李火炎的个人主页 - 老虎社区

李火炎

李火炎

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IP属地：广东

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1主题

0勋章

2021-10-25

$AMC院线(AMC)$退潮了吗？

2021-10-22

[微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-13

惊风惊雨，

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-09

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@大叔观点时间:我们是如何通过期权来套利的——以「莫德纳」为例

2021-10-08

$人人网(RENN)$有什么利好吗？

2021-10-01

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@期权小班长:捡钱的机会来了，限时到10月18日

2021-09-30

$OptimizeRx Corporation(OPRX)$有什么利好吗？

2021-09-27

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@Ivan_甘灿荣:一定要留意这一周：美股到了关键点位，推荐一个交易策略

2021-09-21

$Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$有什么利好吗？

2021-09-16

$LGL Systems Acquisition Corp(IRNT)$这是不是猿类拉上来的？

2021-09-03

都上天了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-12

[微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-26

$每日优鲜(MF)$热门倒灶，连韭菜根都不放过[捂脸]

2021-06-25

$Soulgate Inc.(SSR)$放空炮需要承担责任吗？

2021-06-25

放空炮需要承担责任吗？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

韭菜成熟啦！贾镰刀要回来收割啦！[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

$洋葱集团(OG)$到底了吗？

2021-06-22

$满帮(YMM)$满帮请问有对标的公司吗？

2021-06-16

$满帮(YMM)$这家不了解，请问有什么卖点吗？

2021-06-15

浑水摸鱼的时候到了[开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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MRNA）来说真是灿烂的一年，九个月累计涨幅268%。作为一个长期投资者，大叔去年4月开始的研究、11月底布的局、今年一月开始的持有，从程序到目前的结果看起来还是不错的。疫情改变了我们的生活方式，但是新冠疫苗正在帮助我们找回原来自由的生活方式。尽管在疫苗领域有像辉瑞、强生这样的竞争者，但是考虑莫德纳在癌症方面的研究和临床试验，在标普大盘股、医药股里都是独树一帜的。而且莫德纳在疫苗方面的效果，让我们对他的抗癌研究也充满期待！所以我们非常看好它。莫德纳的股价2020年初约20刀，在经历一段疯狂上涨后，从最高点约500刀回落正在调整、重新筑底中。02我们的操作大叔的交易策略一般不直接买入股票，而是在买入前加了一步“风险套利”的交易策略。利用大叔和对手方害怕股价波动的差异程度，以及由此带来的期权价格的错误定价，在拥有股票之前，买入CALL及卖出PUT这“两条腿来”套利。MRNA从2019.1-2021.9的月线图第一步：2021年11月的风险套利（见上图的图标1）1）交易内容在2020年11月20日那天，莫德纳的股价约97刀，大叔在市场上找对手方进行“对赌“，开始一笔“套利”的交易约定：大叔先付给对手方约8刀/股的权利金，换取2021年1月15日、莫德纳的股价如果涨到105刀以上、大叔即拥有在这个价位吃进其股票的权利。(愿意吃进的原因是我们长期看好莫德纳。)我们认为当时的8刀/股CALL的权利金价格是低估的，过一段时间股价和权利金都有可能上涨。这种交易行为是风险套利。有什么风险呢？一旦到期日莫德纳的股价涨不到105，合约就作废了，大叔的8刀权利金就打水漂了。如果你曾看过有的理论，称“套利”是零成本的，大叔同意上海财经大学讲席教授陆蓉老师的观点：「套利都是有成本的，」这次的成本是8刀的权利金。但是好处是：大叔的损失是有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/204771847bafdbb7c0ccf6be9363559d","width":"900","height":"383"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cde0531d4c0a65f56fa1ae7189767ac","width":"866","height":"656"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd974a08791ea654cc7f13a934e7a60","width":"864","height":"660"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823709031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821317907,"gmtCreate":1633698410879,"gmtModify":1633698410879,"author":{"id":"3581052926190229","authorId":"3581052926190229","name":"李火炎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8a7a940bf810831f3ff666afc8f2dd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581052926190229","authorIdStr":"3581052926190229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RENN\">$人人网(RENN)$</a>有什么利好吗？","text":"$人人网(RENN)$有什么利好吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821317907","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2086,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864371455,"gmtCreate":1633064188930,"gmtModify":1633064188930,"author":{"id":"3581052926190229","authorId":"3581052926190229","name":"李火炎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8a7a940bf810831f3ff666afc8f2dd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581052926190229","authorIdStr":"3581052926190229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864371455","repostId":"865006643","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":865006643,"gmtCreate":1632921676778,"gmtModify":1632924954150,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"捡钱的机会来了，限时到10月18日","htmlText":"有朋友表示sell put保证金略高，这种行情直接抄底买正股也是个不错的机会，轻仓设置限价单，抄底价格参考小班长推荐的行权价。 说说我对大跌的分析，美政府比想象中的还要拉垮，耶伦说10月18日债务将触及上限，而两党还在一直在扯皮。也就是不稳定的状态状态可能会持续到10月18日，期间会大跌还是横盘，有待之后观察。 就目前点位来看，标普确实跌到了支撑位附近，最好的结果是横盘或震荡，如果继续下行，或恐回到3月份。 今日推荐： 标的代码 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 年化收益% AMD 2021/10/15 90 $0.76 51% 17.00% NVDA 2021/10/8 180 $0.54 56% 10.00% HK00700 2021/10/28 400 HK4.03 49% 10.89% 还是昨天的提示，开盘后等15～60分钟再做交易。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 光刻机巨头<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> 预计未来10年营收强劲增长，带动芯片股盘前上涨，在发布的声明中，公司明确表示对高端光刻机业务前景和“钱”景持续乐观的立场。而终端市场方面也预期需求旺盛的情况将持续数个季度，苏姿丰周二提及，全球关键电子元器件的供应紧张局面很有可能持续到2022年上半年。 虽然卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> 看跌期权收益也很可观，不过鉴于保证金很高，朋友们也可以直接正股抄底。 我这里推荐了卖出&#x8;AMDput，激进的朋友也可以选择卖本周到期的行权价为100的pu","listText":"有朋友表示sell put保证金略高，这种行情直接抄底买正股也是个不错的机会，轻仓设置限价单，抄底价格参考小班长推荐的行权价。 说说我对大跌的分析，美政府比想象中的还要拉垮，耶伦说10月18日债务将触及上限，而两党还在一直在扯皮。也就是不稳定的状态状态可能会持续到10月18日，期间会大跌还是横盘，有待之后观察。 就目前点位来看，标普确实跌到了支撑位附近，最好的结果是横盘或震荡，如果继续下行，或恐回到3月份。 今日推荐： 标的代码 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 年化收益% AMD 2021/10/15 90 $0.76 51% 17.00% NVDA 2021/10/8 180 $0.54 56% 10.00% HK00700 2021/10/28 400 HK4.03 49% 10.89% 还是昨天的提示，开盘后等15～60分钟再做交易。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 光刻机巨头<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> 预计未来10年营收强劲增长，带动芯片股盘前上涨，在发布的声明中，公司明确表示对高端光刻机业务前景和“钱”景持续乐观的立场。而终端市场方面也预期需求旺盛的情况将持续数个季度，苏姿丰周二提及，全球关键电子元器件的供应紧张局面很有可能持续到2022年上半年。 虽然卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> 看跌期权收益也很可观，不过鉴于保证金很高，朋友们也可以直接正股抄底。 我这里推荐了卖出&#x8;AMDput，激进的朋友也可以选择卖本周到期的行权价为100的pu","text":"有朋友表示sell put保证金略高，这种行情直接抄底买正股也是个不错的机会，轻仓设置限价单，抄底价格参考小班长推荐的行权价。 说说我对大跌的分析，美政府比想象中的还要拉垮，耶伦说10月18日债务将触及上限，而两党还在一直在扯皮。也就是不稳定的状态状态可能会持续到10月18日，期间会大跌还是横盘，有待之后观察。 就目前点位来看，标普确实跌到了支撑位附近，最好的结果是横盘或震荡，如果继续下行，或恐回到3月份。 今日推荐： 标的代码 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 年化收益% AMD 2021/10/15 90 $0.76 51% 17.00% NVDA 2021/10/8 180 $0.54 56% 10.00% HK00700 2021/10/28 400 HK4.03 49% 10.89% 还是昨天的提示，开盘后等15～60分钟再做交易。 $AMD(AMD)$ 光刻机巨头$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 预计未来10年营收强劲增长，带动芯片股盘前上涨，在发布的声明中，公司明确表示对高端光刻机业务前景和“钱”景持续乐观的立场。而终端市场方面也预期需求旺盛的情况将持续数个季度，苏姿丰周二提及，全球关键电子元器件的供应紧张局面很有可能持续到2022年上半年。 虽然卖出$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 看跌期权收益也很可观，不过鉴于保证金很高，朋友们也可以直接正股抄底。 我这里推荐了卖出\bAMDput，激进的朋友也可以选择卖本周到期的行权价为100的pu","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d16d44b07868e58d132008b4d10dab26","width":"1079","height":"2223"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24178c6aee3da839756367e88c67c8a","width":"1079","height":"2227"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b16c6b85567ce8ef658d5d3d620b8701","width":"1080","height":"2232"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865006643","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865599087,"gmtCreate":1632996082111,"gmtModify":1632996082111,"author":{"id":"3581052926190229","authorId":"3581052926190229","name":"李火炎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8a7a940bf810831f3ff666afc8f2dd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581052926190229","authorIdStr":"3581052926190229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPRX\">$OptimizeRx Corporation(OPRX)$</a>有什么利好吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPRX\">$OptimizeRx Corporation(OPRX)$</a>有什么利好吗？","text":"$OptimizeRx Corporation(OPRX)$有什么利好吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865599087","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866060827,"gmtCreate":1632712821969,"gmtModify":1632712821969,"author":{"id":"3581052926190229","authorId":"3581052926190229","name":"李火炎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8a7a940bf810831f3ff666afc8f2dd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581052926190229","authorIdStr":"3581052926190229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866060827","repostId":"869611528","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":869611528,"gmtCreate":1632279145060,"gmtModify":1635324225271,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"一定要留意这一周：美股到了关键点位，推荐一个交易策略","htmlText":"上周给大家讲过，A股和美股进入到强弱反转特征，美股指弱势，但A股个股表现强势。其实美国有啥利空消息，已经不需要我多说了，Delta疫情的肆虐，美联储年底的Taper，美国债务上限，任何一个都可以是下跌的理由，毕竟涨多了出现调整是正常的。 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