浩浩鑫通超市的个人主页 - 老虎社区

浩浩鑫通超市

浩浩鑫通超市

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浩浩鑫通超市

2023-04-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 加仓暴击弓

浩浩鑫通超市

2023-04-23

特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么？

特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么？

特斯拉跌跌不休机会来了么？

浩浩鑫通超市

2023-01-10

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 机会不是天天有。跌到100就加仓

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-30

不错😊

@锐评:老虎锐评｜特斯拉的Q4交付数据前瞻，空头会被吓到吗

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-29

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 100以下抄底！坚持看空，还没见底

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-16

上穿布林下轨

@卡哥Purliu双重确认:布林线的指示恒指牛熊证复盘-1025

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-09

做空继续

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-08

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 加仓吧骚年们！洗盘结束！大蛋糕来了大胆干！盘它！机会不是天天有！走过路过不要错过

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-12-05

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉迎来了挥泪斩该跑就跑别犹豫哈，过几天在老多

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-10-29

牛逼老马加油😊

@三现主义_何佳:马斯克440亿美元收购Twitter为什么很值？

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-10-22

严重低估区间建议买入！！！

@51b63fa8:特斯拉3季度报解读--未来市值有望超过4万亿

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-09-13

$特斯拉(TSLA)$做空没毛病

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-09-13

$特斯拉(TSLA)$坚持做空你就又赚了

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-09-06

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@Buy_Sell:🔥【9月5日】看本周关键事件，聊本周交易计划

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-09-06

摸爬滚打特斯拉重回巅峰还是跌入谷底。猜一猜

浩浩鑫通超市

2022-08-22

除了国内，国外一片狼藉。。。

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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机会不是天天有。跌到100就加仓[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628270737","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621401388,"gmtCreate":1672412604644,"gmtModify":1672412606943,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不错😊","listText":"不错😊","text":"不错😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621401388","repostId":"621223356","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":621223356,"gmtCreate":1672322163975,"gmtModify":1672322313920,"author":{"id":"3527667650848029","authorId":"3527667650848029","name":"锐评","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667650848029","authorIdStr":"3527667650848029"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎锐评｜特斯拉的Q4交付数据前瞻，空头会被吓到吗","htmlText":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来，所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候，很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看，多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过，从市场情绪来说，4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识，这个对于多头是一个优势，不好看成为了base case。&nbsp;特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候，市场对于“生产数&gt;交付数”提出了很多疑问，认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了，那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测，马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数&lt;交付数”，所以把上海工厂停产了，控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视，因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人，所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下，完全有可能。此刻，马斯克（数据生产者）也是坚定站在了多头一边。&nbsp;现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆，乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆（乘联会：11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆，10月为71704辆），凭感觉，42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆，那么空头会被吓到，即使差一点问题不大，因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然，如果最后差得很多，比方只有35万辆的交付，那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。&nbsp;最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量，但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量，这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样，这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。&nbsp;前面讨论的是方向问题，但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题，取决于这两天（周四和周五）的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退，那么4Q数据出来之后，空头有弹药反扑；如果这两天股价变动不大，空头继续加码，逼空的现象可能会出现。&amp;n","listText":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来，所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候，很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看，多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过，从市场情绪来说，4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识，这个对于多头是一个优势，不好看成为了base case。&nbsp;特斯拉3Q交付数据出来的时候，市场对于“生产数&gt;交付数”提出了很多疑问，认为是需求疲软的表现。所以最近有一个新闻就很吊诡了，那就是上海工厂停产。一个大胆的猜测，马斯克想让这个季度的“生产数&lt;交付数”，所以把上海工厂停产了，控制生产数。马斯克对于这个4Q的数据同样重视，因为他也不想被资本市场使劲砸盘。马斯克从来不是一个光明磊落的人，所以数据上这里那里稍微tweak一下，完全有可能。此刻，马斯克（数据生产者）也是坚定站在了多头一边。&nbsp;现在分析师预期4Q交付量是42万辆，乘联会公布的中国前两月销量是17万辆（乘联会：11月特斯拉中国批发销量为100291辆，10月为71704辆），凭感觉，42万辆可能不是太大的问题。这里可能需要更多channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。如果交付数量能够超过42万辆，那么空头会被吓到，即使差一点问题不大，因为全年的数据同比依然高增长。当然，如果最后差得很多，比方只有35万辆的交付，那么空头会打了鸡血一样进攻。&nbsp;最近看到蔚来下调了4Q电动车的交付量，但同时没有看到其它电动车跟进下调交付量，这可能暗示着国内的需求并没有下降得那么厉害。同样，这里需要更多的channel check的工作和第三方可靠数据的支持。&nbsp;前面讨论的是方向问题，但和方向问题同样重要的是仓位问题，取决于这两天（周四和周五）的特斯拉股价。如果这两天股价就大涨空头撤退，那么4Q数据出来之后，空头有弹药反扑；如果这两天股价变动不大，空头继续加码，逼空的现象可能会出现。&amp;n","text":"因为本周结束后4Q的交付数据就会出来，所以又到了特斯拉大考的时候，很像美国的CPI数据一样。4Q交付数据好看还是难看，多头空头都是提到了嗓子眼。不过，从市场情绪来说，4Q交付数据不好看是一个共识，这个对于多头是一个优势，不好看成为了base case。 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特斯拉迎来了挥泪斩该跑就跑别犹豫哈，过几天在老多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629337781","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665161601,"gmtCreate":1667058841304,"gmtModify":1667095407582,"author":{"id":"3584701689120652","authorId":"3584701689120652","name":"浩浩鑫通超市","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03cc266d6af7fb62b562c832e9d45f2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584701689120652","authorIdStr":"3584701689120652"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛逼老马加油😊","listText":"牛逼老马加油😊","text":"牛逼老马加油😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665161601","repostId":"665952828","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665952828,"gmtCreate":1666921631165,"gmtModify":1666934001309,"author":{"id":"4115342086631580","authorId":"4115342086631580","name":"三现主义_何佳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36d0357ab58bcc5baa68ff47c09938ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4115342086631580","authorIdStr":"4115342086631580"},"themes":[],"title":"马斯克440亿美元收购Twitter为什么很值？","htmlText":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日，马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约；到了7月8日，马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划；当地时间10月4日，美国证交会公布的文件显示，马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息：马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易，并已掌管公司，将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱，而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时，我们总是问自己：还有没有其他视角？ （本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播，现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人，每周六晚上都会直播一次，聊聊商业与投资。公众号&amp;B站：南添的求真之路） 要点前瞻 &nbsp;油车主要依靠经销商线下开店，毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。（Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey）电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息，线下更多是服务和活动。 &nbsp;经销改为直销，为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益（属于传播环节的成本），导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人？几乎翻番！ &nbsp;特斯拉公司是一个奇葩，几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量，推特就是一家线上4S店，它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上，不是值不值钱的问题，如果马斯克被推特封掉，那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 &nbsp;站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前，440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想：美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱？又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了，损失又该是多大？ &nbsp;推特对于多数商业主体的使用价值","listText":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日，马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约；到了7月8日，马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划；当地时间10月4日，美国证交会公布的文件显示，马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息：马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易，并已掌管公司，将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱，而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时，我们总是问自己：还有没有其他视角？ （本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播，现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人，每周六晚上都会直播一次，聊聊商业与投资。公众号&amp;B站：南添的求真之路） 要点前瞻 &nbsp;油车主要依靠经销商线下开店，毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。（Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey）电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息，线下更多是服务和活动。 &nbsp;经销改为直销，为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益（属于传播环节的成本），导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人？几乎翻番！ &nbsp;特斯拉公司是一个奇葩，几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量，推特就是一家线上4S店，它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上，不是值不值钱的问题，如果马斯克被推特封掉，那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 &nbsp;站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前，440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想：美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱？又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了，损失又该是多大？ &nbsp;推特对于多数商业主体的使用价值","text":"马斯克收购Twitter可谓一波三折。今年4月14日，马斯克正式向推特发出440亿美元的收购要约；到了7月8日，马斯克又宣布他将终止440亿美元收购推特的计划；当地时间10月4日，美国证交会公布的文件显示，马斯克正推进以每股54.20美元的原价收购推特公司。 10月27日最新消息：马斯克已完成以440亿美元将推特私有化的交易，并已掌管公司，将CEO和CFO踢出局。但本文并不想探讨Twitter到底值多少钱，而是提供一些另类视角的思考。在进行商业分析时，我们总是问自己：还有没有其他视角？ （本文内容整理自2022年5月6日南添的一场B站直播，现在看来依然很有启发。南添的真实身份是望岳投资创始人，每周六晚上都会直播一次，聊聊商业与投资。公众号&B站：南添的求真之路） 要点前瞻 油车主要依靠经销商线下开店，毕竟供需双方需要找到彼此。4S是指整车销售、零配件、售后服务、信息反馈。（Sale, Spare Part, Service, Survey）电车主要依靠线上传递品牌和车辆信息，线下更多是服务和活动。 经销改为直销，为汽车品牌节约了大量线下的成本费用和支付给经销商的利益（属于传播环节的成本），导致净利率的提升幅度是惊人的。有多惊人？几乎翻番！ 特斯拉公司是一个奇葩，几乎所有的宣传工作都是创始人马斯克通过推特来完成的。如果把传播环节节约的成本 x 特斯拉现在及未来的销量，推特就是一家线上4S店，它的估值对马斯克来说非常值钱。事实上，不是值不值钱的问题，如果马斯克被推特封掉，那么特斯拉的网络效应会受到巨大打击。 站在2030年2000万辆销售量面前，440亿美元支出已经显得微不足道。想一想：美东汽车从宝马、奥迪身上赚了多少钱？又或者马斯克和特斯拉的推特账号都被禁言了，损失又该是多大？ 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp; 特斯拉发布了3季度财报，营收低于预期，净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求，因为产量比销量高，有点像是库存。其实，特斯拉已经解释过了，所有生产出来的汽车都有主了，在海运的途中，由于是9月份大规模海运，来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关，上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化，需要发送到海外，特殊经过改造，上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况，早点搞定海运。不过，海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转，把上海的产能早点多给海外，然后晚一点给国内，对于订单不提车的取消订单，这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析： 1、需求问题 我认为需求完全没有问题，在美国的订单深度还在增加，有些订单都不接了。但是在国内订单深度在减少，这个是事实，国内订单深度减少是因为上海产能大幅提升，产能的增长远大于订单的增长。 解决这个问题很容易，把上海的产能给除美国之外的全球国家，马斯克还真是这么说的，也会这么做。 全球出中国美国之前的国家都在等特斯拉的汽车，特斯拉只要给他们供货，就可以达到当地的销量第一，让我们看看： A、Model Y在德国9月排名第一，就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 B、Model Y在荷兰9月排名第一的新能源汽车，就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 C、Model 3和Y在西班牙9月排名第一第二，就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 D、Model Y在挪威9月排名第一，就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 E、Model Y在意大利9月排名","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp; 特斯拉发布了3季度财报，营收低于预期，净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求，因为产量比销量高，有点像是库存。其实，特斯拉已经解释过了，所有生产出来的汽车都有主了，在海运的途中，由于是9月份大规模海运，来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关，上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化，需要发送到海外，特殊经过改造，上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况，早点搞定海运。不过，海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转，把上海的产能早点多给海外，然后晚一点给国内，对于订单不提车的取消订单，这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析： 1、需求问题 我认为需求完全没有问题，在美国的订单深度还在增加，有些订单都不接了。但是在国内订单深度在减少，这个是事实，国内订单深度减少是因为上海产能大幅提升，产能的增长远大于订单的增长。 解决这个问题很容易，把上海的产能给除美国之外的全球国家，马斯克还真是这么说的，也会这么做。 全球出中国美国之前的国家都在等特斯拉的汽车，特斯拉只要给他们供货，就可以达到当地的销量第一，让我们看看： A、Model Y在德国9月排名第一，就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 B、Model Y在荷兰9月排名第一的新能源汽车，就是因为上海的汽车销往德国了。 C、Model 3和Y在西班牙9月排名第一第二，就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 D、Model Y在挪威9月排名第一，就是因为上海有更多的的汽车销往海外了。 E、Model Y在意大利9月排名","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 特斯拉发布了3季度财报，营收低于预期，净利润高于预期。盘后跌幅不小。 市场主要是担心需求，因为产量比销量高，有点像是库存。其实，特斯拉已经解释过了，所有生产出来的汽车都有主了，在海运的途中，由于是9月份大规模海运，来不及运到目的地。这也和上海产能提升有关，上海9月的产能在国内无法全部消化，需要发送到海外，特殊经过改造，上海产能大幅提升。特斯拉的小失误是没有提前预见这种情况，早点搞定海运。不过，海运的问题4季度应当会大幅好转，把上海的产能早点多给海外，然后晚一点给国内，对于订单不提车的取消订单，这个最新措施都是为了减少库存。 这里面也有些关键点。我来一一分析： 1、需求问题 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