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散爷
2021-08-31
$比特矿业(BTCM)$
尾盘拉红,连涨差不多一周了
散爷
2021-08-26
中概股是疯了吗?
部分热门中概股盘初拉升,贝壳涨超7%
散爷
2021-08-25
回复
@短线机遇
:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//
@短线机遇
:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。
@散爷:
$比特矿业(BTCM)$
比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。
散爷
2021-08-25
回复
@黄老怪
:看你要做多长期的。现在比特币价格在50,000美元左右,这一步应该能够突破到55,000到60,000投资的增长空间,其实并不是特别大。但是如果是做资产配置,分散风险投资的话还是比较好的选择。//
@黄老怪
:请问博主,现在建仓比特币还来得及吗?会不会太晚了?
@散爷:
$比特矿业(BTCM)$
比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。
散爷
2021-08-25
有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会
@美股小马:和女儿聊投资-第14集:积累自己的雪_球
散爷
2021-08-25
最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?
@IPO那些事:港股打新,就是一场无风险套利?
散爷
2021-08-25
还想着做空的吗?
@机构有话说:美股涨到目前位置,成本最小的做空策略就有必要学习一下了
散爷
2021-08-25
$比特矿业(BTCM)$
站稳了8,之前6.5买过一次,但是转了17%已经卖了,现在好像有点难上车了。8块钱左右是不是还算比较安全呢?
散爷
2021-08-23
$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$
这哥们直接就绿了。
散爷
2021-08-23
$嘉楠科技(CAN)$
跳水跳得有点吓人
散爷
2021-08-23
$比特矿业(BTCM)$
比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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21:49","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"部分热门中概股盘初拉升,贝壳涨超7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180486209","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月26日,部分热门中概股盘初拉升,贝壳涨超7%,斗鱼涨超4%,滴滴、小鹏汽车涨超3%,京东、百度涨超1%。","content":"<p>8月26日,部分热门中概股盘初拉升,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>涨超7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOYU\">斗鱼</a>涨超4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a5291070f3f743d085fef41748972ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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21:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>8月26日,部分热门中概股盘初拉升,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>涨超7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOYU\">斗鱼</a>涨超4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a5291070f3f743d085fef41748972ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BEKE":"贝壳"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180486209","content_text":"8月26日,部分热门中概股盘初拉升,贝壳涨超7%,斗鱼涨超4%,滴滴、小鹏汽车涨超3%,京东、百度涨超1%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837990064,"gmtCreate":1629851058758,"gmtModify":1629851058758,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","listText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","text":"回复 @短线机遇:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//@短线机遇:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837990064","repostId":"835408173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":835408173,"gmtCreate":1629729669892,"gmtModify":1629731027511,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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@黄老怪:看你要做多长期的。现在比特币价格在50,000美元左右,这一步应该能够突破到55,000到60,000投资的增长空间,其实并不是特别大。但是如果是做资产配置,分散风险投资的话还是比较好的选择。//@黄老怪:请问博主,现在建仓比特币还来得及吗?会不会太晚了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837904575","repostId":"835408173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":835408173,"gmtCreate":1629729669892,"gmtModify":1629731027511,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","text":"$比特矿业(BTCM)$比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835408173","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837908499,"gmtCreate":1629850877611,"gmtModify":1629857096956,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","listText":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","text":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837908499","repostId":"362088596","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":362088596,"gmtCreate":1614561600000,"gmtModify":1703478360251,"author":{"id":"3570527994703622","authorId":"3570527994703622","name":"美股小马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c472d62e863100841c7d25a014cf3b7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570527994703622","authorIdStr":"3570527994703622"},"themes":[],"title":"和女儿聊投资-第14集:积累自己的雪_球","htmlText":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","listText":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","text":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362088596","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837903981,"gmtCreate":1629850734843,"gmtModify":1629850734843,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","listText":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","text":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837903981","repostId":"944796989","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":944796989,"gmtCreate":1597117039935,"gmtModify":1704214441273,"author":{"id":"3527667639044738","authorId":"3527667639044738","name":"IPO那些事","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667639044738","authorIdStr":"3527667639044738"},"themes":[],"title":"港股打新,就是一场无风险套利?","htmlText":"2020年港股打新掀起了一股热潮,专职打新的朋友们也是赚的盆满钵满,沛嘉医疗-B<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a>首日一手收益近11241港币,康方生物-B<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09926\">$康方生物-B(09926)$</a>首日一手收益近7116港币,这些收益不禁让人眼红,进而想一探究竟,“打新”究竟是何方神圣?今天我就给大家好好介绍下港股打新> (一)港股打新是什么 一家公司想在交易所挂牌上市,需要经历一个招股过程,包括面向专业投资者、机构的国际配售环节,以及面向普通投资者的公开认购环节,那后一个环节就是我们所谓的“打新”啦~ (二)港股打新特点 中签率高:中签率在55%左右,远高于A股的万分之几 认购门槛低:3000-5000港币左右,参与门槛较低 涨跌幅限制:没有涨跌幅限制 (三)港股打新赚钱能力如何 咱们来看下大数据,如果我2020年上半年打新,每只中签一手,总收益为34665港币~ (四)如何提升打新中签率 近期热门的港股打新项目,一手中签率往往较低,使用20倍杠杆,实现用一手的本金撬动20倍的资金,申购20手,极大提升中签率。 针对一些优质的打新项目,老虎证券一般都能提供最高20倍杠杆!对于一些能支持20倍的新股,我们可以在新股中心页看到新股的右上角标明了支持最高20倍~ 祝大家打新顺利!有问题也欢迎随时留言评论哦!","listText":"2020年港股打新掀起了一股热潮,专职打新的朋友们也是赚的盆满钵满,沛嘉医疗-B<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a>首日一手收益近11241港币,康方生物-B<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09926\">$康方生物-B(09926)$</a>首日一手收益近7116港币,这些收益不禁让人眼红,进而想一探究竟,“打新”究竟是何方神圣?今天我就给大家好好介绍下港股打新> (一)港股打新是什么 一家公司想在交易所挂牌上市,需要经历一个招股过程,包括面向专业投资者、机构的国际配售环节,以及面向普通投资者的公开认购环节,那后一个环节就是我们所谓的“打新”啦~ (二)港股打新特点 中签率高:中签率在55%左右,远高于A股的万分之几 认购门槛低:3000-5000港币左右,参与门槛较低 涨跌幅限制:没有涨跌幅限制 (三)港股打新赚钱能力如何 咱们来看下大数据,如果我2020年上半年打新,每只中签一手,总收益为34665港币~ (四)如何提升打新中签率 近期热门的港股打新项目,一手中签率往往较低,使用20倍杠杆,实现用一手的本金撬动20倍的资金,申购20手,极大提升中签率。 针对一些优质的打新项目,老虎证券一般都能提供最高20倍杠杆!对于一些能支持20倍的新股,我们可以在新股中心页看到新股的右上角标明了支持最高20倍~ 祝大家打新顺利!有问题也欢迎随时留言评论哦!","text":"2020年港股打新掀起了一股热潮,专职打新的朋友们也是赚的盆满钵满,沛嘉医疗-B$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$首日一手收益近11241港币,康方生物-B$康方生物-B(09926)$首日一手收益近7116港币,这些收益不禁让人眼红,进而想一探究竟,“打新”究竟是何方神圣?今天我就给大家好好介绍下港股打新> (一)港股打新是什么 一家公司想在交易所挂牌上市,需要经历一个招股过程,包括面向专业投资者、机构的国际配售环节,以及面向普通投资者的公开认购环节,那后一个环节就是我们所谓的“打新”啦~ (二)港股打新特点 中签率高:中签率在55%左右,远高于A股的万分之几 认购门槛低:3000-5000港币左右,参与门槛较低 涨跌幅限制:没有涨跌幅限制 (三)港股打新赚钱能力如何 咱们来看下大数据,如果我2020年上半年打新,每只中签一手,总收益为34665港币~ (四)如何提升打新中签率 近期热门的港股打新项目,一手中签率往往较低,使用20倍杠杆,实现用一手的本金撬动20倍的资金,申购20手,极大提升中签率。 针对一些优质的打新项目,老虎证券一般都能提供最高20倍杠杆!对于一些能支持20倍的新股,我们可以在新股中心页看到新股的右上角标明了支持最高20倍~ 祝大家打新顺利!有问题也欢迎随时留言评论哦!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/960999f0a7ce8f44a78e0cd63dd7cd2c","width":"554","height":"244"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/944796989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837900259,"gmtCreate":1629850672071,"gmtModify":1629850672071,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还想着做空的吗?","listText":"还想着做空的吗?","text":"还想着做空的吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837900259","repostId":"941544503","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":941544503,"gmtCreate":1594979074588,"gmtModify":1704207631989,"author":{"id":"126199392658083","authorId":"126199392658083","name":"机构有话说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a79f8da6559cae9d644c1c24d24737","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"126199392658083","authorIdStr":"126199392658083"},"themes":[],"title":"美股涨到目前位置,成本最小的做空策略就有必要学习一下了","htmlText":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 因为今年政府对于股市危机的应对措施似乎带来了另一个互联网泡沫,所以2020年的股市更类似于1998年的互联网泡沫,而不是2008年的金融危机。1998年,俄罗斯债务违约促使美联储大幅降息并鼓励风险投资,致使资本涌入那些看起来不会受危机影响的资产。2020年,新冠大流行不仅引发了史上最大规模的政策调整,也彻底改变了美国人的生活方式。户外活动基本上已经停止,而互联网商务却在膨胀,这使得美国科技巨头(如微软和苹果)的市值达到了历史高点。如下图所示,随着美联储资产负债表规模激增,这类企业的远期市盈率自4月份以来直线上升。显然,用于刺激市场的资金正在流向这个泡沫。 纳斯达克互联网板块远期市盈率和美联储资产负债表规模对比 资料来源:Lohman Econometrics 在1998年的危机中,由于过多的资本在追逐很少的大型科技巨头,造成风险不断上升,最终这些巨头的股价在2001年崩盘了。现在,排名前五位的科技股占据了罗素1000指数三分之一以上的市值,而罗素1000指数又是罗素3000指数中的前1000只股票。如下图所示,罗素1000指数中前五大公司所占的比例接近37%,远","listText":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 因为今年政府对于股市危机的应对措施似乎带来了另一个互联网泡沫,所以2020年的股市更类似于1998年的互联网泡沫,而不是2008年的金融危机。1998年,俄罗斯债务违约促使美联储大幅降息并鼓励风险投资,致使资本涌入那些看起来不会受危机影响的资产。2020年,新冠大流行不仅引发了史上最大规模的政策调整,也彻底改变了美国人的生活方式。户外活动基本上已经停止,而互联网商务却在膨胀,这使得美国科技巨头(如微软和苹果)的市值达到了历史高点。如下图所示,随着美联储资产负债表规模激增,这类企业的远期市盈率自4月份以来直线上升。显然,用于刺激市场的资金正在流向这个泡沫。 纳斯达克互联网板块远期市盈率和美联储资产负债表规模对比 资料来源:Lohman Econometrics 在1998年的危机中,由于过多的资本在追逐很少的大型科技巨头,造成风险不断上升,最终这些巨头的股价在2001年崩盘了。现在,排名前五位的科技股占据了罗素1000指数三分之一以上的市值,而罗素1000指数又是罗素3000指数中的前1000只股票。如下图所示,罗素1000指数中前五大公司所占的比例接近37%,远","text":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>尾盘拉红,连涨差不多一周了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>尾盘拉红,连涨差不多一周了","text":"$比特矿业(BTCM)$尾盘拉红,连涨差不多一周了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818937236","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837077043,"gmtCreate":1629850597082,"gmtModify":1629850597082,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>站稳了8,之前6.5买过一次,但是转了17%已经卖了,现在好像有点难上车了。8块钱左右是不是还算比较安全呢?","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$嘉楠科技(CAN)$</a>跳水跳得有点吓人","text":"$嘉楠科技(CAN)$跳水跳得有点吓人","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835402344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837903981,"gmtCreate":1629850734843,"gmtModify":1629850734843,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","listText":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","text":"最近中签的生物医药的朋友们站出来走两步?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837903981","repostId":"944796989","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":944796989,"gmtCreate":1597117039935,"gmtModify":1704214441273,"author":{"id":"3527667639044738","authorId":"3527667639044738","name":"IPO那些事","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667639044738","authorIdStr":"3527667639044738"},"themes":[],"title":"港股打新,就是一场无风险套利?","htmlText":"2020年港股打新掀起了一股热潮,专职打新的朋友们也是赚的盆满钵满,沛嘉医疗-B<a 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一家公司想在交易所挂牌上市,需要经历一个招股过程,包括面向专业投资者、机构的国际配售环节,以及面向普通投资者的公开认购环节,那后一个环节就是我们所谓的“打新”啦~ (二)港股打新特点 中签率高:中签率在55%左右,远高于A股的万分之几 认购门槛低:3000-5000港币左右,参与门槛较低 涨跌幅限制:没有涨跌幅限制 (三)港股打新赚钱能力如何 咱们来看下大数据,如果我2020年上半年打新,每只中签一手,总收益为34665港币~ (四)如何提升打新中签率 近期热门的港股打新项目,一手中签率往往较低,使用20倍杠杆,实现用一手的本金撬动20倍的资金,申购20手,极大提升中签率。 针对一些优质的打新项目,老虎证券一般都能提供最高20倍杠杆!对于一些能支持20倍的新股,我们可以在新股中心页看到新股的右上角标明了支持最高20倍~ 祝大家打新顺利!有问题也欢迎随时留言评论哦!","text":"2020年港股打新掀起了一股热潮,专职打新的朋友们也是赚的盆满钵满,沛嘉医疗-B$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$首日一手收益近11241港币,康方生物-B$康方生物-B(09926)$首日一手收益近7116港币,这些收益不禁让人眼红,进而想一探究竟,“打新”究竟是何方神圣?今天我就给大家好好介绍下港股打新> (一)港股打新是什么 一家公司想在交易所挂牌上市,需要经历一个招股过程,包括面向专业投资者、机构的国际配售环节,以及面向普通投资者的公开认购环节,那后一个环节就是我们所谓的“打新”啦~ (二)港股打新特点 中签率高:中签率在55%左右,远高于A股的万分之几 认购门槛低:3000-5000港币左右,参与门槛较低 涨跌幅限制:没有涨跌幅限制 (三)港股打新赚钱能力如何 咱们来看下大数据,如果我2020年上半年打新,每只中签一手,总收益为34665港币~ (四)如何提升打新中签率 近期热门的港股打新项目,一手中签率往往较低,使用20倍杠杆,实现用一手的本金撬动20倍的资金,申购20手,极大提升中签率。 针对一些优质的打新项目,老虎证券一般都能提供最高20倍杠杆!对于一些能支持20倍的新股,我们可以在新股中心页看到新股的右上角标明了支持最高20倍~ 祝大家打新顺利!有问题也欢迎随时留言评论哦!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/960999f0a7ce8f44a78e0cd63dd7cd2c","width":"554","height":"244"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/944796989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":835405363,"gmtCreate":1629729860352,"gmtModify":1629731027515,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$</a>这哥们直接就绿了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$</a>这哥们直接就绿了。","text":"$Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$这哥们直接就绿了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835405363","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810538095,"gmtCreate":1629985795417,"gmtModify":1704954182775,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中概股是疯了吗?","listText":"中概股是疯了吗?","text":"中概股是疯了吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810538095","repostId":"1180486209","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837990064,"gmtCreate":1629851058758,"gmtModify":1629851058758,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","listText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274801441208\">@短线机遇</a>:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","text":"回复 @短线机遇:比特币的逻辑是货币,如果想要看应用和生态,可以考虑一下以太币//@短线机遇:应用的场景太少了,我觉得很难有好的发展。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837990064","repostId":"835408173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":835408173,"gmtCreate":1629729669892,"gmtModify":1629731027511,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","text":"$比特矿业(BTCM)$比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835408173","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837904575,"gmtCreate":1629851022897,"gmtModify":1629851022897,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274732372511\">@黄老怪</a>:看你要做多长期的。现在比特币价格在50,000美元左右,这一步应该能够突破到55,000到60,000投资的增长空间,其实并不是特别大。但是如果是做资产配置,分散风险投资的话还是比较好的选择。//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274732372511\">@黄老怪</a>:请问博主,现在建仓比特币还来得及吗?会不会太晚了?","listText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274732372511\">@黄老怪</a>:看你要做多长期的。现在比特币价格在50,000美元左右,这一步应该能够突破到55,000到60,000投资的增长空间,其实并不是特别大。但是如果是做资产配置,分散风险投资的话还是比较好的选择。//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3479274732372511\">@黄老怪</a>:请问博主,现在建仓比特币还来得及吗?会不会太晚了?","text":"回复 @黄老怪:看你要做多长期的。现在比特币价格在50,000美元左右,这一步应该能够突破到55,000到60,000投资的增长空间,其实并不是特别大。但是如果是做资产配置,分散风险投资的话还是比较好的选择。//@黄老怪:请问博主,现在建仓比特币还来得及吗?会不会太晚了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837904575","repostId":"835408173","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":835408173,"gmtCreate":1629729669892,"gmtModify":1629731027511,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">$比特矿业(BTCM)$</a>比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","text":"$比特矿业(BTCM)$比特币价格回到50,000以内,但是向上突破是迟早的事,这一波有可能到60,000。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835408173","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837908499,"gmtCreate":1629850877611,"gmtModify":1629857096956,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","listText":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","text":"有些人活着都已经用尽了全力,哪还有什么滚雪球的机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837908499","repostId":"362088596","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":362088596,"gmtCreate":1614561600000,"gmtModify":1703478360251,"author":{"id":"3570527994703622","authorId":"3570527994703622","name":"美股小马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c472d62e863100841c7d25a014cf3b7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570527994703622","authorIdStr":"3570527994703622"},"themes":[],"title":"和女儿聊投资-第14集:积累自己的雪_球","htmlText":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","listText":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","text":"周六吃早饭时,和太太闲聊,顺口提到了ROI。 “什么是ROI?”女儿在边上听到了,好奇的问道。 “Return OnInvestment. 投资收益。就是你获得的回报和你投资下去本钱的百分比。 “呃…” 女儿还有些似懂非懂。 我说,“比如你买Spotify的股票。你投资下去的本金是5000块,你现在赚了1000块。那么,ROI就是用赚的1000块,除以本金5000块。1000/5000,百分比是多少?” “嗯…”, 女儿想了半天,回答说是20%。 “是的,ROI是20%。“我说,”人们通常用ROI来衡量一项投资,也喜欢用这样一个百分比来衡量市场和自己的投资表现。” “不过这里有个常常被疏忽的问题”,我接着说,“假如两个人同时投资股票,第一个人的起始本金是1万,第二个人的起始本金是100万。今年股市涨了20%。到年末,他们分别赚了多少钱?“ 女儿算了一下,和我说,“第一个人赚了2千,第二个人赚了20万。“ “是的,市场涨了20%,ROI同样是20%,但对有不一样的起始本金的人来说,它的意义是不一样的。第一个人赚了2千块,可2千块基本干不了什么,换个新手机和笔记本电脑就花掉了。第二个人赚了20万。他可以用这20万做首付,买一个新房子投资,出租给别人。“ 我顿了顿,接着说,“好,现在想一下第一年末,两个人的本金是多少?如果第二年的ROI还是20%,两人分别又赚了多少钱?“ “第一个人的本金还是1万。第二个人是120万。呃… 到了第二年, 第一个人还是赚了2千,呃…第二个人赚了24万…“。 “正确。“我说,”假如第二年末,两人都比较倒霉,车都坏了,修车需要2千块。第一个人修完车花又什么都不剩下。第二个人花去2千,还剩23万8,比第一个年的结余还要多。这时候,他是不是可以又用剩下的钱付首付,再买了一个新房子?“ “这有点像大富翁游戏。第二个人可以一直买房子。”女儿说。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362088596","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837900259,"gmtCreate":1629850672071,"gmtModify":1629850672071,"author":{"id":"4092832354681430","authorId":"4092832354681430","name":"散爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/050c013bc32fc5034efa0e635f7518fb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4092832354681430","authorIdStr":"4092832354681430"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还想着做空的吗?","listText":"还想着做空的吗?","text":"还想着做空的吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837900259","repostId":"941544503","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":941544503,"gmtCreate":1594979074588,"gmtModify":1704207631989,"author":{"id":"126199392658083","authorId":"126199392658083","name":"机构有话说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a79f8da6559cae9d644c1c24d24737","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"126199392658083","authorIdStr":"126199392658083"},"themes":[],"title":"美股涨到目前位置,成本最小的做空策略就有必要学习一下了","htmlText":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 因为今年政府对于股市危机的应对措施似乎带来了另一个互联网泡沫,所以2020年的股市更类似于1998年的互联网泡沫,而不是2008年的金融危机。1998年,俄罗斯债务违约促使美联储大幅降息并鼓励风险投资,致使资本涌入那些看起来不会受危机影响的资产。2020年,新冠大流行不仅引发了史上最大规模的政策调整,也彻底改变了美国人的生活方式。户外活动基本上已经停止,而互联网商务却在膨胀,这使得美国科技巨头(如微软和苹果)的市值达到了历史高点。如下图所示,随着美联储资产负债表规模激增,这类企业的远期市盈率自4月份以来直线上升。显然,用于刺激市场的资金正在流向这个泡沫。 纳斯达克互联网板块远期市盈率和美联储资产负债表规模对比 资料来源:Lohman Econometrics 在1998年的危机中,由于过多的资本在追逐很少的大型科技巨头,造成风险不断上升,最终这些巨头的股价在2001年崩盘了。现在,排名前五位的科技股占据了罗素1000指数三分之一以上的市值,而罗素1000指数又是罗素3000指数中的前1000只股票。如下图所示,罗素1000指数中前五大公司所占的比例接近37%,远","listText":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 因为今年政府对于股市危机的应对措施似乎带来了另一个互联网泡沫,所以2020年的股市更类似于1998年的互联网泡沫,而不是2008年的金融危机。1998年,俄罗斯债务违约促使美联储大幅降息并鼓励风险投资,致使资本涌入那些看起来不会受危机影响的资产。2020年,新冠大流行不仅引发了史上最大规模的政策调整,也彻底改变了美国人的生活方式。户外活动基本上已经停止,而互联网商务却在膨胀,这使得美国科技巨头(如微软和苹果)的市值达到了历史高点。如下图所示,随着美联储资产负债表规模激增,这类企业的远期市盈率自4月份以来直线上升。显然,用于刺激市场的资金正在流向这个泡沫。 纳斯达克互联网板块远期市盈率和美联储资产负债表规模对比 资料来源:Lohman Econometrics 在1998年的危机中,由于过多的资本在追逐很少的大型科技巨头,造成风险不断上升,最终这些巨头的股价在2001年崩盘了。现在,排名前五位的科技股占据了罗素1000指数三分之一以上的市值,而罗素1000指数又是罗素3000指数中的前1000只股票。如下图所示,罗素1000指数中前五大公司所占的比例接近37%,远","text":"从4月份到现在,美国股市呈现了惊人的反弹,但这次反弹并不是因为基本面出现好转,而是因为数万亿美元的资金刺激了股市。美联储资产负债表的扩张,推动股市狂涨至危机之前的水平。因此,当6月8日资产负债表从7.17万亿美元的峰值开始收缩时,美国所有主要股指下跌幅度都超过了5%。到了6月29日,当资产负债表缩水至7.01万亿美元时,代表大盘股的纳斯达克100指数和代表小盘股的罗素2000指数走势产生了分歧,这表明美国市场现在所处的阶段可能与1990年代末的互联网泡沫时期相似。目前E-迷你罗素2000指数期货(绿线)较6月8日的价格跌幅仍在7%,而同期E-迷你纳斯达克指数期货(白线)上涨了7%。 资料来源:ThinkorSwim 因为今年政府对于股市危机的应对措施似乎带来了另一个互联网泡沫,所以2020年的股市更类似于1998年的互联网泡沫,而不是2008年的金融危机。1998年,俄罗斯债务违约促使美联储大幅降息并鼓励风险投资,致使资本涌入那些看起来不会受危机影响的资产。2020年,新冠大流行不仅引发了史上最大规模的政策调整,也彻底改变了美国人的生活方式。户外活动基本上已经停止,而互联网商务却在膨胀,这使得美国科技巨头(如微软和苹果)的市值达到了历史高点。如下图所示,随着美联储资产负债表规模激增,这类企业的远期市盈率自4月份以来直线上升。显然,用于刺激市场的资金正在流向这个泡沫。 纳斯达克互联网板块远期市盈率和美联储资产负债表规模对比 资料来源:Lohman Econometrics 在1998年的危机中,由于过多的资本在追逐很少的大型科技巨头,造成风险不断上升,最终这些巨头的股价在2001年崩盘了。现在,排名前五位的科技股占据了罗素1000指数三分之一以上的市值,而罗素1000指数又是罗素3000指数中的前1000只股票。如下图所示,罗素1000指数中前五大公司所占的比例接近37%,远","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10e67c2f3f2c090a0721747d62359c3e","width":"8000","height":"2984"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11ec631e76af69ef4bfd0a9d04363f2a","width":"669","height":"498"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2760abf6c70eeea6e2e093d8e51edb39","width":"606","height":"287"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941544503","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}