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老虎玩家001
04-16
美银终于对了一次
美银警告:美股将迎“黑色星期一”?
老虎玩家001
03-21
李厂长吃了个大逼兜
美股异动 | 理想汽车盘前“跳水”跌超7%,公司下调Q1交付预期
老虎玩家001
2023-09-21
没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上
NIO Stock Dips - Time To Buy Or Bye-Bye?
老虎玩家001
2019-11-06
$蔚来(NIO)$
今晚喷子们好安静,怕不是被堵在了来的地铁上[笑哭] [捂脸]
老虎玩家001
2019-11-06
$蔚来(NIO)$
低调赚钱,高调撕逼[得意] [得意]
老虎玩家001
2017-08-17
仔细算算财报很一般呀
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$首先top line基本算是in line. 而净利如果扣除减持陌陌赚的10亿美金这类一次性收益,也基本是in line. 大家怎么看?
仔细算算财报很一般呀
老虎玩家001
2017-07-04
人民日报飞刀来袭
$(NTES)$枪打出头鸟,王者农药作为手游吸金一哥首当其冲。老二网易是否能独善其身?或许这是只是党报惯常的抽风,也或许这正是电子游戏监管加码的前奏。不管后续情节如何演绎,手游老大老二短期的调整风险不容小觑。
人民日报飞刀来袭
老虎玩家001
2017-06-29
陌陌今晚悬了
$陌陌(MOMO)$文化部开始对直播平台动刀。陌陌作为荷尔蒙社交载体,其无法量化的政策风险开始兑现。
陌陌今晚悬了
老虎玩家001
2017-05-23
$陌陌(MOMO)$ 明日头条 阿里继续大幅减持陌陌
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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美银终于对了一次","text":"美银终于对了一次","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/295732418154688","repostId":"2427029781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2427029781","pubTimestamp":1713172879,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2427029781?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-04-15 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数的大幅下跌应该有波动控制策略抛售的原因”。</p><p>所谓的"波动控制"策略则是根据市场波动率来调整股票敞口,以控制投资组合的风险。当市场下跌、波动率上升时,这类策略会相应减仓,也会带来额外的卖压。</p><p>美银称,标普500指数距离CTA策略的止损位只有90个基点的距离。“我们可能会看到这样一种情景:<strong>CTA止损触发、波动率控制策略大幅降低股票持仓、杠杆ETF和反向ETF在收盘前大幅调仓进一步释放抛压。</strong>”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/154ec33a24fd2841ac1c530d5f055985\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"483\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_4018052431\">“救星”也没了?</h2><p>更糟糕的是,传统上股市多头可以指望公司在股价下滑时发起回购潮提振股价,但随着财报季的开始,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>计算指出,标普500指数中超过95%的公司本周将进入回购禁售期,禁售期将于4月26日结束,这也意味着在这段时间内,企业无法通过回购股票来支撑股价,这将进一步加剧市场抛售压力。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>此前也指出,上周标普500指数中超80%的公司处于股票回购禁售期,相比之下,一个月前这一比例还不到5%。回购带来的稳定需求为2024年美股提供了关键支撑,但在5月初大部分美国公司退出禁售期前,这一支撑将消失。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">蒙特利尔银行</a>财富管理公司(BMO Wealth Management)首席投资官Yung-Yu Ma指出,回购禁售期可能会在未来一个月内增加股市的波动性,因为没有来自企业的关键稳定买盘来源。</p><p>分析认为,当前市场还将希望寄托于逢低买入的人群,但根据美银的数据显示,尽管上周逢低买入的市场参与者一定程度上减轻了市场跌势,但上周五的大幅下跌可能让这些新仓位处于亏损状态,如果股价不能创出新高,逢低买入者们可能会失去信心,抛售潮将更加猛烈。</p><p>在对美国通胀担忧和地缘政治风险的双重打击下,这个财报季的表现将对市场反弹至关重要。</p><p>美股三大指数上周均下挫,道指累计跌幅为2.37%,标普500指数跌1.56%,纳指跌0.45%,连续第二周收跌,创去年10月以来最差周度表现。上周首批银行股财报显示,尽管整体基本面保持健康,但几家美国最大的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>和花旗集团均报告了净利息收入下降。</p><p>而本周将有高盛、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、美国银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>等巨头先后公布业绩,公司盈利能力再受考验。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。CTA止损、波动控制杠杆清算、ETF平仓等多重因素作用下,今天会成为美股的“黑色星期一”?美银分析师Benjamin Bowler领导的团队在其最新的《系统性资金流动监测》报告中发出警告,根据监测模型显示,美股目前已经非常接近CTA(商品交易顾问)止损触发点。如果股价...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43fd405f29578c12c71dd13da9e988b5","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2427029781","content_text":"美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。CTA止损、波动控制杠杆清算、ETF平仓等多重因素作用下,今天会成为美股的“黑色星期一”?美银分析师Benjamin Bowler领导的团队在其最新的《系统性资金流动监测》报告中发出警告,根据监测模型显示,美股目前已经非常接近CTA(商品交易顾问)止损触发点。如果股价继续下跌,CTA将被迫抛售股票止损,这将进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。不仅仅是美股市场,欧洲斯托克50指数上周五也收于美银止损水平附近,这也意味着欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓,进一步加剧市场压力欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓。美股面临巨大的抛售压力美银发现,即使周一未触及CTA的止损位,波动控制策略也或将继续抛售,股市连续数日下跌、趋势强度减弱,CTA模型也会逐步降低仓位,开始卖出,“上周五标普500指数的大幅下跌应该有波动控制策略抛售的原因”。所谓的\"波动控制\"策略则是根据市场波动率来调整股票敞口,以控制投资组合的风险。当市场下跌、波动率上升时,这类策略会相应减仓,也会带来额外的卖压。美银称,标普500指数距离CTA策略的止损位只有90个基点的距离。“我们可能会看到这样一种情景:CTA止损触发、波动率控制策略大幅降低股票持仓、杠杆ETF和反向ETF在收盘前大幅调仓进一步释放抛压。”“救星”也没了?更糟糕的是,传统上股市多头可以指望公司在股价下滑时发起回购潮提振股价,但随着财报季的开始,高盛计算指出,标普500指数中超过95%的公司本周将进入回购禁售期,禁售期将于4月26日结束,这也意味着在这段时间内,企业无法通过回购股票来支撑股价,这将进一步加剧市场抛售压力。德意志银行此前也指出,上周标普500指数中超80%的公司处于股票回购禁售期,相比之下,一个月前这一比例还不到5%。回购带来的稳定需求为2024年美股提供了关键支撑,但在5月初大部分美国公司退出禁售期前,这一支撑将消失。蒙特利尔银行财富管理公司(BMO Wealth Management)首席投资官Yung-Yu Ma指出,回购禁售期可能会在未来一个月内增加股市的波动性,因为没有来自企业的关键稳定买盘来源。分析认为,当前市场还将希望寄托于逢低买入的人群,但根据美银的数据显示,尽管上周逢低买入的市场参与者一定程度上减轻了市场跌势,但上周五的大幅下跌可能让这些新仓位处于亏损状态,如果股价不能创出新高,逢低买入者们可能会失去信心,抛售潮将更加猛烈。在对美国通胀担忧和地缘政治风险的双重打击下,这个财报季的表现将对市场反弹至关重要。美股三大指数上周均下挫,道指累计跌幅为2.37%,标普500指数跌1.56%,纳指跌0.45%,连续第二周收跌,创去年10月以来最差周度表现。上周首批银行股财报显示,尽管整体基本面保持健康,但几家美国最大的金融机构如摩根大通、富国银行和花旗集团均报告了净利息收入下降。而本周将有高盛、摩根士丹利、美国银行、阿斯麦、台积电和奈飞等巨头先后公布业绩,公司盈利能力再受考验。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":286680333984016,"gmtCreate":1711010429422,"gmtModify":1711011249070,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"李厂长吃了个大逼兜","listText":"李厂长吃了个大逼兜","text":"李厂长吃了个大逼兜","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/286680333984016","repostId":"1161530443","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161530443","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1711010028,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161530443?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-03-21 16:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股异动 | 理想汽车盘前“跳水”跌超7%,公司下调Q1交付预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161530443","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月21日,理想汽车:由于销售订单不及预期,本公司预计其2024年第一季度的车辆交付量为76,000至78,000辆,此前交付预期为100,000至103,000辆。受此消息影响,理想汽车盘前下挫。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月21日,理想汽车:由于销售订单不及预期,本公司预计其2024年第一季度的车辆交付量为76,000至78,000辆,此前交付预期为100,000至103,000辆。</p><p>受此消息影响,理想汽车盘前跌超7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/262c49f0991744de087d384c7e86837a\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"480\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动 | 理想汽车盘前“跳水”跌超7%,公司下调Q1交付预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动 | 理想汽车盘前“跳水”跌超7%,公司下调Q1交付预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-21 16:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月21日,理想汽车:由于销售订单不及预期,本公司预计其2024年第一季度的车辆交付量为76,000至78,000辆,此前交付预期为100,000至103,000辆。</p><p>受此消息影响,理想汽车盘前跌超7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/262c49f0991744de087d384c7e86837a\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"480\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c0ab7d3f5d89bb403311ca0a8e68f8e","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","02015":"理想汽车-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161530443","content_text":"3月21日,理想汽车:由于销售订单不及预期,本公司预计其2024年第一季度的车辆交付量为76,000至78,000辆,此前交付预期为100,000至103,000辆。受此消息影响,理想汽车盘前跌超7%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4160815394880982","authorId":"4160815394880982","authorIdStr":"4160815394880982","name":"大老虎头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a61516182a8c5e896f53aec43330afa3","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"我也吃到了。大搏痘。","text":"我也吃到了。大搏痘。","html":"我也吃到了。大搏痘。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":222084334112856,"gmtCreate":1695251347584,"gmtModify":1695251349061,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","listText":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","text":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/222084334112856","repostId":"2368388196","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2368388196","pubTimestamp":1695225600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2368388196?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-09-21 00:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Stock Dips - Time To Buy Or Bye-Bye?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2368388196","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"NIO's recent convertible bond announcement caused a 17% drop in stock price, raising questions about its future stability.However, the long-term implications are contingent on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance.NIO's impressive delivery growth, product diversification, and investments in autonomous driving position it for success in the electric vehicle market.The successful introduction of multiple new models and investments in autonomous driving technologies underscores its ability to innovate and cater to a diverse customer base. Drew AngererA Fall Or An Opportunity In the high-stakes world of electric vehicles, NIO Inc.'s recent play has some investors scratching their heads while others see a gold mine of opportunities. With a sudden 17% drop in stock price triggered by its billion-dollar convertible bond announcement, is this a fall from grace or an ingenious pivot towards long-term stability?","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>NIO's recent convertible bond announcement caused a 17% drop in stock price, raising questions about its future stability.</p></li><li><p>However, the long-term implications are contingent on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance.</p></li><li><p>NIO's impressive delivery growth, product diversification, and investments in autonomous driving position it for success in the electric vehicle market.</p></li><li><p>The successful introduction of multiple new models and investments in autonomous driving technologies underscores its ability to innovate and cater to a diverse customer base.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c7f1531ea798ede3118cd7ff8c8c8d\" alt=\"Drew Angerer\" title=\"Drew Angerer\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Drew Angerer</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3320256386\">A Fall Or An Opportunity</h2><p>In the high-stakes world of electric vehicles, NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) recent play has some investors scratching their heads while others see a gold mine of opportunities. With a sudden 17% drop in stock price triggered by its billion-dollar convertible bond announcement, is this a fall from grace or an ingenious pivot towards long-term stability?</p><p>To begin with, NIO intends to use a portion of the proceeds from the bond offering to repurchase a portion of its existing debt securities, including the 0.00% convertible senior notes due in 2026 and the 0.50% convertible senior notes due in 2027. By doing so, NIO aims to reduce its overall debt burden, which can be seen as a positive move for long-term financial stability.</p><p>In detail, the convertible bonds offered by NIO come with specific terms, including interest and conversion rates. The initial conversion rate for the 2029 and 2030 Notes is approximately $11.12 per ADS, representing a conversion premium of around 30% above the closing price of NIO's ADSs on September 19, 2023. This structure allows bondholders to convert their bonds into NIO's American Depositary Shares (ADSs) at a predefined price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1c596baff4bbf921792b4776a261c9\" alt=\"Form 6-K\" title=\"Form 6-K\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"242\"/><span>Form 6-K</span></p><p>If the stock performs well and exceeds this conversion price, bondholders may choose to convert their bonds into equity, potentially diluting existing shareholders. Conversely, if NIO's stock does not perform well, bondholders may prefer to hold onto the bonds and receive the promised interest payments. This hybrid structure can be advantageous for NIO in managing its capital structure while providing flexibility to bondholders.</p><p>Moving forward, NIO must pay semiannual interest on the convertible bonds. The 2029 Notes carry an interest rate of 3.875% per year, while the 2030 Notes have an interest rate of 4.625% per year. These interest payments will impact NIO's cash flow and profitability. The ability to cover these interest expenses will depend on NIO's operational performance, sales growth, and cost management.</p><p>Notably, the convertible bond offering includes an initial conversion rate set at a premium to NIO's current stock price. NIO's stock is experiencing significant price fluctuations, as the bond conversion dynamics could result in stock dilution for existing shareholders.</p><p>Overall, the strategic success of this convertible bond offering, which can be observed in the performance of upcoming quarters, may receive a positive boost in investor confidence regarding NIO's ability to manage its finances and execute its growth strategy. Conversely, if NIO faces adversities in servicing the debt or fails to demonstrate tangible benefits from the bond proceeds, it could lead to relatively solid negative sentiment and a massive effect on the stock's valuations.</p><h2 id=\"id_4013040686\">Soaring Deliveries, Dominant Market Share, and a Diverse Fleet Set the Pace in Premium EVs</h2><p>One of the standout aspects of NIO's recent performance is its remarkable delivery growth. In Q2 2023, NIO achieved 23,520 smart electric vehicle deliveries, marking a 104% year-over-year increase. In July 2023, NIO set a new monthly delivery record of 20,462 units, underscoring its exponential growth trajectory. Moreover, NIO became the best-selling brand in the premium electric vehicle segment for vehicles priced over RMB300,000 in July, securing a substantial 59% market share. This delivery surge demonstrates NIO's expanding market presence and robust consumer demand.</p><p>Looking forward, NIO's product diversification strategy has been a critical driver of its value creation. The company introduced several new models, including the flagship coupe SUV EC7, the flagship sedan 2023 EC7, and the all-new ES6 earlier in the year. In June alone, NIO began delivering the smart electric tour ET5 Touring (ET5T) and the flagship SUV all-new ES8, adding to its growing portfolio.</p><p>The second quarter saw NIO deliver five new models, exceeding user satisfaction expectations. This showcases NIO's ability to iterate products rapidly and manage product complexity effectively. In September, NIO plans to launch the new mid-sized coupe SUV EC6, marking the completion of its product transition to the NT2 platform. With eight distinct models, NIO is well-positioned to cater to the diverse needs of premium segment users and ensure consistent delivery growth.</p><h2 id=\"id_1109224145\">NIO's Triple Threat: Pioneering Autonomy, Expansive Touchpoints, and Unrivaled Charging Infrastructure</h2><p>Furthermore, NIO has invested substantially in assisted and intelligent driving technologies, leading to robust user engagement. Over 100,000 NIO users have activated Navigate on Pilot Plus (NOP Plus), collectively covering over 80 million kilometers.</p><p>NOP Plus boasts a remarkable mileage penetration rate of 53%. The company has also initiated multiple early bird programs for NOP Plus across various operational domains, including urban environments in Beijing and Shanghai. NIO's focus on enhancing its autonomous driving capabilities positions it at the forefront of the industry's technological advancements.</p><p>Strategically, to support its growing customer base and enhance the user experience, NIO has been actively expanding its sales and service network. By July 2023, NIO had established 420 NIO House, NIO Space, and pop-up stores in 143 cities. Additionally, the company boasts 304 service centers and 58 delivery centers in 201 cities worldwide. NIO's proactive approach to increasing user touchpoints and sales channels, particularly in lower-tier cities, is pivotal in improving sales capabilities and driving sales growth.</p><p>Fundamentally, NIO's comprehensive charging and swapping network is a substantial competitive advantage. With 1,747 power swap stations installed globally, NIO has facilitated over 27 million battery swaps. In China, NIO's expressway battery swap network comprises 476 swap stations along major expressways, connecting 68 major cities.</p><p>Beyond swaps, NIO has deployed over 7,900 power chargers and 9,700 destination chargers. NIO's charging infrastructure leads the industry with China's most public and expressway chargers. NIO's charging map also integrates with over 1.36 million third-party charging stations worldwide. Therefore, these capabilities may also benefit NIO in the expanding US battery-swapping market.</p><p>Lastly, the company aims to stabilize its monthly delivery volume above 20,000 units and support new orders of 30,000 per month by the end of September. Thus, NIO's strategic focus on innovation, safety, and user satisfaction positions it ideally to capitalize on the rising demand for premium electric vehicles.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1a7ae838d0fb834a4166648373f396a\" alt=\"Battery Swapping Charging Infrastructure Market Report, 2030\" title=\"Battery Swapping Charging Infrastructure Market Report, 2030\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"350\"/><span>Battery Swapping Charging Infrastructure Market Report, 2030</span></p><h2 id=\"id_4128780469\">An Ideal Risk-Reward Profile</h2><p>As the operational fundamentals are breeding an operational and financial resurgence that may be observable in the short run, the current stock price dive can be considered a buying opportunity. The stock price is about to enter a critical support range ($8.55–$7.25).</p><p>This range offers an ideal risk-reward ratio. Through the application of dollar averaging, the average price can be shifted to near $7.25; below that, a stop loss can be placed by risk-averse investors based on their risk tolerance level.</p><p>Specifically, the fall is an obvious outcome of capital-raising actions. However, any sudden favorable fundamental development can push the price up aggressively, for instance, progressive delivery numbers based on the 'scary speed' of Chinese EV makers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cb8104dc0aaa8f486b10b6fbcc52484\" alt=\"tradingview.com\" title=\"tradingview.com\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"549\"/><span>tradingview.com</span></p><h2 id=\"id_4258280594\">Takeaway</h2><p>In conclusion, NIO's decision to issue convertible bonds initially led to a 17% drop in its stock price. However, its long-term impact hinges on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance.</p><p>Despite the short-term setback, NIO's impressive delivery growth, product diversification, investments in autonomous driving, and expanding service network position it for future success in the electric vehicle market.</p><p>Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Stock Dips - Time To Buy Or Bye-Bye?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Stock Dips - Time To Buy Or Bye-Bye?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-21 00:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4636233-nio-stock-buy-the-dip><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NIO's recent convertible bond announcement caused a 17% drop in stock price, raising questions about its future stability.However, the long-term implications are contingent on the company's ability to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4636233-nio-stock-buy-the-dip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09866":"蔚来-SW","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4509":"腾讯概念","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4526":"热门中概股","NIO":"蔚来","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4636233-nio-stock-buy-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2368388196","content_text":"NIO's recent convertible bond announcement caused a 17% drop in stock price, raising questions about its future stability.However, the long-term implications are contingent on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance.NIO's impressive delivery growth, product diversification, and investments in autonomous driving position it for success in the electric vehicle market.The successful introduction of multiple new models and investments in autonomous driving technologies underscores its ability to innovate and cater to a diverse customer base.Drew AngererA Fall Or An OpportunityIn the high-stakes world of electric vehicles, NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) recent play has some investors scratching their heads while others see a gold mine of opportunities. With a sudden 17% drop in stock price triggered by its billion-dollar convertible bond announcement, is this a fall from grace or an ingenious pivot towards long-term stability?To begin with, NIO intends to use a portion of the proceeds from the bond offering to repurchase a portion of its existing debt securities, including the 0.00% convertible senior notes due in 2026 and the 0.50% convertible senior notes due in 2027. By doing so, NIO aims to reduce its overall debt burden, which can be seen as a positive move for long-term financial stability.In detail, the convertible bonds offered by NIO come with specific terms, including interest and conversion rates. The initial conversion rate for the 2029 and 2030 Notes is approximately $11.12 per ADS, representing a conversion premium of around 30% above the closing price of NIO's ADSs on September 19, 2023. This structure allows bondholders to convert their bonds into NIO's American Depositary Shares (ADSs) at a predefined price.Form 6-KIf the stock performs well and exceeds this conversion price, bondholders may choose to convert their bonds into equity, potentially diluting existing shareholders. Conversely, if NIO's stock does not perform well, bondholders may prefer to hold onto the bonds and receive the promised interest payments. This hybrid structure can be advantageous for NIO in managing its capital structure while providing flexibility to bondholders.Moving forward, NIO must pay semiannual interest on the convertible bonds. The 2029 Notes carry an interest rate of 3.875% per year, while the 2030 Notes have an interest rate of 4.625% per year. These interest payments will impact NIO's cash flow and profitability. The ability to cover these interest expenses will depend on NIO's operational performance, sales growth, and cost management.Notably, the convertible bond offering includes an initial conversion rate set at a premium to NIO's current stock price. NIO's stock is experiencing significant price fluctuations, as the bond conversion dynamics could result in stock dilution for existing shareholders.Overall, the strategic success of this convertible bond offering, which can be observed in the performance of upcoming quarters, may receive a positive boost in investor confidence regarding NIO's ability to manage its finances and execute its growth strategy. Conversely, if NIO faces adversities in servicing the debt or fails to demonstrate tangible benefits from the bond proceeds, it could lead to relatively solid negative sentiment and a massive effect on the stock's valuations.Soaring Deliveries, Dominant Market Share, and a Diverse Fleet Set the Pace in Premium EVsOne of the standout aspects of NIO's recent performance is its remarkable delivery growth. In Q2 2023, NIO achieved 23,520 smart electric vehicle deliveries, marking a 104% year-over-year increase. In July 2023, NIO set a new monthly delivery record of 20,462 units, underscoring its exponential growth trajectory. Moreover, NIO became the best-selling brand in the premium electric vehicle segment for vehicles priced over RMB300,000 in July, securing a substantial 59% market share. This delivery surge demonstrates NIO's expanding market presence and robust consumer demand.Looking forward, NIO's product diversification strategy has been a critical driver of its value creation. The company introduced several new models, including the flagship coupe SUV EC7, the flagship sedan 2023 EC7, and the all-new ES6 earlier in the year. In June alone, NIO began delivering the smart electric tour ET5 Touring (ET5T) and the flagship SUV all-new ES8, adding to its growing portfolio.The second quarter saw NIO deliver five new models, exceeding user satisfaction expectations. This showcases NIO's ability to iterate products rapidly and manage product complexity effectively. In September, NIO plans to launch the new mid-sized coupe SUV EC6, marking the completion of its product transition to the NT2 platform. With eight distinct models, NIO is well-positioned to cater to the diverse needs of premium segment users and ensure consistent delivery growth.NIO's Triple Threat: Pioneering Autonomy, Expansive Touchpoints, and Unrivaled Charging InfrastructureFurthermore, NIO has invested substantially in assisted and intelligent driving technologies, leading to robust user engagement. Over 100,000 NIO users have activated Navigate on Pilot Plus (NOP Plus), collectively covering over 80 million kilometers.NOP Plus boasts a remarkable mileage penetration rate of 53%. The company has also initiated multiple early bird programs for NOP Plus across various operational domains, including urban environments in Beijing and Shanghai. NIO's focus on enhancing its autonomous driving capabilities positions it at the forefront of the industry's technological advancements.Strategically, to support its growing customer base and enhance the user experience, NIO has been actively expanding its sales and service network. By July 2023, NIO had established 420 NIO House, NIO Space, and pop-up stores in 143 cities. Additionally, the company boasts 304 service centers and 58 delivery centers in 201 cities worldwide. NIO's proactive approach to increasing user touchpoints and sales channels, particularly in lower-tier cities, is pivotal in improving sales capabilities and driving sales growth.Fundamentally, NIO's comprehensive charging and swapping network is a substantial competitive advantage. With 1,747 power swap stations installed globally, NIO has facilitated over 27 million battery swaps. In China, NIO's expressway battery swap network comprises 476 swap stations along major expressways, connecting 68 major cities.Beyond swaps, NIO has deployed over 7,900 power chargers and 9,700 destination chargers. NIO's charging infrastructure leads the industry with China's most public and expressway chargers. NIO's charging map also integrates with over 1.36 million third-party charging stations worldwide. Therefore, these capabilities may also benefit NIO in the expanding US battery-swapping market.Lastly, the company aims to stabilize its monthly delivery volume above 20,000 units and support new orders of 30,000 per month by the end of September. Thus, NIO's strategic focus on innovation, safety, and user satisfaction positions it ideally to capitalize on the rising demand for premium electric vehicles.Battery Swapping Charging Infrastructure Market Report, 2030An Ideal Risk-Reward ProfileAs the operational fundamentals are breeding an operational and financial resurgence that may be observable in the short run, the current stock price dive can be considered a buying opportunity. The stock price is about to enter a critical support range ($8.55–$7.25).This range offers an ideal risk-reward ratio. Through the application of dollar averaging, the average price can be shifted to near $7.25; below that, a stop loss can be placed by risk-averse investors based on their risk tolerance level.Specifically, the fall is an obvious outcome of capital-raising actions. However, any sudden favorable fundamental development can push the price up aggressively, for instance, progressive delivery numbers based on the 'scary speed' of Chinese EV makers.tradingview.comTakeawayIn conclusion, NIO's decision to issue convertible bonds initially led to a 17% drop in its stock price. However, its long-term impact hinges on the company's ability to manage its debt and operational performance.Despite the short-term setback, NIO's impressive delivery growth, product diversification, investments in autonomous driving, and expanding service network position it for future success in the electric vehicle market.Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932596711,"gmtCreate":1572970049133,"gmtModify":1704725257912,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 今晚喷子们好安静,怕不是被堵在了来的地铁上[笑哭] [捂脸] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 今晚喷子们好安静,怕不是被堵在了来的地铁上[笑哭] [捂脸] ","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 今晚喷子们好安静,怕不是被堵在了来的地铁上[笑哭] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932596711","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932598621,"gmtCreate":1572969797463,"gmtModify":1704725255847,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 低调赚钱,高调撕逼[得意] [得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 低调赚钱,高调撕逼[得意] [得意] ","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 低调赚钱,高调撕逼[得意] [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932598621","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":85913,"gmtCreate":1502968504753,"gmtModify":1704880216288,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"仔细算算财报很一般呀","htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$首先top line基本算是in line. 而净利如果扣除减持陌陌赚的10亿美金这类一次性收益,也基本是in line. 大家怎么看?","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$首先top line基本算是in line. 而净利如果扣除减持陌陌赚的10亿美金这类一次性收益,也基本是in line. 大家怎么看?","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$首先top line基本算是in line. 而净利如果扣除减持陌陌赚的10亿美金这类一次性收益,也基本是in line. 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16:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月21日,理想汽车:由于销售订单不及预期,本公司预计其2024年第一季度的车辆交付量为76,000至78,000辆,此前交付预期为100,000至103,000辆。</p><p>受此消息影响,理想汽车盘前跌超7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/262c49f0991744de087d384c7e86837a\" tg-width=\"827\" 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明日头条 阿里继续大幅减持陌陌","listText":"$陌陌(MOMO)$ 明日头条 阿里继续大幅减持陌陌","text":"$陌陌(MOMO)$ 明日头条 阿里继续大幅减持陌陌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/61230","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":295732418154688,"gmtCreate":1713209183029,"gmtModify":1713209184877,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美银终于对了一次","listText":"美银终于对了一次","text":"美银终于对了一次","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/295732418154688","repostId":"2427029781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2427029781","pubTimestamp":1713172879,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2427029781?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-04-15 17:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美银警告:美股将迎“黑色星期一”?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2427029781","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p><strong>美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。</strong></p></blockquote><p>CTA止损、波动控制杠杆清算、ETF平仓等多重因素作用下,今天会成为美股的“黑色星期一”?</p><p>美银分析师Benjamin Bowler领导的团队在其最新的《系统性资金流动监测》报告中发出警告,根据监测模型显示,美股目前已经非常接近CTA(商品交易顾问)止损触发点。如果股价继续下跌,CTA将被迫抛售股票止损,这将进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。</p><p>不仅仅是美股市场,欧洲斯托克50指数上周五也收于美银止损水平附近,这也意味着欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓,进一步加剧市场压力欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71398e661045770d0c840399a68045fe\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"939\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3358226593\">美股面临巨大的抛售压力</h2><p>美银发现,即使周一未触及CTA的止损位,波动控制策略也或将继续抛售,股市连续数日下跌、趋势强度减弱,CTA模型也会逐步降低仓位,开始卖出,“上周五<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数的大幅下跌应该有波动控制策略抛售的原因”。</p><p>所谓的"波动控制"策略则是根据市场波动率来调整股票敞口,以控制投资组合的风险。当市场下跌、波动率上升时,这类策略会相应减仓,也会带来额外的卖压。</p><p>美银称,标普500指数距离CTA策略的止损位只有90个基点的距离。“我们可能会看到这样一种情景:<strong>CTA止损触发、波动率控制策略大幅降低股票持仓、杠杆ETF和反向ETF在收盘前大幅调仓进一步释放抛压。</strong>”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/154ec33a24fd2841ac1c530d5f055985\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"483\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_4018052431\">“救星”也没了?</h2><p>更糟糕的是,传统上股市多头可以指望公司在股价下滑时发起回购潮提振股价,但随着财报季的开始,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>计算指出,标普500指数中超过95%的公司本周将进入回购禁售期,禁售期将于4月26日结束,这也意味着在这段时间内,企业无法通过回购股票来支撑股价,这将进一步加剧市场抛售压力。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>此前也指出,上周标普500指数中超80%的公司处于股票回购禁售期,相比之下,一个月前这一比例还不到5%。回购带来的稳定需求为2024年美股提供了关键支撑,但在5月初大部分美国公司退出禁售期前,这一支撑将消失。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">蒙特利尔银行</a>财富管理公司(BMO Wealth Management)首席投资官Yung-Yu Ma指出,回购禁售期可能会在未来一个月内增加股市的波动性,因为没有来自企业的关键稳定买盘来源。</p><p>分析认为,当前市场还将希望寄托于逢低买入的人群,但根据美银的数据显示,尽管上周逢低买入的市场参与者一定程度上减轻了市场跌势,但上周五的大幅下跌可能让这些新仓位处于亏损状态,如果股价不能创出新高,逢低买入者们可能会失去信心,抛售潮将更加猛烈。</p><p>在对美国通胀担忧和地缘政治风险的双重打击下,这个财报季的表现将对市场反弹至关重要。</p><p>美股三大指数上周均下挫,道指累计跌幅为2.37%,标普500指数跌1.56%,纳指跌0.45%,连续第二周收跌,创去年10月以来最差周度表现。上周首批银行股财报显示,尽管整体基本面保持健康,但几家美国最大的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>和花旗集团均报告了净利息收入下降。</p><p>而本周将有高盛、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、美国银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>等巨头先后公布业绩,公司盈利能力再受考验。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美银警告:美股将迎“黑色星期一”?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美银警告:美股将迎“黑色星期一”?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-15 17:21 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。CTA止损、波动控制杠杆清算、ETF平仓等多重因素作用下,今天会成为美股的“黑色星期一”?美银分析师Benjamin Bowler领导的团队在其最新的《系统性资金流动监测》报告中发出警告,根据监测模型显示,美股目前已经非常接近CTA(商品交易顾问)止损触发点。如果股价...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43fd405f29578c12c71dd13da9e988b5","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3712732","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2427029781","content_text":"美银警告,美股目前已经非常接近CTA止损触发点,如果周一美股继续下跌,CTA的股票抛售可能加速,进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。CTA止损、波动控制杠杆清算、ETF平仓等多重因素作用下,今天会成为美股的“黑色星期一”?美银分析师Benjamin Bowler领导的团队在其最新的《系统性资金流动监测》报告中发出警告,根据监测模型显示,美股目前已经非常接近CTA(商品交易顾问)止损触发点。如果股价继续下跌,CTA将被迫抛售股票止损,这将进一步加剧市场恐慌,造成恶性循环。不仅仅是美股市场,欧洲斯托克50指数上周五也收于美银止损水平附近,这也意味着欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓,进一步加剧市场压力欧洲股市多头可能正在大量平仓。美股面临巨大的抛售压力美银发现,即使周一未触及CTA的止损位,波动控制策略也或将继续抛售,股市连续数日下跌、趋势强度减弱,CTA模型也会逐步降低仓位,开始卖出,“上周五标普500指数的大幅下跌应该有波动控制策略抛售的原因”。所谓的\"波动控制\"策略则是根据市场波动率来调整股票敞口,以控制投资组合的风险。当市场下跌、波动率上升时,这类策略会相应减仓,也会带来额外的卖压。美银称,标普500指数距离CTA策略的止损位只有90个基点的距离。“我们可能会看到这样一种情景:CTA止损触发、波动率控制策略大幅降低股票持仓、杠杆ETF和反向ETF在收盘前大幅调仓进一步释放抛压。”“救星”也没了?更糟糕的是,传统上股市多头可以指望公司在股价下滑时发起回购潮提振股价,但随着财报季的开始,高盛计算指出,标普500指数中超过95%的公司本周将进入回购禁售期,禁售期将于4月26日结束,这也意味着在这段时间内,企业无法通过回购股票来支撑股价,这将进一步加剧市场抛售压力。德意志银行此前也指出,上周标普500指数中超80%的公司处于股票回购禁售期,相比之下,一个月前这一比例还不到5%。回购带来的稳定需求为2024年美股提供了关键支撑,但在5月初大部分美国公司退出禁售期前,这一支撑将消失。蒙特利尔银行财富管理公司(BMO Wealth Management)首席投资官Yung-Yu Ma指出,回购禁售期可能会在未来一个月内增加股市的波动性,因为没有来自企业的关键稳定买盘来源。分析认为,当前市场还将希望寄托于逢低买入的人群,但根据美银的数据显示,尽管上周逢低买入的市场参与者一定程度上减轻了市场跌势,但上周五的大幅下跌可能让这些新仓位处于亏损状态,如果股价不能创出新高,逢低买入者们可能会失去信心,抛售潮将更加猛烈。在对美国通胀担忧和地缘政治风险的双重打击下,这个财报季的表现将对市场反弹至关重要。美股三大指数上周均下挫,道指累计跌幅为2.37%,标普500指数跌1.56%,纳指跌0.45%,连续第二周收跌,创去年10月以来最差周度表现。上周首批银行股财报显示,尽管整体基本面保持健康,但几家美国最大的金融机构如摩根大通、富国银行和花旗集团均报告了净利息收入下降。而本周将有高盛、摩根士丹利、美国银行、阿斯麦、台积电和奈飞等巨头先后公布业绩,公司盈利能力再受考验。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932598621,"gmtCreate":1572969797463,"gmtModify":1704725255847,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 低调赚钱,高调撕逼[得意] [得意] ","listText":"<a 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[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932598621","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":71745,"gmtCreate":1499162263998,"gmtModify":1704878487865,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"人民日报飞刀来袭","htmlText":"$(NTES)$枪打出头鸟,王者农药作为手游吸金一哥首当其冲。老二网易是否能独善其身?或许这是只是党报惯常的抽风,也或许这正是电子游戏监管加码的前奏。不管后续情节如何演绎,手游老大老二短期的调整风险不容小觑。","listText":"$(NTES)$枪打出头鸟,王者农药作为手游吸金一哥首当其冲。老二网易是否能独善其身?或许这是只是党报惯常的抽风,也或许这正是电子游戏监管加码的前奏。不管后续情节如何演绎,手游老大老二短期的调整风险不容小觑。","text":"$(NTES)$枪打出头鸟,王者农药作为手游吸金一哥首当其冲。老二网易是否能独善其身?或许这是只是党报惯常的抽风,也或许这正是电子游戏监管加码的前奏。不管后续情节如何演绎,手游老大老二短期的调整风险不容小觑。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/71745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":222084334112856,"gmtCreate":1695251347584,"gmtModify":1695251349061,"author":{"id":"5305249099360","authorId":"5305249099360","authorIdStr":"5305249099360","name":"老虎玩家001","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f40b899d60e4adca70387aafa3a4f70","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","listText":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","text":"没有这次发债,股价已经反弹回13块以上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/222084334112856","repostId":"2368388196","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}