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Forever8070

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06-27

$A50指数2407(CN2407)$ 大家记住，狗是改不了吃屎的

06-14

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 缅A

01-10

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 诈骗

01-10

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 诈骗

01-09

$A50指数主连 2401(CNmain)$ 诈骗

2023-08-18

要跌了要跌了

鲍威尔登场时间敲定！有望透露重大货币政策举措，小心今晚上演调仓风暴

2022-09-02

又发表**言论

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-03-17

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-02-03

啥情况

东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠

2022-01-29

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$准备跳水

2022-01-24

$SP500指数主连 2203(ESmain)$ 本周上看4600，4740承压，下周震荡下看4200

2021-11-10

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@话题虎:元宇宙引多空激辩！刘慈欣怒怼：它会把人类引向死路！

2021-10-22

说话就像唱fang歌pi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-18

Which eye look down？？？Sir

Stocks drop as inflation concerns outweigh earnings optimism

2021-10-15

行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信

疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭

2021-10-15

。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-13

为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？

美联储二号人物等高官：通胀风险偏上行，Taper前景不变

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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诈骗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/261214143836208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":210120177393752,"gmtCreate":1692320317950,"gmtModify":1692320319293,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要跌了要跌了","listText":"要跌了要跌了","text":"要跌了要跌了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/210120177393752","repostId":"2360634028","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2360634028","pubTimestamp":1692319982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2360634028?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-18 08:53","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔登场时间敲定！有望透露重大货币政策举措，小心今晚上演调仓风暴","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2360634028","media":"金十数据","summary":"鲍威尔或借助杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会暗示货币政策重要节点。美股价值2.2万亿美元的期权周五到期，杰克逊霍尔年会可能触发大规模调仓。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>鲍威尔或借助杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会暗示货币政策重要节点。美股价值2.2万亿美元的期权周五到期，杰克逊霍尔年会可能触发大规模调仓。</blockquote><p>美联储日程显示，<strong>美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月25日在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的年度央行行长会议上发表有关经济前景的演讲，这次讲话定于美国东部时间上午10点05分开始（北京时间晚上10:05）</strong>。</p><p>杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会经常成为美联储暗示货币政策重要节点的窗口，届时鲍威尔将有机会就以下问题发表最新观点：是否需要进一步收紧政策，以在意外强劲的经济增长中降低通胀；或者在抑制通胀方面是否取得了足够的进展，可以保持利率稳定。</p><p>美联储7月会议纪要显示，政策制定者仍认为通胀存在可能高于预期的重大风险，这可能需要进一步加息，不过一些官员更倾向于维持利率不变，并警告称，随着通胀下降，维持政策过紧会带来风险。</p><p>7月会议以来的数据显示，尽管劳动力市场和消费者支出依然强劲，但物价压力继续降温。鲍威尔上个月告诉记者，美联储将逐次会议做出利率决定，但他强调，官员们打算“在我们确信通胀可持续地降至2%的目标之前，保持政策的限制性，如果合适的话，我们准备进一步收紧政策”。</p><p><strong>杰克逊霍尔年会前该对冲了？</strong></p><p>衍生品分析公司Asym 500的创始人Rocky Fishman估计，约有价值2.2万亿美元与股票和指数挂钩的较长期期权合约将于周五到期。投资者必须决定是将期权展期，还是建立新的头寸——这一过程会导致交易量大幅飙升，并可能导致价格突然波动。</p><p>这一次的OpEx事件（期权到期）出现在一个关键时刻——标普500指数今年的大幅上涨势头开始受到冲击，投资者押注强劲的美国经济将迫使美联储进一步提高利率。</p><p>虽然期权到期事件通常为那些希望洗牌大额头寸的人提供了一个流动性窗口，但它也为反复无常的股市增添了另一个复杂性——股市容易出现盘中抛售和频繁逆转。此外，交易员面临的更大挑战是，当前零日期权（0DTE）泛滥，以及做市商最近仓位的变化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27ae7868e24b65a1cc05cbc55f67135d\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"378\"/></p><p>预测OpEx的结果是徒劳的。但最近的历史表明，美股在OpEx事件发生后往往会上涨。据外媒收集的数据显示，自去年年初以来，在OpEx后的一周，标普500指数除了六次外，其余时间都在上涨。</p><p>但分析服务公司SpotGamma的创始人布伦特•科丘巴（Brent Kochuba）表示，<strong>在杰克逊霍尔举行年度政策论坛之前，听从这种模式可能是危险的。</strong>鉴于目前期权成本的低迷，他建议投资者考虑购买保护措施。他说：</p><blockquote>“OpEx会释放了一些定向波动，下周的杰克逊霍尔年会将起到催化作用。现在是买入一些较长期看跌期权对冲的合理时机，因隐含波动率尚未对标普500指数下跌作出反应。”</blockquote><p>由于全球债券收益率飙升，标普500指数连续第三个交易日下跌。该指数8月份下跌近5%，有望创下2023年最糟糕的月度表现。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cede83266da960eadec7c2372a603898\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"/></p><p>有一类市场参与者值得关注——将买卖期权作为投资策略的一部分，并每月重新调整持仓的基金，比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF（QYLD）。当他们在一个月的第三个星期五左右建立头寸时，这种活动可能会给交易员增加一层不确定性。</p><p>对于那些更谨慎地使用衍生品的投资者来说，这一次他们可能很难做出配置决定。随着今年的宠儿科技股跌至8月排行榜底部，标普500指数连续第三周下跌，<strong>对冲损失的压力正在积聚</strong>。事实上，零日期权的交易行为最近<strong>倾向于看跌期权</strong>。</p><p>然而，由于经济数据强于预期，企业获利预估开始上升，因此有理由认为，目前的回调可能是短暂的。这是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>交易部门的观点。该部门预计，在经历了可能由季节性疲软和美联储政策不确定性推动的近期动荡之后，美股将达到历史高点。</p><p>同样有争议的还有做市商，他们是期权交易的另一方，必须买卖股票以平衡其风险敞口。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>表示，上周，这群人今年首次转为“伽马空头”头寸，他们的活动有可能放大市场波动。 </p><p>加拿大皇家银行资本市场的衍生品策略主管Amy Wu Silverman表示，<strong>由于杰克逊霍尔可能成为引发波动的事件，鉴于交易商的立场，任何股市回调都可能迅速恶化</strong>。 她说：</p><blockquote>“有很多人说市场正在从‘多头’转向‘空头’。这意味着，在我们抛售股票的过程中，触及了更多的看跌期权买家，而不是看跌期权卖家。看跌期权买家往往会加剧负面走势，因为交易商会抛售股票。”</blockquote></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔登场时间敲定！有望透露重大货币政策举措，小心今晚上演调仓风暴</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔登场时间敲定！有望透露重大货币政策举措，小心今晚上演调仓风暴\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-18 08:53 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119938&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鲍威尔或借助杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会暗示货币政策重要节点。美股价值2.2万亿美元的期权周五到期，杰克逊霍尔年会可能触发大规模调仓。美联储日程显示，美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月25日在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的年度央行行长会议上发表有关经济前景的演讲，这次讲话定于美国东部时间上午10点05分开始（北京时间晚上10:05）。杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会经常成为美联储暗示货币政策重要节点的窗口，届时鲍威尔将有机会就...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119938&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a386dd587d08ac029291ca5b27919347","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119938&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2360634028","content_text":"鲍威尔或借助杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会暗示货币政策重要节点。美股价值2.2万亿美元的期权周五到期，杰克逊霍尔年会可能触发大规模调仓。美联储日程显示，美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月25日在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的年度央行行长会议上发表有关经济前景的演讲，这次讲话定于美国东部时间上午10点05分开始（北京时间晚上10:05）。杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会经常成为美联储暗示货币政策重要节点的窗口，届时鲍威尔将有机会就以下问题发表最新观点：是否需要进一步收紧政策，以在意外强劲的经济增长中降低通胀；或者在抑制通胀方面是否取得了足够的进展，可以保持利率稳定。美联储7月会议纪要显示，政策制定者仍认为通胀存在可能高于预期的重大风险，这可能需要进一步加息，不过一些官员更倾向于维持利率不变，并警告称，随着通胀下降，维持政策过紧会带来风险。7月会议以来的数据显示，尽管劳动力市场和消费者支出依然强劲，但物价压力继续降温。鲍威尔上个月告诉记者，美联储将逐次会议做出利率决定，但他强调，官员们打算“在我们确信通胀可持续地降至2%的目标之前，保持政策的限制性，如果合适的话，我们准备进一步收紧政策”。杰克逊霍尔年会前该对冲了？衍生品分析公司Asym 500的创始人Rocky Fishman估计，约有价值2.2万亿美元与股票和指数挂钩的较长期期权合约将于周五到期。投资者必须决定是将期权展期，还是建立新的头寸——这一过程会导致交易量大幅飙升，并可能导致价格突然波动。这一次的OpEx事件（期权到期）出现在一个关键时刻——标普500指数今年的大幅上涨势头开始受到冲击，投资者押注强劲的美国经济将迫使美联储进一步提高利率。虽然期权到期事件通常为那些希望洗牌大额头寸的人提供了一个流动性窗口，但它也为反复无常的股市增添了另一个复杂性——股市容易出现盘中抛售和频繁逆转。此外，交易员面临的更大挑战是，当前零日期权（0DTE）泛滥，以及做市商最近仓位的变化。预测OpEx的结果是徒劳的。但最近的历史表明，美股在OpEx事件发生后往往会上涨。据外媒收集的数据显示，自去年年初以来，在OpEx后的一周，标普500指数除了六次外，其余时间都在上涨。但分析服务公司SpotGamma的创始人布伦特•科丘巴（Brent Kochuba）表示，在杰克逊霍尔举行年度政策论坛之前，听从这种模式可能是危险的。鉴于目前期权成本的低迷，他建议投资者考虑购买保护措施。他说：“OpEx会释放了一些定向波动，下周的杰克逊霍尔年会将起到催化作用。现在是买入一些较长期看跌期权对冲的合理时机，因隐含波动率尚未对标普500指数下跌作出反应。”由于全球债券收益率飙升，标普500指数连续第三个交易日下跌。该指数8月份下跌近5%，有望创下2023年最糟糕的月度表现。有一类市场参与者值得关注——将买卖期权作为投资策略的一部分，并每月重新调整持仓的基金，比如Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF（QYLD）。当他们在一个月的第三个星期五左右建立头寸时，这种活动可能会给交易员增加一层不确定性。对于那些更谨慎地使用衍生品的投资者来说，这一次他们可能很难做出配置决定。随着今年的宠儿科技股跌至8月排行榜底部，标普500指数连续第三周下跌，对冲损失的压力正在积聚。事实上，零日期权的交易行为最近倾向于看跌期权。然而，由于经济数据强于预期，企业获利预估开始上升，因此有理由认为，目前的回调可能是短暂的。这是摩根大通交易部门的观点。该部门预计，在经历了可能由季节性疲软和美联储政策不确定性推动的近期动荡之后，美股将达到历史高点。同样有争议的还有做市商，他们是期权交易的另一方，必须买卖股票以平衡其风险敞口。高盛表示，上周，这群人今年首次转为“伽马空头”头寸，他们的活动有可能放大市场波动。 加拿大皇家银行资本市场的衍生品策略主管Amy Wu Silverman表示，由于杰克逊霍尔可能成为引发波动的事件，鉴于交易商的立场，任何股市回调都可能迅速恶化。 她说：“有很多人说市场正在从‘多头’转向‘空头’。这意味着，在我们抛售股票的过程中，触及了更多的看跌期权买家，而不是看跌期权卖家。看跌期权买家往往会加剧负面走势，因为交易商会抛售股票。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":669118958,"gmtCreate":1662129858074,"gmtModify":1662129858951,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又发表**言论","listText":"又发表**言论","text":"又发表**言论","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/669118958","repostId":"2264524856","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634691657,"gmtCreate":1647453165994,"gmtModify":1647453165994,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634691657","repostId":"634853940","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633175551,"gmtCreate":1643897137322,"gmtModify":1643897137322,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"啥情况","listText":"啥情况","text":"啥情况","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633175551","repostId":"2208393403","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2208393403","pubTimestamp":1643863272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2208393403?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-03 12:41","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208393403","media":"北京青年报","summary":"东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠 来源：青瞳视角北京时间2月3日，NBA常规赛继续进行，俄克拉荷马雷霆客场挑战达拉斯独行侠，尽管东契奇得到40分6个篮板10次助攻，但是多尔特和曼恩合计砍下了59分，雷霆通过加时120-114击败独行侠，取得两连胜。随着东契奇三分不中，独行侠与雷霆战成103平，两队进入加时赛。另一边东契奇的得分效率有所下降，独行侠其他人又无人站出来为他分忧，杀疯了的多尔特随后又连砍7分终结比赛悬念。","content":"<html><body><p>原标题：东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠 来源：青瞳视角</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider20220203/790/w480h310/20220203/4eec-51625e7d772de3c521836242a72ccaef.jpg/w720fin.jpg\"/></div><p>北京时间2月3日，NBA常规赛继续进行，俄克拉荷马雷霆客场挑战达拉斯独行侠，尽管东契奇得到40分6个篮板10次助攻，但是多尔特和曼恩合计砍下了59分，雷霆通过加时120-114击败独行侠，取得两连胜。</p><p>雷霆方面，多尔特30分6个篮板，曼恩29分，贝兹利13分11个篮板；</p><p>独行侠方面，布洛克23分8个篮板，布伦森20分，克勒贝尔10分8个篮板。</p><p>比赛回顾</p><p>首节上来，雷霆反客为主，基迪连续两次抛投得手为球队先声夺人，独行侠虽然由史密斯飚中三分还以颜色，东契奇和布伦森也各自施展得分绝技，但多尔特和鲍威尔很快在外线百步穿杨夺回领先优势。双方此后进入拉锯战，这边东契奇抛投、三分弹无虚发，那边维金斯和基迪在外线也是箭如雨下，一连四记三分命中打得对手毫无脾气，雷霆用一波14-5的攻势将领先优势扩大到8分。独行侠经过暂停调整后迅速展开反击，东契奇先是在外线发炮飙中三分，接着布伦森又连下两城，随着尼利基纳三分再中，独行侠回敬一波10-0反超比分。然而雷霆并未因此慌乱，末段多尔特和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>接连建功，首节结束，雷霆依旧以30-28保持领先。</p><p>次节之争，克莱伯上来就是一记穿云箭，格林、布伦森也都利用个人能力取得分数，独行侠又是一波7-0反超比分。雷霆那边的进攻则严重陷入停滞，半节比赛仅仅得到6分，反观对手则是多点开花，布洛克的三分与东契奇的抛投连连得手，独行侠趁机不断扩大战果。危难时刻，雷霆还是从防守做起，他们加强防守强度延缓对手上分速度，自己则靠着贝兹利、曼恩和多尔特等人一点一点缩小分差，靠着基迪半场结束前的两次篮下终结，半场战罢，雷霆终于将比分扳成51平。</p><p>易边再战，东契奇和鲍威尔的暴力虐筐连线终于上线，多尔特、东契奇、克莱伯、基迪和布洛克此后展开三分对飚大战，双方你来我往连中六记三分，场面一度极其华丽。一番激战后还是雷霆更胜一筹，曼恩、贝兹利和杰罗姆很快也加入三分投射大军，独行侠则无人能够予以回应，雷霆用一波16-4的攻击波将分差拉大到两位数。独行侠此时才如梦方醒，克莱伯挡拆顺下命中为球队止血，格林反击高举高打取得分数稍稍缩小分差，三节结束，雷霆85-76领先独行侠。</p><p>末节，雷霆的三分表演仍在继续，贝兹利远投张手就有，分差又一次来到两位数。独行侠自然不甘束手就擒，布洛克很快在外线回敬answer ball，布伦森则终于找回感觉，各种变相突破连取8分带领球队将分差缩小到只有2分。然而他们的攻势却在之后戛然而止，一连4分多钟竟一分未得，雷霆趁机在基迪的带领下再度拉开比分。东契奇随后站出来连中不讲理三分一步步缩小分差，终场前8秒，布洛克三分命中终于帮助球队反超比分，不过雷霆靠着威廉姆斯的空接很快就扳平比分。随着东契奇三分不中，独行侠与雷霆战成103平，两队进入加时赛。</p><p>加时赛，威廉姆斯的勉扣为雷霆先下一城，多尔特三分干拔命中后又强突布伦森造成犯规，他一人连拿7分率队超出比分。另一边东契奇的得分效率有所下降，独行侠其他人又无人站出来为他分忧，杀疯了的多尔特随后又连砍7分终结比赛悬念。最终，雷霆120-114战胜独行侠。</p><p>双方首发</p><p>独行侠：东契奇、布伦森、鲍威尔、克莱伯、史密斯</p><p>雷霆：基迪、曼恩、迪亚基特、维金斯、多尔特</p><p>（NBA官网）</p></body></html>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-03 12:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-02-03/doc-ikyamrmz8863939.shtml><strong>北京青年报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠 来源：青瞳视角北京时间2月3日，NBA常规赛继续进行，俄克拉荷马雷霆客场挑战达拉斯独行侠，尽管东契奇得到40分6个篮板10次助攻，但是多尔特和曼恩合计砍下了59分，雷霆通过加时120-114击败独行侠，取得两连胜。雷霆方面，多尔特30分6个篮板，曼恩29分，贝兹利13分11个篮板；独行侠方面，布洛克23分8个篮板，布伦森20分，克勒贝尔10分8个...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-02-03/doc-ikyamrmz8863939.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/753c9aba3202037bc97463c545d5d015","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-02-03/doc-ikyamrmz8863939.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2208393403","content_text":"原标题：东契奇空砍40+10 雷霆加时击败独行侠 来源：青瞳视角北京时间2月3日，NBA常规赛继续进行，俄克拉荷马雷霆客场挑战达拉斯独行侠，尽管东契奇得到40分6个篮板10次助攻，但是多尔特和曼恩合计砍下了59分，雷霆通过加时120-114击败独行侠，取得两连胜。雷霆方面，多尔特30分6个篮板，曼恩29分，贝兹利13分11个篮板；独行侠方面，布洛克23分8个篮板，布伦森20分，克勒贝尔10分8个篮板。比赛回顾首节上来，雷霆反客为主，基迪连续两次抛投得手为球队先声夺人，独行侠虽然由史密斯飚中三分还以颜色，东契奇和布伦森也各自施展得分绝技，但多尔特和鲍威尔很快在外线百步穿杨夺回领先优势。双方此后进入拉锯战，这边东契奇抛投、三分弹无虚发，那边维金斯和基迪在外线也是箭如雨下，一连四记三分命中打得对手毫无脾气，雷霆用一波14-5的攻势将领先优势扩大到8分。独行侠经过暂停调整后迅速展开反击，东契奇先是在外线发炮飙中三分，接着布伦森又连下两城，随着尼利基纳三分再中，独行侠回敬一波10-0反超比分。然而雷霆并未因此慌乱，末段多尔特和威廉姆斯接连建功，首节结束，雷霆依旧以30-28保持领先。次节之争，克莱伯上来就是一记穿云箭，格林、布伦森也都利用个人能力取得分数，独行侠又是一波7-0反超比分。雷霆那边的进攻则严重陷入停滞，半节比赛仅仅得到6分，反观对手则是多点开花，布洛克的三分与东契奇的抛投连连得手，独行侠趁机不断扩大战果。危难时刻，雷霆还是从防守做起，他们加强防守强度延缓对手上分速度，自己则靠着贝兹利、曼恩和多尔特等人一点一点缩小分差，靠着基迪半场结束前的两次篮下终结，半场战罢，雷霆终于将比分扳成51平。易边再战，东契奇和鲍威尔的暴力虐筐连线终于上线，多尔特、东契奇、克莱伯、基迪和布洛克此后展开三分对飚大战，双方你来我往连中六记三分，场面一度极其华丽。一番激战后还是雷霆更胜一筹，曼恩、贝兹利和杰罗姆很快也加入三分投射大军，独行侠则无人能够予以回应，雷霆用一波16-4的攻击波将分差拉大到两位数。独行侠此时才如梦方醒，克莱伯挡拆顺下命中为球队止血，格林反击高举高打取得分数稍稍缩小分差，三节结束，雷霆85-76领先独行侠。末节，雷霆的三分表演仍在继续，贝兹利远投张手就有，分差又一次来到两位数。独行侠自然不甘束手就擒，布洛克很快在外线回敬answer ball，布伦森则终于找回感觉，各种变相突破连取8分带领球队将分差缩小到只有2分。然而他们的攻势却在之后戛然而止，一连4分多钟竟一分未得，雷霆趁机在基迪的带领下再度拉开比分。东契奇随后站出来连中不讲理三分一步步缩小分差，终场前8秒，布洛克三分命中终于帮助球队反超比分，不过雷霆靠着威廉姆斯的空接很快就扳平比分。随着东契奇三分不中，独行侠与雷霆战成103平，两队进入加时赛。加时赛，威廉姆斯的勉扣为雷霆先下一城，多尔特三分干拔命中后又强突布伦森造成犯规，他一人连拿7分率队超出比分。另一边东契奇的得分效率有所下降，独行侠其他人又无人站出来为他分忧，杀疯了的多尔特随后又连砍7分终结比赛悬念。最终，雷霆120-114战胜独行侠。双方首发独行侠：东契奇、布伦森、鲍威尔、克莱伯、史密斯雷霆：基迪、曼恩、迪亚基特、维金斯、多尔特（NBA官网）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639425341,"gmtCreate":1643391632420,"gmtModify":1643391632420,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>准备跳水","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>准备跳水","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$准备跳水","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639425341","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630544221,"gmtCreate":1643002153302,"gmtModify":1643002153302,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2203(ESmain)$&nbsp;</a>本周上看4600，4740承压，下周震荡下看4200","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2203(ESmain)$&nbsp;</a>本周上看4600，4740承压，下周震荡下看4200","text":"$SP500指数主连 2203(ESmain)$ 本周上看4600，4740承压，下周震荡下看4200","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630544221","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847453463,"gmtCreate":1636548685235,"gmtModify":1636548685235,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847453463","repostId":"844218231","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":844218231,"gmtCreate":1636429800414,"gmtModify":1636447990604,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"元宇宙引多空激辩！刘慈欣怒怼：它会把人类引向死路！","htmlText":"近日，著名的科幻作家&nbsp;刘慈欣&nbsp;表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">$中信证券(06030)$</a> 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a> ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> 达成重大合作，大涨10%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/846287583\" target=\"_blank\">英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。</a> 以及，A股但","listText":"近日，著名的科幻作家&nbsp;刘慈欣&nbsp;表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">$中信证券(06030)$</a> 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a> ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> 达成重大合作，大涨10%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/846287583\" target=\"_blank\">英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。</a> 以及，A股但","text":"近日，著名的科幻作家 刘慈欣 表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 $中信证券(06030)$ 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； $AMD(AMD)$ 与$Meta Platforms(FB)$ 达成重大合作，大涨10%； 英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。 以及，A股但","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da49d8a9845b43d9ddd3ecfe98abddea","width":"533","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844218231","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851572464,"gmtCreate":1634916974123,"gmtModify":1634916974123,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","listText":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","text":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851572464","repostId":"1163887475","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850145766,"gmtCreate":1634567348627,"gmtModify":1634567348627,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Which eye look down？？？Sir","listText":"Which eye look down？？？Sir","text":"Which eye look down？？？Sir","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850145766","repostId":"1175368520","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175368520","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634563836,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175368520?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks drop as inflation concerns outweigh earnings optimism","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175368520","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 18) Stocks fell Monday to give back some gains after the S&P 500's best week since July, with i","content":"<p>(Oct&nbsp;18)&nbsp;Stocks fell Monday to give back some gains after the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500's best week since July, with investors' concerns over elevated inflation offsetting hopes that more companies will follow the lead of the big banks last week and post strong quarterly earnings results.</p>\n<p>The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq each moved to the downside. The moves tracked a drop in overseas equities after Chinareported its slowest GDP growth rate since last year&nbsp;for the third quarter, as energy shortages and property-sector turmoil dragged down economic activity in the world's second-largest economy. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) jumped above $83 per barrel to hover at their highest level since 2014, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield broke back above 1.6%.</p>\n<p>This week, investors are looking ahead to a packed slate of corporate earnings results, which will help offer more insights into how companies across various industries have navigated inflationary trends, widespread labor scarcities and lingering virus-related disruptions. Remarks from some executives have further confirmed the weight of these issues. Fastenal (FAST) CEO Daniel Florness said during last week's earnings call that \"product and shipping cost inflation is not just high, it's brutally high.\"</p>\n<p>But an otherwise strong start to earnings season last week helped fuel optimism that corporate profits held up more strongly than anticipated across the board, even in the face of a myriad supply-related challenges. Big banks from Morgan Stanley (MS) to Bank of America (BAC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) handily topped estimates in their third quarter results last week, and many of these companies' executive offered upbeat assessments of the state of the U.S. consumer, or the demand engine of the U.S. economy. These remarks had helped affirm trends seen in recent economic data, with U.S. retail sales unexpectedly posting a monthly gain of 0.9% in September, government data last week showed.</p>\n<p>\"We started off this week really strong. The banks have done great ... That started to relieve a little bit of people's concerns, especially when you had the CEOs of the bank saying the consumer looks strong,\" Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday.\"And that, I think, is going to be the key for the market going forward. If the consumer is there and they're willing to spend — which we've seen in the month of September [when] retail sales started to come back a little bit — then I think that gives a little more optimism to the market that as we continue to reopen, as earnings are strong, the consumer will be there, and the equity markets will continue to trend higher.\"</p>\n<p>As of Friday, the expected earnings growth rate for the S&amp;P 500 was 30%,according to FactSet.That figure — based on both actual earnings from companies that have reported so far and expectations for future results — represented an increase from the prior week, when the anticipated earnings growth rate for the third quarter stood at about 27.6%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks drop as inflation concerns outweigh earnings optimism</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks drop as inflation concerns outweigh earnings optimism\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-18 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct&nbsp;18)&nbsp;Stocks fell Monday to give back some gains after the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500's best week since July, with investors' concerns over elevated inflation offsetting hopes that more companies will follow the lead of the big banks last week and post strong quarterly earnings results.</p>\n<p>The Dow, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq each moved to the downside. The moves tracked a drop in overseas equities after Chinareported its slowest GDP growth rate since last year&nbsp;for the third quarter, as energy shortages and property-sector turmoil dragged down economic activity in the world's second-largest economy. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) jumped above $83 per barrel to hover at their highest level since 2014, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield broke back above 1.6%.</p>\n<p>This week, investors are looking ahead to a packed slate of corporate earnings results, which will help offer more insights into how companies across various industries have navigated inflationary trends, widespread labor scarcities and lingering virus-related disruptions. Remarks from some executives have further confirmed the weight of these issues. Fastenal (FAST) CEO Daniel Florness said during last week's earnings call that \"product and shipping cost inflation is not just high, it's brutally high.\"</p>\n<p>But an otherwise strong start to earnings season last week helped fuel optimism that corporate profits held up more strongly than anticipated across the board, even in the face of a myriad supply-related challenges. Big banks from Morgan Stanley (MS) to Bank of America (BAC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) handily topped estimates in their third quarter results last week, and many of these companies' executive offered upbeat assessments of the state of the U.S. consumer, or the demand engine of the U.S. economy. These remarks had helped affirm trends seen in recent economic data, with U.S. retail sales unexpectedly posting a monthly gain of 0.9% in September, government data last week showed.</p>\n<p>\"We started off this week really strong. The banks have done great ... That started to relieve a little bit of people's concerns, especially when you had the CEOs of the bank saying the consumer looks strong,\" Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday.\"And that, I think, is going to be the key for the market going forward. If the consumer is there and they're willing to spend — which we've seen in the month of September [when] retail sales started to come back a little bit — then I think that gives a little more optimism to the market that as we continue to reopen, as earnings are strong, the consumer will be there, and the equity markets will continue to trend higher.\"</p>\n<p>As of Friday, the expected earnings growth rate for the S&amp;P 500 was 30%,according to FactSet.That figure — based on both actual earnings from companies that have reported so far and expectations for future results — represented an increase from the prior week, when the anticipated earnings growth rate for the third quarter stood at about 27.6%.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175368520","content_text":"(Oct 18) Stocks fell Monday to give back some gains after the S&P 500's best week since July, with investors' concerns over elevated inflation offsetting hopes that more companies will follow the lead of the big banks last week and post strong quarterly earnings results.\nThe Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq each moved to the downside. The moves tracked a drop in overseas equities after Chinareported its slowest GDP growth rate since last year for the third quarter, as energy shortages and property-sector turmoil dragged down economic activity in the world's second-largest economy. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) jumped above $83 per barrel to hover at their highest level since 2014, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield broke back above 1.6%.\nThis week, investors are looking ahead to a packed slate of corporate earnings results, which will help offer more insights into how companies across various industries have navigated inflationary trends, widespread labor scarcities and lingering virus-related disruptions. Remarks from some executives have further confirmed the weight of these issues. Fastenal (FAST) CEO Daniel Florness said during last week's earnings call that \"product and shipping cost inflation is not just high, it's brutally high.\"\nBut an otherwise strong start to earnings season last week helped fuel optimism that corporate profits held up more strongly than anticipated across the board, even in the face of a myriad supply-related challenges. Big banks from Morgan Stanley (MS) to Bank of America (BAC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) handily topped estimates in their third quarter results last week, and many of these companies' executive offered upbeat assessments of the state of the U.S. consumer, or the demand engine of the U.S. economy. These remarks had helped affirm trends seen in recent economic data, with U.S. retail sales unexpectedly posting a monthly gain of 0.9% in September, government data last week showed.\n\"We started off this week really strong. The banks have done great ... That started to relieve a little bit of people's concerns, especially when you had the CEOs of the bank saying the consumer looks strong,\" Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Investments chief market strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday.\"And that, I think, is going to be the key for the market going forward. If the consumer is there and they're willing to spend — which we've seen in the month of September [when] retail sales started to come back a little bit — then I think that gives a little more optimism to the market that as we continue to reopen, as earnings are strong, the consumer will be there, and the equity markets will continue to trend higher.\"\nAs of Friday, the expected earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 was 30%,according to FactSet.That figure — based on both actual earnings from companies that have reported so far and expectations for future results — represented an increase from the prior week, when the anticipated earnings growth rate for the third quarter stood at about 27.6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824294194,"gmtCreate":1634313127851,"gmtModify":1634313127851,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","listText":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","text":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824294194","repostId":"1183017029","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1183017029","pubTimestamp":1634342998,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183017029?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-16 08:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183017029","media":"智通财经网","summary":"几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达","content":"<p>几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。</p>\n<p>有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......</p>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的实时预测显示，美国第三季度经济仅增长1.3%，远低于两个月前预测的6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e812d75892412c24e4f3a2f689d67c28\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然接受媒体调查的经济学家仍持乐观态度，但自8月以来，对第三季度经济增长的普遍预期已经大幅下降。花旗集团首席经济学家Nathan Sheets表示，虽然所有这些都不意味着美国经济反弹的趋势正在逆转，“但它肯定变得疲软了”。市场的悲观情绪似乎正在日益增长。</p>\n<p><b>1、交货延迟</b></p>\n<p>许多经济学家利用采购经理人指数(Purchasing Managers ' Index)来衡量制造业的状况，并为他们的增长预测提供依据。该指数基于对供应链经理的调查，其五大要素之一是供应商交货时间，而较长的交货时间通常被视为需求及经济强劲的标志。</p>\n<p>但在疫情中，这可能无法反映出全部情况。在将货物运往美国、以及货物抵达美国之后的运输方面，出现了前所未有的问题。换句话说，漫长的交货时间可能既是供应疲软的原因，也可能是需求强劲的信号，对于这两种情况的混淆导致经济学家对经济增长过于乐观。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6cbe055abc6b1a4c2db9ea7fe418b1\" tg-width=\"513\" tg-height=\"256\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>设备、材料和日常用品的平均交货时间大幅增加</p>\n<p><b>2、疲弱的就业数据</b></p>\n<p>经济观察人士同样对劳动力市场感到困惑。目前美国有超过1000万个空缺职位，但填补这些职位空缺的速度已经大幅放缓。在过去两个月里，接受媒体调查的几乎所有经济学家都高估了新增就业人数的数量。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6d880a4c66f213c74024c0679c450bd\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>几乎所有经济学家都对美国就业数据过于乐观</p>\n<p>收入最低的美国人首当其冲受到经济增长放缓的影响。根据哈佛大学的Opportunity Insights项目数据，截至8月中旬，收入最低的四分之一的劳动者中，其就业率与疫情前的水平相比下降了25.6%，这是自2020年6月以来最糟糕的数字。</p>\n<p><b>3、通胀高企</b></p>\n<p>居高不下的通胀也阻碍着经济复苏。关于通胀是否是暂时的争论还未完全结束，但通胀正在越来越深入地影响经济、并抑制家庭的消费能力。穆迪分析的Mark Zandi，通胀使得一般家庭每个月要额外支付175美元。</p>\n<p>能源和大宗商品价格正在螺旋上升。根据密歇根大学最新的消费者报告，由于价格高企，8月份房屋、汽车和耐用品的购买状况都有所恶化;汽车购买量从4月份的1,850万辆下降至9月的1,220万辆。</p>\n<p>第一波大范围通货膨胀仅限于相对较小的商品和服务类别，然而克利夫兰联储表示，现在情况已经不同了。其研究人员发现，近几个月来，CPI的44个主要组成部分中，约有四分之三的涨幅超过3%;相比之下，今年年初这一数字只有不到三分之一。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3963cc24fd738d134d73db641abd52\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>上个月，约75%的CPI组成部分的涨幅为3%或更高，较1月份大幅上升</p>\n<p><b>4、服务业复苏滞后</b></p>\n<p>疫情彻底改变了美国人的消费习惯。美国家庭购买的商品比以往任何时候都要多，这一行为加剧了供应链的紧张。但经济学家表示，更为平衡的经济复苏也需要更多的服务业支出，而这一过程正在缓慢进行。</p>\n<p>作为服务业中最具代表性的餐馆，由于Delta变种病毒在夏季的蔓延阻碍了外出就餐这一趋势的复苏，目前的就餐水平低于疫情前的正常水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01050eae3d8f3e56bd96183050aa8a55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"307\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>美国人外出就餐的数量低于疫情前正常水平</p>\n<p><b>5、悲观情绪</b></p>\n<p>商界领袖和普通民众对经济的看法正变得悲观。如果这样悲观的预期意味着企业投资减少、家庭支出更加谨慎，那这样的预期很可能会自我实现。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c9de6dd7acebf2936504ff4e12bd3d7\" tg-width=\"647\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对美国经济的信心降至今年以来的最低水平</p>\n<p>密歇根大学的消费者调查显示，只有44%的美国人预计自己的财务情况会改善，这是7年来的最低水平。</p>\n<p>小企业主的情绪在9月份变得消极，预计未来六个月商业环境将好转的人数降至2012年12月以来的最低水平。Chief Executive杂志编制的一项首席执行官信心指数也连续三个月下降，抹去了2021年早些时候该指数的所有涨幅。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-16 08:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......\n智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e44b70b343e617916e4a645ff4d3c6c","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1183017029","content_text":"几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......\n智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的实时预测显示，美国第三季度经济仅增长1.3%，远低于两个月前预测的6%。\n\n虽然接受媒体调查的经济学家仍持乐观态度，但自8月以来，对第三季度经济增长的普遍预期已经大幅下降。花旗集团首席经济学家Nathan Sheets表示，虽然所有这些都不意味着美国经济反弹的趋势正在逆转，“但它肯定变得疲软了”。市场的悲观情绪似乎正在日益增长。\n1、交货延迟\n许多经济学家利用采购经理人指数(Purchasing Managers ' Index)来衡量制造业的状况，并为他们的增长预测提供依据。该指数基于对供应链经理的调查，其五大要素之一是供应商交货时间，而较长的交货时间通常被视为需求及经济强劲的标志。\n但在疫情中，这可能无法反映出全部情况。在将货物运往美国、以及货物抵达美国之后的运输方面，出现了前所未有的问题。换句话说，漫长的交货时间可能既是供应疲软的原因，也可能是需求强劲的信号，对于这两种情况的混淆导致经济学家对经济增长过于乐观。\n\n设备、材料和日常用品的平均交货时间大幅增加\n2、疲弱的就业数据\n经济观察人士同样对劳动力市场感到困惑。目前美国有超过1000万个空缺职位，但填补这些职位空缺的速度已经大幅放缓。在过去两个月里，接受媒体调查的几乎所有经济学家都高估了新增就业人数的数量。\n\n几乎所有经济学家都对美国就业数据过于乐观\n收入最低的美国人首当其冲受到经济增长放缓的影响。根据哈佛大学的Opportunity Insights项目数据，截至8月中旬，收入最低的四分之一的劳动者中，其就业率与疫情前的水平相比下降了25.6%，这是自2020年6月以来最糟糕的数字。\n3、通胀高企\n居高不下的通胀也阻碍着经济复苏。关于通胀是否是暂时的争论还未完全结束，但通胀正在越来越深入地影响经济、并抑制家庭的消费能力。穆迪分析的Mark Zandi，通胀使得一般家庭每个月要额外支付175美元。\n能源和大宗商品价格正在螺旋上升。根据密歇根大学最新的消费者报告，由于价格高企，8月份房屋、汽车和耐用品的购买状况都有所恶化;汽车购买量从4月份的1,850万辆下降至9月的1,220万辆。\n第一波大范围通货膨胀仅限于相对较小的商品和服务类别，然而克利夫兰联储表示，现在情况已经不同了。其研究人员发现，近几个月来，CPI的44个主要组成部分中，约有四分之三的涨幅超过3%;相比之下，今年年初这一数字只有不到三分之一。\n\n上个月，约75%的CPI组成部分的涨幅为3%或更高，较1月份大幅上升\n4、服务业复苏滞后\n疫情彻底改变了美国人的消费习惯。美国家庭购买的商品比以往任何时候都要多，这一行为加剧了供应链的紧张。但经济学家表示，更为平衡的经济复苏也需要更多的服务业支出，而这一过程正在缓慢进行。\n作为服务业中最具代表性的餐馆，由于Delta变种病毒在夏季的蔓延阻碍了外出就餐这一趋势的复苏，目前的就餐水平低于疫情前的正常水平。\n\n美国人外出就餐的数量低于疫情前正常水平\n5、悲观情绪\n商界领袖和普通民众对经济的看法正变得悲观。如果这样悲观的预期意味着企业投资减少、家庭支出更加谨慎，那这样的预期很可能会自我实现。\n\n对美国经济的信心降至今年以来的最低水平\n密歇根大学的消费者调查显示，只有44%的美国人预计自己的财务情况会改善，这是7年来的最低水平。\n小企业主的情绪在9月份变得消极，预计未来六个月商业环境将好转的人数降至2012年12月以来的最低水平。Chief Executive杂志编制的一项首席执行官信心指数也连续三个月下降，抹去了2021年早些时候该指数的所有涨幅。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824365951,"gmtCreate":1634281131277,"gmtModify":1634281131277,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"。","listText":"。","text":"。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824365951","repostId":"1139202309","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826758695,"gmtCreate":1634060578841,"gmtModify":1634060578841,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","listText":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","text":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826758695","repostId":"2175113491","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2175113491","pubTimestamp":1634059587,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2175113491?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 01:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储二号人物等高官：通胀风险偏上行，Taper前景不变","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2175113491","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储副主席克拉里达：通胀风险偏上行。\n美国亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克：（虽然9月非农就业报告显示）美国就业人口增幅放缓，但不应当妨碍到Taper（减码QE）前景。","content":"<html><body><p>截至 8 月的 12 个月内，美联储首选指标衡量的美国通胀率为 4.3%，远高于美联储 2% 的目标。美联储最新公布的9月一年期通胀预期已达到5.31%，创2013年启动消费者预期调查以来的新高，之前为5.18%；而9月三年期通胀预期上升至4.19%，也创历史新高，之前为4.00%。</p>\n<p>美东时间10月12日周二，美联储副主席克拉里达在国际金融协会年度会议的演讲中表示，美国通胀风险偏上行，他在通胀强于预期、经济增长强劲和今年招聘人数增加的情况下，美联储准备开始减少或逐步缩减资产购买。</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>目前，（供应）瓶颈问题是一个“极大的未知数”，将需要更长时间来化解这些瓶颈。美国当前（通胀）形势与20世纪70年代的滞胀有着太多的区别。</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>他认为，美国不会走向 1970 年代出现的那种“滞胀”——失业率和通胀同时上升。1970 年代是货币政策出现相当严重的政策错误的十年，而当下的美联储官员早已吸取教训，不会让这些政策错误重演。</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>风险倾向于通胀高于预期水平，通胀飙升“很大程度上是暂时性的”。基础通胀接近美联储2%的通胀目标。全球经济将非常稳健地增长，经济将继续走强，但新冠德尔塔变异毒株影响到三季度的经济活动。</p>\n<p>如果美联储看到家庭和企业开始预期更高的通胀的证据，这将加剧人们对更持久的价格上涨的担忧，这将要求加息。</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>此前，因为疫情使得美国经济停摆，美联储在 2020 年 3 月疫情大规模爆发时将其短期基准利率下调至接近零。自 2020 年 6 月以来，它每月至少购买 1200 亿美元的国债和抵押债券，以提供额外的资金支持。</p>\n<p>美联储二把手今日的讲话则表示，“我们可能很快就会在明年年中左右结束资产购买。” 华尔街日报分析称，此表态表明美联储可能会在 11 月 2 日开始的为期两天的会议上宣布逐步缩减购买规模的计划。</p>\n<p>由于新冠病毒变异毒株已经减缓了美国就业市场的招聘，近几个月来实现充分就业的进展有所放缓。美国劳工部周五公布的一份报告显示，9 月份净招聘人数仅为 194,000 人，远低于预期的 500,000 人增加。</p>\n<p>对此，克拉里达非常有信心，他认为宽松的货币和财政政策最终将在控制通货膨胀的同时恢复就业最大化。同时，他还指出，财政政策对总需求的支持——包括过去一年半由国会和白宫授权的（迄今为止）未动用的转移支付所产生的近 2 万亿美元的累积超额储蓄”。</p>\n<p>对于9月非农就业报告显示的美国就业人口增幅放缓问题，美国亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克也回应道，不应当妨碍到Taper（减码QE）前景。</p>\n<p>华尔街见闻此前分析过，从美国年内通胀的走势来看，其持续在高位徘徊也已成定局。能源、食品、耐用品、出行、医疗、房租等分项仍然存在强劲的上行动力，而与此同时供应链以及相关就业的恢复依然令人失望。这就使得通胀短期内易上难下，并存在继续创出新高的可能。</p>\n<p>不仅是市场，美联储近期在就业和通胀天平上的态度也有明显的变化。联储主席鲍威尔亦承认通胀影响比预期的更大、持续时间更长。华尔街见闻VIP会员文章《通胀失控！美欧有何不同？》此前也指出，由于美国通胀压力更为广泛，2022年美国通胀仍将大幅高于疫情前水平，不确定性也显著高于欧元区。</p>\n<p>因而无论如何，随着通胀影响的广泛而持续，爆冷的非农就业数据恐怕也难以阻碍Taper的进程。预计周四发布的9月份的FOMC会议纪要很可能会包含关于Taper细节的强烈信号，至少是考虑的方案。11月的会议上官宣Taper以及缩减速度，12月启动Taper应无悬念。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储二号人物等高官：通胀风险偏上行，Taper前景不变</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储二号人物等高官：通胀风险偏上行，Taper前景不变\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-13 01:26 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3642165><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>截至 8 月的 12 个月内，美联储首选指标衡量的美国通胀率为 4.3%，远高于美联储 2% 的目标。美联储最新公布的9月一年期通胀预期已达到5.31%，创2013年启动消费者预期调查以来的新高，之前为5.18%；而9月三年期通胀预期上升至4.19%，也创历史新高，之前为4.00%。\n美东时间10月12日周二，美联储副主席克拉里达在国际金融协会年度会议的演讲中表示，美国通胀风险偏上行，他在通胀强于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3642165\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0771f6361d74a78ebbf8c2fdc55c6b7","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3642165","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2175113491","content_text":"截至 8 月的 12 个月内，美联储首选指标衡量的美国通胀率为 4.3%，远高于美联储 2% 的目标。美联储最新公布的9月一年期通胀预期已达到5.31%，创2013年启动消费者预期调查以来的新高，之前为5.18%；而9月三年期通胀预期上升至4.19%，也创历史新高，之前为4.00%。\n美东时间10月12日周二，美联储副主席克拉里达在国际金融协会年度会议的演讲中表示，美国通胀风险偏上行，他在通胀强于预期、经济增长强劲和今年招聘人数增加的情况下，美联储准备开始减少或逐步缩减资产购买。\n\n目前，（供应）瓶颈问题是一个“极大的未知数”，将需要更长时间来化解这些瓶颈。美国当前（通胀）形势与20世纪70年代的滞胀有着太多的区别。\n\n他认为，美国不会走向 1970 年代出现的那种“滞胀”——失业率和通胀同时上升。1970 年代是货币政策出现相当严重的政策错误的十年，而当下的美联储官员早已吸取教训，不会让这些政策错误重演。\n\n风险倾向于通胀高于预期水平，通胀飙升“很大程度上是暂时性的”。基础通胀接近美联储2%的通胀目标。全球经济将非常稳健地增长，经济将继续走强，但新冠德尔塔变异毒株影响到三季度的经济活动。\n如果美联储看到家庭和企业开始预期更高的通胀的证据，这将加剧人们对更持久的价格上涨的担忧，这将要求加息。\n\n此前，因为疫情使得美国经济停摆，美联储在 2020 年 3 月疫情大规模爆发时将其短期基准利率下调至接近零。自 2020 年 6 月以来，它每月至少购买 1200 亿美元的国债和抵押债券，以提供额外的资金支持。\n美联储二把手今日的讲话则表示，“我们可能很快就会在明年年中左右结束资产购买。” 华尔街日报分析称，此表态表明美联储可能会在 11 月 2 日开始的为期两天的会议上宣布逐步缩减购买规模的计划。\n由于新冠病毒变异毒株已经减缓了美国就业市场的招聘，近几个月来实现充分就业的进展有所放缓。美国劳工部周五公布的一份报告显示，9 月份净招聘人数仅为 194,000 人，远低于预期的 500,000 人增加。\n对此，克拉里达非常有信心，他认为宽松的货币和财政政策最终将在控制通货膨胀的同时恢复就业最大化。同时，他还指出，财政政策对总需求的支持——包括过去一年半由国会和白宫授权的（迄今为止）未动用的转移支付所产生的近 2 万亿美元的累积超额储蓄”。\n对于9月非农就业报告显示的美国就业人口增幅放缓问题，美国亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克也回应道，不应当妨碍到Taper（减码QE）前景。\n华尔街见闻此前分析过，从美国年内通胀的走势来看，其持续在高位徘徊也已成定局。能源、食品、耐用品、出行、医疗、房租等分项仍然存在强劲的上行动力，而与此同时供应链以及相关就业的恢复依然令人失望。这就使得通胀短期内易上难下，并存在继续创出新高的可能。\n不仅是市场，美联储近期在就业和通胀天平上的态度也有明显的变化。联储主席鲍威尔亦承认通胀影响比预期的更大、持续时间更长。华尔街见闻VIP会员文章《通胀失控！美欧有何不同？》此前也指出，由于美国通胀压力更为广泛，2022年美国通胀仍将大幅高于疫情前水平，不确定性也显著高于欧元区。\n因而无论如何，随着通胀影响的广泛而持续，爆冷的非农就业数据恐怕也难以阻碍Taper的进程。预计周四发布的9月份的FOMC会议纪要很可能会包含关于Taper细节的强烈信号，至少是考虑的方案。11月的会议上官宣Taper以及缩减速度，12月启动Taper应无悬念。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":261214143836208,"gmtCreate":1704783142862,"gmtModify":1704783143846,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2401(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a>诈骗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连 2401(CNmain)$&nbsp;</a>诈骗","text":"$A50指数主连 2401(CNmain)$ 诈骗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/261214143836208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824365951,"gmtCreate":1634281131277,"gmtModify":1634281131277,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"。","listText":"。","text":"。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824365951","repostId":"1139202309","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139202309","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1634280465,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139202309?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Happens When the Fed Tapers?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139202309","media":"Benzinga","summary":"What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve","content":"<p>What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.</p>\n<p>In response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve&nbsp;slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020&nbsp;to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66984161d481448082b5856b1c7465c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe5a1c43965ba4fe7c492c026c915b8\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System</span></p>\n<p>QE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.</p>\n<p>As the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with&nbsp;large companies recently&nbsp;including&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar Inc.</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;taking advantage of to issue new bonds.</p>\n<p>Aside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.</p>\n<p>The market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Happens When the Fed Tapers?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Happens When the Fed Tapers?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-15 14:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.</p>\n<p>In response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve&nbsp;slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020&nbsp;to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66984161d481448082b5856b1c7465c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe5a1c43965ba4fe7c492c026c915b8\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System</span></p>\n<p>QE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.</p>\n<p>As the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with&nbsp;large companies recently&nbsp;including&nbsp;<b>Caterpillar Inc.</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;taking advantage of to issue new bonds.</p>\n<p>Aside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.</p>\n<p>The market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139202309","content_text":"What happens when the Fed tapers? That is the billion (or trillion) dollar question. Before we delve into the possible outcome(s) though, we must first understand what tapering means.\nIn response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to zero in March 2020 to help bolster growth. It also began its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases, a program known as quantitative easing (QE) that has roughly doubled the Fed’s balance sheet to about $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic.\n\nSource: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System\nQE helps by reducing long-term interest rates, thereby encouraging borrowing to help spur spending, and in turn, the economy. In doing so, the Fed essentially reduces the available supply of these bonds in the open market, forcing investors who want to own them to drive up prices. Driving up bond prices has the effect of lowering interest rates, which lowers the borrowing costs of households on their mortgages, or the costs of corporations to borrow by issuing debt.\nAs the Fed eases the pace and pares back the amount of these purchases, tapering begins with the ultimate goal of sending interest rates back to “normal.” Tapering can impact long-term interest rates, as this typically sends a signal to the markets that the Fed is shifting to a less accommodative policy stance in the future. The key is to understand that tapering does not mean the Fed stops purchasing assets, but it just reduces the pace of its balance sheet expansion. This is different than tightening, which means the Fed will no longer add assets to its balance sheet and will instead reduce the assets it holds by selling them — with large companies recently including Caterpillar Inc. and Home Depot taking advantage of to issue new bonds.\nAside from interest rates, tapering could have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The trajectory of the U.S. dollar is important for investors as it impacts everything from commodity prices to corporate earnings. Higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to income seeking investors. Tapering is typically bullish for the dollar as it means a move toward tighter monetary policy. Since currencies normally appreciate when their domestic short-term rates rise, as the Fed continues to signal imminent tightening, markets are pricing in higher rates. This offers support to the dollar amid an already choppy risk environment that is a positive for the safe haven dollar. As mentioned above, if the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, there would be fewer dollars in circulation.\nThe market is anticipating the beginning of the taper process could begin sometime in the fourth quarter of this year, possibly as soon as November. In addition, half of the Fed vice presidents project interest rates rising at some point in 2022. Fed Chairman Powell is anticipating the taper process could end around the middle of next year, as long as the recovery remains on track. The Central Bank has insisted that they expect to keep the funds rate near zero until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with their projections of maximum employment. We are nowhere near pre-pandemic unemployment levels (with 8.4 million unemployed persons in the U.S. now versus 5.7 million in February 2020). This could lead to concern over whether the Fed risks tightening monetary policy at a time when the economy might be significantly weaker than it already is today. At the end of the day, if the Fed is priming the markets for a taper in the fourth quarter of 2021, we could be in for a period of extended volatility.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824294194,"gmtCreate":1634313127851,"gmtModify":1634313127851,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","listText":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","text":"行情照样创新高，投资者表示不信","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824294194","repostId":"1183017029","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1183017029","pubTimestamp":1634342998,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183017029?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-16 08:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183017029","media":"智通财经网","summary":"几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达","content":"<p>几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。</p>\n<p>有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......</p>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的实时预测显示，美国第三季度经济仅增长1.3%，远低于两个月前预测的6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e812d75892412c24e4f3a2f689d67c28\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然接受媒体调查的经济学家仍持乐观态度，但自8月以来，对第三季度经济增长的普遍预期已经大幅下降。花旗集团首席经济学家Nathan Sheets表示，虽然所有这些都不意味着美国经济反弹的趋势正在逆转，“但它肯定变得疲软了”。市场的悲观情绪似乎正在日益增长。</p>\n<p><b>1、交货延迟</b></p>\n<p>许多经济学家利用采购经理人指数(Purchasing Managers ' Index)来衡量制造业的状况，并为他们的增长预测提供依据。该指数基于对供应链经理的调查，其五大要素之一是供应商交货时间，而较长的交货时间通常被视为需求及经济强劲的标志。</p>\n<p>但在疫情中，这可能无法反映出全部情况。在将货物运往美国、以及货物抵达美国之后的运输方面，出现了前所未有的问题。换句话说，漫长的交货时间可能既是供应疲软的原因，也可能是需求强劲的信号，对于这两种情况的混淆导致经济学家对经济增长过于乐观。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6cbe055abc6b1a4c2db9ea7fe418b1\" tg-width=\"513\" tg-height=\"256\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>设备、材料和日常用品的平均交货时间大幅增加</p>\n<p><b>2、疲弱的就业数据</b></p>\n<p>经济观察人士同样对劳动力市场感到困惑。目前美国有超过1000万个空缺职位，但填补这些职位空缺的速度已经大幅放缓。在过去两个月里，接受媒体调查的几乎所有经济学家都高估了新增就业人数的数量。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6d880a4c66f213c74024c0679c450bd\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>几乎所有经济学家都对美国就业数据过于乐观</p>\n<p>收入最低的美国人首当其冲受到经济增长放缓的影响。根据哈佛大学的Opportunity Insights项目数据，截至8月中旬，收入最低的四分之一的劳动者中，其就业率与疫情前的水平相比下降了25.6%，这是自2020年6月以来最糟糕的数字。</p>\n<p><b>3、通胀高企</b></p>\n<p>居高不下的通胀也阻碍着经济复苏。关于通胀是否是暂时的争论还未完全结束，但通胀正在越来越深入地影响经济、并抑制家庭的消费能力。穆迪分析的Mark Zandi，通胀使得一般家庭每个月要额外支付175美元。</p>\n<p>能源和大宗商品价格正在螺旋上升。根据密歇根大学最新的消费者报告，由于价格高企，8月份房屋、汽车和耐用品的购买状况都有所恶化;汽车购买量从4月份的1,850万辆下降至9月的1,220万辆。</p>\n<p>第一波大范围通货膨胀仅限于相对较小的商品和服务类别，然而克利夫兰联储表示，现在情况已经不同了。其研究人员发现，近几个月来，CPI的44个主要组成部分中，约有四分之三的涨幅超过3%;相比之下，今年年初这一数字只有不到三分之一。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3963cc24fd738d134d73db641abd52\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>上个月，约75%的CPI组成部分的涨幅为3%或更高，较1月份大幅上升</p>\n<p><b>4、服务业复苏滞后</b></p>\n<p>疫情彻底改变了美国人的消费习惯。美国家庭购买的商品比以往任何时候都要多，这一行为加剧了供应链的紧张。但经济学家表示，更为平衡的经济复苏也需要更多的服务业支出，而这一过程正在缓慢进行。</p>\n<p>作为服务业中最具代表性的餐馆，由于Delta变种病毒在夏季的蔓延阻碍了外出就餐这一趋势的复苏，目前的就餐水平低于疫情前的正常水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01050eae3d8f3e56bd96183050aa8a55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"307\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>美国人外出就餐的数量低于疫情前正常水平</p>\n<p><b>5、悲观情绪</b></p>\n<p>商界领袖和普通民众对经济的看法正变得悲观。如果这样悲观的预期意味着企业投资减少、家庭支出更加谨慎，那这样的预期很可能会自我实现。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c9de6dd7acebf2936504ff4e12bd3d7\" tg-width=\"647\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对美国经济的信心降至今年以来的最低水平</p>\n<p>密歇根大学的消费者调查显示，只有44%的美国人预计自己的财务情况会改善，这是7年来的最低水平。</p>\n<p>小企业主的情绪在9月份变得消极，预计未来六个月商业环境将好转的人数降至2012年12月以来的最低水平。Chief Executive杂志编制的一项首席执行官信心指数也连续三个月下降，抹去了2021年早些时候该指数的所有涨幅。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n疫情、飓风、供应链、通胀，美国经济复苏陷入泥潭\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-16 08:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......\n智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e44b70b343e617916e4a645ff4d3c6c","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/575981.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1183017029","content_text":"几个月前，美国经济似乎正在从疫情带来的衰退中反弹。而如今，其经济复苏看起来正陷入泥潭。\n有很多因素造成了如今这个局面。Delta变种病毒的蔓延抑制了数百万美国人在餐馆和酒店等服务业上的消费;飓风“艾达”给石油化工中心路易斯安那州造成了严重破坏、还在美国东北部造成了大约200亿美元的洪灾损失;愈演愈烈的供应链危机;通胀飙升正在拉高家庭支出预算......\n智通财经APP获悉，亚特兰大联储对经济活动的实时预测显示，美国第三季度经济仅增长1.3%，远低于两个月前预测的6%。\n\n虽然接受媒体调查的经济学家仍持乐观态度，但自8月以来，对第三季度经济增长的普遍预期已经大幅下降。花旗集团首席经济学家Nathan Sheets表示，虽然所有这些都不意味着美国经济反弹的趋势正在逆转，“但它肯定变得疲软了”。市场的悲观情绪似乎正在日益增长。\n1、交货延迟\n许多经济学家利用采购经理人指数(Purchasing Managers ' Index)来衡量制造业的状况，并为他们的增长预测提供依据。该指数基于对供应链经理的调查，其五大要素之一是供应商交货时间，而较长的交货时间通常被视为需求及经济强劲的标志。\n但在疫情中，这可能无法反映出全部情况。在将货物运往美国、以及货物抵达美国之后的运输方面，出现了前所未有的问题。换句话说，漫长的交货时间可能既是供应疲软的原因，也可能是需求强劲的信号，对于这两种情况的混淆导致经济学家对经济增长过于乐观。\n\n设备、材料和日常用品的平均交货时间大幅增加\n2、疲弱的就业数据\n经济观察人士同样对劳动力市场感到困惑。目前美国有超过1000万个空缺职位，但填补这些职位空缺的速度已经大幅放缓。在过去两个月里，接受媒体调查的几乎所有经济学家都高估了新增就业人数的数量。\n\n几乎所有经济学家都对美国就业数据过于乐观\n收入最低的美国人首当其冲受到经济增长放缓的影响。根据哈佛大学的Opportunity Insights项目数据，截至8月中旬，收入最低的四分之一的劳动者中，其就业率与疫情前的水平相比下降了25.6%，这是自2020年6月以来最糟糕的数字。\n3、通胀高企\n居高不下的通胀也阻碍着经济复苏。关于通胀是否是暂时的争论还未完全结束，但通胀正在越来越深入地影响经济、并抑制家庭的消费能力。穆迪分析的Mark Zandi，通胀使得一般家庭每个月要额外支付175美元。\n能源和大宗商品价格正在螺旋上升。根据密歇根大学最新的消费者报告，由于价格高企，8月份房屋、汽车和耐用品的购买状况都有所恶化;汽车购买量从4月份的1,850万辆下降至9月的1,220万辆。\n第一波大范围通货膨胀仅限于相对较小的商品和服务类别，然而克利夫兰联储表示，现在情况已经不同了。其研究人员发现，近几个月来，CPI的44个主要组成部分中，约有四分之三的涨幅超过3%;相比之下，今年年初这一数字只有不到三分之一。\n\n上个月，约75%的CPI组成部分的涨幅为3%或更高，较1月份大幅上升\n4、服务业复苏滞后\n疫情彻底改变了美国人的消费习惯。美国家庭购买的商品比以往任何时候都要多，这一行为加剧了供应链的紧张。但经济学家表示，更为平衡的经济复苏也需要更多的服务业支出，而这一过程正在缓慢进行。\n作为服务业中最具代表性的餐馆，由于Delta变种病毒在夏季的蔓延阻碍了外出就餐这一趋势的复苏，目前的就餐水平低于疫情前的正常水平。\n\n美国人外出就餐的数量低于疫情前正常水平\n5、悲观情绪\n商界领袖和普通民众对经济的看法正变得悲观。如果这样悲观的预期意味着企业投资减少、家庭支出更加谨慎，那这样的预期很可能会自我实现。\n\n对美国经济的信心降至今年以来的最低水平\n密歇根大学的消费者调查显示，只有44%的美国人预计自己的财务情况会改善，这是7年来的最低水平。\n小企业主的情绪在9月份变得消极，预计未来六个月商业环境将好转的人数降至2012年12月以来的最低水平。Chief 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03:27","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条 | 鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264524856","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　华尔街处于危险之中，因为它进入了危险的2022年的最后几个月，美联储将继续加息，而九月通常被认为是美股一年中最疲软的月份。　　华尔街将密切关注周五的就业报告，寻找劳动力市场步履蹒跚的迹象。　　备受期待的美国就业报告有可能促使美联储倾向在本月晚些时候第三次巨幅加息。　　周五将公布的就业报告是美联储官员在9月中的政策会议之前将获得的最后一批数据之一。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p><blockquote><b>1、鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>2、美国就业数据或推动美联储第三次巨幅加息</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>3、高频交易员VS华尔街大行 美债市场再次因流动性陷入争执</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>4、前白宫经济顾问：拜登正在把美国变为一个“停滞国家”</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>5、价值腰斩、信任动摇 “木头姐”的招牌基金正遭遇近一年最高资金流出</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>6、OPEC观察人士预计石油产量将持稳 因石油前景收紧</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d1995c1eb7a9195fd3e5e10ee36c91\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险</b></p><p><b>华尔街处于危险之中，因为它进入了危险的2022年的最后几个月，美联储将继续加息，而九月通常被认为是美股一年中最疲软的月份。</b></p><p>那些认为今年通胀上升将是昙花一现的投资者越来越担心压力会持续多久。这刺激了 8 月份 10 年期国债收益率的快速上涨，这令成长股感到不安，颠覆了股市初夏 7 万亿美元的反弹。</p><p>华尔街将密切关注周五的就业报告，寻找劳动力市场步履蹒跚的迹象。经济依然强劲，失业率目前处于 3.5% 的 50 年低点，理论上这对市场来说应该是个好消息。但强劲的就业增长意味着今年导致股票和债券价格走低的加息不太可能很快消失。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd060828253f415c6f7ca4257e9ff21d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美国就业数据或推动美联储第三次巨幅加息</b></p><p><b>备受期待的美国就业报告有可能促使美联储倾向在本月晚些时候第三次巨幅加息。</b></p><p>周五将公布的就业报告是美联储官员在9月中的政策会议之前将获得的最后一批数据之一。这些数据将助力美联储官员破解复杂的经济和通胀难题。</p><p>预测显示，美国8月份非农就业人数将录得稳健的温和增长，增加29.8万人，失业率在3.5%持稳，与50年来的最低水平一致。在劳动力供需持续不匹配的情况下，预计薪资也将稳健增长。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e116767b8102c7f7653ad395fbc6c27\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>高频交易员VS华尔街大行 美债市场再次因流动性陷入争执</b></p><p><b>在规模23万亿美元的美国国债市场上，一场争斗正在展开，而且与利率没有关系。</b></p><p><b>相反，它完全与数据相关。</b></p><p><b>对阵双方中，一方是高频交易员、对冲基金和电子做市商。另一方面是美国最大的银行和资产管理公司。</b>他们争论的焦点是实时交易数据的公布会帮助还是损害已经因流动性问题而步履蹒跚的市场。</p><p>针对美国财政部提出的要求，Citadel、Jane Street Capital和Virtu Financial等机构认为，提高透明度会完善定价机制，竞争和市场弹性。而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>和PGIM Fixed Income警告称，这种做法不仅不能解决问题症结，而且可能会使情况变得更糟。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b10ee6c268219c90bb157b40422cc07\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>前白宫经济顾问：拜登正在把美国变为一个“停滞国家”</b></p><p><b>前美国总统里根的经济顾问<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300825\">阿尔特</a>（13.460， -0.12， -0.88%）·拉弗（Art Laffer）近日表示，拜登正通过其经济政策把美国变为一个“停滞国家”。</b></p><p>阿特·拉弗谈到，拜登的政策倾向于把整个国家“一碗水端平”。他通过表面上让大多数美国民众在高通胀期间减少损失，但同时也导致没有人有利润，没有人有收益，市场也就没有生产率增长。因此，美国正在进入一个没有人能从市场中获利的状态，这是一个迟缓的类欧洲/日本模式。<b>而此模式正毫无疑问地让美国进入一个“全面停滞状态”。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2153eb449454ab99e4cd3be925af693c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>价值腰斩、信任动摇 “木头姐”的招牌基金正遭遇近一年最高资金流出</b></p><p><b>随着基金价值继续缩水，“木头姐”Cathie Wood的粉丝们上个月离她而去，导致她的旗舰ETF遭遇近一年来最大规模资金流出。</b></p><p><b>数据显示，规模80亿美元的Ark Innovation ETF（代码ARKK）8月份净赎回8.03亿美元，是去年9月以来最大单月资金流出。整个8月份，该ETF仅有6天取得资金流入。</b></p><p>资金外流的激增凸显出情绪明显转变。在之前的今年大部分时间，尽管这个创新主题ETF价值大跌，但资金仍在流入。投资者的忠诚度现在可能已经达到极限：该ETF今年下跌了60%，而标普500指数只下跌了18%；而且，近期好转的希望渺茫。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4533c4bbc571d5dc3423d3ce76c756bb\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>OPEC观察人士预计石油产量将持稳 因石油前景收紧</b></p><p><b>外界预期OPEC+下周开会时将保持产量稳定，预期石油市场将从近期的价格暴跌中恢复，并在年底前收紧。</b></p><p>有分析师预计石油输出国组织（OPEC）及其盟国将在周一的会议上保持产量稳定。交易员和分析师们称，全球市场有望逐步恢复，而对俄罗斯的制裁将削减原油供应。</p><p><b>“我预计OPEC将维持产量配额不变，市场供应紧俏，”</b>澳新银行分析师Daniel Hynes表示。<b>“然而，如果未能阻止原油卖盘，那么随后OPEC可能会被迫”采取更强硬的立场。</b></p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条 | 鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条 | 鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-02 03:27 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2022-09-02/doc-imqmmtha5573116.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险2、美国就业数据或推动美联储第三次巨幅加息3、高频交易员VS华尔街大行 美债市场再次因流动性陷入争执4、前白宫经济顾问：拜登正在把美国变为一个“停滞国家”5、价值腰斩、信任动摇 “木头姐”的招牌基金正遭遇近一年最高资金流出6、OPEC观察人士预计石油产量将持稳 因石油前景收紧鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险华尔街处于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2022-09-02/doc-imqmmtha5573116.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d1995c1eb7a9195fd3e5e10ee36c91","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2022-09-02/doc-imqmmtha5573116.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264524856","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险2、美国就业数据或推动美联储第三次巨幅加息3、高频交易员VS华尔街大行 美债市场再次因流动性陷入争执4、前白宫经济顾问：拜登正在把美国变为一个“停滞国家”5、价值腰斩、信任动摇 “木头姐”的招牌基金正遭遇近一年最高资金流出6、OPEC观察人士预计石油产量将持稳 因石油前景收紧鹰派美联储让九月股市变得更加凶险华尔街处于危险之中，因为它进入了危险的2022年的最后几个月，美联储将继续加息，而九月通常被认为是美股一年中最疲软的月份。那些认为今年通胀上升将是昙花一现的投资者越来越担心压力会持续多久。这刺激了 8 月份 10 年期国债收益率的快速上涨，这令成长股感到不安，颠覆了股市初夏 7 万亿美元的反弹。华尔街将密切关注周五的就业报告，寻找劳动力市场步履蹒跚的迹象。经济依然强劲，失业率目前处于 3.5% 的 50 年低点，理论上这对市场来说应该是个好消息。但强劲的就业增长意味着今年导致股票和债券价格走低的加息不太可能很快消失。美国就业数据或推动美联储第三次巨幅加息备受期待的美国就业报告有可能促使美联储倾向在本月晚些时候第三次巨幅加息。周五将公布的就业报告是美联储官员在9月中的政策会议之前将获得的最后一批数据之一。这些数据将助力美联储官员破解复杂的经济和通胀难题。预测显示，美国8月份非农就业人数将录得稳健的温和增长，增加29.8万人，失业率在3.5%持稳，与50年来的最低水平一致。在劳动力供需持续不匹配的情况下，预计薪资也将稳健增长。高频交易员VS华尔街大行 美债市场再次因流动性陷入争执在规模23万亿美元的美国国债市场上，一场争斗正在展开，而且与利率没有关系。相反，它完全与数据相关。对阵双方中，一方是高频交易员、对冲基金和电子做市商。另一方面是美国最大的银行和资产管理公司。他们争论的焦点是实时交易数据的公布会帮助还是损害已经因流动性问题而步履蹒跚的市场。针对美国财政部提出的要求，Citadel、Jane Street Capital和Virtu Financial等机构认为，提高透明度会完善定价机制，竞争和市场弹性。而花旗和PGIM Fixed Income警告称，这种做法不仅不能解决问题症结，而且可能会使情况变得更糟。前白宫经济顾问：拜登正在把美国变为一个“停滞国家”前美国总统里根的经济顾问阿尔特（13.460， -0.12， -0.88%）·拉弗（Art Laffer）近日表示，拜登正通过其经济政策把美国变为一个“停滞国家”。阿特·拉弗谈到，拜登的政策倾向于把整个国家“一碗水端平”。他通过表面上让大多数美国民众在高通胀期间减少损失，但同时也导致没有人有利润，没有人有收益，市场也就没有生产率增长。因此，美国正在进入一个没有人能从市场中获利的状态，这是一个迟缓的类欧洲/日本模式。而此模式正毫无疑问地让美国进入一个“全面停滞状态”。价值腰斩、信任动摇 “木头姐”的招牌基金正遭遇近一年最高资金流出随着基金价值继续缩水，“木头姐”Cathie Wood的粉丝们上个月离她而去，导致她的旗舰ETF遭遇近一年来最大规模资金流出。数据显示，规模80亿美元的Ark Innovation ETF（代码ARKK）8月份净赎回8.03亿美元，是去年9月以来最大单月资金流出。整个8月份，该ETF仅有6天取得资金流入。资金外流的激增凸显出情绪明显转变。在之前的今年大部分时间，尽管这个创新主题ETF价值大跌，但资金仍在流入。投资者的忠诚度现在可能已经达到极限：该ETF今年下跌了60%，而标普500指数只下跌了18%；而且，近期好转的希望渺茫。OPEC观察人士预计石油产量将持稳 因石油前景收紧外界预期OPEC+下周开会时将保持产量稳定，预期石油市场将从近期的价格暴跌中恢复，并在年底前收紧。有分析师预计石油输出国组织（OPEC）及其盟国将在周一的会议上保持产量稳定。交易员和分析师们称，全球市场有望逐步恢复，而对俄罗斯的制裁将削减原油供应。“我预计OPEC将维持产量配额不变，市场供应紧俏，”澳新银行分析师Daniel Hynes表示。“然而，如果未能阻止原油卖盘，那么随后OPEC可能会被迫”采取更强硬的立场。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634691657,"gmtCreate":1647453165994,"gmtModify":1647453165994,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634691657","repostId":"634853940","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633175551,"gmtCreate":1643897137322,"gmtModify":1643897137322,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"啥情况","listText":"啥情况","text":"啥情况","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633175551","repostId":"2208393403","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847453463,"gmtCreate":1636548685235,"gmtModify":1636548685235,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847453463","repostId":"844218231","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":844218231,"gmtCreate":1636429800414,"gmtModify":1636447990604,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"元宇宙引多空激辩！刘慈欣怒怼：它会把人类引向死路！","htmlText":"近日，著名的科幻作家&nbsp;刘慈欣&nbsp;表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">$中信证券(06030)$</a> 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a> ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> 达成重大合作，大涨10%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/846287583\" target=\"_blank\">英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。</a> 以及，A股但","listText":"近日，著名的科幻作家&nbsp;刘慈欣&nbsp;表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">$中信证券(06030)$</a> 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a> ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms(FB)$</a> 达成重大合作，大涨10%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/846287583\" target=\"_blank\">英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。</a> 以及，A股但","text":"近日，著名的科幻作家 刘慈欣 表示： 元宇宙将是整个人类文明的一次内卷，而内卷的封闭系统的熵值总归是要趋于最大的。 所以，元宇宙最后就是引导人类走向死路一条。 有网友称： 刘慈欣曾经说过：“人类的面前有两条路：一条向外，通往星辰大海；一条对内，通往虚拟现实。” 星辰大海，指的是真实的宇宙，意味着开拓进取、创新和奋斗；虚拟现实，指的是元宇宙，无论它与真是的宇宙多么像，也是在人类的思维内勾画出来的，如果人类沉浸在元宇宙，意味着贪婪享乐、故步自封、内卷和麻痹。 另一方面，机构也对元宇宙的分歧很大。 $中信证券(06030)$ 发表了一份长达163页的元宇宙深度报告，标题为《元宇宙的未来猜想和投资机遇》，最终表示： 看好元宇宙的未来， 但很难给出元宇宙的短期受益投资标的。 不过，其他大部分机构，还是对元宇宙表示普遍乐观，这在股市上也反映了出来： $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ ,元宇宙正宗股，因业绩大增，盘后暴涨28%； $AMD(AMD)$ 与$Meta Platforms(FB)$ 达成重大合作，大涨10%； 英伟达乘上“元宇宙飞船”，持续暴涨。 以及，A股但","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da49d8a9845b43d9ddd3ecfe98abddea","width":"533","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844218231","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851572464,"gmtCreate":1634916974123,"gmtModify":1634916974123,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","listText":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","text":"说话就像唱fang歌pi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851572464","repostId":"1163887475","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826758695,"gmtCreate":1634060578841,"gmtModify":1634060578841,"author":{"id":"3562501588347087","authorId":"3562501588347087","name":"Forever8070","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e01847a865e818627d24e2fefd3d0ba4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","listText":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","text":"为什么每次发布利空或者利好的消息，市场都是反转的情绪呢？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826758695","repostId":"2175113491","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}