Malison的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Malison

Malison

more patience less greed

IP属地：湖北

62关注

587粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2023-05-19

呵呵，加密货币的那年也是这么说的，然后各种对加密货币的监管、加密货币的丑闻，各种打击，加上库存等等事情，股价连带着加密货币的行情一起狂跌，这次是何其的相似，公司是好公司，一个剧本割两次，还是省省吧...

期权大单 | 英伟达“杀疯了”，加息结束，AI时代开启？

2022-12-20

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导

2022-07-05

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish

2022-06-30

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了

2022-05-19

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$马总，好玩不？

2022-05-12

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$赶尽杀绝的跌法

2022-05-10

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$看美联储两位讲话的调调，今晚又要完蛋

2022-05-09

有毛线用...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-03-15

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗

2022-03-09

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]

2022-02-24

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$受够了，闹的凶的时候跌，现在这样子还是跌，不想看了

2022-02-23

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望

2022-02-19

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$看来乌东局势缓和说要谈判没有入侵、美联储也没有进一步变鹰、威廉姆斯甚至说加息可以加快也可以放缓，股指也一直在下跌，没有想法了，认输了。

2021-12-10

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…

2021-12-07

$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$拿这个股可以治疗低血压

2021-12-03

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…

2021-10-15

值得好好读读

兴证：防守反击，投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”

2021-05-04

一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-27

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]

2021-01-17

石墨烯电池？这么NB？

广汽集团石墨烯电池初定9月批量生产，8分钟充电至80%

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"43898359627567","uuid":"43898359627567","gmtCreate":1450753856380,"gmtModify":1588815028748,"name":"Malison","pinyin":"malison","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"more patience less greed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/306aa047bc14b6942cda1aed925cf8c3","hatId":"tsla_head_frame","hatName":"特斯拉头像框","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":587,"headSize":62,"tweetSize":36,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":108,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.54%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.82%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":"湖北","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":4,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":652695021,"gmtCreate":1684473113463,"gmtModify":1684473199480,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"呵呵，加密货币的那年也是这么说的，然后各种对加密货币的监管、加密货币的丑闻，各种打击，加上库存等等事情，股价连带着加密货币的行情一起狂跌，这次是何其的相似，公司是好公司，一个剧本割两次，还是省省吧...","listText":"呵呵，加密货币的那年也是这么说的，然后各种对加密货币的监管、加密货币的丑闻，各种打击，加上库存等等事情，股价连带着加密货币的行情一起狂跌，这次是何其的相似，公司是好公司，一个剧本割两次，还是省省吧...","text":"呵呵，加密货币的那年也是这么说的，然后各种对加密货币的监管、加密货币的丑闻，各种打击，加上库存等等事情，股价连带着加密货币的行情一起狂跌，这次是何其的相似，公司是好公司，一个剧本割两次，还是省省吧...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/652695021","repostId":"1125863084","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1125863084","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1684472074,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125863084?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-05-19 12:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权大单 | 英伟达“杀疯了”，加息结束，AI时代开启？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125863084","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周四美股期权市场总成交量44,341,156张合约。看涨期权占比56%，看跌期权占比44%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>市场概览 （5月18日）</h3><p>周四，欧美股市全线上扬，标普、纳指创下近九个月来的收盘高位。美国众议院议长麦卡锡预计众议院将在下周审议债务上限协议。美国上周初请失业救济人数低于预期，显示劳动力市场仍然紧张。</p><p>周四美股期权市场总成交量44,341,156张合约。其中，看涨期权占比56%，看跌期权占比44%。</p><h3>期权成交总量TOP10：英伟达霸气十足</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836c6153e9af37b0ae341ae0058d3fa5\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"826\"/></p><p><strong>我们看到，英伟达在总排行榜中冲到了第四的位置。</strong>当天，英伟达股价涨近5%，创2021年12月9日以来收盘新高，市值大增370.5亿美元（合人民币2607亿元），今年以来，英伟达已累计上涨116.80%。</p><p>Oppenheimer 的两位分析师的分别将英伟达的目标股价从300美元和310美元上调至了350美元；Truist 分析师 William Stein 上周也将英伟达的目标股价从289美元上调至了322美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda4acb819456ce2b7e7abc3bb69f9d\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>英伟达被认为是“AI淘金时代的卖铲王”。去年年底，聊天机器人ChatGPT发布后，人工智能在科技行业掀起了一阵热潮，越来越多的公司开始争夺该领域的主导地位。<strong>英伟达也加入了这场竞争。作为一站式解决方案的提供商，英伟达提供可以帮助AI产品训练大量文本、图像和视频的图形处理单元（GPU），而这需要强大的计算能力。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师预计，<strong>下周英伟达公布的季报和指引都会因企业纷纷掘金AI而有更好的表现，AI的浪潮将使市场对英伟达产品的需求激增。另有消息称，英伟达持续受到经济低迷冲击的游戏业务也即将复苏。</strong></p><h3>AI引领下一个时代？</h3><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其他AI龙头也有新动作。继上周举行的2023年I/O开发者大会之后，谷歌宣布了一系列支持人工智能的产品和服务，其中的头条是该公司新推出的大型语言模型，这是公司朝着生成式AI领域迈进的重要一步。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Palantir 也公布了超出预期的财务业绩，公司高管还称预计到年底每个季度都将保持盈利。一周前，该公司的股价曾当日暴涨23%。有消息称，该公司预计本月刚刚发布的、可以在军事和民间使用的人工智能平台AIP将拥有“前所未有”的需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SoundHound AI的一季报显示营收同比增长了56%且亏损也显著减少，首席执行官 Keyvan Mohajer 称AI需求的激增赋予了SoundHound独特的优势。该公司提供“当今最强大的语音助手”，这是许多企业的首选。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">由于同样竞争入局人工智能，为用户提供有针对性的广告和相关内容，Facebook母公司Meta的股价自今年年初以来也将近翻了一倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ff06739a1443819246c35b25128922f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ARK投资管理公司预计，到2030年，全球AI市场可能会带来14万亿美元的机会。其他华尔街人士也表达了对AI的热情。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从宏观层面上看，美联储已经完成加息以对抗通胀，今年美国股市可能会走高。而AI将引发下一次“生产力繁荣”，AI和大型语言模型的应用可能会迎来一个罕见的生产力大发展时期。</p><p>英伟达已经在期权市场“杀疯了”，后面，它真的能开启一个新的时代吗？</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权大单 | 英伟达“杀疯了”，加息结束，AI时代开启？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权大单 | 英伟达“杀疯了”，加息结束，AI时代开启？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-05-19 12:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h3>市场概览 （5月18日）</h3><p>周四，欧美股市全线上扬，标普、纳指创下近九个月来的收盘高位。美国众议院议长麦卡锡预计众议院将在下周审议债务上限协议。美国上周初请失业救济人数低于预期，显示劳动力市场仍然紧张。</p><p>周四美股期权市场总成交量44,341,156张合约。其中，看涨期权占比56%，看跌期权占比44%。</p><h3>期权成交总量TOP10：英伟达霸气十足</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836c6153e9af37b0ae341ae0058d3fa5\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"826\"/></p><p><strong>我们看到，英伟达在总排行榜中冲到了第四的位置。</strong>当天，英伟达股价涨近5%，创2021年12月9日以来收盘新高，市值大增370.5亿美元（合人民币2607亿元），今年以来，英伟达已累计上涨116.80%。</p><p>Oppenheimer 的两位分析师的分别将英伟达的目标股价从300美元和310美元上调至了350美元；Truist 分析师 William Stein 上周也将英伟达的目标股价从289美元上调至了322美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda4acb819456ce2b7e7abc3bb69f9d\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>英伟达被认为是“AI淘金时代的卖铲王”。去年年底，聊天机器人ChatGPT发布后，人工智能在科技行业掀起了一阵热潮，越来越多的公司开始争夺该领域的主导地位。<strong>英伟达也加入了这场竞争。作为一站式解决方案的提供商，英伟达提供可以帮助AI产品训练大量文本、图像和视频的图形处理单元（GPU），而这需要强大的计算能力。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师预计，<strong>下周英伟达公布的季报和指引都会因企业纷纷掘金AI而有更好的表现，AI的浪潮将使市场对英伟达产品的需求激增。另有消息称，英伟达持续受到经济低迷冲击的游戏业务也即将复苏。</strong></p><h3>AI引领下一个时代？</h3><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其他AI龙头也有新动作。继上周举行的2023年I/O开发者大会之后，谷歌宣布了一系列支持人工智能的产品和服务，其中的头条是该公司新推出的大型语言模型，这是公司朝着生成式AI领域迈进的重要一步。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Palantir 也公布了超出预期的财务业绩，公司高管还称预计到年底每个季度都将保持盈利。一周前，该公司的股价曾当日暴涨23%。有消息称，该公司预计本月刚刚发布的、可以在军事和民间使用的人工智能平台AIP将拥有“前所未有”的需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SoundHound AI的一季报显示营收同比增长了56%且亏损也显著减少，首席执行官 Keyvan Mohajer 称AI需求的激增赋予了SoundHound独特的优势。该公司提供“当今最强大的语音助手”，这是许多企业的首选。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">由于同样竞争入局人工智能，为用户提供有针对性的广告和相关内容，Facebook母公司Meta的股价自今年年初以来也将近翻了一倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ff06739a1443819246c35b25128922f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ARK投资管理公司预计，到2030年，全球AI市场可能会带来14万亿美元的机会。其他华尔街人士也表达了对AI的热情。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从宏观层面上看，美联储已经完成加息以对抗通胀，今年美国股市可能会走高。而AI将引发下一次“生产力繁荣”，AI和大型语言模型的应用可能会迎来一个罕见的生产力大发展时期。</p><p>英伟达已经在期权市场“杀疯了”，后面，它真的能开启一个新的时代吗？</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cf1e141e2cdfd3675bf9463b7ea2f3","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125863084","content_text":"市场概览 （5月18日）周四，欧美股市全线上扬，标普、纳指创下近九个月来的收盘高位。美国众议院议长麦卡锡预计众议院将在下周审议债务上限协议。美国上周初请失业救济人数低于预期，显示劳动力市场仍然紧张。周四美股期权市场总成交量44,341,156张合约。其中，看涨期权占比56%，看跌期权占比44%。期权成交总量TOP10：英伟达霸气十足我们看到，英伟达在总排行榜中冲到了第四的位置。当天，英伟达股价涨近5%，创2021年12月9日以来收盘新高，市值大增370.5亿美元（合人民币2607亿元），今年以来，英伟达已累计上涨116.80%。Oppenheimer 的两位分析师的分别将英伟达的目标股价从300美元和310美元上调至了350美元；Truist 分析师 William Stein 上周也将英伟达的目标股价从289美元上调至了322美元。英伟达被认为是“AI淘金时代的卖铲王”。去年年底，聊天机器人ChatGPT发布后，人工智能在科技行业掀起了一阵热潮，越来越多的公司开始争夺该领域的主导地位。英伟达也加入了这场竞争。作为一站式解决方案的提供商，英伟达提供可以帮助AI产品训练大量文本、图像和视频的图形处理单元（GPU），而这需要强大的计算能力。分析师预计，下周英伟达公布的季报和指引都会因企业纷纷掘金AI而有更好的表现，AI的浪潮将使市场对英伟达产品的需求激增。另有消息称，英伟达持续受到经济低迷冲击的游戏业务也即将复苏。AI引领下一个时代？其他AI龙头也有新动作。继上周举行的2023年I/O开发者大会之后，谷歌宣布了一系列支持人工智能的产品和服务，其中的头条是该公司新推出的大型语言模型，这是公司朝着生成式AI领域迈进的重要一步。Palantir 也公布了超出预期的财务业绩，公司高管还称预计到年底每个季度都将保持盈利。一周前，该公司的股价曾当日暴涨23%。有消息称，该公司预计本月刚刚发布的、可以在军事和民间使用的人工智能平台AIP将拥有“前所未有”的需求。SoundHound AI的一季报显示营收同比增长了56%且亏损也显著减少，首席执行官 Keyvan Mohajer 称AI需求的激增赋予了SoundHound独特的优势。该公司提供“当今最强大的语音助手”，这是许多企业的首选。由于同样竞争入局人工智能，为用户提供有针对性的广告和相关内容，Facebook母公司Meta的股价自今年年初以来也将近翻了一倍。ARK投资管理公司预计，到2030年，全球AI市场可能会带来14万亿美元的机会。其他华尔街人士也表达了对AI的热情。从宏观层面上看，美联储已经完成加息以对抗通胀，今年美国股市可能会走高。而AI将引发下一次“生产力繁荣”，AI和大型语言模型的应用可能会迎来一个罕见的生产力大发展时期。英伟达已经在期权市场“杀疯了”，后面，它真的能开启一个新的时代吗？","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3482988025047301","authorId":"3482988025047301","name":"PandaPong","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3482988025047301","authorIdStr":"3482988025047301"},"content":"谁让每次风口都有他们呢，其他公司给你钱也没这个能耐啊。不是英伟达需要风口、是风口需要英伟达，因果关系不能搞错","text":"谁让每次风口都有他们呢，其他公司给你钱也没这个能耐啊。不是英伟达需要风口、是风口需要英伟达，因果关系不能搞错","html":"谁让每次风口都有他们呢，其他公司给你钱也没这个能耐啊。不是英伟达需要风口、是风口需要英伟达，因果关系不能搞错"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623542242,"gmtCreate":1671549804787,"gmtModify":1671549805680,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":341,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":558,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623542242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3555287038593705","authorId":"3555287038593705","name":"Afei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91ec2db9082f431722de0154b0e8204","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555287038593705","authorIdStr":"3555287038593705"},"content":"哎，一塌糊涂","text":"哎，一塌糊涂","html":"哎，一塌糊涂"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681500932,"gmtCreate":1657034142128,"gmtModify":1704866348165,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":103,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681500932","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681915739,"gmtCreate":1656600409922,"gmtModify":1704865383738,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":140,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681915739","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615850964,"gmtCreate":1652890944058,"gmtModify":1652890944058,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>马总，好玩不？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>马总，好玩不？","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$马总，好玩不？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615850964","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612229418,"gmtCreate":1652362773734,"gmtModify":1652363469930,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>赶尽杀绝的跌法","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>赶尽杀绝的跌法","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$赶尽杀绝的跌法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612229418","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612340728,"gmtCreate":1652190417064,"gmtModify":1652191041499,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>看美联储两位讲话的调调，今晚又要完蛋","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>看美联储两位讲话的调调，今晚又要完蛋","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$看美联储两位讲话的调调，今晚又要完蛋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612340728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612900606,"gmtCreate":1652105596105,"gmtModify":1652105596105,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有毛线用...","listText":"有毛线用...","text":"有毛线用...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612900606","repostId":"2234602520","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634314075,"gmtCreate":1647352155432,"gmtModify":1647352155432,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634314075","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635047894,"gmtCreate":1646758000340,"gmtModify":1646887284262,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$</a>额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$</a>额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":71,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635047894","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":636928251,"gmtCreate":1645633325459,"gmtModify":1645633325459,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>受够了，闹的凶的时候跌，现在这样子还是跌，不想看了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>受够了，闹的凶的时候跌，现在这样子还是跌，不想看了","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$受够了，闹的凶的时候跌，现在这样子还是跌，不想看了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/636928251","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638777914,"gmtCreate":1645551344024,"gmtModify":1645551344024,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638777914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557008405269629","authorId":"3557008405269629","name":"友谅投行","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee45f8e6b08c07c4b25e4dcfd8131709","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557008405269629","authorIdStr":"3557008405269629"},"content":"中概股不服你的言论","text":"中概股不服你的言论","html":"中概股不服你的言论"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638633607,"gmtCreate":1645208419796,"gmtModify":1645220448084,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>看来乌东局势缓和说要谈判没有入侵、美联储也没有进一步变鹰、威廉姆斯甚至说加息可以加快也可以放缓，股指也一直在下跌，没有想法了，认输了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>看来乌东局势缓和说要谈判没有入侵、美联储也没有进一步变鹰、威廉姆斯甚至说加息可以加快也可以放缓，股指也一直在下跌，没有想法了，认输了。","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$看来乌东局势缓和说要谈判没有入侵、美联储也没有进一步变鹰、威廉姆斯甚至说加息可以加快也可以放缓，股指也一直在下跌，没有想法了，认输了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638633607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605892528,"gmtCreate":1639141092319,"gmtModify":1639144290248,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7506e68cb4c1b80ed318163ff6ec4bac","width":"944","height":"1187"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":1536,"commentSize":314,"repostSize":46,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605892528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547499860800538","authorId":"3547499860800538","name":"唤唤霸霸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4842950dc96000bc44fa266137eef860","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547499860800538","authorIdStr":"3547499860800538"},"content":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动","text":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动","html":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606932722,"gmtCreate":1638806934599,"gmtModify":1638806934599,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>拿这个股可以治疗低血压","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>拿这个股可以治疗低血压","text":"$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$拿这个股可以治疗低血压","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606932722","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601411321,"gmtCreate":1638546421842,"gmtModify":1638546421842,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601411321","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824349462,"gmtCreate":1634284621012,"gmtModify":1634284621012,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"值得好好读读","listText":"值得好好读读","text":"值得好好读读","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824349462","repostId":"1179215198","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179215198","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"张忆东从事A股港股及大类资产配置研究逾15载，连续多年获策略研究第一名，是新财富、水晶球、金牛奖、第一财经、IAMAC奖的“全满贯”第一，三次获“新财富”策略第一。该公众号是其团队研究大类资产配置、A股港股美股及其他市场的成果","home_visible":1,"media_name":"张忆东策略世界","id":"1065818805","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7f636ec1274a70b86d1fdc1329e0eb"},"pubTimestamp":1634263708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179215198?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 10:08","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"兴证：防守反击，投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179215198","media":"张忆东策略世界","summary":"1、投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”\n1.1、投资时钟的角度，四季度将从“类滞胀”逐步转向“衰退”，中国宏观经济趋弱，供应端引发的PPI上行将回落。\n中国宏观增速继续下行。1）固定资产投资：a）地产，","content":"<p><b>1、投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”</b></p>\n<p><b>1.1、投资时钟的角度，四季度将从“类滞胀”逐步转向“衰退”</b>，中国宏观经济趋弱，供应端引发的PPI上行将回落。</p>\n<p><b>中国宏观增速继续下行。1）</b>固定资产投资：a）地产，受制于持续偏紧的政策和信用风险;b）基建，受制于控杠杆、金融反腐，托底力度优先;c）制造业，受制于能耗双控，叠加能源及原材料价格高企。<b>2）</b>消费：疫情反复，影响消费增速，后续等待刺激政策以及疫情防控的变化；<b>3）</b>出口：基数因素，叠加全球产业链修复，下半年出口增速或趋势放缓。</p>\n<p><b>通胀，较难演变为全面通胀，主要是疫情、能耗双控政策等因素的累积效应下，供应端紧张引发的PPI超预期上行。1）</b>CPI——新经济形势下，中国PPI未必能向CPI有效传导，可参考2017年。四季度经济继续降速，CPI低位徘徊，猪价继续下跌也继续拖累CPI，猪周期启动或要等待明年下半年。2）PPI——9、10月份PPI同比或是年内高点，不排除10月煤炭、原油、天然气等继续涨价，但随着中国政府力保煤炭电力供应以及中国经济降速，四季度中后期PPI同比将有望回落。<b>3）</b>“双碳”战略和新一轮朱格拉周期的影响之下，此轮PPI回落之后的情形，可能更像2004-2006年，未来数年PPI回落的低点相对更高。</p>\n<p><b>1.2、投资时钟的“衰退”期，政策环境将转向稳经济，有利于资本市场，政策刺激的方向将是股市的结构性机会。</b></p>\n<p><b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”找原因：</b>1）经济复苏、新动能推升用电需求，四季度会弱化；2）需求端：服务业用电量增速高于制造业，非高耗能制造业高于高耗能制造业；3）电力结构的变化，符合长期战略；但短期要不能操之过急；4）煤炭供需缺口放大，库存处于低位，加大了火电增加供应的难度；4）8月后，能耗双控推动限产。</p>\n<p><b>此番缺煤缺电的教训及启示：1）双碳战略英明伟大，但不能操之过急、不能运动式推进；2）双碳目标呼唤灵活性和智能化的新型电力系统；3）中国的政策决策者善于发现问题并高效地解决问题，投资者不要把短期的扰动当做长期趋势</b></p>\n<p><b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”不会影响大国货币政策决策：</b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”持续性低，虽然海外能源涨价可能仍有惯性，等待所谓“寒冬”，但是，煤炭、原材料涨价已经到了高潮或已经过了高潮。</p>\n<p><b>1.3、今年四季度，投资时钟下一步更大概率的场景是衰退，10月份正从“类滞胀”转向衰退</b></p>\n<p><b>投资时钟意义的衰退，可以区分上半场和下半场，两者的分别在于有没有“稳经济”的政策环境。一旦稳增长的预期确定，衰退下半场即开始，重要的观察点：10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。</b></p>\n<p><b>四季度中国政策导向将更趋向稳经济、稳就业，</b>其中，<b>1）财政政策是焦点，将有望进一步发力，</b>特别是围绕“十四五规划”要重点发展的领域发力；<b>2）货币政策保持中性偏宽松，重点是配合财政政策，宽信用可期待，降准也有可能，</b>从而有利于化解房地产领域信用风险的尾部风险，有利于培养新的经济增长点。<b>3）政策改善力度可以关注：</b>10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。</p>\n<p><b>1.4、信用风险：</b>房地产债务风险，正在妥善化解中，不会导致金融冲击，不会形成系统性金融危机，但是，债务违约甚至恶意“逃废债”行为等尾部风险仍会影响情绪。</p>\n<p><b>1.5、产业政策风险。</b>政策环境已经开始边际改善，前期密集出台监管政策的阶段已过去，其中，互联网作为港股市场的中流砥柱，风险较明显释放。</p>\n<p><b>1.6、海外环境分析：四季度欧美仍有滞胀压力，美债收益率和美元反弹带来短期惊扰，但并不是系统性风险。</b></p>\n<p><b>欧美经济“滞胀”压力仍处于提升过程中，大约滞后中国经济1个季度。</b>全球放水的滞后反应、疫情导致的供应链风险、大宗商品和芯片等紧缺格局持续，在今年四季度乃至明年初将继续让欧美经济笼罩在高通胀的阴影之下。</p>\n<p><b>美国四季度将开始货币政策正常化，但不是系统性风险，美债长端利率有望反弹但不同于1季度：1）债务上限短期协议达成，4季度美债阶段性供给将增加，美长端利率有上行压力，但是只是短期惊扰；2）联储通胀容忍度将会超预期，以史为鉴，1947年通胀暂时高企，美联储并没放弃尤其是长债利率的YCC；3）即便是通胀超预期，其推升的长债利率难以重现今年2-3月份系统性杀估值的情形。</b></p>\n<p><b>中期展望，短债利率上行和美元上行值得警惕，将导致市场震荡、分化。1）</b>美元指数随着美德短端息差（ 2年期为例）扩大而走高，5月份已经开始，后续随着Taper的临近以及实施，美国短端利率将稳步上行，从而，推动美元进一步、缓慢走高。2）美元的上升是相对缓步的上升，这对海外市场不是系统性风险。从全球配置而言，美元资产在这时恰恰是有吸引力的，以内生增长动能驱动的、优质成长股的吸引力提升，但是，业绩预期不佳的股票将杀估值。</p>\n<p><b>海外风险对中国股市的影响逐步钝化。</b>首先，中国股市尤其是港股市场已经先跌为敬；第二，明年可能更多的新兴市场会跟随美国收紧货币政策，但中国在以内循环为主体的战略下，货币政策将将更加“以我为主”;第三，中美经贸关系短期有望阶段性缓和，海外资金对中国资产的风险偏好有望改善。</p>\n<p><b>2、四季度港股底部区域有一段强反弹，但A股是科创行情主战场</b></p>\n<p><b>2.1、港股市场已经处于长期估值底部区域，港股三季度呈现系统性风险冲击，全面大跌之后，风险已经比较充分释放。</b></p>\n<p><b>估值处于历史底部区域，</b>截至10月8日，恒生指数市净率水平为1.04倍，恒生国指市净率水平为0.99倍，分别位于2014年以来的4%和16%分位数水平。</p>\n<p><b>产业政策风险虽然仍有压制，但是近期无论是互联网政策还是教育政策均在边际改善。1）美团反垄断处罚落地；2）中办、国办印发《关于推动现代职业教育高质量发展的意见》，鼓励职业教育。</b></p>\n<p><b>2.2、港股长期的战略发展机遇是顺应顺应国家的双循环驱动的发展战略，顺应中国经济转型、顺应科技创新。</b></p>\n<p><b>港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，精彩还会继续。</b>1）港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，作为离岸金融中心，能够充分用好境内、境外两种资源，方便中国企业进行全球化布局，是人民币国际化战略的重要桥头堡。所以，善加利用，它的精彩还会继续。2）香港积极建设北部都会区，融入国家发展大局。</p>\n<p><b>中国资产的中长期展望，科创行情是主旋律，无论A股还是港股投资都要顺应新一轮朱格拉周期,以“双碳”、科创、先进制造为重要特征。</b>1）五大赛道之一：“万物智联”新基建，中国市场迎历史性产业机遇。2）五大赛道之二：新能源车，后补贴时代优质车型大周期启动。3）五大赛道之三:新能源，供需爆炸式增长。4）五大赛道之四：半导体行业为代表的高端制造国产替代的主线；高端制造立足新增长点，中期看下游产能扩建，长期看国产替代；新材料多点开花，关注国产化新格局与各产业发展新机遇。5）五大赛道之五：军工泛产业链。</p>\n<p><b>中国资产更长期的机会，最确定是内需，港股新消费行情的长逻辑清晰，建议以长打短，拥抱共同富裕时代的新兴消费、生物医药及医疗服务、国潮消费、人工智能等新趋势。</b></p>\n<p><b>3、投资策略：防守反击、以长打短。</b></p>\n<p><b>3.1、A股：四季度上证指数有望在3500-3700点区间内波动，关键在于结构性行情，“螺蛳壳里做道场”，防守反击。</b></p>\n<p>防守为主的阶段：10月份，仍是衰退期的上半场，白酒、消费、金融、地产等今年跌得多的可以用来防守；而科创行情的方向将开始分化，可以立足中长期而从容布局；</p>\n<p>结构性反击为主的阶段：四季度中后期，进入衰退期下半场，聚焦结构性行情进行反击，主线靠科创，反击的号角在于稳经济的政策不断加码，包括降准以及财政刺激等，关注财政政策的细化方向特别是跟新基建、科创相关的政策。</p>\n<p><b>3.2、港股：10月至11月中旬是好的反弹窗口。但反弹以后，不排除到年底的时候港股会面临动荡，原因在于美债收益率有可能升至年初高点以及美元反弹。</b></p>\n<p>投资机会一：继续看好科创长牛的大方向，互联网短期反弹+先进制造业长短皆宜。</p>\n<p>投资机会二：能够顺应共同富裕大时代的“消费+”。</p>\n<p>投资机会三：服务科创长牛的金融机构，长期受益于中国经济新趋势以及社会财富向权益资产的配置。</p>\n<p>投资机会四：价值股将分化，相对看好银行、地产等类债券资产的长期配置价值；煤炭、钢铁、化工、有色、航运等在衰退期将调整，等待后续精选阿尔法的机会；电力等公用事业则是新的电力改革、能源结构优化的成长逻辑。</p>\n<p><b>风险提示：全球经济增速下行；中、美货币政策宽松不达预期；大国博弈风险；全球疫情风险</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1227eef9b3ecb3562db2bd4503592739\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c02bd656ca99def9bef3bc42acec196\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c80b1e8bd75704fdf0b362988bdb3d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dafabc09f7b64c3793ea55ab4838aa55\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaab9e97862d7d212cc8bf9f26a8f781\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35627cfdc42e7e0ec060e1af69358834\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cca60fa1583e9fca915d7ce4c8d1007b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a63b2afc7367b9985e72f338a2418ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/711644734ac1a833fdf6fa6b529f49d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b60d3da48ea10b549a2d08c664a6eef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a39c076a2d86ec622ac439d3774a4c3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e105b5241c3eebebad651025542423d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c351c72bd93c3763d58e705420476ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6fd5144c68b542b4de2fcb60d771f3b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b197f474ede0c2557cd3d39360634625\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75f51844370f3a3cf8bdf557b287f0e7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b35bd5af30290826ee0e96530e53e9a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91a7768bde396ef64e252177b195e40e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67c40b795365db9c16b4e8c9089c3156\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebd5fe75ba9d2dda22aa1e0b92a2f7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5514215f3d86c024290dce32ab323ac1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e31d5e7e1245e735ce8db8f36332c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d5bed10545dc15a98393e0250d4fea4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72dc547dfb78dc60682e1a2c6621772e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf0a9b0ea4845836831f4cb19df67d34\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ba03e6ddb38bc9b0d413921ef4396d8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a0c6de9f6c1c372f7ad1185391ff7f6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/675184ab27e1316baa0453e147cb48f8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d8c162bf8a5772fbbfa37ecaa868c11\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d191be64117be78baeae25b5628527c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a83b51020964d0886c828d294bf05a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac27f8597f518e04c4283870a5cba5e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25eb9ae5b5b46d4ed2ceb47ec9a397f6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4633a2a12a3db85b83dbf4e2c9b3f764\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>兴证：防守反击，投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n兴证：防守反击，投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1065818805\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad7f636ec1274a70b86d1fdc1329e0eb);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">张忆东策略世界 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-15 10:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>1、投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”</b></p>\n<p><b>1.1、投资时钟的角度，四季度将从“类滞胀”逐步转向“衰退”</b>，中国宏观经济趋弱，供应端引发的PPI上行将回落。</p>\n<p><b>中国宏观增速继续下行。1）</b>固定资产投资：a）地产，受制于持续偏紧的政策和信用风险;b）基建，受制于控杠杆、金融反腐，托底力度优先;c）制造业，受制于能耗双控，叠加能源及原材料价格高企。<b>2）</b>消费：疫情反复，影响消费增速，后续等待刺激政策以及疫情防控的变化；<b>3）</b>出口：基数因素，叠加全球产业链修复，下半年出口增速或趋势放缓。</p>\n<p><b>通胀，较难演变为全面通胀，主要是疫情、能耗双控政策等因素的累积效应下，供应端紧张引发的PPI超预期上行。1）</b>CPI——新经济形势下，中国PPI未必能向CPI有效传导，可参考2017年。四季度经济继续降速，CPI低位徘徊，猪价继续下跌也继续拖累CPI，猪周期启动或要等待明年下半年。2）PPI——9、10月份PPI同比或是年内高点，不排除10月煤炭、原油、天然气等继续涨价，但随着中国政府力保煤炭电力供应以及中国经济降速，四季度中后期PPI同比将有望回落。<b>3）</b>“双碳”战略和新一轮朱格拉周期的影响之下，此轮PPI回落之后的情形，可能更像2004-2006年，未来数年PPI回落的低点相对更高。</p>\n<p><b>1.2、投资时钟的“衰退”期，政策环境将转向稳经济，有利于资本市场，政策刺激的方向将是股市的结构性机会。</b></p>\n<p><b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”找原因：</b>1）经济复苏、新动能推升用电需求，四季度会弱化；2）需求端：服务业用电量增速高于制造业，非高耗能制造业高于高耗能制造业；3）电力结构的变化，符合长期战略；但短期要不能操之过急；4）煤炭供需缺口放大，库存处于低位，加大了火电增加供应的难度；4）8月后，能耗双控推动限产。</p>\n<p><b>此番缺煤缺电的教训及启示：1）双碳战略英明伟大，但不能操之过急、不能运动式推进；2）双碳目标呼唤灵活性和智能化的新型电力系统；3）中国的政策决策者善于发现问题并高效地解决问题，投资者不要把短期的扰动当做长期趋势</b></p>\n<p><b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”不会影响大国货币政策决策：</b>供应链紧张引发的“胀”持续性低，虽然海外能源涨价可能仍有惯性，等待所谓“寒冬”，但是，煤炭、原材料涨价已经到了高潮或已经过了高潮。</p>\n<p><b>1.3、今年四季度，投资时钟下一步更大概率的场景是衰退，10月份正从“类滞胀”转向衰退</b></p>\n<p><b>投资时钟意义的衰退，可以区分上半场和下半场，两者的分别在于有没有“稳经济”的政策环境。一旦稳增长的预期确定，衰退下半场即开始，重要的观察点：10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。</b></p>\n<p><b>四季度中国政策导向将更趋向稳经济、稳就业，</b>其中，<b>1）财政政策是焦点，将有望进一步发力，</b>特别是围绕“十四五规划”要重点发展的领域发力；<b>2）货币政策保持中性偏宽松，重点是配合财政政策，宽信用可期待，降准也有可能，</b>从而有利于化解房地产领域信用风险的尾部风险，有利于培养新的经济增长点。<b>3）政策改善力度可以关注：</b>10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。</p>\n<p><b>1.4、信用风险：</b>房地产债务风险，正在妥善化解中，不会导致金融冲击，不会形成系统性金融危机，但是，债务违约甚至恶意“逃废债”行为等尾部风险仍会影响情绪。</p>\n<p><b>1.5、产业政策风险。</b>政策环境已经开始边际改善，前期密集出台监管政策的阶段已过去，其中，互联网作为港股市场的中流砥柱，风险较明显释放。</p>\n<p><b>1.6、海外环境分析：四季度欧美仍有滞胀压力，美债收益率和美元反弹带来短期惊扰，但并不是系统性风险。</b></p>\n<p><b>欧美经济“滞胀”压力仍处于提升过程中，大约滞后中国经济1个季度。</b>全球放水的滞后反应、疫情导致的供应链风险、大宗商品和芯片等紧缺格局持续，在今年四季度乃至明年初将继续让欧美经济笼罩在高通胀的阴影之下。</p>\n<p><b>美国四季度将开始货币政策正常化，但不是系统性风险，美债长端利率有望反弹但不同于1季度：1）债务上限短期协议达成，4季度美债阶段性供给将增加，美长端利率有上行压力，但是只是短期惊扰；2）联储通胀容忍度将会超预期，以史为鉴，1947年通胀暂时高企，美联储并没放弃尤其是长债利率的YCC；3）即便是通胀超预期，其推升的长债利率难以重现今年2-3月份系统性杀估值的情形。</b></p>\n<p><b>中期展望，短债利率上行和美元上行值得警惕，将导致市场震荡、分化。1）</b>美元指数随着美德短端息差（ 2年期为例）扩大而走高，5月份已经开始，后续随着Taper的临近以及实施，美国短端利率将稳步上行，从而，推动美元进一步、缓慢走高。2）美元的上升是相对缓步的上升，这对海外市场不是系统性风险。从全球配置而言，美元资产在这时恰恰是有吸引力的，以内生增长动能驱动的、优质成长股的吸引力提升，但是，业绩预期不佳的股票将杀估值。</p>\n<p><b>海外风险对中国股市的影响逐步钝化。</b>首先，中国股市尤其是港股市场已经先跌为敬；第二，明年可能更多的新兴市场会跟随美国收紧货币政策，但中国在以内循环为主体的战略下，货币政策将将更加“以我为主”;第三，中美经贸关系短期有望阶段性缓和，海外资金对中国资产的风险偏好有望改善。</p>\n<p><b>2、四季度港股底部区域有一段强反弹，但A股是科创行情主战场</b></p>\n<p><b>2.1、港股市场已经处于长期估值底部区域，港股三季度呈现系统性风险冲击，全面大跌之后，风险已经比较充分释放。</b></p>\n<p><b>估值处于历史底部区域，</b>截至10月8日，恒生指数市净率水平为1.04倍，恒生国指市净率水平为0.99倍，分别位于2014年以来的4%和16%分位数水平。</p>\n<p><b>产业政策风险虽然仍有压制，但是近期无论是互联网政策还是教育政策均在边际改善。1）美团反垄断处罚落地；2）中办、国办印发《关于推动现代职业教育高质量发展的意见》，鼓励职业教育。</b></p>\n<p><b>2.2、港股长期的战略发展机遇是顺应顺应国家的双循环驱动的发展战略，顺应中国经济转型、顺应科技创新。</b></p>\n<p><b>港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，精彩还会继续。</b>1）港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，作为离岸金融中心，能够充分用好境内、境外两种资源，方便中国企业进行全球化布局，是人民币国际化战略的重要桥头堡。所以，善加利用，它的精彩还会继续。2）香港积极建设北部都会区，融入国家发展大局。</p>\n<p><b>中国资产的中长期展望，科创行情是主旋律，无论A股还是港股投资都要顺应新一轮朱格拉周期,以“双碳”、科创、先进制造为重要特征。</b>1）五大赛道之一：“万物智联”新基建，中国市场迎历史性产业机遇。2）五大赛道之二：新能源车，后补贴时代优质车型大周期启动。3）五大赛道之三:新能源，供需爆炸式增长。4）五大赛道之四：半导体行业为代表的高端制造国产替代的主线；高端制造立足新增长点，中期看下游产能扩建，长期看国产替代；新材料多点开花，关注国产化新格局与各产业发展新机遇。5）五大赛道之五：军工泛产业链。</p>\n<p><b>中国资产更长期的机会，最确定是内需，港股新消费行情的长逻辑清晰，建议以长打短，拥抱共同富裕时代的新兴消费、生物医药及医疗服务、国潮消费、人工智能等新趋势。</b></p>\n<p><b>3、投资策略：防守反击、以长打短。</b></p>\n<p><b>3.1、A股：四季度上证指数有望在3500-3700点区间内波动，关键在于结构性行情，“螺蛳壳里做道场”，防守反击。</b></p>\n<p>防守为主的阶段：10月份，仍是衰退期的上半场，白酒、消费、金融、地产等今年跌得多的可以用来防守；而科创行情的方向将开始分化，可以立足中长期而从容布局；</p>\n<p>结构性反击为主的阶段：四季度中后期，进入衰退期下半场，聚焦结构性行情进行反击，主线靠科创，反击的号角在于稳经济的政策不断加码，包括降准以及财政刺激等，关注财政政策的细化方向特别是跟新基建、科创相关的政策。</p>\n<p><b>3.2、港股：10月至11月中旬是好的反弹窗口。但反弹以后，不排除到年底的时候港股会面临动荡，原因在于美债收益率有可能升至年初高点以及美元反弹。</b></p>\n<p>投资机会一：继续看好科创长牛的大方向，互联网短期反弹+先进制造业长短皆宜。</p>\n<p>投资机会二：能够顺应共同富裕大时代的“消费+”。</p>\n<p>投资机会三：服务科创长牛的金融机构，长期受益于中国经济新趋势以及社会财富向权益资产的配置。</p>\n<p>投资机会四：价值股将分化，相对看好银行、地产等类债券资产的长期配置价值；煤炭、钢铁、化工、有色、航运等在衰退期将调整，等待后续精选阿尔法的机会；电力等公用事业则是新的电力改革、能源结构优化的成长逻辑。</p>\n<p><b>风险提示：全球经济增速下行；中、美货币政策宽松不达预期；大国博弈风险；全球疫情风险</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1227eef9b3ecb3562db2bd4503592739\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c02bd656ca99def9bef3bc42acec196\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c80b1e8bd75704fdf0b362988bdb3d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dafabc09f7b64c3793ea55ab4838aa55\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaab9e97862d7d212cc8bf9f26a8f781\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35627cfdc42e7e0ec060e1af69358834\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cca60fa1583e9fca915d7ce4c8d1007b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a63b2afc7367b9985e72f338a2418ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/711644734ac1a833fdf6fa6b529f49d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b60d3da48ea10b549a2d08c664a6eef\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a39c076a2d86ec622ac439d3774a4c3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e105b5241c3eebebad651025542423d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c351c72bd93c3763d58e705420476ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6fd5144c68b542b4de2fcb60d771f3b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b197f474ede0c2557cd3d39360634625\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75f51844370f3a3cf8bdf557b287f0e7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b35bd5af30290826ee0e96530e53e9a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91a7768bde396ef64e252177b195e40e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67c40b795365db9c16b4e8c9089c3156\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebd5fe75ba9d2dda22aa1e0b92a2f7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5514215f3d86c024290dce32ab323ac1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e31d5e7e1245e735ce8db8f36332c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d5bed10545dc15a98393e0250d4fea4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72dc547dfb78dc60682e1a2c6621772e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf0a9b0ea4845836831f4cb19df67d34\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ba03e6ddb38bc9b0d413921ef4396d8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a0c6de9f6c1c372f7ad1185391ff7f6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/675184ab27e1316baa0453e147cb48f8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d8c162bf8a5772fbbfa37ecaa868c11\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d191be64117be78baeae25b5628527c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a83b51020964d0886c828d294bf05a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac27f8597f518e04c4283870a5cba5e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25eb9ae5b5b46d4ed2ceb47ec9a397f6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4633a2a12a3db85b83dbf4e2c9b3f764\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"399391":"投资时钟"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179215198","content_text":"1、投资时钟从“类滞胀”转向“衰退”\n1.1、投资时钟的角度，四季度将从“类滞胀”逐步转向“衰退”，中国宏观经济趋弱，供应端引发的PPI上行将回落。\n中国宏观增速继续下行。1）固定资产投资：a）地产，受制于持续偏紧的政策和信用风险;b）基建，受制于控杠杆、金融反腐，托底力度优先;c）制造业，受制于能耗双控，叠加能源及原材料价格高企。2）消费：疫情反复，影响消费增速，后续等待刺激政策以及疫情防控的变化；3）出口：基数因素，叠加全球产业链修复，下半年出口增速或趋势放缓。\n通胀，较难演变为全面通胀，主要是疫情、能耗双控政策等因素的累积效应下，供应端紧张引发的PPI超预期上行。1）CPI——新经济形势下，中国PPI未必能向CPI有效传导，可参考2017年。四季度经济继续降速，CPI低位徘徊，猪价继续下跌也继续拖累CPI，猪周期启动或要等待明年下半年。2）PPI——9、10月份PPI同比或是年内高点，不排除10月煤炭、原油、天然气等继续涨价，但随着中国政府力保煤炭电力供应以及中国经济降速，四季度中后期PPI同比将有望回落。3）“双碳”战略和新一轮朱格拉周期的影响之下，此轮PPI回落之后的情形，可能更像2004-2006年，未来数年PPI回落的低点相对更高。\n1.2、投资时钟的“衰退”期，政策环境将转向稳经济，有利于资本市场，政策刺激的方向将是股市的结构性机会。\n供应链紧张引发的“胀”找原因：1）经济复苏、新动能推升用电需求，四季度会弱化；2）需求端：服务业用电量增速高于制造业，非高耗能制造业高于高耗能制造业；3）电力结构的变化，符合长期战略；但短期要不能操之过急；4）煤炭供需缺口放大，库存处于低位，加大了火电增加供应的难度；4）8月后，能耗双控推动限产。\n此番缺煤缺电的教训及启示：1）双碳战略英明伟大，但不能操之过急、不能运动式推进；2）双碳目标呼唤灵活性和智能化的新型电力系统；3）中国的政策决策者善于发现问题并高效地解决问题，投资者不要把短期的扰动当做长期趋势\n供应链紧张引发的“胀”不会影响大国货币政策决策：供应链紧张引发的“胀”持续性低，虽然海外能源涨价可能仍有惯性，等待所谓“寒冬”，但是，煤炭、原材料涨价已经到了高潮或已经过了高潮。\n1.3、今年四季度，投资时钟下一步更大概率的场景是衰退，10月份正从“类滞胀”转向衰退\n投资时钟意义的衰退，可以区分上半场和下半场，两者的分别在于有没有“稳经济”的政策环境。一旦稳增长的预期确定，衰退下半场即开始，重要的观察点：10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。\n四季度中国政策导向将更趋向稳经济、稳就业，其中，1）财政政策是焦点，将有望进一步发力，特别是围绕“十四五规划”要重点发展的领域发力；2）货币政策保持中性偏宽松，重点是配合财政政策，宽信用可期待，降准也有可能，从而有利于化解房地产领域信用风险的尾部风险，有利于培养新的经济增长点。3）政策改善力度可以关注：10月底的政治局会议、11月的中央六中全会、年底中央经济工作会议。\n1.4、信用风险：房地产债务风险，正在妥善化解中，不会导致金融冲击，不会形成系统性金融危机，但是，债务违约甚至恶意“逃废债”行为等尾部风险仍会影响情绪。\n1.5、产业政策风险。政策环境已经开始边际改善，前期密集出台监管政策的阶段已过去，其中，互联网作为港股市场的中流砥柱，风险较明显释放。\n1.6、海外环境分析：四季度欧美仍有滞胀压力，美债收益率和美元反弹带来短期惊扰，但并不是系统性风险。\n欧美经济“滞胀”压力仍处于提升过程中，大约滞后中国经济1个季度。全球放水的滞后反应、疫情导致的供应链风险、大宗商品和芯片等紧缺格局持续，在今年四季度乃至明年初将继续让欧美经济笼罩在高通胀的阴影之下。\n美国四季度将开始货币政策正常化，但不是系统性风险，美债长端利率有望反弹但不同于1季度：1）债务上限短期协议达成，4季度美债阶段性供给将增加，美长端利率有上行压力，但是只是短期惊扰；2）联储通胀容忍度将会超预期，以史为鉴，1947年通胀暂时高企，美联储并没放弃尤其是长债利率的YCC；3）即便是通胀超预期，其推升的长债利率难以重现今年2-3月份系统性杀估值的情形。\n中期展望，短债利率上行和美元上行值得警惕，将导致市场震荡、分化。1）美元指数随着美德短端息差（ 2年期为例）扩大而走高，5月份已经开始，后续随着Taper的临近以及实施，美国短端利率将稳步上行，从而，推动美元进一步、缓慢走高。2）美元的上升是相对缓步的上升，这对海外市场不是系统性风险。从全球配置而言，美元资产在这时恰恰是有吸引力的，以内生增长动能驱动的、优质成长股的吸引力提升，但是，业绩预期不佳的股票将杀估值。\n海外风险对中国股市的影响逐步钝化。首先，中国股市尤其是港股市场已经先跌为敬；第二，明年可能更多的新兴市场会跟随美国收紧货币政策，但中国在以内循环为主体的战略下，货币政策将将更加“以我为主”;第三，中美经贸关系短期有望阶段性缓和，海外资金对中国资产的风险偏好有望改善。\n2、四季度港股底部区域有一段强反弹，但A股是科创行情主战场\n2.1、港股市场已经处于长期估值底部区域，港股三季度呈现系统性风险冲击，全面大跌之后，风险已经比较充分释放。\n估值处于历史底部区域，截至10月8日，恒生指数市净率水平为1.04倍，恒生国指市净率水平为0.99倍，分别位于2014年以来的4%和16%分位数水平。\n产业政策风险虽然仍有压制，但是近期无论是互联网政策还是教育政策均在边际改善。1）美团反垄断处罚落地；2）中办、国办印发《关于推动现代职业教育高质量发展的意见》，鼓励职业教育。\n2.2、港股长期的战略发展机遇是顺应顺应国家的双循环驱动的发展战略，顺应中国经济转型、顺应科技创新。\n港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，精彩还会继续。1）港股市场在大国博弈时代具有特殊的价值，作为离岸金融中心，能够充分用好境内、境外两种资源，方便中国企业进行全球化布局，是人民币国际化战略的重要桥头堡。所以，善加利用，它的精彩还会继续。2）香港积极建设北部都会区，融入国家发展大局。\n中国资产的中长期展望，科创行情是主旋律，无论A股还是港股投资都要顺应新一轮朱格拉周期,以“双碳”、科创、先进制造为重要特征。1）五大赛道之一：“万物智联”新基建，中国市场迎历史性产业机遇。2）五大赛道之二：新能源车，后补贴时代优质车型大周期启动。3）五大赛道之三:新能源，供需爆炸式增长。4）五大赛道之四：半导体行业为代表的高端制造国产替代的主线；高端制造立足新增长点，中期看下游产能扩建，长期看国产替代；新材料多点开花，关注国产化新格局与各产业发展新机遇。5）五大赛道之五：军工泛产业链。\n中国资产更长期的机会，最确定是内需，港股新消费行情的长逻辑清晰，建议以长打短，拥抱共同富裕时代的新兴消费、生物医药及医疗服务、国潮消费、人工智能等新趋势。\n3、投资策略：防守反击、以长打短。\n3.1、A股：四季度上证指数有望在3500-3700点区间内波动，关键在于结构性行情，“螺蛳壳里做道场”，防守反击。\n防守为主的阶段：10月份，仍是衰退期的上半场，白酒、消费、金融、地产等今年跌得多的可以用来防守；而科创行情的方向将开始分化，可以立足中长期而从容布局；\n结构性反击为主的阶段：四季度中后期，进入衰退期下半场，聚焦结构性行情进行反击，主线靠科创，反击的号角在于稳经济的政策不断加码，包括降准以及财政刺激等，关注财政政策的细化方向特别是跟新基建、科创相关的政策。\n3.2、港股：10月至11月中旬是好的反弹窗口。但反弹以后，不排除到年底的时候港股会面临动荡，原因在于美债收益率有可能升至年初高点以及美元反弹。\n投资机会一：继续看好科创长牛的大方向，互联网短期反弹+先进制造业长短皆宜。\n投资机会二：能够顺应共同富裕大时代的“消费+”。\n投资机会三：服务科创长牛的金融机构，长期受益于中国经济新趋势以及社会财富向权益资产的配置。\n投资机会四：价值股将分化，相对看好银行、地产等类债券资产的长期配置价值；煤炭、钢铁、化工、有色、航运等在衰退期将调整，等待后续精选阿尔法的机会；电力等公用事业则是新的电力改革、能源结构优化的成长逻辑。\n风险提示：全球经济增速下行；中、美货币政策宽松不达预期；大国博弈风险；全球疫情风险","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106447875,"gmtCreate":1620141910797,"gmtModify":1620141910797,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","listText":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","text":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106447875","repostId":"1108282071","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356207810,"gmtCreate":1616775706930,"gmtModify":1616775706930,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885d9cf959911bcfe53cdb0a31f155fe","width":"1170","height":"1346"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356207810","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334598021,"gmtCreate":1610858643663,"gmtModify":1703747042809,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"石墨烯电池？这么NB？","listText":"石墨烯电池？这么NB？","text":"石墨烯电池？这么NB？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334598021","repostId":"1148792118","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148792118","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1610790930,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148792118?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-16 17:55","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"广汽集团石墨烯电池初定9月批量生产，8分钟充电至80%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148792118","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月16日讯，广汽集团党委书记、董事长曾庆洪表示，广汽石墨烯基超级快充电池目前已进入实车量产测试阶段，首款搭载车型为AION V，目前正在黑河做冬季试验，初定今年9月可以批量生产。据悉，石墨烯快充电池","content":"<p>1月16日讯，广汽集团党委书记、董事长曾庆洪表示，广汽石墨烯基超级快充电池目前已进入实车量产测试阶段，首款搭载车型为AION V，目前正在黑河做冬季试验，初定今年9月可以批量生产。据悉，石墨烯快充电池具备6C快充能力，结合高功率超充设备，最快8分钟就能充电至80%，电芯能量密度280/kg左右，寿命大于1600循环，整体电芯成本与目前市面上常规动力电池成本相比较略高5-8%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bf55857acf481736173a59df479a854\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/389095b501a8d736b289b38a381d25ee\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>广汽集团石墨烯电池初定9月批量生产，8分钟充电至80%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n广汽集团石墨烯电池初定9月批量生产，8分钟充电至80%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-16 17:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月16日讯，广汽集团党委书记、董事长曾庆洪表示，广汽石墨烯基超级快充电池目前已进入实车量产测试阶段，首款搭载车型为AION V，目前正在黑河做冬季试验，初定今年9月可以批量生产。据悉，石墨烯快充电池具备6C快充能力，结合高功率超充设备，最快8分钟就能充电至80%，电芯能量密度280/kg左右，寿命大于1600循环，整体电芯成本与目前市面上常规动力电池成本相比较略高5-8%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bf55857acf481736173a59df479a854\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/389095b501a8d736b289b38a381d25ee\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e4c076d61fb3776934215740263eeb","relate_stocks":{"601238":"广汽集团","02238":"广汽集团"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148792118","content_text":"1月16日讯，广汽集团党委书记、董事长曾庆洪表示，广汽石墨烯基超级快充电池目前已进入实车量产测试阶段，首款搭载车型为AION V，目前正在黑河做冬季试验，初定今年9月可以批量生产。据悉，石墨烯快充电池具备6C快充能力，结合高功率超充设备，最快8分钟就能充电至80%，电芯能量密度280/kg左右，寿命大于1600循环，整体电芯成本与目前市面上常规动力电池成本相比较略高5-8%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":623542242,"gmtCreate":1671549804787,"gmtModify":1671549805680,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 马斯克这是要把投资者把股东彻底伤透的节奏，让人失望的公司领导","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":341,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":558,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623542242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":24419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3555287038593705","authorId":"3555287038593705","name":"Afei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91ec2db9082f431722de0154b0e8204","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555287038593705","authorIdStr":"3555287038593705"},"content":"哎，一塌糊涂","text":"哎，一塌糊涂","html":"哎，一塌糊涂"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605892528,"gmtCreate":1639141092319,"gmtModify":1639144290248,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$这是我见过的最离谱的砸盘理由…我买mrna的理由不是他能卖多少新冠疫苗，而借着这次疫情去了解了这个mrna技术，觉得这个技术是未来对抗很多疾病的另一个思路另一个解法，比如流感比如艾滋比如肿瘤，现在公司放出来积极的流感疫苗的消息，不就是在侧面的告诉市场，我们这些mrna公司不光只有新冠疫苗么，我们未来的研发管线，未来的营收，还有其他可靠的产品啊…而市场的意思是，你们赶紧搞O株新疫苗啊，我们等着呢！唉？发了个啥？流感疫苗？不不不，我们要的新改良疫苗呢？你们这不务正业啊！砸盘！….我说，这思路，我不知道该咋理解，是你们故意砸？还是觉得摩德纳就只有一个实验室？一个研发团队？开发流感疫苗就没空做新冠疫苗改良？简直离谱…这难道不是好消息么…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7506e68cb4c1b80ed318163ff6ec4bac","width":"944","height":"1187"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":1536,"commentSize":314,"repostSize":46,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605892528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547499860800538","authorId":"3547499860800538","name":"唤唤霸霸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4842950dc96000bc44fa266137eef860","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547499860800538","authorIdStr":"3547499860800538"},"content":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动","text":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动","html":"所有股票都是大资金绞杀小资金。波动伴随心态变化。心态起伏的波幅过大，触发持股人内分泌的某个阈值，他就会采取割肉或者加仓的行动"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681915739,"gmtCreate":1656600409922,"gmtModify":1704865383738,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$我勒个去，开盘大盘崩的时候你不跌还挺坚挺，大盘跌幅收窄了你又开始补跌了还跌幅扩大了...现在破车这股真是有大病了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":140,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681915739","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635047894,"gmtCreate":1646758000340,"gmtModify":1646887284262,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$</a>额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$</a>额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$额...石油禁令油价拉高和你这个手术机器人垄断企业有啥关系？[LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":71,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":10,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635047894","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681500932,"gmtCreate":1657034142128,"gmtModify":1704866348165,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$View on Tesla Motors(TSLA)BullishBearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":103,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681500932","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":465396,"gmtCreate":1554979247303,"gmtModify":1704797728788,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Facebook(FB)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 这图画的太坏了……[摊手][汗颜]","listText":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Facebook(FB)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 这图画的太坏了……[摊手][汗颜]","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Facebook(FB)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 这图画的太坏了……[摊手][汗颜]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ffd3e40d9230175a107ae403dd2631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/465396","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3445510636879519","authorId":"3445510636879519","name":"MARIODAD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33d78242c9d69a2bcee7d34139fac00c","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3445510636879519","authorIdStr":"3445510636879519"},"content":"如果真是这样，股价不会跌","text":"如果真是这样，股价不会跌","html":"如果真是这样，股价不会跌"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391826,"gmtCreate":1548884460719,"gmtModify":1704788432574,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$微软(MSFT)$ EPS压线，营收对于百亿美元级别的巨头只Miss四千万。这还是在这种经济环境和政策环境下没有下调指引的前提下啊，结果我软跌3%某某居然涨了6%？（我就是嘲讽的水果）。 azure继续大两位数增长、LinkedIn和Xbox、surface都在增长，真的是厉害。 华尔街对我软真的是严格，意思是76%的云计算增长教之前98%的增长减速了是这个意思吗？减速了有可能打不过AWS是这个意思吗？","listText":"$微软(MSFT)$ EPS压线，营收对于百亿美元级别的巨头只Miss四千万。这还是在这种经济环境和政策环境下没有下调指引的前提下啊，结果我软跌3%某某居然涨了6%？（我就是嘲讽的水果）。 azure继续大两位数增长、LinkedIn和Xbox、surface都在增长，真的是厉害。 华尔街对我软真的是严格，意思是76%的云计算增长教之前98%的增长减速了是这个意思吗？减速了有可能打不过AWS是这个意思吗？","text":"$微软(MSFT)$ EPS压线，营收对于百亿美元级别的巨头只Miss四千万。这还是在这种经济环境和政策环境下没有下调指引的前提下啊，结果我软跌3%某某居然涨了6%？（我就是嘲讽的水果）。 azure继续大两位数增长、LinkedIn和Xbox、surface都在增长，真的是厉害。 华尔街对我软真的是严格，意思是76%的云计算增长教之前98%的增长减速了是这个意思吗？减速了有可能打不过AWS是这个意思吗？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ae5f119f1fd6781153cf6e0136141d9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391826","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505213202870933","authorId":"3505213202870933","name":"新生韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3505213202870933","authorIdStr":"3505213202870933"},"content":"我感觉更多是为了平衡指数。FB大涨，微软跌，平衡指数，等amazon出来，一波推平","text":"我感觉更多是为了平衡指数。FB大涨，微软跌，平衡指数，等amazon出来，一波推平","html":"我感觉更多是为了平衡指数。FB大涨，微软跌，平衡指数，等amazon出来，一波推平"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634314075,"gmtCreate":1647352155432,"gmtModify":1647352155432,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$每天都这样，那就不用高开了呗，废这个劲干嘛，直接砸呗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634314075","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638777914,"gmtCreate":1645551344024,"gmtModify":1645551344024,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$没有一天是好消息，一定要人把所有人都磨到绝望","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638777914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557008405269629","authorId":"3557008405269629","name":"友谅投行","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee45f8e6b08c07c4b25e4dcfd8131709","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557008405269629","authorIdStr":"3557008405269629"},"content":"中概股不服你的言论","text":"中概股不服你的言论","html":"中概股不服你的言论"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964212335,"gmtCreate":1584373182327,"gmtModify":1704353883105,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>脸书你不仅回不上来，咋还领跌了呢？真是头大...你又没有硬件销售受产业链影响、你又没有实体门店关停，就算经济活动下滑广告支出可能减少以至于可能减少营收，那同样也会因为疫情使得平台使用率飙高啊，和amzn一样属于即在疫情中受损又在疫情获小利的那一类，怎么了这是...不说像amzn一样回的这么好吧，求个平均数随大盘这么难么...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>脸书你不仅回不上来，咋还领跌了呢？真是头大...你又没有硬件销售受产业链影响、你又没有实体门店关停，就算经济活动下滑广告支出可能减少以至于可能减少营收，那同样也会因为疫情使得平台使用率飙高啊，和amzn一样属于即在疫情中受损又在疫情获小利的那一类，怎么了这是...不说像amzn一样回的这么好吧，求个平均数随大盘这么难么...","text":"$Facebook(FB)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Apple(AAPL)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$脸书你不仅回不上来，咋还领跌了呢？真是头大...你又没有硬件销售受产业链影响、你又没有实体门店关停，就算经济活动下滑广告支出可能减少以至于可能减少营收，那同样也会因为疫情使得平台使用率飙高啊，和amzn一样属于即在疫情中受损又在疫情获小利的那一类，怎么了这是...不说像amzn一样回的这么好吧，求个平均数随大盘这么难么...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964212335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"19670857530450","authorId":"19670857530450","name":"daviddai","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"19670857530450","authorIdStr":"19670857530450"},"content":"脸书不是一般辣鸡 幸亏早卖了","text":"脸书不是一般辣鸡 幸亏早卖了","html":"脸书不是一般辣鸡 幸亏早卖了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439228,"gmtCreate":1553183743162,"gmtModify":1704794349248,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Facebook(FB)$ 传统媒体和老牌媒体不把Facebook咬死是不罢休啊","listText":"$Facebook(FB)$ 传统媒体和老牌媒体不把Facebook咬死是不罢休啊","text":"$Facebook(FB)$ 传统媒体和老牌媒体不把Facebook咬死是不罢休啊","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ee3b435447c1090b9a4a1f76afccb3e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3455405909713725","authorId":"3455405909713725","name":"小马哥6666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7e23d410471a87fa2fbf50506ce06ff","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3455405909713725","authorIdStr":"3455405909713725"},"content":"他们跟fb是敌我关系啊","text":"他们跟fb是敌我关系啊","html":"他们跟fb是敌我关系啊"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357435,"gmtCreate":1545060350403,"gmtModify":1704784160757,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ $微软(MSFT)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ app没发，也没看见虎友发，那就我来发吧😂","listText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ $微软(MSFT)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ app没发，也没看见虎友发，那就我来发吧😂","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ $微软(MSFT)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ app没发，也没看见虎友发，那就我来发吧😂","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e39d4429a8f3be7238a88095765851a4"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357435","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3442806142880450","authorId":"3442806142880450","name":"娜塔莎莎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3442806142880450","authorIdStr":"3442806142880450"},"content":"没翻译，差评","text":"没翻译，差评","html":"没翻译，差评"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":938426144,"gmtCreate":1571757470288,"gmtModify":1704722883875,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a>又是调查，查查查，还没完了啊？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a>又是调查，查查查，还没完了啊？","text":"$Facebook(FB)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$$Apple(AAPL)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$又是调查，查查查，还没完了啊？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a999bcfea2c3810782aed5766725ff","width":"696","height":"979"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/938426144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606932722,"gmtCreate":1638806934599,"gmtModify":1638806934599,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>拿这个股可以治疗低血压","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>拿这个股可以治疗低血压","text":"$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$拿这个股可以治疗低血压","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606932722","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601411321,"gmtCreate":1638546421842,"gmtModify":1638546421842,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$今天市场疯了吧？有哪一个事件哪一个讲话哪一个数据能解释这种砸法？奇怪的很…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601411321","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356207810,"gmtCreate":1616775706930,"gmtModify":1616775706930,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$因为这个跌的？笑死我了[捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885d9cf959911bcfe53cdb0a31f155fe","width":"1170","height":"1346"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356207810","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":388269,"gmtCreate":1548429831635,"gmtModify":1704787988160,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ $Facebook(FB)$ 真的是服...","listText":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ $Facebook(FB)$ 真的是服...","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ $Facebook(FB)$ 真的是服...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50ef88b1763bec6665760859dfaa8b5a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388269","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615850964,"gmtCreate":1652890944058,"gmtModify":1652890944058,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>马总，好玩不？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>马总，好玩不？","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$马总，好玩不？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615850964","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350829,"gmtCreate":1544451736250,"gmtModify":1704783351835,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 两个关键词：1.地区 2.软件相关专利，苹果可以更新功能特性后再卖 大家自己解读。","listText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 两个关键词：1.地区 2.软件相关专利，苹果可以更新功能特性后再卖 大家自己解读。","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 两个关键词：1.地区 2.软件相关专利，苹果可以更新功能特性后再卖 大家自己解读。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad8103ee9711072d6e27563539ffe8d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350829","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106447875,"gmtCreate":1620141910797,"gmtModify":1620141910797,"author":{"id":"43898359627567","authorId":"43898359627567","name":"Malison","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4752e07c0662570d740a149accea3f","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"43898359627567","authorIdStr":"43898359627567"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","listText":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","text":"一会说左，几天后又说右，玩儿一样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106447875","repostId":"1108282071","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}