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曹果
2021-09-13
硬起来啊
腾讯:拥护工信部决策,分阶段分步骤进行互联互通
曹果
2021-07-23
$高途(GOTU)$
抄底抄底
曹果
2021-07-14
$RLX科技(RLX)$
俩月没看咋成这样了
曹果
2021-06-24
盘前骗炮?
曹果
2021-06-09
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
15块的本,装死了
曹果
2021-06-03
$高途(GOTU)$
从30的成本一路加仓到20.加不动了
曹果
2021-04-27
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
等着跌破8毛加仓的,妈蛋,一直不破
曹果
2021-04-22
$跟谁学(GSX)$
尴尬
曹果
2021-04-13
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
9毛跑了,拿不住了
曹果
2021-04-06
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
妈蛋,无脑增发割韭菜,也不干点正事
曹果
2021-03-22
真是虎口夺食
抱歉,原内容已删除
曹果
2021-03-16
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
等大麻合法落地,你会财富自由
曹果
2021-03-15
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
织布机开始了
曹果
2021-03-03
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
**啊
曹果
2021-02-17
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
废了
曹果
2021-02-11
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
大家扛住啊,不能让空头赢破5再说
曹果
2021-02-11
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
涨涨涨,一夜暴富靠你了!
曹果
2021-02-11
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
爆赞啊
曹果
2021-02-11
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
拿着等破5
曹果
2021-02-02
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
继续潜伏,等着财富自由
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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12:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>9月13日,国新办举行“推进制造强国网络强国建设 助力全面建成小康社会”发布会,会上,工信部部长肖亚庆称,我国平台经济发展很快,在促进经济社会发展和方便群众生活方面都起了非常重要的作用。但在发展过程也出现了一些问题,有的需要从技术上来解决,有的需要从管理上来解决,还有一些需要各方面联动,系统地来解决。要从发展的这个角度来解决这个问题,互联网安全是底线,互联网发展一定要能够使得<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603883\">老百姓</a>的生活更加方便,最终促进互联网行业平台经济健康有序发展。</p>\n<p>会后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>对此表示:<b>我们坚决拥护工信部的决策,在以安全为底线的前提下,分阶段分步骤地实施。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1cf6dc53c11aaae7829e6e4b3d1d9c1\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bea8b224335f941f6bd882d8b14f1da","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190631655","content_text":"9月13日,国新办举行“推进制造强国网络强国建设 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>和蛋壳公寓,它们的兴起,掩映着一个旧时代饕餮盛宴最后的疯狂;它们的倒下,推动着一个旧时代游戏规则宿命的瓦解。</b></p><p>一个时代该落幕了。</p><p><b>那是一个实体经济被虚拟经济“带偏了”的时代</b>——</p><p>如果没有“生态化反”的“超前”互联网思维,乐视可能还在安静地研发数字电视,活得可能还不错,跟小米可能还得多干几年仗;但它就倒在了太有互联网思维,太想靠“生态化反”的虚拟概念圈很多钱,然后一招制胜上。如果对“绿色出行”真的有那么一丝丝敬畏,ofo和摩拜单车就不会忙着打融资战,用所谓“互联网”的方式把城市的每一个犄角旮旯恨不得都铺上自己的车,制造了新的工业污染,破坏了环境,也引爆了自己的债务。如果真的想认认真真地做一杯咖啡,那么瑞幸咖啡完全应该赢得尊重,可它偏偏要宣称自己做的“其实不是咖啡”,而是“智慧零售平台”,玩儿命往互联网新零售的堆儿里扎,最后商业骗局彻底败露。如果蛋壳公寓真的如它描绘的愿景那样,为每一个初出茅庐青年人提供一个蛋壳般的空间保护,就应该真正从商业模式上尊重它的用户们,不至于让他们背负债务,颠沛流离。<b>在自己本来该做什么,实际却做了什么的问题上,这些公司错得太离谱了。</b></p><p>它们离谱就离谱在明明选择了一条实体经济的赛道,却要用互联网思维霸凌实体经济,榨取和抽空实体经济的养分和活力;而不是谦卑一点,用互联网和新技术赋予实体经济更强大的实力和竞争力。事实上,这几家公司本身在技术上就乏善可陈,用数据、模型化和标准化的方式升级实体经济的能力相当有限,却自觉高人一等,希望用“互联网式”的运营手段和营销噱头,抬高自己的身价;掏取实体经济的用户和资源,填充自己强行构造的、虚头八脑的虚拟经济外壳,从而食人而肥。当实体经济遇到新技术和互联网,本该是一次新生;但一旦它遇到的不是技术的创新者,而是化身赋能者的噬血者,它被剥夺的将是整条生命。</p><p><b>那是一个金融和杠杆手段大行其道的时代——</b></p><p><b>正因为实体经济被虚拟经济霸凌,故而其无论是生存,抑或是“指数级级增长”,都势必依赖更多的金融和杠杆手段,这就导致“新型金融服务”无孔不入地渗透到了这些所谓的“新经济”实体当中,催生它们的增长,也侵蚀它们的肌体</b>。2016年底,乐视财务危机初现,为了给自己的“生态化反”输血,首先想到的招数就是跟地方政府合办银行;谢天谢地这个动议被地方政府婉拒,否则将酿成更大的社会性债务危机。导致ofo最终挤兑和暴雷的,也是它的押金池问题,估计哪个骑小黄车的人在当时都想象不到,一辆普普通通的小黄车里藏着一个金融陷阱,你的信用抵押成了它的违约资本。瑞幸咖啡的“金融思维”更有创意:你的咖啡机只能冲咖啡,人家瑞幸的咖啡机可以当融资租赁的标的物,从每一台自己采购的咖啡机上再榨出钱来,实乃咖啡界的一大发明。至于蛋壳公寓,在这个冬天里引发的悲剧人们都看到了——瞒着那些最怕背债的人,给他们背上小贷机构的租金贷,换取了自己的财务空间和一时的增长速度,把“金融之恶”放大到极限。</p><p><b>中国互联网公司对金融的迷恋,越来越像一个普遍症候——从顶级巨头到独角兽企业,都想涉足现金贷</b>;那些试图实现更快速增长的创业公司,也都想用除了常规融资之外的金融杠杆手段当强心针。人人都看到了金融作为杠杆的撬动力,以至于他们的大多数都忽视了金融的债务属性和违约风险。当越来越多系统性的金融债务危机发生在“以创新之名”的科技和互联网企业时候,彻底暴露了这些公司拿金融当吗啡的短视。对增长的崇拜导致了对金融杠杆的依赖,对金融杠杆的依赖又最终导致了挪用用户资金、伤及用户利益的债务风险——<b>当这种扭曲的增长逻辑导致的系统性金融风险,无死角地覆盖“衣食住行”各领域的“创新型企业”的时候,那么它只能是一个全局性问题。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216f727f816baacf611bdcdda3b464d3\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"290\"></p><p><b>那是一个“资本意志”压制“企业家精神”的时代——</b></p><p>对金融杠杆的追逐来自对“几何级增长”的普遍渴求。在大多数情形下,指数级增长对一家科技公司当然是一个符合科学和逻辑的追求——<b>前提是它的增长节奏和增长目标,被企业的创始人和企业家本身,以符合市场规律的方式掌控。</b></p><p><b>而事实上,过去几年,在网约车、共享单车、智慧零售和长租公寓等领域,真正驱动“指数级增长”的并不是企业家的意志、用户需求和市场反应的结果,而是资本的意志。</b>传说中的“资本永不眠”,从没缺席过收割一个又一个他们自己强行制造的风口。在这个过程中,有被资本意志捆绑着无可奈何地往前走的企业家,也有从一开始就乔装打扮成企业家的资本玩家,更不乏资本玩家和企业家从一开始就充满默契的合谋。无论是哪种情况,都不是“企业家精神”的胜利,都是“资本意志”压制并绑架了“企业家精神”的结果。</p><p><b>它们创造了千奇百怪、没补贴就不增长、不赚钱的“生意”</b>:乐视卖一部手机就亏几百块,但它仍然在做。无论摩拜还是ofo小黄车,骑的人越多,单次骑行亏的就越多——如果押金不变成金融杠杆的话,现金流就永远是负数。瑞幸咖啡也是建立在大量的优惠券和补贴诱导消费的基础上的,否则<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">星巴克</a>不香吗?蛋壳公寓也一样,无论它再怎么瞒着你帮你背上了债,但看上去确实是有“免租金”优惠的,要不那么“漂亮”的增长数据是怎么出来的呢?就连已经在资本意志局中逃出生天的滴滴,也是直到这两年基本摆脱了绑架之后才真正地做了点自己的事,创始人才看上去更像是一名企业家了。</p><p>当“一补贴就亏损,不补贴就没人用”变成乐视、瑞幸、ofo和蛋壳们的常态,你再怎么矫饰也很难说它是一个“理解用户需求的”和“符合市场规律”的商业,但这并不妨碍资本在其中游刃有余地套利——瑞幸和蛋壳的闪电上市,是吸取了乐视和ofo们“夜长梦多”的教训,背后的投资机构有了快速套现退出的可能——至于今后是不是造假败露和一地债务鸡毛,谁关心呢。</p><p><b>资本并不真正在意科技创新,也并不真心拥抱“市场经济”,过去几年,更多资本的意志,把一个原本可以按照市场规律科学成长的行业和一家公司,逼到一条疾速行驶的赛道上</b>,用各种竞争和各种资源催熟它,让行业变得前所未有地“内卷”,以求得自己的快速退出套现,也造成了前所未有的金钱和资源浪费——摩拜被美团收购让投资人都赚到了钱,但并没有带来一个更大的绿色出行市场,反而制造了大量的破旧单车垃圾;瑞幸也并没有真正改变咖啡本身;蛋壳公寓更是让一些年轻人的生活变得更糟糕了。但是它们的投资人,也就是资本都赚到钱了。</p><p>“资本意志”不仅剥夺了年轻人的快乐,也扭曲了市场,剥夺了企业家的自主性和“企业家精神”。<b>我们所在的这个国家、这个社会比任何时候都需要企业家精神</b>,去研制芯片、去改变零售、去用数字和智能升级农业和制造业,去用自动驾驶和清洁能源改变出行,去创造世界而不是浪费资源。“企业家精神”固然需要资本的支持和加码,但一旦资本意志凌驾了企业家精神,事情就起了变化。<b>利用资本而警惕资本、节制资本,是企业家精神能够存续的前提。</b></p><p>乐视、ofo、瑞幸和蛋壳们的陆续倒掉,是虚拟经济霸凌实体经济力不从心,金融杠杆逐渐失灵,资本意志呼风唤雨能力不再的开始,也拉开了一个时代落下的帷幕。一切该结束了。新的世界该开始了。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>从乐视到ofo,从瑞幸到蛋壳,一个时代该落幕了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n从乐视到ofo,从瑞幸到蛋壳,一个时代该落幕了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1042259862\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02e1edb8fd87972c9239aa3a01b9bc8);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">品玩 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-11-26 09:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNK\">蛋壳公寓</a>的“暴雷”,让这个冬天更冷。</p><p>交了押金和房租的青年人被没有收到房租的房东强行驱赶,面临无家可归的窘境;还在蛋壳公寓的暗中操作下,背上了“锅从天上来”的租金贷。面对这一切,蛋壳官方拿不出任何行之有效的解决方案,放任事态的扩大,制造了人道灾难,也深化了自己的危机。没人知道这一切该如何收场——<b>在经历过ofo小黄车押金和P2P信贷暴雷之后,拜蛋壳所赐,这届青年人跌落到更深重的财务陷阱里,爬出来都难。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4da4c42310f98dc2d6b2409f7a75083\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\">▲贴在墙上的要求退还租金的条幅,图片来源于网络</p><p>近两年,顶着“科技创新”和“互联网思维”之名的公司面临严重的公众信任危机和道德质疑,是一个事实,也是咎由自取的结果。“算法黑箱”和人脸识别是如何偷窥和掌控人们日常生活的,已经成了这些信任危机和道德质疑当中的高级话题。<b>更普遍和更低级的道德和信任危机,来自那些打着“科技公司”名号的金融公司和做市公司,窃取了普通人的存款,打乱了普通人的生活,断送了青年人的希望,让贫者更无立锥之地</b>——而数量可观的明星创业者、知名风险投资和股权投资机构和特定的科技巨头,都参与了这个共谋。</p><p>在这个摧枯拉朽的破坏性进程中,诞生并倒下了四家具备典型命运的公司——<b>乐视、ofo、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>和蛋壳公寓,它们的兴起,掩映着一个旧时代饕餮盛宴最后的疯狂;它们的倒下,推动着一个旧时代游戏规则宿命的瓦解。</b></p><p>一个时代该落幕了。</p><p><b>那是一个实体经济被虚拟经济“带偏了”的时代</b>——</p><p>如果没有“生态化反”的“超前”互联网思维,乐视可能还在安静地研发数字电视,活得可能还不错,跟小米可能还得多干几年仗;但它就倒在了太有互联网思维,太想靠“生态化反”的虚拟概念圈很多钱,然后一招制胜上。如果对“绿色出行”真的有那么一丝丝敬畏,ofo和摩拜单车就不会忙着打融资战,用所谓“互联网”的方式把城市的每一个犄角旮旯恨不得都铺上自己的车,制造了新的工业污染,破坏了环境,也引爆了自己的债务。如果真的想认认真真地做一杯咖啡,那么瑞幸咖啡完全应该赢得尊重,可它偏偏要宣称自己做的“其实不是咖啡”,而是“智慧零售平台”,玩儿命往互联网新零售的堆儿里扎,最后商业骗局彻底败露。如果蛋壳公寓真的如它描绘的愿景那样,为每一个初出茅庐青年人提供一个蛋壳般的空间保护,就应该真正从商业模式上尊重它的用户们,不至于让他们背负债务,颠沛流离。<b>在自己本来该做什么,实际却做了什么的问题上,这些公司错得太离谱了。</b></p><p>它们离谱就离谱在明明选择了一条实体经济的赛道,却要用互联网思维霸凌实体经济,榨取和抽空实体经济的养分和活力;而不是谦卑一点,用互联网和新技术赋予实体经济更强大的实力和竞争力。事实上,这几家公司本身在技术上就乏善可陈,用数据、模型化和标准化的方式升级实体经济的能力相当有限,却自觉高人一等,希望用“互联网式”的运营手段和营销噱头,抬高自己的身价;掏取实体经济的用户和资源,填充自己强行构造的、虚头八脑的虚拟经济外壳,从而食人而肥。当实体经济遇到新技术和互联网,本该是一次新生;但一旦它遇到的不是技术的创新者,而是化身赋能者的噬血者,它被剥夺的将是整条生命。</p><p><b>那是一个金融和杠杆手段大行其道的时代——</b></p><p><b>正因为实体经济被虚拟经济霸凌,故而其无论是生存,抑或是“指数级级增长”,都势必依赖更多的金融和杠杆手段,这就导致“新型金融服务”无孔不入地渗透到了这些所谓的“新经济”实体当中,催生它们的增长,也侵蚀它们的肌体</b>。2016年底,乐视财务危机初现,为了给自己的“生态化反”输血,首先想到的招数就是跟地方政府合办银行;谢天谢地这个动议被地方政府婉拒,否则将酿成更大的社会性债务危机。导致ofo最终挤兑和暴雷的,也是它的押金池问题,估计哪个骑小黄车的人在当时都想象不到,一辆普普通通的小黄车里藏着一个金融陷阱,你的信用抵押成了它的违约资本。瑞幸咖啡的“金融思维”更有创意:你的咖啡机只能冲咖啡,人家瑞幸的咖啡机可以当融资租赁的标的物,从每一台自己采购的咖啡机上再榨出钱来,实乃咖啡界的一大发明。至于蛋壳公寓,在这个冬天里引发的悲剧人们都看到了——瞒着那些最怕背债的人,给他们背上小贷机构的租金贷,换取了自己的财务空间和一时的增长速度,把“金融之恶”放大到极限。</p><p><b>中国互联网公司对金融的迷恋,越来越像一个普遍症候——从顶级巨头到独角兽企业,都想涉足现金贷</b>;那些试图实现更快速增长的创业公司,也都想用除了常规融资之外的金融杠杆手段当强心针。人人都看到了金融作为杠杆的撬动力,以至于他们的大多数都忽视了金融的债务属性和违约风险。当越来越多系统性的金融债务危机发生在“以创新之名”的科技和互联网企业时候,彻底暴露了这些公司拿金融当吗啡的短视。对增长的崇拜导致了对金融杠杆的依赖,对金融杠杆的依赖又最终导致了挪用用户资金、伤及用户利益的债务风险——<b>当这种扭曲的增长逻辑导致的系统性金融风险,无死角地覆盖“衣食住行”各领域的“创新型企业”的时候,那么它只能是一个全局性问题。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216f727f816baacf611bdcdda3b464d3\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"290\"></p><p><b>那是一个“资本意志”压制“企业家精神”的时代——</b></p><p>对金融杠杆的追逐来自对“几何级增长”的普遍渴求。在大多数情形下,指数级增长对一家科技公司当然是一个符合科学和逻辑的追求——<b>前提是它的增长节奏和增长目标,被企业的创始人和企业家本身,以符合市场规律的方式掌控。</b></p><p><b>而事实上,过去几年,在网约车、共享单车、智慧零售和长租公寓等领域,真正驱动“指数级增长”的并不是企业家的意志、用户需求和市场反应的结果,而是资本的意志。</b>传说中的“资本永不眠”,从没缺席过收割一个又一个他们自己强行制造的风口。在这个过程中,有被资本意志捆绑着无可奈何地往前走的企业家,也有从一开始就乔装打扮成企业家的资本玩家,更不乏资本玩家和企业家从一开始就充满默契的合谋。无论是哪种情况,都不是“企业家精神”的胜利,都是“资本意志”压制并绑架了“企业家精神”的结果。</p><p><b>它们创造了千奇百怪、没补贴就不增长、不赚钱的“生意”</b>:乐视卖一部手机就亏几百块,但它仍然在做。无论摩拜还是ofo小黄车,骑的人越多,单次骑行亏的就越多——如果押金不变成金融杠杆的话,现金流就永远是负数。瑞幸咖啡也是建立在大量的优惠券和补贴诱导消费的基础上的,否则<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">星巴克</a>不香吗?蛋壳公寓也一样,无论它再怎么瞒着你帮你背上了债,但看上去确实是有“免租金”优惠的,要不那么“漂亮”的增长数据是怎么出来的呢?就连已经在资本意志局中逃出生天的滴滴,也是直到这两年基本摆脱了绑架之后才真正地做了点自己的事,创始人才看上去更像是一名企业家了。</p><p>当“一补贴就亏损,不补贴就没人用”变成乐视、瑞幸、ofo和蛋壳们的常态,你再怎么矫饰也很难说它是一个“理解用户需求的”和“符合市场规律”的商业,但这并不妨碍资本在其中游刃有余地套利——瑞幸和蛋壳的闪电上市,是吸取了乐视和ofo们“夜长梦多”的教训,背后的投资机构有了快速套现退出的可能——至于今后是不是造假败露和一地债务鸡毛,谁关心呢。</p><p><b>资本并不真正在意科技创新,也并不真心拥抱“市场经济”,过去几年,更多资本的意志,把一个原本可以按照市场规律科学成长的行业和一家公司,逼到一条疾速行驶的赛道上</b>,用各种竞争和各种资源催熟它,让行业变得前所未有地“内卷”,以求得自己的快速退出套现,也造成了前所未有的金钱和资源浪费——摩拜被美团收购让投资人都赚到了钱,但并没有带来一个更大的绿色出行市场,反而制造了大量的破旧单车垃圾;瑞幸也并没有真正改变咖啡本身;蛋壳公寓更是让一些年轻人的生活变得更糟糕了。但是它们的投资人,也就是资本都赚到钱了。</p><p>“资本意志”不仅剥夺了年轻人的快乐,也扭曲了市场,剥夺了企业家的自主性和“企业家精神”。<b>我们所在的这个国家、这个社会比任何时候都需要企业家精神</b>,去研制芯片、去改变零售、去用数字和智能升级农业和制造业,去用自动驾驶和清洁能源改变出行,去创造世界而不是浪费资源。“企业家精神”固然需要资本的支持和加码,但一旦资本意志凌驾了企业家精神,事情就起了变化。<b>利用资本而警惕资本、节制资本,是企业家精神能够存续的前提。</b></p><p>乐视、ofo、瑞幸和蛋壳们的陆续倒掉,是虚拟经济霸凌实体经济力不从心,金融杠杆逐渐失灵,资本意志呼风唤雨能力不再的开始,也拉开了一个时代落下的帷幕。一切该结束了。新的世界该开始了。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a972ba9de48d740557409d7e01843fe","relate_stocks":{"DNK":"蛋壳公寓"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176997707","content_text":"蛋壳公寓的“暴雷”,让这个冬天更冷。交了押金和房租的青年人被没有收到房租的房东强行驱赶,面临无家可归的窘境;还在蛋壳公寓的暗中操作下,背上了“锅从天上来”的租金贷。面对这一切,蛋壳官方拿不出任何行之有效的解决方案,放任事态的扩大,制造了人道灾难,也深化了自己的危机。没人知道这一切该如何收场——在经历过ofo小黄车押金和P2P信贷暴雷之后,拜蛋壳所赐,这届青年人跌落到更深重的财务陷阱里,爬出来都难。▲贴在墙上的要求退还租金的条幅,图片来源于网络近两年,顶着“科技创新”和“互联网思维”之名的公司面临严重的公众信任危机和道德质疑,是一个事实,也是咎由自取的结果。“算法黑箱”和人脸识别是如何偷窥和掌控人们日常生活的,已经成了这些信任危机和道德质疑当中的高级话题。更普遍和更低级的道德和信任危机,来自那些打着“科技公司”名号的金融公司和做市公司,窃取了普通人的存款,打乱了普通人的生活,断送了青年人的希望,让贫者更无立锥之地——而数量可观的明星创业者、知名风险投资和股权投资机构和特定的科技巨头,都参与了这个共谋。在这个摧枯拉朽的破坏性进程中,诞生并倒下了四家具备典型命运的公司——乐视、ofo、瑞幸咖啡和蛋壳公寓,它们的兴起,掩映着一个旧时代饕餮盛宴最后的疯狂;它们的倒下,推动着一个旧时代游戏规则宿命的瓦解。一个时代该落幕了。那是一个实体经济被虚拟经济“带偏了”的时代——如果没有“生态化反”的“超前”互联网思维,乐视可能还在安静地研发数字电视,活得可能还不错,跟小米可能还得多干几年仗;但它就倒在了太有互联网思维,太想靠“生态化反”的虚拟概念圈很多钱,然后一招制胜上。如果对“绿色出行”真的有那么一丝丝敬畏,ofo和摩拜单车就不会忙着打融资战,用所谓“互联网”的方式把城市的每一个犄角旮旯恨不得都铺上自己的车,制造了新的工业污染,破坏了环境,也引爆了自己的债务。如果真的想认认真真地做一杯咖啡,那么瑞幸咖啡完全应该赢得尊重,可它偏偏要宣称自己做的“其实不是咖啡”,而是“智慧零售平台”,玩儿命往互联网新零售的堆儿里扎,最后商业骗局彻底败露。如果蛋壳公寓真的如它描绘的愿景那样,为每一个初出茅庐青年人提供一个蛋壳般的空间保护,就应该真正从商业模式上尊重它的用户们,不至于让他们背负债务,颠沛流离。在自己本来该做什么,实际却做了什么的问题上,这些公司错得太离谱了。它们离谱就离谱在明明选择了一条实体经济的赛道,却要用互联网思维霸凌实体经济,榨取和抽空实体经济的养分和活力;而不是谦卑一点,用互联网和新技术赋予实体经济更强大的实力和竞争力。事实上,这几家公司本身在技术上就乏善可陈,用数据、模型化和标准化的方式升级实体经济的能力相当有限,却自觉高人一等,希望用“互联网式”的运营手段和营销噱头,抬高自己的身价;掏取实体经济的用户和资源,填充自己强行构造的、虚头八脑的虚拟经济外壳,从而食人而肥。当实体经济遇到新技术和互联网,本该是一次新生;但一旦它遇到的不是技术的创新者,而是化身赋能者的噬血者,它被剥夺的将是整条生命。那是一个金融和杠杆手段大行其道的时代——正因为实体经济被虚拟经济霸凌,故而其无论是生存,抑或是“指数级级增长”,都势必依赖更多的金融和杠杆手段,这就导致“新型金融服务”无孔不入地渗透到了这些所谓的“新经济”实体当中,催生它们的增长,也侵蚀它们的肌体。2016年底,乐视财务危机初现,为了给自己的“生态化反”输血,首先想到的招数就是跟地方政府合办银行;谢天谢地这个动议被地方政府婉拒,否则将酿成更大的社会性债务危机。导致ofo最终挤兑和暴雷的,也是它的押金池问题,估计哪个骑小黄车的人在当时都想象不到,一辆普普通通的小黄车里藏着一个金融陷阱,你的信用抵押成了它的违约资本。瑞幸咖啡的“金融思维”更有创意:你的咖啡机只能冲咖啡,人家瑞幸的咖啡机可以当融资租赁的标的物,从每一台自己采购的咖啡机上再榨出钱来,实乃咖啡界的一大发明。至于蛋壳公寓,在这个冬天里引发的悲剧人们都看到了——瞒着那些最怕背债的人,给他们背上小贷机构的租金贷,换取了自己的财务空间和一时的增长速度,把“金融之恶”放大到极限。中国互联网公司对金融的迷恋,越来越像一个普遍症候——从顶级巨头到独角兽企业,都想涉足现金贷;那些试图实现更快速增长的创业公司,也都想用除了常规融资之外的金融杠杆手段当强心针。人人都看到了金融作为杠杆的撬动力,以至于他们的大多数都忽视了金融的债务属性和违约风险。当越来越多系统性的金融债务危机发生在“以创新之名”的科技和互联网企业时候,彻底暴露了这些公司拿金融当吗啡的短视。对增长的崇拜导致了对金融杠杆的依赖,对金融杠杆的依赖又最终导致了挪用用户资金、伤及用户利益的债务风险——当这种扭曲的增长逻辑导致的系统性金融风险,无死角地覆盖“衣食住行”各领域的“创新型企业”的时候,那么它只能是一个全局性问题。那是一个“资本意志”压制“企业家精神”的时代——对金融杠杆的追逐来自对“几何级增长”的普遍渴求。在大多数情形下,指数级增长对一家科技公司当然是一个符合科学和逻辑的追求——前提是它的增长节奏和增长目标,被企业的创始人和企业家本身,以符合市场规律的方式掌控。而事实上,过去几年,在网约车、共享单车、智慧零售和长租公寓等领域,真正驱动“指数级增长”的并不是企业家的意志、用户需求和市场反应的结果,而是资本的意志。传说中的“资本永不眠”,从没缺席过收割一个又一个他们自己强行制造的风口。在这个过程中,有被资本意志捆绑着无可奈何地往前走的企业家,也有从一开始就乔装打扮成企业家的资本玩家,更不乏资本玩家和企业家从一开始就充满默契的合谋。无论是哪种情况,都不是“企业家精神”的胜利,都是“资本意志”压制并绑架了“企业家精神”的结果。它们创造了千奇百怪、没补贴就不增长、不赚钱的“生意”:乐视卖一部手机就亏几百块,但它仍然在做。无论摩拜还是ofo小黄车,骑的人越多,单次骑行亏的就越多——如果押金不变成金融杠杆的话,现金流就永远是负数。瑞幸咖啡也是建立在大量的优惠券和补贴诱导消费的基础上的,否则星巴克不香吗?蛋壳公寓也一样,无论它再怎么瞒着你帮你背上了债,但看上去确实是有“免租金”优惠的,要不那么“漂亮”的增长数据是怎么出来的呢?就连已经在资本意志局中逃出生天的滴滴,也是直到这两年基本摆脱了绑架之后才真正地做了点自己的事,创始人才看上去更像是一名企业家了。当“一补贴就亏损,不补贴就没人用”变成乐视、瑞幸、ofo和蛋壳们的常态,你再怎么矫饰也很难说它是一个“理解用户需求的”和“符合市场规律”的商业,但这并不妨碍资本在其中游刃有余地套利——瑞幸和蛋壳的闪电上市,是吸取了乐视和ofo们“夜长梦多”的教训,背后的投资机构有了快速套现退出的可能——至于今后是不是造假败露和一地债务鸡毛,谁关心呢。资本并不真正在意科技创新,也并不真心拥抱“市场经济”,过去几年,更多资本的意志,把一个原本可以按照市场规律科学成长的行业和一家公司,逼到一条疾速行驶的赛道上,用各种竞争和各种资源催熟它,让行业变得前所未有地“内卷”,以求得自己的快速退出套现,也造成了前所未有的金钱和资源浪费——摩拜被美团收购让投资人都赚到了钱,但并没有带来一个更大的绿色出行市场,反而制造了大量的破旧单车垃圾;瑞幸也并没有真正改变咖啡本身;蛋壳公寓更是让一些年轻人的生活变得更糟糕了。但是它们的投资人,也就是资本都赚到钱了。“资本意志”不仅剥夺了年轻人的快乐,也扭曲了市场,剥夺了企业家的自主性和“企业家精神”。我们所在的这个国家、这个社会比任何时候都需要企业家精神,去研制芯片、去改变零售、去用数字和智能升级农业和制造业,去用自动驾驶和清洁能源改变出行,去创造世界而不是浪费资源。“企业家精神”固然需要资本的支持和加码,但一旦资本意志凌驾了企业家精神,事情就起了变化。利用资本而警惕资本、节制资本,是企业家精神能够存续的前提。乐视、ofo、瑞幸和蛋壳们的陆续倒掉,是虚拟经济霸凌实体经济力不从心,金融杠杆逐渐失灵,资本意志呼风唤雨能力不再的开始,也拉开了一个时代落下的帷幕。一切该结束了。新的世界该开始了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","te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