江南_1223的个人主页 - 老虎社区

江南_1223

江南_1223

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IP属地：上海

41关注

4粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2023-11-15

$蓝月亮集团(06993)$ 这垃圾越来越垃圾

2022-12-10

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@3047鐵礦石ETF:大家的资源股如何—油、气、金、铁重点新闻摘要（11月30日）

2022-08-03

哦

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-06-14

记录

@期权小班长:期权大单异动：中概股现在还能买吗？

2022-05-07

^_^^_^^_^^_^

@OptionPlus:Twitter：年度最确定的期权机会再现！

2022-04-20

$思科(CSCO)$11111

2022-04-12

$蓝月亮集团(06993)$隔离球

2022-04-04

$Protalix BioTherapeutics Inc(PLX)$哈哈

2022-04-04

$Protalix BioTherapeutics Inc(PLX)$回来了

2022-03-05

写的很对

@价值投资为王:港股为什么不行？

2022-01-13

111

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-01-13

$麦当劳(MCD)$大消费

2022-01-02

$General Employment Enterprises I(JOB)$[笑哭] [笑哭]

2021-10-27

$蓝月亮集团(06993)$挣了没跑，现在亏的起不来了

2021-09-29

期权

@石头:期权是什么 | 股票套牢怎么办？这份期权回血策略送给你

2021-08-02

$小米集团-W(01810)$跌了

2021-07-21

卖了吧$好孩子国际(01086)$

2021-07-15

转发

@小虎访谈:【虎友访谈】只是备忘录：“躺平式”投资，真的可以赚钱吗？

2021-07-14

$蓝月亮集团(06993)$垃圾股的诞生

2021-07-12

有意思吗？

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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这垃圾越来越垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/241657061400680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3565560849516206","authorId":"3565560849516206","name":"被幸福敲了门的人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/364d8f8a1793db9e530ae96c23e25482","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3565560849516206","authorIdStr":"3565560849516206"},"content":"张磊的水平真的太……","text":"张磊的水平真的太……","html":"张磊的水平真的太……"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629579045,"gmtCreate":1670670391687,"gmtModify":1670670393326,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579590305042911","authorIdStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629579045","repostId":"620293755","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":620293755,"gmtCreate":1669772546578,"gmtModify":1669772991223,"author":{"id":"3554938063633134","authorId":"3554938063633134","name":"3047鐵礦石ETF","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3f15d1a5f1b2d0ea723d4abc43d3a22","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554938063633134","authorIdStr":"3554938063633134"},"themes":[],"title":"大家的资源股如何—油、气、金、铁重点新闻摘要（11月30日）","htmlText":"看很多朋友喜欢资源股，但没有专注大宗商品新闻的总结，连载大宗商品的新闻，让大家投资资源股时更加得心应手。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03047\">$F山证铁矿石(03047)$</a>&nbsp; 疫情政策的变化促使大宗商品全线上涨。天气变冷的迹像也提振了能源市场的情绪。 基本金属价格上涨。国家卫生委员会表示，即使病毒在传播，也应避免过度限制。中国现在正在推动加强对老年人的疫苗接种，引发人们猜测它可能会进一步放宽一些规定。目前内地只有 69%的 60岁及以上老年人注射过加强针。铜上涨 1.2%至 8052美元/吨，拖累其他板块走高。近几个月来，由于限制措施对工业活动造成压力，从而对金属需求造成压力，市场情绪受到抑制。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600362\">$江西铜业(600362)$</a>&nbsp; 美元走软引发金价上涨。尽管如此，投资者在本周关键经济数据出炉之前仍保持谨慎，这可能会使美联储继续采取激进的紧缩政策。美联储官员约翰威廉姆斯表示，利率需要进一步上升，并在明年之前保持高位。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01787\">$山东黄金(01787)$</a>&nbsp; 继上周强劲上涨后，铁矿石价格几乎没有变化。最近为支持该国陷入困境的房地产行业而采取的措施仍然提振了市场情绪。 限制较少的流动性规则可能会增加需求，导致原油市场大幅上涨。根据百度数据，中国 15个最大城市的拥堵指数在截至 11月 16日的 7天内下降了 2.3% w/w。这使得隐含的石油需求保持在 13mb/d的低迷水准，比平均需求低 1mb/d。任何检疫规则的放宽以及旅行限制的放宽都会使需求迅速反弹。然而","listText":"看很多朋友喜欢资源股，但没有专注大宗商品新闻的总结，连载大宗商品的新闻，让大家投资资源股时更加得心应手。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03047\">$F山证铁矿石(03047)$</a>&nbsp; 疫情政策的变化促使大宗商品全线上涨。天气变冷的迹像也提振了能源市场的情绪。 基本金属价格上涨。国家卫生委员会表示，即使病毒在传播，也应避免过度限制。中国现在正在推动加强对老年人的疫苗接种，引发人们猜测它可能会进一步放宽一些规定。目前内地只有 69%的 60岁及以上老年人注射过加强针。铜上涨 1.2%至 8052美元/吨，拖累其他板块走高。近几个月来，由于限制措施对工业活动造成压力，从而对金属需求造成压力，市场情绪受到抑制。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600362\">$江西铜业(600362)$</a>&nbsp; 美元走软引发金价上涨。尽管如此，投资者在本周关键经济数据出炉之前仍保持谨慎，这可能会使美联储继续采取激进的紧缩政策。美联储官员约翰威廉姆斯表示，利率需要进一步上升，并在明年之前保持高位。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01787\">$山东黄金(01787)$</a>&nbsp; 继上周强劲上涨后，铁矿石价格几乎没有变化。最近为支持该国陷入困境的房地产行业而采取的措施仍然提振了市场情绪。 限制较少的流动性规则可能会增加需求，导致原油市场大幅上涨。根据百度数据，中国 15个最大城市的拥堵指数在截至 11月 16日的 7天内下降了 2.3% w/w。这使得隐含的石油需求保持在 13mb/d的低迷水准，比平均需求低 1mb/d。任何检疫规则的放宽以及旅行限制的放宽都会使需求迅速反弹。然而","text":"看很多朋友喜欢资源股，但没有专注大宗商品新闻的总结，连载大宗商品的新闻，让大家投资资源股时更加得心应手。 $F山证铁矿石(03047)$ 疫情政策的变化促使大宗商品全线上涨。天气变冷的迹像也提振了能源市场的情绪。 基本金属价格上涨。国家卫生委员会表示，即使病毒在传播，也应避免过度限制。中国现在正在推动加强对老年人的疫苗接种，引发人们猜测它可能会进一步放宽一些规定。目前内地只有 69%的 60岁及以上老年人注射过加强针。铜上涨 1.2%至 8052美元/吨，拖累其他板块走高。近几个月来，由于限制措施对工业活动造成压力，从而对金属需求造成压力，市场情绪受到抑制。 $江西铜业(600362)$ 美元走软引发金价上涨。尽管如此，投资者在本周关键经济数据出炉之前仍保持谨慎，这可能会使美联储继续采取激进的紧缩政策。美联储官员约翰威廉姆斯表示，利率需要进一步上升，并在明年之前保持高位。 $山东黄金(01787)$ 继上周强劲上涨后，铁矿石价格几乎没有变化。最近为支持该国陷入困境的房地产行业而采取的措施仍然提振了市场情绪。 限制较少的流动性规则可能会增加需求，导致原油市场大幅上涨。根据百度数据，中国 15个最大城市的拥堵指数在截至 11月 16日的 7天内下降了 2.3% w/w。这使得隐含的石油需求保持在 13mb/d的低迷水准，比平均需求低 1mb/d。任何检疫规则的放宽以及旅行限制的放宽都会使需求迅速反弹。然而","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db2b6d729a9adfe44de916d10b83b24","width":"554","height":"658"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620293755","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685813675,"gmtCreate":1659540917002,"gmtModify":1659540917002,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579590305042911","authorIdStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哦","listText":"哦","text":"哦","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685813675","repostId":"1154499388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":680793559,"gmtCreate":1655221660173,"gmtModify":1704861569433,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579590305042911","authorIdStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"记录","listText":"记录","text":"记录","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680793559","repostId":"680326089","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":680326089,"gmtCreate":1654785047049,"gmtModify":1704860452803,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"期权大单异动：中概股现在还能买吗？","htmlText":"CPI之前，市场交易还是很清淡，唯独中概除外。盘前蚂蚁公司在上市和不上市之间反复横跳，带领一众中概股的走势上蹿下跳，场景蔚为壮观。昨天收盘阿里股价涨幅14%，股价接近3月反弹高点水平，其他中概股也差不多如此，所以目前这个位置的上行阻力较强，回调也是在预期之中，只是没想到会发生如此戏剧性的回调事件。从期权异动方面也可以印证一二。个股期权多空方向比较混乱，建议参考三大中概ETF的期权异动：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a>首先<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a>成分主要为港股，包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF，但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市，方向判断具有一定的参考性。异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a>","listText":"CPI之前，市场交易还是很清淡，唯独中概除外。盘前蚂蚁公司在上市和不上市之间反复横跳，带领一众中概股的走势上蹿下跳，场景蔚为壮观。昨天收盘阿里股价涨幅14%，股价接近3月反弹高点水平，其他中概股也差不多如此，所以目前这个位置的上行阻力较强，回调也是在预期之中，只是没想到会发生如此戏剧性的回调事件。从期权异动方面也可以印证一二。个股期权多空方向比较混乱，建议参考三大中概ETF的期权异动：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a>首先<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a>成分主要为港股，包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF，但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市，方向判断具有一定的参考性。异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a>","text":"CPI之前，市场交易还是很清淡，唯独中概除外。盘前蚂蚁公司在上市和不上市之间反复横跳，带领一众中概股的走势上蹿下跳，场景蔚为壮观。昨天收盘阿里股价涨幅14%，股价接近3月反弹高点水平，其他中概股也差不多如此，所以目前这个位置的上行阻力较强，回调也是在预期之中，只是没想到会发生如此戏剧性的回调事件。从期权异动方面也可以印证一二。个股期权多空方向比较混乱，建议参考三大中概ETF的期权异动：$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ $德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$ $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$首先$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$成分主要为港股，包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF，但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市，方向判断具有一定的参考性。异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。 $FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3386b3dd6f8550cd6e6da0d8f24257","width":"1170","height":"1905"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45657ed0a3799406a5f1c7bfcec80850","width":"1049","height":"1873"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e71108ae6c75c0b7a98ff2fa341923fb","width":"1170","height":"2085"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680326089","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616798794,"gmtCreate":1651937915318,"gmtModify":1651937915318,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579590305042911","authorIdStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","listText":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","text":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616798794","repostId":"618810672","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":618810672,"gmtCreate":1650958392275,"gmtModify":1650961755250,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667591235607","authorIdStr":"3527667591235607"},"themes":[],"title":"Twitter：年度最确定的期权机会再现！","htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/611925601\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考</a> 既然收购意向达成了，那么就剩下时间问题，在这个等待过程中，卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略，可以即卖CALL也卖PUT，即卖跨式期权，其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议，空穴不来风，下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL，其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了，没有卖在价格最好的价格。卖CALL的价格选择，收购价格在$54.2，最安全的当然是$55，但是$54也一点问题都没有，我之前说过，在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况，以闪电的速度完成收购，卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter，收购价格$54.2，正股每股亏$0.2，但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。 展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。以上是卖CALL的一侧，当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢？ 按照$54.2&nbsp;*0.9&nbsp;=&nbsp;$48.78，就是$49以内的PUT，如果因为市场暴跌而行权就接盘坐等收购完成不会亏损，如果真不想行权就卖再低一点，比如打8折到$46。 以下展示未来两周到期的TWTR $46&nbsp;-&nbsp;$49的PUT的权利金。作为愿意承担一定被行权风险的我，会选择卖","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ 怂了！短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面，Twitter股东们急了，要是MUSK放弃了收购，那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。 在收购没有落地之前的期权策略，请参考我上一篇文章：Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考 既然收购意向达成了，那么就剩下时间问题，在这个等待过程中，卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略，可以即卖CALL也卖PUT，即卖跨式期权，其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议，空穴不来风，下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 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Inc(PLX)$哈哈","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e2a75a79e376216f4514b3d3f5f6f8","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619112475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":632227772,"gmtCreate":1646494730128,"gmtModify":1646494730128,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579590305042911","idStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"写的很对","listText":"写的很对","text":"写的很对","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632227772","repostId":"632637366","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632637366,"gmtCreate":1646384055443,"gmtModify":1646411686974,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"港股为什么不行？","htmlText":"港股为什么这么垃圾？炒过的散户，进场的时候带着一腔热情，奔着全球估值洼地慕名而来，但离场的时候，都会骂上一句：垃圾！中招的不止是散户，还有机构。2021年初，“跨过香江去，争夺定价权”的口号仿佛还响彻在耳边，而仅仅过去一年，腾讯逼近腰斩、阿里巴巴大跌60%、快手暴跌80%...定价权没拿到，高位站岗倒是事实。血淋淋的案例摆在桌面，不得不让人深思：港股为什么不行？1.弹丸之地撑不起偌大的股市香港人口数量748万人，GDP2.8万亿港币，2021年末港股市值42万亿港币，市值/GDP的比重为1497%。A股市值/GDP是80%，美股是300%，日本是164%。巴菲特曾有一个指标衡量美股泡沫大小，计算基础是拿美股市值/GDP，比率处于75%-90%时为合理区间，超过120%则股市遭到高估。众所周知，股市是一国经济的晴雨表，而港股在全球主要股市中是特殊的存在，完全依靠当地经济，根本无法支撑庞大的股市。因此，港股只能依赖金融自由港的地位，吸引外地资金。对内，港股开通了沪港通，对外，港币瞄定美元，可以自由兑换和出入。然而，沪港通是有门槛的，开通需要账户有50万资产，仅此一条，A股投资者多数都不符合。即使符合条件，沪港通标的也十分有限，无法对所有港股提供弹药支持。对外，外资虽然可以自由买卖，但资本有国界，一来港股上市公司基本来自中国，外资对公司的了解程度有天然的障碍，这与国内投资者买卖美股一致，基本都只买熟悉的、日常能接触到的公司，没听说过的根本不敢买。二来，港股背靠中国，机构资金心存偏见。内外夹击，港股只能夹缝中求生存。即使生活艰难，但港交所依然卖力争夺全球IPO融资NO.1的地位。2021年，港股IPO融资额3314亿港币，位居全球第四，仅次于纳斯达克、纽交所、上交所，这是自2012年以来，香港市场IPO筹资额首次跌出全球前三的位置。为了保三争一，港交所今年开始允许SPAC（特殊目的","listText":"港股为什么这么垃圾？炒过的散户，进场的时候带着一腔热情，奔着全球估值洼地慕名而来，但离场的时候，都会骂上一句：垃圾！中招的不止是散户，还有机构。2021年初，“跨过香江去，争夺定价权”的口号仿佛还响彻在耳边，而仅仅过去一年，腾讯逼近腰斩、阿里巴巴大跌60%、快手暴跌80%...定价权没拿到，高位站岗倒是事实。血淋淋的案例摆在桌面，不得不让人深思：港股为什么不行？1.弹丸之地撑不起偌大的股市香港人口数量748万人，GDP2.8万亿港币，2021年末港股市值42万亿港币，市值/GDP的比重为1497%。A股市值/GDP是80%，美股是300%，日本是164%。巴菲特曾有一个指标衡量美股泡沫大小，计算基础是拿美股市值/GDP，比率处于75%-90%时为合理区间，超过120%则股市遭到高估。众所周知，股市是一国经济的晴雨表，而港股在全球主要股市中是特殊的存在，完全依靠当地经济，根本无法支撑庞大的股市。因此，港股只能依赖金融自由港的地位，吸引外地资金。对内，港股开通了沪港通，对外，港币瞄定美元，可以自由兑换和出入。然而，沪港通是有门槛的，开通需要账户有50万资产，仅此一条，A股投资者多数都不符合。即使符合条件，沪港通标的也十分有限，无法对所有港股提供弹药支持。对外，外资虽然可以自由买卖，但资本有国界，一来港股上市公司基本来自中国，外资对公司的了解程度有天然的障碍，这与国内投资者买卖美股一致，基本都只买熟悉的、日常能接触到的公司，没听说过的根本不敢买。二来，港股背靠中国，机构资金心存偏见。内外夹击，港股只能夹缝中求生存。即使生活艰难，但港交所依然卖力争夺全球IPO融资NO.1的地位。2021年，港股IPO融资额3314亿港币，位居全球第四，仅次于纳斯达克、纽交所、上交所，这是自2012年以来，香港市场IPO筹资额首次跌出全球前三的位置。为了保三争一，港交所今年开始允许SPAC（特殊目的","text":"港股为什么这么垃圾？炒过的散户，进场的时候带着一腔热情，奔着全球估值洼地慕名而来，但离场的时候，都会骂上一句：垃圾！中招的不止是散户，还有机构。2021年初，“跨过香江去，争夺定价权”的口号仿佛还响彻在耳边，而仅仅过去一年，腾讯逼近腰斩、阿里巴巴大跌60%、快手暴跌80%...定价权没拿到，高位站岗倒是事实。血淋淋的案例摆在桌面，不得不让人深思：港股为什么不行？1.弹丸之地撑不起偌大的股市香港人口数量748万人，GDP2.8万亿港币，2021年末港股市值42万亿港币，市值/GDP的比重为1497%。A股市值/GDP是80%，美股是300%，日本是164%。巴菲特曾有一个指标衡量美股泡沫大小，计算基础是拿美股市值/GDP，比率处于75%-90%时为合理区间，超过120%则股市遭到高估。众所周知，股市是一国经济的晴雨表，而港股在全球主要股市中是特殊的存在，完全依靠当地经济，根本无法支撑庞大的股市。因此，港股只能依赖金融自由港的地位，吸引外地资金。对内，港股开通了沪港通，对外，港币瞄定美元，可以自由兑换和出入。然而，沪港通是有门槛的，开通需要账户有50万资产，仅此一条，A股投资者多数都不符合。即使符合条件，沪港通标的也十分有限，无法对所有港股提供弹药支持。对外，外资虽然可以自由买卖，但资本有国界，一来港股上市公司基本来自中国，外资对公司的了解程度有天然的障碍，这与国内投资者买卖美股一致，基本都只买熟悉的、日常能接触到的公司，没听说过的根本不敢买。二来，港股背靠中国，机构资金心存偏见。内外夹击，港股只能夹缝中求生存。即使生活艰难，但港交所依然卖力争夺全球IPO融资NO.1的地位。2021年，港股IPO融资额3314亿港币，位居全球第四，仅次于纳斯达克、纽交所、上交所，这是自2012年以来，香港市场IPO筹资额首次跌出全球前三的位置。为了保三争一，港交所今年开始允许SPAC（特殊目的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e23bd6c317b12e1864e15921773cc884","width":"632","height":"273"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632637366","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616798794,"gmtCreate":1651937915318,"gmtModify":1651937915318,"author":{"id":"3579590305042911","authorId":"3579590305042911","name":"江南_1223","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8df256b8c6eb7989d8518c18ca5a2fb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579590305042911","idStr":"3579590305042911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","listText":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","text":"^_^^_^^_^^_^","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616798794","repostId":"618810672","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":618810672,"gmtCreate":1650958392275,"gmtModify":1650961755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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> 怂了！短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面，Twitter股东们急了，要是MUSK放弃了收购，那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。 在收购没有落地之前的期权策略，请参考我上一篇文章：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/611925601\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考</a> 既然收购意向达成了，那么就剩下时间问题，在这个等待过程中，卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略，可以即卖CALL也卖PUT，即卖跨式期权，其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议，空穴不来风，下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL，其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了，没有卖在价格最好的价格。卖CALL的价格选择，收购价格在$54.2，最安全的当然是$55，但是$54也一点问题都没有，我之前说过，在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况，以闪电的速度完成收购，卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter，收购价格$54.2，正股每股亏$0.2，但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。 展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。以上是卖CALL的一侧，当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢？ 按照$54.2&nbsp;*0.9&nbsp;=&nbsp;$48.78，就是$49以内的PUT，如果因为市场暴跌而行权就接盘坐等收购完成不会亏损，如果真不想行权就卖再低一点，比如打8折到$46。 以下展示未来两周到期的TWTR $46&nbsp;-&nbsp;$49的PUT的权利金。作为愿意承担一定被行权风险的我，会选择卖","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> 怂了！短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面，Twitter股东们急了，要是MUSK放弃了收购，那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。 在收购没有落地之前的期权策略，请参考我上一篇文章：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/611925601\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考</a> 既然收购意向达成了，那么就剩下时间问题，在这个等待过程中，卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略，可以即卖CALL也卖PUT，即卖跨式期权，其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议，空穴不来风，下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL，其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了，没有卖在价格最好的价格。卖CALL的价格选择，收购价格在$54.2，最安全的当然是$55，但是$54也一点问题都没有，我之前说过，在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况，以闪电的速度完成收购，卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter，收购价格$54.2，正股每股亏$0.2，但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。 展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。以上是卖CALL的一侧，当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢？ 按照$54.2&nbsp;*0.9&nbsp;=&nbsp;$48.78，就是$49以内的PUT，如果因为市场暴跌而行权就接盘坐等收购完成不会亏损，如果真不想行权就卖再低一点，比如打8折到$46。 以下展示未来两周到期的TWTR $46&nbsp;-&nbsp;$49的PUT的权利金。作为愿意承担一定被行权风险的我，会选择卖","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ 怂了！短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面，Twitter股东们急了，要是MUSK放弃了收购，那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。 在收购没有落地之前的期权策略，请参考我上一篇文章：Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考 既然收购意向达成了，那么就剩下时间问题，在这个等待过程中，卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略，可以即卖CALL也卖PUT，即卖跨式期权，其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议，空穴不来风，下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 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