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浩浩鑫通超市
2023-04-25
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
加仓暴击弓
浩浩鑫通超市
2023-04-25
比特币就是坑哈哈😄
外媒头条 | 大摩称财报和加息前景对美股构成风险
浩浩鑫通超市
2023-04-24
特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?
特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?
特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?
浩浩鑫通超市
2023-01-10
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
机会不是天天有。跌到100就加仓[财迷]
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-30
不错😊
@锐评:老虎锐评|特斯拉的Q4交付数据前瞻,空头会被吓到吗
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-29
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
100以下抄底!坚持看空,还没见底
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-17
上穿布林下轨
@卡哥Purliu双重确认:布林线的指示 恒指牛熊证复盘-1025
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-10
做空继续
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-08
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
加仓吧骚年们!洗盘结束!大蛋糕来了大胆干!盘它!机会不是天天有!走过路过不要错过[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-08
这能说明什么?谁还不摔一跤,爬起来不就行了(●°u°●) 」
特斯拉(TSLA)股价下跌 马斯克世界首富头衔短暂易主
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-12-05
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
特斯拉迎来了挥泪斩该跑就跑别犹豫哈,过几天在老多
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-10-29
牛逼老马加油😊
@三现主义_何佳:马斯克440亿美元收购Twitter为什么很值?
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-10-22
严重低估区间建议买入!!!
@51b63fa8:特斯拉3季度报解读--未来市值有望超过4万亿
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-24
一首凉凉送上正合适[笑哭]
“大空头”Michael Burry:应该做空特斯拉
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-20
一首凉凉送上正合适
特斯拉大幅提高欧洲的充电价格,充电成本逼近燃油车加油
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-14
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
做空没毛病
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-13
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
坚持做空你就又赚了
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@Buy_Sell:🔥【9月5日】看本周关键事件,聊本周交易计划
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-09-06
摸爬滚打特斯拉重回巅峰还是跌入谷底。猜一猜
浩浩鑫通超市
2022-08-22
除了国内,国外一片狼藉。。。
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加仓暴击弓","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加仓暴击弓","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 加仓暴击弓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658949597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":658949266,"gmtCreate":1682378193155,"gmtModify":1682386600152,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比特币就是坑哈哈😄","listText":"比特币就是坑哈哈😄","text":"比特币就是坑哈哈😄","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658949266","repostId":"2330861913","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2330861913","pubTimestamp":1682377690,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2330861913?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-04-25 07:08","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条 | 大摩称财报和加息前景对美股构成风险","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2330861913","media":"环球市场播报","summary":" 摩根士丹利的Michael Wilson表示,鉴于美联储料将进一步加息,且企业利润增幅预计将会放缓,美国股市在本财报季之前的上涨对股市构成短期风险。 “鉴于我们对今年的盈利前景更加悲观,尤其是流动性收紧,因此我们认为这种态势对股价构成短期风险,”Wilson在周一的报告中写道。 特斯拉再次上调资本支出预测,今年的预算支出至少为70亿美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:</strong></p><blockquote><strong>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>:企业盈利和美联储政策前景对股市构成风险</strong> <strong> </strong></blockquote><blockquote><strong>2、对冲基金对10年期美债净空头头寸增至纪录高点</strong> <strong> </strong></blockquote><blockquote><strong>3、树欲静而风不止 美债交易员等待美联储打破平静</strong> <strong> </strong></blockquote><blockquote><strong>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>再次上调资本支出预算 较前预期高出10亿美元</strong> <strong> </strong></blockquote><blockquote><strong>5、法国央行行长:欧洲央行应该限制加息的次数和幅度</strong> <strong> </strong></blockquote><blockquote><strong>6、比特币“减半”激发乐观情绪 分析师预言价格到2024年将升破5万美元</strong></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de6f5e3ec4cae03f5a3b29f1236e98c5\" tg-width=\"414\" tg-height=\"276\"/></p><p> <strong>摩根士丹利:企业盈利和美联储政策前景对股市构成风险</strong></p><p> 摩根士丹利的Michael Wilson表示,鉴于美联储料将进一步加息,且企业利润增幅预计将会放缓,美国股市在本财报季之前的上涨对股市构成短期风险。</p><p> 标普500指数在3月的后三周上涨了6%以上,与之前三个财报季前下跌的走势形成对比,这令Wilson感到担忧,他是华尔街最为看空股市的分析师之一。</p><p> “鉴于我们对今年的盈利前景更加悲观,尤其是流动性收紧,因此我们认为这种态势对股价构成短期风险,”Wilson在周一的报告中写道。他预计,要到第三或第四季度盈利增幅才会触底,而其余分析师的普遍看法则是下半年会反弹。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d00212203245b63f0733ad2cfa503707\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\"/></p><p> <strong>对冲基金对10年期美债净空头头寸增至纪录高点</strong></p><p> 美联储有把握,尽管利率上升,美国经济仍能避免衰退。对冲基金似乎同意这一观点。</p><p> 商品期货交易委员会的数据显示,截至4月18日,杠杆投资者增加10年期美国国债期货的净空头头寸至创纪录的129万份。看跌头寸连续第五周增加。</p><p> 随着交易员与美联储就政策决策者何时开始降息的争论日益激烈,美国国债收益率近几周来上下震荡。如果美国央行借贷成本需继续走高的观点占上风,将可证明对冲基金的做法是对的。10年期国债收益率本月已上涨9个基点至3.56%,收复3月份下跌45个基点的部分跌幅。该基准国债收益率仍远低于2年期利率,表明经济可能衰退。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06b7aab79ae75f707a484fea083c24ef\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"334\"/></p><p> <strong>树欲静而风不止 美债交易员等待美联储打破平静</strong></p><p> 债券交易员在市场近期的平静中几乎没有寻到什么安慰,原因很简单:这种平静不太可能持续。</p><p> 过去一周,对利率预期变化最敏感的两年期美国国债收益率保持在相对窄幅区间内,意味着市场波动得到缓解。硅谷银行倒闭引发银行业危机担忧后,市场一度剧烈震荡。</p><p> 但给市场带来不确定性的气流并没有消失。交易员加大押注认为美联储可能在5月和6月加息,并可能推迟暂停加息的时间。焦虑正在加剧,华盛顿关于债务上限的政治之争可能要等到政府处于违约边缘时才会得到解决。由于银行会减少放贷以提振投资者信心,因此经济前景变得模糊不清。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1b97eba599f29690f40589747d2a066\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"257\"/></p><p> <strong>特斯拉再次上调资本支出预算 较前预期高出10亿美元</strong></p><p> 特斯拉再次上调资本支出预测,今年的预算支出至少为70亿美元。</p><p> 据该公司提交监管部门的文件,2023年预计支出至多为90亿美元。今年1月份,特斯拉给出的预测区间比现在的区间高端和低端都低10亿美元。</p><p> 虽然特斯拉高管最近一直在强调削减成本的努力,但由于该公司一再降低汽车价格,过去九个月里资本支出预测被多次提高。去年7月,该公司曾预计2022年和之后两年的资本开支预测为60亿至80亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1e3b4835830431791f1210fa76a206\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\"/></p><p> <strong>法国央行行长:欧洲央行应该限制加息的次数和幅度</strong></p><p> 欧洲央行管委Francois Villeroy de Galhau表示,鉴于之前升息的影响尚未完全得到反映,央行未来的加息幅度和次数都应该有限。</p><p> 这位法国央行行长周一接受采访时表示,“升息路径已经走完了大部分,多数影响尚在酝酿,还未体现到经济中去”。他说,“欧洲央行可能还需要加息几次,但就我看来,他们的升息次数和幅度都将有限”。</p><p> 上述言论表明,当5月4日召开下一次政策会议时Villeroy可能倾向于更小幅度的加息。市场预计央行将在加息25和25基点之间做选择。市场充分消化了下个月加息25个基点的可能性,预计升息50基点的可能性接近30%。投资者预计今年存款利率将从目前的3%升至至少3.75%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c885c2440f0d106777e4f5309bf8b95f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"344\"/></p><p> <strong>比特币“减半”激发乐观情绪 分析师预言价格到2024年将升破5万美元</strong></p><p> 据加密货币分析师预测,由于“减半”机制会限制新代币的供应,比特币的反弹只是新一轮涨势的开始,明年将升破5万美元。</p><p> 这一最大的数字资产自12月31日以来已上涨67%,部分收复了2022年的惊人跌幅。虽然比特币价格目前在3万美元附近徘徊,但据行业研究和Matrixport预测,减半有可能触发至少81%的涨幅。</p><p> 减半即将比特币挖矿奖励减半,是将比特币供应总量限制在2,100万枚机制的一部分,大约每四年发生一次,下次在2024年4月前后。过去三次减半后,比特币每次都创出新高。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条 | 大摩称财报和加息前景对美股构成风险</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条 | 大摩称财报和加息前景对美股构成风险\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-25 07:08 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2023-04-25/doc-imyrpmzh4730882.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、摩根士丹利:企业盈利和美联储政策前景对股市构成风险 2、对冲基金对10年期美债净空头头寸增至纪录高点 3、树欲静而风不止 美债交易员等待美联储打破平静 4、特斯拉再次上调资本支出预算 较前预期高出10亿美元 5、法国央行行长:欧洲央行应该限制加息的次数和幅度 6、比特币“减半”激发乐观情绪 分析师预言价格...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2023-04-25/doc-imyrpmzh4730882.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de6f5e3ec4cae03f5a3b29f1236e98c5","relate_stocks":{"EBON":"亿邦国际",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TSLA":"特斯拉",".DJI":"道琼斯","CAN":"嘉楠科技",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2023-04-25/doc-imyrpmzh4730882.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2330861913","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、摩根士丹利:企业盈利和美联储政策前景对股市构成风险 2、对冲基金对10年期美债净空头头寸增至纪录高点 3、树欲静而风不止 美债交易员等待美联储打破平静 4、特斯拉再次上调资本支出预算 较前预期高出10亿美元 5、法国央行行长:欧洲央行应该限制加息的次数和幅度 6、比特币“减半”激发乐观情绪 分析师预言价格到2024年将升破5万美元 摩根士丹利:企业盈利和美联储政策前景对股市构成风险 摩根士丹利的Michael Wilson表示,鉴于美联储料将进一步加息,且企业利润增幅预计将会放缓,美国股市在本财报季之前的上涨对股市构成短期风险。 标普500指数在3月的后三周上涨了6%以上,与之前三个财报季前下跌的走势形成对比,这令Wilson感到担忧,他是华尔街最为看空股市的分析师之一。 “鉴于我们对今年的盈利前景更加悲观,尤其是流动性收紧,因此我们认为这种态势对股价构成短期风险,”Wilson在周一的报告中写道。他预计,要到第三或第四季度盈利增幅才会触底,而其余分析师的普遍看法则是下半年会反弹。 对冲基金对10年期美债净空头头寸增至纪录高点 美联储有把握,尽管利率上升,美国经济仍能避免衰退。对冲基金似乎同意这一观点。 商品期货交易委员会的数据显示,截至4月18日,杠杆投资者增加10年期美国国债期货的净空头头寸至创纪录的129万份。看跌头寸连续第五周增加。 随着交易员与美联储就政策决策者何时开始降息的争论日益激烈,美国国债收益率近几周来上下震荡。如果美国央行借贷成本需继续走高的观点占上风,将可证明对冲基金的做法是对的。10年期国债收益率本月已上涨9个基点至3.56%,收复3月份下跌45个基点的部分跌幅。该基准国债收益率仍远低于2年期利率,表明经济可能衰退。 树欲静而风不止 美债交易员等待美联储打破平静 债券交易员在市场近期的平静中几乎没有寻到什么安慰,原因很简单:这种平静不太可能持续。 过去一周,对利率预期变化最敏感的两年期美国国债收益率保持在相对窄幅区间内,意味着市场波动得到缓解。硅谷银行倒闭引发银行业危机担忧后,市场一度剧烈震荡。 但给市场带来不确定性的气流并没有消失。交易员加大押注认为美联储可能在5月和6月加息,并可能推迟暂停加息的时间。焦虑正在加剧,华盛顿关于债务上限的政治之争可能要等到政府处于违约边缘时才会得到解决。由于银行会减少放贷以提振投资者信心,因此经济前景变得模糊不清。 特斯拉再次上调资本支出预算 较前预期高出10亿美元 特斯拉再次上调资本支出预测,今年的预算支出至少为70亿美元。 据该公司提交监管部门的文件,2023年预计支出至多为90亿美元。今年1月份,特斯拉给出的预测区间比现在的区间高端和低端都低10亿美元。 虽然特斯拉高管最近一直在强调削减成本的努力,但由于该公司一再降低汽车价格,过去九个月里资本支出预测被多次提高。去年7月,该公司曾预计2022年和之后两年的资本开支预测为60亿至80亿美元。 法国央行行长:欧洲央行应该限制加息的次数和幅度 欧洲央行管委Francois Villeroy de Galhau表示,鉴于之前升息的影响尚未完全得到反映,央行未来的加息幅度和次数都应该有限。 这位法国央行行长周一接受采访时表示,“升息路径已经走完了大部分,多数影响尚在酝酿,还未体现到经济中去”。他说,“欧洲央行可能还需要加息几次,但就我看来,他们的升息次数和幅度都将有限”。 上述言论表明,当5月4日召开下一次政策会议时Villeroy可能倾向于更小幅度的加息。市场预计央行将在加息25和25基点之间做选择。市场充分消化了下个月加息25个基点的可能性,预计升息50基点的可能性接近30%。投资者预计今年存款利率将从目前的3%升至至少3.75%。 比特币“减半”激发乐观情绪 分析师预言价格到2024年将升破5万美元 据加密货币分析师预测,由于“减半”机制会限制新代币的供应,比特币的反弹只是新一轮涨势的开始,明年将升破5万美元。 这一最大的数字资产自12月31日以来已上涨67%,部分收复了2022年的惊人跌幅。虽然比特币价格目前在3万美元附近徘徊,但据行业研究和Matrixport预测,减半有可能触发至少81%的涨幅。 减半即将比特币挖矿奖励减半,是将比特币供应总量限制在2,100万枚机制的一部分,大约每四年发生一次,下次在2024年4月前后。过去三次减半后,比特币每次都创出新高。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":658023085,"gmtCreate":1682292628247,"gmtModify":1682292629674,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"title":"特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?","htmlText":"特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?","listText":"特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?","text":"特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658023085","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":628270737,"gmtCreate":1673311915129,"gmtModify":1673311916181,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>机会不是天天有。跌到100就加仓[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>机会不是天天有。跌到100就加仓[财迷] ","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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case。 特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候,市场对于“生产数>交付数”提出了很多疑问,认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了,那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测,马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数<交付数”,所以把上海工厂停产了,控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视,因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人,所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下,完全有可能。此刻,马斯克(数据生产者)也是坚定站在了多头一边。 现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆,乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆(乘联会:11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆,10月为71704辆),凭感觉,42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆,那么空头会被吓到,即使差一点问题不大,因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然,如果最后差得很多,比方只有35万辆的交付,那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。 最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量,但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量,这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样,这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。 前面讨论的是方向问题,但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题,取决于这两天(周四和周五)的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退,那么4Q数据出来之后,空头有弹药反扑;如果这两天股价变动不大,空头继续加码,逼空的现象可能会出现。&n","listText":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来,所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候,很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看,多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过,从市场情绪来说,4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识,这个对于多头是一个优势,不好看成为了base case。 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现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆,乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆(乘联会:11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆,10月为71704辆),凭感觉,42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆,那么空头会被吓到,即使差一点问题不大,因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然,如果最后差得很多,比方只有35万辆的交付,那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。 最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量,但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量,这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样,这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。 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恒指牛熊证复盘-1025","htmlText":"布林线的指示 恒指牛熊证复盘-1025纯属娱乐,切勿跟单,后果自负!//交易品种:——目标:港股恒生指数的牛熊证(金融衍生品);——具体品种选择:按照总量,由大到小,选择最大交易量的。//分析方法:——K线周期:15分钟K线,开盘时段,总计22根K线;——技术指标:10均线(主)、5均线(辅),布林线;——突破开仓,反转平仓;——强调双重确认,Double Check,减少误判;——给出实盘品种的具体代码。//图示细节:——每次开仓、平仓节点;——具体开仓、平仓理由,利于复盘。$恒生指数(800000.HK)$,#轮证#,#窝轮牛熊#,#交易复盘#@牛熊证, @衍生品—————————————————————想要在股市里长久生存,必须在震荡行情中,减少损失,不做炮灰;又能在单边行情中,坚守阵地,不轻易离场;严格的交易纪律与强大的心理承受能力;才是最有力的保障。—————————————————————//复盘内容:全天行情整体成“人”字形。分析工具:布林线 简单规则: ——上穿布林线下轨,开牛/平熊; ——下穿布林线上轨,开熊/平牛; ——Bouble Check双重确认。 详细规则:建议自行搜索。详见以下复盘:——今天恒指开盘的第1根K线略低于布林线下轨,略微下行后即开展反弹,上穿布林线下轨,此时不可急切入场,按照“Bouble Check双重确认”的要求,再等等;再上穿10均线、布林线中轨后回落。——第2根K线,继续向下穿布林线下轨,再次打破前低,然后返回,上穿布林线下轨,Double Check,开仓买入牛证;行情一路上升,直到第1次突破布林线上轨,然后回落,耐心等待;间隔1根钉子线阴线,再次1根大阳线突破上轨,再接着1根阴线回落,下穿布林线上轨,Double Check,卖出平仓。第1波,周期较长,幅度较大,收获尚可。——牛证平仓,立刻开仓买入熊证;之后行情曲折拉锯","listText":"布林线的指示 恒指牛熊证复盘-1025纯属娱乐,切勿跟单,后果自负!//交易品种:——目标:港股恒生指数的牛熊证(金融衍生品);——具体品种选择:按照总量,由大到小,选择最大交易量的。//分析方法:——K线周期:15分钟K线,开盘时段,总计22根K线;——技术指标:10均线(主)、5均线(辅),布林线;——突破开仓,反转平仓;——强调双重确认,Double Check,减少误判;——给出实盘品种的具体代码。//图示细节:——每次开仓、平仓节点;——具体开仓、平仓理由,利于复盘。$恒生指数(800000.HK)$,#轮证#,#窝轮牛熊#,#交易复盘#@牛熊证, @衍生品—————————————————————想要在股市里长久生存,必须在震荡行情中,减少损失,不做炮灰;又能在单边行情中,坚守阵地,不轻易离场;严格的交易纪律与强大的心理承受能力;才是最有力的保障。—————————————————————//复盘内容:全天行情整体成“人”字形。分析工具:布林线 简单规则: ——上穿布林线下轨,开牛/平熊; ——下穿布林线上轨,开熊/平牛; ——Bouble Check双重确认。 详细规则:建议自行搜索。详见以下复盘:——今天恒指开盘的第1根K线略低于布林线下轨,略微下行后即开展反弹,上穿布林线下轨,此时不可急切入场,按照“Bouble Check双重确认”的要求,再等等;再上穿10均线、布林线中轨后回落。——第2根K线,继续向下穿布林线下轨,再次打破前低,然后返回,上穿布林线下轨,Double Check,开仓买入牛证;行情一路上升,直到第1次突破布林线上轨,然后回落,耐心等待;间隔1根钉子线阴线,再次1根大阳线突破上轨,再接着1根阴线回落,下穿布林线上轨,Double Check,卖出平仓。第1波,周期较长,幅度较大,收获尚可。——牛证平仓,立刻开仓买入熊证;之后行情曲折拉锯","text":"布林线的指示 恒指牛熊证复盘-1025纯属娱乐,切勿跟单,后果自负!//交易品种:——目标:港股恒生指数的牛熊证(金融衍生品);——具体品种选择:按照总量,由大到小,选择最大交易量的。//分析方法:——K线周期:15分钟K线,开盘时段,总计22根K线;——技术指标:10均线(主)、5均线(辅),布林线;——突破开仓,反转平仓;——强调双重确认,Double 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加仓吧骚年们!洗盘结束!大蛋糕来了大胆干!盘它!机会不是天天有!走过路过不要错过[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>加仓吧骚年们!洗盘结束!大蛋糕来了大胆干!盘它!机会不是天天有!走过路过不要错过[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 加仓吧骚年们!洗盘结束!大蛋糕来了大胆干!盘它!机会不是天天有!走过路过不要错过[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629296942","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629298793,"gmtCreate":1670514747412,"gmtModify":1670514749406,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这能说明什么?谁还不摔一跤,爬起来不就行了(●°u°●) 」","listText":"这能说明什么?谁还不摔一跤,爬起来不就行了(●°u°●) 」","text":"这能说明什么?谁还不摔一跤,爬起来不就行了(●°u°●) 」","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629298793","repostId":"2289744479","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2289744479","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"凤凰网港股","home_visible":1,"media_name":"凤凰网港股","id":"1002821290","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6fb647077f1ce46dc341fc35c26e817"},"pubTimestamp":1670513690,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2289744479?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-08 23:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉(TSLA)股价下跌 马斯克世界首富头衔短暂易主","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289744479","media":"凤凰网港股","summary":"据央视,当地时间7日,特斯拉(TSLA)首席执行官马斯克一度丢掉《福布斯》富豪榜世界首富的宝座,其净资产被路威酩轩集团董事长阿尔诺短暂超越。尽管马斯克当天晚些时候重新夺回首富地位,但领先优势相当有限。","content":"<html><body><p>据央视,当地时间7日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)首席执行官马斯克一度丢掉《福布斯》富豪榜世界首富的宝座,其净资产被路威酩轩集团董事长阿尔诺短暂超越。尽管马斯克当天晚些时候重新夺回首富地位,但领先优势相当有限。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1002821290\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6fb647077f1ce46dc341fc35c26e817);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">凤凰网港股 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-08 23:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>据央视,当地时间7日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)首席执行官马斯克一度丢掉《福布斯》富豪榜世界首富的宝座,其净资产被路威酩轩集团董事长阿尔诺短暂超越。尽管马斯克当天晚些时候重新夺回首富地位,但领先优势相当有限。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) 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特斯拉迎来了挥泪斩该跑就跑别犹豫哈,过几天在老多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629337781","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665161601,"gmtCreate":1667058841304,"gmtModify":1667095407582,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛逼老马加油😊","listText":"牛逼老马加油😊","text":"牛逼老马加油😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665161601","repostId":"665952828","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665952828,"gmtCreate":1666921631165,"gmtModify":1666934001309,"author":{"id":"4115342086631580","authorId":"4115342086631580","name":"三现主义_何佳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36d0357ab58bcc5baa68ff47c09938ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4115342086631580","authorIdStr":"4115342086631580"},"themes":[],"title":"马斯克440亿美元收购Twitter为什么很值?","htmlText":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日,马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约;到了7月8日,马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划;当地时间10月4日,美国证交会公布的文件显示,马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息:马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易,并已掌管公司,将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱,而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时,我们总是问自己:还有没有其他视角? (本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播,现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人,每周六晚上都会直播一次,聊聊商业与投资。公众号&B站:南添的求真之路) 要点前瞻 油车主要依靠经销商线下开店,毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。(Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey)电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息,线下更多是服务和活动。 经销改为直销,为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益(属于传播环节的成本),导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人?几乎翻番! 特斯拉公司是一个奇葩,几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量,推特就是一家线上4S店,它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上,不是值不值钱的问题,如果马斯克被推特封掉,那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前,440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想:美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱?又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了,损失又该是多大? 推特对于多数商业主体的使用价值","listText":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日,马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约;到了7月8日,马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划;当地时间10月4日,美国证交会公布的文件显示,马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息:马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易,并已掌管公司,将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱,而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时,我们总是问自己:还有没有其他视角? (本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播,现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人,每周六晚上都会直播一次,聊聊商业与投资。公众号&B站:南添的求真之路) 要点前瞻 油车主要依靠经销商线下开店,毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。(Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey)电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息,线下更多是服务和活动。 经销改为直销,为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益(属于传播环节的成本),导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人?几乎翻番! 特斯拉公司是一个奇葩,几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量,推特就是一家线上4S店,它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上,不是值不值钱的问题,如果马斯克被推特封掉,那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前,440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想:美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱?又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了,损失又该是多大? 推特对于多数商业主体的使用价值","text":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日,马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约;到了7月8日,马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划;当地时间10月4日,美国证交会公布的文件显示,马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息:马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易,并已掌管公司,将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱,而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时,我们总是问自己:还有没有其他视角? (本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播,现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人,每周六晚上都会直播一次,聊聊商业与投资。公众号&B站:南添的求真之路) 要点前瞻 油车主要依靠经销商线下开店,毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。(Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey)电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息,线下更多是服务和活动。 经销改为直销,为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益(属于传播环节的成本),导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人?几乎翻番! 特斯拉公司是一个奇葩,几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量,推特就是一家线上4S店,它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上,不是值不值钱的问题,如果马斯克被推特封掉,那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前,440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想:美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱?又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了,损失又该是多大? 推特对于多数商业主体的使用价值","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f41d12a77c1daedcfe67a40cb2f0d73","width":"632","height":"421"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665952828","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662660226,"gmtCreate":1666451224265,"gmtModify":1666451227021,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"严重低估区间建议买入!!!","listText":"严重低估区间建议买入!!!","text":"严重低估区间建议买入!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662660226","repostId":"662142639","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":662142639,"gmtCreate":1666284558622,"gmtModify":1666284878282,"author":{"id":"3450821277483828","authorId":"3450821277483828","name":"51b63fa8","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3450821277483828","authorIdStr":"3450821277483828"},"themes":[],"title":"特斯拉3季度报解读--未来市值有望超过4万亿","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 特斯拉发布了3季度财报,营收低于预期,净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求,因为产量比销量高,有点像是库存。其实,特斯拉已经解释过了,所有生产出来的汽车都有主了,在海运的途中,由于是9月份大规模海运,来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关,上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化,需要发送到海外,特殊经过改造,上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况,早点搞定海运。不过,海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转,把上海的产能早点多给海外,然后晚一点给国内,对于订单不提车的取消订单,这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析: 1、需求问题 我认为需求完全没有问题,在美国的订单深度还在增加,有些订单都不接了。但是在国内订单深度在减少,这个是事实,国内订单深度减少是因为上海产能大幅提升,产能的增长远大于订单的增长。 解决这个问题很容易,把上海的产能给除美国之外的全球国家,马斯克还真是这么说的,也会这么做。 全球出中国美国之前的国家都在等特斯拉的汽车,特斯拉只要给他们供货,就可以达到当地的销量第一,让我们看看: A、Model Y在德国9月排名第一,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 B、Model Y在荷兰9月排名第一的新能源汽车,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 C、Model 3和Y在西班牙9月排名第一第二,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 D、Model Y在挪威9月排名第一,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 E、Model Y在意大利9月排名","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 特斯拉发布了3季度财报,营收低于预期,净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求,因为产量比销量高,有点像是库存。其实,特斯拉已经解释过了,所有生产出来的汽车都有主了,在海运的途中,由于是9月份大规模海运,来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关,上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化,需要发送到海外,特殊经过改造,上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况,早点搞定海运。不过,海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转,把上海的产能早点多给海外,然后晚一点给国内,对于订单不提车的取消订单,这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析: 1、需求问题 我认为需求完全没有问题,在美国的订单深度还在增加,有些订单都不接了。但是在国内订单深度在减少,这个是事实,国内订单深度减少是因为上海产能大幅提升,产能的增长远大于订单的增长。 解决这个问题很容易,把上海的产能给除美国之外的全球国家,马斯克还真是这么说的,也会这么做。 全球出中国美国之前的国家都在等特斯拉的汽车,特斯拉只要给他们供货,就可以达到当地的销量第一,让我们看看: A、Model Y在德国9月排名第一,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 B、Model Y在荷兰9月排名第一的新能源汽车,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 C、Model 3和Y在西班牙9月排名第一第二,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 D、Model Y在挪威9月排名第一,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 E、Model Y在意大利9月排名","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 特斯拉发布了3季度财报,营收低于预期,净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求,因为产量比销量高,有点像是库存。其实,特斯拉已经解释过了,所有生产出来的汽车都有主了,在海运的途中,由于是9月份大规模海运,来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关,上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化,需要发送到海外,特殊经过改造,上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况,早点搞定海运。不过,海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转,把上海的产能早点多给海外,然后晚一点给国内,对于订单不提车的取消订单,这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析: 1、需求问题 我认为需求完全没有问题,在美国的订单深度还在增加,有些订单都不接了。但是在国内订单深度在减少,这个是事实,国内订单深度减少是因为上海产能大幅提升,产能的增长远大于订单的增长。 解决这个问题很容易,把上海的产能给除美国之外的全球国家,马斯克还真是这么说的,也会这么做。 全球出中国美国之前的国家都在等特斯拉的汽车,特斯拉只要给他们供货,就可以达到当地的销量第一,让我们看看: A、Model Y在德国9月排名第一,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 B、Model Y在荷兰9月排名第一的新能源汽车,就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 C、Model 3和Y在西班牙9月排名第一第二,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 D、Model Y在挪威9月排名第一,就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 E、Model Y在意大利9月排名","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fab1ec09a8a2923ff085cedee1ccc0a","width":"632","height":"382"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662142639","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661592120,"gmtCreate":1664032680260,"gmtModify":1664032682130,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一首凉凉送上正合适[笑哭] ","listText":"一首凉凉送上正合适[笑哭] ","text":"一首凉凉送上正合适[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661592120","repostId":"2269415793","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2269415793","pubTimestamp":1663768257,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269415793?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-21 21:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“大空头”Michael Burry:应该做空特斯拉","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269415793","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,在特斯拉的电池引发了一场大火灾之后,电影《大空头》原型、Scion资产管理公司创始人Michael Burry对该公司进行了一次含蓄的抨击。PG&E公司发言人Jeff Smith表示,公司在20日凌晨1点半左右发现起火事故。火灾发生后,附近居民被紧急撤离,目前火灾没有造成现场人员伤亡。该储能设施由特斯拉与PG&E公司共同设计、建造和维护,并由后者运营。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>的电池引发了一场大火灾之后,电影《大空头》原型、Scion资产管理公司创始人Michael Burry对该公司进行了一次含蓄的抨击。Burry表示,“如果我在发推文,你可以打赌我不会做空它。但我应该(做空)。”</p><p>Scion资产管理公司在持有超过100万股的看跌期权后,于2021年第三季度某个时候退出了特斯拉的空头头寸。值得注意的是,Scion Asset也在2022年第二季度出售了所有美国股票。该公司的最新持仓文件将在11月15日左右公布。</p><p>当地时间9月20日凌晨,位于美国加州蒙特雷(Monterey)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">太平洋</a>瓦电(PG&E)公司的一个变电站起火,起火原因是由变电站中的特斯拉Megapack巨型电池储能设备造成的。</p><p>PG&E公司发言人Jeff Smith表示,公司在20日凌晨1点半左右发现起火事故。火灾发生后,附近居民被紧急撤离,目前火灾没有造成现场人员伤亡。</p><p>今年4月,太平洋瓦电公司在加州Moss Landing启用182.5MW特斯拉Megapack系统,项目名为“埃尔克霍恩电池储能系统”(Elkhorn Battery)。该储能设施由特斯拉与PG&E公司共同设计、建造和维护,并由后者运营。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“大空头”Michael Burry:应该做空特斯拉</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“大空头”Michael Burry:应该做空特斯拉\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 21:50 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/795547.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在特斯拉的电池引发了一场大火灾之后,电影《大空头》原型、Scion资产管理公司创始人Michael Burry对该公司进行了一次含蓄的抨击。Burry表示,“如果我在发推文,你可以打赌我不会做空它。但我应该(做空)。”Scion资产管理公司在持有超过100万股的看跌期权后,于2021年第三季度某个时候退出了特斯拉的空头头寸。值得注意的是,Scion Asset也在2022年第二季度出售了所有美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/795547.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/795547.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269415793","content_text":"在特斯拉的电池引发了一场大火灾之后,电影《大空头》原型、Scion资产管理公司创始人Michael Burry对该公司进行了一次含蓄的抨击。Burry表示,“如果我在发推文,你可以打赌我不会做空它。但我应该(做空)。”Scion资产管理公司在持有超过100万股的看跌期权后,于2021年第三季度某个时候退出了特斯拉的空头头寸。值得注意的是,Scion Asset也在2022年第二季度出售了所有美国股票。该公司的最新持仓文件将在11月15日左右公布。当地时间9月20日凌晨,位于美国加州蒙特雷(Monterey)太平洋瓦电(PG&E)公司的一个变电站起火,起火原因是由变电站中的特斯拉Megapack巨型电池储能设备造成的。PG&E公司发言人Jeff Smith表示,公司在20日凌晨1点半左右发现起火事故。火灾发生后,附近居民被紧急撤离,目前火灾没有造成现场人员伤亡。今年4月,太平洋瓦电公司在加州Moss Landing启用182.5MW特斯拉Megapack系统,项目名为“埃尔克霍恩电池储能系统”(Elkhorn Battery)。该储能设施由特斯拉与PG&E公司共同设计、建造和维护,并由后者运营。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661331328,"gmtCreate":1663686164965,"gmtModify":1663686166343,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一首凉凉送上正合适","listText":"一首凉凉送上正合适","text":"一首凉凉送上正合适","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661331328","repostId":"2268915689","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2268915689","pubTimestamp":1663631520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2268915689?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-20 07:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉大幅提高欧洲的充电价格,充电成本逼近燃油车加油","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268915689","media":"曹泽熙","summary":"如今,在欧洲使用超级充电桩充满电的价格接近30美元,已经和燃油车加满油的价格非常接近。电动车此前的卖点之一,即日常动力成本较低的说法正在受到挑战。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月19日周一,据媒体报道, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>向欧洲车主发送了一封电子邮件,表示由于能源价格上涨,超级充电站网络的价格将再次大幅上调。每个充电站价格不同,平均每千瓦时上涨了0.12欧元。此次涨价后,欧洲大部分超级充电站的价格将高于每千瓦时0.60欧元。</p><p>特斯拉本周在给欧洲车主的一封信中写道:</p><blockquote>由于能源价格上涨,我们正在调整全欧洲的超级充电定价。</blockquote><p><b>不断上涨的充电价格不仅增加电动汽车车主的负担,而且也开始挑战电动汽车日常动力成本更低的说法。</b></p><p>专注电动车产业新闻的网站Electrek称:</p><blockquote>电动汽车的最大优势之一仍然是其运营成本远低于燃油汽车。但随着超级充电站价格的上涨,谁知道这种实实在在的好处将对提振电动汽车的需求持续多久。</blockquote><p>以前,在欧洲使用超级充电桩充电一次不过5到10美元,如今的价格则已经接近30美元。这意味着电动车日常的动力开销已经非常接近燃油车。</p><p>由于能源价格疯狂上涨,欧洲的能源账单预计将增加2万亿欧元。自2020年1月以来,1年远期天然气和电力价格(通常是为家庭或工业客户签署新能源供应合同时的参考)上涨了13倍以上。</p></body></html>","source":"awtmt_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉大幅提高欧洲的充电价格,充电成本逼近燃油车加油</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉大幅提高欧洲的充电价格,充电成本逼近燃油车加油\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 07:52 北京时间 <a href=https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3670676?extract=1><strong>曹泽熙</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月19日周一,据媒体报道, 特斯拉向欧洲车主发送了一封电子邮件,表示由于能源价格上涨,超级充电站网络的价格将再次大幅上调。每个充电站价格不同,平均每千瓦时上涨了0.12欧元。此次涨价后,欧洲大部分超级充电站的价格将高于每千瓦时0.60欧元。特斯拉本周在给欧洲车主的一封信中写道:由于能源价格上涨,我们正在调整全欧洲的超级充电定价。不断上涨的充电价格不仅增加电动汽车车主的负担,而且也开始挑战电动汽车...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3670676?extract=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401f634068e2aa7b5b5d9bb60b25fa0e","relate_stocks":{"BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3670676?extract=1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268915689","content_text":"9月19日周一,据媒体报道, 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09:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"又见实控人“坐庄”,证监会“没一罚二”严惩","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178906973","media":"证券时报","summary":"又见实控人操纵股价的案例。\n\n证监会5月28日公布了一则行政处罚书,时任中昌大数据股份有限公司(以下简称中昌数据)实控人的陈建铭等人控制使用101个证券账户在一年时间利用资金优势、持股优势连续集中交易","content":"<div>\n<p>又见实控人操纵股价的案例。\n\n证监会5月28日公布了一则行政处罚书,时任中昌大数据股份有限公司(以下简称中昌数据)实控人的陈建铭等人控制使用101个证券账户在一年时间利用资金优势、持股优势连续集中交易“中昌数据”,同时在自己实际控制的账户之间交易,影响“中昌数据”交易价格,共计获利1147万元。最终证监会“没一罚二”,没收违法所得11,472,258元,并处以22,944,516元罚款。\n\n监管层...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LeEvBY_XyMmRaAYT425mYQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zqsbw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>又见实控人“坐庄”,证监会“没一罚二”严惩</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n又见实控人“坐庄”,证监会“没一罚二”严惩\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-29 09:10 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LeEvBY_XyMmRaAYT425mYQ><strong>证券时报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>又见实控人操纵股价的案例。\n\n证监会5月28日公布了一则行政处罚书,时任中昌大数据股份有限公司(以下简称中昌数据)实控人的陈建铭等人控制使用101个证券账户在一年时间利用资金优势、持股优势连续集中交易“中昌数据”,同时在自己实际控制的账户之间交易,影响“中昌数据”交易价格,共计获利1147万元。最终证监会“没一罚二”,没收违法所得11,472,258元,并处以22,944,516元罚款。\n\n监管层...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LeEvBY_XyMmRaAYT425mYQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc87ee433e854ebb27d4d914da0da960","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LeEvBY_XyMmRaAYT425mYQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178906973","content_text":"又见实控人操纵股价的案例。\n\n证监会5月28日公布了一则行政处罚书,时任中昌大数据股份有限公司(以下简称中昌数据)实控人的陈建铭等人控制使用101个证券账户在一年时间利用资金优势、持股优势连续集中交易“中昌数据”,同时在自己实际控制的账户之间交易,影响“中昌数据”交易价格,共计获利1147万元。最终证监会“没一罚二”,没收违法所得11,472,258元,并处以22,944,516元罚款。\n\n监管层常态化从严打击市场操纵等违法违规行为,在过往多年的资本市场典型案例公布中,均有市场操纵的案例,2020年以来,证监会累计对65起涉嫌操纵市场的违法行为立案调查。证监会相关部门负责人表示,将持续严厉打击操纵市场等市场违法违规行为,持续塑造市场良好生态。\n实控人控制101个账户操纵股价\n1956年出生的陈建铭时任中昌数据实际控制人、中昌数据控股股东上海三盛宏业投资(集团)有限责任公司(简称三盛宏业)董事长及法定代表人。\n他在2018年2月9日至2019年1月16日,和中昌数据总经理谢晶、胡侃控制使用“蔡某波”等101个证券账户(简称账户组)交易“中昌数据”。\n时间回到3年前,2018年2月9日至2019年1月16日,陈建铭因为资金紧张和三盛宏业及其一致行动人所持“中昌数据”的质押风险,安排谢晶和胡侃寻找、提供证券账户和配资资金并交易“中昌数据”,以维护“中昌数据”股价稳定。期间陈建铭控制的企业提供保证金、利息,胡侃与谢晶对接追加保证金等事宜。\n2018年2月9日至2019年1月16日期间共计226个交易日,账户组均参与“中昌数据”交易,合计买入1.8亿股,买入金额28.6亿元,卖出1.8亿股,卖出金额28.8亿元。账户组在涉案期间有52个交易日的竞价成交占比超过当期市场成交量的30%;有98个交易日的申买数量占市场申买量比例超20%;有32个交易日的申卖量占市场申卖量比例超20%;有162个交易日持有“中昌数据”达到总股本5%以上。\n2018年2月9日至2019年1月16日期间,账户组通过拉抬、对倒等手段影响股票交易价格和交易量。有34个交易日盘中股价涨幅超过2%,买入成交占比超过20%;有83个交易日存在账户组内证券账户之间交易“中昌数据”,对倒比例大于10%的有35个交易日,大于20%的有19个交易日。\n2018年2月9日账户组开始建仓,持有22.2万股。2018年12月10日持有4,619.3万股。上述期间,账户组期末持股量为期初持股量的208倍,股价累计上涨5.15%。\n2018年12月11日至2019年1月9日,账户组集中拉抬“中昌数据”股价。2018年12月11日“中昌数据”收盘价13.88元,较前一日上涨6.20%。2019年1月9日“中昌数据”收盘价达到峰值20.90元,账户组持股也达到峰值5,630.5万股。上述期间,账户组期末持股量较期初增加21.89%,股价累计上涨59.91%。\n2019年1月10日至2019年1月16日,账户组大量减持,账户组持股量减少约100%,股价累计下跌35.89%。\n综上,2018年2月9日至2019年1月16日期间,陈建铭等人控制使用账户组,利用资金优势、持股优势连续集中交易“中昌数据”,同时在自己实际控制的账户之间交易,影响“中昌数据”交易价格,共计获利11,472,258.06元。\n证监会认为,陈建铭、谢晶、胡侃的上述行为违反《证券法》第七十七条第一款第一项、第三项之规定,构成《证券法》第二百零三条所述情形。\n陈建铭要求不处罚 证监会:不予采纳\n陈建铭及其代理人提出四条申辩意见,第一,陈建铭只希望股价稳定在预期之上,没有操纵牟利的动机和企图,不存在操纵故意。第二,行为主体系三盛宏业,而非陈建铭。第三,账户组由胡侃控制,交易决策由胡侃做出。第四,违法所得计算错误,量罚过重。综上,请求不予行政处罚。\n同时谢晶及其代理人提出四条申辩意见,第一,没有证据证明陈建铭因个人资金紧张而从事操纵行为。第二,谢晶仅作为传话者角色转达了相关信息,未寻找账户和资金,未控制使用账户交易,未专门负责与胡侃对接追加保证金等事宜,对其后胡侃控制使用账户交易及三盛宏业提供保证金的具体情况也并不知情。第三,案涉行为为单位行为,而非个人行为。第四,处罚过严。综上,请求免于或者从轻、减轻行政处罚。\n经复核,证监会认为,第一,在案证据和当事人申辩意见可以证明,陈建铭等人确有将股价稳定在一定预期之上、从而规避质押风险的意图,并通过安排配资交易的方式实现上述目的,陈建铭、谢晶知悉胡侃拟拉抬股价的情况,当事人所称不存在操纵故意、操纵行为由胡侃独立实施等说法不能成立。同时,谢晶提供的情况说明及有关人员的询问笔录等在案证据可以证明谢晶从事了借用账户和资金等具体行为,当事人所称其并非主动等辩解,不影响其实质性地参与了违法行为之事实的成立。基于以上,对当事人关于违法事实认定的申辩意见不予采纳。\n第二,相关证据及当事人申辩意见表明,“稳定股价”系陈建铭起意并最终受益,且陈建铭对于三盛宏业内部资金划转是明知的,操纵行为主要系个人意志体现。三盛宏业内部虽有资金划转的审批决策,但并无证据证明其形成了操纵市场的单位意志。由此,应认定本案操纵为个人行为,而非单位行为。\n第三,违法所得是指涉案账户组因操纵行为的所得而非操纵行为人的最终收益,本案违法所得认定并无不当。\n第四,部分采纳当事人陈述申辩意见,在综合考虑当事人的违法情节、社会危害性等因素的基础上,对罚款倍数和部分罚款金额进行调整。\n证监会决定,对陈建铭、谢晶、胡侃没收违法所得11,472,258.06元,并处以22,944,516.12元罚款,其中对陈建铭罚款11,472,258.06元,对谢晶、胡侃分别罚款5,736,129.03元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663883431,"gmtCreate":1663083519024,"gmtModify":1663083521060,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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