp when it has at least 4 home-grown EV companies to prioritise. 
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    • ET77
      Agreedd !!!!
      2021-05-17
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  • Siewlin
    ·2021-05-17
    Should I buy in?
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    • Bodoh
      Have you bought Tesla before?
      2021-05-17
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    • Siewlin
      Ya
      2021-05-17
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    • Bodoh回复Siewlin
      So i guess you knOw it seesaws up and down without Much fundamental…. just A bit more like a casino
      2021-05-17
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