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小白鼠
2022-06-10
2022/06/10 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
2022/06/10 成本 现价 浮动收益 新东方(EDU) 15.52 15.79 1.96% 支持一下俞敏洪
2022/06/10 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
小白鼠
2021-11-11
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@晚点LatePost:资本市场可能误读了传言中课后辅导牌照的价值
小白鼠
2021-08-10
$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$
[呆住]
小白鼠
2021-08-10
$BioNTech SE(BNTX)$
……[呆住]
小白鼠
2021-03-24
$理想汽车(LI)$
抖一抖
小白鼠
2020-11-25
2020/11/25 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
2020/11/25 成本 现价 浮动收益 蔚来(NIO) 48.61 49.10 -1.00% 大意了 耗子尾汁
2020/11/25 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
小白鼠
2020-11-25
2020/11/25 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
2020/11/25 成本 现价 浮动收益 蔚来(NIO) 48.61 49.10 -1.00% 大意了 耗子尾汁
2020/11/25 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
小白鼠
2020-09-09
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
这跌得……
小白鼠
2020-08-22
$诺亚财富(NOAH)$
路过打酱油路过
小白鼠
2020-06-24
2020/06/24 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
2020/06/24 成本 现价 浮动收益 燃石医学(BNR) 16.50 30.86 87.03% 无他,唯买的少。
2020/06/24 交易笔记 by 小白鼠
小白鼠
2019-08-15
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
据说有一位朋友做空咖啡[财迷]
@喜多狼
@小虎活动
@ivy青悠
小白鼠
2019-06-18
$中烟香港(06055)$ 融资用途竞猜 ①无人打火机②5G香烟③AI戒烟④…… @喜多狼 @ivy青悠
小白鼠
2019-02-14
$XTR富时越南(03087)$mark
小白鼠
2018-11-16
$Williams-Sonoma Inc(WSM)$ @喜多狼 @ivy青悠 🙋🇨🇳🇱🇷
小白鼠
2018-08-31
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@美股投资网:另外一个国家的股市爆发机会?
小白鼠
2018-05-25
$波动率短期期货指数ETF(VIXY)$mark
小白鼠
2018-02-07
风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠
小白鼠
2018-02-01
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
美科技巨头喜迎巨额亏损:嘴上说不要,身体很诚实
小白鼠
2018-01-05
$网易(NTES)$长期看好
小白鼠
2017-12-01
$优莎娜(USNA)$ 有点意思
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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2018年4月9日,越南胡志明市西贡证券(SSI)的营业大厅内,开户、交易的股民络绎不绝,所有人眼中放光、紧盯屏幕,只要有股票冲上涨停板(7%),立刻会引发热烈的欢呼和掌声。 这一天,越南“胡志明指数”(类似上证指数)冲破1200点大关,创出历史新高。 即便在欣欣向荣的东南亚市场,越南股市也称得上牛气冲天。 从2016年初的513点起步,胡志明指数两年内上涨112%。2017年更是以48%的涨幅称霸东南亚,力压日本、韩国、印度等重要市场。 但因为规模小,越南股市即便涨了很多,总市值也才8000个“小目标”(注:文中货币如未特指,皆指人民币),干不过一支贵州茅台。 近在咫尺的“价值洼地”,让许多中国人兴奋不已,在他们看来,当年错过了房子、茅台、比特币,如今再不能错过越南股票。 2017年7月,一群嗅觉灵敏的温州人扎堆到越南炒股,赚了个盆满钵溢。与温州一海之隔的台湾人,也按捺不住激动冲进了越南股市。 很多人相信,自己与暴富的距离,只差一张飞越南的机票。 投资者的狂热,在2018年1月22日达到了极致。 没有人知道,那一天有多少人涌入越南股市,大家只知道,胡志明证交所的交易系统瘫痪了。 “私募教父”赵丹阳早在2016年就开始重仓越南股。这位“30年暴赚8400倍”的投资界奇人,赚钱的法宝之一就是“赌国运”。 “大家想要赚大钱,应该去越南抄抄底。”这一次,他赌的是越南。 在很多中国人眼里,越南还是那个单挑中、美、法,结果被打残的国家。如今,这块东南亚的投资热土,到底发生了什么? 2 1986年,在老山被打得灰头土脸的越南,召开了“六大”,意外地决定以华为师,搞“革新开放”。 起初,这个山寨版的“改革开放”并不起眼。直到1991年中越关系正常化以后,越南才开始策马奔腾,加入各种国际组织。 1995年入东盟,1998年入APEC,2006年入WTO,2015年与欧盟签署自贸协定,","listText":"1 2018年4月9日,越南胡志明市西贡证券(SSI)的营业大厅内,开户、交易的股民络绎不绝,所有人眼中放光、紧盯屏幕,只要有股票冲上涨停板(7%),立刻会引发热烈的欢呼和掌声。 这一天,越南“胡志明指数”(类似上证指数)冲破1200点大关,创出历史新高。 即便在欣欣向荣的东南亚市场,越南股市也称得上牛气冲天。 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2017年7月,一群嗅觉灵敏的温州人扎堆到越南炒股,赚了个盆满钵溢。与温州一海之隔的台湾人,也按捺不住激动冲进了越南股市。 很多人相信,自己与暴富的距离,只差一张飞越南的机票。 投资者的狂热,在2018年1月22日达到了极致。 没有人知道,那一天有多少人涌入越南股市,大家只知道,胡志明证交所的交易系统瘫痪了。 “私募教父”赵丹阳早在2016年就开始重仓越南股。这位“30年暴赚8400倍”的投资界奇人,赚钱的法宝之一就是“赌国运”。 “大家想要赚大钱,应该去越南抄抄底。”这一次,他赌的是越南。 在很多中国人眼里,越南还是那个单挑中、美、法,结果被打残的国家。如今,这块东南亚的投资热土,到底发生了什么? 2 1986年,在老山被打得灰头土脸的越南,召开了“六大”,意外地决定以华为师,搞“革新开放”。 起初,这个山寨版的“改革开放”并不起眼。直到1991年中越关系正常化以后,越南才开始策马奔腾,加入各种国际组织。 1995年入东盟,1998年入APEC,2006年入WTO,2015年与欧盟签署自贸协定,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d6aab74b2db0038e4286a6ea20bc2"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/241592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194616,"gmtCreate":1527255113624,"gmtModify":1704893640023,"author":{"id":"89407127183344","authorId":"89407127183344","name":"小白鼠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e81f0dba8792bf52c5af15169c4176f3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$波动率短期期货指数ETF(VIXY)$mark","listText":"$波动率短期期货指数ETF(VIXY)$mark","text":"$波动率短期期货指数ETF(VIXY)$mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":157384,"gmtCreate":1517995134467,"gmtModify":1704889041539,"author":{"id":"89407127183344","authorId":"89407127183344","name":"小白鼠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e81f0dba8792bf52c5af15169c4176f3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","listText":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","text":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/8d5bb0a5fa73b2edd01bdc34445afee1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":154444,"gmtCreate":1517494567688,"gmtModify":1704888669574,"author":{"id":"89407127183344","authorId":"89407127183344","name":"小白鼠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e81f0dba8792bf52c5af15169c4176f3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154444","repostId":"25036","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"25036","pubTimestamp":1517464100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/25036?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2018-02-01 13:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美科技巨头喜迎巨额亏损:嘴上说不要,身体很诚实","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=25036","media":"新浪科技","summary":"喜迎并没有反义的双引号,因为这些跨国巨头们是心甘情愿、甘之如饴地公布动辄数十亿美元的天价亏损。","content":"<p><img id=\"f95e2893dcddcb837476d0ccd8b0571f\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"http://e.thsi.cn/img/a854030b0b8686e1\" /></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"> 特朗普(左)库克(右) </p>\n<p> <strong>又到了美股财报季,美国科技巨头们纷纷发布去年第四季度的财报。</strong>岁末是每年的的购物旺季,也是科技巨头每年赚得最盆丰钵满的季节。以消费电子巨头苹果为例,第四季度的营收通常都比第二季度(年度淡季)高出80%以上。</p>\n<p> 然而,今年这个财报季的情况却略微有所不同。不出意外的话,科技巨头们会纷纷喜迎巨额亏损。请注意,喜迎并没有反义的双引号,因为这些跨国巨头们是心甘情愿、甘之如饴地公布动辄数十亿美元的天价亏损。</p>\n<p> <strong>先来看看今日公布业绩的微软和高通财报。</strong>微软<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a></a>当季实现营收289.18亿美元,同比增长12%;高通<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$(QCOM)$</a>当季实现营收61%,同比增长1%。但盈利却是另一番景象,微软当季净亏损63.02亿美元,上年同期净利润62.67亿美元;高通当季净亏损60亿美元,上年同期净利润7亿美元。</p>\n<p> 这是怎么回事?要知道上一次微软巨亏几十亿美元,还是在2015年。那主要是因为当时的新任CEO纳德拉痛下狠心,冲销了总计75亿美元与诺基亚硬件与服务部门相关的资产,彻底否定了前任鲍尔默离任之前的这笔交易。</p>\n<p> 纳德拉刚刚笑容满面地发布了自己的新书《拥抱变革》(Hit Refresh,我觉得翻译成F5也是挺贴切的),志得意满地讲述自己是如何在短短三年之间带领巨头微软实现转型,重塑企业文化的。面临这样的巨额亏损,纳德拉还笑得出来吗?</p>\n<p> <strong>当然,因为微软<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a></a>的业绩依然稳健增长,纳德拉最为看重的云服务当季营收增长15%。</strong>出现巨额亏损并不是因为像乐视那样出现业务雪崩(乐视网(300104)去年第四季度巨亏100亿人民币,或许也是国内上市公司之最了),而是因为一笔高达138亿美元的一次性税务支出,而且这笔钱微软是喜笑颜开地缴纳。如果没有这笔支出,当季微软实现盈利75亿美元,同比增长20%。而高通当季净亏损也是因为一笔60亿美元的税务支出。</p>\n<p> 好了,不卖关子。根据美国总统特朗普在去年年底通过的税务改革,美国公司只要支付15.5%的税金,就可以把囤积在海外的巨额现金转移回美国,非流动资产的税率为8%。由于此前的汇回税率高达35%,业务遍及全球的跨国科技巨头们也不想做冤大头,导致海外的现金越积越多。</p>\n<p> <strong>这些跨国巨头的海外现金到底有多庞大?</strong>还没公布财报的苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>,去年第三季度末拥有接近2500亿美元的海外现金,占其总现金头寸的96%;微软在海外拥有1385亿美元现金,占其总现金头寸的95%。其他科技巨头之中,谷歌在海外拥有605亿美元现金,思科675亿美元,甲骨文583亿美元,高通294亿美元,英特尔100亿美元。</p>\n<p> 虽然科技公司在2016年总统大选中坚定地站在民主党和希拉里一侧,部分科技大佬甚至与特朗普大打口水战,但真当税改惠及自身利益的时候,他们在第一时间作出了最有利的决定——响应共和党政府号召,全然不顾此前盟友民主党的坚决反对,光荣履行企业的纳税义务,一次性交几十甚至几百亿美元的税金,把几百亿甚至几千亿美元的海外现金转移回美国本土。这动作,比香港记者都快。</p>\n<p> <strong>嘴上说不要,身体很诚实。</strong>苹果早已宣布计划支付380亿美元的天价税金,把高达2500亿美元的海外现金转移回美国。如果不出意外的话,即将公布的苹果和谷歌财报也会挂起前所未见的大红灯笼,希望只看标题的读者不要对巨额亏损感到意外。</p>\n<p> 值得一提的是,苹果除了汇回海外资金之外,还计划在未来五年在美国本土投资300亿美元,创造两万个就业岗位,设置50亿美元基金积极扶持美国供货商,为美国经济带来3500亿美元的贡献。毕竟是全球最成功的科技公司啊,出手不是一般的豪迈。苹果即将公布去年第四季度财报(苹果2018财年第一财季),当季营收有望超过此前840亿美元的预期,创下自己的又一个营收新高。</p>\n<p><img id=\"3443665048d79a946e563a039a1fb207\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\" src=\"http://e.thsi.cn/img/e6917027b99de6de\" /></p>\n<p> <strong>Twitter治国的总统特朗普发有三好(第四声):邀功、嘴仗、喊口号。</strong>就在苹果宣布纳税汇回海外资金、投资美国本土之后,特朗普志得意满地随即在Twitter转发相关新闻,“我说过,我的政策会让苹果这样的公司把巨额资金带回美国。很高兴看到苹果在减税成果下积极跟进。这是美国工人和美利坚的巨大胜利!”</p>\n<p> 在这篇新闻报道中,库克张开双手,目光睿智,带有一丝自信的微笑。在被特朗普转发之后,显得尤其主旋律。因为特朗普执意驱逐非法移民的问题,身处深蓝色加州的硅谷科技公司纷纷直接或间接批评共和党政府,没想到现在却成了特朗普的政绩工程背景。这大概是库克最不想看到的自己形象。</p>\n<p> <strong>据高盛预计,美国公司在海外的资金高达3.1万亿美元。</strong>如果这些公司把握住税改时机,把海外资金汇回美国本土的话,将给美国政府带来至少2300亿美元的税收(现金和非流动资产的税率不同)。虽然奥巴马是科技公司的坚定盟友,但他们之间的良好关系显然不足以推动科技公司去缴纳高额税金,解决海外资金问题。</p>\n<p> 话题再说回来,科技公司把海外巨额资金汇回美国怎么用呢?最直接的几条途径包括:大举投资、巨额收购、回购股票、发放股息。苹果此前宣布汇款回国的时候,就同时宣布了在美国本土进行投资和创造就业的计划。在收购方面一直吝啬的苹果,在真正手握两千多亿美元现金的时候,是否会真正进行一次有战略意义的重大收购?</p>\n<p> 另一方面,这也会直接影响到他们在美国本土发债融资的意愿。由于大多数现金都在海外,这些土豪之前在美国用钱的时候,也会需要发行债券,大地主家也没有余粮。举例来说,微软为了收购Linkedin就发行了197.5亿美元的债券,苹果也在2017年发债融资了70亿美元。</p>\n<p> 巨额亏损通常是上市公司最不愿看到的一幕,但这一次,美国跨国公司却是笑着纳税,喜迎巨亏。他们最反感的特朗普和共和党政府,却给他们带来了最实际的收益和最直接的动力,促使他们在美国本土进行投资和创造就业。</p>\n<p> 不过,我猜他们是不会感谢(共和)党和(特朗普)政府的,因为这不政治正确。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美科技巨头喜迎巨额亏损:嘴上说不要,身体很诚实</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美科技巨头喜迎巨额亏损:嘴上说不要,身体很诚实\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2018-02-01 13:48 北京时间 <strong>新浪科技</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特朗普(左)库克(右) \n 又到了美股财报季,美国科技巨头们纷纷发布去年第四季度的财报。岁末是每年的的购物旺季,也是科技巨头每年赚得最盆丰钵满的季节。以消费电子巨头苹果为例,第四季度的营收通常都比第二季度(年度淡季)高出80%以上。\n 然而,今年这个财报季的情况却略微有所不同。不出意外的话,科技巨头们会纷纷喜迎巨额亏损。请注意,喜迎并没有反义的双引号,因为这些跨国巨头们是心甘情愿、甘之如饴地...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e45363969c7f3c91fa3cec2d71facda4?op=imageView2&mode=2&width=256&height=256&quality=70&format=png","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"25036","content_text":"特朗普(左)库克(右) \n 又到了美股财报季,美国科技巨头们纷纷发布去年第四季度的财报。岁末是每年的的购物旺季,也是科技巨头每年赚得最盆丰钵满的季节。以消费电子巨头苹果为例,第四季度的营收通常都比第二季度(年度淡季)高出80%以上。\n 然而,今年这个财报季的情况却略微有所不同。不出意外的话,科技巨头们会纷纷喜迎巨额亏损。请注意,喜迎并没有反义的双引号,因为这些跨国巨头们是心甘情愿、甘之如饴地公布动辄数十亿美元的天价亏损。\n 先来看看今日公布业绩的微软和高通财报。微软$(MSFT)$当季实现营收289.18亿美元,同比增长12%;高通$(QCOM)$当季实现营收61%,同比增长1%。但盈利却是另一番景象,微软当季净亏损63.02亿美元,上年同期净利润62.67亿美元;高通当季净亏损60亿美元,上年同期净利润7亿美元。\n 这是怎么回事?要知道上一次微软巨亏几十亿美元,还是在2015年。那主要是因为当时的新任CEO纳德拉痛下狠心,冲销了总计75亿美元与诺基亚硬件与服务部门相关的资产,彻底否定了前任鲍尔默离任之前的这笔交易。\n 纳德拉刚刚笑容满面地发布了自己的新书《拥抱变革》(Hit Refresh,我觉得翻译成F5也是挺贴切的),志得意满地讲述自己是如何在短短三年之间带领巨头微软实现转型,重塑企业文化的。面临这样的巨额亏损,纳德拉还笑得出来吗?\n 当然,因为微软$(MSFT)$的业绩依然稳健增长,纳德拉最为看重的云服务当季营收增长15%。出现巨额亏损并不是因为像乐视那样出现业务雪崩(乐视网(300104)去年第四季度巨亏100亿人民币,或许也是国内上市公司之最了),而是因为一笔高达138亿美元的一次性税务支出,而且这笔钱微软是喜笑颜开地缴纳。如果没有这笔支出,当季微软实现盈利75亿美元,同比增长20%。而高通当季净亏损也是因为一笔60亿美元的税务支出。\n 好了,不卖关子。根据美国总统特朗普在去年年底通过的税务改革,美国公司只要支付15.5%的税金,就可以把囤积在海外的巨额现金转移回美国,非流动资产的税率为8%。由于此前的汇回税率高达35%,业务遍及全球的跨国科技巨头们也不想做冤大头,导致海外的现金越积越多。\n 这些跨国巨头的海外现金到底有多庞大?还没公布财报的苹果$(AAPL)$,去年第三季度末拥有接近2500亿美元的海外现金,占其总现金头寸的96%;微软在海外拥有1385亿美元现金,占其总现金头寸的95%。其他科技巨头之中,谷歌在海外拥有605亿美元现金,思科675亿美元,甲骨文583亿美元,高通294亿美元,英特尔100亿美元。\n 虽然科技公司在2016年总统大选中坚定地站在民主党和希拉里一侧,部分科技大佬甚至与特朗普大打口水战,但真当税改惠及自身利益的时候,他们在第一时间作出了最有利的决定——响应共和党政府号召,全然不顾此前盟友民主党的坚决反对,光荣履行企业的纳税义务,一次性交几十甚至几百亿美元的税金,把几百亿甚至几千亿美元的海外现金转移回美国本土。这动作,比香港记者都快。\n 嘴上说不要,身体很诚实。苹果早已宣布计划支付380亿美元的天价税金,把高达2500亿美元的海外现金转移回美国。如果不出意外的话,即将公布的苹果和谷歌财报也会挂起前所未见的大红灯笼,希望只看标题的读者不要对巨额亏损感到意外。\n 值得一提的是,苹果除了汇回海外资金之外,还计划在未来五年在美国本土投资300亿美元,创造两万个就业岗位,设置50亿美元基金积极扶持美国供货商,为美国经济带来3500亿美元的贡献。毕竟是全球最成功的科技公司啊,出手不是一般的豪迈。苹果即将公布去年第四季度财报(苹果2018财年第一财季),当季营收有望超过此前840亿美元的预期,创下自己的又一个营收新高。\n\n Twitter治国的总统特朗普发有三好(第四声):邀功、嘴仗、喊口号。就在苹果宣布纳税汇回海外资金、投资美国本土之后,特朗普志得意满地随即在Twitter转发相关新闻,“我说过,我的政策会让苹果这样的公司把巨额资金带回美国。很高兴看到苹果在减税成果下积极跟进。这是美国工人和美利坚的巨大胜利!”\n 在这篇新闻报道中,库克张开双手,目光睿智,带有一丝自信的微笑。在被特朗普转发之后,显得尤其主旋律。因为特朗普执意驱逐非法移民的问题,身处深蓝色加州的硅谷科技公司纷纷直接或间接批评共和党政府,没想到现在却成了特朗普的政绩工程背景。这大概是库克最不想看到的自己形象。\n 据高盛预计,美国公司在海外的资金高达3.1万亿美元。如果这些公司把握住税改时机,把海外资金汇回美国本土的话,将给美国政府带来至少2300亿美元的税收(现金和非流动资产的税率不同)。虽然奥巴马是科技公司的坚定盟友,但他们之间的良好关系显然不足以推动科技公司去缴纳高额税金,解决海外资金问题。\n 话题再说回来,科技公司把海外巨额资金汇回美国怎么用呢?最直接的几条途径包括:大举投资、巨额收购、回购股票、发放股息。苹果此前宣布汇款回国的时候,就同时宣布了在美国本土进行投资和创造就业的计划。在收购方面一直吝啬的苹果,在真正手握两千多亿美元现金的时候,是否会真正进行一次有战略意义的重大收购?\n 另一方面,这也会直接影响到他们在美国本土发债融资的意愿。由于大多数现金都在海外,这些土豪之前在美国用钱的时候,也会需要发行债券,大地主家也没有余粮。举例来说,微软为了收购Linkedin就发行了197.5亿美元的债券,苹果也在2017年发债融资了70亿美元。\n 巨额亏损通常是上市公司最不愿看到的一幕,但这一次,美国跨国公司却是笑着纳税,喜迎巨亏。他们最反感的特朗普和共和党政府,却给他们带来了最实际的收益和最直接的动力,促使他们在美国本土进行投资和创造就业。\n 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2018年4月9日,越南胡志明市西贡证券(SSI)的营业大厅内,开户、交易的股民络绎不绝,所有人眼中放光、紧盯屏幕,只要有股票冲上涨停板(7%),立刻会引发热烈的欢呼和掌声。 这一天,越南“胡志明指数”(类似上证指数)冲破1200点大关,创出历史新高。 即便在欣欣向荣的东南亚市场,越南股市也称得上牛气冲天。 从2016年初的513点起步,胡志明指数两年内上涨112%。2017年更是以48%的涨幅称霸东南亚,力压日本、韩国、印度等重要市场。 但因为规模小,越南股市即便涨了很多,总市值也才8000个“小目标”(注:文中货币如未特指,皆指人民币),干不过一支贵州茅台。 近在咫尺的“价值洼地”,让许多中国人兴奋不已,在他们看来,当年错过了房子、茅台、比特币,如今再不能错过越南股票。 2017年7月,一群嗅觉灵敏的温州人扎堆到越南炒股,赚了个盆满钵溢。与温州一海之隔的台湾人,也按捺不住激动冲进了越南股市。 很多人相信,自己与暴富的距离,只差一张飞越南的机票。 投资者的狂热,在2018年1月22日达到了极致。 没有人知道,那一天有多少人涌入越南股市,大家只知道,胡志明证交所的交易系统瘫痪了。 “私募教父”赵丹阳早在2016年就开始重仓越南股。这位“30年暴赚8400倍”的投资界奇人,赚钱的法宝之一就是“赌国运”。 “大家想要赚大钱,应该去越南抄抄底。”这一次,他赌的是越南。 在很多中国人眼里,越南还是那个单挑中、美、法,结果被打残的国家。如今,这块东南亚的投资热土,到底发生了什么? 2 1986年,在老山被打得灰头土脸的越南,召开了“六大”,意外地决定以华为师,搞“革新开放”。 起初,这个山寨版的“改革开放”并不起眼。直到1991年中越关系正常化以后,越南才开始策马奔腾,加入各种国际组织。 1995年入东盟,1998年入APEC,2006年入WTO,2015年与欧盟签署自贸协定,","listText":"1 2018年4月9日,越南胡志明市西贡证券(SSI)的营业大厅内,开户、交易的股民络绎不绝,所有人眼中放光、紧盯屏幕,只要有股票冲上涨停板(7%),立刻会引发热烈的欢呼和掌声。 这一天,越南“胡志明指数”(类似上证指数)冲破1200点大关,创出历史新高。 即便在欣欣向荣的东南亚市场,越南股市也称得上牛气冲天。 从2016年初的513点起步,胡志明指数两年内上涨112%。2017年更是以48%的涨幅称霸东南亚,力压日本、韩国、印度等重要市场。 但因为规模小,越南股市即便涨了很多,总市值也才8000个“小目标”(注:文中货币如未特指,皆指人民币),干不过一支贵州茅台。 近在咫尺的“价值洼地”,让许多中国人兴奋不已,在他们看来,当年错过了房子、茅台、比特币,如今再不能错过越南股票。 2017年7月,一群嗅觉灵敏的温州人扎堆到越南炒股,赚了个盆满钵溢。与温州一海之隔的台湾人,也按捺不住激动冲进了越南股市。 很多人相信,自己与暴富的距离,只差一张飞越南的机票。 投资者的狂热,在2018年1月22日达到了极致。 没有人知道,那一天有多少人涌入越南股市,大家只知道,胡志明证交所的交易系统瘫痪了。 “私募教父”赵丹阳早在2016年就开始重仓越南股。这位“30年暴赚8400倍”的投资界奇人,赚钱的法宝之一就是“赌国运”。 “大家想要赚大钱,应该去越南抄抄底。”这一次,他赌的是越南。 在很多中国人眼里,越南还是那个单挑中、美、法,结果被打残的国家。如今,这块东南亚的投资热土,到底发生了什么? 2 1986年,在老山被打得灰头土脸的越南,召开了“六大”,意外地决定以华为师,搞“革新开放”。 起初,这个山寨版的“改革开放”并不起眼。直到1991年中越关系正常化以后,越南才开始策马奔腾,加入各种国际组织。 1995年入东盟,1998年入APEC,2006年入WTO,2015年与欧盟签署自贸协定,","text":"1 2018年4月9日,越南胡志明市西贡证券(SSI)的营业大厅内,开户、交易的股民络绎不绝,所有人眼中放光、紧盯屏幕,只要有股票冲上涨停板(7%),立刻会引发热烈的欢呼和掌声。 这一天,越南“胡志明指数”(类似上证指数)冲破1200点大关,创出历史新高。 即便在欣欣向荣的东南亚市场,越南股市也称得上牛气冲天。 从2016年初的513点起步,胡志明指数两年内上涨112%。2017年更是以48%的涨幅称霸东南亚,力压日本、韩国、印度等重要市场。 但因为规模小,越南股市即便涨了很多,总市值也才8000个“小目标”(注:文中货币如未特指,皆指人民币),干不过一支贵州茅台。 近在咫尺的“价值洼地”,让许多中国人兴奋不已,在他们看来,当年错过了房子、茅台、比特币,如今再不能错过越南股票。 2017年7月,一群嗅觉灵敏的温州人扎堆到越南炒股,赚了个盆满钵溢。与温州一海之隔的台湾人,也按捺不住激动冲进了越南股市。 很多人相信,自己与暴富的距离,只差一张飞越南的机票。 投资者的狂热,在2018年1月22日达到了极致。 没有人知道,那一天有多少人涌入越南股市,大家只知道,胡志明证交所的交易系统瘫痪了。 “私募教父”赵丹阳早在2016年就开始重仓越南股。这位“30年暴赚8400倍”的投资界奇人,赚钱的法宝之一就是“赌国运”。 “大家想要赚大钱,应该去越南抄抄底。”这一次,他赌的是越南。 在很多中国人眼里,越南还是那个单挑中、美、法,结果被打残的国家。如今,这块东南亚的投资热土,到底发生了什么? 2 1986年,在老山被打得灰头土脸的越南,召开了“六大”,意外地决定以华为师,搞“革新开放”。 起初,这个山寨版的“改革开放”并不起眼。直到1991年中越关系正常化以后,越南才开始策马奔腾,加入各种国际组织。 1995年入东盟,1998年入APEC,2006年入WTO,2015年与欧盟签署自贸协定,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d6aab74b2db0038e4286a6ea20bc2"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/241592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":157384,"gmtCreate":1517995134467,"gmtModify":1704889041539,"author":{"id":"89407127183344","authorId":"89407127183344","name":"小白鼠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e81f0dba8792bf52c5af15169c4176f3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","listText":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","text":"风浪来了就做多波动率的策略还是正确的 看这盘前,稻子又要过山车了 @喜多狼 @ivy青悠","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/8d5bb0a5fa73b2edd01bdc34445afee1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":154444,"gmtCreate":1517494567688,"gmtModify":1704888669574,"author":{"id":"89407127183344","authorId":"89407127183344","name":"小白鼠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e81f0dba8792bf52c5af15169c4176f3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154444","repostId":"25036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}