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程芳
2023-01-18
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:期权大单异动:JD IQ TAL RL W
程芳
2023-01-18
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:CPI+财报季,如何布局大转折?
程芳
2023-01-18
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:比CPI更有悬念的是美联储的态度
程芳
2023-01-09
mark
抱歉,原内容已删除
程芳
2023-01-08
下跌区间90~105,上涨区间是120~135。但更有可能是在这之间震荡。
@期权小班长:特斯拉会跌到哪儿?一些大单线索(2)
程芳
2023-01-02
比亚迪呢?
抱歉,原内容已删除
程芳
2022-12-10
$途牛(TOUR)$
新冠封控彻底放开了!目标价:20元,看看新东方的股价就知道了
程芳
2022-12-07
阅
@锐评:这一波港股/中概股能持续到多久?
程芳
2022-12-05
不怕不识货就怕货比货
@小虎AV:江泽民同志在上海逝世,享年96岁[默哀][默哀][默哀]一起回顾1997年江泽民访美在哈佛大学的英语演讲。
程芳
2022-12-04
阅
抱歉,原内容已删除
程芳
2022-11-18
好
@Buy_Sell:🔥【11月8日】美股收高,“特朗普概念股”集体异动!今天买点啥
程芳
2022-11-18
好
@Buy_Sell:🔥【11月9日】美股收高,币圈巨震!区块链股崩跌,今天买点啥
程芳
2022-11-18
好
@美股解毒师:10月CPI数据大幅低于预期,究竟是不是好事?
程芳
2022-11-13
更博大
@景辰财经:离开大城市,回小城,问题就迎刃而解了?
程芳
2022-11-13
火盖
@中国基金报:上海一地宣布:取消全区全员核酸!50岁基金经理,被骗了近30万!
程芳
2022-09-22
精英会回a股吗?
抱歉,原内容已删除
程芳
2022-09-21
偶像的不忘初心,方得始终!
@小虎AV:12年前创办小米之时,雷军定下的目标是“发起工业界的效率革命”,并引入性价比一词。12年来,小米用技术革新、效率升级,不断寻求性价比与高端之间的平衡。听雷军回答何谓性价比。$小米集团-W(01810)$
程芳
2022-09-15
现在看出来美国对中国的敌视态度吧!与台湾政策法一出台,股票市场就腥风血雨!那些杠精汉奸清醒了没?国家为了资本市场稳定做了多少工作?你们还不知足到处诋毁自己人
程芳
2022-09-15
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
看多
程芳
2022-09-14
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎AV: 【三年为期,英伟达值得抄底吗?】布雷耶资本创始人讨论布雷耶关注哪些大型股领域的公司,分享了他对近期大跌的英伟达,对Meta与Tik Tok社交平台的看法
$Meta Platforms(META)$
$英伟达(NVDA)$
$英伟达1.25倍做空ETF-AXS(NVDS)$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626601195","repostId":"628559399","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628559399,"gmtCreate":1673359728811,"gmtModify":1673359762377,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"期权大单异动:JD IQ TAL RL W","htmlText":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT\">$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230421 47.5 PUT\">$JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ </a>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL\">$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230317 90.0 CALL\">$JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ </a>交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","listText":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT\">$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230421 47.5 PUT\">$JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ </a>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL\">$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230317 90.0 CALL\">$JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ </a>交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","text":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。$京东(JD)$ 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ $JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ 卖$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ $JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ 交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cf74e89a2bbf1106fbde132a5c7624b","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cd2d14a49ea8ba276a3f14a6476a6cc","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fc400fcb137780557520a7dc61c2b3","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628559399","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626601385,"gmtCreate":1674054656847,"gmtModify":1674054658734,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626601385","repostId":"628223856","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628223856,"gmtCreate":1673275631075,"gmtModify":1673276957153,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"CPI+财报季,如何布局大转折?","htmlText":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230317%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020230203%2047.0%20PUT\">$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$</a>","listText":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230317%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020230203%2047.0%20PUT\">$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$</a>","text":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和$台积电(TSM)$ ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac31a623b5dd4f8e9382259829b6d6e8","width":"1170","height":"953"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b68905b3f46db7bbab4b2063abd0d","width":"2562","height":"96"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbfdbbac73cdc19c5032fd9bfa94ddeb","width":"2596","height":"590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628223856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626601940,"gmtCreate":1674054646380,"gmtModify":1674054648102,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626601940","repostId":"628793143","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628793143,"gmtCreate":1673455428382,"gmtModify":1673455720558,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"比CPI更有悬念的是美联储的态度","htmlText":"周四CPI有90%的概率数据表现低于预期,市场给出平均预期6.5%,降幅显著,其他分析师给出的预期数据甚至更低。更低的数据有助于当天打开上涨空间,不过我倾向认为是短爆发,因为马上下周财报季要面对真实的盈利下滑了。根据彭博预测:整体CPI环比下降0.2%(前值为0.1%),同比增长6.3%(前值为7.1%)。核心CPI环比增长0.2%,与11月持平,同比增长5.6%,而前值为6.0%。经季节性因素调整后,能源价格下跌可能导致月度整体数据下降0.5个百分点。汽油价格经季节性因素调整后下跌9.8%,其中中国需求下降是主要原因。异常温暖的冬天也导致了家庭公用事业价格的下降。核心商品领域的通缩继续加剧。由于消费者控制需求,家具、服装、玩具和娱乐用品等多个商品行业库存过剩。新车和二手车的价格在12月份都可能出现下跌。供应和生产的改善帮助提振了汽车库存。随着贷款利率攀升,需求已经降温。到2023年上半年末,企业将完成过剩库存的去库存,达到与需求下降更为平衡的水平,此后商品类别对通货紧缩的推动作用将减弱。按月计算,住房通胀可能已经见顶。主要居民租金和业主等效租金的同比增长一直持续到春末。除住房以外的核心服务——美联储主席鲍威尔指出,这是一个需要观察持久通货紧缩迹象的类别——可能正在横向下滑。不过,最新的ISM服务报告显示,12月服务需求的前瞻性部分大幅下降,因此这一类别在未来几个月可能会放缓是合理的。衰退不是利好,衰退逼迫美联储停止加息才是利好,可以说美联储的态度决定了市场的两种走势。这几天土耳其股市暴雷,原因是12月底土耳其央行决定暂停降息。没错,在全世界都在试图靠加息或其他方法压低通胀的去年,土耳其8月份做了一个大胆的决定:开始降息。于是土耳其指数成为了2022年表现最好的指数,土耳其etf<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TUR\">$土耳其ETF-iShar</a>","listText":"周四CPI有90%的概率数据表现低于预期,市场给出平均预期6.5%,降幅显著,其他分析师给出的预期数据甚至更低。更低的数据有助于当天打开上涨空间,不过我倾向认为是短爆发,因为马上下周财报季要面对真实的盈利下滑了。根据彭博预测:整体CPI环比下降0.2%(前值为0.1%),同比增长6.3%(前值为7.1%)。核心CPI环比增长0.2%,与11月持平,同比增长5.6%,而前值为6.0%。经季节性因素调整后,能源价格下跌可能导致月度整体数据下降0.5个百分点。汽油价格经季节性因素调整后下跌9.8%,其中中国需求下降是主要原因。异常温暖的冬天也导致了家庭公用事业价格的下降。核心商品领域的通缩继续加剧。由于消费者控制需求,家具、服装、玩具和娱乐用品等多个商品行业库存过剩。新车和二手车的价格在12月份都可能出现下跌。供应和生产的改善帮助提振了汽车库存。随着贷款利率攀升,需求已经降温。到2023年上半年末,企业将完成过剩库存的去库存,达到与需求下降更为平衡的水平,此后商品类别对通货紧缩的推动作用将减弱。按月计算,住房通胀可能已经见顶。主要居民租金和业主等效租金的同比增长一直持续到春末。除住房以外的核心服务——美联储主席鲍威尔指出,这是一个需要观察持久通货紧缩迹象的类别——可能正在横向下滑。不过,最新的ISM服务报告显示,12月服务需求的前瞻性部分大幅下降,因此这一类别在未来几个月可能会放缓是合理的。衰退不是利好,衰退逼迫美联储停止加息才是利好,可以说美联储的态度决定了市场的两种走势。这几天土耳其股市暴雷,原因是12月底土耳其央行决定暂停降息。没错,在全世界都在试图靠加息或其他方法压低通胀的去年,土耳其8月份做了一个大胆的决定:开始降息。于是土耳其指数成为了2022年表现最好的指数,土耳其etf<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TUR\">$土耳其ETF-iShar</a>","text":"周四CPI有90%的概率数据表现低于预期,市场给出平均预期6.5%,降幅显著,其他分析师给出的预期数据甚至更低。更低的数据有助于当天打开上涨空间,不过我倾向认为是短爆发,因为马上下周财报季要面对真实的盈利下滑了。根据彭博预测:整体CPI环比下降0.2%(前值为0.1%),同比增长6.3%(前值为7.1%)。核心CPI环比增长0.2%,与11月持平,同比增长5.6%,而前值为6.0%。经季节性因素调整后,能源价格下跌可能导致月度整体数据下降0.5个百分点。汽油价格经季节性因素调整后下跌9.8%,其中中国需求下降是主要原因。异常温暖的冬天也导致了家庭公用事业价格的下降。核心商品领域的通缩继续加剧。由于消费者控制需求,家具、服装、玩具和娱乐用品等多个商品行业库存过剩。新车和二手车的价格在12月份都可能出现下跌。供应和生产的改善帮助提振了汽车库存。随着贷款利率攀升,需求已经降温。到2023年上半年末,企业将完成过剩库存的去库存,达到与需求下降更为平衡的水平,此后商品类别对通货紧缩的推动作用将减弱。按月计算,住房通胀可能已经见顶。主要居民租金和业主等效租金的同比增长一直持续到春末。除住房以外的核心服务——美联储主席鲍威尔指出,这是一个需要观察持久通货紧缩迹象的类别——可能正在横向下滑。不过,最新的ISM服务报告显示,12月服务需求的前瞻性部分大幅下降,因此这一类别在未来几个月可能会放缓是合理的。衰退不是利好,衰退逼迫美联储停止加息才是利好,可以说美联储的态度决定了市场的两种走势。这几天土耳其股市暴雷,原因是12月底土耳其央行决定暂停降息。没错,在全世界都在试图靠加息或其他方法压低通胀的去年,土耳其8月份做了一个大胆的决定:开始降息。于是土耳其指数成为了2022年表现最好的指数,土耳其etf$土耳其ETF-iShar","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2c301eb9c3793a602d3341eb9c3b2dd","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4cdaf629b8b49ee868b9ca7d4f26f6f","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0e96e509defdf5b4bd22c3f83f6ee7e","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628793143","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":628664404,"gmtCreate":1673196140908,"gmtModify":1673196142737,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628664404","repostId":"1144485691","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628696736,"gmtCreate":1673107780025,"gmtModify":1673107782129,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"下跌区间90~105,上涨区间是120~135。但更有可能是在这之间震荡。","listText":"下跌区间90~105,上涨区间是120~135。但更有可能是在这之间震荡。","text":"下跌区间90~105,上涨区间是120~135。但更有可能是在这之间震荡。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628696736","repostId":"628954992","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628954992,"gmtCreate":1672843659116,"gmtModify":1672843681324,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"特斯拉会跌到哪儿?一些大单线索(2)","htmlText":"今天是1月4号,是马斯克预言股灾一周年的日子,所以今天也可以算另类“黑色星期五“了。很黑色幽默的是,市场上跌幅最引人注目的股票正是马斯克的特斯拉,很难说华尔街没点意见在里面。特斯拉一晚上跌到上周盘前低点104,接下来的问题就是,特斯拉还会跌吗?可以用期权异动了解市场对这个问题的看法。先说结论:市场倾向于不会跌到90以下,也不倾向会暴涨,sell call可能是近期更好的选择。按时间顺序来看,周二开盘后没多久就有人买入了平价期权<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230106%20110.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230106%20110.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230106 110.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 110.0 PUT$ </a> ,本周看跌到110以下,事实证明之后股价大跌,我认为这张期权的交易者今天可能会平仓。然后时间来到盘中11点,此时特斯拉股价接近底部,有人卖出了行权价为135的call <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20135.0%20CALL\">$TSLA%2020230120%20135.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 135.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20230120 135.0 CALL$ </a>,此行为可以解释为不看好特斯拉1月20日前不会涨过135。时间来到下半场,特斯拉止跌反弹。下半场的思路转化为sell ","listText":"今天是1月4号,是马斯克预言股灾一周年的日子,所以今天也可以算另类“黑色星期五“了。很黑色幽默的是,市场上跌幅最引人注目的股票正是马斯克的特斯拉,很难说华尔街没点意见在里面。特斯拉一晚上跌到上周盘前低点104,接下来的问题就是,特斯拉还会跌吗?可以用期权异动了解市场对这个问题的看法。先说结论:市场倾向于不会跌到90以下,也不倾向会暴涨,sell call可能是近期更好的选择。按时间顺序来看,周二开盘后没多久就有人买入了平价期权<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230106%20110.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230106%20110.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230106 110.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230106 110.0 PUT$ </a> ,本周看跌到110以下,事实证明之后股价大跌,我认为这张期权的交易者今天可能会平仓。然后时间来到盘中11点,此时特斯拉股价接近底部,有人卖出了行权价为135的call <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20135.0%20CALL\">$TSLA%2020230120%20135.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 135.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20230120 135.0 CALL$ </a>,此行为可以解释为不看好特斯拉1月20日前不会涨过135。时间来到下半场,特斯拉止跌反弹。下半场的思路转化为sell ","text":"今天是1月4号,是马斯克预言股灾一周年的日子,所以今天也可以算另类“黑色星期五“了。很黑色幽默的是,市场上跌幅最引人注目的股票正是马斯克的特斯拉,很难说华尔街没点意见在里面。特斯拉一晚上跌到上周盘前低点104,接下来的问题就是,特斯拉还会跌吗?可以用期权异动了解市场对这个问题的看法。先说结论:市场倾向于不会跌到90以下,也不倾向会暴涨,sell call可能是近期更好的选择。按时间顺序来看,周二开盘后没多久就有人买入了平价期权$TSLA%2020230106%20110.0%20PUT$ $TSLA 20230106 110.0 PUT$ ,本周看跌到110以下,事实证明之后股价大跌,我认为这张期权的交易者今天可能会平仓。然后时间来到盘中11点,此时特斯拉股价接近底部,有人卖出了行权价为135的call $TSLA%2020230120%20135.0%20CALL$ $TSLA 20230120 135.0 CALL$ ,此行为可以解释为不看好特斯拉1月20日前不会涨过135。时间来到下半场,特斯拉止跌反弹。下半场的思路转化为sell","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24d6af91d93e320db868fdd10b1f8878","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a40e05b0bee8ccb9564e878949fa5bdb","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b66d3573e9daf8051fc1ed2651432d1e","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628954992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621716436,"gmtCreate":1672664529926,"gmtModify":1672664531654,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比亚迪呢?","listText":"比亚迪呢?","text":"比亚迪呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621716436","repostId":"2300113995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629566774,"gmtCreate":1670613453599,"gmtModify":1670615331833,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$ </a>新冠封控彻底放开了!目标价:20元,看看新东方的股价就知道了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$ </a>新冠封控彻底放开了!目标价:20元,看看新东方的股价就知道了","text":"$途牛(TOUR)$ 新冠封控彻底放开了!目标价:20元,看看新东方的股价就知道了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629566774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629151286,"gmtCreate":1670372028246,"gmtModify":1670372029757,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629151286","repostId":"629371023","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":629371023,"gmtCreate":1670309577263,"gmtModify":1670309593746,"author":{"id":"3527667650848029","authorId":"3527667650848029","name":"锐评","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667650848029","authorIdStr":"3527667650848029"},"themes":[],"title":"这一波港股/中概股能持续到多久?","htmlText":"昨天晚上国际大行们开始纷纷行动,喊买中国。晚上港股大涨,人民币大涨。市场好的时候,大家都很高兴,但是越是高兴的时候就越容易出事。所以最核心的一个问题:这一波港股/中概股能持续多久?在回答这个问题之前,先思考另外一个问题。下面两个问题哪一个对于投资的理解更加重要A:理解当下市场处于什么状态;B:预测市场即将处于什么状态;做股票投资的人开口必称Forward Looking,所以B,也就是对市场的预测在投资中更加重要。理论上也对,毕竟股价是未来现金流的折现。但是如果回测一下,就会发现输钱最多的地方,往往是左侧抄底,核心原因是没有理解当下市场处于什么状态。在不该抄底的时候抄底了,心中老是期待会有什么好消息会发生,是机构和个人都容易犯的错误。择时是一个非常困难的事情,而要把择时的水平提高,核心就是要理解当下市场处于什么状态。与其每天都在Forward Looking,还不如好好理解当下的状态。不用寄希望于抄在最底部(抄在最底部的人,可能之前无数次错误抄底过),只要抄底的时候站在正确的趋势就行。所以我个人认为A的重要性远远高于B。那么当前处于什么状态呢?第一波开始喊转向的卖方,是我们老虎证券,这里有必要强调一下,不要说某某券商早就喊转向了。那些早就喊转向的人,过去2年喊了多少次抄底,所以蒙对一次不说明问题。第二波开始喊转向的卖方,就是国际投行,现在开始行动了,估计喊的力度会越来越大。但是国际买家要进入,还需要时间,所以国际投行的声音也会越来越大。也正是因为国家买家观念转换的缓慢,所以这个市场还会有动力。大胆预测,ARK基金也会逐步扩大中概股的占比。第三波还没有开始喊转向的卖方,是中资券商,但是他们也会跟进。在接下来的一段时间,我能明确想到,但是市场可能已经忘了的一个重大利好,就是中概股的审计问题。在今年8月26日PCAOB的公开声明中,明确提到了PCAOB将在今年年底重新评估对中概审","listText":"昨天晚上国际大行们开始纷纷行动,喊买中国。晚上港股大涨,人民币大涨。市场好的时候,大家都很高兴,但是越是高兴的时候就越容易出事。所以最核心的一个问题:这一波港股/中概股能持续多久?在回答这个问题之前,先思考另外一个问题。下面两个问题哪一个对于投资的理解更加重要A:理解当下市场处于什么状态;B:预测市场即将处于什么状态;做股票投资的人开口必称Forward Looking,所以B,也就是对市场的预测在投资中更加重要。理论上也对,毕竟股价是未来现金流的折现。但是如果回测一下,就会发现输钱最多的地方,往往是左侧抄底,核心原因是没有理解当下市场处于什么状态。在不该抄底的时候抄底了,心中老是期待会有什么好消息会发生,是机构和个人都容易犯的错误。择时是一个非常困难的事情,而要把择时的水平提高,核心就是要理解当下市场处于什么状态。与其每天都在Forward Looking,还不如好好理解当下的状态。不用寄希望于抄在最底部(抄在最底部的人,可能之前无数次错误抄底过),只要抄底的时候站在正确的趋势就行。所以我个人认为A的重要性远远高于B。那么当前处于什么状态呢?第一波开始喊转向的卖方,是我们老虎证券,这里有必要强调一下,不要说某某券商早就喊转向了。那些早就喊转向的人,过去2年喊了多少次抄底,所以蒙对一次不说明问题。第二波开始喊转向的卖方,就是国际投行,现在开始行动了,估计喊的力度会越来越大。但是国际买家要进入,还需要时间,所以国际投行的声音也会越来越大。也正是因为国家买家观念转换的缓慢,所以这个市场还会有动力。大胆预测,ARK基金也会逐步扩大中概股的占比。第三波还没有开始喊转向的卖方,是中资券商,但是他们也会跟进。在接下来的一段时间,我能明确想到,但是市场可能已经忘了的一个重大利好,就是中概股的审计问题。在今年8月26日PCAOB的公开声明中,明确提到了PCAOB将在今年年底重新评估对中概审","text":"昨天晚上国际大行们开始纷纷行动,喊买中国。晚上港股大涨,人民币大涨。市场好的时候,大家都很高兴,但是越是高兴的时候就越容易出事。所以最核心的一个问题:这一波港股/中概股能持续多久?在回答这个问题之前,先思考另外一个问题。下面两个问题哪一个对于投资的理解更加重要A:理解当下市场处于什么状态;B:预测市场即将处于什么状态;做股票投资的人开口必称Forward 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\n \n 江泽民同志在上海逝世,享年96岁[默哀][默哀][默哀]一起回顾1997年江泽民访美在哈佛大学的英语演讲。\n 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 小幅上涨,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 跌2.8%,阿里巴巴跌1.36%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 跌0.8%;昨日大幅上涨的内房股与物管股继续上涨,光伏股、啤酒股、电力股、内险股多数走高,信义光能涨近3%。另一方面,新能源汽车股普遍走低,零售股、煤炭股下跌明显,蔚来跌超5%。美股市场美股周一收高。本周市场关注美国国会的中期选举结果与关键的10月CPI通胀数据。此前国际货币基金组织IMF称,全球通胀可能正在触顶。截止收盘,道琼斯指数涨1.31%,纳斯达克指数涨0.85%,标普500指数涨0.97%。油气设备、半导体材料与设备板块涨幅居前,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VST\">$Vistra Energy Corp.(VS</a>","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场11月8日讯,隔夜美股三大指数均涨约1%,港股继续反弹行情,恒指涨0.27%,国指涨0.19%,恒生科技指数涨0.07%。盘面上,大型科技股涨跌参半,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 小幅上涨,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 跌2.8%,阿里巴巴跌1.36%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 跌0.8%;昨日大幅上涨的内房股与物管股继续上涨,光伏股、啤酒股、电力股、内险股多数走高,信义光能涨近3%。另一方面,新能源汽车股普遍走低,零售股、煤炭股下跌明显,蔚来跌超5%。美股市场美股周一收高。本周市场关注美国国会的中期选举结果与关键的10月CPI通胀数据。此前国际货币基金组织IMF称,全球通胀可能正在触顶。截止收盘,道琼斯指数涨1.31%,纳斯达克指数涨0.85%,标普500指数涨0.97%。油气设备、半导体材料与设备板块涨幅居前,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VST\">$Vistra Energy Corp.(VS</a>","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场11月8日讯,隔夜美股三大指数均涨约1%,港股继续反弹行情,恒指涨0.27%,国指涨0.19%,恒生科技指数涨0.07%。盘面上,大型科技股涨跌参半,$快手-W(01024)$ 、$小米集团-W(01810)$ 、$美团-W(03690)$ 小幅上涨,$百度集团-SW(09888)$ 跌2.8%,阿里巴巴跌1.36%,$腾讯控股(00700)$ 跌0.8%;昨日大幅上涨的内房股与物管股继续上涨,光伏股、啤酒股、电力股、内险股多数走高,信义光能涨近3%。另一方面,新能源汽车股普遍走低,零售股、煤炭股下跌明显,蔚来跌超5%。美股市场美股周一收高。本周市场关注美国国会的中期选举结果与关键的10月CPI通胀数据。此前国际货币基金组织IMF称,全球通胀可能正在触顶。截止收盘,道琼斯指数涨1.31%,纳斯达克指数涨0.85%,标普500指数涨0.97%。油气设备、半导体材料与设备板块涨幅居前,$Vistra Energy Corp.(VS","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1bebf8099eb57495afaab6c8fac7a3f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664117224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667677669,"gmtCreate":1668782562551,"gmtModify":1668782564292,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667677669","repostId":"664850137","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664850137,"gmtCreate":1667957672430,"gmtModify":1703729205452,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667596890271","authorIdStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【11月9日】美股收高,币圈巨震!区块链股崩跌,今天买点啥","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场11月9日讯,港股三大指数基本平开,恒指跌0.03%,国指涨0.05%,恒生科技指数涨0.09%。盘面上,大型科技股多数下跌,百度、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 跌超1%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 、网易、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 小幅下跌,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 涨约2%;生物医药股跌幅靠前,内险股、体育用品股、乳制品股、建材水泥股普遍走低。另一方面,有色金属股继续强势,五矿资源大涨10.68%录得4连涨;外资加码布局中国房地产市场,内房股与物管股上涨明显,碧桂园涨5.6%,龙湖集团涨3%。苹果概念股瑞声科技大幅高开14.6%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00285\">$比亚迪电子(00285)$</a> 涨逾3%。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02018\">$瑞声科技(02018)$</a> 跳空高开14.66%报18.46港元。消息面上,“果链”公司歌尔股份深夜发风险提示公告称遭境外大客户“砍单”。美股市场美股周二收高。投资者关注美国中期选举结果与美股财报表现,并等待周四的10月CPI通胀数据","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场11月9日讯,港股三大指数基本平开,恒指跌0.03%,国指涨0.05%,恒生科技指数涨0.09%。盘面上,大型科技股多数下跌,百度、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 跌超1%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 、网易、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 小幅下跌,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 涨约2%;生物医药股跌幅靠前,内险股、体育用品股、乳制品股、建材水泥股普遍走低。另一方面,有色金属股继续强势,五矿资源大涨10.68%录得4连涨;外资加码布局中国房地产市场,内房股与物管股上涨明显,碧桂园涨5.6%,龙湖集团涨3%。苹果概念股瑞声科技大幅高开14.6%,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00285\">$比亚迪电子(00285)$</a> 涨逾3%。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02018\">$瑞声科技(02018)$</a> 跳空高开14.66%报18.46港元。消息面上,“果链”公司歌尔股份深夜发风险提示公告称遭境外大客户“砍单”。美股市场美股周二收高。投资者关注美国中期选举结果与美股财报表现,并等待周四的10月CPI通胀数据","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场11月9日讯,港股三大指数基本平开,恒指跌0.03%,国指涨0.05%,恒生科技指数涨0.09%。盘面上,大型科技股多数下跌,百度、$美团-W(03690)$ 跌超1%,$腾讯控股(00700)$ 、网易、$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 小幅下跌,$小米集团-W(01810)$ 涨约2%;生物医药股跌幅靠前,内险股、体育用品股、乳制品股、建材水泥股普遍走低。另一方面,有色金属股继续强势,五矿资源大涨10.68%录得4连涨;外资加码布局中国房地产市场,内房股与物管股上涨明显,碧桂园涨5.6%,龙湖集团涨3%。苹果概念股瑞声科技大幅高开14.6%,$比亚迪电子(00285)$ 涨逾3%。$瑞声科技(02018)$ 跳空高开14.66%报18.46港元。消息面上,“果链”公司歌尔股份深夜发风险提示公告称遭境外大客户“砍单”。美股市场美股周二收高。投资者关注美国中期选举结果与美股财报表现,并等待周四的10月CPI通胀数据","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d7da388220bfad782f62f7c19103ddd","width":"806","height":"273"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664850137","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667677826,"gmtCreate":1668782553065,"gmtModify":1668782555324,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667677826","repostId":"664508036","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664508036,"gmtCreate":1668092258825,"gmtModify":1668092585821,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3440721572920950","authorIdStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"10月CPI数据大幅低于预期,究竟是不是好事?","htmlText":"众目睽睽下,决定美联储年末最后一次加息的重要数据之一,美国10月CPI数据火热出炉。 7.7%的同比增幅,比市场预期的7.9%更低,也是创下了今年2月以来的新低,意味着CPI跌至俄乌冲突前的低点,同时,环比上涨0.4%,也好于市场预期的0.6%。 其中,去除能源和食品的“核心CPI”同比增长6.3%,好于市场预期的6.5%,也低于上个月的6.6%。 为何市场如此胆战心惊,预期增长那么高? 一方面是油价在10月回升;另一方面是占比最高的核心项目——住所,在6-9月有向上加速的趋势。 但事实上,市场有些高估高权重项目的影响。从环比的视角来看,10月份的能源价格其实是高于9月的,也是自7月以来回落之后再次上行,因此油价在10月份对CPI增幅的确起到了“加重”作用。然而,食物的价格虽然也比9月更高(环比上升),环比增速是今年最低的,的确是个好迹象。由于食品在整个CPI的比重要大于能源,因此10月CPI核心之外的部分是应该“优于预期”的。在核心项目中,占比最高的住所(shelter)环比增幅达到了0.8%,同比增幅达到6.9%,也是近年来最高水平,更是支撑本季度CPI的最强因素。其他的各细分项目,仅有新车和交通服务的增长超过核心CPI,且新车的环比增幅也创下今年新低,其他所有服务类的项目,均不同程度的低于核心CPI的增幅。二手车的环比竟下降了2%,同比只有区区2%。这也给特斯拉等汽车制造商带来了压力,即便是近年来火热的新能源行业,也开始出现增长疲态。而根据统计,美国今年前10个月中裁员最多的行业就是汽车行业。低于市场预期的CPI意味着什么?首先,CPI降幅超预期,就一定程度上降低了美联储加息的坚定信念,市场也是这么认为的,目前从CME的利率观察工具看,CPI公布之前12月加息50个基点和75个基点是五五开,公布之后50个基点的概率就升至80%以上。除了12月,低于预期的CPI会让美","listText":"众目睽睽下,决定美联储年末最后一次加息的重要数据之一,美国10月CPI数据火热出炉。 7.7%的同比增幅,比市场预期的7.9%更低,也是创下了今年2月以来的新低,意味着CPI跌至俄乌冲突前的低点,同时,环比上涨0.4%,也好于市场预期的0.6%。 其中,去除能源和食品的“核心CPI”同比增长6.3%,好于市场预期的6.5%,也低于上个月的6.6%。 为何市场如此胆战心惊,预期增长那么高? 一方面是油价在10月回升;另一方面是占比最高的核心项目——住所,在6-9月有向上加速的趋势。 但事实上,市场有些高估高权重项目的影响。从环比的视角来看,10月份的能源价格其实是高于9月的,也是自7月以来回落之后再次上行,因此油价在10月份对CPI增幅的确起到了“加重”作用。然而,食物的价格虽然也比9月更高(环比上升),环比增速是今年最低的,的确是个好迹象。由于食品在整个CPI的比重要大于能源,因此10月CPI核心之外的部分是应该“优于预期”的。在核心项目中,占比最高的住所(shelter)环比增幅达到了0.8%,同比增幅达到6.9%,也是近年来最高水平,更是支撑本季度CPI的最强因素。其他的各细分项目,仅有新车和交通服务的增长超过核心CPI,且新车的环比增幅也创下今年新低,其他所有服务类的项目,均不同程度的低于核心CPI的增幅。二手车的环比竟下降了2%,同比只有区区2%。这也给特斯拉等汽车制造商带来了压力,即便是近年来火热的新能源行业,也开始出现增长疲态。而根据统计,美国今年前10个月中裁员最多的行业就是汽车行业。低于市场预期的CPI意味着什么?首先,CPI降幅超预期,就一定程度上降低了美联储加息的坚定信念,市场也是这么认为的,目前从CME的利率观察工具看,CPI公布之前12月加息50个基点和75个基点是五五开,公布之后50个基点的概率就升至80%以上。除了12月,低于预期的CPI会让美","text":"众目睽睽下,决定美联储年末最后一次加息的重要数据之一,美国10月CPI数据火热出炉。 7.7%的同比增幅,比市场预期的7.9%更低,也是创下了今年2月以来的新低,意味着CPI跌至俄乌冲突前的低点,同时,环比上涨0.4%,也好于市场预期的0.6%。 其中,去除能源和食品的“核心CPI”同比增长6.3%,好于市场预期的6.5%,也低于上个月的6.6%。 为何市场如此胆战心惊,预期增长那么高? 一方面是油价在10月回升;另一方面是占比最高的核心项目——住所,在6-9月有向上加速的趋势。 但事实上,市场有些高估高权重项目的影响。从环比的视角来看,10月份的能源价格其实是高于9月的,也是自7月以来回落之后再次上行,因此油价在10月份对CPI增幅的确起到了“加重”作用。然而,食物的价格虽然也比9月更高(环比上升),环比增速是今年最低的,的确是个好迹象。由于食品在整个CPI的比重要大于能源,因此10月CPI核心之外的部分是应该“优于预期”的。在核心项目中,占比最高的住所(shelter)环比增幅达到了0.8%,同比增幅达到6.9%,也是近年来最高水平,更是支撑本季度CPI的最强因素。其他的各细分项目,仅有新车和交通服务的增长超过核心CPI,且新车的环比增幅也创下今年新低,其他所有服务类的项目,均不同程度的低于核心CPI的增幅。二手车的环比竟下降了2%,同比只有区区2%。这也给特斯拉等汽车制造商带来了压力,即便是近年来火热的新能源行业,也开始出现增长疲态。而根据统计,美国今年前10个月中裁员最多的行业就是汽车行业。低于市场预期的CPI意味着什么?首先,CPI降幅超预期,就一定程度上降低了美联储加息的坚定信念,市场也是这么认为的,目前从CME的利率观察工具看,CPI公布之前12月加息50个基点和75个基点是五五开,公布之后50个基点的概率就升至80%以上。除了12月,低于预期的CPI会让美","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8309e02a44fecd9fa5508932d207af1d","width":"639","height":"368"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d193c057b32d8c951bcd2f88c3f2171","width":"480","height":"288"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae09c3313d8dbe07721e2bb282e7b5b","width":"480","height":"288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664508036","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":2416,"gmtBegin":1668092503163,"gmtEnd":1669042881512,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你认为10月CPI的数据是利好吗?","choices":[{"id":9083,"sort":1,"name":"短期利好,长期利空","userSize":484,"voted":false},{"id":9084,"sort":2,"name":"短期利空,长期利好","userSize":58,"voted":false},{"id":9085,"sort":3,"name":"都是利空","userSize":53,"voted":false},{"id":9086,"sort":4,"name":"都是利好","userSize":233,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1004,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664736075,"gmtCreate":1668315575097,"gmtModify":1668315577579,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"更博大","listText":"更博大","text":"更博大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664736075","repostId":"664799087","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664799087,"gmtCreate":1668269041450,"gmtModify":1668305687839,"author":{"id":"3483341938884489","authorId":"3483341938884489","name":"景辰财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a5e89e6e34155c91e69a7cead5a72e85","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3483341938884489","authorIdStr":"3483341938884489"},"themes":[],"title":"离开大城市,回小城,问题就迎刃而解了?","htmlText":"冠历三年,事情发生了微妙的变化。 比如,越来越多的人开始探讨“跑到鹤岗5万买房并雇保姆”的女孩子的选择是否理智,越来越多的人开始审视“买不起房,想放弃十多年积分落户得来的北京户口回老家”是否明智,越来越多的人开始思考“30岁了还没有北京户口、没有女朋友,是否该回老家”该如何抉择。 我知道,这三年很多人在大城市生活得很艰难,可问题是,离开大城市,回到小城,这一切问题就迎刃而解了? 首先,谈谈工作机会 大城市最显著的优势,就是机会多,其中对年轻人最友好的,就是工作机会多。 注意,我这里提到的工作机会不仅局限于你首先想到的程序员码农、金融分析师、创意广告师等白领工作机会,更重要的是,你能轻松享有作为服务型社会所创造出的服务型工作机会,当然,也不仅局限于餐厅服务员。很多行业和岗位,只聚集于大城市,如果回到小城,你甚至将失去和别人谈论这些的机会,比如,花式鸡尾酒调酒师,三里屯一片的酒吧数量,可能就远超你家乡所有的酒吧数量,大城市为你提供的不仅是机会的广度,更重要的是数目。 小城中,工作机会不仅少,而且行业和范围也很有限,甚至,所有小城人民认为靠谱的工作机会,几乎都和体制沾边:公务员、银行、医院、学校……大把人托人托关系死死盯着这些有限的萝卜坑位,即使它们工资奇低,甚至和北京课外辅导老师能差出一个数量级。 有人可能会想,我就不进体制,就安安稳稳开个烧烤摊,行了吧? 不行! 你以为在小城开个烧烤摊简单?就简简单单摆个烧烤摊,这么个事,却属于典型的低门槛恶性竞争的代表,还想赚钱?你先思量下你能不能全须全尾地收摊吧。 小城开烧烤,最难的门槛不是资金不是技术,而是人脉,一句话说,你得认识你该认识的人。 如果你不认识你该认识的人,有无数个部门可以分分钟让你关门滚蛋血本无归,道理不用多讲,尤其是小城出来的人,都清楚我说的是什么。 相反,反而是在大城市,开个烧烤摊还更简单,你就老老实实申请、老老实实","listText":"冠历三年,事情发生了微妙的变化。 比如,越来越多的人开始探讨“跑到鹤岗5万买房并雇保姆”的女孩子的选择是否理智,越来越多的人开始审视“买不起房,想放弃十多年积分落户得来的北京户口回老家”是否明智,越来越多的人开始思考“30岁了还没有北京户口、没有女朋友,是否该回老家”该如何抉择。 我知道,这三年很多人在大城市生活得很艰难,可问题是,离开大城市,回到小城,这一切问题就迎刃而解了? 首先,谈谈工作机会 大城市最显著的优势,就是机会多,其中对年轻人最友好的,就是工作机会多。 注意,我这里提到的工作机会不仅局限于你首先想到的程序员码农、金融分析师、创意广告师等白领工作机会,更重要的是,你能轻松享有作为服务型社会所创造出的服务型工作机会,当然,也不仅局限于餐厅服务员。很多行业和岗位,只聚集于大城市,如果回到小城,你甚至将失去和别人谈论这些的机会,比如,花式鸡尾酒调酒师,三里屯一片的酒吧数量,可能就远超你家乡所有的酒吧数量,大城市为你提供的不仅是机会的广度,更重要的是数目。 小城中,工作机会不仅少,而且行业和范围也很有限,甚至,所有小城人民认为靠谱的工作机会,几乎都和体制沾边:公务员、银行、医院、学校……大把人托人托关系死死盯着这些有限的萝卜坑位,即使它们工资奇低,甚至和北京课外辅导老师能差出一个数量级。 有人可能会想,我就不进体制,就安安稳稳开个烧烤摊,行了吧? 不行! 你以为在小城开个烧烤摊简单?就简简单单摆个烧烤摊,这么个事,却属于典型的低门槛恶性竞争的代表,还想赚钱?你先思量下你能不能全须全尾地收摊吧。 小城开烧烤,最难的门槛不是资金不是技术,而是人脉,一句话说,你得认识你该认识的人。 如果你不认识你该认识的人,有无数个部门可以分分钟让你关门滚蛋血本无归,道理不用多讲,尤其是小城出来的人,都清楚我说的是什么。 相反,反而是在大城市,开个烧烤摊还更简单,你就老老实实申请、老老实实","text":"冠历三年,事情发生了微妙的变化。 比如,越来越多的人开始探讨“跑到鹤岗5万买房并雇保姆”的女孩子的选择是否理智,越来越多的人开始审视“买不起房,想放弃十多年积分落户得来的北京户口回老家”是否明智,越来越多的人开始思考“30岁了还没有北京户口、没有女朋友,是否该回老家”该如何抉择。 我知道,这三年很多人在大城市生活得很艰难,可问题是,离开大城市,回到小城,这一切问题就迎刃而解了? 首先,谈谈工作机会 大城市最显著的优势,就是机会多,其中对年轻人最友好的,就是工作机会多。 注意,我这里提到的工作机会不仅局限于你首先想到的程序员码农、金融分析师、创意广告师等白领工作机会,更重要的是,你能轻松享有作为服务型社会所创造出的服务型工作机会,当然,也不仅局限于餐厅服务员。很多行业和岗位,只聚集于大城市,如果回到小城,你甚至将失去和别人谈论这些的机会,比如,花式鸡尾酒调酒师,三里屯一片的酒吧数量,可能就远超你家乡所有的酒吧数量,大城市为你提供的不仅是机会的广度,更重要的是数目。 小城中,工作机会不仅少,而且行业和范围也很有限,甚至,所有小城人民认为靠谱的工作机会,几乎都和体制沾边:公务员、银行、医院、学校……大把人托人托关系死死盯着这些有限的萝卜坑位,即使它们工资奇低,甚至和北京课外辅导老师能差出一个数量级。 有人可能会想,我就不进体制,就安安稳稳开个烧烤摊,行了吧? 不行! 你以为在小城开个烧烤摊简单?就简简单单摆个烧烤摊,这么个事,却属于典型的低门槛恶性竞争的代表,还想赚钱?你先思量下你能不能全须全尾地收摊吧。 小城开烧烤,最难的门槛不是资金不是技术,而是人脉,一句话说,你得认识你该认识的人。 如果你不认识你该认识的人,有无数个部门可以分分钟让你关门滚蛋血本无归,道理不用多讲,尤其是小城出来的人,都清楚我说的是什么。 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22:00发表于广东以下文章来源于南洋富商,作者南洋富商2021年8月份,温州特斯拉车主冲撞小区拦截杆连撞14辆车,腾空3米落地的事故还在与官方进行责任鉴定,尽管一路补贴降价,这起新闻却动摇了用户对电动汽车的信心。其实这种信心本来就不该有。不只是特斯拉,而是所有的电动汽车都不成熟。无论是蔚来、比亚迪,还是特斯拉,只要是电动汽车,都面临同样的技术困境——电池能量密度不够。不仅带来大重量、高能耗、高废电池污染,还带来安全问题。这种技术瓶颈,是互联网、5G和写代码没法解决的,更不能指望PPT和演讲可以解决。创业者可以用天才的营销手段搞到投资,打出名声,但是一旦遇到电池这个核心技术问题,所有品牌的电动汽车就都卡死在这里。01 · 被燃油车取代的电动车很多人以为电动汽车是最近这些年刚研发的高技术产品,甚至有人误以为特斯拉是电动汽车的先驱。其实,电动汽车并非什么新鲜事物。世界上最早的电动汽车,是美国人安德森在1832年到1839年之间制造的。据说安德森讨厌马粪,没法教会马上厕所,就想用别的办法代替马。他在四轮马车上装上电动机和干电池,就这样上路了。虽然慢吞吞的也跑不远,好歹也是电动汽车。安德森的电动汽车造型1834年Thomas Davenport在美国制造出一辆直流电机驱动的电动车;1873年,英国人罗伯特·戴维森用电池作动力发明了可供实用的电动汽车;1859年法国人普兰特发明铅酸蓄蓄电池,为电动汽车提供了廉价能源;1881年法国工程师古斯塔夫·特鲁夫制造了第一辆铅酸电池三轮车;在很长的一段时间,电动汽车的数量比燃油汽车更多。直到1920年前后,随着采油、炼油技术提高,燃油汽车的数量才超过电动汽车。中国经历义和团运动和八国联军入侵的时候,欧洲大街上已经有不少电动汽车。虽然这些车速度不快,外观简陋,但是原理和当","listText":"不仅特斯拉,所有电动汽车都不值得买工业智能化2022-08-24 22:00发表于广东以下文章来源于南洋富商,作者南洋富商2021年8月份,温州特斯拉车主冲撞小区拦截杆连撞14辆车,腾空3米落地的事故还在与官方进行责任鉴定,尽管一路补贴降价,这起新闻却动摇了用户对电动汽车的信心。其实这种信心本来就不该有。不只是特斯拉,而是所有的电动汽车都不成熟。无论是蔚来、比亚迪,还是特斯拉,只要是电动汽车,都面临同样的技术困境——电池能量密度不够。不仅带来大重量、高能耗、高废电池污染,还带来安全问题。这种技术瓶颈,是互联网、5G和写代码没法解决的,更不能指望PPT和演讲可以解决。创业者可以用天才的营销手段搞到投资,打出名声,但是一旦遇到电池这个核心技术问题,所有品牌的电动汽车就都卡死在这里。01 · 被燃油车取代的电动车很多人以为电动汽车是最近这些年刚研发的高技术产品,甚至有人误以为特斯拉是电动汽车的先驱。其实,电动汽车并非什么新鲜事物。世界上最早的电动汽车,是美国人安德森在1832年到1839年之间制造的。据说安德森讨厌马粪,没法教会马上厕所,就想用别的办法代替马。他在四轮马车上装上电动机和干电池,就这样上路了。虽然慢吞吞的也跑不远,好歹也是电动汽车。安德森的电动汽车造型1834年Thomas Davenport在美国制造出一辆直流电机驱动的电动车;1873年,英国人罗伯特·戴维森用电池作动力发明了可供实用的电动汽车;1859年法国人普兰特发明铅酸蓄蓄电池,为电动汽车提供了廉价能源;1881年法国工程师古斯塔夫·特鲁夫制造了第一辆铅酸电池三轮车;在很长的一段时间,电动汽车的数量比燃油汽车更多。直到1920年前后,随着采油、炼油技术提高,燃油汽车的数量才超过电动汽车。中国经历义和团运动和八国联军入侵的时候,欧洲大街上已经有不少电动汽车。虽然这些车速度不快,外观简陋,但是原理和当","text":"不仅特斯拉,所有电动汽车都不值得买工业智能化2022-08-24 22:00发表于广东以下文章来源于南洋富商,作者南洋富商2021年8月份,温州特斯拉车主冲撞小区拦截杆连撞14辆车,腾空3米落地的事故还在与官方进行责任鉴定,尽管一路补贴降价,这起新闻却动摇了用户对电动汽车的信心。其实这种信心本来就不该有。不只是特斯拉,而是所有的电动汽车都不成熟。无论是蔚来、比亚迪,还是特斯拉,只要是电动汽车,都面临同样的技术困境——电池能量密度不够。不仅带来大重量、高能耗、高废电池污染,还带来安全问题。这种技术瓶颈,是互联网、5G和写代码没法解决的,更不能指望PPT和演讲可以解决。创业者可以用天才的营销手段搞到投资,打出名声,但是一旦遇到电池这个核心技术问题,所有品牌的电动汽车就都卡死在这里。01 · 被燃油车取代的电动车很多人以为电动汽车是最近这些年刚研发的高技术产品,甚至有人误以为特斯拉是电动汽车的先驱。其实,电动汽车并非什么新鲜事物。世界上最早的电动汽车,是美国人安德森在1832年到1839年之间制造的。据说安德森讨厌马粪,没法教会马上厕所,就想用别的办法代替马。他在四轮马车上装上电动机和干电池,就这样上路了。虽然慢吞吞的也跑不远,好歹也是电动汽车。安德森的电动汽车造型1834年Thomas Davenport在美国制造出一辆直流电机驱动的电动车;1873年,英国人罗伯特·戴维森用电池作动力发明了可供实用的电动汽车;1859年法国人普兰特发明铅酸蓄蓄电池,为电动汽车提供了廉价能源;1881年法国工程师古斯塔夫·特鲁夫制造了第一辆铅酸电池三轮车;在很长的一段时间,电动汽车的数量比燃油汽车更多。直到1920年前后,随着采油、炼油技术提高,燃油汽车的数量才超过电动汽车。中国经历义和团运动和八国联军入侵的时候,欧洲大街上已经有不少电动汽车。虽然这些车速度不快,外观简陋,但是原理和当","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7616cb582a5e858e996cbde0de6e2f86","width":"541","height":"327"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2607995e79cfca42dc32e9839d28c43","width":"600","height":"391"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bbf8e46a64212a57dfa87b4fc2bc40d","width":"570","height":"320"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/660935455","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681109877,"gmtCreate":1656693780304,"gmtModify":1704865664353,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681109877","repostId":"681373457","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":681373457,"gmtCreate":1656690044082,"gmtModify":1704865649476,"author":{"id":"3566871612481260","authorId":"3566871612481260","name":"BillionaireQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/964f028ec947364d049a6f0b870ae0bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566871612481260","authorIdStr":"3566871612481260"},"themes":[],"title":"【出大事了】恭喜各位老虎平台内、外看到我帖子的朋友","htmlText":"1、人生得意须尽欢,掖着藏着不是咱们的作风[开心] 少有半仓看中的票。2、如下图,不管是40厘米还是20厘米的大砍刀,都是大家应得的,你值得拥有,有的虎友自己做T和加仓也非常厉害,You are 666!!! 3、老虎平台看到我帖子的各位是幸运的,也感谢大家信任我的只言片语,这也是在下的荣幸。。4、价格在2.3提醒过,也分析过很多次,也招骂不少。感谢分享感谢分享感谢分享止盈真6加仓真6这个图是我的欢迎关注我,获得免费福利~近期继续分享文章和福利~<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> ","listText":"1、人生得意须尽欢,掖着藏着不是咱们的作风[开心] 少有半仓看中的票。2、如下图,不管是40厘米还是20厘米的大砍刀,都是大家应得的,你值得拥有,有的虎友自己做T和加仓也非常厉害,You are 666!!! 3、老虎平台看到我帖子的各位是幸运的,也感谢大家信任我的只言片语,这也是在下的荣幸。。4、价格在2.3提醒过,也分析过很多次,也招骂不少。感谢分享感谢分享感谢分享止盈真6加仓真6这个图是我的欢迎关注我,获得免费福利~近期继续分享文章和福利~<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> ","text":"1、人生得意须尽欢,掖着藏着不是咱们的作风[开心] 少有半仓看中的票。2、如下图,不管是40厘米还是20厘米的大砍刀,都是大家应得的,你值得拥有,有的虎友自己做T和加仓也非常厉害,You are 666!!! 3、老虎平台看到我帖子的各位是幸运的,也感谢大家信任我的只言片语,这也是在下的荣幸。。4、价格在2.3提醒过,也分析过很多次,也招骂不少。感谢分享感谢分享感谢分享止盈真6加仓真6这个图是我的欢迎关注我,获得免费福利~近期继续分享文章和福利~$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $AMC院线(AMC)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fee79f80ff9b72cde2bc13c8638786","width":"632","height":"1122"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1941496f511fd6cf470a3eea9cab6422","width":"632","height":"658"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6887ca2062c5a9e38094eeb1e1e340d9","width":"632","height":"344"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681373457","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683861844,"gmtCreate":1656173252590,"gmtModify":1704864210046,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683861844","repostId":"689013670","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":689013670,"gmtCreate":1655284288814,"gmtModify":1704861775503,"author":{"id":"212008496769156","authorId":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"212008496769156","authorIdStr":"212008496769156"},"themes":[],"title":"聊一聊火热的6月加息,对股市影响的3种说法","htmlText":"最近没有什么事件的影响力能比得上美联储的利率决议了。上周美国5月通胀超超超预期,一系列“后果”显现:1.美债利率跳升,10年美债收益率跳升至近3.5%;2.美元快速走强,美元指数突破105;3.美股连跌5个交易日,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 5个交易日大跌10%。一副灾难前景象。本周,5年期和30年期的美债收益率再次出现倒挂,没有现金流的资产或者远端现金流资产面临更大压力。市场一致认为:美联储需要一个更为陡峭的加息路径,才能实现控制通胀的政策目标。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察工具,从6月10日至15日,美联储在本周加息75个基点的可能性已从23.2%上升至98.6%,并且在7月份也来一次75个基点的加息,才有可能实现到明年年初联邦基金在3.25%-3.50%的范围。来源:CME通胀飙升得一塌糊涂,美联储本来也是“帮凶”之一,因为他们在该重视的时候选择了视而不见。但现在不是追责的时候,而是要讨论眼下的解决方案。说法1:美联储需要让股市下跌。已经是财政部长的前美联储主席在上个月曾说过,虽然美股今年下跌了不少,但是美国股市资产估值依然偏高。而作为“鸽派”的前纽约联储主席比尔·杜德利 (Bill Dudley)也说,如果股票不下跌,美联储需要强迫它们下跌。因为这都是“紧缩金融政策”的必要。仔细算来,从80年代保罗沃尔克战胜通胀以来,美联储面对的问题一直就是如何应对“紧缩”的环境,因此,货币政策都是倾向于提高就业率、增加消费,从而实现财富效应,因此,二十年来,IR401(k)账户的余额在不断增加,美国人民消费力也在上升。但现在不一样了,如果股票继续上涨,那就会使得消费者有更充足的资产来刺激消费,并且他们的需求会不断加剧通胀。因此美联储不惜让股市下跌,或者房地产下跌","listText":"最近没有什么事件的影响力能比得上美联储的利率决议了。上周美国5月通胀超超超预期,一系列“后果”显现:1.美债利率跳升,10年美债收益率跳升至近3.5%;2.美元快速走强,美元指数突破105;3.美股连跌5个交易日,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 5个交易日大跌10%。一副灾难前景象。本周,5年期和30年期的美债收益率再次出现倒挂,没有现金流的资产或者远端现金流资产面临更大压力。市场一致认为:美联储需要一个更为陡峭的加息路径,才能实现控制通胀的政策目标。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察工具,从6月10日至15日,美联储在本周加息75个基点的可能性已从23.2%上升至98.6%,并且在7月份也来一次75个基点的加息,才有可能实现到明年年初联邦基金在3.25%-3.50%的范围。来源:CME通胀飙升得一塌糊涂,美联储本来也是“帮凶”之一,因为他们在该重视的时候选择了视而不见。但现在不是追责的时候,而是要讨论眼下的解决方案。说法1:美联储需要让股市下跌。已经是财政部长的前美联储主席在上个月曾说过,虽然美股今年下跌了不少,但是美国股市资产估值依然偏高。而作为“鸽派”的前纽约联储主席比尔·杜德利 (Bill Dudley)也说,如果股票不下跌,美联储需要强迫它们下跌。因为这都是“紧缩金融政策”的必要。仔细算来,从80年代保罗沃尔克战胜通胀以来,美联储面对的问题一直就是如何应对“紧缩”的环境,因此,货币政策都是倾向于提高就业率、增加消费,从而实现财富效应,因此,二十年来,IR401(k)账户的余额在不断增加,美国人民消费力也在上升。但现在不一样了,如果股票继续上涨,那就会使得消费者有更充足的资产来刺激消费,并且他们的需求会不断加剧通胀。因此美联储不惜让股市下跌,或者房地产下跌","text":"最近没有什么事件的影响力能比得上美联储的利率决议了。上周美国5月通胀超超超预期,一系列“后果”显现:1.美债利率跳升,10年美债收益率跳升至近3.5%;2.美元快速走强,美元指数突破105;3.美股连跌5个交易日,$标普500(.SPX)$ 5个交易日大跌10%。一副灾难前景象。本周,5年期和30年期的美债收益率再次出现倒挂,没有现金流的资产或者远端现金流资产面临更大压力。市场一致认为:美联储需要一个更为陡峭的加息路径,才能实现控制通胀的政策目标。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察工具,从6月10日至15日,美联储在本周加息75个基点的可能性已从23.2%上升至98.6%,并且在7月份也来一次75个基点的加息,才有可能实现到明年年初联邦基金在3.25%-3.50%的范围。来源:CME通胀飙升得一塌糊涂,美联储本来也是“帮凶”之一,因为他们在该重视的时候选择了视而不见。但现在不是追责的时候,而是要讨论眼下的解决方案。说法1:美联储需要让股市下跌。已经是财政部长的前美联储主席在上个月曾说过,虽然美股今年下跌了不少,但是美国股市资产估值依然偏高。而作为“鸽派”的前纽约联储主席比尔·杜德利 (Bill Dudley)也说,如果股票不下跌,美联储需要强迫它们下跌。因为这都是“紧缩金融政策”的必要。仔细算来,从80年代保罗沃尔克战胜通胀以来,美联储面对的问题一直就是如何应对“紧缩”的环境,因此,货币政策都是倾向于提高就业率、增加消费,从而实现财富效应,因此,二十年来,IR401(k)账户的余额在不断增加,美国人民消费力也在上升。但现在不一样了,如果股票继续上涨,那就会使得消费者有更充足的资产来刺激消费,并且他们的需求会不断加剧通胀。因此美联储不惜让股市下跌,或者房地产下跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f825284b8db4be19f6434c0ab490df","width":"1765","height":"734"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c08c170841f6f3b6d64eedd52a24305a","width":"774","height":"457"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f54f33d6c390e300a6afdc2bc1816f9","width":"997","height":"387"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/689013670","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":1713,"gmtBegin":1655284926924,"gmtEnd":1655504492267,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"如果你是鲍威尔,你会如何选择?","choices":[{"id":6319,"sort":1,"name":"干脆摆烂,不加息","userSize":45,"voted":false},{"id":6320,"sort":2,"name":"遵守承诺,加息50bps","userSize":60,"voted":false},{"id":6321,"sort":3,"name":"臣服市场,加息75bps","userSize":114,"voted":false},{"id":6322,"sort":4,"name":"一次解决,加息100bps或以上","userSize":130,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685433855,"gmtCreate":1659829592279,"gmtModify":1659829592279,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特斯拉拆股有利于更多小散买得起,2020年1:5拆股后,股价大涨逾80%","listText":"特斯拉拆股有利于更多小散买得起,2020年1:5拆股后,股价大涨逾80%","text":"特斯拉拆股有利于更多小散买得起,2020年1:5拆股后,股价大涨逾80%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685433855","repostId":"685210531","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":685210531,"gmtCreate":1659665489052,"gmtModify":1703729205011,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667596890271","authorIdStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【8月5日】 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车(09868)$</a>涨近4%。另一方面,美油跌破90美元,石油股再度走低,海运股、银行股少数下跌。美股市场市场观望情绪浓厚,美股涨跌互现纳指涨0.41%美股周四收盘涨跌不一。市场继续关注美联储官员言论与联储改变激进加息政策立场的可能性,并等待周五将公布的重要非农就业数据。截至收盘,道琼斯指数跌0.26%,纳斯达克综合指数涨0.41%,标普500指数跌0.08%。大型科","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场8月5日讯,市场关注今晚非农数据,隔夜美股三大指数涨跌不一。港股延续反弹行情,恒指涨0.54%,国指涨0.73%,恒生科技指数涨1.1%。盘面上,昨日大涨的大型科技股继续上涨,美团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东(09618)$</a>、快手、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度(09888)$</a>涨超1%,小米、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯(00700)$</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴(09988)$</a>均有涨幅;生物科技股上涨明显,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01801\">$信达生物(01801)$</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06160\">$百济神州(06160)$</a>涨幅靠前;燃气股、汽车股、体育用品股、保险股普遍高开,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">$李宁(02331)$</a>涨近2%领涨蓝筹,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车(09868)$</a>涨近4%。另一方面,美油跌破90美元,石油股再度走低,海运股、银行股少数下跌。美股市场市场观望情绪浓厚,美股涨跌互现纳指涨0.41%美股周四收盘涨跌不一。市场继续关注美联储官员言论与联储改变激进加息政策立场的可能性,并等待周五将公布的重要非农就业数据。截至收盘,道琼斯指数跌0.26%,纳斯达克综合指数涨0.41%,标普500指数跌0.08%。大型科","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法,包括对于大盘走势后续的看法?看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场8月5日讯,市场关注今晚非农数据,隔夜美股三大指数涨跌不一。港股延续反弹行情,恒指涨0.54%,国指涨0.73%,恒生科技指数涨1.1%。盘面上,昨日大涨的大型科技股继续上涨,美团、$京东(09618)$、快手、$百度(09888)$涨超1%,小米、$腾讯(00700)$、$阿里巴巴(09988)$均有涨幅;生物科技股上涨明显,$信达生物(01801)$、$百济神州(06160)$涨幅靠前;燃气股、汽车股、体育用品股、保险股普遍高开,$李宁(02331)$涨近2%领涨蓝筹,$小鹏汽车(09868)$涨近4%。另一方面,美油跌破90美元,石油股再度走低,海运股、银行股少数下跌。美股市场市场观望情绪浓厚,美股涨跌互现纳指涨0.41%美股周四收盘涨跌不一。市场继续关注美联储官员言论与联储改变激进加息政策立场的可能性,并等待周五将公布的重要非农就业数据。截至收盘,道琼斯指数跌0.26%,纳斯达克综合指数涨0.41%,标普500指数跌0.08%。大型科","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d7da388220bfad782f62f7c19103ddd","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685210531","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":680368967,"gmtCreate":1654781900160,"gmtModify":1704860434061,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>该做个差价啦!不要赌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>该做个差价啦!不要赌","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$该做个差价啦!不要赌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680368967","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860904612,"gmtCreate":1632114919736,"gmtModify":1632114919736,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03996\">$中国能源建设(03996)$</a>葛洲坝终于等到重组成功了!停牌期间继续看好03996","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03996\">$中国能源建设(03996)$</a>葛洲坝终于等到重组成功了!停牌期间继续看好03996","text":"$中国能源建设(03996)$葛洲坝终于等到重组成功了!停牌期间继续看好03996","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860904612","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626601195,"gmtCreate":1674054665817,"gmtModify":1674054667760,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626601195","repostId":"628559399","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628559399,"gmtCreate":1673359728811,"gmtModify":1673359762377,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"期权大单异动:JD IQ TAL RL W","htmlText":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT\">$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230421 47.5 PUT\">$JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ </a>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL\">$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230317 90.0 CALL\">$JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ </a>交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","listText":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT\">$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230421 47.5 PUT\">$JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ </a>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL\">$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20230317 90.0 CALL\">$JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ </a>交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","text":"劲儿大的来了,喜闻乐见的异动大单时间。$京东(JD)$ 成交金额180万的看跌期权组合,用sell call对冲持有put产生的时间价值损失:买$JD%2020230421%2047.5%20PUT$ $JD 20230421 47.5 PUT$ 卖$JD%2020230317%2090.0%20CALL$ $JD 20230317 90.0 CALL$ 交易者sell call行权价谨慎的选择了2021年11月高点价位90,而不是2022年1月高点价位80。我想一个原因是极度价外更有利于回收权利金,另一个原因是这对组合很像领口策略,交易者可能持有京东股票,卖出call 的同时买put,在察觉到股价可能高位滞涨时进行保护。无论是哪种情况,都说明如果之前是看多做多的话现在应当逢高减仓或者跟这位老哥学习用期权进行保护了。相比京东,爱奇艺就直接多了:成交金额100万看跌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cf74e89a2bbf1106fbde132a5c7624b","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cd2d14a49ea8ba276a3f14a6476a6cc","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fc400fcb137780557520a7dc61c2b3","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628559399","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626601385,"gmtCreate":1674054656847,"gmtModify":1674054658734,"author":{"id":"3577056043930801","authorId":"3577056043930801","name":"程芳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90888fb24edcea43b69efc9ac1b04973","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577056043930801","authorIdStr":"3577056043930801"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626601385","repostId":"628223856","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628223856,"gmtCreate":1673275631075,"gmtModify":1673276957153,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"CPI+财报季,如何布局大转折?","htmlText":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230317%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020230203%2047.0%20PUT\">$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$</a>","listText":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020230317%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020230203%2047.0%20PUT\">$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$</a>","text":"周五大涨非农数据起到的作用很小,解读上模棱两可,甚至偏鹰,但也在预期之中,因为早有预期就业数据下降速度不会很快。开盘后带动大涨的主要因素还是ISM制造业PMI爆冷,录得48.4,大大低于预期,创造2020年5月以来新低。实锤了经济衰退,市场一片欢呼,感觉有了倒逼美联储降息的空间。在我看来这就是进ICU前的蹦迪,因为这周就开始财报季了。众所周知,宏观数据和财报联系十分紧密。比较熟悉的例子就是二手车价格和汽车板块股价表现之间的联系。所以PMI数据这么差,我很为财报季捏把汗。所以问题就来了,周四是即将公布12月CPI,预测年率是6.5%,通胀进一步明显下降。那么市场肯定会提前price in利好,前半周上涨。而数据落地后极大概率就是回调,除非进一步低于预期,否则大盘也就止步于此了。本周是不是财报季前的最后狂欢呢?从期权异动来看,本周主要财报是银行股和$台积电(TSM)$ ,风格偏向sell call 和平价put。平价put可以理解,但个人认为sell call可以等财报后再做考虑。$TSM 20230317 80.0 CALL$$C 20230203 47.0 PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac31a623b5dd4f8e9382259829b6d6e8","width":"1170","height":"953"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5b68905b3f46db7bbab4b2063abd0d","width":"2562","height":"96"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbfdbbac73cdc19c5032fd9bfa94ddeb","width":"2596","height":"590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628223856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}