Momosoar的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Momosoar

Momosoar

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2021-09-25

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Next week should rise

2021-08-16

Is it good time to sell or buy Apple now ?

Apple shares reached record high at $150.59 in early trading

2021-04-19

Good information, comment pls

Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz

2021-09-13

Is it still time to buy apple

GameStop, Cameco, Apple, Tesla, AMC: Stocks Buzzing On WallStreetBets Heading Into New Week

2021-09-10

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Making good announcement today

2021-05-20

Moving up

S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound

2021-05-15

Good

Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday

2021-05-10

Interesting

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-05

Good read

5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch

2021-08-08

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Sharing and soaring

2021-08-02

Yes totally agree. Just that when is right price to buy

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-24

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Lose

2021-05-20

Buy or not? Hmm

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-20

Thanks for sharing

3 Stocks to Avoid This Week

2021-10-02

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Not a good time

2021-09-24

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Still not going

2021-09-08

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Pls rise

2021-06-17

Apple is for long term. It’s a golden 🍏🍏

Apple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth

2021-06-14

Long term maybe

Is Pinterest Stock a Buy?

2021-06-04

$Walt Disney(DIS)$Earnings

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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares reached record high at $150.59 in early trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-16 21:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 16)&nbsp;Apple shares reached record high at $150.59 in early trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2b9a9a385ae4e2c77588a61ab15011b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1868\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137961734","content_text":"(Aug 16) Apple shares reached record high at $150.59 in early trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373986986,"gmtCreate":1618811464245,"gmtModify":1634290741552,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information, comment pls","listText":"Good information, comment pls","text":"Good information, comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373986986","repostId":"1162662309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162662309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618762645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162662309?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-19 00:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162662309","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify.Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across ","content":"<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).</p><p>Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson &amp; Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.</p><p><b>Earnings spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), Procter &amp; Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&amp;T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/522c9bdad799a71c4e6bad965f9f00f3\" tg-width=\"1530\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>IPO watch:</b>&nbsp;IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.</p><p><b>Apple event:</b>&nbsp;Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.</p><p><b>Projected dividend increases (quarterly):</b>&nbsp;Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson &amp; Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.</p><p><b>M&amp;A tidbits:</b>&nbsp;The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.</p><p><b>ARK Invest watch:</b>&nbsp;Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.</p><p><b>Corporate spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye &amp; Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.</p><p><b>Conferences rundown:</b>&nbsp;Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP &amp; Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.</p><p><b>Barron's mentions:</b>&nbsp;Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-19 00:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162662309","content_text":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson & Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.Earnings spotlight: Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.IPO watch: IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.Apple event: Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.Projected dividend increases (quarterly): Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson & Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.M&A tidbits: The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.ARK Invest watch: Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.Corporate spotlight: Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye & Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.Conferences rundown: Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP & Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.Barron's mentions: Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888498045,"gmtCreate":1631515624887,"gmtModify":1631890389835,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is it still time to buy apple","listText":"Is it still time to buy apple","text":"Is it still time to buy apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888498045","repostId":"1127947312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127947312","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1631515134,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127947312?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Cameco, Apple, Tesla, AMC: Stocks Buzzing On WallStreetBets Heading Into New Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127947312","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Heading into a new trading week,GameStop Corp.,Cameco Corp.,Apple Inc.,Tesla Inc. and AMCEntertainme","content":"<p>Heading into a new trading week,<b>GameStop Corp.</b>,<b>Cameco Corp.</b>,<b>Apple Inc.</b>,<b>Tesla Inc</b>.&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>AMCEntertainment Holdings Inc.</b>&nbsp;are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s&nbsp;<b>r/WallStreetBets</b>&nbsp;forum.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened</b>: Exchange-traded fund&nbsp;<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>&nbsp;is seeing the highest interest on the forum with 125 mentions as at press time, followed by videogame retailer GameStop and uranium producer Cameco with 35 mentions each, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.</p>\n<p>Tech giant Apple and electric vehicle maker Tesla attracted 31 and 19 mentions, respectively.</p>\n<p>Apart from movie theatre chain AMC Entertainment, the other stocks that are trending on the forum include Medicare Advantage provider&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments Corp.</b>, Canada-based cybersecurity provider&nbsp;<b>BlackBerry Limited</b>&nbsp;and technology-based personal insurance company&nbsp;<b>Root Inc</b>..</p>\n<p>In addition to these stocks, investors are looking ahead to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters</b>: Cameco’s shares gained more than 6% in Friday’s trading and also touched a new 52-week high of $25.08, reflecting rising uranium prices and brightening prospects for the uranium industry.</p>\n<p>Apple is seeing high interest on the WSB forum ahead of its&nbsp;first hardware unveiling&nbsp;this year, dubbed “<b>California Streaming</b>,” to be held on Sept. 14.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Apple’s shares were also hit on Friday by a&nbsp;ruling&nbsp;issued by a U.S. judge on the antitrust lawsuit brought by “Fortnite” games developer&nbsp;<b>Epic Games</b>. The judge said Apple's conduct is anti-competitive, but did not find the company to be an antitrust monopolist.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action</b>: SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.8% lower in Friday’s trading at $445.44, while GameStop’s shares closed 4.4% lower at $190.41.</p>\n<p>Cameco’s shares closed almost 6.5% higher in Friday’s trading at $24.43.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Cameco, Apple, Tesla, AMC: Stocks Buzzing On WallStreetBets Heading Into New Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Cameco, Apple, Tesla, AMC: Stocks Buzzing On WallStreetBets Heading Into New Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-13 14:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Heading into a new trading week,<b>GameStop Corp.</b>,<b>Cameco Corp.</b>,<b>Apple Inc.</b>,<b>Tesla Inc</b>.&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>AMCEntertainment Holdings Inc.</b>&nbsp;are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s&nbsp;<b>r/WallStreetBets</b>&nbsp;forum.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened</b>: Exchange-traded fund&nbsp;<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>&nbsp;is seeing the highest interest on the forum with 125 mentions as at press time, followed by videogame retailer GameStop and uranium producer Cameco with 35 mentions each, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.</p>\n<p>Tech giant Apple and electric vehicle maker Tesla attracted 31 and 19 mentions, respectively.</p>\n<p>Apart from movie theatre chain AMC Entertainment, the other stocks that are trending on the forum include Medicare Advantage provider&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments Corp.</b>, Canada-based cybersecurity provider&nbsp;<b>BlackBerry Limited</b>&nbsp;and technology-based personal insurance company&nbsp;<b>Root Inc</b>..</p>\n<p>In addition to these stocks, investors are looking ahead to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters</b>: Cameco’s shares gained more than 6% in Friday’s trading and also touched a new 52-week high of $25.08, reflecting rising uranium prices and brightening prospects for the uranium industry.</p>\n<p>Apple is seeing high interest on the WSB forum ahead of its&nbsp;first hardware unveiling&nbsp;this year, dubbed “<b>California Streaming</b>,” to be held on Sept. 14.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Apple’s shares were also hit on Friday by a&nbsp;ruling&nbsp;issued by a U.S. judge on the antitrust lawsuit brought by “Fortnite” games developer&nbsp;<b>Epic Games</b>. The judge said Apple's conduct is anti-competitive, but did not find the company to be an antitrust monopolist.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action</b>: SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.8% lower in Friday’s trading at $445.44, while GameStop’s shares closed 4.4% lower at $190.41.</p>\n<p>Cameco’s shares closed almost 6.5% higher in Friday’s trading at $24.43.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","AAPL":"苹果","AMC":"AMC院线","BB":"黑莓","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","GME":"游戏驿站","CCJ":"Cameco Corp"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127947312","content_text":"Heading into a new trading week,GameStop Corp.,Cameco Corp.,Apple Inc.,Tesla Inc. and AMCEntertainment Holdings Inc. are among the stocks seeing the highest interest on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum.\nWhat Happened: Exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is seeing the highest interest on the forum with 125 mentions as at press time, followed by videogame retailer GameStop and uranium producer Cameco with 35 mentions each, data from Quiver Quantitative showed.\nTech giant Apple and electric vehicle maker Tesla attracted 31 and 19 mentions, respectively.\nApart from movie theatre chain AMC Entertainment, the other stocks that are trending on the forum include Medicare Advantage provider Clover Health Investments Corp., Canada-based cybersecurity provider BlackBerry Limited and technology-based personal insurance company Root Inc..\nIn addition to these stocks, investors are looking ahead to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday.\nWhy It Matters: Cameco’s shares gained more than 6% in Friday’s trading and also touched a new 52-week high of $25.08, reflecting rising uranium prices and brightening prospects for the uranium industry.\nApple is seeing high interest on the WSB forum ahead of its first hardware unveiling this year, dubbed “California Streaming,” to be held on Sept. 14.\nMeanwhile, Apple’s shares were also hit on Friday by a ruling issued by a U.S. judge on the antitrust lawsuit brought by “Fortnite” games developer Epic Games. The judge said Apple's conduct is anti-competitive, but did not find the company to be an antitrust monopolist.\nPrice Action: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust shares closed almost 0.8% lower in Friday’s trading at $445.44, while GameStop’s shares closed 4.4% lower at $190.41.\nCameco’s shares closed almost 6.5% higher in Friday’s trading at $24.43.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883405266,"gmtCreate":1631261448455,"gmtModify":1631890389842,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Making good announcement today","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Making good announcement today","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Making good announcement today","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b339b808ae7e2270f5ced2c4d2760d1","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883405266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130191866,"gmtCreate":1621517723755,"gmtModify":1634188493843,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moving up&nbsp;","listText":"Moving up&nbsp;","text":"Moving up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130191866","repostId":"1101350945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101350945","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621517478,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101350945?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101350945","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares sta","content":"<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-20 21:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101350945","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.The S&P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000,  the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including Tesla,Coinbase and MicroStrategy, led the market decline as bitcoin tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush said to buy the crypto-exchange despite the volatility.“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.The S&P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.Shares of Cisco dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected earnings guidancefor the current quarter.On Wednesday, investors also digested the Federal Reserve’s minutes from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196538803,"gmtCreate":1621070845202,"gmtModify":1634194154838,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196538803","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p>\n<p>A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p>\n<p><b>So what</b></p>\n<p>Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p>\n<p>First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p>\n<p>This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p>\n<p><b>Now what</b></p>\n<p>Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p>\n<p>Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190285515,"gmtCreate":1620624144037,"gmtModify":1634197587128,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting","listText":"Interesting","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190285515","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102246166,"gmtCreate":1620221294455,"gmtModify":1634206893720,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read&nbsp;","listText":"Good read&nbsp;","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102246166","repostId":"2132510807","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2132510807","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1620181244,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2132510807?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2132510807","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These stocks don't have much in common other than what matters -- great dividends and solid fundamentals.","content":"<p><b>AT&amp;T </b>(NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a>), <b>W.P. Carey</b> (NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPC\">$(WPC)$</a>), <b>Sabra Health Care</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBRA\">$(SBRA)$</a>), <b>Williams Companies</b> (NYSE:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">$(WMB)$</a>), and <b>TFS Financial</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFSL\">$(TFSL)$</a>) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a solid history of raising their dividends. These stocks are worth looking over as they should provide ample total returns for patient investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca30244a38118ae17e4000358cd0379\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Image source: Getty Images.</p><h2><b>1. AT&amp;T: High dividends are calling</b></h2><p>AT&amp;T is a Dividend Aristocrat that has been a bargain this year, but it may not stay that way for long. The telecommunications giant has lagged the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index and is up a little more than 5% over the past 12 months, but up more than 9% in 2021. The company has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years and currently has a yield of 6.64%.</p><p>Revenue was a reported $43.9 billion in the first quarter of 2021, up 2.7% year over year. Net income grew to $7.9 billion, up 60% over the same period in 2020, and the company's free cash flow was listed as $5.9 billion, up 51% year over year. The dividend payout is safe, with a ratio of 63.5%.</p><p>All three segments of the company's business have seen growth. In communications, the company had 64.8 million postpaid phone subscribers, up 0.76% sequentially. Revenue was $28.1 billion, up 5.2% year over year. The WarnerMedia segment had revenue of $8.5 billion, up 9.8% year over year. The company's Latin America segment had $1.3 billion in revenue compared to $1.28 billion in the same quarter of 2020.</p><p>The biggest concern about AT&amp;T is its debt. It has $160.6 billion in long-term debt, up 4% sequentially. Its annualized net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA is 3.13, compared to 2.63 last year. On the first-quarter earnings call, CFO Pascal Desroches said that the company plans to focus on paying down that debt this year.</p><h2><b>2. W.P. Carey: A raise every quarter</b></h2><p>W.P. Carey has seen its stock rise more than 24% over the past 12 months and more than 7% this year. The company's dividend offers a yield of 5.6%, with a twist: The company has raised its dividend for 79 consecutive quarters, including a bump from $1.046 to $1.048 per share in March. The diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) has 1,274 properties across 25 countries, including industrial, warehouse, retail, office, and self-storage properties.</p><p>The company has seen growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) the past three quarters, though its fourth-quarter AFFO of $212.6 million is down 4% year over year. Its AFFO in 2020 was $4.74 per diluted share, down 5.2% from 2019. The company was pretty much unfazed by the pandemic -- its low came when it received 96% of contractual rent in May, but in the fourth quarter, that number was back up to 99%, followed by 98% in January.</p><p>It has not only raised its quarterly dividend for 23 consecutive years, but its AFFO payout ratio (trailing 12 months) is 88.19, conservative for a REIT.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9522ac8783b80e9beb8eb160a591309\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"486\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data by YCharts.</p><h2><b>3. Sabra Healthcare: A growing trend that's hard to ignore</b></h2><p>Sabra Healthcare, a REIT that specializes in medical facilities, cut its dividend last year from $0.45 to $0.30, and has yet to raise it again. But even with that trim, the yield on the company's dividend it 6.6%. The pandemic made for a challenging year for REITs that focus on nursing homes, and Sabra -- which owns nursing homes, senior living facilities, and specialty hospitals -- is continuing to deal with the headwinds. Many people are still reluctant to live in nursing homes, and in the fourth quarter, total occupancy&nbsp;dropped to 80.2%, down 8.6% year over year.</p><p>Other discouraging numbers: The company's AFFO per share for the year was $1.74, down from $2.08 the year before. And for the fourth quarter, the company issued bleak guidance of $0.38-$0.39 of AFFO per share, compared to $0.42 in the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><p>So why is Sabra worth watching? I think the paltry 4% rise in the company's stock this year presents an opportunity because the company's fundamentals are still strong. Sabra collected 99% of its rents from the beginning of the pandemic through February of 2021. As for the dividend, it is well covered with a payout ratio of 73% of normalized AFFO per share. The company also did a good job of lowering its debt, knocking down its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio from 5.7 to 4.9.</p><p>The long-term prognosis for nursing homes is still a growth trend, as our population continues to age. The pandemic reversed the growth of occupancy for nursing homes, but not forever. In the meantime, the company's dividend is a nice reward for waiting for a turnaround.</p><h2><b>4. Williams Companies: A boon to investors</b></h2><p>Williams Companies' stock is up more than 31% over the past 12 months, and more than 21% this year. The company's dividend, which offers a current yield of 6.73% is enticing. The company has raised its dividend the past five years.</p><p>The company delivers 30% of the country's natural gas through its more than 30,000 miles of pipelines. Last year was a difficult <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> for oil and gas companies, with oil and natural gas prices down, but Williams Companies still improved its numbers over 2019 by reducing capital expenditures. Its adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million was up 2% year over year, while its adjusted funds from operations of $3.6 million were up 1% year over year. The company's cash dividend payout ratio, while still precariously high at 87.39%, is down from where it was in 2019.</p><p>The company raised its quarterly dividend 5.3% last year to $0.40 per share, and has already raised it 2.5% this year to $0.41 per share.</p><h2><b>5: TFS Financial: Dividends you can bank on</b></h2><p>TFS Financial, based in Cleveland, is a holding company whose subsidiaries make most of their money from offering mortgage loans, though they also have savings and checking accounts. The company's shares are up more than 10% this year and more than 37% over the past 12 months. Its dividend yields 5.73% with a cash dividend payout ratio (TTM) of 45.9%.</p><p>In 2020, TFS Financial reported annual revenue of $509 million, up only 1.9% year over year, but marking the sixth consecutive year it grew revenue. It also reported annual net income last year of $83 million, up 3.8% over 2019.</p><p>The company has stressed its commitment to its dividend, which has climbed 300% over the past 10 years.</p><h2><b>Making the best of a good situation</b></h2><p>All five of these stocks are worth watching because of their dividend growth and high yields. However, of the quintet, W.P. Carey seems the most solid choice if you look at the company's track record of raising its dividend every quarter, the diversity of its real estate holdings, and the consistency of its cash situation.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-05 10:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AT&T (NYSE:$(T)$), W.P. Carey (NYSE:$(WPC)$), Sabra Health Care (NASDAQ:$(SBRA)$), Williams Companies (NYSE:$(WMB)$), and TFS Financial (NASDAQ:$(TFSL)$) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBRA":"Sabra Healthcare REIT","TFSL":"TFS Financial Corporation","WMB":"威廉姆斯","T":"美国电话电报","WPC":"W. P. Carey Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/04/5-high-yield-dividend-stocks-to-watch/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2132510807","content_text":"AT&T (NYSE:$(T)$), W.P. Carey (NYSE:$(WPC)$), Sabra Health Care (NASDAQ:$(SBRA)$), Williams Companies (NYSE:$(WMB)$), and TFS Financial (NASDAQ:$(TFSL)$) all have dividends with yields above 5% and a solid history of raising their dividends. These stocks are worth looking over as they should provide ample total returns for patient investors.Image source: Getty Images.1. AT&T: High dividends are callingAT&T is a Dividend Aristocrat that has been a bargain this year, but it may not stay that way for long. The telecommunications giant has lagged the S&P 500 index and is up a little more than 5% over the past 12 months, but up more than 9% in 2021. The company has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years and currently has a yield of 6.64%.Revenue was a reported $43.9 billion in the first quarter of 2021, up 2.7% year over year. Net income grew to $7.9 billion, up 60% over the same period in 2020, and the company's free cash flow was listed as $5.9 billion, up 51% year over year. The dividend payout is safe, with a ratio of 63.5%.All three segments of the company's business have seen growth. In communications, the company had 64.8 million postpaid phone subscribers, up 0.76% sequentially. Revenue was $28.1 billion, up 5.2% year over year. The WarnerMedia segment had revenue of $8.5 billion, up 9.8% year over year. The company's Latin America segment had $1.3 billion in revenue compared to $1.28 billion in the same quarter of 2020.The biggest concern about AT&T is its debt. It has $160.6 billion in long-term debt, up 4% sequentially. Its annualized net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA is 3.13, compared to 2.63 last year. On the first-quarter earnings call, CFO Pascal Desroches said that the company plans to focus on paying down that debt this year.2. W.P. Carey: A raise every quarterW.P. Carey has seen its stock rise more than 24% over the past 12 months and more than 7% this year. The company's dividend offers a yield of 5.6%, with a twist: The company has raised its dividend for 79 consecutive quarters, including a bump from $1.046 to $1.048 per share in March. The diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) has 1,274 properties across 25 countries, including industrial, warehouse, retail, office, and self-storage properties.The company has seen growth in adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) the past three quarters, though its fourth-quarter AFFO of $212.6 million is down 4% year over year. Its AFFO in 2020 was $4.74 per diluted share, down 5.2% from 2019. The company was pretty much unfazed by the pandemic -- its low came when it received 96% of contractual rent in May, but in the fourth quarter, that number was back up to 99%, followed by 98% in January.It has not only raised its quarterly dividend for 23 consecutive years, but its AFFO payout ratio (trailing 12 months) is 88.19, conservative for a REIT.Data by YCharts.3. Sabra Healthcare: A growing trend that's hard to ignoreSabra Healthcare, a REIT that specializes in medical facilities, cut its dividend last year from $0.45 to $0.30, and has yet to raise it again. But even with that trim, the yield on the company's dividend it 6.6%. The pandemic made for a challenging year for REITs that focus on nursing homes, and Sabra -- which owns nursing homes, senior living facilities, and specialty hospitals -- is continuing to deal with the headwinds. Many people are still reluctant to live in nursing homes, and in the fourth quarter, total occupancy dropped to 80.2%, down 8.6% year over year.Other discouraging numbers: The company's AFFO per share for the year was $1.74, down from $2.08 the year before. And for the fourth quarter, the company issued bleak guidance of $0.38-$0.39 of AFFO per share, compared to $0.42 in the fourth quarter of 2020.So why is Sabra worth watching? I think the paltry 4% rise in the company's stock this year presents an opportunity because the company's fundamentals are still strong. Sabra collected 99% of its rents from the beginning of the pandemic through February of 2021. As for the dividend, it is well covered with a payout ratio of 73% of normalized AFFO per share. The company also did a good job of lowering its debt, knocking down its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio from 5.7 to 4.9.The long-term prognosis for nursing homes is still a growth trend, as our population continues to age. The pandemic reversed the growth of occupancy for nursing homes, but not forever. In the meantime, the company's dividend is a nice reward for waiting for a turnaround.4. Williams Companies: A boon to investorsWilliams Companies' stock is up more than 31% over the past 12 months, and more than 21% this year. The company's dividend, which offers a current yield of 6.73% is enticing. The company has raised its dividend the past five years.The company delivers 30% of the country's natural gas through its more than 30,000 miles of pipelines. Last year was a difficult one for oil and gas companies, with oil and natural gas prices down, but Williams Companies still improved its numbers over 2019 by reducing capital expenditures. Its adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million was up 2% year over year, while its adjusted funds from operations of $3.6 million were up 1% year over year. The company's cash dividend payout ratio, while still precariously high at 87.39%, is down from where it was in 2019.The company raised its quarterly dividend 5.3% last year to $0.40 per share, and has already raised it 2.5% this year to $0.41 per share.5: TFS Financial: Dividends you can bank onTFS Financial, based in Cleveland, is a holding company whose subsidiaries make most of their money from offering mortgage loans, though they also have savings and checking accounts. The company's shares are up more than 10% this year and more than 37% over the past 12 months. Its dividend yields 5.73% with a cash dividend payout ratio (TTM) of 45.9%.In 2020, TFS Financial reported annual revenue of $509 million, up only 1.9% year over year, but marking the sixth consecutive year it grew revenue. It also reported annual net income last year of $83 million, up 3.8% over 2019.The company has stressed its commitment to its dividend, which has climbed 300% over the past 10 years.Making the best of a good situationAll five of these stocks are worth watching because of their dividend growth and high yields. However, of the quintet, W.P. Carey seems the most solid choice if you look at the company's track record of raising its dividend every quarter, the diversity of its real estate holdings, and the consistency of its cash situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891241536,"gmtCreate":1628394934325,"gmtModify":1633747396304,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Sharing and soaring","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Sharing and soaring","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Sharing and soaring","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f76497e7e677d31dd3cf4f883d97cb85","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891241536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805735940,"gmtCreate":1627905834980,"gmtModify":1631883986175,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes totally agree. Just that when is right price to buy","listText":"Yes totally agree. Just that when is right price to buy","text":"Yes totally agree. Just that when is right price to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805735940","repostId":"1161935562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131309167,"gmtCreate":1621824611059,"gmtModify":1634186310999,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a> Lose","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a> Lose","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Lose","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32aa2d9741e6b13b7fe709a21c32ef9e","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131309167","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197522754,"gmtCreate":1621474765778,"gmtModify":1634188867167,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy or not? Hmm","listText":"Buy or not? Hmm","text":"Buy or not? Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197522754","repostId":"1126891253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373553017,"gmtCreate":1618874461639,"gmtModify":1634290295298,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing","listText":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373553017","repostId":"2128896704","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128896704","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618844226,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2128896704?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-19 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128896704","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three stocks seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<p>I took a look at three stocks to avoid last week, predicting that <b>Delta Airlines</b> (NYSE:DAL),&nbsp;<b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:NCLH), and <b>Carnival</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CCL)&nbsp;would have a bad week.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Delta Airlines shareholders buckled up for a 5% descent during the week. I figured the legacy air carrier would put out a poorly received report, and the financials did come into a little turbulence with another huge loss on a sharp decline in revenue.</li>\n <li>Norwegian Cruise Line tumbled 7% for the week. It was a rough week for cruise lines. There was more pressure to keep the industry from resuming operations out of stateside ports this summer.</li>\n <li>Carnival stock was the biggest sinker of the three stocks, losing 8% of its value. It was a great week to double up on the number of cruise stocks on this list to avoid. Carnival had risen 9% the week before, and this wiped nearly all of those previous gains out.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The three stocks averaged a 6.7% slide for the week. The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> actually rose during the week. The 1.4% gain naturally beat the three stocks that all went the wrong way. This week, I see <b>Coinbase Global</b> (NASDAQ:COIN), <b>American Airlines</b> (NASDAQ:AAL), and <b>Travelzoo</b> (NASDAQ:TZOO) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844fa22418b0d6398103c6917b0d7eb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2><b>1. Coinbase Global</b></h2>\n<p>Last week's buzzworthy IPO was Coinbase Global. The leading cryptocurrency marketplace is growingly briskly. Revenue soared 144% to $1.3 billion in 2020. It was a mesmerizing debutante, of course. Coinbase priced its direct listing at a reference price of $250, and it wasn't enough. It soared when it began trading well into Wednesday's trading day. It closed out the week trading 37% above its reference price.</p>\n<p>Coinbase is going to be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the market's best cryptocurrency stocks, giving investors to play the entire marketplace instead of individual tokens or players. However, the $68 billion market cap it has entering the new week of trading is problematic. There are a growing number of places to trade crypto, and trading costs for investors will invariably head lower in the process. If you saw the race to zero for stock brokerages it's easy to see this become a cutthroat niche as well.</p>\n<p>Coinbase finds itself in a potentially lose-lose situation. If cryptocurrency begins losing favor obviously this will end horribly for Coinbase. However, success for the next-gen currency vehicles can also end badly for Coinbase as major financial hotbeds embrace crypto trading at more competitive commission rates.</p>\n<h2>2. American Airlines</h2>\n<p>I was right to be worried about Delta's quarterly report last week, and now we have American Airlines as the next legacy carrier on the runway. It reports on Thursday morning.</p>\n<p>It's fair to point out that investors are more prepared for a dud out of American Airlines now that they heard from Delta last week. American Airlines stock took a 6% hit in an otherwise buoyant market trading last week, partly in sympathy with Delta's poorly received financials -- but also because American previewed its upcoming financials. It wasn't pretty. American Airlines expects to post a larger loss than analysts were modeling. Wall Street pros see revenue cut by more than half for the period.</p>\n<p>A rough report isn't normally going to be a deal breaker, but then you have the stock's valuation to worry about. American Airlines is fetching an enterprise value well above the $33 billion it was commanding at the end of 2019 before the pandemic became a fundamentals-crushing reality. American Airlines ascending shares along with financing through fresh shares and debt have bloated the value of the business. The valuation is out of whack, and a rough report on Thursday will only hammer that point home.</p>\n<h2>3. Travelzoo</h2>\n<p>Travelzoo reported fourth-quarter results just five weeks ago, but it's back with its first-quarter results on Thursday. Travelzoo is a popular provider of travel deals with 30.2 million members worldwide, and I'll concede that this is a dangerous name to put on this list. Stimulus checks and COVID-19 vaccinations are picking up, and Travelzoo's a smart way for folks to travel sponsored getaway bargains.</p>\n<p>The rub here is that there are still plenty of international travel restrictions in place. Travelzoo's overhead is low enough where it returned to profitability in the previous quarter, but it fell well short of analyst revenue targets. I see a repeat performance this week.</p>\n<p>If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Coinbase, American Airlines, and Travelzoo this week.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-19 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/19/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>I took a look at three stocks to avoid last week, predicting that Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a bad week.\n\nDelta Airlines ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/19/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAL":"美国航空","TZOO":"旅游族","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/19/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128896704","content_text":"I took a look at three stocks to avoid last week, predicting that Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a bad week.\n\nDelta Airlines shareholders buckled up for a 5% descent during the week. I figured the legacy air carrier would put out a poorly received report, and the financials did come into a little turbulence with another huge loss on a sharp decline in revenue.\nNorwegian Cruise Line tumbled 7% for the week. It was a rough week for cruise lines. There was more pressure to keep the industry from resuming operations out of stateside ports this summer.\nCarnival stock was the biggest sinker of the three stocks, losing 8% of its value. It was a great week to double up on the number of cruise stocks on this list to avoid. Carnival had risen 9% the week before, and this wiped nearly all of those previous gains out.\n\nThe three stocks averaged a 6.7% slide for the week. The S&P 500 actually rose during the week. The 1.4% gain naturally beat the three stocks that all went the wrong way. This week, I see Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN), American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL), and Travelzoo (NASDAQ:TZOO) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. Coinbase Global\nLast week's buzzworthy IPO was Coinbase Global. The leading cryptocurrency marketplace is growingly briskly. Revenue soared 144% to $1.3 billion in 2020. It was a mesmerizing debutante, of course. Coinbase priced its direct listing at a reference price of $250, and it wasn't enough. It soared when it began trading well into Wednesday's trading day. It closed out the week trading 37% above its reference price.\nCoinbase is going to be one of the market's best cryptocurrency stocks, giving investors to play the entire marketplace instead of individual tokens or players. However, the $68 billion market cap it has entering the new week of trading is problematic. There are a growing number of places to trade crypto, and trading costs for investors will invariably head lower in the process. If you saw the race to zero for stock brokerages it's easy to see this become a cutthroat niche as well.\nCoinbase finds itself in a potentially lose-lose situation. If cryptocurrency begins losing favor obviously this will end horribly for Coinbase. However, success for the next-gen currency vehicles can also end badly for Coinbase as major financial hotbeds embrace crypto trading at more competitive commission rates.\n2. American Airlines\nI was right to be worried about Delta's quarterly report last week, and now we have American Airlines as the next legacy carrier on the runway. It reports on Thursday morning.\nIt's fair to point out that investors are more prepared for a dud out of American Airlines now that they heard from Delta last week. American Airlines stock took a 6% hit in an otherwise buoyant market trading last week, partly in sympathy with Delta's poorly received financials -- but also because American previewed its upcoming financials. It wasn't pretty. American Airlines expects to post a larger loss than analysts were modeling. Wall Street pros see revenue cut by more than half for the period.\nA rough report isn't normally going to be a deal breaker, but then you have the stock's valuation to worry about. American Airlines is fetching an enterprise value well above the $33 billion it was commanding at the end of 2019 before the pandemic became a fundamentals-crushing reality. American Airlines ascending shares along with financing through fresh shares and debt have bloated the value of the business. The valuation is out of whack, and a rough report on Thursday will only hammer that point home.\n3. Travelzoo\nTravelzoo reported fourth-quarter results just five weeks ago, but it's back with its first-quarter results on Thursday. Travelzoo is a popular provider of travel deals with 30.2 million members worldwide, and I'll concede that this is a dangerous name to put on this list. Stimulus checks and COVID-19 vaccinations are picking up, and Travelzoo's a smart way for folks to travel sponsored getaway bargains.\nThe rub here is that there are still plenty of international travel restrictions in place. Travelzoo's overhead is low enough where it returned to profitability in the previous quarter, but it fell well short of analyst revenue targets. I see a repeat performance this week.\nIf you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Coinbase, American Airlines, and Travelzoo this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864702074,"gmtCreate":1633144255220,"gmtModify":1633144255441,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Not a good time","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Not a good time","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Not a good time","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/824c28bc9237ef91c98ba6b58741eb35","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864702074","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861152406,"gmtCreate":1632474071205,"gmtModify":1632720440101,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Still not going","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Still not going","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Still not going","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d0c1c67eb29884b87409cb6ba51e962","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861152406","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889305991,"gmtCreate":1631108255313,"gmtModify":1631890389852,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Pls rise","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Pls rise","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Pls rise","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9620502262e467f695deae86528fc0","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889305991","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161060774,"gmtCreate":1623896746298,"gmtModify":1634026194430,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple is for long term. It’s a golden 🍏🍏","listText":"Apple is for long term. It’s a golden 🍏🍏","text":"Apple is for long term. It’s a golden 🍏🍏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161060774","repostId":"1152604932","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152604932","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623895461,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152604932?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 10:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152604932","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.</li>\n <li>The dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out of their control.</li>\n <li>I lay out four scenarios and DCF models. You should treat DCF models with the skepticism they deserve.</li>\n <li>With the exception of the best case, they show the stock trading sideways or down through the end of fiscal 2022, then growing fast thereafter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d06df668b5536634ebfca099d90d9852\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Long-Term Apple Thesis</b></p>\n<p>I write a lot about Apple (AAPL), 15% of&nbsp;my articles&nbsp;here at Seeking Alpha since I started in 2018. Mostly, I write about what is happening now. For example, the last one was about the&nbsp;implications for Apple&nbsp;should they be forced to back off their App Store rules, whether through courts or regulation.</p>\n<p>Almost a year ago, I began breaking my conclusions about Apple stock into two sections: one for investors who are into Apple for the long haul like I am, and a section for those whose time horizons are much shorter than “I hope to die with these shares.” This article is for the Die With These Shares Crowd.</p>\n<p>I was first an Apple shareholder in 1982, but I sold those shares when Steve Jobs sold his. Since 2005, I have been a continuous shareholder and have never sold a share. Like I said, I hope to die with them. Over the years, the reasons I remain an Apple shareholder have grown:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>They have the most complete and unique tech stack in the world.</li>\n <li>They have the best product development process.</li>\n <li>They have the best corporate organization.</li>\n <li>They are the only megacap who sees privacy and security as a differentiator and marketable feature, not as a cost-center.</li>\n <li>ESG focus years ahead of everyone else.</li>\n <li>The Apple brand</li>\n <li>While the sum of their parts is impressive, the Apple ecosystem makes it so much more.</li>\n <li>When everything is taken into account, iPhone gives a lot of value for the price.</li>\n <li>A cash pile and cash flows to back up their ambitions.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>What it adds up to is a company that is prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. Success in tech is notoriously hard to maintain. IBM (IBM) dominated computers and high end office equipment for 80 years until they didn’t. Sitting here today in 2021, I have a very high level of confidence that this will not be happening to Apple any time soon.</p>\n<p><b>The Tech Stack</b></p>\n<p>One of my favorite factoids about Apple is that despite the fact that their intangible assets would be the most of anyone, they do not list any on their balance sheet. This is where IP and brands go. We’ll get to the brand in a moment, but the core of what makes Apple so durable is their tech stack, now higher and more complete than anyone’s.</p>\n<p>The most important things in the stack are at the base — the Apple chip design unit, which went from nothing to the best in the world in about a decade, and the operating systems, which at their root are all the same thing. They are the only company that designs products and the chips and operating systems that run them, though it looks like Microsoft (MSFT) would like to join them.</p>\n<p><b>Chip Design</b></p>\n<p>Custom chip design is becoming more and more important. Apple was one of the first to recognize the importance of this in making products that are unique in a crowded marketplace. The first iPhone came with a Samsung ARM-based system-on-a-chip (SoC). Less than a year later, Apple bought PA Semi, a low-power SoC designer, for $278 million in cash. Other than the NeXT acquisition that brought back Steve Jobs, this was the best investment Apple ever made.</p>\n<p>The first Apple-designed chip to show up in a product was the A4 in iPhone 4, only two years after the PA Semi acquisition. Quickly, the reaction went from “Apple thinks they can make a SoC?” to “Hey, these things are pretty good.” Now the A-series is widely regarded as the best smartphone SoC.</p>\n<p>The A-series is the most important, but that is only the beginning. There is also the S-series for Apple Watch, H-series for headphones, W-series for wireless connectivity, U-series, which enables AirTags features, and the new M-series for Macs. Within a couple of years, all Apple devices, from AirPods to the Mac Pro will run on Apple Silicon.</p>\n<p>The work they have done here is really showing up in the new M1 Macs, because we have something to compare to — the previous generation of the same model with Intel’s hardware.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c99acb1ab262241f7195d5ef491c64ac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>Annotated Apple video screenshot.</span></p>\n<p>By switching to their own silicon, Apple was able to make the same computer, but with a tablet-sized motherboard, a larger screen, and very low power requirements, while still being much faster than the Intel alternative. Already, the next version of macOS will not support some features on Intel Macs, because they lack the machine learning cores. </p>\n<p><b>The Operating Systems</b></p>\n<p>When Apple was developing iPhone there was two ways to go for the operating system: build up from iPod, or shrink Mac OS X. There was an internal contest along parallel tracks, and the shrunken Mac won out. Because of this decision, all the operating systems are essentially the same thing.</p>\n<p>OS X came from NextStep which was the reason for the NeXT acquisition. Apple had not been able to move past what became known as Mac OS Classic with its own internal project, Copeland, and they needed help. Also, the deal came with Steve Jobs.</p>\n<p>NextStep was the first attempt to take a UNIX operating system and put a friendly graphical user interface on top of it. At the core is a UNIX microkernel. As the name implies, this is a small bit of software that manages the most basic functions of the software/hardware interface. Everything else is built in modular blocks of code layered on each other. Each device gets the blocks it needs, and excludes the ones it doesn’t.</p>\n<p>So at root, the microkernel and the core blocks of the operating systems have a ton of overlap, and are very much the same. The original iPhone OS and OS X were so similar that even before Apple released their official iPhone software development kit, or SDK, developers were already making iPhone apps using a slightly modified Mac SDK.</p>\n<p>A good example is networking. All the devices share the same basic networking software, but macOS has wired connection drivers the others don’t. iOS 14 has 5G drivers the others don’t.</p>\n<p><b>The Rest</b></p>\n<p>On top of that rock-solid foundation sits the rest of it. The list is too long to go through entirely. This is a company that&nbsp;patented a pizza box&nbsp;which is only used in Apple’s&nbsp;Caffe Macs&nbsp;employee cafeterias. But these are the parts where we see continuous development every year.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The location/orientation sensor package. Originally for iPhone, this now includes accelerometers, gyroscopes, GPS, altimeters, and the newest additions, LiDAR and the U1 chip, which makes AirTags possible, with more coming. With this combination, Apple devices know where they are in 3D space, orientation, and where they are relative to other objects, especially ones that also have the U1 chip.</li>\n <li>Voice recognition.</li>\n <li>AR.</li>\n <li>On-device machine learning. This includes continuous work on both hardware and software. The A-series and M-series SoCs come loaded with ML cores.</li>\n <li>Audio/video/photo. Again, both hardware and software.</li>\n <li>Maybe their own 5G radio chip. We’ll see.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>What This All Means For 2025</b></p>\n<p>What this means is that when Apple is setting out to build a new device, they begin halfway to the finish line. The basics are there already, and they get to spend their time and energy focusing on the parts that make each device unique. And as we’ll look at in the next section, they still spend more time sweating that last mile than anyone else.</p>\n<p>Let’s look at Apple’s current Big Idea, which is augmenting or replacing the venerable graphical user interface with a combination of AR and voice control, AKA Siri. Apple just hit a big milestone in that journey with the announcement of on-device voice recognition in iOS 15 coming this fall. This is key to their thinking in whatever they are doing with a car, and also of course in AR/VR products. According to rumors, we should see at least some aspects of both of these by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>But beyond the AR-voice package, each device will get a chip specifically designed for that device, unlike most others who will be using chips designed for a wide range of OEMs. It will overlap a lot with other Apple SoCs, but it will contain a unique combination of units chosen just for that device. When the software team is working on the operating system and apps, most of the under-the-hood work is done. They get to focus on making the unique interface they want for that product. The sensor package will come into the design of either a car or AR glasses, as will all the rest of it.</p>\n<p><b>Product Development</b></p>\n<p>Apple approaches product development differently than every other company. In the first place, they say “no” to many things, even deep into the development process, most we never get to hear about. This allows them to focus on what they do make, and make their products unique, even when competing a crowded space.</p>\n<p>My favorite example here is a negative one, the&nbsp;ill-fated AirPower charging mat. Apple wanted to make a unique offering that was specifically designed around Apple products, but they could not pull off the dual-coil design without overheating. Instead of releasing an undifferentiated product, they killed it, even though it had been pre-announced. This sort of thing happens internally all the time. We got to see the sausage made, just this once.</p>\n<p>But it goes beyond just saying “no” a lot. Apple approaches almost everything in a very slow, deliberate manner:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Focus entirely on the customer experience.</li>\n <li>Don’t let anyone else get in between you and the customer.</li>\n <li>People often don’t know what they want until you show it to them.</li>\n <li>Don’t compete directly against successful incumbents, but figure out what Apple’s unique contribution is, focused on the entire ecosystem.</li>\n <li>Don’t release a new product or feature until you are ready to, no matter what analysts or the tech press say you should do.</li>\n <li>Find a way to dip your toe into the market first, gauge customer reaction, and slowly keep adding year after year.</li>\n <li>Have relatively few SKUs. Keep the product lines relatively simple.</li>\n <li>Don’t be afraid to ditch old but popular technologies.</li>\n <li>As much as possible, own all the key technologies in your devices.</li>\n <li>Hardware and software development are concurrent and work together.</li>\n <li>Do not worry that a new product is displacing another source of revenue.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Sometimes this can hurt an Apple product relative to competition. The HomePod is a good example here. Because of their relative lack of data collection, Siri will never be as capable as Alexa or Google Assistant. So when designing a “smart speaker,” Apple focused more on the speaker part, because they have handicapped themselves on the smart part. This led to an expensive device that didn’t have as much functionality as competing products. But it sounded great. This is a tradeoff they are willing to make, because security and privacy in the ecosystem is a higher level goal than having a smart speaker.</p>\n<p>But as careful and deliberate as Apple is, they can also act blazingly fast when they think they need to. This letter, recently served up by one of my favorite Twitter accounts,Internal Tech Emails,kind of blew my mind.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90176b70c1560583646501f52a11f06\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\"></p>\n<p>Bertrand Serlet was the SVP of Software Engineering (“SWE” in the email) at the time. Scott Forstall was the lead on iOS. Steve Jobs you know. What you see here is the birth of the App Store, now worth $16 billion a year in net sales to Apple, decided in an email exchange in less than an hour.</p>\n<p>The timeline here is that iPhone was released in June 2007. In September 2007, the first easily installed app store for jailbroken iPhones, Cydia, was released. It was a warning to Apple that they had to release their own App Store, along with developer tools like they had on the Mac, or risk losing control of the device. Too many people looked at this “phone” and saw a pocket computer.</p>\n<p>This email exchange happened less than a month after Cydia. Serlet laid out everything the App Store was and still is in four quick bullets, made a request for a large amount of resources to pull it off (“whoever we need in SWE”), and asked for a yes-or-no decision. Jobs replied less than an hour later with an absurd timeline (it came out in March, but was announced in January), and approved a now-$16 billion a year business in a single sentence.</p>\n<p>Most of the time they move very slowly and deliberately, making sure everything is exactly right before release. But they can also push something out quickly if it is of strategic importance like App Store. This can also fall on its face at launch, like Apple Maps, which is why Apple prefers to move slowly, all else being equal.</p>\n<p><b>Organization</b></p>\n<p>One of the key foundations of Apple’s success is their amorphous org chart which promotes collaboration and prevents turf wars. On paper, there are three key technical function-based Senior VPs below CEO Tim Cook:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SVP of Software Engineering, Craig Federighi.</li>\n <li>SVP of Hardware Engineering. This is now John Ternus, after longtime SVP of Hardware, Dan Riccio, moved over to shepherd AR/VR devices full time, underlining their importance.</li>\n <li>SVP of Services, Eddie Cue.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is supplemented by the SVP of Worldwide Marketing position, now filled by Greg Joswiak, after Apple lifer Phil Schiller moved on to semi-retirement as an “Apple Fellow,” whatever that is. The Epic trial made clear that Schiller is very much still involved. Joswiak and Schiller are sort of Ministers-Without-Portfolio, who dip in on all strategic questions, and the guardians of the brand. VP of Environment, Policy and Social Initiatives, Lisa Jackson, has a growing voice in big decisions.</p>\n<p>But as became apparent in a lot of the Apple corporate emails that Epic presented at trial, these people and their main lieutenants are constantly up in each other’s business, and that is by design. The walls between the SVPs are very thin, and no one gets to that position unless they understand that turf wars don’t happen at Apple. But the function-based organization sort of prevents it in the first place.</p>\n<p>When Apple decided to make iPhone, iPod was 35% of Apple’s revenue. But in meetings and email exchanges, there was no SVP of iPod to object loudly that their ox was being gored. There are many companies that would have killed iPhone because of this. Hardware, Software and Services all have big roles in all Apple products, whether it’s iPod, iPhone or anything that has followed. In that email in the previous section, Bertrand Serlet asks for whomever he needs to meet a fast timeline. That means he was pulling people off the Mac OS X team to work on the iPhone SDK and App Store, of course, in concert with Services and Hardware. Phil Schiller also had a lot to say. Again, there was no SVP of Mac to loudly object.</p>\n<p>We now see this collaborative organization and culture expressed as architecture in Apple Park.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51642a2ed19cf03d32baea87ed1d839f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\"><span>Apple Maps screenshot</span></p>\n<p>At a cost of $4-$5 billion, Apple built a new campus entirely designed around the idea of encouraging collaboration across groups, and random encounters between people who normally would not be interacting. The parking lots are to south out of frame of that screenshot, and everyone enters and exits on those footpaths. Along the way, they have to pass by lots of other offices and groups, or go through the center courtyard, a central place to hang out.</p>\n<p>Apple did not build this so people could&nbsp;work from home.</p>\n<p><b>The Ecosystem</b></p>\n<p>Before we talk about the sum of the parts, let’s start with the parts. These are the rankings that Apple product segments would have had in the&nbsp;2021 Fortune 500&nbsp;as stand-alones (by revenue)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iPhone at $166 billion in TTM net sales would place at number 12, between Costco (COST) and Cigna (CI).</li>\n <li>Services at $60 billion would place 52 between Albertsons (ACI) and Valero (VLO). That’s about a third of all Google’s revenue (number 9), and about 70% of Facebook’s revenue (number 34).</li>\n <li>Wearables, Home, and Accessories at $35 billion would place at 89 between Deere (DE) and Abbott Labs (ABT). Apple is the largest maker of both watches and headphones now. For comparison, Swatch’s (OTCPK:SWGAF) TTM revenues were $6.3 billion.</li>\n <li>Mac at $34 billion would place at 90 between Abbott and Northwestern Mutual. This is about a third of Dell’s (DELL) revenue (number 28).</li>\n <li>iPad's $30 billion would be the only segment outside the Fortune 100 at number 101, between Tesla (TSLA) and Philip Morris (PM).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple consolidated comes in third by revenue behind Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN), but first in profits, 30% higher than number two Microsoft.</p>\n<p>Of course the ecosystem is what feeds this sales machine. Apple Watch is so popular, in part, because of its tie-in to iPhone and the suite of services, especially now with Fitness+. Apple Music as a stand-alone may not have survived without the tie in to all the rest of Apple. I could keep going on, but the success of everything rests on top of everything else.</p>\n<p>The Walled Garden is a metaphor that people have used to describe the Apple family of products and services. Some, like Apple, put the emphasis on the garden. Others, like Epic, put the emphasis on the walls, like the ones in a prison. But whether people stay in the ecosystem because it’s hard to leave, or just because they like it there is a little immaterial until we get to antitrust, which we’ll talk about in a little bit. It’s a bit of both, of course, that make Apple products so sticky.</p>\n<p>The foundation of this is the wide-and-tall tech stack that lets Apple be the only company that makes PCs, tablets, smartphones, smartwatches and headphones, the SoCs that run them, and also every line of code these devices ship with. These devices can seamlessly work with each other in ways the Windows/Android alternative cannot. Another one of these features is coming with the fall OS updates, Universal Control.</p>\n<p>Every year at WWDC, Apple updates the software part of this, and the deep integration of services also gives Apple an advantage over competitors, which has become an antitrust focus, especially for Spotify (SPOT) in Europe.</p>\n<p>But beyond that, the Apple ecosystem is entirely unique</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft makes PC operating systems and software that sell well, and devices that sell poorly. They have some good consumer services like Xbox gaming, but not many. They are reportedly working on a chip for their Surface products.</li>\n <li>Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) makes a wide range of devices, but not operating systems (unless you count Tizen, now merging with Google's WearOS), or any notable apps or services. They design their own chips, but often use competitors’ in products.</li>\n <li>Google (GOOGL) has a very popular operating system and apps, and is the king of services, but their devices sell poorly. They make data center chips for their own use, but not for consumers.</li>\n <li>Amazon and Facebook (FB) are starting from the bottom-up. Both tried and failed with phones. Amazon has a fork of Android, and low-cost tablets that sell reasonably well. Amazon’s Echo products do well, Facebook’s hardware less so. Both do well with services and apps. The recent Amazon Sidewalk launch with Tile is Amazon trying to build up that ecosystem infrastructure. Amazon has a chip unit for AWS, but neither company has consumer chip design.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Only Apple has the complete package. But there are threats to the ecosystem, and I believe Apple is very likely to have to give up some control, especially with regard to App Store. By 2025 we should expect Apple’s App Store commission rate to drop, but the rest should remain very strong.</p>\n<p><b>Privacy, Security And ESG</b></p>\n<p>I’m lumping these together, because they add up to the same thing: Apple has been able to skate to where the puck is going on important societal issues. They see these things not as costs, but marketable features that burnish the Apple brand.</p>\n<p>I don’t think there’s any reason for me to belabor the security and privacy comparison with Windows and especially Android. Like everyone, Apple does not have a perfect record, and we’ll talk some more in a moment about that.</p>\n<p>But let’s return to that 2007 email, which is like an Apple Rosetta Stone. Serlet's first two bullets are about limits Apple is going to place on developers with the goals of “protect the user,” and “protect the networks.” Only after that does he get to what developers get access to. That’s indicative of all their thinking. Securing the user and networks is the first order priority.</p>\n<p>Here’s a quick list of the security and privacy enhancements they just announced at WWDC:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iCloud VPN at no extra cost to paid iCloud accounts.</li>\n <li>On-device speech recognition.</li>\n <li>Third party Siri devices that do not give those third parties access to your commands. Common commands will execute without leaving the house.</li>\n <li>Further support for iCloud home security video, which does image analysis on-device, and only uploads encrypted video to the cloud.</li>\n <li>House keys and state ID support in Wallet. TSA will accept digital IDs when it becomes available.</li>\n <li>A new App Privacy Report with details on what all apps are doing with their permissions. Google just announced something very similar for Android 12.</li>\n <li>After grimly reminding us that we will all die someday, iOS 15 allows adding of legacy contact who can access your account after you are gone.</li>\n <li>Securely and privately share health data with a provider.</li>\n <li>Protection from email tracking pixels.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>That was just what they announced this year.</p>\n<p>So let’s turn it around and talk about what these things cost Apple. The biggest costs are not direct ones but opportunity costs from their relative lack of data collection. Their services suffer because of this:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The iAd ad network never got off the ground because it denied advertisers the data they were getting elsewhere.</li>\n <li>Similarly, all their attempts at adding social media features have failed for the same reason.</li>\n <li>Siri lags Alexa and Google Assistant, and this also hurt them in the smart speaker space.</li>\n <li>It is harder for them to build massive centralized AI models like Google and Facebook.</li>\n <li>The engagement and targeting algorithms for App Store, News, Music, TV+, Stocks, Arcade and ads would all be better. Apple has tried to be unique here with added human curation.</li>\n <li>They don’t trade user data like other credit card companies.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Then there are the direct costs, which we have little insight into, but certainly stretches into the billions of dollars. Some of the key parts come under the chip design unit: the Secure Enclave and the machine learning cores. Along with the supporting software these are key units in the A and M series SoCs.</p>\n<p>They currently already do a lot of work in keeping data analysis on-device, leveraging those machine learning cores, and only uploading encrypted data to the cloud using the secure enclave. But the eventual goal I believe is to have all Siri interactions happen on-device, which minimizes what Apple collects about users. As noted, they just took a major step in that direction with on-device voice recognition. To me, that was the single biggest announcement at WWDC. I thought Apple was maybe two years from announcing that.</p>\n<p>When we talk about ESG, the direct Capex costs are growing there. Apple Park is the largest LEED Platinum office building in North America. They are currently working through $4.7 billion in green bonds, building solar, wind and battery storage. Apple currently has all of Apple worldwide corporate operations carbon neutral. But the big, costly project is getting the entire supply chain to carbon neutral. They claim they will do that by 2030.</p>\n<p>In 2021, this is a very effective marketing narrative, and it will only become more so over time. In 2025 these issues will resonate even more deeply.</p>\n<p><b>The Brand</b></p>\n<p>Security, privacy and ESG burnish the brand, but the products are the core of it. Again, Apple does not list intangibles, but&nbsp;Interbrand&nbsp;put the value of the Apple brand at $323 billion in 2020. Amazon was number two at $201 billion. Here’s how Interbrand put it.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Ultimately, Apple’s distinctiveness – or, in fact, uniqueness – isn’t a result of what the brand says, but what it does. It’s Apple’s products, technologies and stores that speak to the organisation’s philosophy of beautiful simplicity and individual empowerment – much more than any campaign could ever do. Inasmuch as many talk about the brand’s aura, Apple has consistently changed what was in people’s minds by changing what was in their hands.\n</blockquote>\n<p>It’s amazing what 25 years of making great products will do. This is important because a strong brand can buoy a company through bad weather. Apple’s brand can weather a long storm.</p>\n<p><b>The iPhone Value Proposition</b></p>\n<p>Apple products are notoriously expensive. But are they? Mac is expensive when you compare to alternatives, but iPhone turns out to be a pretty good value. To begin with, iPhone gets many years of operating system support, in contrast to Android products outside of Google’s poorly-selling Pixel. I have a friend who can afford any phone he wants, but he likes small phones, and hated Jony Ive’s rounded edges. He bought an iPhone SE in March 2016 for $399, and held on to until last December when he traded it in for an iPhone 12 mini. When he traded it in, it was running the current version, iOS 14. If he still owned it, he would be able to upgrade it to iOS 15 in the fall.</p>\n<p>I joke with him that he really extracted maximum value from that iPhone SE, but let’s look at what that looks like for someone in 2021 who is budget conscious. Forgetting about any trade-in subsidies:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$399 iPhone SE 2nd generation base model</li>\n <li>Paid for with Apple Card. That gets a 3% discount on price, and 24 months of 0% interest.</li>\n <li>Include AppleCare+ for product life to account for an inevitable battery replacement and unforeseeables.</li>\n <li>That’s $19.91 a month for the first 24 months, and $3.29 thereafter.</li>\n <li>Discount future payments by 1.75% a year for inflation.</li>\n <li>Since the phone is already a year old, we’ll shave a year off operating system support, so that’s 6 years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>For 6 years of worry-free ownership and operating system updates, that’s $599 in 2021 dollars. If you wanted to risk it and not get AppleCare+, it’s only $381 paid over 2 years. This is very comparable to similar offerings from&nbsp;Samsung,OnePlus, and&nbsp;Google. Only Google’s Pixel gets guaranteed OS updates beyond that first year.</p>\n<p>Turning to the flagship models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08bc783267a97e370e0a432f3ca6dcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>Apple has the most expensive flagship but not by much. The Google Pixel 5 seems like a great deal to me, and I remain surprised at how poorly the Pixels have sold. Also, looking at the green bars, the iPhone 12 Pro Max looks like the best deal of the bunch.</p>\n<p>Only the Pixel gets guaranteed updates beyond that first year. Apple is still supporting 5 models released in the Obama administration. But there’s a lot more that comes with iPhone that doesn’t come with any Android phone.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The best smartphone chip.</li>\n <li>Hardware and software developed together.</li>\n <li>Tight integration with PC, tablet, watch and wireless headphones.</li>\n <li>Far better malware security in App Store.</li>\n <li>Most new apps start on iOS, so Apple users get first crack.</li>\n <li>Native productivity suite.</li>\n <li>Native audio and video editing with surprising capability for phone apps.</li>\n <li>No tracking of location and other data by Google unless you use Google services.</li>\n <li>Convenient service and free classes at an Apple Store near you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple users give up a little bit of freedom, mostly in App Store, for all this, but I think it’s a tradeoff everyone understands at this point. As time wears on, it has become harder and harder for other phone manufacturers to keep up with Apple on both price and features. By 2025, it will be even harder.</p>\n<p><b>Risks To The Story</b></p>\n<p>There are three big threats to the rosy picture I am painting. One is geopolitical, one is regulatory, and one is social.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>US-China relations are at their lowest ebb since Mao hosted Nixon in 1972. The Biden Administration has pulled back from some of the excesses of the previous Administration, but we seem to be on a long march towards, at a minimum, a bifurcation of the technology world. I do not view this as a positive development for many reasons, but it hits Apple hard.</p>\n<p>Apple is pretty unique in the scale of their dependence on China from both the supply side and the demand side. Let’s start on the supply side.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Substantially all of the Company’s manufacturing is performed in whole or in part by outsourcing partners located primarily in Asia. A significant concentration of this manufacturing is currently performed by a small number of outsourcing partners, often in single locations.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n - Apple annual report “Risk Factors”\n</blockquote>\n<p>From the demand side, it fluctuates, but in the current 3-year iPhone supercycle period, Apple is averaging 16.8% of net sales from Greater China, which includes Taiwan and Hong Kong.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a5e0338dac745a79fb9839439fa60\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"></p>\n<p><b>Antitrust</b></p>\n<p>I’m not going to dwell on this, since everyone is better acquainted with this threat because of the Epic trial. But there is a movement afoot to refashion antitrust law in a way that would not be favorable to Apple, with the amount of control they like to exercise over the ecosystem. This is in the US courts now, but legislative and regulatory bodies in the US and Europe are turning towards iOS, especially App Store. The threat is not open-ended like it is for Google and Facebook, as it is contained to App Store, 28% of Services net sales and 5.4% of consolidated Apple. But that second number, small as it is, has been growing quickly.</p>\n<p>In contrast to China, I view some sort of reduced take from App Store as inevitable, and the only question is the scale of the reduction. Already, according to Epic trial filings, Apple’s take is probably between 25% and 26% on App Store, not 30% as it is always reported. That is going lower.</p>\n<p>Based on the comments in my articles on the&nbsp;Epic trial, I think Apple shareholders are also underestimating the probability of this happening.</p>\n<p><b>Tall Poppy Syndrome</b></p>\n<p>This is a phrase I just learned from an Australian friend. Wikipedia&nbsp;defines&nbsp;it as</p>\n<blockquote>\n a cultural phenomenon of jealous people holding back or directly attacking those who are perceived to be better than the norm, \"cutting down the tall poppy\".\n</blockquote>\n<p>That’s roughly how my Aussie friend described it to me. People love a comeback story, and that was the Apple narrative for a long time. But Apple is now far too profitable for too long to be the Comeback Kid anymore. Now there seems to be an appetite in the media and society for cutting Apple down to size.</p>\n<p>For example, Washington Post ran an article as I was writing this section that talked about&nbsp;18 scam apps&nbsp;that were in the top 1000 grossing apps on the day Apple was testifying in front of the Senate about App Store.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c268692981ac4739fd7390468e487103\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Washington Post screenshot</span></p>\n<p>Apple needs to do better. But there is no control group. The article never asks how many scam apps they stopped that day, or how many scam apps were on the Google Play Store or other Android stores that day.Apple claims&nbsp;they stopped $1.5 billion in fraudulent transaction in 2020, 2.4% of all App Store transactions.</p>\n<p>To be clear, the Washington Post article is claiming that Apple is not really curating App Store based on their one-day survey. The total net sales to Apple for these apps was $8.3 million before Apple axed them. Apple is a company that will have around $350 billion in net sales in fiscal 2021, and had something like $16 billion from App Store in calendar 2020. They are not sandbagging their hard-earned reputation over $8.3 million.</p>\n<p>This is sometimes called the “Five Nines Problem.” Five nines is 99.999%, and is sort of the standard for “almost perfect” in a lot of tech. But tech companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, etc. operate at massive scale and they need more nines. App Store has 1.8 million apps, and five nines means 180 malicious apps get through, and maybe 10% of those wind up in the top 1000 grossers. The good news is that Apple does not need the Washington Post to tell them they need to get better at this, but it is not easy.</p>\n<p>This is a more nebulous threat than the others, but the last time I felt like this was when the narrative on Microsoft turned sharply after Windows 95. That ended up in a long battle with the Department of Justice that sucked corporate focus for years.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Price Model: Four Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><i>Many of the assumptions for these models are all based off of my deep dives on Apple quarters after they report. The last of them on 2021 Q2is here.</i></p>\n<p>So let’s take all that qualitative data, and try and stuff it through a revenue and DCF model. I recommend you be very skeptical of all models of the future, and think a lot about the underlying assumptions. Models are generally an expression of the author’s biases with math laid over it. You have the 6,000 words above if you would like to know mine.</p>\n<p>The recent&nbsp;Tesla model from ARK Investment&nbsp;should stand as a cautionary tale for everyone. Anyway, I have posted&nbsp;Excel worksheets&nbsp;to GitHub with the model, and all the major assumptions are modifiable. Each scenario is a separate worksheet.</p>\n<p>Let’s first look at some assumptions common to all four:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iPhone continues to exhibit a 3-year cyclical pattern. Fiscal 2021 is the high year, so 2024 is the next one.</li>\n <li>Services growth comes off to some extent in all scenarios from reduced App Store growth from legal or regulatory action in the US and Europe.</li>\n <li>Wearables, etc. remains on its strong growth path on Apple Watch, AirPods, and at least one new product category, a VR headset.</li>\n <li>Mac and iPad return roughly to their pre-pandemic patterns. Like all PC makes, Apple saw a&nbsp;big surge&nbsp;from work-from-home.</li>\n <li>Fiscal 2021 is half-reported, so all scenarios assume that it will complete along Apple’s average seasonal pattern from 2016-2019.</li>\n <li>Other assumptions are in the Excel sheets.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Scenarios:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Large, the most optimistic.</li>\n <li>Medium, my base case.</li>\n <li>Small is what Apple looks like if they come off the growth rates of the last 4-6 years.</li>\n <li>Tiny is the same as Small through 2023, and then we’re going to throw some real problems at Apple.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>In Medium:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>We’ll model the iPhone cycle with the average growth rates of the 2015 and 2018 cycles.</li>\n <li>Services growth comes off of 2016-2020 trajectory because of legal or regulatory action on App Store by 2 pp.</li>\n <li>The rest, as above.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Large and Small will, respectively, add and subtract from these growth rates in Medium. In addition, Large assumes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Boost in fiscal 2022-2025 for iPhone on 5G adoption.</li>\n <li>Apple Silicon Macs gain Apple some PC market share.</li>\n <li>The AR glasses come out in the middle of fiscal 2025. To be clear, I view that as an unlikely timeline, but it does not have a large effect on the model since it comes 6 months from the end of our interval.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Tiny is a special event-based scenario where we will throw the two worst plausible scenarios we can at Apple. It starts with a huge reduction in App Store revenues due to antitrust action in the US and Europe at the end of fiscal 2023, and getting kicked out of China at the end of fiscal 2024. The former will be modeled as a sharp downturn in Services revenue in fiscal 2024. The China expulsion will lead to a 15% drop in top line revenue, and a decrease in products gross margin by 5 pp in 2025. I don’t view either of these as particularly likely, but this is the worst it can get.</p>\n<p><b>Is Apple Stock A Buy Now?</b></p>\n<p><i>Just to double up on the warning: you should treat all models of the future with skepticism, including this one.</i></p>\n<p>This table summarizes the results. Please hit up those Excel sheets if you’d like to frisk the math, or play around with your own assumptions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5cc7ac9dba0aa62b43bacac07a51c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\"></p>\n<p>As you can see, even Small doesn’t do so badly by 2025, and Tiny ends up almost in the green, since the bad events come towards the end. If they were to come earlier, those growth rates would be lower in Tiny.</p>\n<p>But the year-by-year results get to something I’ve been trying to tell Apple shareholders for almost a year now:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0dd5f3db1dee545821469b11fb4f01d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\"></p>\n<p>That chart will explain to you why I started breaking my Apple recommendations down between long and short term. Since the price hit $130 last summer, it was pretty clear to me that except in a best-case scenario, the gains of fiscal 2021 and 2022 were already baked in.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25ce181f892fdb01ae176c551fa19ec2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\"></p>\n<p>Even Large only shows a marginal gain by the end of the fiscal year 2021, and Medium and Small are flat or down through the end of 2022. I’ve used the phrase, “if your time horizon with Apple is short, now is a good time to take profits,” very frequently in the past 8 months. I still mean it.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Forecast For 2025</b></p>\n<p>Let’s zoom into each a bit, starting with the base case, Medium.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b54f0f55b2d743586b10fdcfb3c4bbd1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>I've included actual price growth for fiscal 2020 so you can see how we got here. In this view we can think of slow fair value growth from today to the end of fiscal 2022 as averaging out fiscal 2020. If we look at 2019-2022, that’s a 27% CAGR, much more in line with the growth rates in the out years of the model. The model is simply predicting that 2021 and 2022 are baked into today’s price.</p>\n<p>But then you see that the model really picks up steam on the out-years, as Apple’s free cash flow, growing at a 15% 5-year CAGR in Medium, catches up with the price. All together, that’s a 13.8% CAGR over the four and a third years of the model, with a terminal value of $222.</p>\n<p>Of course Large is larger, with an enhanced iPhone cycle from 5G adoption and a little extra boost from the AR glasses at the end of fiscal 2025.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f1cb197112556270cfdbb2d293c0082\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>To be clear, I view this scenario as plausible, but not that likely, somewhere around the 25th percentile. In this scenario, 2022 does not show the flat or negative growth rates in 2022 like the others, and this is due to the 5G adoption part of our assumptions. That’s a 20.2% CAGR, and a terminal value of $283.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c9feb0f396334a8c46a983c8191e37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>This model starts off very slowly, with only an 11% 2019-2022 CAGR compared to 27% for Medium, and down in 2022. But even the Small scenario picks up steam beginning in 2023. That’s an 18% CAGR from 2023-2025. But over the life of the model it is less than half that, 7.9%, a $184 terminal value.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc10da2578deb47fb83ad5c2497fa16f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>Tiny is the same as Small until the events kick in beginning fiscal 2024. 2024 price growth comes way off Small, and takes a dive in 2025. Keep in mind, we are talking about the fair value a year after the event, so the price would likely go down much further first. Anyway, this one winds up roughly at the June 11 close over four years later.</p>\n<p>So there it is: the thing I’ve been telling you for a while now, except with some modeling and pretty charts:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Except in our best case, Apple is likely to trade sideways for a while as cash flows catch up with the share price.</li>\n <li>But absent some very bad events out of Apple’s control, the long term view is still very, very bright, even if they slow down.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Seven thousand words summed up in two bullets.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 10:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.\nThe dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152604932","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.\nThe dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out of their control.\nI lay out four scenarios and DCF models. You should treat DCF models with the skepticism they deserve.\nWith the exception of the best case, they show the stock trading sideways or down through the end of fiscal 2022, then growing fast thereafter.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Long-Term Apple Thesis\nI write a lot about Apple (AAPL), 15% of my articles here at Seeking Alpha since I started in 2018. Mostly, I write about what is happening now. For example, the last one was about the implications for Apple should they be forced to back off their App Store rules, whether through courts or regulation.\nAlmost a year ago, I began breaking my conclusions about Apple stock into two sections: one for investors who are into Apple for the long haul like I am, and a section for those whose time horizons are much shorter than “I hope to die with these shares.” This article is for the Die With These Shares Crowd.\nI was first an Apple shareholder in 1982, but I sold those shares when Steve Jobs sold his. Since 2005, I have been a continuous shareholder and have never sold a share. Like I said, I hope to die with them. Over the years, the reasons I remain an Apple shareholder have grown:\n\nThey have the most complete and unique tech stack in the world.\nThey have the best product development process.\nThey have the best corporate organization.\nThey are the only megacap who sees privacy and security as a differentiator and marketable feature, not as a cost-center.\nESG focus years ahead of everyone else.\nThe Apple brand\nWhile the sum of their parts is impressive, the Apple ecosystem makes it so much more.\nWhen everything is taken into account, iPhone gives a lot of value for the price.\nA cash pile and cash flows to back up their ambitions.\n\nWhat it adds up to is a company that is prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. Success in tech is notoriously hard to maintain. IBM (IBM) dominated computers and high end office equipment for 80 years until they didn’t. Sitting here today in 2021, I have a very high level of confidence that this will not be happening to Apple any time soon.\nThe Tech Stack\nOne of my favorite factoids about Apple is that despite the fact that their intangible assets would be the most of anyone, they do not list any on their balance sheet. This is where IP and brands go. We’ll get to the brand in a moment, but the core of what makes Apple so durable is their tech stack, now higher and more complete than anyone’s.\nThe most important things in the stack are at the base — the Apple chip design unit, which went from nothing to the best in the world in about a decade, and the operating systems, which at their root are all the same thing. They are the only company that designs products and the chips and operating systems that run them, though it looks like Microsoft (MSFT) would like to join them.\nChip Design\nCustom chip design is becoming more and more important. Apple was one of the first to recognize the importance of this in making products that are unique in a crowded marketplace. The first iPhone came with a Samsung ARM-based system-on-a-chip (SoC). Less than a year later, Apple bought PA Semi, a low-power SoC designer, for $278 million in cash. Other than the NeXT acquisition that brought back Steve Jobs, this was the best investment Apple ever made.\nThe first Apple-designed chip to show up in a product was the A4 in iPhone 4, only two years after the PA Semi acquisition. Quickly, the reaction went from “Apple thinks they can make a SoC?” to “Hey, these things are pretty good.” Now the A-series is widely regarded as the best smartphone SoC.\nThe A-series is the most important, but that is only the beginning. There is also the S-series for Apple Watch, H-series for headphones, W-series for wireless connectivity, U-series, which enables AirTags features, and the new M-series for Macs. Within a couple of years, all Apple devices, from AirPods to the Mac Pro will run on Apple Silicon.\nThe work they have done here is really showing up in the new M1 Macs, because we have something to compare to — the previous generation of the same model with Intel’s hardware.\nAnnotated Apple video screenshot.\nBy switching to their own silicon, Apple was able to make the same computer, but with a tablet-sized motherboard, a larger screen, and very low power requirements, while still being much faster than the Intel alternative. Already, the next version of macOS will not support some features on Intel Macs, because they lack the machine learning cores. \nThe Operating Systems\nWhen Apple was developing iPhone there was two ways to go for the operating system: build up from iPod, or shrink Mac OS X. There was an internal contest along parallel tracks, and the shrunken Mac won out. Because of this decision, all the operating systems are essentially the same thing.\nOS X came from NextStep which was the reason for the NeXT acquisition. Apple had not been able to move past what became known as Mac OS Classic with its own internal project, Copeland, and they needed help. Also, the deal came with Steve Jobs.\nNextStep was the first attempt to take a UNIX operating system and put a friendly graphical user interface on top of it. At the core is a UNIX microkernel. As the name implies, this is a small bit of software that manages the most basic functions of the software/hardware interface. Everything else is built in modular blocks of code layered on each other. Each device gets the blocks it needs, and excludes the ones it doesn’t.\nSo at root, the microkernel and the core blocks of the operating systems have a ton of overlap, and are very much the same. The original iPhone OS and OS X were so similar that even before Apple released their official iPhone software development kit, or SDK, developers were already making iPhone apps using a slightly modified Mac SDK.\nA good example is networking. All the devices share the same basic networking software, but macOS has wired connection drivers the others don’t. iOS 14 has 5G drivers the others don’t.\nThe Rest\nOn top of that rock-solid foundation sits the rest of it. The list is too long to go through entirely. This is a company that patented a pizza box which is only used in Apple’s Caffe Macs employee cafeterias. But these are the parts where we see continuous development every year.\n\nThe location/orientation sensor package. Originally for iPhone, this now includes accelerometers, gyroscopes, GPS, altimeters, and the newest additions, LiDAR and the U1 chip, which makes AirTags possible, with more coming. With this combination, Apple devices know where they are in 3D space, orientation, and where they are relative to other objects, especially ones that also have the U1 chip.\nVoice recognition.\nAR.\nOn-device machine learning. This includes continuous work on both hardware and software. The A-series and M-series SoCs come loaded with ML cores.\nAudio/video/photo. Again, both hardware and software.\nMaybe their own 5G radio chip. We’ll see.\n\nWhat This All Means For 2025\nWhat this means is that when Apple is setting out to build a new device, they begin halfway to the finish line. The basics are there already, and they get to spend their time and energy focusing on the parts that make each device unique. And as we’ll look at in the next section, they still spend more time sweating that last mile than anyone else.\nLet’s look at Apple’s current Big Idea, which is augmenting or replacing the venerable graphical user interface with a combination of AR and voice control, AKA Siri. Apple just hit a big milestone in that journey with the announcement of on-device voice recognition in iOS 15 coming this fall. This is key to their thinking in whatever they are doing with a car, and also of course in AR/VR products. According to rumors, we should see at least some aspects of both of these by the end of 2025.\nBut beyond the AR-voice package, each device will get a chip specifically designed for that device, unlike most others who will be using chips designed for a wide range of OEMs. It will overlap a lot with other Apple SoCs, but it will contain a unique combination of units chosen just for that device. When the software team is working on the operating system and apps, most of the under-the-hood work is done. They get to focus on making the unique interface they want for that product. The sensor package will come into the design of either a car or AR glasses, as will all the rest of it.\nProduct Development\nApple approaches product development differently than every other company. In the first place, they say “no” to many things, even deep into the development process, most we never get to hear about. This allows them to focus on what they do make, and make their products unique, even when competing a crowded space.\nMy favorite example here is a negative one, the ill-fated AirPower charging mat. Apple wanted to make a unique offering that was specifically designed around Apple products, but they could not pull off the dual-coil design without overheating. Instead of releasing an undifferentiated product, they killed it, even though it had been pre-announced. This sort of thing happens internally all the time. We got to see the sausage made, just this once.\nBut it goes beyond just saying “no” a lot. Apple approaches almost everything in a very slow, deliberate manner:\n\nFocus entirely on the customer experience.\nDon’t let anyone else get in between you and the customer.\nPeople often don’t know what they want until you show it to them.\nDon’t compete directly against successful incumbents, but figure out what Apple’s unique contribution is, focused on the entire ecosystem.\nDon’t release a new product or feature until you are ready to, no matter what analysts or the tech press say you should do.\nFind a way to dip your toe into the market first, gauge customer reaction, and slowly keep adding year after year.\nHave relatively few SKUs. Keep the product lines relatively simple.\nDon’t be afraid to ditch old but popular technologies.\nAs much as possible, own all the key technologies in your devices.\nHardware and software development are concurrent and work together.\nDo not worry that a new product is displacing another source of revenue.\n\nSometimes this can hurt an Apple product relative to competition. The HomePod is a good example here. Because of their relative lack of data collection, Siri will never be as capable as Alexa or Google Assistant. So when designing a “smart speaker,” Apple focused more on the speaker part, because they have handicapped themselves on the smart part. This led to an expensive device that didn’t have as much functionality as competing products. But it sounded great. This is a tradeoff they are willing to make, because security and privacy in the ecosystem is a higher level goal than having a smart speaker.\nBut as careful and deliberate as Apple is, they can also act blazingly fast when they think they need to. This letter, recently served up by one of my favorite Twitter accounts,Internal Tech Emails,kind of blew my mind.\n\nBertrand Serlet was the SVP of Software Engineering (“SWE” in the email) at the time. Scott Forstall was the lead on iOS. Steve Jobs you know. What you see here is the birth of the App Store, now worth $16 billion a year in net sales to Apple, decided in an email exchange in less than an hour.\nThe timeline here is that iPhone was released in June 2007. In September 2007, the first easily installed app store for jailbroken iPhones, Cydia, was released. It was a warning to Apple that they had to release their own App Store, along with developer tools like they had on the Mac, or risk losing control of the device. Too many people looked at this “phone” and saw a pocket computer.\nThis email exchange happened less than a month after Cydia. Serlet laid out everything the App Store was and still is in four quick bullets, made a request for a large amount of resources to pull it off (“whoever we need in SWE”), and asked for a yes-or-no decision. Jobs replied less than an hour later with an absurd timeline (it came out in March, but was announced in January), and approved a now-$16 billion a year business in a single sentence.\nMost of the time they move very slowly and deliberately, making sure everything is exactly right before release. But they can also push something out quickly if it is of strategic importance like App Store. This can also fall on its face at launch, like Apple Maps, which is why Apple prefers to move slowly, all else being equal.\nOrganization\nOne of the key foundations of Apple’s success is their amorphous org chart which promotes collaboration and prevents turf wars. On paper, there are three key technical function-based Senior VPs below CEO Tim Cook:\n\nSVP of Software Engineering, Craig Federighi.\nSVP of Hardware Engineering. This is now John Ternus, after longtime SVP of Hardware, Dan Riccio, moved over to shepherd AR/VR devices full time, underlining their importance.\nSVP of Services, Eddie Cue.\n\nThis is supplemented by the SVP of Worldwide Marketing position, now filled by Greg Joswiak, after Apple lifer Phil Schiller moved on to semi-retirement as an “Apple Fellow,” whatever that is. The Epic trial made clear that Schiller is very much still involved. Joswiak and Schiller are sort of Ministers-Without-Portfolio, who dip in on all strategic questions, and the guardians of the brand. VP of Environment, Policy and Social Initiatives, Lisa Jackson, has a growing voice in big decisions.\nBut as became apparent in a lot of the Apple corporate emails that Epic presented at trial, these people and their main lieutenants are constantly up in each other’s business, and that is by design. The walls between the SVPs are very thin, and no one gets to that position unless they understand that turf wars don’t happen at Apple. But the function-based organization sort of prevents it in the first place.\nWhen Apple decided to make iPhone, iPod was 35% of Apple’s revenue. But in meetings and email exchanges, there was no SVP of iPod to object loudly that their ox was being gored. There are many companies that would have killed iPhone because of this. Hardware, Software and Services all have big roles in all Apple products, whether it’s iPod, iPhone or anything that has followed. In that email in the previous section, Bertrand Serlet asks for whomever he needs to meet a fast timeline. That means he was pulling people off the Mac OS X team to work on the iPhone SDK and App Store, of course, in concert with Services and Hardware. Phil Schiller also had a lot to say. Again, there was no SVP of Mac to loudly object.\nWe now see this collaborative organization and culture expressed as architecture in Apple Park.\nApple Maps screenshot\nAt a cost of $4-$5 billion, Apple built a new campus entirely designed around the idea of encouraging collaboration across groups, and random encounters between people who normally would not be interacting. The parking lots are to south out of frame of that screenshot, and everyone enters and exits on those footpaths. Along the way, they have to pass by lots of other offices and groups, or go through the center courtyard, a central place to hang out.\nApple did not build this so people could work from home.\nThe Ecosystem\nBefore we talk about the sum of the parts, let’s start with the parts. These are the rankings that Apple product segments would have had in the 2021 Fortune 500 as stand-alones (by revenue)\n\niPhone at $166 billion in TTM net sales would place at number 12, between Costco (COST) and Cigna (CI).\nServices at $60 billion would place 52 between Albertsons (ACI) and Valero (VLO). That’s about a third of all Google’s revenue (number 9), and about 70% of Facebook’s revenue (number 34).\nWearables, Home, and Accessories at $35 billion would place at 89 between Deere (DE) and Abbott Labs (ABT). Apple is the largest maker of both watches and headphones now. For comparison, Swatch’s (OTCPK:SWGAF) TTM revenues were $6.3 billion.\nMac at $34 billion would place at 90 between Abbott and Northwestern Mutual. This is about a third of Dell’s (DELL) revenue (number 28).\niPad's $30 billion would be the only segment outside the Fortune 100 at number 101, between Tesla (TSLA) and Philip Morris (PM).\n\nApple consolidated comes in third by revenue behind Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN), but first in profits, 30% higher than number two Microsoft.\nOf course the ecosystem is what feeds this sales machine. Apple Watch is so popular, in part, because of its tie-in to iPhone and the suite of services, especially now with Fitness+. Apple Music as a stand-alone may not have survived without the tie in to all the rest of Apple. I could keep going on, but the success of everything rests on top of everything else.\nThe Walled Garden is a metaphor that people have used to describe the Apple family of products and services. Some, like Apple, put the emphasis on the garden. Others, like Epic, put the emphasis on the walls, like the ones in a prison. But whether people stay in the ecosystem because it’s hard to leave, or just because they like it there is a little immaterial until we get to antitrust, which we’ll talk about in a little bit. It’s a bit of both, of course, that make Apple products so sticky.\nThe foundation of this is the wide-and-tall tech stack that lets Apple be the only company that makes PCs, tablets, smartphones, smartwatches and headphones, the SoCs that run them, and also every line of code these devices ship with. These devices can seamlessly work with each other in ways the Windows/Android alternative cannot. Another one of these features is coming with the fall OS updates, Universal Control.\nEvery year at WWDC, Apple updates the software part of this, and the deep integration of services also gives Apple an advantage over competitors, which has become an antitrust focus, especially for Spotify (SPOT) in Europe.\nBut beyond that, the Apple ecosystem is entirely unique\n\nMicrosoft makes PC operating systems and software that sell well, and devices that sell poorly. They have some good consumer services like Xbox gaming, but not many. They are reportedly working on a chip for their Surface products.\nSamsung (OTC:SSNLF) makes a wide range of devices, but not operating systems (unless you count Tizen, now merging with Google's WearOS), or any notable apps or services. They design their own chips, but often use competitors’ in products.\nGoogle (GOOGL) has a very popular operating system and apps, and is the king of services, but their devices sell poorly. They make data center chips for their own use, but not for consumers.\nAmazon and Facebook (FB) are starting from the bottom-up. Both tried and failed with phones. Amazon has a fork of Android, and low-cost tablets that sell reasonably well. Amazon’s Echo products do well, Facebook’s hardware less so. Both do well with services and apps. The recent Amazon Sidewalk launch with Tile is Amazon trying to build up that ecosystem infrastructure. Amazon has a chip unit for AWS, but neither company has consumer chip design.\n\nOnly Apple has the complete package. But there are threats to the ecosystem, and I believe Apple is very likely to have to give up some control, especially with regard to App Store. By 2025 we should expect Apple’s App Store commission rate to drop, but the rest should remain very strong.\nPrivacy, Security And ESG\nI’m lumping these together, because they add up to the same thing: Apple has been able to skate to where the puck is going on important societal issues. They see these things not as costs, but marketable features that burnish the Apple brand.\nI don’t think there’s any reason for me to belabor the security and privacy comparison with Windows and especially Android. Like everyone, Apple does not have a perfect record, and we’ll talk some more in a moment about that.\nBut let’s return to that 2007 email, which is like an Apple Rosetta Stone. Serlet's first two bullets are about limits Apple is going to place on developers with the goals of “protect the user,” and “protect the networks.” Only after that does he get to what developers get access to. That’s indicative of all their thinking. Securing the user and networks is the first order priority.\nHere’s a quick list of the security and privacy enhancements they just announced at WWDC:\n\niCloud VPN at no extra cost to paid iCloud accounts.\nOn-device speech recognition.\nThird party Siri devices that do not give those third parties access to your commands. Common commands will execute without leaving the house.\nFurther support for iCloud home security video, which does image analysis on-device, and only uploads encrypted video to the cloud.\nHouse keys and state ID support in Wallet. TSA will accept digital IDs when it becomes available.\nA new App Privacy Report with details on what all apps are doing with their permissions. Google just announced something very similar for Android 12.\nAfter grimly reminding us that we will all die someday, iOS 15 allows adding of legacy contact who can access your account after you are gone.\nSecurely and privately share health data with a provider.\nProtection from email tracking pixels.\n\nThat was just what they announced this year.\nSo let’s turn it around and talk about what these things cost Apple. The biggest costs are not direct ones but opportunity costs from their relative lack of data collection. Their services suffer because of this:\n\nThe iAd ad network never got off the ground because it denied advertisers the data they were getting elsewhere.\nSimilarly, all their attempts at adding social media features have failed for the same reason.\nSiri lags Alexa and Google Assistant, and this also hurt them in the smart speaker space.\nIt is harder for them to build massive centralized AI models like Google and Facebook.\nThe engagement and targeting algorithms for App Store, News, Music, TV+, Stocks, Arcade and ads would all be better. Apple has tried to be unique here with added human curation.\nThey don’t trade user data like other credit card companies.\n\nThen there are the direct costs, which we have little insight into, but certainly stretches into the billions of dollars. Some of the key parts come under the chip design unit: the Secure Enclave and the machine learning cores. Along with the supporting software these are key units in the A and M series SoCs.\nThey currently already do a lot of work in keeping data analysis on-device, leveraging those machine learning cores, and only uploading encrypted data to the cloud using the secure enclave. But the eventual goal I believe is to have all Siri interactions happen on-device, which minimizes what Apple collects about users. As noted, they just took a major step in that direction with on-device voice recognition. To me, that was the single biggest announcement at WWDC. I thought Apple was maybe two years from announcing that.\nWhen we talk about ESG, the direct Capex costs are growing there. Apple Park is the largest LEED Platinum office building in North America. They are currently working through $4.7 billion in green bonds, building solar, wind and battery storage. Apple currently has all of Apple worldwide corporate operations carbon neutral. But the big, costly project is getting the entire supply chain to carbon neutral. They claim they will do that by 2030.\nIn 2021, this is a very effective marketing narrative, and it will only become more so over time. In 2025 these issues will resonate even more deeply.\nThe Brand\nSecurity, privacy and ESG burnish the brand, but the products are the core of it. Again, Apple does not list intangibles, but Interbrand put the value of the Apple brand at $323 billion in 2020. Amazon was number two at $201 billion. Here’s how Interbrand put it.\n\n Ultimately, Apple’s distinctiveness – or, in fact, uniqueness – isn’t a result of what the brand says, but what it does. It’s Apple’s products, technologies and stores that speak to the organisation’s philosophy of beautiful simplicity and individual empowerment – much more than any campaign could ever do. Inasmuch as many talk about the brand’s aura, Apple has consistently changed what was in people’s minds by changing what was in their hands.\n\nIt’s amazing what 25 years of making great products will do. This is important because a strong brand can buoy a company through bad weather. Apple’s brand can weather a long storm.\nThe iPhone Value Proposition\nApple products are notoriously expensive. But are they? Mac is expensive when you compare to alternatives, but iPhone turns out to be a pretty good value. To begin with, iPhone gets many years of operating system support, in contrast to Android products outside of Google’s poorly-selling Pixel. I have a friend who can afford any phone he wants, but he likes small phones, and hated Jony Ive’s rounded edges. He bought an iPhone SE in March 2016 for $399, and held on to until last December when he traded it in for an iPhone 12 mini. When he traded it in, it was running the current version, iOS 14. If he still owned it, he would be able to upgrade it to iOS 15 in the fall.\nI joke with him that he really extracted maximum value from that iPhone SE, but let’s look at what that looks like for someone in 2021 who is budget conscious. Forgetting about any trade-in subsidies:\n\n$399 iPhone SE 2nd generation base model\nPaid for with Apple Card. That gets a 3% discount on price, and 24 months of 0% interest.\nInclude AppleCare+ for product life to account for an inevitable battery replacement and unforeseeables.\nThat’s $19.91 a month for the first 24 months, and $3.29 thereafter.\nDiscount future payments by 1.75% a year for inflation.\nSince the phone is already a year old, we’ll shave a year off operating system support, so that’s 6 years.\n\nFor 6 years of worry-free ownership and operating system updates, that’s $599 in 2021 dollars. If you wanted to risk it and not get AppleCare+, it’s only $381 paid over 2 years. This is very comparable to similar offerings from Samsung,OnePlus, and Google. Only Google’s Pixel gets guaranteed OS updates beyond that first year.\nTurning to the flagship models:\n\nApple has the most expensive flagship but not by much. The Google Pixel 5 seems like a great deal to me, and I remain surprised at how poorly the Pixels have sold. Also, looking at the green bars, the iPhone 12 Pro Max looks like the best deal of the bunch.\nOnly the Pixel gets guaranteed updates beyond that first year. Apple is still supporting 5 models released in the Obama administration. But there’s a lot more that comes with iPhone that doesn’t come with any Android phone.\n\nThe best smartphone chip.\nHardware and software developed together.\nTight integration with PC, tablet, watch and wireless headphones.\nFar better malware security in App Store.\nMost new apps start on iOS, so Apple users get first crack.\nNative productivity suite.\nNative audio and video editing with surprising capability for phone apps.\nNo tracking of location and other data by Google unless you use Google services.\nConvenient service and free classes at an Apple Store near you.\n\nApple users give up a little bit of freedom, mostly in App Store, for all this, but I think it’s a tradeoff everyone understands at this point. As time wears on, it has become harder and harder for other phone manufacturers to keep up with Apple on both price and features. By 2025, it will be even harder.\nRisks To The Story\nThere are three big threats to the rosy picture I am painting. One is geopolitical, one is regulatory, and one is social.\nChina\nUS-China relations are at their lowest ebb since Mao hosted Nixon in 1972. The Biden Administration has pulled back from some of the excesses of the previous Administration, but we seem to be on a long march towards, at a minimum, a bifurcation of the technology world. I do not view this as a positive development for many reasons, but it hits Apple hard.\nApple is pretty unique in the scale of their dependence on China from both the supply side and the demand side. Let’s start on the supply side.\n\n Substantially all of the Company’s manufacturing is performed in whole or in part by outsourcing partners located primarily in Asia. A significant concentration of this manufacturing is currently performed by a small number of outsourcing partners, often in single locations.\n\n\n - Apple annual report “Risk Factors”\n\nFrom the demand side, it fluctuates, but in the current 3-year iPhone supercycle period, Apple is averaging 16.8% of net sales from Greater China, which includes Taiwan and Hong Kong.\n\nAntitrust\nI’m not going to dwell on this, since everyone is better acquainted with this threat because of the Epic trial. But there is a movement afoot to refashion antitrust law in a way that would not be favorable to Apple, with the amount of control they like to exercise over the ecosystem. This is in the US courts now, but legislative and regulatory bodies in the US and Europe are turning towards iOS, especially App Store. The threat is not open-ended like it is for Google and Facebook, as it is contained to App Store, 28% of Services net sales and 5.4% of consolidated Apple. But that second number, small as it is, has been growing quickly.\nIn contrast to China, I view some sort of reduced take from App Store as inevitable, and the only question is the scale of the reduction. Already, according to Epic trial filings, Apple’s take is probably between 25% and 26% on App Store, not 30% as it is always reported. That is going lower.\nBased on the comments in my articles on the Epic trial, I think Apple shareholders are also underestimating the probability of this happening.\nTall Poppy Syndrome\nThis is a phrase I just learned from an Australian friend. Wikipedia defines it as\n\n a cultural phenomenon of jealous people holding back or directly attacking those who are perceived to be better than the norm, \"cutting down the tall poppy\".\n\nThat’s roughly how my Aussie friend described it to me. People love a comeback story, and that was the Apple narrative for a long time. But Apple is now far too profitable for too long to be the Comeback Kid anymore. Now there seems to be an appetite in the media and society for cutting Apple down to size.\nFor example, Washington Post ran an article as I was writing this section that talked about 18 scam apps that were in the top 1000 grossing apps on the day Apple was testifying in front of the Senate about App Store.\nWashington Post screenshot\nApple needs to do better. But there is no control group. The article never asks how many scam apps they stopped that day, or how many scam apps were on the Google Play Store or other Android stores that day.Apple claims they stopped $1.5 billion in fraudulent transaction in 2020, 2.4% of all App Store transactions.\nTo be clear, the Washington Post article is claiming that Apple is not really curating App Store based on their one-day survey. The total net sales to Apple for these apps was $8.3 million before Apple axed them. Apple is a company that will have around $350 billion in net sales in fiscal 2021, and had something like $16 billion from App Store in calendar 2020. They are not sandbagging their hard-earned reputation over $8.3 million.\nThis is sometimes called the “Five Nines Problem.” Five nines is 99.999%, and is sort of the standard for “almost perfect” in a lot of tech. But tech companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, etc. operate at massive scale and they need more nines. App Store has 1.8 million apps, and five nines means 180 malicious apps get through, and maybe 10% of those wind up in the top 1000 grossers. The good news is that Apple does not need the Washington Post to tell them they need to get better at this, but it is not easy.\nThis is a more nebulous threat than the others, but the last time I felt like this was when the narrative on Microsoft turned sharply after Windows 95. That ended up in a long battle with the Department of Justice that sucked corporate focus for years.\nApple Stock Price Model: Four Scenarios\nMany of the assumptions for these models are all based off of my deep dives on Apple quarters after they report. The last of them on 2021 Q2is here.\nSo let’s take all that qualitative data, and try and stuff it through a revenue and DCF model. I recommend you be very skeptical of all models of the future, and think a lot about the underlying assumptions. Models are generally an expression of the author’s biases with math laid over it. You have the 6,000 words above if you would like to know mine.\nThe recent Tesla model from ARK Investment should stand as a cautionary tale for everyone. Anyway, I have posted Excel worksheets to GitHub with the model, and all the major assumptions are modifiable. Each scenario is a separate worksheet.\nLet’s first look at some assumptions common to all four:\n\niPhone continues to exhibit a 3-year cyclical pattern. Fiscal 2021 is the high year, so 2024 is the next one.\nServices growth comes off to some extent in all scenarios from reduced App Store growth from legal or regulatory action in the US and Europe.\nWearables, etc. remains on its strong growth path on Apple Watch, AirPods, and at least one new product category, a VR headset.\nMac and iPad return roughly to their pre-pandemic patterns. Like all PC makes, Apple saw a big surge from work-from-home.\nFiscal 2021 is half-reported, so all scenarios assume that it will complete along Apple’s average seasonal pattern from 2016-2019.\nOther assumptions are in the Excel sheets.\n\nScenarios:\n\nLarge, the most optimistic.\nMedium, my base case.\nSmall is what Apple looks like if they come off the growth rates of the last 4-6 years.\nTiny is the same as Small through 2023, and then we’re going to throw some real problems at Apple.\n\nIn Medium:\n\nWe’ll model the iPhone cycle with the average growth rates of the 2015 and 2018 cycles.\nServices growth comes off of 2016-2020 trajectory because of legal or regulatory action on App Store by 2 pp.\nThe rest, as above.\n\nLarge and Small will, respectively, add and subtract from these growth rates in Medium. In addition, Large assumes:\n\nBoost in fiscal 2022-2025 for iPhone on 5G adoption.\nApple Silicon Macs gain Apple some PC market share.\nThe AR glasses come out in the middle of fiscal 2025. To be clear, I view that as an unlikely timeline, but it does not have a large effect on the model since it comes 6 months from the end of our interval.\n\nTiny is a special event-based scenario where we will throw the two worst plausible scenarios we can at Apple. It starts with a huge reduction in App Store revenues due to antitrust action in the US and Europe at the end of fiscal 2023, and getting kicked out of China at the end of fiscal 2024. The former will be modeled as a sharp downturn in Services revenue in fiscal 2024. The China expulsion will lead to a 15% drop in top line revenue, and a decrease in products gross margin by 5 pp in 2025. I don’t view either of these as particularly likely, but this is the worst it can get.\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Now?\nJust to double up on the warning: you should treat all models of the future with skepticism, including this one.\nThis table summarizes the results. Please hit up those Excel sheets if you’d like to frisk the math, or play around with your own assumptions.\n\nAs you can see, even Small doesn’t do so badly by 2025, and Tiny ends up almost in the green, since the bad events come towards the end. If they were to come earlier, those growth rates would be lower in Tiny.\nBut the year-by-year results get to something I’ve been trying to tell Apple shareholders for almost a year now:\n\nThat chart will explain to you why I started breaking my Apple recommendations down between long and short term. Since the price hit $130 last summer, it was pretty clear to me that except in a best-case scenario, the gains of fiscal 2021 and 2022 were already baked in.\n\nEven Large only shows a marginal gain by the end of the fiscal year 2021, and Medium and Small are flat or down through the end of 2022. I’ve used the phrase, “if your time horizon with Apple is short, now is a good time to take profits,” very frequently in the past 8 months. I still mean it.\nApple Stock Forecast For 2025\nLet’s zoom into each a bit, starting with the base case, Medium.\n\nI've included actual price growth for fiscal 2020 so you can see how we got here. In this view we can think of slow fair value growth from today to the end of fiscal 2022 as averaging out fiscal 2020. If we look at 2019-2022, that’s a 27% CAGR, much more in line with the growth rates in the out years of the model. The model is simply predicting that 2021 and 2022 are baked into today’s price.\nBut then you see that the model really picks up steam on the out-years, as Apple’s free cash flow, growing at a 15% 5-year CAGR in Medium, catches up with the price. All together, that’s a 13.8% CAGR over the four and a third years of the model, with a terminal value of $222.\nOf course Large is larger, with an enhanced iPhone cycle from 5G adoption and a little extra boost from the AR glasses at the end of fiscal 2025.\n\nTo be clear, I view this scenario as plausible, but not that likely, somewhere around the 25th percentile. In this scenario, 2022 does not show the flat or negative growth rates in 2022 like the others, and this is due to the 5G adoption part of our assumptions. That’s a 20.2% CAGR, and a terminal value of $283.\n\nThis model starts off very slowly, with only an 11% 2019-2022 CAGR compared to 27% for Medium, and down in 2022. But even the Small scenario picks up steam beginning in 2023. That’s an 18% CAGR from 2023-2025. But over the life of the model it is less than half that, 7.9%, a $184 terminal value.\n\nTiny is the same as Small until the events kick in beginning fiscal 2024. 2024 price growth comes way off Small, and takes a dive in 2025. Keep in mind, we are talking about the fair value a year after the event, so the price would likely go down much further first. Anyway, this one winds up roughly at the June 11 close over four years later.\nSo there it is: the thing I’ve been telling you for a while now, except with some modeling and pretty charts:\n\nExcept in our best case, Apple is likely to trade sideways for a while as cash flows catch up with the share price.\nBut absent some very bad events out of Apple’s control, the long term view is still very, very bright, even if they slow down.\n\nSeven thousand words summed up in two bullets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185235586,"gmtCreate":1623651630145,"gmtModify":1634030616102,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long term maybe","listText":"Long term maybe","text":"Long term maybe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185235586","repostId":"2143851017","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143851017","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623650661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2143851017?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 14:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Pinterest Stock a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143851017","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The social network will likely keep growing after the pandemic ends.","content":"<p><b>Pinterest</b>'s (NYSE:PINS) stock soared more than 250% in 2020 as it gained over a hundred million new users throughout the pandemic. Its virtual pinboards -- which allow users to share their hobbies, interests, and shopping ideas -- attracted a lot of eyeballs as more people stayed at home. Retailers also uploaded more of their products to Pinterest as shoppable pins.</p>\n<p>That growth showcased Pinterest's potential as a visual search engine and a social shopping platform, and differentiated it from other social networks like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a></b> (NASDAQ:FB) and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a></b> (NYSE:TWTR). Pinterest's focus on hobbies and ideas also insulated it from the controversies regarding fake news and hate speech that plagued Facebook and Twitter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/923c065787dcb510bd67195fca5d4aaf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Pinterest.</span></p>\n<p>Yet Pinterest's stock has stayed nearly flat this year. It got off to a strong start and hit an all-time high of nearly $90 in February, but tumbled to the mid-$50s in May before rebounding to the high-$60s. That decline was largely attributed to the rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a preference for reopening plays over pandemic stocks. That trend could continue throughout the rest of the year, but should long-term investors buy Pinterest anyway?</p>\n<h2>Pinterest is still growing like a weed...</h2>\n<p>Pinterest's monthly active users (MAUs) increased 37% to 459 million at the end of 2020. That growth continued in the first quarter of 2021, as its MAUs rose another 30% year-over-year to 478 million. Its average revenue per user (ARPU) and total revenue also continued climbing at high double-digit rates.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"599\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <th width=\"190\"><p>Growth (YOY)</p></th>\n   <th width=\"114\"><p>FY 2019</p></th>\n   <th width=\"127\"><p>FY 2020</p></th>\n   <th width=\"110\"><p>Q1 2021</p></th>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p>MAUs (US)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p>8%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p>11%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p>9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p>MAUs (International)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p>35%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p>46%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p>37%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p><b>MAUs (Total)</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p><b>26%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p><b>37%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p><b>30%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p>ARPU (US)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p>24%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p>27%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p>50%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p>ARPU (International)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p>115%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p>62%</p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p>91%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p><b>ARPU (Total)</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p><b>21%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p><b>12%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p><b>34%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"190\"><p><b>Revenue</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"114\"><p><b>51%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"127\"><p><b>48%</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"110\"><p><b>78%</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Pinterest. YOY = Year-over-year.</p>\n<h2>But it could hit a few speed bumps soon</h2>\n<p>However, Pinterest's 78% revenue growth in the first quarter reflects its easy year-over-year comparison to the pandemic's initial impact on its advertising business a year ago. That's also why its expectations for 105% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter aren't all that impressive.</p>\n<p>For the full year, analysts expect Pinterest's revenue to rise 53% to $2.6 billion, which would still represent accelerating growth from 2020, and increase another 33% next year. That outlook is promising, but Pinterest's latest quarterly report had a few notable flaws.</p>\n<p>First, Pinterest's MAU growth in the first quarter of 2021 actually marked its slowest year-over-year growth in four quarters. Second, its MAU growth in the U.S. has stalled out sequentially at 98 million for <i>three straight quarters</i>.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Pinterest is relying more heavily on its international users, who accounted for 79% of its total MAUs last quarter, to drive its growth. But its international users generate lower ARPU than its domestic users, and they only contributed 20% of its revenue during the quarter.</p>\n<p>Pinterest expects its U.S. MAUs to remain flat year-over-year and decline sequentially to about 96 million in the second quarter. It expects its total MAUs to only grow by the \"mid-teens\" -- which implies its growth in international MAUs will also cool off.</p>\n<h2>Looking beyond the pandemic</h2>\n<p>The bulls will attribute most of that slowdown to tough post-pandemic comparisons, and claim Pinterest's growth will stabilize over the long term.</p>\n<p>After all, retailers like <b>IKEA</b> have already uploaded their entire print catalogs to Pinterest as shoppable pins, and its pinboards have carved out a high-growth niche in the crowded social networking market. It also easily deflected competition from challengers like Hobbi, Facebook's short-lived Pinterest clone.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, many other social networking companies, including Facebook and Twitter, also serve more overseas users but generate most of their revenue domestically. Pinterest plans to boost its overseas ARPU as it expands into new markets in Latin America and Asia, and that growth could gradually reduce its dependence on the saturated domestic market.</p>\n<p>A sequential slowdown in users also doesn't indicate Pinterest is doomed. <b>Snap</b>'s (NYSE:SNAP) Snapchat faced a similar slowdown throughout 2018 after Facebook's Instagram cloned many of its features, but it overcame those challenges the following year and started growing again.</p>\n<p>Pinterest's profitability also continues to improve, in GAAP, non-GAAP, and adjusted EBITDA terms.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"612\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <th width=\"150\"><p>Metric</p></th>\n   <th width=\"130\"><p>FY 2019</p></th>\n   <th width=\"130\"><p>FY 2020</p></th>\n   <th width=\"144\"><p>Q1 2021</p></th>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"150\"><p><b>GAAP Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>($1.36 billion)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>($128.3 million)</p></td>\n   <td width=\"144\"><p>($21.7 million)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"150\"><p><b>Non-GAAP Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>$17.9 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>$283.2 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"144\"><p>$78.5 million</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n   <td width=\"150\"><p><b>Adjusted EBITDA</b></p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>$16.7 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"130\"><p>$305.0 million</p></td>\n   <td width=\"144\"><p>$83.8 million</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Data source: Pinterest.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Pinterest's adjusted earnings to rise 117% this year, then grow another 44% next year. Based on those estimates, the stock still looks reasonably valued at just over 50 times forward earnings.</p>\n<h2>Don't listen to the bears</h2>\n<p>The bears will claim Pinterest is a fad, and that its growth will permanently decelerate after the pandemic ends. But I don't agree with that gloomy outlook.</p>\n<p>Pinterest is already bigger than Snapchat -- and also likely larger than Twitter, which no longer discloses its MAUs -- and it doesn't face any meaningful competitors. Pinterest might face some growing pains, but its stock remains undervalued relative to its growth potential in the visual search and social shopping markets.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Pinterest Stock a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Pinterest Stock a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 14:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/is-pinterest-stock-a-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Pinterest's (NYSE:PINS) stock soared more than 250% in 2020 as it gained over a hundred million new users throughout the pandemic. Its virtual pinboards -- which allow users to share their hobbies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/is-pinterest-stock-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/is-pinterest-stock-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143851017","content_text":"Pinterest's (NYSE:PINS) stock soared more than 250% in 2020 as it gained over a hundred million new users throughout the pandemic. Its virtual pinboards -- which allow users to share their hobbies, interests, and shopping ideas -- attracted a lot of eyeballs as more people stayed at home. Retailers also uploaded more of their products to Pinterest as shoppable pins.\nThat growth showcased Pinterest's potential as a visual search engine and a social shopping platform, and differentiated it from other social networks like Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Twitter (NYSE:TWTR). Pinterest's focus on hobbies and ideas also insulated it from the controversies regarding fake news and hate speech that plagued Facebook and Twitter.\nImage source: Pinterest.\nYet Pinterest's stock has stayed nearly flat this year. It got off to a strong start and hit an all-time high of nearly $90 in February, but tumbled to the mid-$50s in May before rebounding to the high-$60s. That decline was largely attributed to the rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a preference for reopening plays over pandemic stocks. That trend could continue throughout the rest of the year, but should long-term investors buy Pinterest anyway?\nPinterest is still growing like a weed...\nPinterest's monthly active users (MAUs) increased 37% to 459 million at the end of 2020. That growth continued in the first quarter of 2021, as its MAUs rose another 30% year-over-year to 478 million. Its average revenue per user (ARPU) and total revenue also continued climbing at high double-digit rates.\n\n\n\n\nGrowth (YOY)\nFY 2019\nFY 2020\nQ1 2021\n\n\nMAUs (US)\n8%\n11%\n9%\n\n\nMAUs (International)\n35%\n46%\n37%\n\n\nMAUs (Total)\n26%\n37%\n30%\n\n\nARPU (US)\n24%\n27%\n50%\n\n\nARPU (International)\n115%\n62%\n91%\n\n\nARPU (Total)\n21%\n12%\n34%\n\n\nRevenue\n51%\n48%\n78%\n\n\n\nData source: Pinterest. YOY = Year-over-year.\nBut it could hit a few speed bumps soon\nHowever, Pinterest's 78% revenue growth in the first quarter reflects its easy year-over-year comparison to the pandemic's initial impact on its advertising business a year ago. That's also why its expectations for 105% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter aren't all that impressive.\nFor the full year, analysts expect Pinterest's revenue to rise 53% to $2.6 billion, which would still represent accelerating growth from 2020, and increase another 33% next year. That outlook is promising, but Pinterest's latest quarterly report had a few notable flaws.\nFirst, Pinterest's MAU growth in the first quarter of 2021 actually marked its slowest year-over-year growth in four quarters. Second, its MAU growth in the U.S. has stalled out sequentially at 98 million for three straight quarters.\nTherefore, Pinterest is relying more heavily on its international users, who accounted for 79% of its total MAUs last quarter, to drive its growth. But its international users generate lower ARPU than its domestic users, and they only contributed 20% of its revenue during the quarter.\nPinterest expects its U.S. MAUs to remain flat year-over-year and decline sequentially to about 96 million in the second quarter. It expects its total MAUs to only grow by the \"mid-teens\" -- which implies its growth in international MAUs will also cool off.\nLooking beyond the pandemic\nThe bulls will attribute most of that slowdown to tough post-pandemic comparisons, and claim Pinterest's growth will stabilize over the long term.\nAfter all, retailers like IKEA have already uploaded their entire print catalogs to Pinterest as shoppable pins, and its pinboards have carved out a high-growth niche in the crowded social networking market. It also easily deflected competition from challengers like Hobbi, Facebook's short-lived Pinterest clone.\nFurthermore, many other social networking companies, including Facebook and Twitter, also serve more overseas users but generate most of their revenue domestically. Pinterest plans to boost its overseas ARPU as it expands into new markets in Latin America and Asia, and that growth could gradually reduce its dependence on the saturated domestic market.\nA sequential slowdown in users also doesn't indicate Pinterest is doomed. Snap's (NYSE:SNAP) Snapchat faced a similar slowdown throughout 2018 after Facebook's Instagram cloned many of its features, but it overcame those challenges the following year and started growing again.\nPinterest's profitability also continues to improve, in GAAP, non-GAAP, and adjusted EBITDA terms.\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nFY 2019\nFY 2020\nQ1 2021\n\n\nGAAP Net Income (Loss)\n($1.36 billion)\n($128.3 million)\n($21.7 million)\n\n\nNon-GAAP Net Income (Loss)\n$17.9 million\n$283.2 million\n$78.5 million\n\n\nAdjusted EBITDA\n$16.7 million\n$305.0 million\n$83.8 million\n\n\n\nData source: Pinterest.\nAnalysts expect Pinterest's adjusted earnings to rise 117% this year, then grow another 44% next year. Based on those estimates, the stock still looks reasonably valued at just over 50 times forward earnings.\nDon't listen to the bears\nThe bears will claim Pinterest is a fad, and that its growth will permanently decelerate after the pandemic ends. But I don't agree with that gloomy outlook.\nPinterest is already bigger than Snapchat -- and also likely larger than Twitter, which no longer discloses its MAUs -- and it doesn't face any meaningful competitors. Pinterest might face some growing pains, but its stock remains undervalued relative to its growth potential in the visual search and social shopping markets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118762316,"gmtCreate":1622762756235,"gmtModify":1631885077452,"author":{"id":"3574490842783599","authorId":"3574490842783599","name":"Momosoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf9b47c0a3f9258aedd31abbb050705","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574490842783599","authorIdStr":"3574490842783599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>Earnings","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>Earnings","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$Earnings","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e42a0379633901065fdd8798d6ae74c5","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118762316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}