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Choonhowe

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2021-11-19

Wow

The Apple Car Is Back in the News. It’s Still a Stretch.

2021-11-12

$ISDN HOLDINGS LIMITED(I07.SI)$Soon

2021-11-11

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2021-11-09

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2021-11-09

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2021-11-09

$JIUTIAN CHEMICAL GROUP LIMITED(C8R.SI)$Slowly

2021-11-08

$SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD(S59.SI)$Back

2021-11-08

$JIUTIAN CHEMICAL GROUP LIMITED(C8R.SI)$Sharing

2021-11-07

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2021-11-07

$STARHUB LTD(CC3.SI)$Going

2021-11-06

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2021-11-05

$JIUTIAN CHEMICAL GROUP LIMITED(C8R.SI)$Holding on

2021-11-05

$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$Slowly

2021-11-04

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2021-11-04

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2021-11-03

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2021-11-02

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2021-10-31

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That supposedly would be Apple’s edge when entering the market.</p>\n<p>Fully autonomous consumer cars, however, won’t be ready for years.</p>\n<p>Waymo and GM’s Cruise division along with Motional—a joint venture between Hyundai and&nbsp;Aptiv&nbsp;(APTV)–sell a fully self-driving taxi. But the technology used by that trio costs tens of thousands of dollars per car. It only works in commercial vehicles like a taxi.</p>\n<p>But if Apple is sitting on hidden fully autonomous technology and it doesn’t want to manufacture cars itself, it would be, essentially, a large Aptiv. Aptiv sells safety and power solutions to the auto industry.</p>\n<p>That makes Apple sounds more like a supplier and less like an auto maker. That isn’t a bad thing. It’s just different from what the stock market assumed on Thursday. If Apple has the hidden tech it could even sell subscriptions to the technology and split the sales with auto maker partners.</p>\n<p>Gary Black, managing partner of the&nbsp;Future Fund Active&nbsp;ETF (FFND), is skeptical about an Apple car. “The idea is utter nonsense—there is no edge,” he tells <i>Barron’s</i>. “Brands don’t extend into categories where there is no clear distinctive competence.” He is a Tesla bull, but added that the idea of a Tesla phone is just as silly as an Apple car.</p>\n<p>Time will tell if Black is right. Meanwhile, Project Titan—Apple’s name for the car project that stretches back to 2014—will continue to tantalize investors and upset auto stocks from time to time.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Apple Car Is Back in the News. 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It’s Still a Stretch.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 15:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported Apple is accelerating plans for an electric, self-driving car. A battery-powered, autonomous iCar would mean new competition for existing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186458009","content_text":"A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported Apple is accelerating plans for an electric, self-driving car. A battery-powered, autonomous iCar would mean new competition for existing automotive players.\nIt all sounds like a tempest in a teapot. Apple isn’t commenting, and no one know whether Apple would actually make its own car from the ground up or join with an existing car maker. Or when this car might actually hit the market.\nWell, a tempest in a big teapot. After the Bloomberg story hit, shortly after noon, Apple (ticker: AAPL) stock jumped about 2%.Tesla (TSLA) dropped about 2%.Ford Motor (F) dropped 3%.General Motors (GM) shed roughly 2%. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were relatively stable up about 0.4% and down about 0.2%, respectively.\n“We continue to believe it’s a matter of when, not if, Apple enters the EV race and this will add another $30+ per share of TAM to the Apple growth story over the next few years,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives in a Thursday note reacting to the story.\nTAM is short for total addressable market. And $30 per Apple share is $500 billion. That’s a lot, even if Apple only got a fraction of this market.\nDetails are thin. Ives, for instance, sees partnerships as most likely where Apple doesn’t build the car itself. And he puts a 60% to 65% change of seeing an Apple car unveiled by 2025.\nThen there is the issue of full self driving. That supposedly would be Apple’s edge when entering the market.\nFully autonomous consumer cars, however, won’t be ready for years.\nWaymo and GM’s Cruise division along with Motional—a joint venture between Hyundai and Aptiv (APTV)–sell a fully self-driving taxi. But the technology used by that trio costs tens of thousands of dollars per car. It only works in commercial vehicles like a taxi.\nBut if Apple is sitting on hidden fully autonomous technology and it doesn’t want to manufacture cars itself, it would be, essentially, a large Aptiv. Aptiv sells safety and power solutions to the auto industry.\nThat makes Apple sounds more like a supplier and less like an auto maker. That isn’t a bad thing. It’s just different from what the stock market assumed on Thursday. If Apple has the hidden tech it could even sell subscriptions to the technology and split the sales with auto maker partners.\nGary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active ETF (FFND), is skeptical about an Apple car. “The idea is utter nonsense—there is no edge,” he tells Barron’s. “Brands don’t extend into categories where there is no clear distinctive competence.” He is a Tesla bull, but added that the idea of a Tesla phone is just as silly as an Apple car.\nTime will tell if Black is right. Meanwhile, Project Titan—Apple’s name for the car project that stretches back to 2014—will continue to tantalize investors and upset auto stocks from time to time.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879149974,"gmtCreate":1636694773894,"gmtModify":1636694774140,"author":{"id":"3581585065847040","authorId":"3581585065847040","name":"Choonhowe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e205c06eb09cb6cd66cc8713af71f27f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581585065847040","authorIdStr":"3581585065847040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/I07.SI\">$ISDN HOLDINGS LIMITED(I07.SI)$</a>Soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/I07.SI\">$ISDN HOLDINGS LIMITED(I07.SI)$</a>Soon","text":"$ISDN HOLDINGS 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It’s Still a Stretch.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186458009","media":"Barrons","summary":"A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported Apple is accelerating plans for an electric, se","content":"<p>A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;is accelerating plans for an electric, self-driving car. A battery-powered, autonomous iCar would mean new competition for existing automotive players.</p>\n<p>It all sounds like a tempest in a teapot. Apple isn’t commenting, and no one know whether Apple would actually make its own car from the ground up or join with an existing car maker. Or when this car might actually hit the market.</p>\n<p>Well, a tempest in a big teapot. After the Bloomberg story hit, shortly after noon, Apple (ticker: AAPL) stock jumped about 2%.Tesla&nbsp;(TSLA) dropped about 2%.Ford Motor&nbsp;(F) dropped 3%.General Motors&nbsp;(GM) shed roughly 2%. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average were relatively stable up about 0.4% and down about 0.2%, respectively.</p>\n<p>“We continue to believe it’s a matter of when, not if,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;enters the EV race and this will add another $30+ per share of TAM to the&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;growth story over the next few years,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives in a Thursday note reacting to the story.</p>\n<p>TAM is short for total addressable market. And $30 per Apple share is $500 billion. That’s a lot, even if Apple only got a fraction of this market.</p>\n<p>Details are thin. Ives, for instance, sees partnerships as most likely where Apple doesn’t build the car itself. And he puts a 60% to 65% change of seeing an Apple car unveiled by 2025.</p>\n<p>Then there is the issue of full self driving. That supposedly would be Apple’s edge when entering the market.</p>\n<p>Fully autonomous consumer cars, however, won’t be ready for years.</p>\n<p>Waymo and GM’s Cruise division along with Motional—a joint venture between Hyundai and&nbsp;Aptiv&nbsp;(APTV)–sell a fully self-driving taxi. But the technology used by that trio costs tens of thousands of dollars per car. It only works in commercial vehicles like a taxi.</p>\n<p>But if Apple is sitting on hidden fully autonomous technology and it doesn’t want to manufacture cars itself, it would be, essentially, a large Aptiv. Aptiv sells safety and power solutions to the auto industry.</p>\n<p>That makes Apple sounds more like a supplier and less like an auto maker. That isn’t a bad thing. It’s just different from what the stock market assumed on Thursday. If Apple has the hidden tech it could even sell subscriptions to the technology and split the sales with auto maker partners.</p>\n<p>Gary Black, managing partner of the&nbsp;Future Fund Active&nbsp;ETF (FFND), is skeptical about an Apple car. “The idea is utter nonsense—there is no edge,” he tells <i>Barron’s</i>. “Brands don’t extend into categories where there is no clear distinctive competence.” He is a Tesla bull, but added that the idea of a Tesla phone is just as silly as an Apple car.</p>\n<p>Time will tell if Black is right. Meanwhile, Project Titan—Apple’s name for the car project that stretches back to 2014—will continue to tantalize investors and upset auto stocks from time to time.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Apple Car Is Back in the News. It’s Still a Stretch.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Apple Car Is Back in the News. It’s Still a Stretch.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 15:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported Apple is accelerating plans for an electric, self-driving car. A battery-powered, autonomous iCar would mean new competition for existing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-apple-car-is-back-in-the-news-its-still-a-stretch-51637274185?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186458009","content_text":"A kerfuffle erupted Thursday when Bloomberg reported Apple is accelerating plans for an electric, self-driving car. A battery-powered, autonomous iCar would mean new competition for existing automotive players.\nIt all sounds like a tempest in a teapot. Apple isn’t commenting, and no one know whether Apple would actually make its own car from the ground up or join with an existing car maker. Or when this car might actually hit the market.\nWell, a tempest in a big teapot. After the Bloomberg story hit, shortly after noon, Apple (ticker: AAPL) stock jumped about 2%.Tesla (TSLA) dropped about 2%.Ford Motor (F) dropped 3%.General Motors (GM) shed roughly 2%. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were relatively stable up about 0.4% and down about 0.2%, respectively.\n“We continue to believe it’s a matter of when, not if, Apple enters the EV race and this will add another $30+ per share of TAM to the Apple growth story over the next few years,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives in a Thursday note reacting to the story.\nTAM is short for total addressable market. And $30 per Apple share is $500 billion. That’s a lot, even if Apple only got a fraction of this market.\nDetails are thin. Ives, for instance, sees partnerships as most likely where Apple doesn’t build the car itself. And he puts a 60% to 65% change of seeing an Apple car unveiled by 2025.\nThen there is the issue of full self driving. That supposedly would be Apple’s edge when entering the market.\nFully autonomous consumer cars, however, won’t be ready for years.\nWaymo and GM’s Cruise division along with Motional—a joint venture between Hyundai and Aptiv (APTV)–sell a fully self-driving taxi. But the technology used by that trio costs tens of thousands of dollars per car. It only works in commercial vehicles like a taxi.\nBut if Apple is sitting on hidden fully autonomous technology and it doesn’t want to manufacture cars itself, it would be, essentially, a large Aptiv. Aptiv sells safety and power solutions to the auto industry.\nThat makes Apple sounds more like a supplier and less like an auto maker. That isn’t a bad thing. It’s just different from what the stock market assumed on Thursday. If Apple has the hidden tech it could even sell subscriptions to the technology and split the sales with auto maker partners.\nGary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active ETF (FFND), is skeptical about an Apple car. “The idea is utter nonsense—there is no edge,” he tells Barron’s. “Brands don’t extend into categories where there is no clear distinctive competence.” He is a Tesla bull, but added that the idea of a Tesla phone is just as silly as an Apple car.\nTime will tell if Black is right. Meanwhile, Project Titan—Apple’s name for the car project that stretches back to 2014—will continue to tantalize investors and upset auto stocks from time to time.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894863169,"gmtCreate":1628816873351,"gmtModify":1631893491453,"author":{"id":"3581585065847040","authorId":"3581585065847040","name":"Choonhowe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e205c06eb09cb6cd66cc8713af71f27f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581585065847040","authorIdStr":"3581585065847040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894863169","repostId":"1188620903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":825916759,"gmtCreate":1634189000094,"gmtModify":1634189000094,"author":{"id":"3581585065847040","authorId":"3581585065847040","name":"Choonhowe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e205c06eb09cb6cd66cc8713af71f27f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581585065847040","authorIdStr":"3581585065847040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126312436","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the p","content":"<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Yet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p>\n<p>First, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a&nbsp;new multi-year high&nbsp;Thursday—even amid growing&nbsp;expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.</p>\n<p>“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”</p>\n<p>Both those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>That means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.</p>\n<p>“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.</p>\n<p>Peaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&amp;P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&amp;P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.</p>\n<p>“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market Had a Great First Half. 3 Things That Could Cause it to Crash.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 15:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-crash-risks-51625174065","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126312436","content_text":"Stocks have soared relentlessly this year. Several factors, however, have the potential to end the party.\nThe S&P 500 has had its second-best first half of a year since 1998, and it hasn’t shown many signs of letting up. The index ended June up 14.4% year to date, hitting several records during the month and posting another record close on Thursday.\nYet there are a couple key risks that could turn all of that around, according to Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nFirst, there’s the possibility of an oil price shock, as the price of crude has shown little sign of cooling off. WTI crude oil is up 56% year to date and notched a new multi-year high Thursday—even amid growing expectations that OPEC will increase supply. If oil prices run hot enough, that could raise inflation to a level that—if sustained — could cause consumer demand to fall and that could surpass Federal Reserve expectations.\n“Suddenly higher oil prices” is atop the list of stock market concerns for Colas. “Rapidly rising oil prices will cause U.S. inflation to overshoot the Fed’s desired outcome and also stress the American consumer.”\nBoth those things could dent the stock market, which has long benefited from the Fed’s accommodative monetary policy, especially if the Fed signals that interest-rate increases could come sooner than expected.\nThat means the Fed will need to tread carefully when discussing rates to avoid spooking the market, Colas says.\n“Federal Reserve miscommunication about upcoming policy changes and/or raising interest rates too aggressively” is a second risk, Colas says. For instance, the S&P 500 dived 18% over roughly three months in late 2018 as the Fed raised rates, despite the market’s hope at that time for rates to stay put.\nPeaking earnings growth is the other threat to stocks, Colas says. Earnings growth for the average S&P 500 company is expected slow down to 11% in 2022 from 36% in 2021, according to FactSet, as the economy normalizes and the postpandemic recovery eases. But on average, S&P 500 stocks trade at 21.5 times expected earnings for the next 12 months, still above the index’s pre-pandemic multiple. At some point, stocks valuations will need to better reflect the expected decline in earnings growth, which would mean falling stock prices.\n“Valuations are high enough currently that peaking earnings could be a larger risk than before,” Colas writes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112589208,"gmtCreate":1622886020204,"gmtModify":1634097061603,"author":{"id":"3581585065847040","authorId":"3581585065847040","name":"Choonhowe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e205c06eb09cb6cd66cc8713af71f27f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581585065847040","authorIdStr":"3581585065847040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Selling","listText":"Selling","text":"Selling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112589208","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198254473,"gmtCreate":1620964533192,"gmtModify":1631887136922,"author":{"id":"3581585065847040","authorId":"3581585065847040","name":"Choonhowe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e205c06eb09cb6cd66cc8713af71f27f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581585065847040","authorIdStr":"3581585065847040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Singtel 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