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Fern29
2021-06-23
Tsla is more than just an EV focused industry. Even if NIO beats Tsla in the EV aspect, as a whole, Tsla stocks will still outperform most other stocks in the long run. I have both stocks and I support companies :)
Why I Believe NIO Will Beat Out Tesla
Fern29
2021-10-14
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Sighh
Fern29
2021-06-16
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
will diamond hand this for the next 1 year!💪
Fern29
2021-06-24
Yeah this is for a long term hold for about 3-5 years period :)
Tesla: A Lesson In Humility
Fern29
2021-07-15
Yay
S&P 500 ends higher after Powell lulls market
Fern29
2021-08-01
Ark!
Cathie Wood Is Just a Start as Stock Pickers Storm the ETF World
Fern29
2021-06-23
Yay! Huat ah!!!
Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus
Fern29
2021-06-22
Yeah!!!
The Fed Has Spoken: Stocks To Buy Now
Fern29
2021-10-04
Waiting for a sell off to buy in
Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading
Fern29
2021-08-05
Invest for long terms
Tesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough
Fern29
2021-07-07
Potential hold!
抱歉,原内容已删除
Fern29
2021-07-05
Good news for EV Shares holders
Bank of America: Billions are about to pour into EV infrastructure — and these stocks will benefit
Fern29
2021-06-17
2 more years to go. Add more to your position while some stocks are on sale. Pls like and comment.
Wall Street closes lower as Fed officials project rate hikes for 2023
Fern29
2021-07-14
Nice
These options plays can take advantage of earnings season volatility, Goldman says
Fern29
2021-06-24
Hoping for Amazon to dip down to 3100 to enter!
Is Amazon Stock A Better Buy Than Apple Through 2025?
Fern29
2021-06-23
Fud news again
Can You Still Count on GameStop Stock?
Fern29
2021-06-18
$SOS Limited(SOS)$
going to be stonking this stock!!!!
Fern29
2021-06-15
Can't wait for the year to come!!!
抱歉,原内容已删除
Fern29
2021-10-11
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$
finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)
Fern29
2021-08-02
Great article!
When Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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great reviews ","listText":"Really great reviews ","text":"Really great reviews","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873995179","repostId":"840765112","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":840765112,"gmtCreate":1635690618732,"gmtModify":1635691807046,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667591235607","authorIdStr":"3527667591235607"},"themes":[],"title":"干货!复盘TFAAMG超级科技股的财报季操作!","htmlText":"TFAAMG财报都发了,最强的无疑是宇宙神车,中年微软稳如老大哥,负面缠身的FB换名托底,今天小+来整体复盘一下财报和一些操作思路。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 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复盘特斯拉的操作,我在900和1000通过备兑行权分别卖出的特斯拉的正股。如果仅看财报,比较符合我的预期,前期积累的涨幅比较大,当天表现并没有特别跳跃。但财报两天后,赫兹的订单是完全出乎预料,这个拉伸走出超级的short squeeze。因为特斯拉在财报前期涨很多,盘面上聚集了大量的空头,包括通过期权和正股做空的。卖出特斯拉没有后悔,没有办法对突然起来的利好预判,我已经开始继续卖put,等待继续接回来的机会。其实对于风险偏好高的朋友,特斯拉这种做单向买call或者买put是可以赚大钱的。但是个人属于风险偏好中性,不愿追涨杀跌的典型,所以我更愿意等待价格回归再买入,那么卖put就是最好的等待接盘方式。我觉得特斯拉从10月初750左右价格连涨近50%,各种指标都在超买区域有足够需要回调的空间,所以我愿意等待。目前选择卖11月19日780/750的put去等待接盘,因为黄金分割线0.618的位置大概在760多。由于连涨,通过期权做空或做保护","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f52b4e657cd48e8efa515ccee6db1d3e","width":"830","height":"604"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca1db6c9b9b1761f1cc1f1708a57e335","width":"830","height":"318"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb5e7a5788bee29f7249de462502c00f","width":"830","height":"600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840765112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848025859,"gmtCreate":1635949155109,"gmtModify":1635949155275,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848025859","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848069337,"gmtCreate":1635948477627,"gmtModify":1635948535590,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>when will this recover...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>when will this recover...","text":"$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$when will this recover...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ade073a49fe63fbfd2ec837e320374a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848069337","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843711731,"gmtCreate":1635858380333,"gmtModify":1635858380394,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843711731","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849771420,"gmtCreate":1635779744109,"gmtModify":1635779744168,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come n play!","listText":"Come n play!","text":"Come n play!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849771420","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849183076,"gmtCreate":1635734790019,"gmtModify":1635734799895,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849183076","repostId":"840765112","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":840765112,"gmtCreate":1635690618732,"gmtModify":1635691807046,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667591235607","authorIdStr":"3527667591235607"},"themes":[],"title":"干货!复盘TFAAMG超级科技股的财报季操作!","htmlText":"TFAAMG财报都发了,最强的无疑是宇宙神车,中年微软稳如老大哥,负面缠身的FB换名托底,今天小+来整体复盘一下财报和一些操作思路。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 财报好到要用拿着放大镜才能找到一点点隐忧。在全球芯片荒的背景下,特斯拉第三季度没有受到任何影响,是一点都没有,这就已经大大超了预期,体现了特斯拉超强的上下游一体化的供应链整合能力,说白了,就统统掌控在自己手中。特斯拉的盈利能力也不断增强,财务状态处于史上最好的时期。业绩是基础,真正让特斯拉跻身万亿美元俱乐部的驱动因子是赫兹那张10万辆Model3的订单,这相当于锁定特斯拉10%的年产能,订单总价高达42亿美元,写下特斯拉史上最大一笔订单,刺激特斯拉股价当天大涨12%一举破万亿。 复盘特斯拉的操作,我在900和1000通过备兑行权分别卖出的特斯拉的正股。如果仅看财报,比较符合我的预期,前期积累的涨幅比较大,当天表现并没有特别跳跃。但财报两天后,赫兹的订单是完全出乎预料,这个拉伸走出超级的short squeeze。因为特斯拉在财报前期涨很多,盘面上聚集了大量的空头,包括通过期权和正股做空的。卖出特斯拉没有后悔,没有办法对突然起来的利好预判,我已经开始继续卖put,等待继续接回来的机会。其实对于风险偏好高的朋友,特斯拉这种做单向买call或者买put是可以赚大钱的。但是个人属于风险偏好中性,不愿追涨杀跌的典型,所以我更愿意等待价格回归再买入,那么卖put就是最好的等待接盘方式。我觉得特斯拉从10月初750左右价格连涨近50%,各种指标都在超买区域有足够需要回调的空间,所以我愿意等待。目前选择卖11月19日780/750的put去等待接盘,因为黄金分割线0.618的位置大概在760多。由于连涨,通过期权做空或做保护","listText":"TFAAMG财报都发了,最强的无疑是宇宙神车,中年微软稳如老大哥,负面缠身的FB换名托底,今天小+来整体复盘一下财报和一些操作思路。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 财报好到要用拿着放大镜才能找到一点点隐忧。在全球芯片荒的背景下,特斯拉第三季度没有受到任何影响,是一点都没有,这就已经大大超了预期,体现了特斯拉超强的上下游一体化的供应链整合能力,说白了,就统统掌控在自己手中。特斯拉的盈利能力也不断增强,财务状态处于史上最好的时期。业绩是基础,真正让特斯拉跻身万亿美元俱乐部的驱动因子是赫兹那张10万辆Model3的订单,这相当于锁定特斯拉10%的年产能,订单总价高达42亿美元,写下特斯拉史上最大一笔订单,刺激特斯拉股价当天大涨12%一举破万亿。 复盘特斯拉的操作,我在900和1000通过备兑行权分别卖出的特斯拉的正股。如果仅看财报,比较符合我的预期,前期积累的涨幅比较大,当天表现并没有特别跳跃。但财报两天后,赫兹的订单是完全出乎预料,这个拉伸走出超级的short squeeze。因为特斯拉在财报前期涨很多,盘面上聚集了大量的空头,包括通过期权和正股做空的。卖出特斯拉没有后悔,没有办法对突然起来的利好预判,我已经开始继续卖put,等待继续接回来的机会。其实对于风险偏好高的朋友,特斯拉这种做单向买call或者买put是可以赚大钱的。但是个人属于风险偏好中性,不愿追涨杀跌的典型,所以我更愿意等待价格回归再买入,那么卖put就是最好的等待接盘方式。我觉得特斯拉从10月初750左右价格连涨近50%,各种指标都在超买区域有足够需要回调的空间,所以我愿意等待。目前选择卖11月19日780/750的put去等待接盘,因为黄金分割线0.618的位置大概在760多。由于连涨,通过期权做空或做保护","text":"TFAAMG财报都发了,最强的无疑是宇宙神车,中年微软稳如老大哥,负面缠身的FB换名托底,今天小+来整体复盘一下财报和一些操作思路。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 财报好到要用拿着放大镜才能找到一点点隐忧。在全球芯片荒的背景下,特斯拉第三季度没有受到任何影响,是一点都没有,这就已经大大超了预期,体现了特斯拉超强的上下游一体化的供应链整合能力,说白了,就统统掌控在自己手中。特斯拉的盈利能力也不断增强,财务状态处于史上最好的时期。业绩是基础,真正让特斯拉跻身万亿美元俱乐部的驱动因子是赫兹那张10万辆Model3的订单,这相当于锁定特斯拉10%的年产能,订单总价高达42亿美元,写下特斯拉史上最大一笔订单,刺激特斯拉股价当天大涨12%一举破万亿。 复盘特斯拉的操作,我在900和1000通过备兑行权分别卖出的特斯拉的正股。如果仅看财报,比较符合我的预期,前期积累的涨幅比较大,当天表现并没有特别跳跃。但财报两天后,赫兹的订单是完全出乎预料,这个拉伸走出超级的short squeeze。因为特斯拉在财报前期涨很多,盘面上聚集了大量的空头,包括通过期权和正股做空的。卖出特斯拉没有后悔,没有办法对突然起来的利好预判,我已经开始继续卖put,等待继续接回来的机会。其实对于风险偏好高的朋友,特斯拉这种做单向买call或者买put是可以赚大钱的。但是个人属于风险偏好中性,不愿追涨杀跌的典型,所以我更愿意等待价格回归再买入,那么卖put就是最好的等待接盘方式。我觉得特斯拉从10月初750左右价格连涨近50%,各种指标都在超买区域有足够需要回调的空间,所以我愿意等待。目前选择卖11月19日780/750的put去等待接盘,因为黄金分割线0.618的位置大概在760多。由于连涨,通过期权做空或做保护","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f52b4e657cd48e8efa515ccee6db1d3e","width":"830","height":"604"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca1db6c9b9b1761f1cc1f1708a57e335","width":"830","height":"318"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb5e7a5788bee29f7249de462502c00f","width":"830","height":"600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840765112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840539224,"gmtCreate":1635656912071,"gmtModify":1635656912071,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is a great initiative by Tiger Broker","listText":"This is a great initiative by Tiger Broker","text":"This is a great initiative by Tiger Broker","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840539224","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840997443,"gmtCreate":1635573326459,"gmtModify":1635573326555,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840997443","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825891342,"gmtCreate":1634214966099,"gmtModify":1634215162667,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Sighh ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Sighh ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Sighh","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82915e588c1841631f07b3b16d5f3751","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825891342","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828492081,"gmtCreate":1633932600664,"gmtModify":1633932600748,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2302b8958a8d99f39e25497a83b756d6","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828492081","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820936800,"gmtCreate":1633337810718,"gmtModify":1633337810847,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in ","listText":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in ","text":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820936800","repostId":"1137835462","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889766527,"gmtCreate":1631180080769,"gmtModify":1631891896235,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SUBZ\">$Roundhill Streaming Services & Technology ETF(SUBZ)$</a>just wondering if this is a OTC stock? I don't wish to close this position though ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SUBZ\">$Roundhill Streaming Services & Technology ETF(SUBZ)$</a>just wondering if this is a OTC stock? I don't wish to close this position though ","text":"$Roundhill Streaming Services & Technology ETF(SUBZ)$just wondering if this is a OTC stock? I don't wish to close this position though","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93b79cad82bc6549893c13ddb4c81452","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889766527","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834102702,"gmtCreate":1629776805706,"gmtModify":1631891896247,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TIGER HUAT AH! Hope it can make a comeback to ATH <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"TIGER HUAT AH! Hope it can make a comeback to ATH <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>","text":"TIGER HUAT AH! Hope it can make a comeback to ATH $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834102702","repostId":"836110240","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":836110240,"gmtCreate":1629463993576,"gmtModify":1631899242361,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【有奖活动】画老虎,赢大奖","htmlText":"最近行情不好,小虎君也跟大家一起玩点开心的,之前我们举办过画川普大赛,不知道你的成绩如何,有没有获奖?今年来了很多才多艺的虎友们,我们也期待看到你的大作,这回的活动主题是画老虎,希望大家多多参与。 【活动规则如下】 在留言区,发表你的作品!同时转发本贴! 画什么?怎么画,都由你来决定,看你的创意! 需原创,不可以从网上盗图哦~ 活动持续到8月25日(下周三) 【活动奖品】 凡是在评论区发表画老虎作品,均可获得66虎币,还有机会获得以下奖品 一等奖:萌虎玩偶1对二等奖:666虎币 【评奖及发放规则】 客观评分(50%):根据回复的点赞数 主观评分(50%):根据作品质量进行评审打分 好了,来欣赏一下运营同学的作品吧最后欢迎大家参与活动,带来精彩的作品。【笔芯】<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"最近行情不好,小虎君也跟大家一起玩点开心的,之前我们举办过画川普大赛,不知道你的成绩如何,有没有获奖?今年来了很多才多艺的虎友们,我们也期待看到你的大作,这回的活动主题是画老虎,希望大家多多参与。 【活动规则如下】 在留言区,发表你的作品!同时转发本贴! 画什么?怎么画,都由你来决定,看你的创意! 需原创,不可以从网上盗图哦~ 活动持续到8月25日(下周三) 【活动奖品】 凡是在评论区发表画老虎作品,均可获得66虎币,还有机会获得以下奖品 一等奖:萌虎玩偶1对二等奖:666虎币 【评奖及发放规则】 客观评分(50%):根据回复的点赞数 主观评分(50%):根据作品质量进行评审打分 好了,来欣赏一下运营同学的作品吧最后欢迎大家参与活动,带来精彩的作品。【笔芯】<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"最近行情不好,小虎君也跟大家一起玩点开心的,之前我们举办过画川普大赛,不知道你的成绩如何,有没有获奖?今年来了很多才多艺的虎友们,我们也期待看到你的大作,这回的活动主题是画老虎,希望大家多多参与。 【活动规则如下】 在留言区,发表你的作品!同时转发本贴! 画什么?怎么画,都由你来决定,看你的创意! 需原创,不可以从网上盗图哦~ 活动持续到8月25日(下周三) 【活动奖品】 凡是在评论区发表画老虎作品,均可获得66虎币,还有机会获得以下奖品 一等奖:萌虎玩偶1对二等奖:666虎币 【评奖及发放规则】 客观评分(50%):根据回复的点赞数 主观评分(50%):根据作品质量进行评审打分 好了,来欣赏一下运营同学的作品吧最后欢迎大家参与活动,带来精彩的作品。【笔芯】$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94bdc3934811391617e0ba4a2b07782","width":"1548","height":"806"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7b19a9988d1100a3a77a583d69fa5d5","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ce7b3662ee5677c99984d7c24ec3679","width":"863","height":"624"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836110240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831865875,"gmtCreate":1629301185697,"gmtModify":1631891896247,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831865875","repostId":"1130907862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130907862","pubTimestamp":1629263879,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130907862?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: The Next 'Never Sell' Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130907862","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NVIDIA reports earnings on Wednesday this week as the stock is hovering around all-time highs.While the future certainly looks bright for the company, shares may be priced for perfection.That said, if any stock deserves a high multiple right now, it's NVIDIA!NVIDIA Corp. reports earnings this week and the shares appear to be priced for perfection.NVIDIA certainly falls into that category. If any company deserves a high multiple today, it's certainly NVIDIA. The company has its hands in three ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NVIDIA reports earnings on Wednesday this week (8/18) as the stock is hovering around all-time highs.</li>\n <li>While the future certainly looks bright for the company, shares may be priced for perfection.</li>\n <li>That said, if any stock deserves a high multiple right now, it's NVIDIA!</li>\n <li>Is this the next \"never sell\" stock?</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38542d6cdbd9dec8054c33389caf105c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Daniel Chetroni/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) reports earnings this week and the shares appear to be priced for perfection.</p>\n<p>That said...there are certain stocks that you just don't sell!</p>\n<p>NVIDIA certainly falls into that category. If any company deserves a high multiple today, it's certainly NVIDIA. The company has its hands (and chips) in three of the biggest growth segments in technology: Gaming, cryptocurrency, and 5G (not to mention its importance in auto/self-driving!).</p>\n<p>In fact, it's a stock that you should probably ADD to your position on any meaningful pullback.</p>\n<p>Which makes it a great stock for a cash-secured put strategy. Get paid to set a downside limit order on a stock that you want to buy (or add to) on any dips!</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>As we head into earnings this week, let's take a look at valuation.</p>\n<p>High-growth technology companies are always tough to value as they tend to trade at really high (current) multiples based on future growth projections.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488bcf7cabe5578f2e798e2b21b60dc0\" tg-width=\"565\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Yes, 45.8x forward earnings is a healthy multiple, but if any company deserves a high multiple today, it's certainly NVIDIA (given the importance of its chips in the major growth areas in technology).</p>\n<p>NVIDIA's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty!</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/961a45a675c7ac09b08b5b755c2d096c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Although some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $3.95 per share in fiscal 2022 (129% increase over 2021). However, NVDA expects earnings to grow even further in 2023 and 2024 to $4.36 per share (10% growth) and $5.04 per share (16% growth), respectively.<i>Note that NVDA's fiscal year-end is January.</i></p>\n<p>The company's balance sheet also is extremely strong with $12.7 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing a great return on invested capital of 23.6%.</p>\n<p><b>The \"N\" in FAANG?</b></p>\n<p>One could argue that NVIDIA should actually replace Netflix (NFLX) as the \"N\" in FAANG.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA is currently the 9th largest weighting in the S&P 500 (SPY).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9991ce7ada74056e0662b198cf339154\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"267\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p>\n<p>And the 8th largest weighting in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f835b261cdbc64458bb82196e5134f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Could NVIDIA also be the next addition to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (replacing International Business Machines (IBM) at some point)??</p>\n<p>All the more reason to not sell any time soon...</p>\n<p><b>Buy The Dip! (Through Cash-Secured Puts)</b></p>\n<p>Cash-secured puts are a great way to add to your long-term position on a stock that you like.</p>\n<p>From a short-term perspective (especially as it's related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).</p>\n<p>As shown in the table below, our strike zone for NVIDIA currently is $149.00-$173.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 13.0%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e38091bf0ca8f52b16334659004eef4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Option income Advisor)</span></p>\n<p>NVIDIA has historically been a volatile stock (42% Implied Volatility), as highlighted by its low Volatility/Risk rating of 4. However, the stock is in a very strong uptrend (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 also has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 13.0%).</p>\n<p>NVDA also reports earnings this week, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.</p>\n<p>As shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have a few good levels of support to watch:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>50-day MA (~$193.00)</li>\n <li>Low from July 2021 (~$181.50)</li>\n <li>Breakout level from May 2021 (~$161.00)</li>\n <li>200-day MA (~$152.50)</li>\n</ol>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28eb9670c7016d91d063e8e7809de17d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>There appears to be some decent technical support in our strike zone of $149.00-$173.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put around the strike zone if we can.</p>\n<p><b>Cash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)</b></p>\n<p>We primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfdd16ba25690201bcb1771ec8a557b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Ideally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.</p>\n<p>The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Premium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.</i></li>\n <li>Margin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li>\n <li>Delta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><i>Note that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p>\n<p><i>An investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p>\n<p>Now let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for NVIDIA. We're focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 9/17/21.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f301b2bff52960855c087e8208548dbf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Option Income Advisor)</span></p>\n<p>We have highlighted three levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-) and Conservative (-C-).<i>Please listen to the video above for further details.</i></p>\n<p>Ideally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Average Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%</li>\n <li>Strike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)</li>\n <li>Delta < 30</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 put option @ ~$1.81 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 12.3%, and a Delta of 13.</p>\n<p><i>Again, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($185.00 strike) or more conservative ($170.00 strike) than the base trade.</i></p>\n<p><b>Downside Considerations</b></p>\n<p>Assuming we sold the NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 strike put option @ $1.81, we would collect $181.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of NVDA stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $175.00.</p>\n<p>If the stock stays above $175.00 between now and expiration (9/17/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.81.</p>\n<p>However,<i>the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $175.00 on expiration (9/17/21). Since we're obligated to buy the stock at $175.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration)</i>. We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $173.19 ($175.00 - $1.81).</p>\n<p>All that said, I think it's a win-win at this point if you can add to your NVDA position with a cost basis of $173.19.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Based on our long-term and short-term views on NVIDIA, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested adding to their position (or starting a new position). The NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.0% over the next 31 days) with a margin-of-safety of 12.3%.</p>\n<p>Assuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could manufacture 12%-plus annualized income from NVIDIA over the next 12 months (while you patiently wait to add to your position).</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: The Next 'Never Sell' Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: The Next 'Never Sell' Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 13:17 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450207-nvidia-the-next-never-sell-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNVIDIA reports earnings on Wednesday this week (8/18) as the stock is hovering around all-time highs.\nWhile the future certainly looks bright for the company, shares may be priced for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450207-nvidia-the-next-never-sell-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450207-nvidia-the-next-never-sell-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130907862","content_text":"Summary\n\nNVIDIA reports earnings on Wednesday this week (8/18) as the stock is hovering around all-time highs.\nWhile the future certainly looks bright for the company, shares may be priced for perfection.\nThat said, if any stock deserves a high multiple right now, it's NVIDIA!\nIs this the next \"never sell\" stock?\n\nDaniel Chetroni/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nNVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) reports earnings this week and the shares appear to be priced for perfection.\nThat said...there are certain stocks that you just don't sell!\nNVIDIA certainly falls into that category. If any company deserves a high multiple today, it's certainly NVIDIA. The company has its hands (and chips) in three of the biggest growth segments in technology: Gaming, cryptocurrency, and 5G (not to mention its importance in auto/self-driving!).\nIn fact, it's a stock that you should probably ADD to your position on any meaningful pullback.\nWhich makes it a great stock for a cash-secured put strategy. Get paid to set a downside limit order on a stock that you want to buy (or add to) on any dips!\nValuation\nAs we head into earnings this week, let's take a look at valuation.\nHigh-growth technology companies are always tough to value as they tend to trade at really high (current) multiples based on future growth projections.\n\nYes, 45.8x forward earnings is a healthy multiple, but if any company deserves a high multiple today, it's certainly NVIDIA (given the importance of its chips in the major growth areas in technology).\nNVIDIA's historical sales and EPS growth charts have always been a thing of beauty!\n\nAlthough some sales were certainly pulled forward during the pandemic, the company is expected to earn $3.95 per share in fiscal 2022 (129% increase over 2021). However, NVDA expects earnings to grow even further in 2023 and 2024 to $4.36 per share (10% growth) and $5.04 per share (16% growth), respectively.Note that NVDA's fiscal year-end is January.\nThe company's balance sheet also is extremely strong with $12.7 billion of cash/short-term investments and management is producing a great return on invested capital of 23.6%.\nThe \"N\" in FAANG?\nOne could argue that NVIDIA should actually replace Netflix (NFLX) as the \"N\" in FAANG.\nNVIDIA is currently the 9th largest weighting in the S&P 500 (SPY).\nSource: YCharts\nAnd the 8th largest weighting in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ).\nSource: YCharts\nCould NVIDIA also be the next addition to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (replacing International Business Machines (IBM) at some point)??\nAll the more reason to not sell any time soon...\nBuy The Dip! (Through Cash-Secured Puts)\nCash-secured puts are a great way to add to your long-term position on a stock that you like.\nFrom a short-term perspective (especially as it's related to selling cash-secured puts), estimating a good \"strike zone\" is key to our analysis. Our strike zone takes into account (1) the stock's volatility, (2) recent performance (i.e., how much has it already pulled back from its recent highs), (3) near-term EPS risk, and (4) the overall volatility of the market (i.e., VIX level).\nAs shown in the table below, our strike zone for NVIDIA currently is $149.00-$173.00, representing a required minimum margin of safety of 13.0%.\n(Source: Option income Advisor)\nNVIDIA has historically been a volatile stock (42% Implied Volatility), as highlighted by its low Volatility/Risk rating of 4. However, the stock is in a very strong uptrend (so its Pullback Indicator of 2 also has a negative effect on minimum required margin of safety, which is currently at 13.0%).\nNVDA also reports earnings this week, so that will need to be on our radar for the option analysis.\nAs shown in the chart below, the stock is still in a very strong uptrend with its 50-day moving average (blue line) trading above its 200-day moving average (red line). We now have a few good levels of support to watch:\n\n50-day MA (~$193.00)\nLow from July 2021 (~$181.50)\nBreakout level from May 2021 (~$161.00)\n200-day MA (~$152.50)\n\n\nThere appears to be some decent technical support in our strike zone of $149.00-$173.00, which obviously makes us feel relatively good about selling a cash-secured put around the strike zone if we can.\nCash-Secured Put Analysis (Premium Yield, Margin-of-Safety, Delta)\nWe primarily trade an income strategy that we call the Triple Income Wheel, which starts with writing cash-secured puts on high-quality stocks that you would like to own at a lower price. We won't go into full detail here, but the diagram below is a good summary of the strategy.\n\nIdeally, when we sell a cash-secured put and start the Triple Income Wheel process, our put is in our \"Strike Zone\" for that stock. In our opinion, that puts the odds of long-term success in our favor.\nThe three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:\n\nPremium Yield% (or Average Monthly Yield%): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.\nMargin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.\nDelta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.\n\nNote that there is always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.\nAn investor should always be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. The Triple Income Wheel can be adapted to suit your needs.\nNow let's look at the cash-secured put analysis for NVIDIA. We're focused on the August monthly contract that expires on 9/17/21.\n(Source: Option Income Advisor)\nWe have highlighted three levels of trades based on various risk profiles: Aggressive (-A-), Base (-B-) and Conservative (-C-).Please listen to the video above for further details.\nIdeally, we like to stick with our target levels for our Base portfolio:\n\nAverage Monthly Yield % (AMY%): 1.0%-1.5%\nStrike price that is in the strike zone (i.e., margin of safety above the required minimum)\nDelta < 30\n\nThe NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 put option @ ~$1.81 meets all of our criteria with an AMY% of 1.0%, a Margin-of-Safety of 12.3%, and a Delta of 13.\nAgain, based on your risk tolerance, you could choose a strike price that is more aggressive ($185.00 strike) or more conservative ($170.00 strike) than the base trade.\nDownside Considerations\nAssuming we sold the NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 strike put option @ $1.81, we would collect $181.00 of premium for each option contract sold. In return for this premium, we agree (and are obligated) to buy 100 shares of NVDA stock for each contract sold at the strike price of $175.00.\nIf the stock stays above $175.00 between now and expiration (9/17/21), the option expires worthless and we keep the premium of $1.81.\nHowever,the downside of this trade comes into play if the stock closes below $175.00 on expiration (9/17/21). Since we're obligated to buy the stock at $175.00, we would have a potential unrealized capital loss on our hands (depending on how low the stock closed on expiration). We do get to keep the premium either way though, so our breakeven cost basis would be $173.19 ($175.00 - $1.81).\nAll that said, I think it's a win-win at this point if you can add to your NVDA position with a cost basis of $173.19.\nConclusion\nBased on our long-term and short-term views on NVIDIA, we believe that a cash-secured put strategy makes a lot of sense right now for investors interested adding to their position (or starting a new position). The NVDA Sept 17th $175.00 put option would generate an average monthly yield of 1.0% (or 1.0% over the next 31 days) with a margin-of-safety of 12.3%.\nAssuming you could continue to roll this position every 45-60 days with similar risk/reward parameters, you could manufacture 12%-plus annualized income from NVIDIA over the next 12 months (while you patiently wait to add to your position).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899864258,"gmtCreate":1628174286174,"gmtModify":1631891896247,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest for long terms","listText":"Invest for long terms","text":"Invest for long terms","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899864258","repostId":"1175346944","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175346944","pubTimestamp":1628172732,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175346944?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175346944","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Contrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.Even so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.I remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.Tesla , the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the co","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Contrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.</li>\n <li>Even so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.</li>\n <li>I remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA), the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the company continued reporting solid sales and income growth.</p>\n<p>I've argued in the past that, although the company has several strong long-term growth avenues to pursue, their long-term prospects are dimmed compared to what analysts have projected, given the amount of competition emerging in the EV industry over the course of the next few years.</p>\n<p>But that's a whole other thing than the company's near-term prospects, which I believe are grand relative to some of the established players shifting over to electric vehicle production, as I've highlighted inmy recent articleon Ford (F). These advantages mean that the company will remain superior in the near term when it comes to profitability and diversity within the EV industry and can best utilize the rapid growth rate the entire industry is expecting.</p>\n<p>The Long-Term Headwinds Haven't Changed</p>\n<p>As I've been highlighting for several months now,Tesla's long-term prospects have dimmedsince other automobile companies like Ford and General Motors (GM) in the United States, NIO (NIO) and others in the Asia-Pacific region and other European and South Korean automobile manufacturers moved up their electrification process timelines. The main reason for this is that these companies have very solid brand recognition, and individuals who have owned these models for years or decades have the option to opt for an electric version of those; they choose those over trying out a new untested model a majority of the time.</p>\n<p>With companies like Ford introducing the all-electric F-150 and others, it's unclear how Tesla can maintain this high growth rate beyond 2024 as these models are expected to hit the streets and begin capturing back market share away from Tesla and other current models. Other factors like Tesla opening up their charging station network to all EV models, as well as a massive capital injection into EV charging stations in the most recent infrastructure spending bill in the United States, will surely help Tesla's income when it charges for the use, but it also helps other companies overcome the main hurdle of widespread adoption - clearing a pathway for more and more EV models to emerge.</p>\n<p>The Short-Term Tailwinds Are Emerging</p>\n<p>Tesla has several near-term tailwinds which will keep way ahead of any competition for the next 12 to 24 months. These mostly all boil down to profitability but also focus on various business model advantages.</p>\n<p>1. A positive profit margin: While other companies are just now beginning to invest in transforming their manufacturing facilities from fossil fuel intake engines to electric vehicle production, Tesla has done this and way more efficiently. Since they've built these from scratch, they've mostly automated the process and thus enjoy a much higher profit margin. Other companies won't see a profit per vehicle for years to come.</p>\n<p>2. Surging battery manufacturing: Although other companies have a mixed position on whether to manufacture their own batteries or set up joint ventures with existing companies, Tesla has been churning out batteries for years and have, as similar with the vehicle manufacturing process, nearly fully automated the process to maximize profits per unit.</p>\n<p>3. International manufacturing: Other companies, thus far, have focused on restructuring and transforming current assembly plants in the United States and will likely take several more years before they do so for other international facilities, which means they will need to spend a fortune shipping these new vehicles around the world to the EMEA and the Asia-Pacific. Tesla, on the other hand, has manufacturing facilities in the United States and in China and is set to open their plant in Germany as well as being in final development stages of an India plant, which will allow them to access a much larger market.</p>\n<p>4. Charging stations advantage: Although the new infrastructure bill in the United States, as well as massive investments in countries like Japan and China, are certain to put in hundreds of thousands of new EV charging stations across the globe, this will take time. So far, only Tesla has a real robust charging network across the world. A recent development, which does have negative elements to it as mentioned earlier, has a positive near term one - they will be raking in net profits from allowing other electric vehicles to charge on their network. This means that they'll likely be profiting from each vehicle their competitors churn out, at least until the scaling up of non-Tesla charging stations takes place.</p>\n<p>5. \"Other Business\" growth rate: While other automobile companies are still spending hand over fist on their other models and products, Tesla enjoys being only in high-growth industries like SolarCity's solar panels and battery sales. As I'll expand on in the next segment, they also don't have near-term or long-term financial obligations from these \"other business\" segments as establishment automobile companies have.</p>\n<p>Balance Sheet Advantages</p>\n<p>Although some elements of their balance sheet advantage are set to help them in the long run as well, they're mostly advantages for the short term since once these other companies begin making a profit from their EV sales - a lot of this will be reversed.</p>\n<p>Tesla's main advantage, as mentioned earlier, is that they're actually raking in cash from each car they sell, allowing them to use that cash to continue and set up more manufacturing facilities and invest in battery technology, solar technology and production increases. This is contrary to other automobile companies which have high financial obligations to their other business segments like pensions and leases. This will further aid the company's overall profit margin, while they don't struggle with such obligations.</p>\n<p>These other companies will need to use profits and cash from their existing legacy business segments to pay for their losses on each vehicle they produce, hurting their overall valuation moving forward.</p>\n<p>Although Tesla has $6.9 billion inlong-term debt, a factor which kept many investors on the sidelines as debt racked up, they currently hold just under $16.3 billion in cash and equivalents, making their net debt position negative. They've been using the cash to pay down their debt as well,reducing their interest expense burdenfrom almost $800 million in 2020 to just over $500 million in 2021. Tesla paid back $15 billion in debt in 2021 for a net debt reduction of $6 billion. There's very little doubt that other automobile companies will be forced to take on more debt to finance increased production and in this raising rate environment, that can snowball.</p>\n<p>Tesla is set to seecash flowof around $10 billion annually whereas a company like Ford has been fluctuating between a net positive and negative cash flow status for the past few years, and that's not expected to change through 2025 as they continue to increase investments in the electrification of their vehicles.</p>\n<p>What About Current Valuation</p>\n<p>Analystscurrently expect the company to report EPS of $5.38 for 2021 and grow at a fast pace to reach EPS of $10.33 for 2024. As I mentioned in my earlier article, I believe that, given comparison with other major automobile companies, the company is fairly valued at around 75x forward earnings.</p>\n<p>I do, however, believe that some of the current competition expectations are overblown for the near term, as I've been mentioning throughout the entire article. Therefore, I do believe that Tesla will outperform current expectations at least through 2023. This means that a 75x forward earnings multiple is the ground base for appropriate valuation, I believe.</p>\n<p>This presents the following fair value, with the implied increase potential:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/052968e079d7fe8419e4790de451c9fd\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"201\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As you can see, this means that Tesla is almost 40% overvalued relative to earnings expectations, even if they overcome them by as much as 20%. However, given that these expectations are likely to be beaten, I don't believe that shorting the company is a good idea, but one thing that is worth looking out for is a general market correction.</p>\n<p>The Biggest Risk Of Owning Tesla</p>\n<p>The biggest risk with owning Tesla right now is that, in a general market correction, which can happen at any moment as the post-pandemic trade is winding down, companies with lofty expectations tend to fall the most as fair value is sought beyond what their potential is way down the line.</p>\n<p>I don't believe that shorting Tesla is the right approach, even though my disclosures down below and in previous article state that I am, given general market exposure. I am short simply because I don't believe that much upwards potential is there, whilst downward potential in a market correction is vast. So, given that I am mostly long, this short is a general portfolio hedge while I reduce positions in case of a correction.</p>\n<p>In Conclusion</p>\n<p>Tesla has several positive catalysts which should keep them on top of the EV industry growth roster for the next 24 to 36 months, while other companies struggle to make even a single penny on their new vehicles. These are set, I believe, to allow them to beat earnings expectations for that time period.</p>\n<p>Even so, their long-term competitive pressures remain high and as I stated in my previous article - their long-term growth prospects will continue to dim as time moves on.</p>\n<p>Even with these positive near-term advantages, I still believe that the company is overvalued by as much as 40%, and although I do not favor shorting the company for this overvaluation, I remain slightly bearish on their long-term prospects and neutral to slightly bullish on their near-term one.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 22:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nContrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.\nEven so, current lofty valuation ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1175346944","content_text":"Summary\n\nContrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.\nEven so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.\nI remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.\n\nTesla (TSLA), the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the company continued reporting solid sales and income growth.\nI've argued in the past that, although the company has several strong long-term growth avenues to pursue, their long-term prospects are dimmed compared to what analysts have projected, given the amount of competition emerging in the EV industry over the course of the next few years.\nBut that's a whole other thing than the company's near-term prospects, which I believe are grand relative to some of the established players shifting over to electric vehicle production, as I've highlighted inmy recent articleon Ford (F). These advantages mean that the company will remain superior in the near term when it comes to profitability and diversity within the EV industry and can best utilize the rapid growth rate the entire industry is expecting.\nThe Long-Term Headwinds Haven't Changed\nAs I've been highlighting for several months now,Tesla's long-term prospects have dimmedsince other automobile companies like Ford and General Motors (GM) in the United States, NIO (NIO) and others in the Asia-Pacific region and other European and South Korean automobile manufacturers moved up their electrification process timelines. The main reason for this is that these companies have very solid brand recognition, and individuals who have owned these models for years or decades have the option to opt for an electric version of those; they choose those over trying out a new untested model a majority of the time.\nWith companies like Ford introducing the all-electric F-150 and others, it's unclear how Tesla can maintain this high growth rate beyond 2024 as these models are expected to hit the streets and begin capturing back market share away from Tesla and other current models. Other factors like Tesla opening up their charging station network to all EV models, as well as a massive capital injection into EV charging stations in the most recent infrastructure spending bill in the United States, will surely help Tesla's income when it charges for the use, but it also helps other companies overcome the main hurdle of widespread adoption - clearing a pathway for more and more EV models to emerge.\nThe Short-Term Tailwinds Are Emerging\nTesla has several near-term tailwinds which will keep way ahead of any competition for the next 12 to 24 months. These mostly all boil down to profitability but also focus on various business model advantages.\n1. A positive profit margin: While other companies are just now beginning to invest in transforming their manufacturing facilities from fossil fuel intake engines to electric vehicle production, Tesla has done this and way more efficiently. Since they've built these from scratch, they've mostly automated the process and thus enjoy a much higher profit margin. Other companies won't see a profit per vehicle for years to come.\n2. Surging battery manufacturing: Although other companies have a mixed position on whether to manufacture their own batteries or set up joint ventures with existing companies, Tesla has been churning out batteries for years and have, as similar with the vehicle manufacturing process, nearly fully automated the process to maximize profits per unit.\n3. International manufacturing: Other companies, thus far, have focused on restructuring and transforming current assembly plants in the United States and will likely take several more years before they do so for other international facilities, which means they will need to spend a fortune shipping these new vehicles around the world to the EMEA and the Asia-Pacific. Tesla, on the other hand, has manufacturing facilities in the United States and in China and is set to open their plant in Germany as well as being in final development stages of an India plant, which will allow them to access a much larger market.\n4. Charging stations advantage: Although the new infrastructure bill in the United States, as well as massive investments in countries like Japan and China, are certain to put in hundreds of thousands of new EV charging stations across the globe, this will take time. So far, only Tesla has a real robust charging network across the world. A recent development, which does have negative elements to it as mentioned earlier, has a positive near term one - they will be raking in net profits from allowing other electric vehicles to charge on their network. This means that they'll likely be profiting from each vehicle their competitors churn out, at least until the scaling up of non-Tesla charging stations takes place.\n5. \"Other Business\" growth rate: While other automobile companies are still spending hand over fist on their other models and products, Tesla enjoys being only in high-growth industries like SolarCity's solar panels and battery sales. As I'll expand on in the next segment, they also don't have near-term or long-term financial obligations from these \"other business\" segments as establishment automobile companies have.\nBalance Sheet Advantages\nAlthough some elements of their balance sheet advantage are set to help them in the long run as well, they're mostly advantages for the short term since once these other companies begin making a profit from their EV sales - a lot of this will be reversed.\nTesla's main advantage, as mentioned earlier, is that they're actually raking in cash from each car they sell, allowing them to use that cash to continue and set up more manufacturing facilities and invest in battery technology, solar technology and production increases. This is contrary to other automobile companies which have high financial obligations to their other business segments like pensions and leases. This will further aid the company's overall profit margin, while they don't struggle with such obligations.\nThese other companies will need to use profits and cash from their existing legacy business segments to pay for their losses on each vehicle they produce, hurting their overall valuation moving forward.\nAlthough Tesla has $6.9 billion inlong-term debt, a factor which kept many investors on the sidelines as debt racked up, they currently hold just under $16.3 billion in cash and equivalents, making their net debt position negative. They've been using the cash to pay down their debt as well,reducing their interest expense burdenfrom almost $800 million in 2020 to just over $500 million in 2021. Tesla paid back $15 billion in debt in 2021 for a net debt reduction of $6 billion. There's very little doubt that other automobile companies will be forced to take on more debt to finance increased production and in this raising rate environment, that can snowball.\nTesla is set to seecash flowof around $10 billion annually whereas a company like Ford has been fluctuating between a net positive and negative cash flow status for the past few years, and that's not expected to change through 2025 as they continue to increase investments in the electrification of their vehicles.\nWhat About Current Valuation\nAnalystscurrently expect the company to report EPS of $5.38 for 2021 and grow at a fast pace to reach EPS of $10.33 for 2024. As I mentioned in my earlier article, I believe that, given comparison with other major automobile companies, the company is fairly valued at around 75x forward earnings.\nI do, however, believe that some of the current competition expectations are overblown for the near term, as I've been mentioning throughout the entire article. Therefore, I do believe that Tesla will outperform current expectations at least through 2023. This means that a 75x forward earnings multiple is the ground base for appropriate valuation, I believe.\nThis presents the following fair value, with the implied increase potential:\nAs you can see, this means that Tesla is almost 40% overvalued relative to earnings expectations, even if they overcome them by as much as 20%. However, given that these expectations are likely to be beaten, I don't believe that shorting the company is a good idea, but one thing that is worth looking out for is a general market correction.\nThe Biggest Risk Of Owning Tesla\nThe biggest risk with owning Tesla right now is that, in a general market correction, which can happen at any moment as the post-pandemic trade is winding down, companies with lofty expectations tend to fall the most as fair value is sought beyond what their potential is way down the line.\nI don't believe that shorting Tesla is the right approach, even though my disclosures down below and in previous article state that I am, given general market exposure. I am short simply because I don't believe that much upwards potential is there, whilst downward potential in a market correction is vast. So, given that I am mostly long, this short is a general portfolio hedge while I reduce positions in case of a correction.\nIn Conclusion\nTesla has several positive catalysts which should keep them on top of the EV industry growth roster for the next 24 to 36 months, while other companies struggle to make even a single penny on their new vehicles. These are set, I believe, to allow them to beat earnings expectations for that time period.\nEven so, their long-term competitive pressures remain high and as I stated in my previous article - their long-term growth prospects will continue to dim as time moves on.\nEven with these positive near-term advantages, I still believe that the company is overvalued by as much as 40%, and although I do not favor shorting the company for this overvaluation, I remain slightly bearish on their long-term prospects and neutral to slightly bullish on their near-term one.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804948275,"gmtCreate":1627918120697,"gmtModify":1631891896248,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804948275","repostId":"1196763976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804948832,"gmtCreate":1627918109926,"gmtModify":1631891896251,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article!","listText":"Great article!","text":"Great article!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804948832","repostId":"1196763976","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196763976","pubTimestamp":1627903466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196763976?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196763976","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their","content":"<blockquote>\n The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Want to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? Take a look at profit margins.</p>\n<p>Operating margin forecasts are a strong leading indicator of stock prices. A decline in such outlooks preceded routs in the S&P 500 in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2020. What’s concerning now is that analysts have stopped raising their forecasts, and if they begin to lower them, it's likely to lead to a dip in the broader market again. And it’s not like there’s a lot of room for further improvement in margins, defined as earnings before interest and taxes divided by sales. The consensus among analysts is that they will expand to 16.7% over the next 12 months, topping the previous record of 16.4% set in 2018.</p>\n<p>The relationship between S&P 500 profitability and inflation indicators is murky at best, but recent spikes in the producer price index and a smaller increase in the consumer price index is enough to raise a caution flag for equity margin expansion potential for the next few quarters. At its peak in April, the PPI rose 9.5% from a year earlier, almost 3 standard deviations above its average over the past 30 years. (It rose 9.4% in June.) From 2010 to 2019, the median estimate of where operating margins would be 12 months into the future for S&P 500 members were negatively correlated to changes in PPI. The current coefficient of minus 0.22 suggests gains in corporate profitability are likely to stall or even fall as producer prices continue to rise.</p>\n<p><b>Watch Those Margins</b></p>\n<p>Past dips in forecasted profit margins have lined up with pull-backs in equities.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dbda2c0b9394d518fdc8af7d693c8f3\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The difference between the PPI and CPI suggests companies are unable to pass cost increases on to consumers. The spread between the two fell to a record low of minus 5.3 percentage points in April, and is still strongly inverted at minus 4.1 percentage points. Over the last 30 years, the operating margin for the S&P 500 narrowed 6.5 percentage points on average one year after the gap fell below minus 2 percentage points. Not only that, but in the year after the spread breached minus 2 percentage points, the S&P fell 2.5% on average.</p>\n<p>Analysts are getting nervous. They have cut their margin estimates for a quarter of S&P 500 members in the last three months. Their stocks were down 0.63%, compared with a gain of 2.20% for the index and a 3.30% increase for companies with rising margin forecasts. Slicing the index into quintiles based on changes in operating margin shows that companies with the largest declines had a median stock-price decline of 0.5%, versus a gain of 3.9% for those with the greatest expansion in consensus estimates.</p>\n<p>Industries with the most negative margin pressures are likely to be those that investors historically consider “defensive,” such as health care, utilities and consumer staples. Large companies involved in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and life sciences, household and personal products, and utilities have historically fared worst when producer prices outrun consumer prices, and these are where margin forecasts gave dropped the most over the last three months. Margins forecasts continue to rise for the more cyclically-oriented segments of the equity market, with media, consumer services, transportation and oil and gas industries having the largest gains.</p>\n<p><b>Winners and Losers</b></p>\n<p>Cyclically-oriented sectors are relatively immune from broad profit margin compression.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884366efc825eccec2878fcd4b3f0912\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"533\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Though consensus expectations imply smooth sailing, companies are set up for a more challenging margin outlook as revenue growth rates likely fade, but inflation pressures remain relatively high given persistent uncertainty in the supply chain. Against this backdrop, currently selective industry margin weaknesses may start to spread to more industries, resulting in degradation of margin forecasts for the index at large. Given these estimates are a strong strong leading indicator of stock-price direction, margin trends may be a critical risk to the equity market in the months ahead.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 19:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n\nWant to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196763976","content_text":"The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n\nWant to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? Take a look at profit margins.\nOperating margin forecasts are a strong leading indicator of stock prices. A decline in such outlooks preceded routs in the S&P 500 in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2020. What’s concerning now is that analysts have stopped raising their forecasts, and if they begin to lower them, it's likely to lead to a dip in the broader market again. And it’s not like there’s a lot of room for further improvement in margins, defined as earnings before interest and taxes divided by sales. The consensus among analysts is that they will expand to 16.7% over the next 12 months, topping the previous record of 16.4% set in 2018.\nThe relationship between S&P 500 profitability and inflation indicators is murky at best, but recent spikes in the producer price index and a smaller increase in the consumer price index is enough to raise a caution flag for equity margin expansion potential for the next few quarters. At its peak in April, the PPI rose 9.5% from a year earlier, almost 3 standard deviations above its average over the past 30 years. (It rose 9.4% in June.) From 2010 to 2019, the median estimate of where operating margins would be 12 months into the future for S&P 500 members were negatively correlated to changes in PPI. The current coefficient of minus 0.22 suggests gains in corporate profitability are likely to stall or even fall as producer prices continue to rise.\nWatch Those Margins\nPast dips in forecasted profit margins have lined up with pull-backs in equities.\nThe difference between the PPI and CPI suggests companies are unable to pass cost increases on to consumers. The spread between the two fell to a record low of minus 5.3 percentage points in April, and is still strongly inverted at minus 4.1 percentage points. Over the last 30 years, the operating margin for the S&P 500 narrowed 6.5 percentage points on average one year after the gap fell below minus 2 percentage points. Not only that, but in the year after the spread breached minus 2 percentage points, the S&P fell 2.5% on average.\nAnalysts are getting nervous. They have cut their margin estimates for a quarter of S&P 500 members in the last three months. Their stocks were down 0.63%, compared with a gain of 2.20% for the index and a 3.30% increase for companies with rising margin forecasts. Slicing the index into quintiles based on changes in operating margin shows that companies with the largest declines had a median stock-price decline of 0.5%, versus a gain of 3.9% for those with the greatest expansion in consensus estimates.\nIndustries with the most negative margin pressures are likely to be those that investors historically consider “defensive,” such as health care, utilities and consumer staples. Large companies involved in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and life sciences, household and personal products, and utilities have historically fared worst when producer prices outrun consumer prices, and these are where margin forecasts gave dropped the most over the last three months. Margins forecasts continue to rise for the more cyclically-oriented segments of the equity market, with media, consumer services, transportation and oil and gas industries having the largest gains.\nWinners and Losers\nCyclically-oriented sectors are relatively immune from broad profit margin compression.\nThough consensus expectations imply smooth sailing, companies are set up for a more challenging margin outlook as revenue growth rates likely fade, but inflation pressures remain relatively high given persistent uncertainty in the supply chain. Against this backdrop, currently selective industry margin weaknesses may start to spread to more industries, resulting in degradation of margin forecasts for the index at large. Given these estimates are a strong strong leading indicator of stock-price direction, margin trends may be a critical risk to the equity market in the months ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802772921,"gmtCreate":1627815728963,"gmtModify":1631891896252,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ark!","listText":"Ark!","text":"Ark!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802772921","repostId":"1141267906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802488495,"gmtCreate":1627795703317,"gmtModify":1631891896255,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802488495","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808696588,"gmtCreate":1627571980444,"gmtModify":1631891896261,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Learning along the way ","listText":"Learning along the way ","text":"Learning along the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808696588","repostId":"2155290035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155290035","pubTimestamp":1627564527,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2155290035?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 21:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Stock Market Myths to Abandon if You Actually Want to Make Money","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155290035","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It might be worth revisiting some of the \"common knowledge\" assumptions about how things really work.","content":"<p>Has the stock market not behaved quite as you expected? Perhaps some of your picks that were supposed to pay off in a big way just haven't. Things certainly look different from the inside looking out than they do from the outside looking in.</p>\n<p>The good news is, a few philosophical tweaks to your approach may be all you need to turns your results around. Here are the four biggest stumbling blocks too many investors -- particularly new investors -- must work past before they start making the sort of money they'd like to.</p>\n<h2>Myth 1: The more active and involved I am, the more money I make</h2>\n<p>The idea that \"more is better\" makes sense...at least on the surface. The more we study, the better grades we make. The more we practice, the better we get at a sport.</p>\n<p>When it comes to investing, however, less can be more. Trade less often, and you'll make more money.</p>\n<p>To understand why, think about exactly what you're investing in when you buy a stock. You're plugging into the company's long-term success, and it can take a long time to bear fruit. But, spotting long-term corporate success is actually pretty easy to do.</p>\n<p>If instead you're looking for a big short-term gain on a long-term story, your investment is actually a bet on how other investors will feel about a particular stock in the near future. It's not easy to predict future perceptions of an unprofitable or barely profitable company, which is why short-term trading is so difficult to do. Ironically, the more you try to trade your way to market-beating results, the worse off you typically end up.</p>\n<p>The point is, buy quality stocks and leave them alone. You don't have to check on them every day. Indeed, doing so increases the risk of making an ill-advised buy or sell.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bfb5a937c3265509c37a0e4e31cf196\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"463\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Myth 2: The higher the risk, the greater the reward</h2>\n<p>There was a time when taking on risk meant getting bigger rewards. But an increasing number of companies, investment banks, and insiders have proven this tenet to be false. Big stock price gains often come <i>before </i>a company's business model reaches its full potential, and that can raise risk levels without providing any additional reward.</p>\n<p>A name like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPRO\">GoPro</a></b> (NASDAQ:GPRO) comes to mind. While no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> denies it makes the world's very best action cameras, its stock price got ahead of itself in the early to mid-2010s. Yet when ongoing demand for action camera products didn't live up to expectations, investors paid the price. Even with the rally from its early 2020 lows, shares are still trading 90% below their 2014 peak price.</p>\n<p>And that's certainly not the only example of when the market didn't recognize the suggested or implied reward was never going to be realized.</p>\n<h2>Myth 3: I have to pay someone a lot of money to manage my investments</h2>\n<p>Actually, you don't.</p>\n<p>You <i>can</i> pay someone, of course. Money managers and brokerage firms' so-called wrap account will charge you on the order of 1% of your portfolio's value per year. Robo-advisors charge about half of that (or less) for smaller accounts, though there's very little personal customer service to such plans. Both solutions steer your investments, and for the most part, they do a pretty good job of balancing risk and reward.</p>\n<p>But with a little common sense and self-discipline, you can sidestep those fees and manage your own stock portfolio at little or no cost. Most of the reputable online brokers these days offer commission-free trading -- not that you should trade more often simply because it doesn't cost anything to do so.</p>\n<p>There's a lot to be said about picking your own stocks. Aside from learning by starting out conservatively and becoming more aggressive as you gain experience, you might be surprised to find you're doing better than most professionals do for their customers. In its most recent assessment of the industry, Standard & Poor's found that only about one-fourth of large cap mutual funds outperformed the <b>S&P 500</b> over the course of the past five years. The other three-fourths trailed the S&P 500's performance.</p>\n<h2>Myth 4: When I buy a stock, that money is given to the underlying company to grow its business</h2>\n<p>Finally, although most veteran investors (and even newcomers) understand that an investment in a company isn't the transfer of funds from your account to that organization's coffers where it's then spent on growth initiatives. Rather, when you buy a stock -- say <b>Procter & Gamble</b> -- you're buying those shares of P&G from another investor who's more than willing to let go of their stake of the consumer staples giant at the agreed-upon market price. What do they know that you don't? Maybe nothing. Perhaps they're just ready to reduce their risk or take on more risk.</p>\n<p>There's a more important takeaway, however. That is, you can't completely ignore the inherent mispricing stemming from the ongoing auction process. Eventually, a stock is going to become severely overvalued or undervalued, translating into opportunity for you.</p>\n<p>Still, awareness of this backdrop shouldn't distract you from focusing on the long-term bigger picture. Understanding this inner working of the market will simply make you a better buy-and-hold investor.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Stock Market Myths to Abandon if You Actually Want to Make Money</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Stock Market Myths to Abandon if You Actually Want to Make Money\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 21:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/29/4-stock-market-myths-to-abandon-if-you-actually-wa/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Has the stock market not behaved quite as you expected? Perhaps some of your picks that were supposed to pay off in a big way just haven't. Things certainly look different from the inside looking out ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/29/4-stock-market-myths-to-abandon-if-you-actually-wa/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/29/4-stock-market-myths-to-abandon-if-you-actually-wa/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155290035","content_text":"Has the stock market not behaved quite as you expected? Perhaps some of your picks that were supposed to pay off in a big way just haven't. Things certainly look different from the inside looking out than they do from the outside looking in.\nThe good news is, a few philosophical tweaks to your approach may be all you need to turns your results around. Here are the four biggest stumbling blocks too many investors -- particularly new investors -- must work past before they start making the sort of money they'd like to.\nMyth 1: The more active and involved I am, the more money I make\nThe idea that \"more is better\" makes sense...at least on the surface. The more we study, the better grades we make. The more we practice, the better we get at a sport.\nWhen it comes to investing, however, less can be more. Trade less often, and you'll make more money.\nTo understand why, think about exactly what you're investing in when you buy a stock. You're plugging into the company's long-term success, and it can take a long time to bear fruit. But, spotting long-term corporate success is actually pretty easy to do.\nIf instead you're looking for a big short-term gain on a long-term story, your investment is actually a bet on how other investors will feel about a particular stock in the near future. It's not easy to predict future perceptions of an unprofitable or barely profitable company, which is why short-term trading is so difficult to do. Ironically, the more you try to trade your way to market-beating results, the worse off you typically end up.\nThe point is, buy quality stocks and leave them alone. You don't have to check on them every day. Indeed, doing so increases the risk of making an ill-advised buy or sell.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nMyth 2: The higher the risk, the greater the reward\nThere was a time when taking on risk meant getting bigger rewards. But an increasing number of companies, investment banks, and insiders have proven this tenet to be false. Big stock price gains often come before a company's business model reaches its full potential, and that can raise risk levels without providing any additional reward.\nA name like GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO) comes to mind. While no one denies it makes the world's very best action cameras, its stock price got ahead of itself in the early to mid-2010s. Yet when ongoing demand for action camera products didn't live up to expectations, investors paid the price. Even with the rally from its early 2020 lows, shares are still trading 90% below their 2014 peak price.\nAnd that's certainly not the only example of when the market didn't recognize the suggested or implied reward was never going to be realized.\nMyth 3: I have to pay someone a lot of money to manage my investments\nActually, you don't.\nYou can pay someone, of course. Money managers and brokerage firms' so-called wrap account will charge you on the order of 1% of your portfolio's value per year. Robo-advisors charge about half of that (or less) for smaller accounts, though there's very little personal customer service to such plans. Both solutions steer your investments, and for the most part, they do a pretty good job of balancing risk and reward.\nBut with a little common sense and self-discipline, you can sidestep those fees and manage your own stock portfolio at little or no cost. Most of the reputable online brokers these days offer commission-free trading -- not that you should trade more often simply because it doesn't cost anything to do so.\nThere's a lot to be said about picking your own stocks. Aside from learning by starting out conservatively and becoming more aggressive as you gain experience, you might be surprised to find you're doing better than most professionals do for their customers. In its most recent assessment of the industry, Standard & Poor's found that only about one-fourth of large cap mutual funds outperformed the S&P 500 over the course of the past five years. The other three-fourths trailed the S&P 500's performance.\nMyth 4: When I buy a stock, that money is given to the underlying company to grow its business\nFinally, although most veteran investors (and even newcomers) understand that an investment in a company isn't the transfer of funds from your account to that organization's coffers where it's then spent on growth initiatives. Rather, when you buy a stock -- say Procter & Gamble -- you're buying those shares of P&G from another investor who's more than willing to let go of their stake of the consumer staples giant at the agreed-upon market price. What do they know that you don't? Maybe nothing. Perhaps they're just ready to reduce their risk or take on more risk.\nThere's a more important takeaway, however. That is, you can't completely ignore the inherent mispricing stemming from the ongoing auction process. Eventually, a stock is going to become severely overvalued or undervalued, translating into opportunity for you.\nStill, awareness of this backdrop shouldn't distract you from focusing on the long-term bigger picture. Understanding this inner working of the market will simply make you a better buy-and-hold investor.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":121077867,"gmtCreate":1624446952159,"gmtModify":1634006042550,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla is more than just an EV focused industry. Even if NIO beats Tsla in the EV aspect, as a whole, Tsla stocks will still outperform most other stocks in the long run. I have both stocks and I support companies :)","listText":"Tsla is more than just an EV focused industry. Even if NIO beats Tsla in the EV aspect, as a whole, Tsla stocks will still outperform most other stocks in the long run. I have both stocks and I support companies :)","text":"Tsla is more than just an EV focused industry. Even if NIO beats Tsla in the EV aspect, as a whole, Tsla stocks will still outperform most other stocks in the long run. I have both stocks and I support companies :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121077867","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145825451","pubTimestamp":1624433586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145825451?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 15:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why I Believe NIO Will Beat Out Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145825451","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"The fact that Tesla scrapped its Model S Plaid Plus release is just part of it.Super fans of the latest and greatest high-endTesla, Inc. model received some disappointing news a week ago when CEO Elon Musk abruptly canceled the release of its highly anticipated Model S Plaid Plus with a tweet on June 6.Instead, the company has begun delivering a new Model S Plaid that has only a 390-mile range and 1,020 horsepower, though it still sprints to from 0 to 60 miles per hour in just two seconds.The go","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>The fact that Tesla scrapped its Model S Plaid Plus release is just part of it.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Super fans of the latest and greatest high-end<b>Tesla, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:<b>TSLA</b>) model received some disappointing news a week ago when CEO Elon Musk abruptly canceled the release of its highly anticipated Model S Plaid Plus with a tweet on June 6.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b294a3604c7ba82bd19b3c70be3a4020\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: nrqemi / Shutterstock.com</p>\n<p>Musk wrote there was… “No need, as Plaid is just so good.”</p>\n<p>The Model S Plaid Plus was supposed to be the fastest, most powerful and priciest version of the company’s Model S. Priced at $149,990, it was to feature a range of 520 miles, thanks to its innovative 4680 battery cells, 1,100 horsepower and the ability to speed from 0 to 60 mph in less than two seconds.</p>\n<p>Instead, the company has begun delivering a new Model S Plaid that has only a 390-mile range and 1,020 horsepower, though it still sprints to from 0 to 60 miles per hour in just two seconds.</p>\n<p>As a way to “sugar coat” its flip flop, Tesla said the Model S Plaid is just as fast as the Model S Plaid Plus and $20,000 cheaper. Humm.</p>\n<p>This “bait and switch” has some Tesla fans worried, since they had deposits on the Model S Plaid Plus and wanted the innovative 4680 battery cells that Tesla had been touting as the key to longer range and more power. Essentially, the 4680 battery cells were the latest great Tesla development, since they were the first batteries to also be a structural component that supposedly allowed Tesla to lower the weight of its vehicles.</p>\n<p>Both the company’s Austin and Berlin manufacturing plants now under construction are supposed to also be making the 4680 batteries for new Tesla vehicles. If there is a problem with the engineering associated with utilizing the 4680 batteries or making them a structural component, then Tesla has grossly miscalculated, which is now worrying investors.</p>\n<p>Clearly something happened to delay the 4680 batteries that were supposed to provide Tesla with a competitive and engineering edge. For Tesla’s sake, I hope they figure out the problems associated with their much hyped 4680 battery cells, otherwise concerns about its two new manufacturing plants will emerge, as well as the stock losing more of its “mojo.”</p>\n<p>As someone who owns more than a few high-performance vehicles, I can tell you that the engineering geeks I know do<i>not</i>want to get a new Model S Plaid instead of a Model S Plaid Plus and will likely ask for their deposits back.</p>\n<p>What Tesla did is like Ferrari or Porsche telling its customers that one of their much-hyped new performance models is now not being sold because the base model was just as good! Car fanatics, like myself, like the latest and greatest engineering tidbits, so we would rather cancel our orders versus settle for a base model.</p>\n<p>The good news for Tesla is that its China sales in May resurged to 21,936, up sharply from 11,671 in April. The company’s sales tend to spike at the end of each quarter. For example, Tesla sold 35,478 vehicles in China in March, which was the strongest month ever in China.</p>\n<p>This is raising expectations for very strong China sales in June, especially now that the Model Y is being manufactured in Shanghai. Interestingly, since most Chinese Teslas are now made with iron phosphate batteries, these vehicles have lower range than its lithium cobalt vehicles, but its iron phosphate vehicles are cheaper and now increasingly being exported to Europe.</p>\n<p>However, I’m convinced another electric vehicle (EV) company will eventually displace Tesla as the biggest manufacturer of EVs in China.</p>\n<p><b>Taking Advantage of the EV Revolution’s Profit Potential</b></p>\n<p>I’m talking about <b>Nio, Inc.</b>(NYSE:<b>NIO</b>). The reality is that this company is on the verge of dominating the EV market in China and Hong Kong. It’s why I put NIO on my<b><i>Platinum Growth Club</i></b>Model Portfolio back in February.</p>\n<p>The company boasts that it is the “next-generation car company,” as it designs and manufactures electric vehicles that utilize the latest technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). NIO currently offers an electric seven-seater SUV (ES8) and a five-seater electric SUV (ES6) and recently introduced an attractive electric sedan (ET7). Its vehicles utilize NOMI, an in-vehicle artificial intelligence assistant.</p>\n<p>The company is also partnering with cutting-edge chip companies like<b>NVIDIA Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>), another one of my<b><i>Platinum Growth Club</i></b>Model Portfolio stocks. NIO plans to use the NVIDIA DRIVE Orin system-on-a-chip for its electric vehicles that will provide autonomous driving capabilities. The NVIDIA DRIVE Orin-powered supercomputer, which is being called Adam, will be launched in the ET7 sedan in China in 2022. Announcements like this are very positive, so NIO has been stealing some of Tesla’s thunder lately.</p>\n<p>Now, it’s important to note that NIO was bailed out by the Chinese government. Last year, the Chinese government injected $1 billion and now has a 24% ownership in the company. The reality is that China wants to dominate at least five major industries by 2025, and NIO is now its ticket to dominate EV manufacturing.</p>\n<p>With the backing of the Chinese government, some Wall Street firms are eager to help NIO by issuing new debt or equity. So, I wouldn’t be surprised if NIO surpasses Tesla, which is currently number-two in China, for market share in the upcoming years.</p>\n<p>That means, if you missed Tesla’s parabolic run like I did, NIO is essentially giving us a “second chance” to make money in a potentially explosive electric vehicle company.</p>\n<p>Shares of NIO climbed nearly 13% since the company’s June 4 announcement of its May delivery report and positive analyst comments, while Tesla shares rose almost 3%. First, NIO revealed that the global chip shortage is starting to take a toll on its business. NIO only delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, or a 5.5% decline from April’s deliveries. Company management noted that deliveries were “adversely impacted for several days due to the volatility of semiconductor supply and certain logistical adjustments.”</p>\n<p>Interestingly, despite the month-to-month dip, NIO’s deliveries were still up 95.3% year-over-year. Strong demand in China even inspired a Citigroup analyst to upgrade NIO to a buy rating, as he expects demand to accelerate in the coming months.</p>\n<p>In other words, NIO represents the<b>crème de la crème</b>of EV stocks right now.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why I Believe NIO Will Beat Out Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy I Believe NIO Will Beat Out Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 15:33 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/why-i-believe-nio-will-beat-out-tesla/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The fact that Tesla scrapped its Model S Plaid Plus release is just part of it.\n\nSuper fans of the latest and greatest high-endTesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) model received some disappointing news a week ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/why-i-believe-nio-will-beat-out-tesla/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/why-i-believe-nio-will-beat-out-tesla/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145825451","content_text":"The fact that Tesla scrapped its Model S Plaid Plus release is just part of it.\n\nSuper fans of the latest and greatest high-endTesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) model received some disappointing news a week ago when CEO Elon Musk abruptly canceled the release of its highly anticipated Model S Plaid Plus with a tweet on June 6.\nSource: nrqemi / Shutterstock.com\nMusk wrote there was… “No need, as Plaid is just so good.”\nThe Model S Plaid Plus was supposed to be the fastest, most powerful and priciest version of the company’s Model S. Priced at $149,990, it was to feature a range of 520 miles, thanks to its innovative 4680 battery cells, 1,100 horsepower and the ability to speed from 0 to 60 mph in less than two seconds.\nInstead, the company has begun delivering a new Model S Plaid that has only a 390-mile range and 1,020 horsepower, though it still sprints to from 0 to 60 miles per hour in just two seconds.\nAs a way to “sugar coat” its flip flop, Tesla said the Model S Plaid is just as fast as the Model S Plaid Plus and $20,000 cheaper. Humm.\nThis “bait and switch” has some Tesla fans worried, since they had deposits on the Model S Plaid Plus and wanted the innovative 4680 battery cells that Tesla had been touting as the key to longer range and more power. Essentially, the 4680 battery cells were the latest great Tesla development, since they were the first batteries to also be a structural component that supposedly allowed Tesla to lower the weight of its vehicles.\nBoth the company’s Austin and Berlin manufacturing plants now under construction are supposed to also be making the 4680 batteries for new Tesla vehicles. If there is a problem with the engineering associated with utilizing the 4680 batteries or making them a structural component, then Tesla has grossly miscalculated, which is now worrying investors.\nClearly something happened to delay the 4680 batteries that were supposed to provide Tesla with a competitive and engineering edge. For Tesla’s sake, I hope they figure out the problems associated with their much hyped 4680 battery cells, otherwise concerns about its two new manufacturing plants will emerge, as well as the stock losing more of its “mojo.”\nAs someone who owns more than a few high-performance vehicles, I can tell you that the engineering geeks I know donotwant to get a new Model S Plaid instead of a Model S Plaid Plus and will likely ask for their deposits back.\nWhat Tesla did is like Ferrari or Porsche telling its customers that one of their much-hyped new performance models is now not being sold because the base model was just as good! Car fanatics, like myself, like the latest and greatest engineering tidbits, so we would rather cancel our orders versus settle for a base model.\nThe good news for Tesla is that its China sales in May resurged to 21,936, up sharply from 11,671 in April. The company’s sales tend to spike at the end of each quarter. For example, Tesla sold 35,478 vehicles in China in March, which was the strongest month ever in China.\nThis is raising expectations for very strong China sales in June, especially now that the Model Y is being manufactured in Shanghai. Interestingly, since most Chinese Teslas are now made with iron phosphate batteries, these vehicles have lower range than its lithium cobalt vehicles, but its iron phosphate vehicles are cheaper and now increasingly being exported to Europe.\nHowever, I’m convinced another electric vehicle (EV) company will eventually displace Tesla as the biggest manufacturer of EVs in China.\nTaking Advantage of the EV Revolution’s Profit Potential\nI’m talking about Nio, Inc.(NYSE:NIO). The reality is that this company is on the verge of dominating the EV market in China and Hong Kong. It’s why I put NIO on myPlatinum Growth ClubModel Portfolio back in February.\nThe company boasts that it is the “next-generation car company,” as it designs and manufactures electric vehicles that utilize the latest technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). NIO currently offers an electric seven-seater SUV (ES8) and a five-seater electric SUV (ES6) and recently introduced an attractive electric sedan (ET7). Its vehicles utilize NOMI, an in-vehicle artificial intelligence assistant.\nThe company is also partnering with cutting-edge chip companies likeNVIDIA Corporation(NASDAQ:NVDA), another one of myPlatinum Growth ClubModel Portfolio stocks. NIO plans to use the NVIDIA DRIVE Orin system-on-a-chip for its electric vehicles that will provide autonomous driving capabilities. The NVIDIA DRIVE Orin-powered supercomputer, which is being called Adam, will be launched in the ET7 sedan in China in 2022. Announcements like this are very positive, so NIO has been stealing some of Tesla’s thunder lately.\nNow, it’s important to note that NIO was bailed out by the Chinese government. Last year, the Chinese government injected $1 billion and now has a 24% ownership in the company. The reality is that China wants to dominate at least five major industries by 2025, and NIO is now its ticket to dominate EV manufacturing.\nWith the backing of the Chinese government, some Wall Street firms are eager to help NIO by issuing new debt or equity. So, I wouldn’t be surprised if NIO surpasses Tesla, which is currently number-two in China, for market share in the upcoming years.\nThat means, if you missed Tesla’s parabolic run like I did, NIO is essentially giving us a “second chance” to make money in a potentially explosive electric vehicle company.\nShares of NIO climbed nearly 13% since the company’s June 4 announcement of its May delivery report and positive analyst comments, while Tesla shares rose almost 3%. First, NIO revealed that the global chip shortage is starting to take a toll on its business. NIO only delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, or a 5.5% decline from April’s deliveries. Company management noted that deliveries were “adversely impacted for several days due to the volatility of semiconductor supply and certain logistical adjustments.”\nInterestingly, despite the month-to-month dip, NIO’s deliveries were still up 95.3% year-over-year. Strong demand in China even inspired a Citigroup analyst to upgrade NIO to a buy rating, as he expects demand to accelerate in the coming months.\nIn other words, NIO represents thecrème de la crèmeof EV stocks right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":825891342,"gmtCreate":1634214966099,"gmtModify":1634215162667,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Sighh ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Sighh ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Sighh","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82915e588c1841631f07b3b16d5f3751","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825891342","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169914189,"gmtCreate":1623812281541,"gmtModify":1634027717890,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>will diamond hand this for the next 1 year!💪","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>will diamond hand this for the next 1 year!💪","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$will diamond hand this for the next 1 year!💪","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a88985f8402eb7aa2d27251043dfc9d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169914189","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128859947,"gmtCreate":1624511049289,"gmtModify":1634005029525,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah this is for a long term hold for about 3-5 years period :)","listText":"Yeah this is for a long term hold for about 3-5 years period :)","text":"Yeah this is for a long term hold for about 3-5 years period :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128859947","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147996251,"gmtCreate":1626325175973,"gmtModify":1633927833089,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay ","listText":"Yay ","text":"Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147996251","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151548988","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626292832,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2151548988?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends higher after Powell lulls market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151548988","media":"Reuters","summary":"Powell says economy 'a ways off' from bond taper.BofA slips as low interest rates hurt lending business.July 14 - The S&P 500 ended with a gain after briefly hitting an intra-day record in a choppy session on Wednesday, as investors balanced worries about inflation with reassuring comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, utilities and consumer staples were among the strongest, while energy sank over 3%.U.S. monetary policy will offer \"powerful support\" to the econ","content":"<p>(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Powell says economy 'a ways off' from bond taper.</li>\n <li>BofA slips as low interest rates hurt lending business.</li>\n <li>American Airlines up on positive forecast.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>July 14 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended with a gain after briefly hitting an intra-day record in a choppy session on Wednesday, as investors balanced worries about inflation with reassuring comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, utilities and consumer staples were among the strongest, while energy sank over 3%.</p>\n<p>U.S. monetary policy will offer \"powerful support\" to the economy \"until the recovery is complete,\" Powell told a congressional hearing in remarks that portrayed a recent jump in inflation as temporary and focused on the need for continued job growth.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments followed data this week showing U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in June and U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years.</p>\n<p>Investors in recent weeks have focused on inflation, with many fearing a possible hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve, as well as a spike in coronavirus infections that could knock U.S. equities off record highs.</p>\n<p>With banks kicking off second-quarter earnings season this week, analysts expect 66% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to IBES estimate data from Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 is up about 16% so far this year, leading many investors to worry that the stock market rally may run out of steam, and they are looking to earnings to potentially provide more fuel.</p>\n<p>\"Everyone knows earnings are going to be very strong. The question is how the market reacts to those earnings, and what are the outlooks given by management. That is more critical than anything,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.</p>\n<p>Apple Inc hit a record high after Bloomberg reported that the company wants suppliers to increase production of its upcoming iPhone by about 20%.</p>\n<p>Microsoft also hit a record high after saying it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p>\n<p>Microsoft and Apple supported the S&P 500 more than any other stocks.</p>\n<p>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ dropped after the lender posted its quarterly results and detailed its sensitivity to low interest rates</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo rose after it swung to a profit in the second quarter, smashing Wall Street expectations. Citigroup</p>\n<p>fell after comfortably beat market estimates for second-quarter profits.</p>\n<p>Those reports followed strong results on Tuesday from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc .</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.12% to end at 34,930.34 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.10% to 4,373.55.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.26% to 14,639.60.</p>\n<p>American Airlines rallied after it forecast positive cash flow.</p>\n<p>Lululemon Athletica jumped after Goldman Sachs called the yoga pants seller a \"top idea\" as apparel makers benefit from the economic reopening.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Noel Randewich; Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and Cynthia Osterman)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends higher after Powell lulls market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends higher after Powell lulls market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-15 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Powell says economy 'a ways off' from bond taper.</li>\n <li>BofA slips as low interest rates hurt lending business.</li>\n <li>American Airlines up on positive forecast.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>July 14 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended with a gain after briefly hitting an intra-day record in a choppy session on Wednesday, as investors balanced worries about inflation with reassuring comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, utilities and consumer staples were among the strongest, while energy sank over 3%.</p>\n<p>U.S. monetary policy will offer \"powerful support\" to the economy \"until the recovery is complete,\" Powell told a congressional hearing in remarks that portrayed a recent jump in inflation as temporary and focused on the need for continued job growth.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments followed data this week showing U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in June and U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years.</p>\n<p>Investors in recent weeks have focused on inflation, with many fearing a possible hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve, as well as a spike in coronavirus infections that could knock U.S. equities off record highs.</p>\n<p>With banks kicking off second-quarter earnings season this week, analysts expect 66% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to IBES estimate data from Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 is up about 16% so far this year, leading many investors to worry that the stock market rally may run out of steam, and they are looking to earnings to potentially provide more fuel.</p>\n<p>\"Everyone knows earnings are going to be very strong. The question is how the market reacts to those earnings, and what are the outlooks given by management. That is more critical than anything,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.</p>\n<p>Apple Inc hit a record high after Bloomberg reported that the company wants suppliers to increase production of its upcoming iPhone by about 20%.</p>\n<p>Microsoft also hit a record high after saying it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.</p>\n<p>Microsoft and Apple supported the S&P 500 more than any other stocks.</p>\n<p>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ dropped after the lender posted its quarterly results and detailed its sensitivity to low interest rates</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo rose after it swung to a profit in the second quarter, smashing Wall Street expectations. Citigroup</p>\n<p>fell after comfortably beat market estimates for second-quarter profits.</p>\n<p>Those reports followed strong results on Tuesday from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc .</p>\n<p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.12% to end at 34,930.34 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.10% to 4,373.55.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.26% to 14,639.60.</p>\n<p>American Airlines rallied after it forecast positive cash flow.</p>\n<p>Lululemon Athletica jumped after Goldman Sachs called the yoga pants seller a \"top idea\" as apparel makers benefit from the economic reopening.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Noel Randewich; Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and Cynthia Osterman)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","POWL":"Powell Industries",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151548988","content_text":"(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)\n\nPowell says economy 'a ways off' from bond taper.\nBofA slips as low interest rates hurt lending business.\nAmerican Airlines up on positive forecast.\n\nJuly 14 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended with a gain after briefly hitting an intra-day record in a choppy session on Wednesday, as investors balanced worries about inflation with reassuring comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.\nOf the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, utilities and consumer staples were among the strongest, while energy sank over 3%.\nU.S. monetary policy will offer \"powerful support\" to the economy \"until the recovery is complete,\" Powell told a congressional hearing in remarks that portrayed a recent jump in inflation as temporary and focused on the need for continued job growth.\nPowell's comments followed data this week showing U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in June and U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years.\nInvestors in recent weeks have focused on inflation, with many fearing a possible hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve, as well as a spike in coronavirus infections that could knock U.S. equities off record highs.\nWith banks kicking off second-quarter earnings season this week, analysts expect 66% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to IBES estimate data from Refinitiv.\nThe S&P 500 is up about 16% so far this year, leading many investors to worry that the stock market rally may run out of steam, and they are looking to earnings to potentially provide more fuel.\n\"Everyone knows earnings are going to be very strong. The question is how the market reacts to those earnings, and what are the outlooks given by management. That is more critical than anything,\" said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.\nApple Inc hit a record high after Bloomberg reported that the company wants suppliers to increase production of its upcoming iPhone by about 20%.\nMicrosoft also hit a record high after saying it will offer its Windows operating system as a cloud-based service, aiming to make it easier to access business apps that need Windows from a broader range of devices.\nMicrosoft and Apple supported the S&P 500 more than any other stocks.\n$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ dropped after the lender posted its quarterly results and detailed its sensitivity to low interest rates\nWells Fargo rose after it swung to a profit in the second quarter, smashing Wall Street expectations. Citigroup\nfell after comfortably beat market estimates for second-quarter profits.\nThose reports followed strong results on Tuesday from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc .\nUnofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.12% to end at 34,930.34 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.10% to 4,373.55.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.26% to 14,639.60.\nAmerican Airlines rallied after it forecast positive cash flow.\nLululemon Athletica jumped after Goldman Sachs called the yoga pants seller a \"top idea\" as apparel makers benefit from the economic reopening.\n(Reporting by Noel Randewich; Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and Cynthia Osterman)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802772921,"gmtCreate":1627815728963,"gmtModify":1631891896252,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ark!","listText":"Ark!","text":"Ark!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802772921","repostId":"1141267906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141267906","pubTimestamp":1627780653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141267906?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 09:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Is Just a Start as Stock Pickers Storm the ETF World","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141267906","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Record inflows. Record fund launches. Record assets. If active money management is in","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4418a4a4b2639ef5a68e4da556a6c1b\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Record inflows. Record fund launches. Record assets. If active money management is in decline, someone forgot to tell the ETF industry.</p>\n<p>Amped up by a meme-crazed market and emboldened by the success of Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, stock pickers are storming the $6.6 trillion U.S. exchange-traded fund universe like never before -- adding a new twist in the 50-year invasion from passive investing.</p>\n<p>Passive funds still dominate the industry, but actively managed products have cut into that lead, scooping up three-times their share of the unprecedented $500 billion plowed into ETFs in 2021, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. New active funds are arriving at double the rate of passive rivals, and the cohort has boosted its market share by a third in a year.</p>\n<p>“Historically, people have thought about ETFs as being indexed-based,” said Todd Rosenbluth, head of ETF and mutual fund research at CFRA Research. “Then Ark became a household name, and then investors came to realize that not only were those products worth looking at, but so were others.”</p>\n<p>None of this is supposed to happen in an industry built on the magic of indexing. Yet a market roller coaster brought on by the pandemic is helping discretionary asset managers turn ETFs to their own advantage.</p>\n<p>Equity conditions in general have become conducive to an active approach, leadership shifting in a stop-start economy, an unpredictable macro backdrop, and increased market breadth.</p>\n<p>Read more: Active Funds Crushed Equity Benchmarks in May Like Never Before</p>\n<p>At the same time, investors are showing an unusual willingness to make concentrated bets, from riding the meme-stock madness to following the kind of thematic vision laid out by Wood.</p>\n<p>They’ve poured $62 billion into active ETFs year-to-date. That’s 12% of total flows going to a slice of the market with only 4% of assets. In the rush to tap the burgeoning demand, issuers have now launched 156 actively managed products in 2021, compared with 77 passive funds.</p>\n<p>“At the end of day, the ETF is just a wrapper, it’s just a way to package and distribute an investment strategy,” said Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research at Morningstar. “More investors are getting hip to the fact that the notion of an actively-managed ETF is not an oxymoron.”</p>\n<p>Fifty-Year Battle</p>\n<p>The active surge is the latest development in a money-management battle that’s been raging since July 1971, when a team at Wells Fargo & Co. created the original index fund.</p>\n<p>Today, the passive juggernaut is slashing industry costs, opening up investing to the masses and forcing discretionary traders to adapt or die. Active launches may be booming, but the bulk of cash flooding U.S. stocks is still destined for big, cheap funds that do nothing but track the market.</p>\n<p>Read more: Wall Street Surrenders to the $500 Billion ETF Rush</p>\n<p>“Active ETFs are doing better than they have in past, but passive is still king,” said James Seyffart, an ETF analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. “A lot of that active flow in the big months from late 2020 to early 2021 is to Cathie’s funds.”</p>\n<p>Wood has become the poster child for active management in ETFs. The flagship fund at Ark was one of the best-performing in America last year with a 149% return.</p>\n<p>Inspired by this and her enticing thematic approach -- which focuses on trends like robotics or space travel rather than market segments -- investors have sunk $14.5 billion into Ark funds in 2021.</p>\n<p>Passive Attack</p>\n<p>The mini boom for active ETFs comes not a moment too soon for the stock-picking industry.</p>\n<p>Passive funds -- mutual and exchange-traded -- now manage $11 trillion and are on course to hold 50% of all registered U.S. fund assets within five years, according to BI calculations.</p>\n<p>Critics say the rapidly swelling index industry is blowing bubbles in stock markets, weakening corporate governance and more. And in some ways, it can also hit returns.</p>\n<p>Take Tesla Inc.’s entry into the S&P 500 in December. While discretionary managers could buy Elon Musk’s firm in advance, index funds ended up adding it at an inflated valuation -- and were forced to offload billions of dollars in other stocks to make space in portfolios.</p>\n<p>“Index funds systematically buy high and sell low,” wrote Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates and his colleagues in a June paper. They argued investors would have been better off holding the company pushed out of the index to make way for Tesla.</p>\n<p>The main advantage stock pickers enjoy over their passive peers is more flexibility in deploying their cash. That’s something they’ve been able to bring to ETFs for years -- Wood’s first fund launched in 2014 -- but it was a rule change in 2019 that paved the way for the current jump in activity.</p>\n<p>It made launching ETFs easier, and enabled new structures that could hide the strategy underpinning a fund. That helped lure multiple major Wall Street players to the industry after years of holding out, including the likes of Wells Fargo and T. Rowe Price.</p>\n<p>Talk of discretionary management’s decline is still rampant, but the woes aren’t as bad as they may seem. Even as U.S. active funds -- mutual and ETF -- saw $209 billion exit last year, they closed 2020 with about $13.3 trillion under management. That was a 13% gain from 2019.</p>\n<p>The increase was largely thanks to rising markets, but if the current trend continues, before long it could just as easily be down to ETF growth.</p>\n<p>“We’re going to see the percentage of assets in actively-managed ETFs continue to climb higher,” said Rosenbluth at CFRA. “They’re going to continue to have the opportunity to punch above their weight.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Is Just a Start as Stock Pickers Storm the ETF World</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Is Just a Start as Stock Pickers Storm the ETF World\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 09:17 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-just-start-stock-120000320.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Record inflows. Record fund launches. Record assets. If active money management is in decline, someone forgot to tell the ETF industry.\nAmped up by a meme-crazed market and emboldened ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-just-start-stock-120000320.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-just-start-stock-120000320.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141267906","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Record inflows. Record fund launches. Record assets. If active money management is in decline, someone forgot to tell the ETF industry.\nAmped up by a meme-crazed market and emboldened by the success of Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, stock pickers are storming the $6.6 trillion U.S. exchange-traded fund universe like never before -- adding a new twist in the 50-year invasion from passive investing.\nPassive funds still dominate the industry, but actively managed products have cut into that lead, scooping up three-times their share of the unprecedented $500 billion plowed into ETFs in 2021, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. New active funds are arriving at double the rate of passive rivals, and the cohort has boosted its market share by a third in a year.\n“Historically, people have thought about ETFs as being indexed-based,” said Todd Rosenbluth, head of ETF and mutual fund research at CFRA Research. “Then Ark became a household name, and then investors came to realize that not only were those products worth looking at, but so were others.”\nNone of this is supposed to happen in an industry built on the magic of indexing. Yet a market roller coaster brought on by the pandemic is helping discretionary asset managers turn ETFs to their own advantage.\nEquity conditions in general have become conducive to an active approach, leadership shifting in a stop-start economy, an unpredictable macro backdrop, and increased market breadth.\nRead more: Active Funds Crushed Equity Benchmarks in May Like Never Before\nAt the same time, investors are showing an unusual willingness to make concentrated bets, from riding the meme-stock madness to following the kind of thematic vision laid out by Wood.\nThey’ve poured $62 billion into active ETFs year-to-date. That’s 12% of total flows going to a slice of the market with only 4% of assets. In the rush to tap the burgeoning demand, issuers have now launched 156 actively managed products in 2021, compared with 77 passive funds.\n“At the end of day, the ETF is just a wrapper, it’s just a way to package and distribute an investment strategy,” said Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research at Morningstar. “More investors are getting hip to the fact that the notion of an actively-managed ETF is not an oxymoron.”\nFifty-Year Battle\nThe active surge is the latest development in a money-management battle that’s been raging since July 1971, when a team at Wells Fargo & Co. created the original index fund.\nToday, the passive juggernaut is slashing industry costs, opening up investing to the masses and forcing discretionary traders to adapt or die. Active launches may be booming, but the bulk of cash flooding U.S. stocks is still destined for big, cheap funds that do nothing but track the market.\nRead more: Wall Street Surrenders to the $500 Billion ETF Rush\n“Active ETFs are doing better than they have in past, but passive is still king,” said James Seyffart, an ETF analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. “A lot of that active flow in the big months from late 2020 to early 2021 is to Cathie’s funds.”\nWood has become the poster child for active management in ETFs. The flagship fund at Ark was one of the best-performing in America last year with a 149% return.\nInspired by this and her enticing thematic approach -- which focuses on trends like robotics or space travel rather than market segments -- investors have sunk $14.5 billion into Ark funds in 2021.\nPassive Attack\nThe mini boom for active ETFs comes not a moment too soon for the stock-picking industry.\nPassive funds -- mutual and exchange-traded -- now manage $11 trillion and are on course to hold 50% of all registered U.S. fund assets within five years, according to BI calculations.\nCritics say the rapidly swelling index industry is blowing bubbles in stock markets, weakening corporate governance and more. And in some ways, it can also hit returns.\nTake Tesla Inc.’s entry into the S&P 500 in December. While discretionary managers could buy Elon Musk’s firm in advance, index funds ended up adding it at an inflated valuation -- and were forced to offload billions of dollars in other stocks to make space in portfolios.\n“Index funds systematically buy high and sell low,” wrote Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates and his colleagues in a June paper. They argued investors would have been better off holding the company pushed out of the index to make way for Tesla.\nThe main advantage stock pickers enjoy over their passive peers is more flexibility in deploying their cash. That’s something they’ve been able to bring to ETFs for years -- Wood’s first fund launched in 2014 -- but it was a rule change in 2019 that paved the way for the current jump in activity.\nIt made launching ETFs easier, and enabled new structures that could hide the strategy underpinning a fund. That helped lure multiple major Wall Street players to the industry after years of holding out, including the likes of Wells Fargo and T. Rowe Price.\nTalk of discretionary management’s decline is still rampant, but the woes aren’t as bad as they may seem. Even as U.S. active funds -- mutual and ETF -- saw $209 billion exit last year, they closed 2020 with about $13.3 trillion under management. That was a 13% gain from 2019.\nThe increase was largely thanks to rising markets, but if the current trend continues, before long it could just as easily be down to ETF growth.\n“We’re going to see the percentage of assets in actively-managed ETFs continue to climb higher,” said Rosenbluth at CFRA. “They’re going to continue to have the opportunity to punch above their weight.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123167949,"gmtCreate":1624412627681,"gmtModify":1634006493830,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yay! Huat ah!!!","listText":"Yay! Huat ah!!!","text":"Yay! Huat ah!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123167949","repostId":"2145657710","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2145657710","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1624390489,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145657710?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 03:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145657710","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Au","content":"<html><body><p>June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 03:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TISI":"Team Inc","BGC":"BGC GROUP","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145657710","content_text":"June 22 (Reuters) - :Lynn Miller, Former Deputy General Counsel At Tesla, Joins Executive Team Of Autonomous Trucking Technology Company Plus. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129975615,"gmtCreate":1624355315337,"gmtModify":1634007368693,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah!!!","listText":"Yeah!!!","text":"Yeah!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129975615","repostId":"1124495234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124495234","pubTimestamp":1624352353,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124495234?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Has Spoken: Stocks To Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124495234","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Fed could begin raising rates sooner than 2023.\nHealthcare and utilities are climbing o","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Fed could begin raising rates sooner than 2023.</li>\n <li>Healthcare and utilities are climbing our sector ranking.</li>\n <li>The top stocks in our universe today.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>As I wrote last week,inflation is here. Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee made its most significant hawkish shift yet, accelerating its timeline for hiking the Federal Funds rate to 2023 from 2024 and setting the table to end asset repurchases as soon as this year.</p>\n<p>The Central Bank left little doubt government's one-two monetary and fiscal punch has reinvigorated economic activity. Exiting the meeting, bankers believe gross domestic product, or GDP, willgrow 7%this year, up from its 6.5% forecast in March, resulting in core inflation of 3%, up from its prior outlook for 2.2%.</p>\n<p>Historically, the Federal Reserve has a reputation for under estimating inflationary pressure, forcing it to act more quickly and aggressively than it originally signals. Whether this means the Fed is behind the inflationary curve now is anyone's guess, but if it is, then we may see an even more hawkish tone over the coming year.</p>\n<p>For now, the Federal Reserve's stance has sparked a tug-of-war between those arguing rate hikes are too far off in the future to worry of a slowdown and those believing the Fed's timeline is still too optimistic. The knee-jerk reaction to its announcement was to buy speculative stocks, including technology, and sell mid-cycle stocks, such as energy. Further confusing the matter, late-cycle baskets, including healthcare and utilities, made the biggest move up in our large-cap sector ranking this week (see below), suggesting we may be closer to an economic reckoning than originally thought.</p>\n<p><b>The best sectors today</b></p>\n<p>Weekly, we rank 1,600 institutional-quality stocks across seven factors. In short, our scoring system incorporates earnings growth, earnings beats, insider buying, short- and long-term money flows, days to cover held short, trends in valuation, and seasonality.</p>\n<p>Once stocks run our gauntlet, we aggregate individual scores by sector to gain insight into the best baskets to over- or under-weight.</p>\n<p>Previously, I've written abouttechnology's relative weaknessin our ranking. The sector still scores below our average universe score, despite catching bids earlier this week. It will be interesting to see if this week's buying spree continues, helping technology climb our ranking, especially since technology doesn't normally score below average for long. For now, staying industry and stock specific in technology still appears to be the best bet.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d6585be1d6bfa0b5a61dc98f0ca8c85\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"421\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Top Stocks for Tomorrow.</i></p>\n<p>We also break out our sector scores by market cap every week.</p>\n<p>Often, sectors move up or down in our large-cap ranking sooner than they do in mid cap or small cap; giving investors an early signal of shifting tides. For this reason, paying close attention to the large cap ranking can pay off even if you invest in smaller companies.</p>\n<p>This week, both healthcare and utilities moved up in our large-cap ranking. The improvement could reflect growing clarity into the groups because of the Supreme Court's decision to keep the Affordable Care Act in place and energy strains in Texas, California, and elsewhere, respectively. Perhaps, the move up in these baskets, which are relatively inelastic to economic activity, signals the first Fed Funds rate hike will happen in 2022, not 2023, though.</p>\n<p>Overall, REITs, healthcare, energy, utilities, and financials are top rated in large cap, while technology, consumer goods, and basics score below average. In mid cap, energy, REITs, utilities, and consumer goods are best, while technology, industrials, basics, and healthcare are low scoring. The top small cap sectors are REITs, energy, financials, and services and the lowest-scoring baskets are healthcare, technology, and basics. Focusing on stocks in top-scoring sectors and staying selective in low-scoring sectors could be the best way to find alpha from here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440717f3f07f728c62361601e338f285\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Top Stocks for Tomorrow.</i></p>\n<p><b>The strongest scoring stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>As I mentioned, we score stocks in our universe weekly, allowing us to rank them from best to worst by screening criteria, such as market cap and sector. For example, the following stock ideas come from our weekly report highlighting the highest-scoring stocks in our universe by sector, regardless of market cap.</p>\n<p>Over 200 stocks made the cut for this report, including the following nine stocks.</p>\n<p>First up, investors ought to think about pharmaceutical stocks given large-cap healthcare is improving in our sector work. Over 20 healthcare stocks made our best stocks list this week, including AbbVie(NYSE:ABBV)and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY).</p>\n<p>In the U.S., AbbVie faces-off against generic versions of its mega-blockbuster immunology drug, Humira, in 2023, but up-and-coming top sellers, including Rinvoq and Skyrizi, should helpinsulate it against a drop-off in sales. Botox also provides a nice revenue tailwind because aesthetics demand isalready above pre-COVID levelsthanks to post-vaccination doctor visits. Moonshot-style data is coming soon, too, with trial results in Alzheimer's anticipated this summer and pivotal results from Vraylar's major depressive disorder trials later this year. Finally, since it's paying down debt and still guiding for high single-digit sales growth from 2025 to 2029, despite Humira's loss of exclusivity, its 4.5% dividend appears to be on solid ground.</p>\n<p>Improving post-vaccination trends may make it time to watch Bristol-Myers, too. It's heavily exposed to cancer indications through it's top-selling Opdivo and Yervoy, and earlier this month, managementsaidCOVID-era, double-digit declines in new patient starts for oncology drugs improved to a 5% to 10% decline. If trends continue improving, then oncology drug demand could be back to a pre-COVID levels soon. Similarly, rebounding doctor visits also support sales of Bristol-Myers' Eliquis, a blockbuster oral anticoagulant used in cardiovascular disease.</p>\n<p>Outside of healthcare, energy stocks could make sense given increasing global GDP and inflation forecasts. Oil stocks sold off following the Fed's update last week, however, measured production growth should help keep per barrel prices high at E&P companies, including Hess Corp (HES), while also providing demand tailwinds for services providers, including Oceaneering International (OII).</p>\n<p>Hess Corp'scollaborationoffshore Guyana with Exxon Mobil (XOM) gives it 30% exposure to over 9 billion barrels of oil equivalent in the Stabroek Block, and reserves are climbing thanks to new discoveries. Its breakeven cost in the play ranges from $25 to $35 per barrel of Brent Crude, so with current prices above $70, new production coming online could help boost earnings nicely over the next few years.</p>\n<p>Anoffshore energy projectsplayer, Oceaneering Int'l could see demand for its remotely-operated vehicles (ROVs), subsea project management, and manufactured products, such as umbilicals, increase nicely if offshore activity picks up because of higher per barrel prices. In Q1, ROV fleet utilization was just 53%, yet day rates improved 7% quarter over quarter, and for the full year, management expects fleet utilization to be in thehigh 50%range. With a project in Angola supported project management revenue this year, a potential uptick in book-to-bill for manufactured products, and increasing ROV utilization, it could still be early innings for the company's turnaround.</p>\n<p>There are plenty of ideas outside healthcare and energy, too. For example, nearly 50 technology stocks made our best list, despite the sector scoring below average in our sector ranking, including Microsoft (MSFT) and Shopify (SHOP), which benefit from increasing data in the cloud and e-commerce tailwinds, respectively. Amazon.com (AMZN) is also top-scoring, benefiting from growing e-commerce share of total retail sales and Prime Day, which could add over $10 billion in revenue this year, based on2020's performance.</p>\n<p>Our best list also includes a slate of services stocks, including Stitch Fix (SFIX) and Revolve Group (RVLV). As younger workers refresh wardrobes because post-vaccination, return to office trends, those companies could see a healthy uptake in sales.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Has Spoken: Stocks To Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Has Spoken: Stocks To Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 16:59 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435924-the-fed-has-spoken-stocks-to-buy-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Fed could begin raising rates sooner than 2023.\nHealthcare and utilities are climbing our sector ranking.\nThe top stocks in our universe today.\n\nAs I wrote last week,inflation is here. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435924-the-fed-has-spoken-stocks-to-buy-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","RVLV":"Revolve Group, LLC","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","XOM":"埃克森美孚","OII":"国际海洋工程","HES":"赫斯","AMZN":"亚马逊","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","BMY":"施贵宝","ABBV":"艾伯维公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435924-the-fed-has-spoken-stocks-to-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1124495234","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Fed could begin raising rates sooner than 2023.\nHealthcare and utilities are climbing our sector ranking.\nThe top stocks in our universe today.\n\nAs I wrote last week,inflation is here. Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee made its most significant hawkish shift yet, accelerating its timeline for hiking the Federal Funds rate to 2023 from 2024 and setting the table to end asset repurchases as soon as this year.\nThe Central Bank left little doubt government's one-two monetary and fiscal punch has reinvigorated economic activity. Exiting the meeting, bankers believe gross domestic product, or GDP, willgrow 7%this year, up from its 6.5% forecast in March, resulting in core inflation of 3%, up from its prior outlook for 2.2%.\nHistorically, the Federal Reserve has a reputation for under estimating inflationary pressure, forcing it to act more quickly and aggressively than it originally signals. Whether this means the Fed is behind the inflationary curve now is anyone's guess, but if it is, then we may see an even more hawkish tone over the coming year.\nFor now, the Federal Reserve's stance has sparked a tug-of-war between those arguing rate hikes are too far off in the future to worry of a slowdown and those believing the Fed's timeline is still too optimistic. The knee-jerk reaction to its announcement was to buy speculative stocks, including technology, and sell mid-cycle stocks, such as energy. Further confusing the matter, late-cycle baskets, including healthcare and utilities, made the biggest move up in our large-cap sector ranking this week (see below), suggesting we may be closer to an economic reckoning than originally thought.\nThe best sectors today\nWeekly, we rank 1,600 institutional-quality stocks across seven factors. In short, our scoring system incorporates earnings growth, earnings beats, insider buying, short- and long-term money flows, days to cover held short, trends in valuation, and seasonality.\nOnce stocks run our gauntlet, we aggregate individual scores by sector to gain insight into the best baskets to over- or under-weight.\nPreviously, I've written abouttechnology's relative weaknessin our ranking. The sector still scores below our average universe score, despite catching bids earlier this week. It will be interesting to see if this week's buying spree continues, helping technology climb our ranking, especially since technology doesn't normally score below average for long. For now, staying industry and stock specific in technology still appears to be the best bet.\nSource: Top Stocks for Tomorrow.\nWe also break out our sector scores by market cap every week.\nOften, sectors move up or down in our large-cap ranking sooner than they do in mid cap or small cap; giving investors an early signal of shifting tides. For this reason, paying close attention to the large cap ranking can pay off even if you invest in smaller companies.\nThis week, both healthcare and utilities moved up in our large-cap ranking. The improvement could reflect growing clarity into the groups because of the Supreme Court's decision to keep the Affordable Care Act in place and energy strains in Texas, California, and elsewhere, respectively. Perhaps, the move up in these baskets, which are relatively inelastic to economic activity, signals the first Fed Funds rate hike will happen in 2022, not 2023, though.\nOverall, REITs, healthcare, energy, utilities, and financials are top rated in large cap, while technology, consumer goods, and basics score below average. In mid cap, energy, REITs, utilities, and consumer goods are best, while technology, industrials, basics, and healthcare are low scoring. The top small cap sectors are REITs, energy, financials, and services and the lowest-scoring baskets are healthcare, technology, and basics. Focusing on stocks in top-scoring sectors and staying selective in low-scoring sectors could be the best way to find alpha from here.\nSource: Top Stocks for Tomorrow.\nThe strongest scoring stocks to buy\nAs I mentioned, we score stocks in our universe weekly, allowing us to rank them from best to worst by screening criteria, such as market cap and sector. For example, the following stock ideas come from our weekly report highlighting the highest-scoring stocks in our universe by sector, regardless of market cap.\nOver 200 stocks made the cut for this report, including the following nine stocks.\nFirst up, investors ought to think about pharmaceutical stocks given large-cap healthcare is improving in our sector work. Over 20 healthcare stocks made our best stocks list this week, including AbbVie(NYSE:ABBV)and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY).\nIn the U.S., AbbVie faces-off against generic versions of its mega-blockbuster immunology drug, Humira, in 2023, but up-and-coming top sellers, including Rinvoq and Skyrizi, should helpinsulate it against a drop-off in sales. Botox also provides a nice revenue tailwind because aesthetics demand isalready above pre-COVID levelsthanks to post-vaccination doctor visits. Moonshot-style data is coming soon, too, with trial results in Alzheimer's anticipated this summer and pivotal results from Vraylar's major depressive disorder trials later this year. Finally, since it's paying down debt and still guiding for high single-digit sales growth from 2025 to 2029, despite Humira's loss of exclusivity, its 4.5% dividend appears to be on solid ground.\nImproving post-vaccination trends may make it time to watch Bristol-Myers, too. It's heavily exposed to cancer indications through it's top-selling Opdivo and Yervoy, and earlier this month, managementsaidCOVID-era, double-digit declines in new patient starts for oncology drugs improved to a 5% to 10% decline. If trends continue improving, then oncology drug demand could be back to a pre-COVID levels soon. Similarly, rebounding doctor visits also support sales of Bristol-Myers' Eliquis, a blockbuster oral anticoagulant used in cardiovascular disease.\nOutside of healthcare, energy stocks could make sense given increasing global GDP and inflation forecasts. Oil stocks sold off following the Fed's update last week, however, measured production growth should help keep per barrel prices high at E&P companies, including Hess Corp (HES), while also providing demand tailwinds for services providers, including Oceaneering International (OII).\nHess Corp'scollaborationoffshore Guyana with Exxon Mobil (XOM) gives it 30% exposure to over 9 billion barrels of oil equivalent in the Stabroek Block, and reserves are climbing thanks to new discoveries. Its breakeven cost in the play ranges from $25 to $35 per barrel of Brent Crude, so with current prices above $70, new production coming online could help boost earnings nicely over the next few years.\nAnoffshore energy projectsplayer, Oceaneering Int'l could see demand for its remotely-operated vehicles (ROVs), subsea project management, and manufactured products, such as umbilicals, increase nicely if offshore activity picks up because of higher per barrel prices. In Q1, ROV fleet utilization was just 53%, yet day rates improved 7% quarter over quarter, and for the full year, management expects fleet utilization to be in thehigh 50%range. With a project in Angola supported project management revenue this year, a potential uptick in book-to-bill for manufactured products, and increasing ROV utilization, it could still be early innings for the company's turnaround.\nThere are plenty of ideas outside healthcare and energy, too. For example, nearly 50 technology stocks made our best list, despite the sector scoring below average in our sector ranking, including Microsoft (MSFT) and Shopify (SHOP), which benefit from increasing data in the cloud and e-commerce tailwinds, respectively. Amazon.com (AMZN) is also top-scoring, benefiting from growing e-commerce share of total retail sales and Prime Day, which could add over $10 billion in revenue this year, based on2020's performance.\nOur best list also includes a slate of services stocks, including Stitch Fix (SFIX) and Revolve Group (RVLV). As younger workers refresh wardrobes because post-vaccination, return to office trends, those companies could see a healthy uptake in sales.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":820936800,"gmtCreate":1633337810718,"gmtModify":1633337810847,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in ","listText":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in ","text":"Waiting for a sell off to buy in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820936800","repostId":"1137835462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137835462","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633334786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137835462?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137835462","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.\nTesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record el","content":"<p>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cab5fe12ed908fae1c4667b858ab877\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.</p>\n<p>Tesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. </p>\n<p>Tesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-04 16:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cab5fe12ed908fae1c4667b858ab877\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.</p>\n<p>Tesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. </p>\n<p>Tesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137835462","content_text":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.\nTesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.\nTesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. \nTesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":899864258,"gmtCreate":1628174286174,"gmtModify":1631891896247,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest for long terms","listText":"Invest for long terms","text":"Invest for long terms","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899864258","repostId":"1175346944","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175346944","pubTimestamp":1628172732,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175346944?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175346944","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Contrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.Even so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.I remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.Tesla , the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the co","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Contrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.</li>\n <li>Even so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.</li>\n <li>I remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA), the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the company continued reporting solid sales and income growth.</p>\n<p>I've argued in the past that, although the company has several strong long-term growth avenues to pursue, their long-term prospects are dimmed compared to what analysts have projected, given the amount of competition emerging in the EV industry over the course of the next few years.</p>\n<p>But that's a whole other thing than the company's near-term prospects, which I believe are grand relative to some of the established players shifting over to electric vehicle production, as I've highlighted inmy recent articleon Ford (F). These advantages mean that the company will remain superior in the near term when it comes to profitability and diversity within the EV industry and can best utilize the rapid growth rate the entire industry is expecting.</p>\n<p>The Long-Term Headwinds Haven't Changed</p>\n<p>As I've been highlighting for several months now,Tesla's long-term prospects have dimmedsince other automobile companies like Ford and General Motors (GM) in the United States, NIO (NIO) and others in the Asia-Pacific region and other European and South Korean automobile manufacturers moved up their electrification process timelines. The main reason for this is that these companies have very solid brand recognition, and individuals who have owned these models for years or decades have the option to opt for an electric version of those; they choose those over trying out a new untested model a majority of the time.</p>\n<p>With companies like Ford introducing the all-electric F-150 and others, it's unclear how Tesla can maintain this high growth rate beyond 2024 as these models are expected to hit the streets and begin capturing back market share away from Tesla and other current models. Other factors like Tesla opening up their charging station network to all EV models, as well as a massive capital injection into EV charging stations in the most recent infrastructure spending bill in the United States, will surely help Tesla's income when it charges for the use, but it also helps other companies overcome the main hurdle of widespread adoption - clearing a pathway for more and more EV models to emerge.</p>\n<p>The Short-Term Tailwinds Are Emerging</p>\n<p>Tesla has several near-term tailwinds which will keep way ahead of any competition for the next 12 to 24 months. These mostly all boil down to profitability but also focus on various business model advantages.</p>\n<p>1. A positive profit margin: While other companies are just now beginning to invest in transforming their manufacturing facilities from fossil fuel intake engines to electric vehicle production, Tesla has done this and way more efficiently. Since they've built these from scratch, they've mostly automated the process and thus enjoy a much higher profit margin. Other companies won't see a profit per vehicle for years to come.</p>\n<p>2. Surging battery manufacturing: Although other companies have a mixed position on whether to manufacture their own batteries or set up joint ventures with existing companies, Tesla has been churning out batteries for years and have, as similar with the vehicle manufacturing process, nearly fully automated the process to maximize profits per unit.</p>\n<p>3. International manufacturing: Other companies, thus far, have focused on restructuring and transforming current assembly plants in the United States and will likely take several more years before they do so for other international facilities, which means they will need to spend a fortune shipping these new vehicles around the world to the EMEA and the Asia-Pacific. Tesla, on the other hand, has manufacturing facilities in the United States and in China and is set to open their plant in Germany as well as being in final development stages of an India plant, which will allow them to access a much larger market.</p>\n<p>4. Charging stations advantage: Although the new infrastructure bill in the United States, as well as massive investments in countries like Japan and China, are certain to put in hundreds of thousands of new EV charging stations across the globe, this will take time. So far, only Tesla has a real robust charging network across the world. A recent development, which does have negative elements to it as mentioned earlier, has a positive near term one - they will be raking in net profits from allowing other electric vehicles to charge on their network. This means that they'll likely be profiting from each vehicle their competitors churn out, at least until the scaling up of non-Tesla charging stations takes place.</p>\n<p>5. \"Other Business\" growth rate: While other automobile companies are still spending hand over fist on their other models and products, Tesla enjoys being only in high-growth industries like SolarCity's solar panels and battery sales. As I'll expand on in the next segment, they also don't have near-term or long-term financial obligations from these \"other business\" segments as establishment automobile companies have.</p>\n<p>Balance Sheet Advantages</p>\n<p>Although some elements of their balance sheet advantage are set to help them in the long run as well, they're mostly advantages for the short term since once these other companies begin making a profit from their EV sales - a lot of this will be reversed.</p>\n<p>Tesla's main advantage, as mentioned earlier, is that they're actually raking in cash from each car they sell, allowing them to use that cash to continue and set up more manufacturing facilities and invest in battery technology, solar technology and production increases. This is contrary to other automobile companies which have high financial obligations to their other business segments like pensions and leases. This will further aid the company's overall profit margin, while they don't struggle with such obligations.</p>\n<p>These other companies will need to use profits and cash from their existing legacy business segments to pay for their losses on each vehicle they produce, hurting their overall valuation moving forward.</p>\n<p>Although Tesla has $6.9 billion inlong-term debt, a factor which kept many investors on the sidelines as debt racked up, they currently hold just under $16.3 billion in cash and equivalents, making their net debt position negative. They've been using the cash to pay down their debt as well,reducing their interest expense burdenfrom almost $800 million in 2020 to just over $500 million in 2021. Tesla paid back $15 billion in debt in 2021 for a net debt reduction of $6 billion. There's very little doubt that other automobile companies will be forced to take on more debt to finance increased production and in this raising rate environment, that can snowball.</p>\n<p>Tesla is set to seecash flowof around $10 billion annually whereas a company like Ford has been fluctuating between a net positive and negative cash flow status for the past few years, and that's not expected to change through 2025 as they continue to increase investments in the electrification of their vehicles.</p>\n<p>What About Current Valuation</p>\n<p>Analystscurrently expect the company to report EPS of $5.38 for 2021 and grow at a fast pace to reach EPS of $10.33 for 2024. As I mentioned in my earlier article, I believe that, given comparison with other major automobile companies, the company is fairly valued at around 75x forward earnings.</p>\n<p>I do, however, believe that some of the current competition expectations are overblown for the near term, as I've been mentioning throughout the entire article. Therefore, I do believe that Tesla will outperform current expectations at least through 2023. This means that a 75x forward earnings multiple is the ground base for appropriate valuation, I believe.</p>\n<p>This presents the following fair value, with the implied increase potential:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/052968e079d7fe8419e4790de451c9fd\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"201\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As you can see, this means that Tesla is almost 40% overvalued relative to earnings expectations, even if they overcome them by as much as 20%. However, given that these expectations are likely to be beaten, I don't believe that shorting the company is a good idea, but one thing that is worth looking out for is a general market correction.</p>\n<p>The Biggest Risk Of Owning Tesla</p>\n<p>The biggest risk with owning Tesla right now is that, in a general market correction, which can happen at any moment as the post-pandemic trade is winding down, companies with lofty expectations tend to fall the most as fair value is sought beyond what their potential is way down the line.</p>\n<p>I don't believe that shorting Tesla is the right approach, even though my disclosures down below and in previous article state that I am, given general market exposure. I am short simply because I don't believe that much upwards potential is there, whilst downward potential in a market correction is vast. So, given that I am mostly long, this short is a general portfolio hedge while I reduce positions in case of a correction.</p>\n<p>In Conclusion</p>\n<p>Tesla has several positive catalysts which should keep them on top of the EV industry growth roster for the next 24 to 36 months, while other companies struggle to make even a single penny on their new vehicles. These are set, I believe, to allow them to beat earnings expectations for that time period.</p>\n<p>Even so, their long-term competitive pressures remain high and as I stated in my previous article - their long-term growth prospects will continue to dim as time moves on.</p>\n<p>Even with these positive near-term advantages, I still believe that the company is overvalued by as much as 40%, and although I do not favor shorting the company for this overvaluation, I remain slightly bearish on their long-term prospects and neutral to slightly bullish on their near-term one.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Short-Term Advantages Aren't Enough\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 22:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nContrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.\nEven so, current lofty valuation ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445360-tesla-short-term-advantages-are-not-enough","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1175346944","content_text":"Summary\n\nContrary to common belief, Tesla has one main advantage over any competition emerging in the electric vehicle market, set to bolster its near-term prospects.\nEven so, current lofty valuation leaves little room for upside investment potential.\nI remain slightly bearish on the company's prospects.\n\nTesla (TSLA), the undoubted leader in the electric vehicle market, has had the share price run of a lifetime, rising nearly 1,500% over the past 24 months as markets rallied for the post-pandemic surge and the company continued reporting solid sales and income growth.\nI've argued in the past that, although the company has several strong long-term growth avenues to pursue, their long-term prospects are dimmed compared to what analysts have projected, given the amount of competition emerging in the EV industry over the course of the next few years.\nBut that's a whole other thing than the company's near-term prospects, which I believe are grand relative to some of the established players shifting over to electric vehicle production, as I've highlighted inmy recent articleon Ford (F). These advantages mean that the company will remain superior in the near term when it comes to profitability and diversity within the EV industry and can best utilize the rapid growth rate the entire industry is expecting.\nThe Long-Term Headwinds Haven't Changed\nAs I've been highlighting for several months now,Tesla's long-term prospects have dimmedsince other automobile companies like Ford and General Motors (GM) in the United States, NIO (NIO) and others in the Asia-Pacific region and other European and South Korean automobile manufacturers moved up their electrification process timelines. The main reason for this is that these companies have very solid brand recognition, and individuals who have owned these models for years or decades have the option to opt for an electric version of those; they choose those over trying out a new untested model a majority of the time.\nWith companies like Ford introducing the all-electric F-150 and others, it's unclear how Tesla can maintain this high growth rate beyond 2024 as these models are expected to hit the streets and begin capturing back market share away from Tesla and other current models. Other factors like Tesla opening up their charging station network to all EV models, as well as a massive capital injection into EV charging stations in the most recent infrastructure spending bill in the United States, will surely help Tesla's income when it charges for the use, but it also helps other companies overcome the main hurdle of widespread adoption - clearing a pathway for more and more EV models to emerge.\nThe Short-Term Tailwinds Are Emerging\nTesla has several near-term tailwinds which will keep way ahead of any competition for the next 12 to 24 months. These mostly all boil down to profitability but also focus on various business model advantages.\n1. A positive profit margin: While other companies are just now beginning to invest in transforming their manufacturing facilities from fossil fuel intake engines to electric vehicle production, Tesla has done this and way more efficiently. Since they've built these from scratch, they've mostly automated the process and thus enjoy a much higher profit margin. Other companies won't see a profit per vehicle for years to come.\n2. Surging battery manufacturing: Although other companies have a mixed position on whether to manufacture their own batteries or set up joint ventures with existing companies, Tesla has been churning out batteries for years and have, as similar with the vehicle manufacturing process, nearly fully automated the process to maximize profits per unit.\n3. International manufacturing: Other companies, thus far, have focused on restructuring and transforming current assembly plants in the United States and will likely take several more years before they do so for other international facilities, which means they will need to spend a fortune shipping these new vehicles around the world to the EMEA and the Asia-Pacific. Tesla, on the other hand, has manufacturing facilities in the United States and in China and is set to open their plant in Germany as well as being in final development stages of an India plant, which will allow them to access a much larger market.\n4. Charging stations advantage: Although the new infrastructure bill in the United States, as well as massive investments in countries like Japan and China, are certain to put in hundreds of thousands of new EV charging stations across the globe, this will take time. So far, only Tesla has a real robust charging network across the world. A recent development, which does have negative elements to it as mentioned earlier, has a positive near term one - they will be raking in net profits from allowing other electric vehicles to charge on their network. This means that they'll likely be profiting from each vehicle their competitors churn out, at least until the scaling up of non-Tesla charging stations takes place.\n5. \"Other Business\" growth rate: While other automobile companies are still spending hand over fist on their other models and products, Tesla enjoys being only in high-growth industries like SolarCity's solar panels and battery sales. As I'll expand on in the next segment, they also don't have near-term or long-term financial obligations from these \"other business\" segments as establishment automobile companies have.\nBalance Sheet Advantages\nAlthough some elements of their balance sheet advantage are set to help them in the long run as well, they're mostly advantages for the short term since once these other companies begin making a profit from their EV sales - a lot of this will be reversed.\nTesla's main advantage, as mentioned earlier, is that they're actually raking in cash from each car they sell, allowing them to use that cash to continue and set up more manufacturing facilities and invest in battery technology, solar technology and production increases. This is contrary to other automobile companies which have high financial obligations to their other business segments like pensions and leases. This will further aid the company's overall profit margin, while they don't struggle with such obligations.\nThese other companies will need to use profits and cash from their existing legacy business segments to pay for their losses on each vehicle they produce, hurting their overall valuation moving forward.\nAlthough Tesla has $6.9 billion inlong-term debt, a factor which kept many investors on the sidelines as debt racked up, they currently hold just under $16.3 billion in cash and equivalents, making their net debt position negative. They've been using the cash to pay down their debt as well,reducing their interest expense burdenfrom almost $800 million in 2020 to just over $500 million in 2021. Tesla paid back $15 billion in debt in 2021 for a net debt reduction of $6 billion. There's very little doubt that other automobile companies will be forced to take on more debt to finance increased production and in this raising rate environment, that can snowball.\nTesla is set to seecash flowof around $10 billion annually whereas a company like Ford has been fluctuating between a net positive and negative cash flow status for the past few years, and that's not expected to change through 2025 as they continue to increase investments in the electrification of their vehicles.\nWhat About Current Valuation\nAnalystscurrently expect the company to report EPS of $5.38 for 2021 and grow at a fast pace to reach EPS of $10.33 for 2024. As I mentioned in my earlier article, I believe that, given comparison with other major automobile companies, the company is fairly valued at around 75x forward earnings.\nI do, however, believe that some of the current competition expectations are overblown for the near term, as I've been mentioning throughout the entire article. Therefore, I do believe that Tesla will outperform current expectations at least through 2023. This means that a 75x forward earnings multiple is the ground base for appropriate valuation, I believe.\nThis presents the following fair value, with the implied increase potential:\nAs you can see, this means that Tesla is almost 40% overvalued relative to earnings expectations, even if they overcome them by as much as 20%. However, given that these expectations are likely to be beaten, I don't believe that shorting the company is a good idea, but one thing that is worth looking out for is a general market correction.\nThe Biggest Risk Of Owning Tesla\nThe biggest risk with owning Tesla right now is that, in a general market correction, which can happen at any moment as the post-pandemic trade is winding down, companies with lofty expectations tend to fall the most as fair value is sought beyond what their potential is way down the line.\nI don't believe that shorting Tesla is the right approach, even though my disclosures down below and in previous article state that I am, given general market exposure. I am short simply because I don't believe that much upwards potential is there, whilst downward potential in a market correction is vast. So, given that I am mostly long, this short is a general portfolio hedge while I reduce positions in case of a correction.\nIn Conclusion\nTesla has several positive catalysts which should keep them on top of the EV industry growth roster for the next 24 to 36 months, while other companies struggle to make even a single penny on their new vehicles. These are set, I believe, to allow them to beat earnings expectations for that time period.\nEven so, their long-term competitive pressures remain high and as I stated in my previous article - their long-term growth prospects will continue to dim as time moves on.\nEven with these positive near-term advantages, I still believe that the company is overvalued by as much as 40%, and although I do not favor shorting the company for this overvaluation, I remain slightly bearish on their long-term prospects and neutral to slightly bullish on their near-term one.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140125895,"gmtCreate":1625639531717,"gmtModify":1633938806324,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Potential hold!","listText":"Potential hold!","text":"Potential hold!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140125895","repostId":"1163143630","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154020200,"gmtCreate":1625461699400,"gmtModify":1633940443122,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news for EV Shares holders","listText":"Good news for EV Shares holders","text":"Good news for EV Shares holders","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154020200","repostId":"1193340451","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193340451","pubTimestamp":1625456464,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193340451?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 11:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank of America: Billions are about to pour into EV infrastructure — and these stocks will benefit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193340451","media":"CNBC","summary":"Electric vehicle adoption is at an inflection point, according toBank of Americaanalysts who identified a new way to play the trend. An increasing need for EVcharging technologyis set to benefit a raft of global stocks, according to the bank, including semiconductor and Big Oil companies, as well as auto suppliers.$Bank of America$ analysts led by Harry Wyburd flagged a rapid rise in ownership of electric vehicles, with EVs on Europe’s roads up 100% since pre-Covid.In a research note published l","content":"<div>\n<p>Electric vehicle adoption is at an inflection point, according toBank of Americaanalysts who identified a new way to play the trend. An increasing need for EVcharging technologyis set to benefit a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/04/bank-of-america-chooses-electric-vehicle-stocks-in-a-sector-worth-billions.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Billions are about to pour into EV infrastructure — and these stocks will benefit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Billions are about to pour into EV infrastructure — and these stocks will benefit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 11:41 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/04/bank-of-america-chooses-electric-vehicle-stocks-in-a-sector-worth-billions.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric vehicle adoption is at an inflection point, according toBank of Americaanalysts who identified a new way to play the trend. An increasing need for EVcharging technologyis set to benefit a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/04/bank-of-america-chooses-electric-vehicle-stocks-in-a-sector-worth-billions.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/04/bank-of-america-chooses-electric-vehicle-stocks-in-a-sector-worth-billions.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1193340451","content_text":"Electric vehicle adoption is at an inflection point, according toBank of Americaanalysts who identified a new way to play the trend. An increasing need for EVcharging technologyis set to benefit a raft of global stocks, according to the bank, including semiconductor and Big Oil companies, as well as auto suppliers.\nBank of America analysts led by Harry Wyburd flagged a rapid rise in ownership of electric vehicles, with EVs on Europe’s roads up 100% since pre-Covid.\nIn a research note published last week, they wrote: “Our updated charger forecasts see c. [circa] $80bn of potential charging infrastructure investment by 2040E [estimate].”\nThe bank estimates there are currently around nine public charging points per 100 electric vehicles in Europe and expects the number to rise as more of the cars hit the road. BofA also expects “significant” growth in home charging points, with around 60 million electric connectors by 2030.\nBofA’s stock picks include:\nSemiconductors\n“We estimate that power semiconductor demand related to charger deployments in Europe can increase from low tens of millions of US dollars per annum to c$50m per annum by 2025 and c$100m per annum by 2030,” the analysts stated, pickingInfineonandSTMicroas beneficiaries of this.\nOil majors\nBig Oil can create “significant value” from “shifting their equity story to Big Energy,” with more of a focus on decarbonization, according to BofA. Its analysts noted the shift was becoming more urgent for these companies, given shareholder pressure and the Hague District Court’sdemands for Shellto meet climate targets set out in the Paris Agreement.\nThe analysts pickedBP,ShellandTotaland said: “We believe EV charging will grow in importance in linking Big Oil’s existing Marketing footprints (including global brand recognition and backing from their commodity trading desks) with Big Oils’ expansion into electricity supply.”\nAuto suppliers\nValeomakes parts for EVs of all sizes as well as a range of charging components for the likes ofVWand Mercedes. It is buy-rated by BofA, which noted that its joint venture withSiemensnow has around a 40% market share of the high voltage charging sector.\nMetals and mining\nCopper producerAntofagastaand minerBolidenare buy-rated picks for BofA, with copper likely to be a key part of EV chargers as well as inside the vehicle. “New technologies such as renewables, energy storage and electric vehicles that are gaining traction have one thing in common: they require a set of commodities we define as MIFTs, or metals important for future technologies,” BofA’s analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163747762,"gmtCreate":1623894802456,"gmtModify":1634026244101,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2 more years to go. Add more to your position while some stocks are on sale. Pls like and comment.","listText":"2 more years to go. Add more to your position while some stocks are on sale. Pls like and comment.","text":"2 more years to go. Add more to your position while some stocks are on sale. Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163747762","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144713861","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623883569,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2144713861?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street closes lower as Fed officials project rate hikes for 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144713861","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 16 - The three main Wall Street indexes all closed down on Wednesday, as U.S. Federal Reserve officials unnerved investors with indications that the central bank could begin rising interest rates in 2023, a year earlier than expected.New projections saw a majority of 11 of 18 U.S. central bank officials pencil in at least two quarter-percentage-point rate increases for 2023. Officials also pledged to keep policy supportive for now to encourage an ongoing jobs recovery.The Fed cited an impr","content":"<p>June 16 (Reuters) - The three main Wall Street indexes all closed down on Wednesday, as U.S. Federal Reserve officials unnerved investors with indications that the central bank could begin rising interest rates in 2023, a year earlier than expected.</p>\n<p>New projections saw a majority of 11 of 18 U.S. central bank officials pencil in at least two quarter-percentage-point rate increases for 2023. Officials also pledged to keep policy supportive for now to encourage an ongoing jobs recovery.</p>\n<p>The Fed cited an improved economic outlook, with overall economic growth expected to hit 7% this year. Still, investors were surprised to learn officials were mulling rate hikes earlier than 2024.</p>\n<p>\"At first blush, the dot plot which projected two hikes by 2023 was more hawkish than expected, and markets reacted as such,\" said Daniel Ahn, chief U.S. economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>.</p>\n<p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose on the Fed news, while the dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, rose to a six-week peak.</p>\n<p>With inflation rising faster than expected and the economy bouncing back quickly, the market had been looking for clues of when the Fed may alter the policies put into place last year to combat the economic fallout from the pandemic, including a massive bond-buying program.</p>\n<p>The Fed reiterated its promise to await \"substantial further progress\" before beginning to shift to policies tuned to a fully open economy. It also held its benchmark short-term interest rate near zero and said it will continue to buy $120 billion in bonds each month to fuel the economic recovery.</p>\n<p>\"Chair Powell has signaled, while the committee is not yet ready to taper, it is now in the minds of the committee. They've retired the phrase 'thinking about thinking about tapering', and we expect that in the next few meetings, the committee will likely formally start discussions of tapering,\" BNP's Ahn said.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 265.66 points, or 0.77%, to 34,033.67, the S&P 500 lost 22.89 points, or 0.54%, to 4,223.7 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 33.17 points, or 0.24%, to 14,039.68.</p>\n<p>Only two of the S&P's 11 main sector indexes ended in positive territory: consumer discretionary and retail.</p>\n<p>The decliners were led by utilities, materials, and consumer staples.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 95 new highs and 30 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street closes lower as Fed officials project rate hikes for 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street closes lower as Fed officials project rate hikes for 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-17 06:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 16 (Reuters) - The three main Wall Street indexes all closed down on Wednesday, as U.S. Federal Reserve officials unnerved investors with indications that the central bank could begin rising interest rates in 2023, a year earlier than expected.</p>\n<p>New projections saw a majority of 11 of 18 U.S. central bank officials pencil in at least two quarter-percentage-point rate increases for 2023. Officials also pledged to keep policy supportive for now to encourage an ongoing jobs recovery.</p>\n<p>The Fed cited an improved economic outlook, with overall economic growth expected to hit 7% this year. Still, investors were surprised to learn officials were mulling rate hikes earlier than 2024.</p>\n<p>\"At first blush, the dot plot which projected two hikes by 2023 was more hawkish than expected, and markets reacted as such,\" said Daniel Ahn, chief U.S. economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>.</p>\n<p>The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose on the Fed news, while the dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, rose to a six-week peak.</p>\n<p>With inflation rising faster than expected and the economy bouncing back quickly, the market had been looking for clues of when the Fed may alter the policies put into place last year to combat the economic fallout from the pandemic, including a massive bond-buying program.</p>\n<p>The Fed reiterated its promise to await \"substantial further progress\" before beginning to shift to policies tuned to a fully open economy. It also held its benchmark short-term interest rate near zero and said it will continue to buy $120 billion in bonds each month to fuel the economic recovery.</p>\n<p>\"Chair Powell has signaled, while the committee is not yet ready to taper, it is now in the minds of the committee. They've retired the phrase 'thinking about thinking about tapering', and we expect that in the next few meetings, the committee will likely formally start discussions of tapering,\" BNP's Ahn said.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 265.66 points, or 0.77%, to 34,033.67, the S&P 500 lost 22.89 points, or 0.54%, to 4,223.7 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 33.17 points, or 0.24%, to 14,039.68.</p>\n<p>Only two of the S&P's 11 main sector indexes ended in positive territory: consumer discretionary and retail.</p>\n<p>The decliners were led by utilities, materials, and consumer staples.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 95 new highs and 30 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144713861","content_text":"June 16 (Reuters) - The three main Wall Street indexes all closed down on Wednesday, as U.S. Federal Reserve officials unnerved investors with indications that the central bank could begin rising interest rates in 2023, a year earlier than expected.\nNew projections saw a majority of 11 of 18 U.S. central bank officials pencil in at least two quarter-percentage-point rate increases for 2023. Officials also pledged to keep policy supportive for now to encourage an ongoing jobs recovery.\nThe Fed cited an improved economic outlook, with overall economic growth expected to hit 7% this year. Still, investors were surprised to learn officials were mulling rate hikes earlier than 2024.\n\"At first blush, the dot plot which projected two hikes by 2023 was more hawkish than expected, and markets reacted as such,\" said Daniel Ahn, chief U.S. economist at BNP Paribas.\nThe benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose on the Fed news, while the dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, rose to a six-week peak.\nWith inflation rising faster than expected and the economy bouncing back quickly, the market had been looking for clues of when the Fed may alter the policies put into place last year to combat the economic fallout from the pandemic, including a massive bond-buying program.\nThe Fed reiterated its promise to await \"substantial further progress\" before beginning to shift to policies tuned to a fully open economy. It also held its benchmark short-term interest rate near zero and said it will continue to buy $120 billion in bonds each month to fuel the economic recovery.\n\"Chair Powell has signaled, while the committee is not yet ready to taper, it is now in the minds of the committee. They've retired the phrase 'thinking about thinking about tapering', and we expect that in the next few meetings, the committee will likely formally start discussions of tapering,\" BNP's Ahn said.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 265.66 points, or 0.77%, to 34,033.67, the S&P 500 lost 22.89 points, or 0.54%, to 4,223.7 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 33.17 points, or 0.24%, to 14,039.68.\nOnly two of the S&P's 11 main sector indexes ended in positive territory: consumer discretionary and retail.\nThe decliners were led by utilities, materials, and consumer staples.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nThe S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 95 new highs and 30 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145346794,"gmtCreate":1626192005118,"gmtModify":1633929171037,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145346794","repostId":"1129044669","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129044669","pubTimestamp":1626189855,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129044669?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These options plays can take advantage of earnings season volatility, Goldman says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129044669","media":"CNBC","summary":"The second-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear this week, and there are several stocks that","content":"<div>\n<p>The second-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear this week, and there are several stocks that could make significant moves after their reports, according to Goldman Sachs.\nThe stock market has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/13/goldman-sachs-likes-these-options-plays-amid-earnings-season.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These options plays can take advantage of earnings season volatility, Goldman says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese options plays can take advantage of earnings season volatility, Goldman says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-13 23:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/13/goldman-sachs-likes-these-options-plays-amid-earnings-season.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The second-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear this week, and there are several stocks that could make significant moves after their reports, according to Goldman Sachs.\nThe stock market has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/13/goldman-sachs-likes-these-options-plays-amid-earnings-season.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利","TAP":"莫库酒业","CAT":"卡特彼勒","SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/13/goldman-sachs-likes-these-options-plays-amid-earnings-season.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1129044669","content_text":"The second-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear this week, and there are several stocks that could make significant moves after their reports, according to Goldman Sachs.\nThe stock market has been relatively quiet in recent weeks, but the quarterly reports could inject some volatility back into the market and create opportunities for options traders, the firm said in a note.\n“While solid economic growth justifies lower non-earnings-day volatility, our analysis of 25 years of earnings-day moves suggests earnings moves remain large when the economy is strong,” the note said.\nGoldman’s derivatives research team put together a list of potential options plays for earnings season, focusing on companies in which the firm’s analysts were out of consensus with Wall Street in one direction or another.\nOne of the names on the list that Goldman is bullish on isMorgan Stanley, which reports its earnings on Thursday morning. Goldman is projecting a significant earnings per share beat for its fellow major bank.\nThe derivatives team suggested buying call options on Morgan Stanley that expire later this month with a strike price of $91 per share, which is slightly above where the stock closed on Friday.\nCall options give traders the right to buy a stock in the future at a set price, called the strike price. The risk to traders is that the stock fails to climb above that strike price, and then the person holding the call option loses the fee they paid for the derivative.\nInvestors should also explore call options forStarbucksandCaterpillar, according to Goldman Sachs. Shares of the coffee chain have underperformed the broader market this year, while Caterpillar’s stock has dipped about 5% since its previous earnings report in April.\nThose companies are expected to report toward the end of July, so investors should look at call options that expire in August, according to Goldman.\nGOLDMAN SACHS OPTIONS IDEAS FOR EARNINGS SEASON\n\n\n\nTICKER\nCOMPANY\nOPTION TYPE\nEARNINGS DATE (ANNOUNCED OR ESTIMATED)\n\n\n\n\nMS\nMorgan Stanley\nCall\nJuly 15\n\n\nSBUX\nStarbucks\nCall\nJuly 27\n\n\nCAT\nCaterpillar\nCall\nJuly 30\n\n\nTAP\nMolson Coors\nPut\nJuly 29\n\n\n\nOn the other hand, there are some stocks that Goldman is bearish on ahead of the earnings reports.\nThe firm has a sell rating on Molson Coors, which is slated to report on July 29. Goldman’s analysts projects a significant earnings miss for the beverage company this quarter, and suggests that traders look at the August put options on the stock.\nPut options are effectively the reverse of a call option and function as a bet that a stock will go down. They give traders the right to sell a stock at a set strike price while only risking the fee paid to purchase the option.\nMolson Coors stock has slightly beaten the broader market in 2021, but it is still trading near its pre-pandemic levels, making it a significant laggard on a longer time frame. The stock has a sell rating from 23% of analysts, according to FactSet, suggesting that Goldman is not alone in having a negative outlook on the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126802024,"gmtCreate":1624549768168,"gmtModify":1634004474319,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hoping for Amazon to dip down to 3100 to enter!","listText":"Hoping for Amazon to dip down to 3100 to enter!","text":"Hoping for Amazon to dip down to 3100 to enter!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126802024","repostId":"1198422658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198422658","pubTimestamp":1624533829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198422658?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 19:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Amazon Stock A Better Buy Than Apple Through 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198422658","media":"The Street","summary":"Amazon shares may seem much pricier than Apple today, but the valuation gap should narrow over time. With both stocks valued at 21 times 2025 earnings, which is a better buy today?At first glance, Apple -Get Report and Amazon -Get Report stocks appeal to two distinct group of investors. The former, trading at 26 times current earnings, is a blend of value and growth, what some might call a GARP play. The latter, trading at 64 times EPS, is the highest growth of FAAMG names.First, I find it hig","content":"<blockquote>\n Amazon shares may seem much pricier than Apple today, but the valuation gap should narrow over time. With both stocks valued at 21 times 2025 earnings, which is a better buy today?\n</blockquote>\n<p>At first glance, Apple (<b>AAPL</b>) -Get Report and Amazon (<b>AMZN</b>) -Get Report stocks appeal to two distinct group of investors. The former, trading at 26 times current earnings, is a blend of value and growth, what some might call a GARP play. The latter, trading at 64 times EPS, is the highest growth of FAAMG names.</p>\n<p>But the Amazon Maven has unearthed an interesting finding. Both AAPL and AMZN are worth almost the same, in P/E terms, if one were to look forward to 2025. At comparable valuations, which is a better buy-and-hold through the mid-2020s?</p>\n<p><b>AAPL and AMZN: same valuation?</b></p>\n<p>The P/E multiple is a popular valuation metric that adds context to a stock’s market price. The numerator tends to be prior-year (trailing), current-year or next-year (forward) earnings per share.</p>\n<p>Amazon commands a higher multiple, among other reasons, because of the company’s more aggressive growth profile. Wall Street expects the e-commerce giant to increase EPS by a factor of four in the next five years. Apple, on the other hand, is project to “only” double earnings in the same period.</p>\n<p>By 2025, this is what analysts expect of each company’s bottom line, and what the stock’s P/E would be if share prices remained unchanged:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Amazon</b>: 2025 EPS of $172.30, for a P/E of<b>20.4</b>times</li>\n <li><b>Apple</b>: fiscal 2025 EPS of $6.30, for a P/E of<b>21.2</b>times</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Given enough time and assuming that current earnings projections are close enough to accurate, Amazon tends to become a less aggressively valued stock by the year. Maybe one day, in the not-too-distant future, shares could even start to look more appealing to value investors.</p>\n<p><b>Which is the best bet?</b></p>\n<p>If Amazon and Apple are valued at roughly the same 2025 P/E, one fair question to ask is: which stock might perform best in the next five years? I can use the earnings multiple as a guide to think through this question.</p>\n<p>From the P/E formula, one can derive the following: future stock price is determined by the company’s earnings delivered (the denominator “E”) and how much investors are willing to pay for those earnings (the valuation multiple). Therefore, in the Amazon vs. Apple race to 2025, whichever does best at delivering EPS above consensus and/or commanding a richer earnings multiple wins.</p>\n<p>Clearly, this is open for debate since the future in uncertain. But I believe that Amazon stock has a better chance of producing higher gains than Apple through 2025.</p>\n<p>First, I find it highly unlikely that AMZN’s earnings multiple will converge from the 60s of today to the low 20s in 2025. This would only be feasible if the company’s growth opportunities dried out quickly, which I am not counting on. On the other hand, Apple’s P/E is more likely to stay around 20 to 25 times, given the more mature profile of the company relative to Amazon.</p>\n<p>This is not to say that I expect Amazon’s P/E to expand from 64 times. The opposite is more likely to happen, as the company ages. But if the stock is valued at, say, 40 times EPS in 2025, Amazon would not even need to deliver results beyond expectations to see its stock price double in five years.</p>\n<p>Regarding consensus, I also think that Amazon can beat expectations by a wider margin than Apple could. The e-commerce giant has been more aggressive at investing back in the business. The green- and brown-field revenue growth opportunities in e-commerce and cloud seem better.</p>\n<p>In addition, Amazon’s margins could expand substantially (see five-year trend below), if or once the company’s online retail business gets closer to maturity. Apple could also improve its margin profile but probably much less so, given how profitable the company already is.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e59ae6a459751303dfd48c45ae47f99\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Figure 2: AMZN gross margin vs. operating margin.</i></p>\n<p><i>Stock Rover</i></p>\n<p><b>Twitter speaks</b></p>\n<p>Fun fact: Amazon and Apple stock trade at roughly the same 2025 P/E (i.e. 2025 earnings in the denominator) of around 21 times, even though AMZN seems much more expensive at today’s valuations. Which do you think will produce more gains in the next five years?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e56ed880cf0d62550fc0ee752a46efff\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Amazon Stock A Better Buy Than Apple Through 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Amazon Stock A Better Buy Than Apple Through 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 19:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/is-amazon-stock-a-better-buy-than-apple-through-2025><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon shares may seem much pricier than Apple today, but the valuation gap should narrow over time. With both stocks valued at 21 times 2025 earnings, which is a better buy today?\n\nAt first glance, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/is-amazon-stock-a-better-buy-than-apple-through-2025\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/is-amazon-stock-a-better-buy-than-apple-through-2025","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198422658","content_text":"Amazon shares may seem much pricier than Apple today, but the valuation gap should narrow over time. With both stocks valued at 21 times 2025 earnings, which is a better buy today?\n\nAt first glance, Apple (AAPL) -Get Report and Amazon (AMZN) -Get Report stocks appeal to two distinct group of investors. The former, trading at 26 times current earnings, is a blend of value and growth, what some might call a GARP play. The latter, trading at 64 times EPS, is the highest growth of FAAMG names.\nBut the Amazon Maven has unearthed an interesting finding. Both AAPL and AMZN are worth almost the same, in P/E terms, if one were to look forward to 2025. At comparable valuations, which is a better buy-and-hold through the mid-2020s?\nAAPL and AMZN: same valuation?\nThe P/E multiple is a popular valuation metric that adds context to a stock’s market price. The numerator tends to be prior-year (trailing), current-year or next-year (forward) earnings per share.\nAmazon commands a higher multiple, among other reasons, because of the company’s more aggressive growth profile. Wall Street expects the e-commerce giant to increase EPS by a factor of four in the next five years. Apple, on the other hand, is project to “only” double earnings in the same period.\nBy 2025, this is what analysts expect of each company’s bottom line, and what the stock’s P/E would be if share prices remained unchanged:\n\nAmazon: 2025 EPS of $172.30, for a P/E of20.4times\nApple: fiscal 2025 EPS of $6.30, for a P/E of21.2times\n\nGiven enough time and assuming that current earnings projections are close enough to accurate, Amazon tends to become a less aggressively valued stock by the year. Maybe one day, in the not-too-distant future, shares could even start to look more appealing to value investors.\nWhich is the best bet?\nIf Amazon and Apple are valued at roughly the same 2025 P/E, one fair question to ask is: which stock might perform best in the next five years? I can use the earnings multiple as a guide to think through this question.\nFrom the P/E formula, one can derive the following: future stock price is determined by the company’s earnings delivered (the denominator “E”) and how much investors are willing to pay for those earnings (the valuation multiple). Therefore, in the Amazon vs. Apple race to 2025, whichever does best at delivering EPS above consensus and/or commanding a richer earnings multiple wins.\nClearly, this is open for debate since the future in uncertain. But I believe that Amazon stock has a better chance of producing higher gains than Apple through 2025.\nFirst, I find it highly unlikely that AMZN’s earnings multiple will converge from the 60s of today to the low 20s in 2025. This would only be feasible if the company’s growth opportunities dried out quickly, which I am not counting on. On the other hand, Apple’s P/E is more likely to stay around 20 to 25 times, given the more mature profile of the company relative to Amazon.\nThis is not to say that I expect Amazon’s P/E to expand from 64 times. The opposite is more likely to happen, as the company ages. But if the stock is valued at, say, 40 times EPS in 2025, Amazon would not even need to deliver results beyond expectations to see its stock price double in five years.\nRegarding consensus, I also think that Amazon can beat expectations by a wider margin than Apple could. The e-commerce giant has been more aggressive at investing back in the business. The green- and brown-field revenue growth opportunities in e-commerce and cloud seem better.\nIn addition, Amazon’s margins could expand substantially (see five-year trend below), if or once the company’s online retail business gets closer to maturity. Apple could also improve its margin profile but probably much less so, given how profitable the company already is.\nFigure 2: AMZN gross margin vs. operating margin.\nStock Rover\nTwitter speaks\nFun fact: Amazon and Apple stock trade at roughly the same 2025 P/E (i.e. 2025 earnings in the denominator) of around 21 times, even though AMZN seems much more expensive at today’s valuations. Which do you think will produce more gains in the next five years?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123298983,"gmtCreate":1624423697742,"gmtModify":1634006307086,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fud news again","listText":"Fud news again","text":"Fud news again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123298983","repostId":"2145520610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145520610","pubTimestamp":1624416600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145520610?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can You Still Count on GameStop Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145520610","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The higher a stock climbs, the harder it falls.","content":"<p><b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:GME) reported impressive revenue growth in Q1 2021, crushing the narrative that it's a failing brick-and-mortar video game retailer with a bleak outlook. That said, investors should aware that the company is under investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its share run-up, that was primarily orchestrated by the Reddit commmunity WallStreetBets (WSB).</p>\n<p>Many WSB traders publicly disclosed their identities while promoting the stock in the past six months, leading to them becoming prime targets for possible litigation or criminal investigations. Meanwhile, GameStop is taking advantage of the run-up to issue more stock at the expense of existing shareholders. Is the stock still a safe bet for potential investors?</p>\n<h2>The good news</h2>\n<p>GameStop had a spectacular quarter. In Q1 2021, the company closed down 12.7% of its roughly 4,000 stores in operations. Despite this, it managed to grow its sales by 25% year-over-year to $1.277 billion.</p>\n<p>At the same time, GameStop's operating loss narrowed to $21.6 million from $98.8 million a year ago. Thanks to a once-in-a-lifetime short squeeze, the company was able to offer additional equity to pay back all its debt and start afresh. It currently has more than $700 million in cash and investments on its balance sheet.</p>\n<h2>The bad news</h2>\n<p>After the earnings release, GameStop shares fell by as much as 27% in a single trading session. In addition, the company announced it would issue up to five million additional shares over a period of time, representing a dilution of up to 7% to its 70 million shares outstanding.</p>\n<p>That aside, there's the major risk of lawsuits against those involved in the coordinated \"pump and dump\" activities of the WSB community. Reddit user profiles of these traders are pretty much public. In fact, lawsuits have already been filed against prominent members of the community for allegedly promoting GameStop while the stock was at \"artificially high levels\".</p>\n<p>On June 9, the SEC announced it was probing GameStop concerning recent trading activities. While the investigation is still in its infancy, WSB members are growing increasingly concerned about legal and privacy issues from the fallout. The agency could potentially subpoena popular platforms like Reddit to access personal information/identities of members regarding their roles in the run-up. I believe this rapidly spreading fear, especially among those who are \"holding-on-for-dear-life\" (HODLers), is responsible for the sell-off.</p>\n<h2>What's next?</h2>\n<p>The same community that propped up GameStop's stock in a greed-fueled frenzy is equally capable of sending the shares crashing if fear takes center stage. While the company is generating solid growth, the company has a negative free cash flow of about $33.5 million per quarter, including a net cash outflow of nearly $19 million in operating activites. It's a noticeable improvement from $55.9 million negative FCF last year -- but still isn't good news yet. GameStop sold investors on the dream of a turnaround into an e-commerce giant and now has to live up to its reputation.</p>\n<p>There is a lot of uncertainty as to how profitable the new GameStop could be. Maybe its net margins will improve to 5% to 10%; perhaps it will hover around 0%, perhaps it will keep running at a loss for quite some time. After all, its gross margins actually fell 1.8 percentage points to 25.9% in Q1. Until the company can prove its new business model is working, it's probably better to look at retailers with both revenue growth and solid profitability instead.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can You Still Count on GameStop Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan You Still Count on GameStop Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 10:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/can-you-still-count-on-gamestop-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GameStop (NYSE:GME) reported impressive revenue growth in Q1 2021, crushing the narrative that it's a failing brick-and-mortar video game retailer with a bleak outlook. That said, investors should ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/can-you-still-count-on-gamestop-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/can-you-still-count-on-gamestop-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145520610","content_text":"GameStop (NYSE:GME) reported impressive revenue growth in Q1 2021, crushing the narrative that it's a failing brick-and-mortar video game retailer with a bleak outlook. That said, investors should aware that the company is under investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its share run-up, that was primarily orchestrated by the Reddit commmunity WallStreetBets (WSB).\nMany WSB traders publicly disclosed their identities while promoting the stock in the past six months, leading to them becoming prime targets for possible litigation or criminal investigations. Meanwhile, GameStop is taking advantage of the run-up to issue more stock at the expense of existing shareholders. Is the stock still a safe bet for potential investors?\nThe good news\nGameStop had a spectacular quarter. In Q1 2021, the company closed down 12.7% of its roughly 4,000 stores in operations. Despite this, it managed to grow its sales by 25% year-over-year to $1.277 billion.\nAt the same time, GameStop's operating loss narrowed to $21.6 million from $98.8 million a year ago. Thanks to a once-in-a-lifetime short squeeze, the company was able to offer additional equity to pay back all its debt and start afresh. It currently has more than $700 million in cash and investments on its balance sheet.\nThe bad news\nAfter the earnings release, GameStop shares fell by as much as 27% in a single trading session. In addition, the company announced it would issue up to five million additional shares over a period of time, representing a dilution of up to 7% to its 70 million shares outstanding.\nThat aside, there's the major risk of lawsuits against those involved in the coordinated \"pump and dump\" activities of the WSB community. Reddit user profiles of these traders are pretty much public. In fact, lawsuits have already been filed against prominent members of the community for allegedly promoting GameStop while the stock was at \"artificially high levels\".\nOn June 9, the SEC announced it was probing GameStop concerning recent trading activities. While the investigation is still in its infancy, WSB members are growing increasingly concerned about legal and privacy issues from the fallout. The agency could potentially subpoena popular platforms like Reddit to access personal information/identities of members regarding their roles in the run-up. I believe this rapidly spreading fear, especially among those who are \"holding-on-for-dear-life\" (HODLers), is responsible for the sell-off.\nWhat's next?\nThe same community that propped up GameStop's stock in a greed-fueled frenzy is equally capable of sending the shares crashing if fear takes center stage. While the company is generating solid growth, the company has a negative free cash flow of about $33.5 million per quarter, including a net cash outflow of nearly $19 million in operating activites. It's a noticeable improvement from $55.9 million negative FCF last year -- but still isn't good news yet. GameStop sold investors on the dream of a turnaround into an e-commerce giant and now has to live up to its reputation.\nThere is a lot of uncertainty as to how profitable the new GameStop could be. Maybe its net margins will improve to 5% to 10%; perhaps it will hover around 0%, perhaps it will keep running at a loss for quite some time. After all, its gross margins actually fell 1.8 percentage points to 25.9% in Q1. Until the company can prove its new business model is working, it's probably better to look at retailers with both revenue growth and solid profitability instead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168964925,"gmtCreate":1623947182367,"gmtModify":1631886393916,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>going to be stonking this stock!!!! ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>going to be stonking this stock!!!! ","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$going to be stonking this stock!!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/410d51a2f3c439eca2a2a81b7638a46a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168964925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187129195,"gmtCreate":1623747280217,"gmtModify":1634029198339,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can't wait for the year to come!!!","listText":"Can't wait for the year to come!!!","text":"Can't wait for the year to come!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187129195","repostId":"1119457448","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828492081,"gmtCreate":1633932600664,"gmtModify":1633932600748,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$finally seeing one of my stock recovering: :)","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2302b8958a8d99f39e25497a83b756d6","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828492081","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":804948832,"gmtCreate":1627918109926,"gmtModify":1631891896251,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343a35b7d0d8235f22a74e56cf90b00a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article!","listText":"Great article!","text":"Great article!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804948832","repostId":"1196763976","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196763976","pubTimestamp":1627903466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196763976?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196763976","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their","content":"<blockquote>\n The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Want to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? Take a look at profit margins.</p>\n<p>Operating margin forecasts are a strong leading indicator of stock prices. A decline in such outlooks preceded routs in the S&P 500 in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2020. What’s concerning now is that analysts have stopped raising their forecasts, and if they begin to lower them, it's likely to lead to a dip in the broader market again. And it’s not like there’s a lot of room for further improvement in margins, defined as earnings before interest and taxes divided by sales. The consensus among analysts is that they will expand to 16.7% over the next 12 months, topping the previous record of 16.4% set in 2018.</p>\n<p>The relationship between S&P 500 profitability and inflation indicators is murky at best, but recent spikes in the producer price index and a smaller increase in the consumer price index is enough to raise a caution flag for equity margin expansion potential for the next few quarters. At its peak in April, the PPI rose 9.5% from a year earlier, almost 3 standard deviations above its average over the past 30 years. (It rose 9.4% in June.) From 2010 to 2019, the median estimate of where operating margins would be 12 months into the future for S&P 500 members were negatively correlated to changes in PPI. The current coefficient of minus 0.22 suggests gains in corporate profitability are likely to stall or even fall as producer prices continue to rise.</p>\n<p><b>Watch Those Margins</b></p>\n<p>Past dips in forecasted profit margins have lined up with pull-backs in equities.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dbda2c0b9394d518fdc8af7d693c8f3\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The difference between the PPI and CPI suggests companies are unable to pass cost increases on to consumers. The spread between the two fell to a record low of minus 5.3 percentage points in April, and is still strongly inverted at minus 4.1 percentage points. Over the last 30 years, the operating margin for the S&P 500 narrowed 6.5 percentage points on average one year after the gap fell below minus 2 percentage points. Not only that, but in the year after the spread breached minus 2 percentage points, the S&P fell 2.5% on average.</p>\n<p>Analysts are getting nervous. They have cut their margin estimates for a quarter of S&P 500 members in the last three months. Their stocks were down 0.63%, compared with a gain of 2.20% for the index and a 3.30% increase for companies with rising margin forecasts. Slicing the index into quintiles based on changes in operating margin shows that companies with the largest declines had a median stock-price decline of 0.5%, versus a gain of 3.9% for those with the greatest expansion in consensus estimates.</p>\n<p>Industries with the most negative margin pressures are likely to be those that investors historically consider “defensive,” such as health care, utilities and consumer staples. Large companies involved in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and life sciences, household and personal products, and utilities have historically fared worst when producer prices outrun consumer prices, and these are where margin forecasts gave dropped the most over the last three months. Margins forecasts continue to rise for the more cyclically-oriented segments of the equity market, with media, consumer services, transportation and oil and gas industries having the largest gains.</p>\n<p><b>Winners and Losers</b></p>\n<p>Cyclically-oriented sectors are relatively immune from broad profit margin compression.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884366efc825eccec2878fcd4b3f0912\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"533\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Though consensus expectations imply smooth sailing, companies are set up for a more challenging margin outlook as revenue growth rates likely fade, but inflation pressures remain relatively high given persistent uncertainty in the supply chain. Against this backdrop, currently selective industry margin weaknesses may start to spread to more industries, resulting in degradation of margin forecasts for the index at large. Given these estimates are a strong strong leading indicator of stock-price direction, margin trends may be a critical risk to the equity market in the months ahead.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Will Stocks Drop? Watch Profit Margins (and Get Nervous)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 19:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n\nWant to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-02/stock-market-margin-mayhem-looms-large-over-bull-market?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196763976","content_text":"The evidence is mounting that companies are having a harder time passing off cost increases to their customers.\n\nWant to know where the S&P 500 Index may be headed after reaching another record high? Take a look at profit margins.\nOperating margin forecasts are a strong leading indicator of stock prices. A decline in such outlooks preceded routs in the S&P 500 in 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2020. What’s concerning now is that analysts have stopped raising their forecasts, and if they begin to lower them, it's likely to lead to a dip in the broader market again. And it’s not like there’s a lot of room for further improvement in margins, defined as earnings before interest and taxes divided by sales. The consensus among analysts is that they will expand to 16.7% over the next 12 months, topping the previous record of 16.4% set in 2018.\nThe relationship between S&P 500 profitability and inflation indicators is murky at best, but recent spikes in the producer price index and a smaller increase in the consumer price index is enough to raise a caution flag for equity margin expansion potential for the next few quarters. At its peak in April, the PPI rose 9.5% from a year earlier, almost 3 standard deviations above its average over the past 30 years. (It rose 9.4% in June.) From 2010 to 2019, the median estimate of where operating margins would be 12 months into the future for S&P 500 members were negatively correlated to changes in PPI. The current coefficient of minus 0.22 suggests gains in corporate profitability are likely to stall or even fall as producer prices continue to rise.\nWatch Those Margins\nPast dips in forecasted profit margins have lined up with pull-backs in equities.\nThe difference between the PPI and CPI suggests companies are unable to pass cost increases on to consumers. The spread between the two fell to a record low of minus 5.3 percentage points in April, and is still strongly inverted at minus 4.1 percentage points. Over the last 30 years, the operating margin for the S&P 500 narrowed 6.5 percentage points on average one year after the gap fell below minus 2 percentage points. Not only that, but in the year after the spread breached minus 2 percentage points, the S&P fell 2.5% on average.\nAnalysts are getting nervous. They have cut their margin estimates for a quarter of S&P 500 members in the last three months. Their stocks were down 0.63%, compared with a gain of 2.20% for the index and a 3.30% increase for companies with rising margin forecasts. Slicing the index into quintiles based on changes in operating margin shows that companies with the largest declines had a median stock-price decline of 0.5%, versus a gain of 3.9% for those with the greatest expansion in consensus estimates.\nIndustries with the most negative margin pressures are likely to be those that investors historically consider “defensive,” such as health care, utilities and consumer staples. Large companies involved in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and life sciences, household and personal products, and utilities have historically fared worst when producer prices outrun consumer prices, and these are where margin forecasts gave dropped the most over the last three months. Margins forecasts continue to rise for the more cyclically-oriented segments of the equity market, with media, consumer services, transportation and oil and gas industries having the largest gains.\nWinners and Losers\nCyclically-oriented sectors are relatively immune from broad profit margin compression.\nThough consensus expectations imply smooth sailing, companies are set up for a more challenging margin outlook as revenue growth rates likely fade, but inflation pressures remain relatively high given persistent uncertainty in the supply chain. Against this backdrop, currently selective industry margin weaknesses may start to spread to more industries, resulting in degradation of margin forecasts for the index at large. Given these estimates are a strong strong leading indicator of stock-price direction, margin trends may be a critical risk to the equity market in the months ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}