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Steu
2021-09-15
$AMC 20210924 48.0 PUT(AMC)$
Now Im showing my position, this two day sure down one for amc, because tmr appl or spy will definately go up due to iphone 13, if u want earn more money, trust me, just put for two days.
Steu
2021-07-27
ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Steu
2021-09-10
$TIGR 20210917 15.0 CALL(TIGR)$
[呆住]
Steu
2021-10-09
ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Steu
2021-09-04
ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Steu
2021-08-05
ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Steu
2021-09-15
$AMC 20210924 48.0 PUT(AMC)$
guess why why I still holding?
Steu
2021-06-20
good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Steu
2021-09-10
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
my monthly commision is 1000 taken by tiger, tmr report cant be bad one. guys, we must wiong right now, tmr will be 20%
Steu
2021-08-20
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
能恢复20块吗?26号的财报
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy While They Are on Sale<blockquote>3只打折时值得买入的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141357068","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The market has been particularly harsh to high-growth stocks over recent months, causing major price","content":"<p>The market has been particularly harsh to high-growth stocks over recent months, causing major price declines in otherwise solid companies. The omicron coronavirus variant, soaring inflation, and the possibility of interest rate hikes next year are all causing uncertainty for investors today.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来,市场对高增长股票的打击尤其严重,导致原本稳健的公司价格大幅下跌。奥密克戎冠状病毒变种、通胀飙升以及明年加息的可能性都给今天的投资者带来了不确定性。</blockquote></p><p> Opportunities to buy outstanding businesses at significant discounts to their recent highs are rare. Now is not the time to abandon your long-term investing strategy. Instead, take a look at the following stocks as potential additions to your portfolio right now.</p><p><blockquote>以较近期高点大幅折扣购买优秀企业的机会很少。现在不是放弃长期投资策略的时候。相反,现在就看看以下股票作为您投资组合的潜在补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> The first stock you should consider is online marketplace <b>Etsy</b> (NASDAQ:ETSY). It's down 26% in the past month as investors worry that the pandemic-induced surge in demand for its unique goods will fade with economies slowly reopening. But if we zoom out and focus on the bigger picture, Etsy is doing just fine.</p><p><blockquote>您应该考虑的第一只股票是在线市场<b>Etsy</b>(纳斯达克:ETSY)。过去一个月下跌了26%,因为投资者担心,随着经济缓慢重新开放,大流行引发的对其独特商品的需求激增将会消退。但如果我们缩小范围,关注更大的图景,Etsy做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> The platform generated $3.1 billion in gross merchandise sales (GMS) in the third quarter, up 17.9% over the year-ago period. This was all the more impressive given that a year ago GMS shot up 119%. The ecosystem is robust and growing with 96 million active buyers and 7.5 million active sellers, both of which are up substantially on a sequential basis.</p><p><blockquote>该平台第三季度商品销售总额(GMS)为31亿美元,同比增长17.9%。考虑到一年前GMS飙升了119%,这就更加令人印象深刻了。该生态系统强大且不断增长,拥有9600万活跃买家和750万活跃卖家,这两个数字均环比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 12 months, Etsy's profit margin was a superb 21.6%. And the business is a cash cow, producing $584 million in free cash flow during that time. That leaves lots of room to potentially buy back stock, further boosting earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,Etsy的利润率高达21.6%。该业务是一棵摇钱树,在此期间产生了5.84亿美元的自由现金流。这为回购股票留下了很大的空间,进一步提高了每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has been a massive outperformer, skyrocketing nearly 1,600% over the past five years. But don't think the party is over for this booming e-commerce business. CEO Josh Silverman has ambitions to create a \"House of Brands\" that will penetrate what the leadership team believes is a $1.7 trillion global opportunity. The recent acquisitions of Depop, a secondhand-fashion reseller, and Elo7, known as the Etsy of Brazil, should help support that vision of growth for the company in the decade ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该股表现出色,在过去五年中飙升了近1,600%。但不要认为这个蓬勃发展的电子商务业务的派对已经结束。首席执行官乔什·西尔弗曼(Josh Silverman)雄心勃勃地创建一个“品牌之家”,以渗透领导团队认为的1.7万亿美元的全球机遇。最近对二手时装经销商Depop和被称为巴西Etsy的Elo7的收购应该有助于支持该公司未来十年的增长愿景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The Joint Corp.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.联合公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Who knew that offering fast and affordable back adjustments would be such a lucrative business model? That's exactly what <b>The Joint Corp.</b> (NASDAQ:JYNT)is doing. The nationwide franchisor and operator of 666 chiropractic clinics has been growing at a breathtaking pace. A decade ago, the company had just 26 locations.</p><p><blockquote>谁知道提供快速和负担得起的背部调整会是一个如此有利可图的商业模式?这正是<b>联合公司。</b>(纳斯达克:JYNT)正在做。全国666家脊椎指压治疗诊所的特许经营商和经营者一直在以惊人的速度增长。十年前,该公司只有26个地点。</blockquote></p><p> After reaching an all-time high of $107.30 in early September, the stock has crashed over 40%. Even so, the price is up 135% year to date. This company does away with the traditional, insurance-based structure by letting patients walk in (no appointment needed) and receive quick and effective treatment from a licensed chiropractor. At $29, a visit here is often lower than co-pays at independent chiropractor offices.</p><p><blockquote>在9月初达到107.30美元的历史高点后,该股已暴跌超过40%。即便如此,今年迄今为止价格仍上涨了135%。这家公司废除了传统的、基于保险的结构,让病人走进去(不需要预约),接受有执照的脊椎指压治疗师的快速有效的治疗。这里的就诊费用为29美元,通常低于独立脊椎指压治疗师办公室的自付费用。</blockquote></p><p> The model is working. Same-store sales for locations open at least four years jumped 21% in the latest quarter. And with annual spending on back pain in the U.S. estimated to be $134 billion, there is a massive market opportunity. The Joint's trailing-12-month revenue totaled $75 million.</p><p><blockquote>这个模型正在起作用。最近一个季度,开业至少四年的门店同店销售额增长了21%。美国每年在背痛方面的支出估计为1340亿美元,存在巨大的市场机会。该合资企业过去12个月的收入总计7500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management is confident the company can one day have 1,800 locations in the U.S., almost triple its current footprint. With 295 clinics in active development and 132 franchise licenses sold in the first nine months of 2021, The Joint is well on its way to bringing chiropractic care to the masses.</p><p><blockquote>管理层相信,该公司有一天可以在美国拥有1,800个分支机构,几乎是目前足迹的三倍。随着295家诊所在积极发展,2021年前9个月售出132份特许经营许可证,该联合公司正在向大众提供脊椎指压治疗护理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Roku</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.Roku</b></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps the biggest shocker on this list is <b>Roku</b> (NASDAQ:ROKU), which has seen its stock shed roughly half of its value since July. Some challenges, including missing Wall Street's sales estimates in the third quarter plus supply-chain bottlenecks, are certainly pressuring the stock. But I still firmly believe that the long-term outlook for Roku is intact.</p><p><blockquote>也许这份名单上最令人震惊的是<b>Roku</b>(纳斯达克:ROKU),自7月份以来,其股价已下跌约一半。一些挑战,包括第三季度未达到华尔街的销售预期以及供应链瓶颈,无疑给该股带来了压力。但我仍然坚信Roku的长期前景是完整的。</blockquote></p><p> This top streaming business is attractive not because of its media sticks, which have actually been sold at a loss in the past two quarters, but because of its burgeoning platform segment. This is where high-margin advertising and subscription fees are. In the most recent quarter, the platform business represented 86% of total revenue, a figure that has steadily increased over time.</p><p><blockquote>这项顶级流媒体业务之所以有吸引力,并不是因为其媒体棒(过去两个季度实际上一直在亏本出售),而是因为其蓬勃发展的平台部门。这就是高利润广告和订阅费的所在。最近一个季度,平台业务占总收入的86%,这一数字随着时间的推移稳步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Roku's 56.4 million active accounts streamed 18 billion hours of content in the latest three-month period. But what really stood out was the average revenue per user of $40.10. The monster success of The Roku Channel, now a top-five channel on the platform, has further helped ad revenue. This allows even greater investment in content (including 50 new original series planned over the next two years), bringing in new viewers.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的5640万活跃账户在最近三个月内播放了180亿小时的内容。但真正突出的是每个用户40.10美元的平均收入。Roku频道(现已成为该平台排名前五的频道)的巨大成功进一步提高了广告收入。这使得在内容上进行更大的投资(包括未来两年计划推出的50部新的原创剧集),带来新的观众。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The management team, led by CEO Anthony Wood, thinks that streaming is the future of video entertainment. The ongoing decline of cable-TV subscribers makes this trend undeniable. Roku will continue riding this wave as it tackles overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>由首席执行官安东尼·伍德领导的管理团队认为流媒体是视频娱乐的未来。有线电视用户的持续下降使得这一趋势不可否认。Roku将继续乘风破浪,进军海外市场,特别是欧洲和拉丁美洲。</blockquote></p><p> Taking advantage of what the market is giving you today by adding shares in these proven winners, now at steep discounts, could be a game-changer for your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>利用市场今天为您提供的机会,通过添加这些经过验证的赢家的股票(现在以大幅折扣),可能会改变您投资组合的游戏规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy While They Are on Sale<blockquote>3只打折时值得买入的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy While They Are on Sale<blockquote>3只打折时值得买入的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 17:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market has been particularly harsh to high-growth stocks over recent months, causing major price declines in otherwise solid companies. The omicron coronavirus variant, soaring inflation, and the possibility of interest rate hikes next year are all causing uncertainty for investors today.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来,市场对高增长股票的打击尤其严重,导致原本稳健的公司价格大幅下跌。奥密克戎冠状病毒变种、通胀飙升以及明年加息的可能性都给今天的投资者带来了不确定性。</blockquote></p><p> Opportunities to buy outstanding businesses at significant discounts to their recent highs are rare. Now is not the time to abandon your long-term investing strategy. Instead, take a look at the following stocks as potential additions to your portfolio right now.</p><p><blockquote>以较近期高点大幅折扣购买优秀企业的机会很少。现在不是放弃长期投资策略的时候。相反,现在就看看以下股票作为您投资组合的潜在补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> The first stock you should consider is online marketplace <b>Etsy</b> (NASDAQ:ETSY). It's down 26% in the past month as investors worry that the pandemic-induced surge in demand for its unique goods will fade with economies slowly reopening. But if we zoom out and focus on the bigger picture, Etsy is doing just fine.</p><p><blockquote>您应该考虑的第一只股票是在线市场<b>Etsy</b>(纳斯达克:ETSY)。过去一个月下跌了26%,因为投资者担心,随着经济缓慢重新开放,大流行引发的对其独特商品的需求激增将会消退。但如果我们缩小范围,关注更大的图景,Etsy做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> The platform generated $3.1 billion in gross merchandise sales (GMS) in the third quarter, up 17.9% over the year-ago period. This was all the more impressive given that a year ago GMS shot up 119%. The ecosystem is robust and growing with 96 million active buyers and 7.5 million active sellers, both of which are up substantially on a sequential basis.</p><p><blockquote>该平台第三季度商品销售总额(GMS)为31亿美元,同比增长17.9%。考虑到一年前GMS飙升了119%,这就更加令人印象深刻了。该生态系统强大且不断增长,拥有9600万活跃买家和750万活跃卖家,这两个数字均环比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 12 months, Etsy's profit margin was a superb 21.6%. And the business is a cash cow, producing $584 million in free cash flow during that time. That leaves lots of room to potentially buy back stock, further boosting earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,Etsy的利润率高达21.6%。该业务是一棵摇钱树,在此期间产生了5.84亿美元的自由现金流。这为回购股票留下了很大的空间,进一步提高了每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has been a massive outperformer, skyrocketing nearly 1,600% over the past five years. But don't think the party is over for this booming e-commerce business. CEO Josh Silverman has ambitions to create a \"House of Brands\" that will penetrate what the leadership team believes is a $1.7 trillion global opportunity. The recent acquisitions of Depop, a secondhand-fashion reseller, and Elo7, known as the Etsy of Brazil, should help support that vision of growth for the company in the decade ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该股表现出色,在过去五年中飙升了近1,600%。但不要认为这个蓬勃发展的电子商务业务的派对已经结束。首席执行官乔什·西尔弗曼(Josh Silverman)雄心勃勃地创建一个“品牌之家”,以渗透领导团队认为的1.7万亿美元的全球机遇。最近对二手时装经销商Depop和被称为巴西Etsy的Elo7的收购应该有助于支持该公司未来十年的增长愿景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The Joint Corp.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.联合公司。</b></blockquote></p><p> Who knew that offering fast and affordable back adjustments would be such a lucrative business model? That's exactly what <b>The Joint Corp.</b> (NASDAQ:JYNT)is doing. The nationwide franchisor and operator of 666 chiropractic clinics has been growing at a breathtaking pace. A decade ago, the company had just 26 locations.</p><p><blockquote>谁知道提供快速和负担得起的背部调整会是一个如此有利可图的商业模式?这正是<b>联合公司。</b>(纳斯达克:JYNT)正在做。全国666家脊椎指压治疗诊所的特许经营商和经营者一直在以惊人的速度增长。十年前,该公司只有26个地点。</blockquote></p><p> After reaching an all-time high of $107.30 in early September, the stock has crashed over 40%. Even so, the price is up 135% year to date. This company does away with the traditional, insurance-based structure by letting patients walk in (no appointment needed) and receive quick and effective treatment from a licensed chiropractor. At $29, a visit here is often lower than co-pays at independent chiropractor offices.</p><p><blockquote>在9月初达到107.30美元的历史高点后,该股已暴跌超过40%。即便如此,今年迄今为止价格仍上涨了135%。这家公司废除了传统的、基于保险的结构,让病人走进去(不需要预约),接受有执照的脊椎指压治疗师的快速有效的治疗。这里的就诊费用为29美元,通常低于独立脊椎指压治疗师办公室的自付费用。</blockquote></p><p> The model is working. Same-store sales for locations open at least four years jumped 21% in the latest quarter. And with annual spending on back pain in the U.S. estimated to be $134 billion, there is a massive market opportunity. The Joint's trailing-12-month revenue totaled $75 million.</p><p><blockquote>这个模型正在起作用。最近一个季度,开业至少四年的门店同店销售额增长了21%。美国每年在背痛方面的支出估计为1340亿美元,存在巨大的市场机会。该合资企业过去12个月的收入总计7500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management is confident the company can one day have 1,800 locations in the U.S., almost triple its current footprint. With 295 clinics in active development and 132 franchise licenses sold in the first nine months of 2021, The Joint is well on its way to bringing chiropractic care to the masses.</p><p><blockquote>管理层相信,该公司有一天可以在美国拥有1,800个分支机构,几乎是目前足迹的三倍。随着295家诊所在积极发展,2021年前9个月售出132份特许经营许可证,该联合公司正在向大众提供脊椎指压治疗护理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Roku</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.Roku</b></blockquote></p><p> Perhaps the biggest shocker on this list is <b>Roku</b> (NASDAQ:ROKU), which has seen its stock shed roughly half of its value since July. Some challenges, including missing Wall Street's sales estimates in the third quarter plus supply-chain bottlenecks, are certainly pressuring the stock. But I still firmly believe that the long-term outlook for Roku is intact.</p><p><blockquote>也许这份名单上最令人震惊的是<b>Roku</b>(纳斯达克:ROKU),自7月份以来,其股价已下跌约一半。一些挑战,包括第三季度未达到华尔街的销售预期以及供应链瓶颈,无疑给该股带来了压力。但我仍然坚信Roku的长期前景是完整的。</blockquote></p><p> This top streaming business is attractive not because of its media sticks, which have actually been sold at a loss in the past two quarters, but because of its burgeoning platform segment. This is where high-margin advertising and subscription fees are. In the most recent quarter, the platform business represented 86% of total revenue, a figure that has steadily increased over time.</p><p><blockquote>这项顶级流媒体业务之所以有吸引力,并不是因为其媒体棒(过去两个季度实际上一直在亏本出售),而是因为其蓬勃发展的平台部门。这就是高利润广告和订阅费的所在。最近一个季度,平台业务占总收入的86%,这一数字随着时间的推移稳步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Roku's 56.4 million active accounts streamed 18 billion hours of content in the latest three-month period. But what really stood out was the average revenue per user of $40.10. The monster success of The Roku Channel, now a top-five channel on the platform, has further helped ad revenue. This allows even greater investment in content (including 50 new original series planned over the next two years), bringing in new viewers.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的5640万活跃账户在最近三个月内播放了180亿小时的内容。但真正突出的是每个用户40.10美元的平均收入。Roku频道(现已成为该平台排名前五的频道)的巨大成功进一步提高了广告收入。这使得在内容上进行更大的投资(包括未来两年计划推出的50部新的原创剧集),带来新的观众。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The management team, led by CEO Anthony Wood, thinks that streaming is the future of video entertainment. The ongoing decline of cable-TV subscribers makes this trend undeniable. Roku will continue riding this wave as it tackles overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>由首席执行官安东尼·伍德领导的管理团队认为流媒体是视频娱乐的未来。有线电视用户的持续下降使得这一趋势不可否认。Roku将继续乘风破浪,进军海外市场,特别是欧洲和拉丁美洲。</blockquote></p><p> Taking advantage of what the market is giving you today by adding shares in these proven winners, now at steep discounts, could be a game-changer for your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>利用市场今天为您提供的机会,通过添加这些经过验证的赢家的股票(现在以大幅折扣),可能会改变您投资组合的游戏规则。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/3-stocks-to-buy-while-they-are-on-sale/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","JYNT":"The Joint Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/3-stocks-to-buy-while-they-are-on-sale/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141357068","content_text":"The market has been particularly harsh to high-growth stocks over recent months, causing major price declines in otherwise solid companies. The omicron coronavirus variant, soaring inflation, and the possibility of interest rate hikes next year are all causing uncertainty for investors today.\nOpportunities to buy outstanding businesses at significant discounts to their recent highs are rare. Now is not the time to abandon your long-term investing strategy. Instead, take a look at the following stocks as potential additions to your portfolio right now.\n1. Etsy\nThe first stock you should consider is online marketplace Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY). It's down 26% in the past month as investors worry that the pandemic-induced surge in demand for its unique goods will fade with economies slowly reopening. But if we zoom out and focus on the bigger picture, Etsy is doing just fine.\nThe platform generated $3.1 billion in gross merchandise sales (GMS) in the third quarter, up 17.9% over the year-ago period. This was all the more impressive given that a year ago GMS shot up 119%. The ecosystem is robust and growing with 96 million active buyers and 7.5 million active sellers, both of which are up substantially on a sequential basis.\nOver the past 12 months, Etsy's profit margin was a superb 21.6%. And the business is a cash cow, producing $584 million in free cash flow during that time. That leaves lots of room to potentially buy back stock, further boosting earnings per share.\nThe stock has been a massive outperformer, skyrocketing nearly 1,600% over the past five years. But don't think the party is over for this booming e-commerce business. CEO Josh Silverman has ambitions to create a \"House of Brands\" that will penetrate what the leadership team believes is a $1.7 trillion global opportunity. The recent acquisitions of Depop, a secondhand-fashion reseller, and Elo7, known as the Etsy of Brazil, should help support that vision of growth for the company in the decade ahead.\n2. The Joint Corp.\nWho knew that offering fast and affordable back adjustments would be such a lucrative business model? That's exactly what The Joint Corp. (NASDAQ:JYNT)is doing. The nationwide franchisor and operator of 666 chiropractic clinics has been growing at a breathtaking pace. A decade ago, the company had just 26 locations.\nAfter reaching an all-time high of $107.30 in early September, the stock has crashed over 40%. Even so, the price is up 135% year to date. This company does away with the traditional, insurance-based structure by letting patients walk in (no appointment needed) and receive quick and effective treatment from a licensed chiropractor. At $29, a visit here is often lower than co-pays at independent chiropractor offices.\nThe model is working. Same-store sales for locations open at least four years jumped 21% in the latest quarter. And with annual spending on back pain in the U.S. estimated to be $134 billion, there is a massive market opportunity. The Joint's trailing-12-month revenue totaled $75 million.\nManagement is confident the company can one day have 1,800 locations in the U.S., almost triple its current footprint. With 295 clinics in active development and 132 franchise licenses sold in the first nine months of 2021, The Joint is well on its way to bringing chiropractic care to the masses.\n3. Roku\nPerhaps the biggest shocker on this list is Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), which has seen its stock shed roughly half of its value since July. Some challenges, including missing Wall Street's sales estimates in the third quarter plus supply-chain bottlenecks, are certainly pressuring the stock. But I still firmly believe that the long-term outlook for Roku is intact.\nThis top streaming business is attractive not because of its media sticks, which have actually been sold at a loss in the past two quarters, but because of its burgeoning platform segment. This is where high-margin advertising and subscription fees are. In the most recent quarter, the platform business represented 86% of total revenue, a figure that has steadily increased over time.\nRoku's 56.4 million active accounts streamed 18 billion hours of content in the latest three-month period. But what really stood out was the average revenue per user of $40.10. The monster success of The Roku Channel, now a top-five channel on the platform, has further helped ad revenue. This allows even greater investment in content (including 50 new original series planned over the next two years), bringing in new viewers.\nThe management team, led by CEO Anthony Wood, thinks that streaming is the future of video entertainment. The ongoing decline of cable-TV subscribers makes this trend undeniable. Roku will continue riding this wave as it tackles overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Latin America.\nTaking advantage of what the market is giving you today by adding shares in these proven winners, now at steep discounts, could be a game-changer for your portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ETSY":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"JYNT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871569404,"gmtCreate":1637085980917,"gmtModify":1637086338526,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"title":"Tiger broker got problem?","htmlText":"why my apps cannot see the watchlist? anyone faced this issue now?","listText":"why my apps cannot see the watchlist? anyone faced this issue now?","text":"why my apps cannot see the watchlist? anyone faced this issue now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871569404","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879660753,"gmtCreate":1636718017672,"gmtModify":1636718017940,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579215123116789\">@Steu</a>:will this tesla go dip?","listText":"ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579215123116789\">@Steu</a>:will this tesla go dip?","text":"ok//@Steu:will this tesla go dip?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879660753","repostId":"1101762629","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101762629","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636715542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101762629?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 19:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11<blockquote>马斯克11月11日进一步抛售特斯拉股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101762629","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.","content":"<p>Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.</p><p><blockquote>根据SEC的文件,马斯克在11月11日进一步出售了特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk further sold Tesla shares on November 11<blockquote>马斯克11月11日进一步抛售特斯拉股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-12 19:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.</p><p><blockquote>根据SEC的文件,马斯克在11月11日进一步出售了特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101762629","content_text":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879685881,"gmtCreate":1636717427229,"gmtModify":1636717460842,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"will this tesla go dip?","listText":"will this tesla go dip?","text":"will this tesla go dip?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879685881","repostId":"1101762629","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101762629","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636715542,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101762629?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 19:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11<blockquote>马斯克11月11日进一步抛售特斯拉股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101762629","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.","content":"<p>Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.</p><p><blockquote>根据SEC的文件,马斯克在11月11日进一步出售了特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11<blockquote>马斯克11月11日进一步抛售特斯拉股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk further sold Tesla shares on November 11<blockquote>马斯克11月11日进一步抛售特斯拉股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-12 19:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.</p><p><blockquote>根据SEC的文件,马斯克在11月11日进一步出售了特斯拉股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101762629","content_text":"Musk further sold Tesla shares on November 11, according to the SEC files.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842309949,"gmtCreate":1636129157276,"gmtModify":1636129158129,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice job. beats ","listText":"nice job. beats ","text":"nice job. beats","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842309949","repostId":"1163952473","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843867751,"gmtCreate":1635818343709,"gmtModify":1635818343966,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like urself","listText":"like urself","text":"like urself","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843867751","repostId":"1129056623","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129056623","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635817478,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129056623?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Electric vehicle maker Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO<blockquote>电动汽车制造商Rivian寻求IPO融资84亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129056623","media":"TechCrunch","summary":"Electric vehicle startup Rivian hopes to raise up $8.4 billion in its initial public offering, accor","content":"<p>Electric vehicle startup Rivian hopes to raise up $8.4 billion in its initial public offering, according to aregulatory filing posted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>根据周一发布的监管文件,电动汽车初创公司Rivian希望在首次公开募股中筹集84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which is backed by Amazon, said in the filing that it plans to offer 135 million shares at a price between $57 and $62. Underwriters also have an option to buy up to 20.25 million additional shares. If underwriters exercise that option, Rivian would raise as much as $9.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到亚马逊的支持,在文件中表示,计划以57美元至62美元的价格发行1.35亿股股票。承销商还可以选择购买最多2025万股额外股票。如果承销商行使这一选择权,Rivian将筹集高达96亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the number of outstanding shares, that would put its market valuation at about $53 billion. If employee stock options and other restricted shares are considered, Rivian's valuation could be as high as $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量,其市场估值约为530亿美元。如果考虑员工股票期权和其他限制性股票,Rivian的估值可能高达600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian filed October 1 to become a publicly traded company in the United States. The S-1 document did not disclose the targeted share price at the time. An amended document filed Monday provided the new information, which included interest from repeat backer Amazon and newcomer Blackstone in Rivian.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian于10月1日申请成为美国上市公司。S-1文件当时没有披露目标股价。周一提交的一份修订文件提供了新信息,其中包括Rivian的老支持者亚马逊和新来者黑石的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon, funds and accounts advised by T. Rowe Price Associates, Coatue Management, Franklin Templeton, Capital Research Global Investors, D1 Capital Partners LP, Third Point LLC, funds affiliated with Blackstone Alternative Asset Management, Dragoneer Investment Group LLC and certain entities affiliated with Soros Fund Management LLC have indicated an interest in buying up to $5 billion of shares of Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊、T.Rowe Price Associates、Coatue Management、Franklin Templeton、Capital Research Global Investors、D1 Capital Partners LP、Third Point LLC、Blackstone Alternative Asset Management附属基金、Dragoneer Investment Group LLC以及索罗斯基金附属某些实体提供咨询的基金和账户管理有限责任公司已表示有兴趣购买最多50亿美元的A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> A recent filing by Amazon shows the e-commerce giant already holds a 20% stake in Rivian.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊最近提交的一份文件显示,这家电子商务巨头已经持有Rivian 20%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian's filing was been one of the most anticipated of the year; now attention has turned to its public debut on the Nasdaq exchange. Rivian will trade under the ticker symbol RIVN.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian的申请是今年最受期待的申请之一;现在人们的注意力转向了它在纳斯达克交易所的首次公开亮相。Rivian将以股票代码RIVN进行交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1602557183277","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Electric vehicle maker Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO<blockquote>电动汽车制造商Rivian寻求IPO融资84亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElectric vehicle maker Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO<blockquote>电动汽车制造商Rivian寻求IPO融资84亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TechCrunch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric vehicle startup Rivian hopes to raise up $8.4 billion in its initial public offering, according to aregulatory filing posted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>根据周一发布的监管文件,电动汽车初创公司Rivian希望在首次公开募股中筹集84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which is backed by Amazon, said in the filing that it plans to offer 135 million shares at a price between $57 and $62. Underwriters also have an option to buy up to 20.25 million additional shares. If underwriters exercise that option, Rivian would raise as much as $9.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到亚马逊的支持,在文件中表示,计划以57美元至62美元的价格发行1.35亿股股票。承销商还可以选择购买最多2025万股额外股票。如果承销商行使这一选择权,Rivian将筹集高达96亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the number of outstanding shares, that would put its market valuation at about $53 billion. If employee stock options and other restricted shares are considered, Rivian's valuation could be as high as $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量,其市场估值约为530亿美元。如果考虑员工股票期权和其他限制性股票,Rivian的估值可能高达600亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian filed October 1 to become a publicly traded company in the United States. The S-1 document did not disclose the targeted share price at the time. An amended document filed Monday provided the new information, which included interest from repeat backer Amazon and newcomer Blackstone in Rivian.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian于10月1日申请成为美国上市公司。S-1文件当时没有披露目标股价。周一提交的一份修订文件提供了新信息,其中包括Rivian的老支持者亚马逊和新来者黑石的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon, funds and accounts advised by T. Rowe Price Associates, Coatue Management, Franklin Templeton, Capital Research Global Investors, D1 Capital Partners LP, Third Point LLC, funds affiliated with Blackstone Alternative Asset Management, Dragoneer Investment Group LLC and certain entities affiliated with Soros Fund Management LLC have indicated an interest in buying up to $5 billion of shares of Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊、T.Rowe Price Associates、Coatue Management、Franklin Templeton、Capital Research Global Investors、D1 Capital Partners LP、Third Point LLC、Blackstone Alternative Asset Management附属基金、Dragoneer Investment Group LLC以及索罗斯基金附属某些实体提供咨询的基金和账户管理有限责任公司已表示有兴趣购买最多50亿美元的A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> A recent filing by Amazon shows the e-commerce giant already holds a 20% stake in Rivian.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊最近提交的一份文件显示,这家电子商务巨头已经持有Rivian 20%的股份。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian's filing was been one of the most anticipated of the year; now attention has turned to its public debut on the Nasdaq exchange. Rivian will trade under the ticker symbol RIVN.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian的申请是今年最受期待的申请之一;现在人们的注意力转向了它在纳斯达克交易所的首次公开亮相。Rivian将以股票代码RIVN进行交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/electric-vehicle-maker-rivian-seeks-231423387.html\">TechCrunch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/electric-vehicle-maker-rivian-seeks-231423387.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129056623","content_text":"Electric vehicle startup Rivian hopes to raise up $8.4 billion in its initial public offering, according to aregulatory filing posted Monday.\nThe company, which is backed by Amazon, said in the filing that it plans to offer 135 million shares at a price between $57 and $62. Underwriters also have an option to buy up to 20.25 million additional shares. If underwriters exercise that option, Rivian would raise as much as $9.6 billion.\nBased on the number of outstanding shares, that would put its market valuation at about $53 billion. If employee stock options and other restricted shares are considered, Rivian's valuation could be as high as $60 billion.\nRivian filed October 1 to become a publicly traded company in the United States. The S-1 document did not disclose the targeted share price at the time. An amended document filed Monday provided the new information, which included interest from repeat backer Amazon and newcomer Blackstone in Rivian.\nAmazon, funds and accounts advised by T. Rowe Price Associates, Coatue Management, Franklin Templeton, Capital Research Global Investors, D1 Capital Partners LP, Third Point LLC, funds affiliated with Blackstone Alternative Asset Management, Dragoneer Investment Group LLC and certain entities affiliated with Soros Fund Management LLC have indicated an interest in buying up to $5 billion of shares of Class A common stock.\nA recent filing by Amazon shows the e-commerce giant already holds a 20% stake in Rivian.\nRivian's filing was been one of the most anticipated of the year; now attention has turned to its public debut on the Nasdaq exchange. Rivian will trade under the ticker symbol RIVN.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849097991,"gmtCreate":1635698284458,"gmtModify":1635698284735,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hehw","listText":"hehw","text":"hehw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849097991","repostId":"2179471352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179471352","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635566092,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2179471352?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 11:54","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Opinion:Here's the math for Tesla's stock price if it becomes the Apple of car makers<blockquote>观点:如果特斯拉成为汽车制造商的苹果,其股价的计算结果如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179471352","media":"Market watch","summary":"For those that don’t know, in the early 2000s it was unimaginable that these legacy mobile phone manufacturers could disappear. In 2006, Research in Motion , the company making BlackBerrys, lost a patent suit against NTP and a U.S. District Court judge slapped an injunction on sales. The Defense Department stepped in, claiming that a Blackberry injunction was a threat to national security. Meanwhile, industry leader Nokia held a 40% market share and by the end of 2007 sported a $230 billion mark","content":"<p>Fans and shareholders of Tesla are making stronger and louder arguments about the future of their favorite company. In them, they draw analogies to one of the most successful brands and businesses in the history of capitalism. They suggest that automaking may go the way of handset manufacturing and that – for TeslaTSLA,+3.43%– there is a strong resemblance to the AppleAAPL,-1.82%vs. Nokia/Blackberry/Ericsson/Motorola dynamic.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的粉丝和股东正在就他们最喜欢的公司的未来进行更强烈、更响亮的争论。在其中,他们将资本主义历史上最成功的品牌和企业之一进行了类比。他们表示,汽车制造可能会走手机制造的道路,而特斯拉TSLA(+3.43%)与苹果AAPL(-1.82%)有很大相似之处。诺基亚/黑莓/爱立信/摩托罗拉动态。</blockquote></p><p> For those that don’t know, in the early 2000s it was unimaginable that these legacy mobile phone manufacturers could disappear. In 2006, Research in Motion (RIM), the company making BlackBerrys, lost a patent suit against NTP and a U.S. District Court judge slapped an injunction on sales. The Defense Department stepped in, claiming that a Blackberry injunction was a threat to national security. Meanwhile, industry leader Nokia held a 40% market share and by the end of 2007 sported a $230 billion market cap.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些不知道的人来说,在21世纪初,这些传统手机制造商会消失是不可想象的。2006年,制造黑莓手机的Research in Motion(RIM)在针对NTP的专利诉讼中败诉,美国地方法院法官发布了销售禁令。国防部介入,声称黑莓禁令对国家安全构成威胁。与此同时,行业领导者诺基亚占据了40%的市场份额,到2007年底,市值达到2300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But something else happened in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但2007年发生了另一件事。</blockquote></p><p> Steve Jobs introduced the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>史蒂夫·乔布斯推出了iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> And that changed the game for Nokia, Blackberry and the entire industry, forever.</p><p><blockquote>这永远改变了诺基亚、黑莓和整个行业的游戏规则。</blockquote></p><p> Coincidentally, Jobs introduced that iPhone seven months after Tesla introduced the Roadster at the San Francisco International Auto Show. Fast forward to 2021, and the bulls are suggesting that Apple’s overwhelming success in handset manufacturing can be mirrored in automobile manufacturing by Elon Musk’s Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>巧合的是,乔布斯在特斯拉在三藩市国际车展上推出Roadster七个月后推出了iPhone。快进到2021年,看涨者认为,苹果在手机制造领域取得的压倒性成功可以通过Elon Musk的特斯拉在汽车制造领域得到体现。</blockquote></p><p> For this to happen, let’s first assume that within 15 years buyers will demand a broadly similar “form factor” for any vehicle. Today, there are 250 brands of cars sold to fit all appetites and budgets, and perhaps over 1,000 trims. Meanwhile, thanks to the iPhone, handset hardware has gone from a myriad of styles, sizes and forms to basically one.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现这一点,让我们首先假设在15年内,买家将要求任何车辆具有大致相似的“外形”。如今,有250个品牌的汽车可满足各种需求和预算,或许还有1,000多种装饰。与此同时,多亏了iPhone,手机硬件已经从无数的风格、尺寸和形式变成了基本上只有一种。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, let’s imagine that the production and value of automobiles and light trucks will become less about the style or performance that is demanded and instead mostly about the software inside the vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>同样,让我们想象一下,汽车和轻型卡车的生产和价值将不再取决于所需的风格或性能,而是主要取决于车辆内部的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Finally (and this is a huge debate, but) let’s presuppose that Tesla will have better software – most importantly better autonomous driving capability – than any other vendor or manufacturer, whether in Silicon Valley, Detroit, Wolfsburg or elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>最后(这是一个巨大的争论,但是)让我们假设特斯拉将拥有比任何其他供应商或制造商更好的软件——最重要的是更好的自动驾驶能力——无论是在硅谷、底特律、沃尔夫斯堡还是其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, let’s assume that Tesla is going to become the Apple of automakers.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,让我们假设特斯拉将成为汽车制造商的苹果。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, we need to ignore that Apple is not just a handset manufacturer. In the first three quarters this year, it reported over $150 billion of iPhone sales, which represented 55% of total sales. It also reported sales from the “Services” segment, which included sales from advertising, digital content, AppleCare and other lines. If we assume all that revenue was driven by the iPhone (even though not all was), then we get the iPhone representing about 65%-70% of Apple’s sales.</p><p><blockquote>要做到这一点,我们需要忽略苹果不仅仅是一家手机制造商。今年前三季度,iPhone销售额超过1500亿美元,占总销售额的55%。它还报告了“服务”部门的销售额,其中包括广告、数字内容、AppleCare和其他产品线的销售额。如果我们假设所有收入都是由iPhone推动的(尽管不是全部),那么我们得到的iPhone约占苹果销售额的65%-70%。</blockquote></p><p> This implies Apple has a substantial business (about $110 billion this year) selling Macs, iPads, wearables and accessories too. So in our “Tesla is Apple” analogy, we need to assume that Tesla will make similar extensions into new products.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着苹果也有大量销售Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备和配件的业务(今年约1100亿美元)。因此,在我们的“特斯拉就是苹果”类比中,我们需要假设特斯拉将在新产品中进行类似的扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We also need to ignore that most of the profit for Apple in handsets comes from mobile advertising and app sales, much of which Apple reports in that services segment noted above. Again, to stay in our framework, we also need to believe that Tesla would generate something similar via its over-the-air updates or its own app store.</p><p><blockquote>我们还需要忽略这样一个事实,即苹果在手机领域的大部分利润来自移动广告和应用程序销售,其中大部分是苹果在上述服务部门报告的。同样,为了留在我们的框架中,我们还需要相信特斯拉会通过其无线更新或自己的应用商店生成类似的东西。</blockquote></p><p> Making all these assumptions, then future margins in “automaking” – for at least one manufacturer – could theoretically start trending up toward the margins generated today by Apple.</p><p><blockquote>做出所有这些假设,那么“汽车制造”的未来利润率——至少一家制造商——理论上可能会开始向苹果今天产生的利润率上升。</blockquote></p><p> So in terms of handset market share, people around the world are going to buy approximately 1.4 billion handsets this year, and the average selling price will be about $320. Apple has about 16% of the global market, and will sell about 225 million iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>因此,就手机市场份额而言,今年世界各地的人们将购买大约14亿部手机,平均售价约为320美元。苹果拥有全球约16%的市场份额,将售出约2.25亿部iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> Just guessing here, but if these iPhones are sold at an average price of $890, then the average price of all the other phones sold in the world needs to be about $125 for the math to make sense. And because Apple can sell its iPhone at such a huge premium and produce remarkable revenues from advertising and app store sales, it generates a whopping 24% earnings margin.</p><p><blockquote>这里只是猜测,但如果这些iPhones的平均售价为890美元,那么世界上销售的所有其他手机的平均价格需要在125美元左右,数学才有意义。由于苹果可以以如此高的溢价出售其iPhone,并从广告和应用商店销售中产生可观的收入,因此它的利润率高达24%。</blockquote></p><p> In comparison, VolkswagenVOW3,-0.49%VWAPY,-2.43%,which started operations in 1938, has worked its way up to a global market share of 12.0% and generates net income margins of 5.0%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,大众汽车VOW3,-0.49%VWAPY,-2.43%于1938年开始运营,全球市场份额已升至12.0%,净利润率为5.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Toyota7203,+0.33%TM,+0.05%,which also started operations in 1938, also has a global market share of 12.0% and generates even better net income margins of approximately 7.0%.</p><p><blockquote>同样于1938年开始运营的丰田7203,+0.33%TM,+0.05%,全球市场份额也为12.0%,净利润率甚至更高,约为7.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Nokia, for what it is worth, generated 14% net margins before the iPhone changed the game. In other words, even before Apple showed up, handset manufacturing was over twice as profitable for market leaders as making cars.</p><p><blockquote>就其价值而言,在iPhone改变游戏规则之前,诺基亚的净利润率为14%。换句话说,即使在苹果出现之前,市场领导者制造手机的利润也是制造汽车的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Anyway, folks around the world will buy about 75 million new cars this year, and at an average price of $30,000 (ballpark) this works out to over $2.2 trillion in sales. This is about five times larger than the handset market, which will come in at about $450 million. Toyota and Volkswagen are the largest – and best in class – scale automobile manufacturers in the world. Other groups, including FordF,+1.30%,Stellantis (FCA/Peugeot)STLA,-0.50%,DaimlerDAI,+2.25%,General MotorsGM,+0.35%,Honda7267,-0.53%HMC,-0.40%,BMWBMW,-0.11%and many others also have significant share.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,今年世界各地的人们将购买约7500万辆新车,按平均价格3万美元(大概)计算,销售额将超过2.2万亿美元。这大约是手机市场的五倍,手机市场的收入约为4.5亿美元。丰田和大众是世界上最大也是同类规模最好的汽车制造商。其他集团,包括福特F,+1.30%,Stellantis(FCA/Peugeot)STLA,-0.50%,戴姆勒DAI,+2.25%,通用汽车GM,+0.35%,本田7267,-0.53%HMC,-0.40%,宝马BMW,-0.11%和许多其他公司也拥有很大的份额。</blockquote></p><p> This year, Tesla will sell about a million cars, representing a global market share of 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>今年,特斯拉将销售约100万辆汽车,占全球市场份额1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> And dare I say that each of Tesla’s competitors will be loath to surrender more market share, thus the huge amount of R&D and capital spending they will devote to the upcoming transition to electric vehicles (EVs). On the CAPEX metric alone, we can see that these competitors will actually spend more next year than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>我敢说,特斯拉的每个竞争对手都不愿意放弃更多的市场份额,因此他们将投入大量的研发和资本支出来实现即将到来的电动汽车(EV)转型。仅在资本支出指标上,我们就可以看到这些竞争对手明年的支出实际上将超过特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> A lot more.</p><p><blockquote>更多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0b0383d691f139a5d04a2a94c2bd399\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">ALBERT BRIDGE CAPITAL</p><p><blockquote>阿尔伯特桥资本</blockquote></p><p> But still, let’s assume all the legacy automakers fail to maintain share. Let’s also envision that most of the profits in the industry will eventually go to Tesla (as they have in handsets to Apple).</p><p><blockquote>但我们仍然假设所有传统汽车制造商都未能保持份额。让我们也想象一下,该行业的大部分利润最终将流向特斯拉(就像手机流向苹果一样)。</blockquote></p><p> As a baseline, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate over $50 billion in sales this year. Over 85% of these sales are related to its automotive business.</p><p><blockquote>作为基线,分析师预计特斯拉今年的销售额将超过500亿美元。超过85%的销售额与其汽车业务相关。</blockquote></p><p> In 2035, if EVs represents 95% of all new cars sold, and Tesla has the same 16% market share as Apple does today (significantly eclipsing that of VW or Toyota), it will be producing 22 million cars and light trucks, and generating sales of over $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>到2035年,如果电动汽车占所有新车销量的95%,并且特斯拉拥有与苹果今天相同的16%市场份额(显着超过大众或丰田),那么它将生产2200万辆汽车和轻型卡车,并产生超过1万亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> This year, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate nearly $7 billion in adjusted net income (which will include approximately $1.2 billion in profits driven by regulatory credits).</p><p><blockquote>今年,分析师预计特斯拉将产生近70亿美元的调整后净利润(其中包括监管信贷推动的约12亿美元利润)。</blockquote></p><p> If Tesla were able to generate the same 24% net earnings margin as Apple does today (remember VW is at 5% and Toyota at 7%), then it would produce about $250 billion of earnings in 2035.</p><p><blockquote>如果特斯拉能够像苹果今天一样产生24%的净利润率(记住大众为5%,丰田为7%),那么它将在2035年产生约2500亿美元的收益。</blockquote></p><p> As Tesla has grown from zero to one million cars, it has built production facilities in Freemont, Shanghai and soon Austin; battery-producing gigafactories in Nevada, Buffalo, Germany and Austin again; and other manufacturing and tooling facilities in Michigan, Ontario, Shanghai, two more in California and three more in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>随着特斯拉汽车从零增长到100万辆,它在Freemont、Shanghai和很快的Austin建立了生产设施;再次在内华达州、布法罗、德国和奥斯汀建立电池生产超级工厂;以及位于密歇根州、安大略省、上海的其他制造和模具工厂,另外两个位于加利福尼亚州,另外三个位于德国。</blockquote></p><p> To finance this expansion, Tesla went from 35 million diluted shares in 2009 to 641 million in 2015 to over 1.1 billion today. Of course some of these went to key executives in the firm as compensation, but for the most part, this share issuance helped to finance the firm’s stunning growth to date.</p><p><blockquote>为了为此次扩张提供资金,特斯拉稀释后的股份从2009年的3500万股增加到2015年的6.41亿股,再到如今的超过11亿股。当然,其中一些作为薪酬给了公司的关键高管,但在很大程度上,这次股票发行有助于为公司迄今为止的惊人增长提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> And if Tesla is going to build over 20 million units a year (up from about 1 million this year), this will require a lot more capital. But given its strong share price and internal cash flow generation, let’s assume that the rate of new share issuance at Tesla will slow dramatically, to just 1.5% new shares per year. At this rate, they would have “only” 1.4 billion shares in 2035.</p><p><blockquote>如果特斯拉打算每年生产超过2000万辆汽车(今年约为100万辆),这将需要更多的资金。但鉴于其强劲的股价和内部现金流产生,我们假设特斯拉的新股发行速度将大幅放缓,至每年仅1.5%的新股发行速度。按照这个速度,到2035年他们将“只有”14亿股。</blockquote></p><p> And in that year, on production of 22 million vehicles at an average selling price of $46,000 (again, our guess) and doing 24% net earnings margins, this $250 billion of earnings would work out to about $178 per share.</p><p><blockquote>那一年,生产了2200万辆汽车,平均售价为46,000美元(这也是我们的猜测),净利润率为24%,这2500亿美元的收益相当于每股178美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given Tesla’s domination in this scenario where it maxes out its market share, the only negative is that it would no longer be a secular story, but one more exposed to the cyclical nature of automaking. So its huge amount of revenue and income would naturally be growing much more slowly by then. But, again for the sake of this exercise, let’s assume that Tesla will still find a way to continue to generate a consistent 10% EPS growth on that $250 billion number.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于特斯拉在这种最大化其市场份额的情况下占据主导地位,唯一的负面影响是它将不再是一个长期的故事,而是一个更加暴露于汽车制造周期性的故事。因此,到那时其巨额收入和收入的增长自然会慢得多。但是,为了这次练习,让我们再次假设特斯拉仍然会找到一种方法,在2500亿美元的数字上继续实现10%的每股收益持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> And despite this slowing, let’s also assume that investors will want to pay a P/E ratio of over 20 for a now huge and cyclical business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管经济放缓,我们也假设投资者愿意为现在庞大且周期性的业务支付超过20的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> On a P/E of 22.5, that would work out to a market cap of $5.6 trillion, and a share price of $4,000.</p><p><blockquote>市盈率为22.5,市值为5.6万亿美元,股价为4000美元。</blockquote></p><p> These are big numbers. And despite what we hear from the more optimistic of the Tesla bulls, let’s also assume that today’s shareholders only hope to make 10% per year between now and 2035.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是很大的数字。尽管我们从更乐观的特斯拉多头那里听到了什么,但我们也假设今天的股东只希望从现在到2035年每年赚取10%的利润。</blockquote></p><p> If we discount that $4,000 by 10% back to today, the shares are worth $1,050.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将4,000美元折价10%回到今天,股票价值1,050美元。</blockquote></p><p> That is pretty close to where we are right now.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们现在的位置非常接近。</blockquote></p><p> So all that above is what needs to happen for $1,050 to be a fair share price today.</p><p><blockquote>因此,要使1,050美元成为今天的公平股价,上述所有这些都需要发生。</blockquote></p><p> Doubters, admittedly like us, will suggest that the execution risk is tremendous, and these market shares (and particularly the margins) may be impossible.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,像我们一样,怀疑者会认为执行风险是巨大的,这些市场份额(尤其是利润率)可能是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Yet, despite the fact that we actually can’t ignore the differences between the mobile phone and automobile industries noted above, the believers – who may indeed be right – will literally need to see Apple-esque industry dynamics, market shares and earnings margins for this all to make sense.</p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管我们实际上不能忽视上述手机和汽车行业之间的差异,但信徒们——他们可能确实是对的——确实需要看到苹果式的行业动态、市场份额和利润率,这一切才有意义。</blockquote></p><p> It is also important to consider that for there to be even more upside in the shares from current levels, Tesla will actually have to exceed everything that Apple has accomplished.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是要考虑到,为了使股价在当前水平上有更大的上涨空间,特斯拉实际上必须超越苹果所取得的一切成就。</blockquote></p><p> Whether a bull or a bear, there is no doubting that what Musk has achieved thus far has been nothing short of incredible. Five years ago, few would have thought it even possible that Hertz would order 100,000 Teslas in a single order for its car rental fleet, or that Tesla would produce and sell a million cars in a single year.</p><p><blockquote>无论是牛市还是熊市,毫无疑问,马斯克迄今为止所取得的成就简直令人难以置信。五年前,很少有人会想到赫兹会为其汽车租赁车队单次订购10万辆特斯拉,或者特斯拉会在一年内生产和销售100万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> He will continue to do incredible things. He has changed the world and the mindset of his competitors. None of that is in question. The future that his share price is discounting is the question we are asking today.</p><p><blockquote>他将继续做不可思议的事情。他改变了世界,也改变了竞争对手的心态。这些都不是问题。他的股价打折的未来是我们今天要问的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion:Here's the math for Tesla's stock price if it becomes the Apple of car makers<blockquote>观点:如果特斯拉成为汽车制造商的苹果,其股价的计算结果如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion:Here's the math for Tesla's stock price if it becomes the Apple of car makers<blockquote>观点:如果特斯拉成为汽车制造商的苹果,其股价的计算结果如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-30 11:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Fans and shareholders of Tesla are making stronger and louder arguments about the future of their favorite company. In them, they draw analogies to one of the most successful brands and businesses in the history of capitalism. They suggest that automaking may go the way of handset manufacturing and that – for TeslaTSLA,+3.43%– there is a strong resemblance to the AppleAAPL,-1.82%vs. Nokia/Blackberry/Ericsson/Motorola dynamic.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的粉丝和股东正在就他们最喜欢的公司的未来进行更强烈、更响亮的争论。在其中,他们将资本主义历史上最成功的品牌和企业之一进行了类比。他们表示,汽车制造可能会走手机制造的道路,而特斯拉TSLA(+3.43%)与苹果AAPL(-1.82%)有很大相似之处。诺基亚/黑莓/爱立信/摩托罗拉动态。</blockquote></p><p> For those that don’t know, in the early 2000s it was unimaginable that these legacy mobile phone manufacturers could disappear. In 2006, Research in Motion (RIM), the company making BlackBerrys, lost a patent suit against NTP and a U.S. District Court judge slapped an injunction on sales. The Defense Department stepped in, claiming that a Blackberry injunction was a threat to national security. Meanwhile, industry leader Nokia held a 40% market share and by the end of 2007 sported a $230 billion market cap.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些不知道的人来说,在21世纪初,这些传统手机制造商会消失是不可想象的。2006年,制造黑莓手机的Research in Motion(RIM)在针对NTP的专利诉讼中败诉,美国地方法院法官发布了销售禁令。国防部介入,声称黑莓禁令对国家安全构成威胁。与此同时,行业领导者诺基亚占据了40%的市场份额,到2007年底,市值达到2300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But something else happened in 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但2007年发生了另一件事。</blockquote></p><p> Steve Jobs introduced the iPhone.</p><p><blockquote>史蒂夫·乔布斯推出了iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> And that changed the game for Nokia, Blackberry and the entire industry, forever.</p><p><blockquote>这永远改变了诺基亚、黑莓和整个行业的游戏规则。</blockquote></p><p> Coincidentally, Jobs introduced that iPhone seven months after Tesla introduced the Roadster at the San Francisco International Auto Show. Fast forward to 2021, and the bulls are suggesting that Apple’s overwhelming success in handset manufacturing can be mirrored in automobile manufacturing by Elon Musk’s Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>巧合的是,乔布斯在特斯拉在三藩市国际车展上推出Roadster七个月后推出了iPhone。快进到2021年,看涨者认为,苹果在手机制造领域取得的压倒性成功可以通过Elon Musk的特斯拉在汽车制造领域得到体现。</blockquote></p><p> For this to happen, let’s first assume that within 15 years buyers will demand a broadly similar “form factor” for any vehicle. Today, there are 250 brands of cars sold to fit all appetites and budgets, and perhaps over 1,000 trims. Meanwhile, thanks to the iPhone, handset hardware has gone from a myriad of styles, sizes and forms to basically one.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现这一点,让我们首先假设在15年内,买家将要求任何车辆具有大致相似的“外形”。如今,有250个品牌的汽车可满足各种需求和预算,或许还有1,000多种装饰。与此同时,多亏了iPhone,手机硬件已经从无数的风格、尺寸和形式变成了基本上只有一种。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, let’s imagine that the production and value of automobiles and light trucks will become less about the style or performance that is demanded and instead mostly about the software inside the vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>同样,让我们想象一下,汽车和轻型卡车的生产和价值将不再取决于所需的风格或性能,而是主要取决于车辆内部的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Finally (and this is a huge debate, but) let’s presuppose that Tesla will have better software – most importantly better autonomous driving capability – than any other vendor or manufacturer, whether in Silicon Valley, Detroit, Wolfsburg or elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>最后(这是一个巨大的争论,但是)让我们假设特斯拉将拥有比任何其他供应商或制造商更好的软件——最重要的是更好的自动驾驶能力——无论是在硅谷、底特律、沃尔夫斯堡还是其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, let’s assume that Tesla is going to become the Apple of automakers.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,让我们假设特斯拉将成为汽车制造商的苹果。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, we need to ignore that Apple is not just a handset manufacturer. In the first three quarters this year, it reported over $150 billion of iPhone sales, which represented 55% of total sales. It also reported sales from the “Services” segment, which included sales from advertising, digital content, AppleCare and other lines. If we assume all that revenue was driven by the iPhone (even though not all was), then we get the iPhone representing about 65%-70% of Apple’s sales.</p><p><blockquote>要做到这一点,我们需要忽略苹果不仅仅是一家手机制造商。今年前三季度,iPhone销售额超过1500亿美元,占总销售额的55%。它还报告了“服务”部门的销售额,其中包括广告、数字内容、AppleCare和其他产品线的销售额。如果我们假设所有收入都是由iPhone推动的(尽管不是全部),那么我们得到的iPhone约占苹果销售额的65%-70%。</blockquote></p><p> This implies Apple has a substantial business (about $110 billion this year) selling Macs, iPads, wearables and accessories too. So in our “Tesla is Apple” analogy, we need to assume that Tesla will make similar extensions into new products.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着苹果也有大量销售Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备和配件的业务(今年约1100亿美元)。因此,在我们的“特斯拉就是苹果”类比中,我们需要假设特斯拉将在新产品中进行类似的扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We also need to ignore that most of the profit for Apple in handsets comes from mobile advertising and app sales, much of which Apple reports in that services segment noted above. Again, to stay in our framework, we also need to believe that Tesla would generate something similar via its over-the-air updates or its own app store.</p><p><blockquote>我们还需要忽略这样一个事实,即苹果在手机领域的大部分利润来自移动广告和应用程序销售,其中大部分是苹果在上述服务部门报告的。同样,为了留在我们的框架中,我们还需要相信特斯拉会通过其无线更新或自己的应用商店生成类似的东西。</blockquote></p><p> Making all these assumptions, then future margins in “automaking” – for at least one manufacturer – could theoretically start trending up toward the margins generated today by Apple.</p><p><blockquote>做出所有这些假设,那么“汽车制造”的未来利润率——至少一家制造商——理论上可能会开始向苹果今天产生的利润率上升。</blockquote></p><p> So in terms of handset market share, people around the world are going to buy approximately 1.4 billion handsets this year, and the average selling price will be about $320. Apple has about 16% of the global market, and will sell about 225 million iPhones.</p><p><blockquote>因此,就手机市场份额而言,今年世界各地的人们将购买大约14亿部手机,平均售价约为320美元。苹果拥有全球约16%的市场份额,将售出约2.25亿部iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> Just guessing here, but if these iPhones are sold at an average price of $890, then the average price of all the other phones sold in the world needs to be about $125 for the math to make sense. And because Apple can sell its iPhone at such a huge premium and produce remarkable revenues from advertising and app store sales, it generates a whopping 24% earnings margin.</p><p><blockquote>这里只是猜测,但如果这些iPhones的平均售价为890美元,那么世界上销售的所有其他手机的平均价格需要在125美元左右,数学才有意义。由于苹果可以以如此高的溢价出售其iPhone,并从广告和应用商店销售中产生可观的收入,因此它的利润率高达24%。</blockquote></p><p> In comparison, VolkswagenVOW3,-0.49%VWAPY,-2.43%,which started operations in 1938, has worked its way up to a global market share of 12.0% and generates net income margins of 5.0%.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,大众汽车VOW3,-0.49%VWAPY,-2.43%于1938年开始运营,全球市场份额已升至12.0%,净利润率为5.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Toyota7203,+0.33%TM,+0.05%,which also started operations in 1938, also has a global market share of 12.0% and generates even better net income margins of approximately 7.0%.</p><p><blockquote>同样于1938年开始运营的丰田7203,+0.33%TM,+0.05%,全球市场份额也为12.0%,净利润率甚至更高,约为7.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Nokia, for what it is worth, generated 14% net margins before the iPhone changed the game. In other words, even before Apple showed up, handset manufacturing was over twice as profitable for market leaders as making cars.</p><p><blockquote>就其价值而言,在iPhone改变游戏规则之前,诺基亚的净利润率为14%。换句话说,即使在苹果出现之前,市场领导者制造手机的利润也是制造汽车的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Anyway, folks around the world will buy about 75 million new cars this year, and at an average price of $30,000 (ballpark) this works out to over $2.2 trillion in sales. This is about five times larger than the handset market, which will come in at about $450 million. Toyota and Volkswagen are the largest – and best in class – scale automobile manufacturers in the world. Other groups, including FordF,+1.30%,Stellantis (FCA/Peugeot)STLA,-0.50%,DaimlerDAI,+2.25%,General MotorsGM,+0.35%,Honda7267,-0.53%HMC,-0.40%,BMWBMW,-0.11%and many others also have significant share.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何,今年世界各地的人们将购买约7500万辆新车,按平均价格3万美元(大概)计算,销售额将超过2.2万亿美元。这大约是手机市场的五倍,手机市场的收入约为4.5亿美元。丰田和大众是世界上最大也是同类规模最好的汽车制造商。其他集团,包括福特F,+1.30%,Stellantis(FCA/Peugeot)STLA,-0.50%,戴姆勒DAI,+2.25%,通用汽车GM,+0.35%,本田7267,-0.53%HMC,-0.40%,宝马BMW,-0.11%和许多其他公司也拥有很大的份额。</blockquote></p><p> This year, Tesla will sell about a million cars, representing a global market share of 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>今年,特斯拉将销售约100万辆汽车,占全球市场份额1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> And dare I say that each of Tesla’s competitors will be loath to surrender more market share, thus the huge amount of R&D and capital spending they will devote to the upcoming transition to electric vehicles (EVs). On the CAPEX metric alone, we can see that these competitors will actually spend more next year than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>我敢说,特斯拉的每个竞争对手都不愿意放弃更多的市场份额,因此他们将投入大量的研发和资本支出来实现即将到来的电动汽车(EV)转型。仅在资本支出指标上,我们就可以看到这些竞争对手明年的支出实际上将超过特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> A lot more.</p><p><blockquote>更多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0b0383d691f139a5d04a2a94c2bd399\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">ALBERT BRIDGE CAPITAL</p><p><blockquote>阿尔伯特桥资本</blockquote></p><p> But still, let’s assume all the legacy automakers fail to maintain share. Let’s also envision that most of the profits in the industry will eventually go to Tesla (as they have in handsets to Apple).</p><p><blockquote>但我们仍然假设所有传统汽车制造商都未能保持份额。让我们也想象一下,该行业的大部分利润最终将流向特斯拉(就像手机流向苹果一样)。</blockquote></p><p> As a baseline, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate over $50 billion in sales this year. Over 85% of these sales are related to its automotive business.</p><p><blockquote>作为基线,分析师预计特斯拉今年的销售额将超过500亿美元。超过85%的销售额与其汽车业务相关。</blockquote></p><p> In 2035, if EVs represents 95% of all new cars sold, and Tesla has the same 16% market share as Apple does today (significantly eclipsing that of VW or Toyota), it will be producing 22 million cars and light trucks, and generating sales of over $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>到2035年,如果电动汽车占所有新车销量的95%,并且特斯拉拥有与苹果今天相同的16%市场份额(显着超过大众或丰田),那么它将生产2200万辆汽车和轻型卡车,并产生超过1万亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> This year, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate nearly $7 billion in adjusted net income (which will include approximately $1.2 billion in profits driven by regulatory credits).</p><p><blockquote>今年,分析师预计特斯拉将产生近70亿美元的调整后净利润(其中包括监管信贷推动的约12亿美元利润)。</blockquote></p><p> If Tesla were able to generate the same 24% net earnings margin as Apple does today (remember VW is at 5% and Toyota at 7%), then it would produce about $250 billion of earnings in 2035.</p><p><blockquote>如果特斯拉能够像苹果今天一样产生24%的净利润率(记住大众为5%,丰田为7%),那么它将在2035年产生约2500亿美元的收益。</blockquote></p><p> As Tesla has grown from zero to one million cars, it has built production facilities in Freemont, Shanghai and soon Austin; battery-producing gigafactories in Nevada, Buffalo, Germany and Austin again; and other manufacturing and tooling facilities in Michigan, Ontario, Shanghai, two more in California and three more in Germany.</p><p><blockquote>随着特斯拉汽车从零增长到100万辆,它在Freemont、Shanghai和很快的Austin建立了生产设施;再次在内华达州、布法罗、德国和奥斯汀建立电池生产超级工厂;以及位于密歇根州、安大略省、上海的其他制造和模具工厂,另外两个位于加利福尼亚州,另外三个位于德国。</blockquote></p><p> To finance this expansion, Tesla went from 35 million diluted shares in 2009 to 641 million in 2015 to over 1.1 billion today. Of course some of these went to key executives in the firm as compensation, but for the most part, this share issuance helped to finance the firm’s stunning growth to date.</p><p><blockquote>为了为此次扩张提供资金,特斯拉稀释后的股份从2009年的3500万股增加到2015年的6.41亿股,再到如今的超过11亿股。当然,其中一些作为薪酬给了公司的关键高管,但在很大程度上,这次股票发行有助于为公司迄今为止的惊人增长提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> And if Tesla is going to build over 20 million units a year (up from about 1 million this year), this will require a lot more capital. But given its strong share price and internal cash flow generation, let’s assume that the rate of new share issuance at Tesla will slow dramatically, to just 1.5% new shares per year. At this rate, they would have “only” 1.4 billion shares in 2035.</p><p><blockquote>如果特斯拉打算每年生产超过2000万辆汽车(今年约为100万辆),这将需要更多的资金。但鉴于其强劲的股价和内部现金流产生,我们假设特斯拉的新股发行速度将大幅放缓,至每年仅1.5%的新股发行速度。按照这个速度,到2035年他们将“只有”14亿股。</blockquote></p><p> And in that year, on production of 22 million vehicles at an average selling price of $46,000 (again, our guess) and doing 24% net earnings margins, this $250 billion of earnings would work out to about $178 per share.</p><p><blockquote>那一年,生产了2200万辆汽车,平均售价为46,000美元(这也是我们的猜测),净利润率为24%,这2500亿美元的收益相当于每股178美元。</blockquote></p><p> Given Tesla’s domination in this scenario where it maxes out its market share, the only negative is that it would no longer be a secular story, but one more exposed to the cyclical nature of automaking. So its huge amount of revenue and income would naturally be growing much more slowly by then. But, again for the sake of this exercise, let’s assume that Tesla will still find a way to continue to generate a consistent 10% EPS growth on that $250 billion number.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于特斯拉在这种最大化其市场份额的情况下占据主导地位,唯一的负面影响是它将不再是一个长期的故事,而是一个更加暴露于汽车制造周期性的故事。因此,到那时其巨额收入和收入的增长自然会慢得多。但是,为了这次练习,让我们再次假设特斯拉仍然会找到一种方法,在2500亿美元的数字上继续实现10%的每股收益持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> And despite this slowing, let’s also assume that investors will want to pay a P/E ratio of over 20 for a now huge and cyclical business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管经济放缓,我们也假设投资者愿意为现在庞大且周期性的业务支付超过20的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> On a P/E of 22.5, that would work out to a market cap of $5.6 trillion, and a share price of $4,000.</p><p><blockquote>市盈率为22.5,市值为5.6万亿美元,股价为4000美元。</blockquote></p><p> These are big numbers. And despite what we hear from the more optimistic of the Tesla bulls, let’s also assume that today’s shareholders only hope to make 10% per year between now and 2035.</p><p><blockquote>这些都是很大的数字。尽管我们从更乐观的特斯拉多头那里听到了什么,但我们也假设今天的股东只希望从现在到2035年每年赚取10%的利润。</blockquote></p><p> If we discount that $4,000 by 10% back to today, the shares are worth $1,050.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们将4,000美元折价10%回到今天,股票价值1,050美元。</blockquote></p><p> That is pretty close to where we are right now.</p><p><blockquote>这与我们现在的位置非常接近。</blockquote></p><p> So all that above is what needs to happen for $1,050 to be a fair share price today.</p><p><blockquote>因此,要使1,050美元成为今天的公平股价,上述所有这些都需要发生。</blockquote></p><p> Doubters, admittedly like us, will suggest that the execution risk is tremendous, and these market shares (and particularly the margins) may be impossible.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,像我们一样,怀疑者会认为执行风险是巨大的,这些市场份额(尤其是利润率)可能是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Yet, despite the fact that we actually can’t ignore the differences between the mobile phone and automobile industries noted above, the believers – who may indeed be right – will literally need to see Apple-esque industry dynamics, market shares and earnings margins for this all to make sense.</p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管我们实际上不能忽视上述手机和汽车行业之间的差异,但信徒们——他们可能确实是对的——确实需要看到苹果式的行业动态、市场份额和利润率,这一切才有意义。</blockquote></p><p> It is also important to consider that for there to be even more upside in the shares from current levels, Tesla will actually have to exceed everything that Apple has accomplished.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是要考虑到,为了使股价在当前水平上有更大的上涨空间,特斯拉实际上必须超越苹果所取得的一切成就。</blockquote></p><p> Whether a bull or a bear, there is no doubting that what Musk has achieved thus far has been nothing short of incredible. Five years ago, few would have thought it even possible that Hertz would order 100,000 Teslas in a single order for its car rental fleet, or that Tesla would produce and sell a million cars in a single year.</p><p><blockquote>无论是牛市还是熊市,毫无疑问,马斯克迄今为止所取得的成就简直令人难以置信。五年前,很少有人会想到赫兹会为其汽车租赁车队单次订购10万辆特斯拉,或者特斯拉会在一年内生产和销售100万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> He will continue to do incredible things. He has changed the world and the mindset of his competitors. None of that is in question. The future that his share price is discounting is the question we are asking today.</p><p><blockquote>他将继续做不可思议的事情。他改变了世界,也改变了竞争对手的心态。这些都不是问题。他的股价打折的未来是我们今天要问的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-tesla-is-to-become-the-apple-of-car-makers-this-is-what-it-means-for-the-stock-price-and-the-business-11635513589?mod=home-page\">Market watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-tesla-is-to-become-the-apple-of-car-makers-this-is-what-it-means-for-the-stock-price-and-the-business-11635513589?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179471352","content_text":"Fans and shareholders of Tesla are making stronger and louder arguments about the future of their favorite company. In them, they draw analogies to one of the most successful brands and businesses in the history of capitalism. They suggest that automaking may go the way of handset manufacturing and that – for TeslaTSLA,+3.43%– there is a strong resemblance to the AppleAAPL,-1.82%vs. Nokia/Blackberry/Ericsson/Motorola dynamic.\nFor those that don’t know, in the early 2000s it was unimaginable that these legacy mobile phone manufacturers could disappear. In 2006, Research in Motion (RIM), the company making BlackBerrys, lost a patent suit against NTP and a U.S. District Court judge slapped an injunction on sales. The Defense Department stepped in, claiming that a Blackberry injunction was a threat to national security. Meanwhile, industry leader Nokia held a 40% market share and by the end of 2007 sported a $230 billion market cap.\nBut something else happened in 2007.\nSteve Jobs introduced the iPhone.\nAnd that changed the game for Nokia, Blackberry and the entire industry, forever.\nCoincidentally, Jobs introduced that iPhone seven months after Tesla introduced the Roadster at the San Francisco International Auto Show. Fast forward to 2021, and the bulls are suggesting that Apple’s overwhelming success in handset manufacturing can be mirrored in automobile manufacturing by Elon Musk’s Tesla.\nFor this to happen, let’s first assume that within 15 years buyers will demand a broadly similar “form factor” for any vehicle. Today, there are 250 brands of cars sold to fit all appetites and budgets, and perhaps over 1,000 trims. Meanwhile, thanks to the iPhone, handset hardware has gone from a myriad of styles, sizes and forms to basically one.\nSimilarly, let’s imagine that the production and value of automobiles and light trucks will become less about the style or performance that is demanded and instead mostly about the software inside the vehicle.\nFinally (and this is a huge debate, but) let’s presuppose that Tesla will have better software – most importantly better autonomous driving capability – than any other vendor or manufacturer, whether in Silicon Valley, Detroit, Wolfsburg or elsewhere.\nIn other words, let’s assume that Tesla is going to become the Apple of automakers.\nTo do this, we need to ignore that Apple is not just a handset manufacturer. In the first three quarters this year, it reported over $150 billion of iPhone sales, which represented 55% of total sales. It also reported sales from the “Services” segment, which included sales from advertising, digital content, AppleCare and other lines. If we assume all that revenue was driven by the iPhone (even though not all was), then we get the iPhone representing about 65%-70% of Apple’s sales.\nThis implies Apple has a substantial business (about $110 billion this year) selling Macs, iPads, wearables and accessories too. So in our “Tesla is Apple” analogy, we need to assume that Tesla will make similar extensions into new products.\nWe also need to ignore that most of the profit for Apple in handsets comes from mobile advertising and app sales, much of which Apple reports in that services segment noted above. Again, to stay in our framework, we also need to believe that Tesla would generate something similar via its over-the-air updates or its own app store.\nMaking all these assumptions, then future margins in “automaking” – for at least one manufacturer – could theoretically start trending up toward the margins generated today by Apple.\nSo in terms of handset market share, people around the world are going to buy approximately 1.4 billion handsets this year, and the average selling price will be about $320. Apple has about 16% of the global market, and will sell about 225 million iPhones.\nJust guessing here, but if these iPhones are sold at an average price of $890, then the average price of all the other phones sold in the world needs to be about $125 for the math to make sense. And because Apple can sell its iPhone at such a huge premium and produce remarkable revenues from advertising and app store sales, it generates a whopping 24% earnings margin.\nIn comparison, VolkswagenVOW3,-0.49%VWAPY,-2.43%,which started operations in 1938, has worked its way up to a global market share of 12.0% and generates net income margins of 5.0%.\nToyota7203,+0.33%TM,+0.05%,which also started operations in 1938, also has a global market share of 12.0% and generates even better net income margins of approximately 7.0%.\nNokia, for what it is worth, generated 14% net margins before the iPhone changed the game. In other words, even before Apple showed up, handset manufacturing was over twice as profitable for market leaders as making cars.\nAnyway, folks around the world will buy about 75 million new cars this year, and at an average price of $30,000 (ballpark) this works out to over $2.2 trillion in sales. This is about five times larger than the handset market, which will come in at about $450 million. Toyota and Volkswagen are the largest – and best in class – scale automobile manufacturers in the world. Other groups, including FordF,+1.30%,Stellantis (FCA/Peugeot)STLA,-0.50%,DaimlerDAI,+2.25%,General MotorsGM,+0.35%,Honda7267,-0.53%HMC,-0.40%,BMWBMW,-0.11%and many others also have significant share.\nThis year, Tesla will sell about a million cars, representing a global market share of 1.3%.\nAnd dare I say that each of Tesla’s competitors will be loath to surrender more market share, thus the huge amount of R&D and capital spending they will devote to the upcoming transition to electric vehicles (EVs). On the CAPEX metric alone, we can see that these competitors will actually spend more next year than Tesla.\nA lot more.\nALBERT BRIDGE CAPITAL\nBut still, let’s assume all the legacy automakers fail to maintain share. Let’s also envision that most of the profits in the industry will eventually go to Tesla (as they have in handsets to Apple).\nAs a baseline, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate over $50 billion in sales this year. Over 85% of these sales are related to its automotive business.\nIn 2035, if EVs represents 95% of all new cars sold, and Tesla has the same 16% market share as Apple does today (significantly eclipsing that of VW or Toyota), it will be producing 22 million cars and light trucks, and generating sales of over $1 trillion.\nThis year, analysts anticipate that Tesla will generate nearly $7 billion in adjusted net income (which will include approximately $1.2 billion in profits driven by regulatory credits).\nIf Tesla were able to generate the same 24% net earnings margin as Apple does today (remember VW is at 5% and Toyota at 7%), then it would produce about $250 billion of earnings in 2035.\nAs Tesla has grown from zero to one million cars, it has built production facilities in Freemont, Shanghai and soon Austin; battery-producing gigafactories in Nevada, Buffalo, Germany and Austin again; and other manufacturing and tooling facilities in Michigan, Ontario, Shanghai, two more in California and three more in Germany.\nTo finance this expansion, Tesla went from 35 million diluted shares in 2009 to 641 million in 2015 to over 1.1 billion today. Of course some of these went to key executives in the firm as compensation, but for the most part, this share issuance helped to finance the firm’s stunning growth to date.\nAnd if Tesla is going to build over 20 million units a year (up from about 1 million this year), this will require a lot more capital. But given its strong share price and internal cash flow generation, let’s assume that the rate of new share issuance at Tesla will slow dramatically, to just 1.5% new shares per year. At this rate, they would have “only” 1.4 billion shares in 2035.\nAnd in that year, on production of 22 million vehicles at an average selling price of $46,000 (again, our guess) and doing 24% net earnings margins, this $250 billion of earnings would work out to about $178 per share.\nGiven Tesla’s domination in this scenario where it maxes out its market share, the only negative is that it would no longer be a secular story, but one more exposed to the cyclical nature of automaking. So its huge amount of revenue and income would naturally be growing much more slowly by then. But, again for the sake of this exercise, let’s assume that Tesla will still find a way to continue to generate a consistent 10% EPS growth on that $250 billion number.\nAnd despite this slowing, let’s also assume that investors will want to pay a P/E ratio of over 20 for a now huge and cyclical business.\nOn a P/E of 22.5, that would work out to a market cap of $5.6 trillion, and a share price of $4,000.\nThese are big numbers. And despite what we hear from the more optimistic of the Tesla bulls, let’s also assume that today’s shareholders only hope to make 10% per year between now and 2035.\nIf we discount that $4,000 by 10% back to today, the shares are worth $1,050.\nThat is pretty close to where we are right now.\nSo all that above is what needs to happen for $1,050 to be a fair share price today.\nDoubters, admittedly like us, will suggest that the execution risk is tremendous, and these market shares (and particularly the margins) may be impossible.\nYet, despite the fact that we actually can’t ignore the differences between the mobile phone and automobile industries noted above, the believers – who may indeed be right – will literally need to see Apple-esque industry dynamics, market shares and earnings margins for this all to make sense.\nIt is also important to consider that for there to be even more upside in the shares from current levels, Tesla will actually have to exceed everything that Apple has accomplished.\nWhether a bull or a bear, there is no doubting that what Musk has achieved thus far has been nothing short of incredible. Five years ago, few would have thought it even possible that Hertz would order 100,000 Teslas in a single order for its car rental fleet, or that Tesla would produce and sell a million cars in a single year.\nHe will continue to do incredible things. He has changed the world and the mindset of his competitors. None of that is in question. The future that his share price is discounting is the question we are asking today.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855339785,"gmtCreate":1635334052850,"gmtModify":1635334053090,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855339785","repostId":"1102358032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102358032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635333593,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102358032?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 19:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102358032","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged","content":"<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-27 19:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KHC":"卡夫亨氏"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102358032","content_text":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.\nNet sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.\nKraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KHC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855339262,"gmtCreate":1635334046001,"gmtModify":1635334046274,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855339262","repostId":"1102358032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102358032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635333593,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102358032?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 19:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102358032","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged","content":"<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-27 19:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KHC":"卡夫亨氏"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102358032","content_text":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.\nNet sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.\nKraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KHC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855339135,"gmtCreate":1635334029849,"gmtModify":1635334030134,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855339135","repostId":"1102358032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102358032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635333593,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102358032?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 19:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102358032","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged","content":"<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKraft Heinz rose nearly 1% in premarket trading as it beat revenue estimates helped by higher prices<blockquote>卡夫亨氏在盘前交易中上涨近1%,因价格上涨帮助其收入超出预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-27 19:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司(KHC.O)周三季度销售额超出华尔街预期,这家包装食品公司受益于提高产品价格以应对通胀上升。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>这家果冻制造商第三季度的净销售额从去年同期的64.4亿美元降至63.2亿美元。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,分析师平均预期销售额为60.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Kraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1bab565eedd1970bcdb9f46852a165\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"560\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>卡夫亨氏公司股价在盘前交易中上涨近1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KHC":"卡夫亨氏"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102358032","content_text":"Kraft Heinz Co(KHC.O)beat Wall Street expectations for quarterly sales on Wednesday, as the packaged food company benefited from raising product prices to tackle rising inflation.\nNet sales in the third quarter fell to $6.32 billion for the Jell-O maker from $6.44 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected sales of $6.05 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES.\nKraft Heinz Co shares rose nearly 1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KHC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859405617,"gmtCreate":1634718466839,"gmtModify":1634718481366,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579215123116789\">@Steu</a>:ok","listText":"ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3579215123116789\">@Steu</a>:ok","text":"ok//@Steu:ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859405617","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859406269,"gmtCreate":1634718325373,"gmtModify":1634718409531,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"time to short liao","listText":"time to short liao","text":"time to short liao","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859406269","repostId":"1110877432","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110877432","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634716002,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110877432?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 15:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Will Probably Beat Earnings Estimates. Why the Stock Might Not Move.<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利可能会超出预期。为什么股票可能不会变动。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110877432","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla will easily beat earnings expectations Wednesday. But that beat might not be enough to drive t","content":"<p>Tesla will easily beat earnings expectations Wednesday. But that beat might not be enough to drive the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周三将轻松超出盈利预期。但这种节拍可能不足以推动股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> For the third quarter, Wall Street expects $1.54 in per-share earnings from $13.7 billion in sales. In the second quarter, Tesla earned $1.45 a sharefrom $12 billion in sales. Wall Street expects the company to make about a dime more on an incremental $1.7 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计第三季度销售额为137亿美元,每股收益为1.54美元。第二季度,特斯拉的销售额为120亿美元,每股收益为1.45美元。华尔街预计该公司的销售额将增加17亿美元,收入将增加约一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, however, need to be ready for the sandbag—when a company guides low and then crushes expectations. That’s usually a good thing. Tesla, however, doesn’t provide guidance, so investors have to rely on Wall Street estimates to judge whether the company “beat” or “missed.” This time around, the estimates from analysts look far too low, creating the possibility of wild post-earnings trading in unexpected directions.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者需要为沙袋做好准备——当一家公司的指引很低,然后又超出预期时。这通常是件好事。然而,特斯拉没有提供指引,因此投资者必须依靠华尔街的估计来判断该公司是“跑赢”还是“跑输”。这一次,分析师的预期看起来太低了,这使得财报后交易可能会出现意想不到的方向。</blockquote></p><p> Things should be better than analysts project. Tesla delivered a record 241,300 vehicles in the third quarter,up from 201,250 in the second quarter. That’s a 20% increase. Tesla’s average price per car in the second quarter amounted to roughly $49,000, and while that number can change, 40,000 more vehicles could easily mean about $2 billion more in sales.</p><p><blockquote>事情应该比分析师预测的要好。特斯拉第三季度交付了创纪录的241,300辆汽车,高于第二季度的201,250辆。增加了20%。特斯拉第二季度每辆车的平均价格约为49,000美元,虽然这个数字可能会发生变化,但增加40,000辆汽车很容易意味着销售额增加约20亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street also expects Tesla’s profitability to drop. Gross profit margins are projected to be just below 24%, compared with just above 24% in the second quarter. That might be conservative, just like sales projections. The entire auto industry is dealing with higher costs because of global supply-chain issues. But there’s another reason profitability could be better than current estimates.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也预计特斯拉的盈利能力将下降。毛利率预计略低于24%,而第二季度略高于24%。这可能是保守的,就像销售预测一样。由于全球供应链问题,整个汽车行业都在应对更高的成本。但盈利能力可能好于当前预期还有另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivereda record number of cars in China during the third quarter—almost 74,000, up about 20% compared with the second quarter. The cars Tesla produces and sells in China have higher margins than those made there and exported to Europe. With Tesla delivering about 12,000 more vehicles in China during the third quarter compared with the second quarter, profit margins could hold up.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第三季度在华交付汽车数量创历史新高,接近74,000辆,较第二季度增长约20%。特斯拉在中国生产和销售的汽车比在中国制造并出口到欧洲的汽车利润率更高。与第二季度相比,特斯拉第三季度在华交付了约12,000辆汽车,利润率可能会保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is a secret, and analysts have been updating their third-quarter earnings estimates—on average, they’re now about a dime per share higher since the end of September. RBC analyst Joe Spaktook his quarterly earnings estimates up to $1.95 a share from $1.68 after delivery results came out. Baird’s Ben Kalloand Wedbush’s Dan Ivesare more optimistic about Tesla’s stock—both have Buy ratings, while Spak rates it a Hold—but neither updated their third-quarter earnings estimates of $1.21 and $1.22 a share, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>这一切都不是秘密,分析师一直在更新他们的第三季度盈利预期——平均而言,自9月底以来,每股盈利预期上涨了约1美分。交付结果公布后,加拿大皇家银行(RBC)分析师乔·斯帕克(Joe Spak)将季度盈利预期从每股1.68美元上调至1.95美元。Baird的Ben Kalloand Wedbush的Dan Ives对特斯拉的股票更为乐观——两人都给予买入评级,而Spak则给予持有评级——但都没有分别更新每股1.21美元和1.22美元的第三季度盈利预期。</blockquote></p><p> Together, that means the bar for Tesla is much higher than it looks. That’s particularly true because its stock has gained about 30% over the past three months, closing the week at $843.03—even as the S&P 500 added 2.6%. That means Tesla will likely need a huge beat to give the stock a jolt, something close to $2 a share.</p><p><blockquote>总之,这意味着特斯拉的门槛比看起来要高得多。尤其如此,因为其股价在过去三个月内上涨了约30%,本周收于843.03美元,尽管标准普尔500指数上涨了2.6%。这意味着特斯拉可能需要大幅上涨才能让股价大幅上涨,接近每股2美元。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it can pull that off remains to be seen.</p><p><blockquote>它能否实现这一目标还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Will Probably Beat Earnings Estimates. Why the Stock Might Not Move.<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利可能会超出预期。为什么股票可能不会变动。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Will Probably Beat Earnings Estimates. Why the Stock Might Not Move.<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利可能会超出预期。为什么股票可能不会变动。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-20 15:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla will easily beat earnings expectations Wednesday. But that beat might not be enough to drive the stock higher.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周三将轻松超出盈利预期。但这种节拍可能不足以推动股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> For the third quarter, Wall Street expects $1.54 in per-share earnings from $13.7 billion in sales. In the second quarter, Tesla earned $1.45 a sharefrom $12 billion in sales. Wall Street expects the company to make about a dime more on an incremental $1.7 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计第三季度销售额为137亿美元,每股收益为1.54美元。第二季度,特斯拉的销售额为120亿美元,每股收益为1.45美元。华尔街预计该公司的销售额将增加17亿美元,收入将增加约一毛钱。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, however, need to be ready for the sandbag—when a company guides low and then crushes expectations. That’s usually a good thing. Tesla, however, doesn’t provide guidance, so investors have to rely on Wall Street estimates to judge whether the company “beat” or “missed.” This time around, the estimates from analysts look far too low, creating the possibility of wild post-earnings trading in unexpected directions.</p><p><blockquote>然而,投资者需要为沙袋做好准备——当一家公司的指引很低,然后又超出预期时。这通常是件好事。然而,特斯拉没有提供指引,因此投资者必须依靠华尔街的估计来判断该公司是“跑赢”还是“跑输”。这一次,分析师的预期看起来太低了,这使得财报后交易可能会出现意想不到的方向。</blockquote></p><p> Things should be better than analysts project. Tesla delivered a record 241,300 vehicles in the third quarter,up from 201,250 in the second quarter. That’s a 20% increase. Tesla’s average price per car in the second quarter amounted to roughly $49,000, and while that number can change, 40,000 more vehicles could easily mean about $2 billion more in sales.</p><p><blockquote>事情应该比分析师预测的要好。特斯拉第三季度交付了创纪录的241,300辆汽车,高于第二季度的201,250辆。增加了20%。特斯拉第二季度每辆车的平均价格约为49,000美元,虽然这个数字可能会发生变化,但增加40,000辆汽车很容易意味着销售额增加约20亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street also expects Tesla’s profitability to drop. Gross profit margins are projected to be just below 24%, compared with just above 24% in the second quarter. That might be conservative, just like sales projections. The entire auto industry is dealing with higher costs because of global supply-chain issues. But there’s another reason profitability could be better than current estimates.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也预计特斯拉的盈利能力将下降。毛利率预计略低于24%,而第二季度略高于24%。这可能是保守的,就像销售预测一样。由于全球供应链问题,整个汽车行业都在应对更高的成本。但盈利能力可能好于当前预期还有另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivereda record number of cars in China during the third quarter—almost 74,000, up about 20% compared with the second quarter. The cars Tesla produces and sells in China have higher margins than those made there and exported to Europe. With Tesla delivering about 12,000 more vehicles in China during the third quarter compared with the second quarter, profit margins could hold up.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第三季度在华交付汽车数量创历史新高,接近74,000辆,较第二季度增长约20%。特斯拉在中国生产和销售的汽车比在中国制造并出口到欧洲的汽车利润率更高。与第二季度相比,特斯拉第三季度在华交付了约12,000辆汽车,利润率可能会保持不变。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is a secret, and analysts have been updating their third-quarter earnings estimates—on average, they’re now about a dime per share higher since the end of September. RBC analyst Joe Spaktook his quarterly earnings estimates up to $1.95 a share from $1.68 after delivery results came out. Baird’s Ben Kalloand Wedbush’s Dan Ivesare more optimistic about Tesla’s stock—both have Buy ratings, while Spak rates it a Hold—but neither updated their third-quarter earnings estimates of $1.21 and $1.22 a share, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>这一切都不是秘密,分析师一直在更新他们的第三季度盈利预期——平均而言,自9月底以来,每股盈利预期上涨了约1美分。交付结果公布后,加拿大皇家银行(RBC)分析师乔·斯帕克(Joe Spak)将季度盈利预期从每股1.68美元上调至1.95美元。Baird的Ben Kalloand Wedbush的Dan Ives对特斯拉的股票更为乐观——两人都给予买入评级,而Spak则给予持有评级——但都没有分别更新每股1.21美元和1.22美元的第三季度盈利预期。</blockquote></p><p> Together, that means the bar for Tesla is much higher than it looks. That’s particularly true because its stock has gained about 30% over the past three months, closing the week at $843.03—even as the S&P 500 added 2.6%. That means Tesla will likely need a huge beat to give the stock a jolt, something close to $2 a share.</p><p><blockquote>总之,这意味着特斯拉的门槛比看起来要高得多。尤其如此,因为其股价在过去三个月内上涨了约30%,本周收于843.03美元,尽管标准普尔500指数上涨了2.6%。这意味着特斯拉可能需要大幅上涨才能让股价大幅上涨,接近每股2美元。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it can pull that off remains to be seen.</p><p><blockquote>它能否实现这一目标还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51634345385?mod=mw_latestnews\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51634345385?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110877432","content_text":"Tesla will easily beat earnings expectations Wednesday. But that beat might not be enough to drive the stock higher.\nFor the third quarter, Wall Street expects $1.54 in per-share earnings from $13.7 billion in sales. In the second quarter, Tesla earned $1.45 a sharefrom $12 billion in sales. Wall Street expects the company to make about a dime more on an incremental $1.7 billion in sales.\nInvestors, however, need to be ready for the sandbag—when a company guides low and then crushes expectations. That’s usually a good thing. Tesla, however, doesn’t provide guidance, so investors have to rely on Wall Street estimates to judge whether the company “beat” or “missed.” This time around, the estimates from analysts look far too low, creating the possibility of wild post-earnings trading in unexpected directions.\nThings should be better than analysts project. Tesla delivered a record 241,300 vehicles in the third quarter,up from 201,250 in the second quarter. That’s a 20% increase. Tesla’s average price per car in the second quarter amounted to roughly $49,000, and while that number can change, 40,000 more vehicles could easily mean about $2 billion more in sales.\nWall Street also expects Tesla’s profitability to drop. Gross profit margins are projected to be just below 24%, compared with just above 24% in the second quarter. That might be conservative, just like sales projections. The entire auto industry is dealing with higher costs because of global supply-chain issues. But there’s another reason profitability could be better than current estimates.\nTesla delivereda record number of cars in China during the third quarter—almost 74,000, up about 20% compared with the second quarter. The cars Tesla produces and sells in China have higher margins than those made there and exported to Europe. With Tesla delivering about 12,000 more vehicles in China during the third quarter compared with the second quarter, profit margins could hold up.\nNone of this is a secret, and analysts have been updating their third-quarter earnings estimates—on average, they’re now about a dime per share higher since the end of September. RBC analyst Joe Spaktook his quarterly earnings estimates up to $1.95 a share from $1.68 after delivery results came out. Baird’s Ben Kalloand Wedbush’s Dan Ivesare more optimistic about Tesla’s stock—both have Buy ratings, while Spak rates it a Hold—but neither updated their third-quarter earnings estimates of $1.21 and $1.22 a share, respectively.\nTogether, that means the bar for Tesla is much higher than it looks. That’s particularly true because its stock has gained about 30% over the past three months, closing the week at $843.03—even as the S&P 500 added 2.6%. That means Tesla will likely need a huge beat to give the stock a jolt, something close to $2 a share.\nWhether it can pull that off remains to be seen.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1079,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824612787,"gmtCreate":1634307785968,"gmtModify":1634307922717,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>just call, this is oversell","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>just call, this is oversell","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$just call, this is oversell","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824612787","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821708369,"gmtCreate":1633783732632,"gmtModify":1633783732881,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821708369","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823749960,"gmtCreate":1633666152501,"gmtModify":1633666153504,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823749960","repostId":"2173194725","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820497639,"gmtCreate":1633412335197,"gmtModify":1633412336226,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820497639","repostId":"2170270586","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820497964,"gmtCreate":1633412290278,"gmtModify":1633412291225,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820497964","repostId":"2170270586","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820494432,"gmtCreate":1633412270854,"gmtModify":1633412271744,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820494432","repostId":"2172968917","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864752155,"gmtCreate":1633152925190,"gmtModify":1633152926090,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"嗯<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$Li Auto(LI)$</a>","listText":"嗯<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$Li Auto(LI)$</a>","text":"嗯$Li Auto(LI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864752155","repostId":"2172618769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":882992340,"gmtCreate":1631637328380,"gmtModify":1631884037545,"author":{"id":"3579215123116789","authorId":"3579215123116789","name":"Steu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9931a7113b073148143987262a763823","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579215123116789","authorIdStr":"3579215123116789"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC 20210924 48.0 PUT(AMC)$</a>Now Im showing my position, this two day sure down one for amc, because tmr appl or spy will definately go up due to iphone 13, if u want earn more money, trust me, just put for two days. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC 20210924 48.0 PUT(AMC)$</a>Now Im showing my position, this two day sure down one for amc, because tmr appl or spy will definately go up due to iphone 13, if u want earn more money, trust me, just put for two days. ","text":"$AMC 20210924 48.0 PUT(AMC)$Now Im showing my position, this two day sure down one for amc, because tmr appl or spy will definately go up due to iphone 13, if u want earn more money, trust me, just put for two 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