Blokespot的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Blokespot

Blokespot

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IP属地：未知

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18粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-27

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Woo

2021-11-11

$Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$Good

2021-06-05

Interesting

Shopify Is An Expensive Stock That Keeps Delivering The Goods

2021-07-28

$Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$cmon

2021-10-24

$T. Rowe Price(TROW)$Good

2021-06-23

Didn’t help the share price?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-14

$Apple(AAPL)$Grow grow

2021-07-13

$Apple(AAPL)$Not as good

2021-06-03

Wow

Shares of retail favorite AMC nearly double, company woos investors with free popcorn

2021-10-18

$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$Like a bowl

2021-07-15

Sianz. Just bought yesterday

J&J shares falls 1% in early trading,as recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.

2021-06-09

Should buy?

2021-10-12

$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$

2021-10-11

$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$Hbd

2021-07-12

$Apple(AAPL)$Woo

2021-07-09

Zoom in

2021-06-04

Big moves

2021-06-01

Will monitor this

2021-11-07

$Domino's Pizza(DPZ)$Pizza

2021-09-23

FMCG, very good

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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ETF(SCHD)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5aedb343c9a4f3aca212c08347152019","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870662777","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112927727,"gmtCreate":1622847820569,"gmtModify":1634097517044,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112927727","repostId":"1167651093","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167651093","pubTimestamp":1622820402,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167651093?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shopify Is An Expensive Stock That Keeps Delivering The Goods","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167651093","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShopify has consistently delivered for long-term investors who have kept faith with the com","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shopify has consistently delivered for long-term investors who have kept faith with the company despite its high valuations.</li>\n <li>The company has multiple growth drivers in Payments, and International markets to further drive its growth story.</li>\n <li>Its technical picture also shows a stock that has always been strongly supported along its long-term uptrend.</li>\n <li>I attempt to discuss the key aspects of its operating performances and why investors should also focus on international expansion as a key aspect of e-commerce growth.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52317e0f54753da09429856ece6bc6b5\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p>\n<p>Shopify (SHOP) is one of the most hotly debated e-commerce stocks because of its explosive revenue growth rates and its high valuations. The company continues to demonstrate both stellar topline and bottomline growth while also improving its cash flow margins. The management’s ability to monetize its merchants through Shopify Payments and its suite of merchant solutions is a masterstroke that shows the capability of the management to be able to continue executing its high growth strategies with aplomb moving forward. Despite its relatively high valuation levels, it also remains a very strong stock from the technical point of view, so bullish investors may consider adding it at the next dip.</p>\n<p><b>Shopify: Defying Amazon’s Valuation Logic</b></p>\n<p>Shopify’s critics have often questioned the logic of investing in Shopify when you can invest in Amazon (AMZN) for a fraction of its expensive valuation. Yet, investors in SHOP continue to defy “common valuation logic” by pointing to Shopify’s incredible growth rates.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2dcffad535b32122075c2b0af38ff14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"818\"><span>SHOP and AMZN LTM Revenue Growth Trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d799fb8dc581602cf953723e8439b3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"710\"><span>AMZN and SHOP LTM Revenue YoY Growth &amp; Revenue 3Y CAGR. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Over the last 5 years, SHOP’s revenue growth has easily surpassed AMZN at every reporting quarter, and the pandemic fueled e-commerce tailwind also drove higher growth to SHOP as its LTM revenue YoY growth read 99.6% as compared to AMZN’s “meagre” 41.5%. Moreover, SHOP’s revenue 3Y CAGR of 63.3% also easily bested AMZN’s 3Y CAGR of 29.5%. So clearly, SHOP’s growth has been truly phenomenal.</p>\n<p><b>Shopify's Compelling Merchant Solutions Growth Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530e31580ddf7319700509d7bb77eadf\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"605\"><span>Shopify Revenue Segments. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>In recent years, we could see that even though Shopify’s revenue growth has been pretty much broad-based, its merchant solutions segment has been taking up an increasingly large contribution in the company’s revenue base and have transformed itself into Shopify’s most important revenue driver, accounting for 67.6% of Q1’21 revenue. The shift towards increasing the revenue base of merchant solutions has seen the company continuing to roll out multiple new merchant solutions initiatives and services to further monetize the company’s merchant base and improve the strength of its ecosystem, therefore enhancing its “stickiness” and retention over time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e25591146598f17356e29c09b22ee48a\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"540\"><span>Shopify Subscription Solutions and Merchant Solutions YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>Investors should be careful not to get too excited with the pulled forward growth as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic that we observed in FY 20 as seen above. The management has already strongly emphasized in their guidance that they do not expect this to repeat, and&nbsp;expects YoY growth to normalize&nbsp;to levels seen before the pandemic, which in this case is estimated to be somewhere north of 50%. Even though growth is expected to normalize moving forward, it’s not as if SHOP has been growing slowly and more importantly the pulled forward growth last year has allowed SHOP to dramatically increase its merchants growth onto its platform for future monetization within Shopify’s robust ecosystem.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81297d610a91d9faaac76cab97c2a46\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"566\"><span>Shopify Segment Gross Margins. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>Although Q1’21’s gross margin was higher than recent historical trends, we should not expect this to carry on moving forward. The management pointed out clearly that the company is focusing its efforts to continue improving its robust ecosystem for its merchants such as developing the Shopify Fulfillment Network [SFN], as it expects that the&nbsp;merchant solutions segment to continue driving its revenue growth&nbsp;even if it means lesser gross margins moving forward.</p>\n<p><b>Shopify Payments is the Key to Unlock the Benefits from GMV Growth</b></p>\n<p>Despite that, the company clarified that as Shopify Payments continue to see increased adoption and usage among its merchants, the company expects to see significant improvement to its SG&amp;A efficiencies as Shopify Payments has a much lesser impact on SG&amp;A margins, therefore leading to improvement on operating efficiencies as Shopify Payments scale up further.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96f95af102893b8aa172d3bbb38e04e5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"724\"><span>SHOP EBIT Margin, SG&amp;A Margin, R&amp;D Margin, Gross Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Clearly, investors could see that despite posting a relatively high LTM gross margin profile in Q1’21: 53.5%, it has only recently turned LTM EBIT profitable (Q1’21: 10.5%), thanks to the company’s solid improvement with its operating efficiencies even though the gross margin profile has remained stable over time, even with the pulled forward growth from COVID-19 last year.</p>\n<p>We could see a consistently declining LTM SG&amp;A margin trend reaching 24.8% in Q1’21 from a high of 44.1% in Q4’16, signifying a huge improvement. Therefore, I’m confident that SHOP would continue to deliver improved operating efficiencies as it scales up its SFN to further strengthen its ecosystem, creating even more value and synergies for its merchants and their customers.</p>\n<p><b>SHOP’s GMV and GPV Analysis. Data Source: Company Filings</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f4cabe3fd5b28627f459fb7c38d30d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>SHOP’s GMV and GPV YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>We could clearly see the increasingly important role of Shopify Payments for its merchants as more and more merchants are using Shopify Payments over time as GPV growth has outpaced GMV growth consistently, with Q1’21 reading coming in at 137% YoY growth and 114.4% YoY growth, respectively.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2221628cdde154ad2c8a97a321036aa9\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>SHOP GPV as a % of GMV. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>With the increased adoption and usage of Shopify Payments, in Q1’21 GPV formed 46.4% of GMV, from a low of 37.5% of GMV just 3 years ago. I believe Shopify is moving in the right direction to continue driving more and more merchants towards Shopify Payments as it creates a powerful flywheel to unlock even more and more of the expected massive GMV growth moving forward.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0258ae827634f290dfe0d7d81fd92809\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Shopify MRR. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2376f5f19c5f4a4cb9e4f4bb797fcb64\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Shopify MRR YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>The sustained improvement in GPV growth has come at an important juncture as SHOP had already been experiencing slower MRR growth pre-pandemic (from 36% in Q1’19 to 21% in Q2’20). Therefore, by strategically being able to monetize its merchants in other areas has helped to manage this slowdown, while at the same time opened up many new revenue opportunities for Merchant Solutions to help drive the company’s future growth.</p>\n<p><b>The Importance of International Expansion</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d7cd04a66b877c2669945d4f9a68ef\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"775\"><span>Shopify Revenue by Merchant Location. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31774ad4abd47199de636274620d5302\" tg-width=\"807\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Shopify Revenue by Merchant Location YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>Although U.S. merchants continue to be SHOP’s most important revenue driver (66.7% of FY 20 revenue), the company has also experienced rapid growth in other geographical markets, particularly in its Rest of World segment. As we can observe from the above chart, U.S. growth has already been trending down pre-pandemic, while Rest of World growth has continued to grow rapidly and consistently.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39fd8a089cc64ae41da56ef8a8ddafe3\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"597\"><span>Amazon Revenue Segments YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</span></p>\n<p>We also observed this from AMZN’s International segment growth where although it has been somewhat of a laggard in previous quarters, it has started to outpace North America’s growth for the last 2 quarters, culminating in Q1’21 YoY growth of 60.4% for the International segment against 39.5% for the North America segment.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7909e7fdd6bf5972121d1a9a70f75a46\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>U.S. Retail e-commerce revenue 2017 to 2025. Data Source: Statista</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c99e9a30fb46d3d1f22e77b72c40740\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>U.S. Retail e-commerce revenue YoY Growth. Data Source: Statista</span></p>\n<p>We could see from the above why ramping up growth internationally is so important for Shopify to continue delivering its expected spectacular growth rates. Even though Shopify merchants sell internationally, the fact that the SFN currently serves only businesses whosell to U.S. customersindicates the significance of the U.S. consumers to Shopify’s ecommerce revenues. However, as the growth of U.S. retail e-commerce revenue is expected to slow down over time (from 8.7% YoY in 2021 to 2.7% YoY by 2025), companies like Shopify who rely on high growth to justify its valuation must either take market share away from its key competitors or look for growth outside of the United States.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e60f4fcd9254552bdd46a6d9c613384d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Value of Southeast Asia e-commerce market. Data Source: Google, Temasek Holdings, Bain &amp; Company</span></p>\n<p>For example, if we look across to Southeast Asia, and compare the growth rates of the Southeast Asian market (expected 5Y CAGR for 2020 to 2025: 22.6%) and the United States market (expected 5Y CAGR for 2020 to 2025: 3.73%), it’s easy to see which market will be the key driver of e-commerce growth in the near future. There’s no doubt that the U.S. market remains an extremely important market given its size, however much of the future growth will likely come from overseas markets. Therefore, it’s important that Shopify continues to drive growth across other geographical markets.</p>\n<p><b>Let's Bring in Sea Limited</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d40fe31435cdc50217df4172982b7354\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"821\"><span>Sea Limited &amp; SHOP EBIT Margin, Gross Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>In order to look at Shopify’s growth opportunities in the Southeast Asian market, I thought it would be important to first consider the most important e-commerce player in that region: Sea Limited (SE), which I had previouslycovered in detail in an article hererecently.</p>\n<p>It’s easy to see how SHOP’s more profitable business model on relying on subscriptions and merchant solutions drove a much higher EBIT margin as compared to SE’s online marketplace platform: Shopee, which is currently being supported by the company’s profitable Garena gaming segment.</p>\n<p>Despite that, Sea has still been able to drive significant revenue growth and operating efficiencies such that its EBIT margins have seen remarkable improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/788d4d4399cbdeb497792a1f90868e47\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"714\"><span>EBIT Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>When we modelled SE and SHOP’s EBIT margins moving forward, we could see how both companies’ improving cost efficiencies, notably from the reduction in SG&amp;A margins, would help both companies to continue improving their operating margins over time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f94e62035fe5fc04eaeb95b7d760df28\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"703\"><span>SE and SHOP Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>This is where their SE is expected to pull ahead. In modelling their FCF, SE is expected to generate so much FCF from its revenue growth and operating profits that the company looks increasingly like a massive cash flow machine moving forward. It’s not as if SHOP looks sloppy, but when compared to SE’s FCF margins, they certainly don’t look as impressive though.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa625e12090dfc0f64e439c278b5b9d0\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"649\"><span>SE and SHOP Projected Revenue CAGR (5Y, 10Y), 10Y Projected Av. Unlevered FCF Margin, EV / FY+1 Rev. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>More importantly, when we bring their current valuation levels into the picture (EV / FY+1 Rev), we could see that SE’s current valuation (16.3x) looks so much more attractive than SHOP’s (32.7x), while being able to convert that rapid revenue growth into higher FCF margins. It should also be noted that I have modelled both companies to continue their blockbuster performances: SE (5Y CAGR of 44.3%, 10Y CAGR of 26.7%), SHOP (5Y CAGR 41.4%, 10Y CAGR 32.3%).</p>\n<p>Therefore, for investors who would like a share of that rapid international growth in the Southeast Asian market coupled with a leading cash flow generating gaming segment, you should look no further than SE.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4df93eabc2cf51bdca0056071317076a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market share of e-commerce software platforms in the U.S. in 2021 Data Source: Builtwith</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2485bbbc639e9512e106f6dd1ab48ff\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Unique visitors to the most popular online retailers in SEA in 2020. Data Source: iPrice Group, SimilarWeb, Marketing in Asia</span></p>\n<p>When we consider the competitive economics in the U.S. against Southeast Asia, it becomes very clear. Shopify faces strong competition within its software platform segment, without accounting for Amazon’s prowess as well. Even though I expect Shopify to continue its rapid expansion, I believe that it faces more intensive competitive threats than Sea Limited as the pie in the U.S. is expected to grow slower over time. SHOP needs almost perfect execution every quarter to justify its lofty valuations.</p>\n<p>As compared to SE, it is clearly the dominant online marketplace now in Southeast Asia by a fairly large margin, and its prowess and scale is also growing, further stretching the distance from its competitors. Coupled with its ShopeePay payments platform, it also creates a flywheel effect similar to what Shopify Payments does for Shopify. The leadership in Southeast Asia is surely Sea’s to lose, and there’s so much potential growth that the company can capture in this region as the undisputed leader. When we consider Shopify’s valuations against SE’s it looks quite clear SE’s valuation looks more attractive now, with stronger market leadership and arguably higher potential growth.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a9782afa86bafbd3d2e54e41e0c1d13\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"794\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p>\n<p>SHOP’s price action has been stuck somewhat in a large consolidation phase since Oct 20, with the bull trap set in Feb 21 at around the $1500 level. Support was found at around the $1000 level, with further support at around the $835 level for investors who wish to add further into SHOP. It’s important to note that despite SHOP’s lofty valuations, its long term uptrend bias has never been threatened, and I expect this to carry on moving forward.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>Although Shopify is one of the most expensive high quality e-commerce stocks right now, it’s also expected to generate rapid growth ahead with its ever improving ecosystem for its merchants. Coupled with one of the strongest long term uptrend biases that I have seen for stocks (It didn’t lose its key support levels even during the COVID-19 bear market), I believe this puts SHOP in a strong position as a stock to add aggressively at the next big dip.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shopify Is An Expensive Stock That Keeps Delivering The Goods</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShopify Is An Expensive Stock That Keeps Delivering The Goods\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433111-shopify-an-expensive-stock-that-keeps-delivering><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShopify has consistently delivered for long-term investors who have kept faith with the company despite its high valuations.\nThe company has multiple growth drivers in Payments, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433111-shopify-an-expensive-stock-that-keeps-delivering\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433111-shopify-an-expensive-stock-that-keeps-delivering","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167651093","content_text":"Summary\n\nShopify has consistently delivered for long-term investors who have kept faith with the company despite its high valuations.\nThe company has multiple growth drivers in Payments, and International markets to further drive its growth story.\nIts technical picture also shows a stock that has always been strongly supported along its long-term uptrend.\nI attempt to discuss the key aspects of its operating performances and why investors should also focus on international expansion as a key aspect of e-commerce growth.\n\nPhoto by JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nShopify (SHOP) is one of the most hotly debated e-commerce stocks because of its explosive revenue growth rates and its high valuations. The company continues to demonstrate both stellar topline and bottomline growth while also improving its cash flow margins. The management’s ability to monetize its merchants through Shopify Payments and its suite of merchant solutions is a masterstroke that shows the capability of the management to be able to continue executing its high growth strategies with aplomb moving forward. Despite its relatively high valuation levels, it also remains a very strong stock from the technical point of view, so bullish investors may consider adding it at the next dip.\nShopify: Defying Amazon’s Valuation Logic\nShopify’s critics have often questioned the logic of investing in Shopify when you can invest in Amazon (AMZN) for a fraction of its expensive valuation. Yet, investors in SHOP continue to defy “common valuation logic” by pointing to Shopify’s incredible growth rates.\nSHOP and AMZN LTM Revenue Growth Trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nAMZN and SHOP LTM Revenue YoY Growth & Revenue 3Y CAGR. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nOver the last 5 years, SHOP’s revenue growth has easily surpassed AMZN at every reporting quarter, and the pandemic fueled e-commerce tailwind also drove higher growth to SHOP as its LTM revenue YoY growth read 99.6% as compared to AMZN’s “meagre” 41.5%. Moreover, SHOP’s revenue 3Y CAGR of 63.3% also easily bested AMZN’s 3Y CAGR of 29.5%. So clearly, SHOP’s growth has been truly phenomenal.\nShopify's Compelling Merchant Solutions Growth Drivers\nShopify Revenue Segments. Data Source: Company Filings\nIn recent years, we could see that even though Shopify’s revenue growth has been pretty much broad-based, its merchant solutions segment has been taking up an increasingly large contribution in the company’s revenue base and have transformed itself into Shopify’s most important revenue driver, accounting for 67.6% of Q1’21 revenue. The shift towards increasing the revenue base of merchant solutions has seen the company continuing to roll out multiple new merchant solutions initiatives and services to further monetize the company’s merchant base and improve the strength of its ecosystem, therefore enhancing its “stickiness” and retention over time.\nShopify Subscription Solutions and Merchant Solutions YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nInvestors should be careful not to get too excited with the pulled forward growth as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic that we observed in FY 20 as seen above. The management has already strongly emphasized in their guidance that they do not expect this to repeat, and expects YoY growth to normalize to levels seen before the pandemic, which in this case is estimated to be somewhere north of 50%. Even though growth is expected to normalize moving forward, it’s not as if SHOP has been growing slowly and more importantly the pulled forward growth last year has allowed SHOP to dramatically increase its merchants growth onto its platform for future monetization within Shopify’s robust ecosystem.\nShopify Segment Gross Margins. Data Source: Company Filings\nAlthough Q1’21’s gross margin was higher than recent historical trends, we should not expect this to carry on moving forward. The management pointed out clearly that the company is focusing its efforts to continue improving its robust ecosystem for its merchants such as developing the Shopify Fulfillment Network [SFN], as it expects that the merchant solutions segment to continue driving its revenue growth even if it means lesser gross margins moving forward.\nShopify Payments is the Key to Unlock the Benefits from GMV Growth\nDespite that, the company clarified that as Shopify Payments continue to see increased adoption and usage among its merchants, the company expects to see significant improvement to its SG&A efficiencies as Shopify Payments has a much lesser impact on SG&A margins, therefore leading to improvement on operating efficiencies as Shopify Payments scale up further.\nSHOP EBIT Margin, SG&A Margin, R&D Margin, Gross Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nClearly, investors could see that despite posting a relatively high LTM gross margin profile in Q1’21: 53.5%, it has only recently turned LTM EBIT profitable (Q1’21: 10.5%), thanks to the company’s solid improvement with its operating efficiencies even though the gross margin profile has remained stable over time, even with the pulled forward growth from COVID-19 last year.\nWe could see a consistently declining LTM SG&A margin trend reaching 24.8% in Q1’21 from a high of 44.1% in Q4’16, signifying a huge improvement. Therefore, I’m confident that SHOP would continue to deliver improved operating efficiencies as it scales up its SFN to further strengthen its ecosystem, creating even more value and synergies for its merchants and their customers.\nSHOP’s GMV and GPV Analysis. Data Source: Company Filings\nSHOP’s GMV and GPV YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe could clearly see the increasingly important role of Shopify Payments for its merchants as more and more merchants are using Shopify Payments over time as GPV growth has outpaced GMV growth consistently, with Q1’21 reading coming in at 137% YoY growth and 114.4% YoY growth, respectively.\nSHOP GPV as a % of GMV. Data Source: Company Filings\nWith the increased adoption and usage of Shopify Payments, in Q1’21 GPV formed 46.4% of GMV, from a low of 37.5% of GMV just 3 years ago. I believe Shopify is moving in the right direction to continue driving more and more merchants towards Shopify Payments as it creates a powerful flywheel to unlock even more and more of the expected massive GMV growth moving forward.\nShopify MRR. Data Source: Company Filings\nShopify MRR YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nThe sustained improvement in GPV growth has come at an important juncture as SHOP had already been experiencing slower MRR growth pre-pandemic (from 36% in Q1’19 to 21% in Q2’20). Therefore, by strategically being able to monetize its merchants in other areas has helped to manage this slowdown, while at the same time opened up many new revenue opportunities for Merchant Solutions to help drive the company’s future growth.\nThe Importance of International Expansion\nShopify Revenue by Merchant Location. Data Source: Company Filings\nShopify Revenue by Merchant Location YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nAlthough U.S. merchants continue to be SHOP’s most important revenue driver (66.7% of FY 20 revenue), the company has also experienced rapid growth in other geographical markets, particularly in its Rest of World segment. As we can observe from the above chart, U.S. growth has already been trending down pre-pandemic, while Rest of World growth has continued to grow rapidly and consistently.\nAmazon Revenue Segments YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe also observed this from AMZN’s International segment growth where although it has been somewhat of a laggard in previous quarters, it has started to outpace North America’s growth for the last 2 quarters, culminating in Q1’21 YoY growth of 60.4% for the International segment against 39.5% for the North America segment.\nU.S. Retail e-commerce revenue 2017 to 2025. Data Source: Statista\nU.S. Retail e-commerce revenue YoY Growth. Data Source: Statista\nWe could see from the above why ramping up growth internationally is so important for Shopify to continue delivering its expected spectacular growth rates. Even though Shopify merchants sell internationally, the fact that the SFN currently serves only businesses whosell to U.S. customersindicates the significance of the U.S. consumers to Shopify’s ecommerce revenues. However, as the growth of U.S. retail e-commerce revenue is expected to slow down over time (from 8.7% YoY in 2021 to 2.7% YoY by 2025), companies like Shopify who rely on high growth to justify its valuation must either take market share away from its key competitors or look for growth outside of the United States.\nValue of Southeast Asia e-commerce market. Data Source: Google, Temasek Holdings, Bain & Company\nFor example, if we look across to Southeast Asia, and compare the growth rates of the Southeast Asian market (expected 5Y CAGR for 2020 to 2025: 22.6%) and the United States market (expected 5Y CAGR for 2020 to 2025: 3.73%), it’s easy to see which market will be the key driver of e-commerce growth in the near future. There’s no doubt that the U.S. market remains an extremely important market given its size, however much of the future growth will likely come from overseas markets. Therefore, it’s important that Shopify continues to drive growth across other geographical markets.\nLet's Bring in Sea Limited\nSea Limited & SHOP EBIT Margin, Gross Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn order to look at Shopify’s growth opportunities in the Southeast Asian market, I thought it would be important to first consider the most important e-commerce player in that region: Sea Limited (SE), which I had previouslycovered in detail in an article hererecently.\nIt’s easy to see how SHOP’s more profitable business model on relying on subscriptions and merchant solutions drove a much higher EBIT margin as compared to SE’s online marketplace platform: Shopee, which is currently being supported by the company’s profitable Garena gaming segment.\nDespite that, Sea has still been able to drive significant revenue growth and operating efficiencies such that its EBIT margins have seen remarkable improvement.\nEBIT Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we modelled SE and SHOP’s EBIT margins moving forward, we could see how both companies’ improving cost efficiencies, notably from the reduction in SG&A margins, would help both companies to continue improving their operating margins over time.\nSE and SHOP Projected Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nThis is where their SE is expected to pull ahead. In modelling their FCF, SE is expected to generate so much FCF from its revenue growth and operating profits that the company looks increasingly like a massive cash flow machine moving forward. It’s not as if SHOP looks sloppy, but when compared to SE’s FCF margins, they certainly don’t look as impressive though.\nSE and SHOP Projected Revenue CAGR (5Y, 10Y), 10Y Projected Av. Unlevered FCF Margin, EV / FY+1 Rev. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nMore importantly, when we bring their current valuation levels into the picture (EV / FY+1 Rev), we could see that SE’s current valuation (16.3x) looks so much more attractive than SHOP’s (32.7x), while being able to convert that rapid revenue growth into higher FCF margins. It should also be noted that I have modelled both companies to continue their blockbuster performances: SE (5Y CAGR of 44.3%, 10Y CAGR of 26.7%), SHOP (5Y CAGR 41.4%, 10Y CAGR 32.3%).\nTherefore, for investors who would like a share of that rapid international growth in the Southeast Asian market coupled with a leading cash flow generating gaming segment, you should look no further than SE.\nMarket share of e-commerce software platforms in the U.S. in 2021 Data Source: Builtwith\nUnique visitors to the most popular online retailers in SEA in 2020. Data Source: iPrice Group, SimilarWeb, Marketing in Asia\nWhen we consider the competitive economics in the U.S. against Southeast Asia, it becomes very clear. Shopify faces strong competition within its software platform segment, without accounting for Amazon’s prowess as well. Even though I expect Shopify to continue its rapid expansion, I believe that it faces more intensive competitive threats than Sea Limited as the pie in the U.S. is expected to grow slower over time. SHOP needs almost perfect execution every quarter to justify its lofty valuations.\nAs compared to SE, it is clearly the dominant online marketplace now in Southeast Asia by a fairly large margin, and its prowess and scale is also growing, further stretching the distance from its competitors. Coupled with its ShopeePay payments platform, it also creates a flywheel effect similar to what Shopify Payments does for Shopify. The leadership in Southeast Asia is surely Sea’s to lose, and there’s so much potential growth that the company can capture in this region as the undisputed leader. When we consider Shopify’s valuations against SE’s it looks quite clear SE’s valuation looks more attractive now, with stronger market leadership and arguably higher potential growth.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nSHOP’s price action has been stuck somewhat in a large consolidation phase since Oct 20, with the bull trap set in Feb 21 at around the $1500 level. Support was found at around the $1000 level, with further support at around the $835 level for investors who wish to add further into SHOP. It’s important to note that despite SHOP’s lofty valuations, its long term uptrend bias has never been threatened, and I expect this to carry on moving forward.\nWrapping it all up\nAlthough Shopify is one of the most expensive high quality e-commerce stocks right now, it’s also expected to generate rapid growth ahead with its ever improving ecosystem for its merchants. Coupled with one of the strongest long term uptrend biases that I have seen for stocks (It didn’t lose its key support levels even during the COVID-19 bear market), I believe this puts SHOP in a strong position as a stock to add aggressively at the next big dip.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801303309,"gmtCreate":1627481489001,"gmtModify":1631888817791,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHD\">$Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$</a>cmon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHD\">$Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$</a>cmon","text":"$Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$cmon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bed99fcd3421a9ad64aa167bd8ef13d","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801303309","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":858872385,"gmtCreate":1635040739632,"gmtModify":1635040739881,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TROW\">$T. 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Rowe Price(TROW)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a46bee6bd5b44a3469e8dd209974505d","width":"750","height":"2280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858872385","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":123760234,"gmtCreate":1624439495928,"gmtModify":1634006124816,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Didn’t help the share price?","listText":"Didn’t help the share price?","text":"Didn’t help the share price?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123760234","repostId":"1186463775","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897526948,"gmtCreate":1628946335684,"gmtModify":1633688356708,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Grow grow","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Grow grow","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Grow grow","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a40b326a67ca937400f58e8737b9572","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897526948","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142474745,"gmtCreate":1626173287787,"gmtModify":1633929426401,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Not as good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Not as good","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Not as good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0082cfb1dffeff01bc92e8a23ea98ab9","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142474745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111685145,"gmtCreate":1622678985487,"gmtModify":1634099296851,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111685145","repostId":"1115876867","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115876867","pubTimestamp":1622678071,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115876867?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shares of retail favorite AMC nearly double, company woos investors with free popcorn","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115876867","media":"Reuters","summary":"Shares of retail investor favorite AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)nearly doubled in price on W","content":"<p>Shares of retail investor favorite <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)nearly doubled in price on Wednesday, extending a breathtaking rally and reinvigorating the meme stock phenomenon that has captivated investors.</p><p>The theater chain operator's shares closed up 95.2% at $62.55, a fresh record. At the close, AMC's market value stood at $28.17 billion, more than ViacomCBS(VIAC.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/K\">Kellogg</a>(K.N), as well as fellow meme-stock <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>(GME.N).</p><p>In an apparent nod to the retail investors that have hyped the stock in forums such as Reddit’s popular WallStreetBets, AMC CEO Adam Aron on Wednesday announced an initiative that offered even the smallest shareholder a free large popcorn if they signed up to a regular newsletter.</p><p>Among other so-called meme stocks - companies popular with a new generation of social media centric traders on WallStreetBets and other online forums - security software provider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBRY\">BlackBerry</a> and headphone maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">Koss</a> Corp(KOSS.O)rose 31.1% and 68.6%, respectively.</p><p>The massive rise in AMC's shares, which are up about 2,850% from just over $2 at the end of last year, is beginning to resemble the wild ride in shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> earlier this year.</p><p>\"It's meme stock 2.0.,” said Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBKR\">Interactive Brokers</a>.</p><p>GameStop shares rose more than 1,600% in January, buoyed in part by bearish investors unwinding their bets against the heavily shorted stock in the face of a massive buying surge.</p><p>'GAMMA SQUEEZE'</p><p>Some of the upward price move in AMC is likely being driven by market makers buying up stock to hedge their exposure from selling options, an event known as a “gamma squeeze,” analysts said.</p><p>\"People have learnt what tactics work under these insane circumstances. They are using a very similar play-book,\" Sosnick said.</p><p>Call options that would pay off if the shares topped $73 by Friday were the most heavily trade AMC options on Wednesday, with about 233,000 contracts changing hands.</p><p>With shares approaching that level, market makers who sold these and other similarly bullish contracts were left with no choice but to buy up AMC stock to hedge their own risk, thereby exacerbating the rise in the share price, analysts said.</p><p>\"Market makers are just chasing the stock,\" said Matt Amberson, principal at options analytics firm ORATS.</p><p>Wednesday’s near doubling of the stock price will likely test investors that have shorted AMC. Bearish investors were down $5.2 billion for the year and lost nearly $2.8 billion on Wednesday alone, data from S3 showed.</p><p>\"If you began your short at under $10 and you were sure the stock was overvalued at $10 it makes more sense that it’s over valued at $30 or $70,” said Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3 Partners. However, \"at a certain point your losses outweigh your thesis.\"</p><p>The surge in AMC shares comes a day after hedge fund Mudrick Capital Management LP sold a $230 million stake in the company for a profit shortly after acquiring it, saying the stock was overvalued, according to a source.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> appeared unfazed by the sale, which some analysts characterized as an attempt to cash in on the retail-driven surge in its stock.</p><p>\"There's a retail fanaticism with this stock right now,\" said MKM Partners analyst Eric Handler, who has a sell rating and a $1 price target on AMC stock. \"There's such a disconnect between what the stock's doing and what the fundamentals look like.\"</p><p>On <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> and WallStreetBets, some users exhorted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> another to hold on to their shares of AMC while others cheered on the rally.</p><p>\"$amc let’s go again to $100 and beyond,\" wrote <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> user @Rodolf30592158.</p><p>AMC was the most heavily traded name in options on Wednesday, with 4.6 million contracts traded. About $39 billion worth of AMC shares was traded on Wednesday, by far the most of any stock on Wall Street, per Refinitiv data.</p><p>The company has been among the biggest gainers from a deluge of interest in so-called meme stocks.</p><p>\"The (retail trading) party could go on as long as investors could continue co-acting,\" said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote. \"The problem is, the higher the price goes, the higher is the temptation to take profit and walk away.\"</p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601381805984","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shares of retail favorite AMC nearly double, company woos investors with free popcorn</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShares of retail favorite AMC nearly double, company woos investors with free popcorn\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 07:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/amc-shares-set-record-open-meme-stocks-surge-2021-06-02/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of retail investor favorite AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)nearly doubled in price on Wednesday, extending a breathtaking rally and reinvigorating the meme stock phenomenon that has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/amc-shares-set-record-open-meme-stocks-surge-2021-06-02/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/amc-shares-set-record-open-meme-stocks-surge-2021-06-02/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115876867","content_text":"Shares of retail investor favorite AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)nearly doubled in price on Wednesday, extending a breathtaking rally and reinvigorating the meme stock phenomenon that has captivated investors.The theater chain operator's shares closed up 95.2% at $62.55, a fresh record. At the close, AMC's market value stood at $28.17 billion, more than ViacomCBS(VIAC.O)and Kellogg(K.N), as well as fellow meme-stock GameStop(GME.N).In an apparent nod to the retail investors that have hyped the stock in forums such as Reddit’s popular WallStreetBets, AMC CEO Adam Aron on Wednesday announced an initiative that offered even the smallest shareholder a free large popcorn if they signed up to a regular newsletter.Among other so-called meme stocks - companies popular with a new generation of social media centric traders on WallStreetBets and other online forums - security software provider BlackBerry and headphone maker Koss Corp(KOSS.O)rose 31.1% and 68.6%, respectively.The massive rise in AMC's shares, which are up about 2,850% from just over $2 at the end of last year, is beginning to resemble the wild ride in shares of GameStop earlier this year.\"It's meme stock 2.0.,” said Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers.GameStop shares rose more than 1,600% in January, buoyed in part by bearish investors unwinding their bets against the heavily shorted stock in the face of a massive buying surge.'GAMMA SQUEEZE'Some of the upward price move in AMC is likely being driven by market makers buying up stock to hedge their exposure from selling options, an event known as a “gamma squeeze,” analysts said.\"People have learnt what tactics work under these insane circumstances. They are using a very similar play-book,\" Sosnick said.Call options that would pay off if the shares topped $73 by Friday were the most heavily trade AMC options on Wednesday, with about 233,000 contracts changing hands.With shares approaching that level, market makers who sold these and other similarly bullish contracts were left with no choice but to buy up AMC stock to hedge their own risk, thereby exacerbating the rise in the share price, analysts said.\"Market makers are just chasing the stock,\" said Matt Amberson, principal at options analytics firm ORATS.Wednesday’s near doubling of the stock price will likely test investors that have shorted AMC. Bearish investors were down $5.2 billion for the year and lost nearly $2.8 billion on Wednesday alone, data from S3 showed.\"If you began your short at under $10 and you were sure the stock was overvalued at $10 it makes more sense that it’s over valued at $30 or $70,” said Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3 Partners. However, \"at a certain point your losses outweigh your thesis.\"The surge in AMC shares comes a day after hedge fund Mudrick Capital Management LP sold a $230 million stake in the company for a profit shortly after acquiring it, saying the stock was overvalued, according to a source.Investors appeared unfazed by the sale, which some analysts characterized as an attempt to cash in on the retail-driven surge in its stock.\"There's a retail fanaticism with this stock right now,\" said MKM Partners analyst Eric Handler, who has a sell rating and a $1 price target on AMC stock. \"There's such a disconnect between what the stock's doing and what the fundamentals look like.\"On Twitter and WallStreetBets, some users exhorted one another to hold on to their shares of AMC while others cheered on the rally.\"$amc let’s go again to $100 and beyond,\" wrote Twitter user @Rodolf30592158.AMC was the most heavily traded name in options on Wednesday, with 4.6 million contracts traded. About $39 billion worth of AMC shares was traded on Wednesday, by far the most of any stock on Wall Street, per Refinitiv data.The company has been among the biggest gainers from a deluge of interest in so-called meme stocks.\"The (retail trading) party could go on as long as investors could continue co-acting,\" said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote. \"The problem is, the higher the price goes, the higher is the temptation to take profit and walk away.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850122565,"gmtCreate":1634566270614,"gmtModify":1634566797490,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YYY.SI\">$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$</a>Like a bowl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YYY.SI\">$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$</a>Like a bowl","text":"$Lion-OSPL China L S$(YYY.SI)$Like a bowl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33e443cb6f967a69e0401733d21c872b","width":"750","height":"1744"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850122565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147640694,"gmtCreate":1626357428418,"gmtModify":1631883987132,"author":{"id":"3585189388657814","authorId":"3585189388657814","authorIdStr":"3585189388657814","name":"Blokespot","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181f796b94ac764eb7f7ca8d94e573fc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585189388657814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sianz. Just bought yesterday","listText":"Sianz. Just bought yesterday","text":"Sianz. Just bought yesterday","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147640694","repostId":"1162137829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162137829","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626356794,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162137829?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"J&J shares falls 1% in early trading,as recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162137829","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"J&J shares falls 1% in early trading,as recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.\nJ","content":"<p>J&amp;J&nbsp;shares&nbsp;falls&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading,as&nbsp;recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ebbbbed4d32fb700b98b868517b4752\" tg-width=\"1279\" tg-height=\"598\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Johnson &amp; Johnson is voluntarily recalling five Neutrogena and Aveeno brand aerosol sunscreen products after detecting a cancer-causing chemical in some samples.</p>\n<p>The New Jersey-based company said on Wednesday that consumers should stop using the products and discard them after internal testing identified low levels of benzene in some samples.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J is also notifying distributors and retailers to stop selling the products and arranging for their return \"out of an abundance of caution\".</p>\n<p>Benzene is classified as a human carcinogen, a substance that could potentially cause cancer depending on the level and extent of exposure.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J said that benzene is not an ingredient in its sunscreen products and it is investigating the cause of the contamination.</p>\n<p>\"Daily exposure to benzene in these aerosol sunscreen products at the levels detected in our testing would not be expected to cause adverse health consequences,\" the company said.</p>\n<p>The recalled aerosol sunscreens are Neutrogena Beach Defense, Neutrogena Cool Dry Sport, Neutrogena Invisible Daily defense, Neutrogena Ultra Sheer and Aveeno Protect + Refresh.</p>\n<p>Consumers should contact their physician or healthcare provider if they have any concerns, questions or have experienced any problems related to using these products.</p>\n<p>The recall is another blow for J&amp;J,&nbsp;one&nbsp;of the world's largest producers of consumer health products. The company already faces billions of dollars of potential court losses and settlements from damages claims related to its baby powder, vaginal mesh implants and opioid painkillers.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>J&J shares falls 1% in early trading,as recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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Johnson is voluntarily recalling five Neutrogena and Aveeno brand aerosol sunscreen products after detecting a cancer-causing chemical in some samples.</p>\n<p>The New Jersey-based company said on Wednesday that consumers should stop using the products and discard them after internal testing identified low levels of benzene in some samples.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J is also notifying distributors and retailers to stop selling the products and arranging for their return \"out of an abundance of caution\".</p>\n<p>Benzene is classified as a human carcinogen, a substance that could potentially cause cancer depending on the level and extent of exposure.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J said that benzene is not an ingredient in its sunscreen products and it is investigating the cause of the contamination.</p>\n<p>\"Daily exposure to benzene in these aerosol sunscreen products at the levels detected in our testing would not be expected to cause adverse health consequences,\" the company said.</p>\n<p>The recalled aerosol sunscreens are Neutrogena Beach Defense, Neutrogena Cool Dry Sport, Neutrogena Invisible Daily defense, Neutrogena Ultra Sheer and Aveeno Protect + Refresh.</p>\n<p>Consumers should contact their physician or healthcare provider if they have any concerns, questions or have experienced any problems related to using these products.</p>\n<p>The recall is another blow for J&amp;J,&nbsp;one&nbsp;of the world's largest producers of consumer health products. The company already faces billions of dollars of potential court losses and settlements from damages claims related to its baby powder, vaginal mesh implants and opioid painkillers.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162137829","content_text":"J&J shares falls 1% in early trading,as recalling sunscreens after carcinogen found in some spray.\nJohnson & Johnson is voluntarily recalling five Neutrogena and Aveeno brand aerosol sunscreen products after detecting a cancer-causing chemical in some samples.\nThe New Jersey-based company said on Wednesday that consumers should stop using the products and discard them after internal testing identified low levels of benzene in some samples.\nJ&J is also notifying distributors and retailers to stop selling the products and arranging for their return \"out of an abundance of caution\".\nBenzene is classified as a human carcinogen, a substance that could potentially cause cancer depending on the level and extent of exposure.\nJ&J said that benzene is not an ingredient in its sunscreen products and it is investigating the cause of the contamination.\n\"Daily exposure to benzene in these aerosol sunscreen products at the levels detected in our testing would not be expected to cause adverse health consequences,\" the company said.\nThe recalled aerosol sunscreens are Neutrogena Beach Defense, Neutrogena Cool Dry Sport, Neutrogena Invisible Daily defense, Neutrogena Ultra Sheer and Aveeno Protect + Refresh.\nConsumers should contact their physician or healthcare provider if they have any concerns, questions or have experienced any problems related to using these products.\nThe recall is another blow for J&J, one of the world's largest producers of consumer health products. 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