小蜜蜂0221的个人主页 - 老虎社区

小蜜蜂0221

小蜜蜂0221

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2021-11-09

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

AMC院线Q3营收同比增长536%，净亏损大幅缩窄

2021-06-01

冲冲冲

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2021-05-28

这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？

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2021-05-28

好

央妈赏饭吃！IIF称美国银行业今年盈利或创新高

2021-05-13

想一想

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2021-05-13

小心😓

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2021-05-12

恭喜🎉

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2021-05-12

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

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2021-05-12

苹果炒底了吗？

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2021-05-04

[捂脸]

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2021-05-03

不怕

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2021-05-02

收益😊

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2021-04-29

[白眼]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-25

有道理

股市更像“输家的游戏”？这个测试真相了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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class=\"title\">\nAMC院线Q3营收同比增长536%，净亏损大幅缩窄\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-09 07:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>11月9日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布了2021年第三季度财务业绩。财报显示，AMC院线Q3营收7.63亿美元，同比增长536%；净亏损2.24亿美元，去年同期净亏损9.06亿美元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09a449fa57521a4527aa8088ce4ca37a\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"652\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>按业务划分，AMC院线Q3门票收入为4.25亿美元，去年同期为6290万美元；食品和饮料销售收入为2.65亿美元；去年同期为2910万美元；其他收入为7290万美元，去年同期为2750万美元。</p>\n<p>本季度，AMC院线运营成本和费用为9.08亿美元，同比增长14%；营业亏损为1.45亿美元，去年同期营业亏损为6.75亿美元。</p>\n<p>摊薄后每股亏损为0.44美元，去年同期每股亏损为8.41美元。</p>\n<p>截至2021年9月30日，AMC院线持有的现金及现金等价物为16.125亿美元（不包括2770万美元的限制性现金）。</p>\n<p>财报公布后，AMC院线盘后一度涨超3%，随后转跌，现跌超5%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c35983d46f74c59fe8186992440dc9b3\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"821\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537ad0b0f865a392242e7815952d23bd","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164498604","content_text":"11月9日，AMC院线公布了2021年第三季度财务业绩。财报显示，AMC院线Q3营收7.63亿美元，同比增长536%；净亏损2.24亿美元，去年同期净亏损9.06亿美元。\n\n按业务划分，AMC院线Q3门票收入为4.25亿美元，去年同期为6290万美元；食品和饮料销售收入为2.65亿美元；去年同期为2910万美元；其他收入为7290万美元，去年同期为2750万美元。\n本季度，AMC院线运营成本和费用为9.08亿美元，同比增长14%；营业亏损为1.45亿美元，去年同期营业亏损为6.75亿美元。\n摊薄后每股亏损为0.44美元，去年同期每股亏损为8.41美元。\n截至2021年9月30日，AMC院线持有的现金及现金等价物为16.125亿美元（不包括2770万美元的限制性现金）。\n财报公布后，AMC院线盘后一度涨超3%，随后转跌，现跌超5%","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":119494401,"gmtCreate":1622557739003,"gmtModify":1631893402059,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"冲冲冲","listText":"冲冲冲","text":"冲冲冲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119494401","repostId":"1104124027","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134955230,"gmtCreate":1622203399320,"gmtModify":1631893402061,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","listText":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","text":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134955230","repostId":"1161339967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134012678,"gmtCreate":1622191929394,"gmtModify":1631893402065,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134012678","repostId":"2138105180","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138105180","pubTimestamp":1622189250,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138105180?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 16:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"央妈赏饭吃！IIF称美国银行业今年盈利或创新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138105180","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"国际金融协会（IIF）表示，随着美国经济复苏和金融市场持续繁荣，美国银行业2021年的盈利可能达到“创纪录水平”。\n国际金融协会CEO Tim Adams在接受CNBC采访时表示，美国经济好转将有助于","content":"<p>国际金融协会（IIF）表示，随着美国经济复苏和金融市场持续繁荣，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>业2021年的盈利可能达到“创纪录水平”。</p>\n<p>国际金融协会CEO Tim Adams在接受CNBC采访时表示，美国经济好转将有助于银行贷款和手续费收入回升，而更多的投资活动将提振交易收入。</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我们今年将看到创纪录水平的盈利，因此今年对银行来说是个好年头。我认为至少在今年剩余时间里，银行股继续反映出强劲的基本面。\n</blockquote>\n<p>很多大型银行上个月公布的第一季业绩都超出了分析师的预期，这带动银行股持续大涨。截止周四收盘，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>股价今年迄今已上涨40.8%，美国银行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>股价分别上涨了约40.4%和29.3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14aec198313f6da5ea5b46b5885dea1a\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>随着美国经济从疫情中恢复，银行股业绩有所改善。但经济的持续复苏带动的通胀持续走高也使得市场担心，美联储是否会提前收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p>对此，Adams在接受采访时表示，目前可以讨论美联储收紧政策，但目前没有迹象鲍威尔会很快收紧政策：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 我认为他们（美联储）将在相当长的一段时间里继续推动经济复苏；然后他们将观察通胀指标的变化，看看其是否是持续性的。\n</blockquote>\n<p>面对市场对于通胀的担忧，美联储此前表示称，目前的通胀飙升只是暂时的，未来将继续保持宽松政策。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>央妈赏饭吃！IIF称美国银行业今年盈利或创新高</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n央妈赏饭吃！IIF称美国银行业今年盈利或创新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-28 16:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631539><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>国际金融协会（IIF）表示，随着美国经济复苏和金融市场持续繁荣，美国银行业2021年的盈利可能达到“创纪录水平”。\n国际金融协会CEO Tim Adams在接受CNBC采访时表示，美国经济好转将有助于银行贷款和手续费收入回升，而更多的投资活动将提振交易收入。\n\n 我们今年将看到创纪录水平的盈利，因此今年对银行来说是个好年头。我认为至少在今年剩余时间里，银行股继续反映出强劲的基本面。\n\n很多大型银行...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631539\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69af882c29a3ff047224139fe1096d17","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 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09:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"股市更像“输家的游戏”？这个测试真相了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188335239","media":"兴证全球基金","summary":"最近一则新闻刷屏：面对大跌后的阿里巴巴，查理·芒格今年一季度突然重仓“抄底”。要理解投资大师的选择，有一个相关问题值得考虑：你更倾向于在以下哪个时间入场？\nA.  几年内股价持续上涨-涨幅很大。\nB.","content":"<p>最近一则新闻刷屏：面对大跌后的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>，查理·芒格今年一季度突然重仓“抄底”。要理解投资大师的选择，有一个相关问题值得考虑：你更倾向于在以下哪个时间入场？</p>\n<p>A. &nbsp;几年内股价持续上涨-涨幅很大。</p>\n<p>B. &nbsp;几年内股价持续下跌-跌幅很大。</p>\n<p>这个问题来源于《赢得输家的游戏》，作者是曾任先锋基金董事的查尔斯·埃利斯。大家的选择是什么呢？——如果选择A，那么你和书中90%的受试者一样；但作者认为正确的选择是B，因为以越低的价格买入，花费相同的成本获得的股份越多，未来可能的收入往往越多。这个测试说明，许多投资者的情绪和理性选择往往相违背。</p>\n<p><b>为什么股市更像“输家游戏”？</b></p>\n<p><b>在“赢家游戏”里，结果由赢家的正确行动决定；而在“输家游戏”里，结果则往往由输家的错误决定。</b></p>\n<p>作者举了一个例子，网球比赛可以分为两种：专业球员“赢得”比分，而业余球员则是“输掉”比分。在专业网球比赛中，比赛的最终结果由赢家的行动所决定，出色的球员很少失误；但业余网球比赛的结果往往由输家决定，因为业余球手很少击败对手，相反他们却经常“击败”自己，获胜的一方得分更高是因为对手失分更多。</p>\n<p>投资和网球极其相似，现在美国市场中充斥着大量专业投资者，大家都不太会犯错或者错误都十分相似，所以投资也更像是“输家游戏”。而想赢得“输家游戏”的最好方法，就是减少错误。作者认为投资者若想走得更远，应该掌握以下要点：</p>\n<p><b>投资的核心原则：认识你自己</b></p>\n<p>很多投资者的情绪会随着市场波动而受到影响，面对这种情况，作者提出市场先生和价值先生的故事——市场先生情绪变化无常，令人着迷、极具欺骗性，易受到短期波动的影响。而价值先生情绪稳定，可靠，长期做着重要的工作，却总是被投资者忽视。但将时间延长，市场先生荒谬的行为会像沙滩上的沙堡一样随“潮水”退去，价值先生总能获得最终的胜利。</p>\n<p>面对市场先生的各种诱惑，<b>“认识你自己”是投资的核心原则之一</b>。股票市场里最大的挑战其实并不来自市场先生和价值先生，挑战是无形的，不能量化的，隐藏在每个投资者的情绪弱点中，如果能做到理性对待、目光长远、耐心持有、坚持目标就能在投资的路上走的更远。</p>\n<p>面对市场短期的频繁波动，<b>善意的忽略是投资成功的秘诀之一</b>。正如巴菲特所言：“日子久了，我们总会碰到好时候和坏时候，但投资并不因为好时候非常热情或者坏时候非常沮丧而有所得。”</p>\n<p><b>“击败市场”，不如加入市场</b></p>\n<p>基于长远眼光和明确目标来确立投资策略，是建立投资组合的基础，也是经历市场周期、进行长期管理的基础。要先清楚自己的财务状况和投资现状，对应自己的收入水平、储蓄、支出、使用可支配资金的时间和数量。</p>\n<p>面对市场随时可能出现的极端情况，只有投资者知道自己面对价格波动的承受能力。“击败市场的唯一方法就是击败专业投资者，但作为一个集体，他们就是市场。”太多人做不好投资，都是因为太想赢，投资者应该专注真正可能实现的合理目标，确定自己的投资策略，持之以恒。</p>\n<p>面对变化无常的资本市场，如果投资者不能击败最大的、最活跃的机构，那么进行基金投资就是个良好的选择——既然无法“击败市场”，为什么不选择加入呢？</p>\n<p><b>为投资设定时间框架</b></p>\n<p>在投资方面，时间就是阿基米德的杠杆。投资的时间长度是制定正确资产组合的关键，持有的时间越长，投资组合的长期回报就可能更接近投资者的预期。在不同的条件和目标下，时间会改变投资者对不同投资方式的应用。</p>\n<p><b>1900~2000年扣除通胀后，股票、债券和现金的收益范围</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f83c4f275be0adef10b0dddb928df55\" tg-width=\"655\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>数据来源：《赢得输家的游戏》</b></p>\n<p>数据显示，长期投资对投资者最有利。从长期来看，股票每年的回报率不太稳定，但如果将时间框架设置为5年，投资收益率的规律性会明显提高。如果时间框架设置为10年，回报率的规律性更明显。</p>\n<p>相似的是天气和气候的概念：天气是短期波动，而气候是长期概念，天气变化无常，但长期来看，天气终会变成有规律的气候。长期，遇到“反常事件”是不可避免的，但最终是有规律可循的。</p>\n<p>查尔斯·埃利斯指出：<b>“长期来看，投资者遭受损失的一种典型情况是：在市场形式非常糟糕的时候，恐慌地清仓出局。他们会正好错过股票出乎意料大涨的好日子。”</b></p>","source":"lsy1619314504794","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股市更像“输家的游戏”？这个测试真相了</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股市更像“输家的游戏”？这个测试真相了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-25 09:36 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/78MKiwIb_49l6_dm-3RAfQ><strong>兴证全球基金</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最近一则新闻刷屏：面对大跌后的阿里巴巴，查理·芒格今年一季度突然重仓“抄底”。要理解投资大师的选择，有一个相关问题值得考虑：你更倾向于在以下哪个时间入场？\nA.  几年内股价持续上涨-涨幅很大。\nB.  几年内股价持续下跌-跌幅很大。\n这个问题来源于《赢得输家的游戏》，作者是曾任先锋基金董事的查尔斯·埃利斯。大家的选择是什么呢？——如果选择A，那么你和书中90%的受试者一样；但作者认为正确的选择是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/78MKiwIb_49l6_dm-3RAfQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c318bcd91a109139b7d70c76c30bb154","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/78MKiwIb_49l6_dm-3RAfQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188335239","content_text":"最近一则新闻刷屏：面对大跌后的阿里巴巴，查理·芒格今年一季度突然重仓“抄底”。要理解投资大师的选择，有一个相关问题值得考虑：你更倾向于在以下哪个时间入场？\nA.  几年内股价持续上涨-涨幅很大。\nB.  几年内股价持续下跌-跌幅很大。\n这个问题来源于《赢得输家的游戏》，作者是曾任先锋基金董事的查尔斯·埃利斯。大家的选择是什么呢？——如果选择A，那么你和书中90%的受试者一样；但作者认为正确的选择是B，因为以越低的价格买入，花费相同的成本获得的股份越多，未来可能的收入往往越多。这个测试说明，许多投资者的情绪和理性选择往往相违背。\n为什么股市更像“输家游戏”？\n在“赢家游戏”里，结果由赢家的正确行动决定；而在“输家游戏”里，结果则往往由输家的错误决定。\n作者举了一个例子，网球比赛可以分为两种：专业球员“赢得”比分，而业余球员则是“输掉”比分。在专业网球比赛中，比赛的最终结果由赢家的行动所决定，出色的球员很少失误；但业余网球比赛的结果往往由输家决定，因为业余球手很少击败对手，相反他们却经常“击败”自己，获胜的一方得分更高是因为对手失分更多。\n投资和网球极其相似，现在美国市场中充斥着大量专业投资者，大家都不太会犯错或者错误都十分相似，所以投资也更像是“输家游戏”。而想赢得“输家游戏”的最好方法，就是减少错误。作者认为投资者若想走得更远，应该掌握以下要点：\n投资的核心原则：认识你自己\n很多投资者的情绪会随着市场波动而受到影响，面对这种情况，作者提出市场先生和价值先生的故事——市场先生情绪变化无常，令人着迷、极具欺骗性，易受到短期波动的影响。而价值先生情绪稳定，可靠，长期做着重要的工作，却总是被投资者忽视。但将时间延长，市场先生荒谬的行为会像沙滩上的沙堡一样随“潮水”退去，价值先生总能获得最终的胜利。\n面对市场先生的各种诱惑，“认识你自己”是投资的核心原则之一。股票市场里最大的挑战其实并不来自市场先生和价值先生，挑战是无形的，不能量化的，隐藏在每个投资者的情绪弱点中，如果能做到理性对待、目光长远、耐心持有、坚持目标就能在投资的路上走的更远。\n面对市场短期的频繁波动，善意的忽略是投资成功的秘诀之一。正如巴菲特所言：“日子久了，我们总会碰到好时候和坏时候，但投资并不因为好时候非常热情或者坏时候非常沮丧而有所得。”\n“击败市场”，不如加入市场\n基于长远眼光和明确目标来确立投资策略，是建立投资组合的基础，也是经历市场周期、进行长期管理的基础。要先清楚自己的财务状况和投资现状，对应自己的收入水平、储蓄、支出、使用可支配资金的时间和数量。\n面对市场随时可能出现的极端情况，只有投资者知道自己面对价格波动的承受能力。“击败市场的唯一方法就是击败专业投资者，但作为一个集体，他们就是市场。”太多人做不好投资，都是因为太想赢，投资者应该专注真正可能实现的合理目标，确定自己的投资策略，持之以恒。\n面对变化无常的资本市场，如果投资者不能击败最大的、最活跃的机构，那么进行基金投资就是个良好的选择——既然无法“击败市场”，为什么不选择加入呢？\n为投资设定时间框架\n在投资方面，时间就是阿基米德的杠杆。投资的时间长度是制定正确资产组合的关键，持有的时间越长，投资组合的长期回报就可能更接近投资者的预期。在不同的条件和目标下，时间会改变投资者对不同投资方式的应用。\n1900~2000年扣除通胀后，股票、债券和现金的收益范围\n\n数据来源：《赢得输家的游戏》\n数据显示，长期投资对投资者最有利。从长期来看，股票每年的回报率不太稳定，但如果将时间框架设置为5年，投资收益率的规律性会明显提高。如果时间框架设置为10年，回报率的规律性更明显。\n相似的是天气和气候的概念：天气是短期波动，而气候是长期概念，天气变化无常，但长期来看，天气终会变成有规律的气候。长期，遇到“反常事件”是不可避免的，但最终是有规律可循的。\n查尔斯·埃利斯指出：“长期来看，投资者遭受损失的一种典型情况是：在市场形式非常糟糕的时候，恐慌地清仓出局。他们会正好错过股票出乎意料大涨的好日子。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":844240380,"gmtCreate":1636433975330,"gmtModify":1636433975472,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844240380","repostId":"1164498604","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191240790,"gmtCreate":1620883572410,"gmtModify":1634195563096,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小心😓","listText":"小心😓","text":"小心😓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191240790","repostId":"1184785046","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":109486308,"gmtCreate":1619710018904,"gmtModify":1634210506346,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[白眼]&nbsp;","listText":"[白眼]&nbsp;","text":"[白眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109486308","repostId":"1165653291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165653291","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619708502,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165653291?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 23:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"13家被约谈网络平台：全面对标监管要求制定整改方案","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165653291","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月29日晚间消息，13家被约谈网络平台企业表态，全面对标金融监管要求制定整改方案。腾讯、美团金融等公司有关负责人表示，将在金融管理部门的指导下，尽快成立相关工作组，全面对标金融监管要求，按时制定整改","content":"<p>4月29日晚间消息，13家被约谈网络平台企业表态，全面对标金融监管要求制定整改方案。</p><p>腾讯、美团金融等公司有关负责人表示，<b>将在金融管理部门的指导下，尽快成立相关工作组，全面对标金融监管要求，按时制定整改方案，并落实到位、不打折扣。</b>同时，将自觉推动行业健康发展，维护公平竞争的市场环境，保护消费者合法权益。参会的不少企业有关负责人表示，将稳妥有序抓好整改，自查整改期间保持企业正常经营和业务连续性，不出现处置风险的风险，不影响普惠金融服务。</p><p><b>事件回顾</b></p><p>为深入贯彻落实党的十九届五中全会、中央经济工作会议及中央财经委员会第九次会议精神，进一步加强对网络平台企业从事金融业务的监管，强化反垄断和防止资本无序扩张，推动平台经济规范健康持续发展，2021年4月29日，人民银行、银保监会、证监会、外汇局等金融管理部门联合对部分从事金融业务的网络平台企业进行监管约谈，人民银行副行长潘功胜主持约谈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、度小满金融、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>金融、字节跳动、美团金融、滴滴金融、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">陆金所</a>、天星数科、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>金融、苏宁金融、国美金融、携程金融等13家网络平台企业实际控制人或代表参加了约谈。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>13家被约谈网络平台：全面对标监管要求制定整改方案</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n13家被约谈网络平台：全面对标监管要求制定整改方案\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-29 23:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>4月29日晚间消息，13家被约谈网络平台企业表态，全面对标金融监管要求制定整改方案。</p><p>腾讯、美团金融等公司有关负责人表示，<b>将在金融管理部门的指导下，尽快成立相关工作组，全面对标金融监管要求，按时制定整改方案，并落实到位、不打折扣。</b>同时，将自觉推动行业健康发展，维护公平竞争的市场环境，保护消费者合法权益。参会的不少企业有关负责人表示，将稳妥有序抓好整改，自查整改期间保持企业正常经营和业务连续性，不出现处置风险的风险，不影响普惠金融服务。</p><p><b>事件回顾</b></p><p>为深入贯彻落实党的十九届五中全会、中央经济工作会议及中央财经委员会第九次会议精神，进一步加强对网络平台企业从事金融业务的监管，强化反垄断和防止资本无序扩张，推动平台经济规范健康持续发展，2021年4月29日，人民银行、银保监会、证监会、外汇局等金融管理部门联合对部分从事金融业务的网络平台企业进行监管约谈，人民银行副行长潘功胜主持约谈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、度小满金融、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>金融、字节跳动、美团金融、滴滴金融、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LU\">陆金所</a>、天星数科、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360数科</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>金融、苏宁金融、国美金融、携程金融等13家网络平台企业实际控制人或代表参加了约谈。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0548596180c2cf2a54a7037a81ab5b1b","relate_stocks":{"03690":"美团-W","QFIN":"奇富科技","09961":"携程集团—S","SINA":"新浪","00700":"腾讯控股","LU":"陆金所","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","09888":"百度集团-SW","BIDU":"百度","JD":"京东","TCOM":"携程网","MPNGY":"美团ADR","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165653291","content_text":"4月29日晚间消息，13家被约谈网络平台企业表态，全面对标金融监管要求制定整改方案。腾讯、美团金融等公司有关负责人表示，将在金融管理部门的指导下，尽快成立相关工作组，全面对标金融监管要求，按时制定整改方案，并落实到位、不打折扣。同时，将自觉推动行业健康发展，维护公平竞争的市场环境，保护消费者合法权益。参会的不少企业有关负责人表示，将稳妥有序抓好整改，自查整改期间保持企业正常经营和业务连续性，不出现处置风险的风险，不影响普惠金融服务。事件回顾为深入贯彻落实党的十九届五中全会、中央经济工作会议及中央财经委员会第九次会议精神，进一步加强对网络平台企业从事金融业务的监管，强化反垄断和防止资本无序扩张，推动平台经济规范健康持续发展，2021年4月29日，人民银行、银保监会、证监会、外汇局等金融管理部门联合对部分从事金融业务的网络平台企业进行监管约谈，人民银行副行长潘功胜主持约谈。腾讯、度小满金融、京东金融、字节跳动、美团金融、滴滴金融、陆金所、天星数科、360数科、新浪金融、苏宁金融、国美金融、携程金融等13家网络平台企业实际控制人或代表参加了约谈。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134955230,"gmtCreate":1622203399320,"gmtModify":1631893402061,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","listText":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","text":"这三只股真的能够保障提前退休？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134955230","repostId":"1161339967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":119494401,"gmtCreate":1622557739003,"gmtModify":1631893402059,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"冲冲冲","listText":"冲冲冲","text":"冲冲冲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119494401","repostId":"1104124027","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104124027","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622555981,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104124027?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409d38f9f0ae475194b00de579a924ff\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d592cae7ed8d451d58bd11ddc2cabd31","relate_stocks":{"OTLY":"Oatly Group AB"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104124027","content_text":"周二，燕麦奶公司Oatly盘初拉升，一度涨超10%，股价续刷上市以来新高。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134012678,"gmtCreate":1622191929394,"gmtModify":1631893402065,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134012678","repostId":"2138105180","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198997294,"gmtCreate":1620917147018,"gmtModify":1634195285932,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"想一想","listText":"想一想","text":"想一想","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198997294","repostId":"1119727250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193474953,"gmtCreate":1620815353372,"gmtModify":1634196108752,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"恭喜🎉","listText":"恭喜🎉","text":"恭喜🎉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193474953","repostId":"1123721888","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193501598,"gmtCreate":1620795622914,"gmtModify":1634196222178,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193501598","repostId":"1194804870","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193395113,"gmtCreate":1620752003032,"gmtModify":1634196582822,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"苹果炒底了吗？","listText":"苹果炒底了吗？","text":"苹果炒底了吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193395113","repostId":"1138929455","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138929455","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1620699007,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138929455?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 10:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛：科技股盛宴还会回来的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138929455","media":"Wind万得","summary":"以FAAMG 为首的全球科技股在今年一季度备受市场嫌弃，特别是在一季报后，抛售科技股买入周期股几乎成为市场的政治正确，似乎多数人都认为科技股在2020年大涨之后，下跌是最可能的选项。不过，高盛首席股票","content":"<p>以FAAMG 为首的全球科技股在今年一季度备受市场嫌弃，特别是在一季报后，抛售科技股买入周期股几乎成为市场的政治正确，似乎多数人都认为科技股在2020年大涨之后，下跌是最可能的选项。不过，高盛首席股票策略师David Kostin并不这样认为。</p>\n<p>David Kostin 在上周末的周刊报告中写到，经济数据不好，应该支持大科技股市场表现向好。他也重申了市场对科技股的担忧：即占指数比重太大。以FAAMG为例，在标普500指数中占指数资本的21%，大大高于14%的长期平均水平，也高于2000年科技泡沫顶峰时的18%，目前仅低于2020年中期达到的25%历史最高水平。由于美国证券交易委员会对投资组合集中度管制，限制了共同基金继续买入这些股票的数量。</p>\n<p><b>大科技公司足够优秀，但真的很贵了吗？</b></p>\n<p>投资者追逐大科技股的把根本原因是其优秀的营收能力，2020年FAAMG营收比2019年增长21%。今年一季度，这些优秀的科技公司营收能力丝毫没有减弱。</p>\n<p>FAAMG 一季度销售总额达到3210亿美元，比预期高出240亿美元，同比增长41%。对于2022年，市场普遍预计，这五家大科技公司的营收和每股收益将分别增长14%和10%，而标普500指数成分股的中位数分别为6%和10%。</p>\n<p>对于David Kostin来说，大科技股“鹤立鸡群”的地方并不在于此，而在于其优秀的现金流。2020年，美股中的5家大科技公司在研发方面花费了1280亿美元，同时还进行了1040亿美元的其他资本支出，占标普500成分股资本支出的22%。FAAMG过去三年的投资增长率为64%，而典型股票的投资增长率为11%。正如高盛所言，“它们正在以自己的方式投资，以实现卓越的增长”。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4b18e6ad0c0fc7a3e0837dae9452533\" tg-width=\"665\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然这些都是支撑FAAMG的最明显的积极因素，但它们在很大程度上是被定价的；与此同时，还有一系列巨大且不断增长的风险：</p>\n<p>首先，拜登提议的税制改革，该改革将提高企业所得税和资本利得税税率，并可能成为FAAMG股票的风险来源。如果拜登公司税计划得到全面实施，FAAMG 2022E的收益将比普遍预期下降约9%。</p>\n<p>其次，FAAMG股票也容易受到更高资本收益率的影响。如果资本利得税率将在2022年上调，则受较高税率约束的投资者，可选择在2021年以较低的现行税率实现部分实质性资本利得。FAAMG股票在过去5年中升值了5万亿美元，占同期标准普尔500指数市值增长的29%。毋庸讳言，一旦有人开始抛售，这些大科技公司股价承受的压力是无法想象的。</p>\n<p>最后，按常规看，科技公司的估值已经不便宜了。以 FAAMG 为例，远期市盈率为29倍，而剩下的495只标普成分股的远期市盈率只有21倍。</p>\n<p><b>但在低利率环境下，科技公司的估值其实并不高。</b></p>\n<p>David Kostin因此写道：当前的低利率水平和预期增长支持了FAAMG股票的高市盈率，虽然名义10年期美债收益率今年有所上升，为1.6%，但从历史来看，它仍然处于极低水平。但他还提出了其他的估值方法：</p>\n<p>“低利率支持对高增长、长期股票的估值。FAAMG的收益率差距（E/P减去10年美债收益率）为191个基点，高于40年平均值144个基点，表明这些股票在利率水平较低的情况下，具有吸引力。”</p>\n<p><b>当然，这一切在低利率下都是成立的。现在的问题是，利率什么时候升高？</b></p>\n<p>高盛利率策略师预测，到2021年底，10年期美国国债收益率将上升34个基点，至1.90%。</p>\n<p>与罗素1000指数相比，FAAMG等科技公司对长期利率变动特别敏感。由于收益率从11月到3月大幅上升，FAAMG等大科技公司的表现逊于标普500指数7%（+21%对+14%）。2021年下半年类似的利率上升时期可能会阻碍FAAMG等科技股的市场表现。</p>\n<p>总而言之，高盛认为，大科技公司面临的最大基本风险“似乎是监管机构的潜在干预”，包括“更严格的监管制度和更严格的反垄断执法的一些风险”。不过该策略师预测，2022年底标普500指数为4300点至4600点，且假设大科技公司的销售额和盈利符合普遍预期，相对估值保持稳定，即暗示反垄断行动没有重大影响。更直白的讲，高盛的客户面对科技股大跌不要紧张，继续抄底FAAMG。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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.h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛：科技股盛宴还会回来的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-11 10:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>以FAAMG 为首的全球科技股在今年一季度备受市场嫌弃，特别是在一季报后，抛售科技股买入周期股几乎成为市场的政治正确，似乎多数人都认为科技股在2020年大涨之后，下跌是最可能的选项。不过，高盛首席股票策略师David Kostin并不这样认为。</p>\n<p>David Kostin 在上周末的周刊报告中写到，经济数据不好，应该支持大科技股市场表现向好。他也重申了市场对科技股的担忧：即占指数比重太大。以FAAMG为例，在标普500指数中占指数资本的21%，大大高于14%的长期平均水平，也高于2000年科技泡沫顶峰时的18%，目前仅低于2020年中期达到的25%历史最高水平。由于美国证券交易委员会对投资组合集中度管制，限制了共同基金继续买入这些股票的数量。</p>\n<p><b>大科技公司足够优秀，但真的很贵了吗？</b></p>\n<p>投资者追逐大科技股的把根本原因是其优秀的营收能力，2020年FAAMG营收比2019年增长21%。今年一季度，这些优秀的科技公司营收能力丝毫没有减弱。</p>\n<p>FAAMG 一季度销售总额达到3210亿美元，比预期高出240亿美元，同比增长41%。对于2022年，市场普遍预计，这五家大科技公司的营收和每股收益将分别增长14%和10%，而标普500指数成分股的中位数分别为6%和10%。</p>\n<p>对于David Kostin来说，大科技股“鹤立鸡群”的地方并不在于此，而在于其优秀的现金流。2020年，美股中的5家大科技公司在研发方面花费了1280亿美元，同时还进行了1040亿美元的其他资本支出，占标普500成分股资本支出的22%。FAAMG过去三年的投资增长率为64%，而典型股票的投资增长率为11%。正如高盛所言，“它们正在以自己的方式投资，以实现卓越的增长”。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4b18e6ad0c0fc7a3e0837dae9452533\" tg-width=\"665\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然这些都是支撑FAAMG的最明显的积极因素，但它们在很大程度上是被定价的；与此同时，还有一系列巨大且不断增长的风险：</p>\n<p>首先，拜登提议的税制改革，该改革将提高企业所得税和资本利得税税率，并可能成为FAAMG股票的风险来源。如果拜登公司税计划得到全面实施，FAAMG 2022E的收益将比普遍预期下降约9%。</p>\n<p>其次，FAAMG股票也容易受到更高资本收益率的影响。如果资本利得税率将在2022年上调，则受较高税率约束的投资者，可选择在2021年以较低的现行税率实现部分实质性资本利得。FAAMG股票在过去5年中升值了5万亿美元，占同期标准普尔500指数市值增长的29%。毋庸讳言，一旦有人开始抛售，这些大科技公司股价承受的压力是无法想象的。</p>\n<p>最后，按常规看，科技公司的估值已经不便宜了。以 FAAMG 为例，远期市盈率为29倍，而剩下的495只标普成分股的远期市盈率只有21倍。</p>\n<p><b>但在低利率环境下，科技公司的估值其实并不高。</b></p>\n<p>David Kostin因此写道：当前的低利率水平和预期增长支持了FAAMG股票的高市盈率，虽然名义10年期美债收益率今年有所上升，为1.6%，但从历史来看，它仍然处于极低水平。但他还提出了其他的估值方法：</p>\n<p>“低利率支持对高增长、长期股票的估值。FAAMG的收益率差距（E/P减去10年美债收益率）为191个基点，高于40年平均值144个基点，表明这些股票在利率水平较低的情况下，具有吸引力。”</p>\n<p><b>当然，这一切在低利率下都是成立的。现在的问题是，利率什么时候升高？</b></p>\n<p>高盛利率策略师预测，到2021年底，10年期美国国债收益率将上升34个基点，至1.90%。</p>\n<p>与罗素1000指数相比，FAAMG等科技公司对长期利率变动特别敏感。由于收益率从11月到3月大幅上升，FAAMG等大科技公司的表现逊于标普500指数7%（+21%对+14%）。2021年下半年类似的利率上升时期可能会阻碍FAAMG等科技股的市场表现。</p>\n<p>总而言之，高盛认为，大科技公司面临的最大基本风险“似乎是监管机构的潜在干预”，包括“更严格的监管制度和更严格的反垄断执法的一些风险”。不过该策略师预测，2022年底标普500指数为4300点至4600点，且假设大科技公司的销售额和盈利符合普遍预期，相对估值保持稳定，即暗示反垄断行动没有重大影响。更直白的讲，高盛的客户面对科技股大跌不要紧张，继续抄底FAAMG。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9affa90aeb60480d0aba843f0241d9e8","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","MSFT":"微软","AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138929455","content_text":"以FAAMG 为首的全球科技股在今年一季度备受市场嫌弃，特别是在一季报后，抛售科技股买入周期股几乎成为市场的政治正确，似乎多数人都认为科技股在2020年大涨之后，下跌是最可能的选项。不过，高盛首席股票策略师David Kostin并不这样认为。\nDavid Kostin 在上周末的周刊报告中写到，经济数据不好，应该支持大科技股市场表现向好。他也重申了市场对科技股的担忧：即占指数比重太大。以FAAMG为例，在标普500指数中占指数资本的21%，大大高于14%的长期平均水平，也高于2000年科技泡沫顶峰时的18%，目前仅低于2020年中期达到的25%历史最高水平。由于美国证券交易委员会对投资组合集中度管制，限制了共同基金继续买入这些股票的数量。\n大科技公司足够优秀，但真的很贵了吗？\n投资者追逐大科技股的把根本原因是其优秀的营收能力，2020年FAAMG营收比2019年增长21%。今年一季度，这些优秀的科技公司营收能力丝毫没有减弱。\nFAAMG 一季度销售总额达到3210亿美元，比预期高出240亿美元，同比增长41%。对于2022年，市场普遍预计，这五家大科技公司的营收和每股收益将分别增长14%和10%，而标普500指数成分股的中位数分别为6%和10%。\n对于David Kostin来说，大科技股“鹤立鸡群”的地方并不在于此，而在于其优秀的现金流。2020年，美股中的5家大科技公司在研发方面花费了1280亿美元，同时还进行了1040亿美元的其他资本支出，占标普500成分股资本支出的22%。FAAMG过去三年的投资增长率为64%，而典型股票的投资增长率为11%。正如高盛所言，“它们正在以自己的方式投资，以实现卓越的增长”。\n\n虽然这些都是支撑FAAMG的最明显的积极因素，但它们在很大程度上是被定价的；与此同时，还有一系列巨大且不断增长的风险：\n首先，拜登提议的税制改革，该改革将提高企业所得税和资本利得税税率，并可能成为FAAMG股票的风险来源。如果拜登公司税计划得到全面实施，FAAMG 2022E的收益将比普遍预期下降约9%。\n其次，FAAMG股票也容易受到更高资本收益率的影响。如果资本利得税率将在2022年上调，则受较高税率约束的投资者，可选择在2021年以较低的现行税率实现部分实质性资本利得。FAAMG股票在过去5年中升值了5万亿美元，占同期标准普尔500指数市值增长的29%。毋庸讳言，一旦有人开始抛售，这些大科技公司股价承受的压力是无法想象的。\n最后，按常规看，科技公司的估值已经不便宜了。以 FAAMG 为例，远期市盈率为29倍，而剩下的495只标普成分股的远期市盈率只有21倍。\n但在低利率环境下，科技公司的估值其实并不高。\nDavid Kostin因此写道：当前的低利率水平和预期增长支持了FAAMG股票的高市盈率，虽然名义10年期美债收益率今年有所上升，为1.6%，但从历史来看，它仍然处于极低水平。但他还提出了其他的估值方法：\n“低利率支持对高增长、长期股票的估值。FAAMG的收益率差距（E/P减去10年美债收益率）为191个基点，高于40年平均值144个基点，表明这些股票在利率水平较低的情况下，具有吸引力。”\n当然，这一切在低利率下都是成立的。现在的问题是，利率什么时候升高？\n高盛利率策略师预测，到2021年底，10年期美国国债收益率将上升34个基点，至1.90%。\n与罗素1000指数相比，FAAMG等科技公司对长期利率变动特别敏感。由于收益率从11月到3月大幅上升，FAAMG等大科技公司的表现逊于标普500指数7%（+21%对+14%）。2021年下半年类似的利率上升时期可能会阻碍FAAMG等科技股的市场表现。\n总而言之，高盛认为，大科技公司面临的最大基本风险“似乎是监管机构的潜在干预”，包括“更严格的监管制度和更严格的反垄断执法的一些风险”。不过该策略师预测，2022年底标普500指数为4300点至4600点，且假设大科技公司的销售额和盈利符合普遍预期，相对估值保持稳定，即暗示反垄断行动没有重大影响。更直白的讲，高盛的客户面对科技股大跌不要紧张，继续抄底FAAMG。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106441419,"gmtCreate":1620141631631,"gmtModify":1634207491657,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106441419","repostId":"1108282071","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":108734186,"gmtCreate":1620053620445,"gmtModify":1634208185354,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不怕","listText":"不怕","text":"不怕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108734186","repostId":"1193618912","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101525644,"gmtCreate":1619924456088,"gmtModify":1634209080723,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"收益😊","listText":"收益😊","text":"收益😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101525644","repostId":"1101130210","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375685132,"gmtCreate":1619332963226,"gmtModify":1634274152426,"author":{"id":"3582028511620519","authorId":"3582028511620519","name":"小蜜蜂0221","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f713f42bc9132ee6f9bfc0e42883b1e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有道理","listText":"有道理","text":"有道理","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375685132","repostId":"1188335239","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}