yinwj的个人主页 - 老虎社区

yinwj

yinwj

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IP属地：浙江

112关注

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5主题

0勋章

12-16 22:40

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 怎么跌跌不休，发生啥了

11-02

哈里斯胜出，民主党有能力的政客比较多，而这些人都是手脏心黑之辈，手段和花样更多[嘘]

07-31

$微软(MSFT)$ 一觉醒来跌了这么多[笑哭]

07-19

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 长期看好AI，会SP115

07-15

已上车，现在想着晚上要不要下🚗

06-25

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 115就上车

06-13

微软和英伟达

06-12

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 美股杀疯[捂脸]

06-10

$英伟达(NVDA)$ AI是主旋律，英伟达目前一骑绝尘，但是拆股前已经消化了这个利好，所以短期调整，长期看涨

06-05

1260

06-05

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这个一块钱磨磨唧唧[捂脸]

05-27

一切拿事实说话，达到了业绩就应该给，和他在特斯拉工作多久没有任何关系，这个世界上有几个人能够达到他这样的成就？为什么要用工作时长来衡量一个天才？

05-22

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的

05-22

今晚早睡早起 [开心][开心]

05-10

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 眼巴巴的看着跌下来一点点结果一下子又回去[捂脸] [捂脸]

04-26

倒车接人，正准备开始陆续买入meta[捂脸]

04-26

$腾讯控股(00700)$ 涨起来干嘛？给南非赚钱吗[捂脸] [捂脸]

04-26

$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 跌一点买一点，就当存款[捂脸]

04-22

$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 今天不会再来个20点[捂脸]

03-19

到1000就够了

期权大单 | 英伟达本周能涨120%？散户入场或再造逼空风暴

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>4nm制程，支持多达10万亿参数的模型进行AI训练和实时大语言模型（LLM）推理。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1556e44110ba92e747e7ed5a35c9e8c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>英伟达股价微涨0.7%，不过盘后跌幅近2%，市场对新品的态度显然有分歧，今日走势值得特别关注。</p><p>期权方面则出现了令人瞠目的情况：英伟达的CALL单很活跃，<strong>并且行权价来到了夸张的1940美元高位，较当前价涨幅近120%，到期日是本周五，这……能实现吗？</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_820039765\"><em>点击交易英伟达期权： <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240322 877.5 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240322%20877.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240322 877.5 CALL$</a></em> </h4><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55d1d5c4e662e88f468f67fe3e8465a2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p>据媒体披露，上述行权价1940美元的合约是以约900份/笔的小批量购买，这表明可能是散户在交易，他们总共支付了2.4万美元。</p><p>虽然我个人认为英伟达在本周不可能涨到那个价位，但是，只要英伟达行情向好，理论上散户们就可以出售这些合约获利。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba2b0c24d2307836ae9eafd0a030b4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>不管背后是谁，这个夸张的操作让我们自然联想到曾经的“散户逼空风暴”——那些在游戏驿站、AMC院线身上发生过的事情，曾将华尔街逼到墙角，但留下的也只是一地鸡毛，普通投资者并没有真正获利，市场游戏规则也没有改变。这一次，如果“散户”想把英伟达当作撼动市场的支点，难度恐怕要远超想象！</p><p>本周英伟达真能翻倍上涨吗？极端价格背后又是谁在操纵呢？不妨谈谈您的观点吧。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权大单 | 英伟达本周能涨120%？散户入场或再造逼空风暴</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权大单 | 英伟达本周能涨120%？散户入场或再造逼空风暴\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-19 13:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h3 id=\"id_880334941\">市场概览</h3><p>周一（3月18日）美股三大指数集体上涨。在此之前，道指已连跌三周，标普和纳指也连跌两周。美股期权市场成交35,347,882张合约，其中看涨合约（CALL）占比57%，看跌合约（PUT）占比43%。</p><h3 id=\"id_680536718\">期权成交观察：英伟达本周剑指2000美元？谁在操纵？</h3><p>个股期权成交量方面，特斯拉、英伟达、苹果的地位不可撼动。<strong>受益于Model Y涨价，今年走势很颓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>大涨6.25%，创最近六个月最大单日涨幅。</strong>面对压力，马斯克承认他服用氯胺酮来缓解情绪低潮，并他坚称自己的服药行为是合理的，并没有对他的工作产生负面影响。不过，由于长期不利因素尚未消失，投行纷纷下调特斯拉目标价。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ee0fb337a9728564b1de2ded044df54\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"432\" tg-height=\"831\"/></p><p>英伟达方面，周一，“AI春晚”GTC终于揭幕，AI芯片“Blackwell”发布。英伟达称，Blackwell的成本和能耗较前代低25倍，是全球最强大芯片，由 2080 亿个晶体管组成，采用<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>4nm制程，支持多达10万亿参数的模型进行AI训练和实时大语言模型（LLM）推理。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1556e44110ba92e747e7ed5a35c9e8c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>英伟达股价微涨0.7%，不过盘后跌幅近2%，市场对新品的态度显然有分歧，今日走势值得特别关注。</p><p>期权方面则出现了令人瞠目的情况：英伟达的CALL单很活跃，<strong>并且行权价来到了夸张的1940美元高位，较当前价涨幅近120%，到期日是本周五，这……能实现吗？</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_820039765\"><em>点击交易英伟达期权： <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240322 877.5 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240322%20877.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240322 877.5 CALL$</a></em> </h4><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55d1d5c4e662e88f468f67fe3e8465a2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"412\"/></p><p>据媒体披露，上述行权价1940美元的合约是以约900份/笔的小批量购买，这表明可能是散户在交易，他们总共支付了2.4万美元。</p><p>虽然我个人认为英伟达在本周不可能涨到那个价位，但是，只要英伟达行情向好，理论上散户们就可以出售这些合约获利。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba2b0c24d2307836ae9eafd0a030b4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>不管背后是谁，这个夸张的操作让我们自然联想到曾经的“散户逼空风暴”——那些在游戏驿站、AMC院线身上发生过的事情，曾将华尔街逼到墙角，但留下的也只是一地鸡毛，普通投资者并没有真正获利，市场游戏规则也没有改变。这一次，如果“散户”想把英伟达当作撼动市场的支点，难度恐怕要远超想象！</p><p>本周英伟达真能翻倍上涨吗？极端价格背后又是谁在操纵呢？不妨谈谈您的观点吧。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c3105c114e1bf701c095b7d9a1f8430","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103656235","content_text":"市场概览周一（3月18日）美股三大指数集体上涨。在此之前，道指已连跌三周，标普和纳指也连跌两周。美股期权市场成交35,347,882张合约，其中看涨合约（CALL）占比57%，看跌合约（PUT）占比43%。期权成交观察：英伟达本周剑指2000美元？谁在操纵？个股期权成交量方面，特斯拉、英伟达、苹果的地位不可撼动。受益于Model Y涨价，今年走势很颓的特斯拉大涨6.25%，创最近六个月最大单日涨幅。面对压力，马斯克承认他服用氯胺酮来缓解情绪低潮，并他坚称自己的服药行为是合理的，并没有对他的工作产生负面影响。不过，由于长期不利因素尚未消失，投行纷纷下调特斯拉目标价。英伟达方面，周一，“AI春晚”GTC终于揭幕，AI芯片“Blackwell”发布。英伟达称，Blackwell的成本和能耗较前代低25倍，是全球最强大芯片，由 2080 亿个晶体管组成，采用台积电4nm制程，支持多达10万亿参数的模型进行AI训练和实时大语言模型（LLM）推理。英伟达股价微涨0.7%，不过盘后跌幅近2%，市场对新品的态度显然有分歧，今日走势值得特别关注。期权方面则出现了令人瞠目的情况：英伟达的CALL单很活跃，并且行权价来到了夸张的1940美元高位，较当前价涨幅近120%，到期日是本周五，这……能实现吗？点击交易英伟达期权： $NVDA 20240322 877.5 CALL$ 据媒体披露，上述行权价1940美元的合约是以约900份/笔的小批量购买，这表明可能是散户在交易，他们总共支付了2.4万美元。虽然我个人认为英伟达在本周不可能涨到那个价位，但是，只要英伟达行情向好，理论上散户们就可以出售这些合约获利。不管背后是谁，这个夸张的操作让我们自然联想到曾经的“散户逼空风暴”——那些在游戏驿站、AMC院线身上发生过的事情，曾将华尔街逼到墙角，但留下的也只是一地鸡毛，普通投资者并没有真正获利，市场游戏规则也没有改变。这一次，如果“散户”想把英伟达当作撼动市场的支点，难度恐怕要远超想象！本周英伟达真能翻倍上涨吗？极端价格背后又是谁在操纵呢？不妨谈谈您的观点吧。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":866841295,"gmtCreate":1632756003717,"gmtModify":1632756003717,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"yinwj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>难道开始回购了","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/308695827783712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161369556,"gmtCreate":1623905511875,"gmtModify":1623905511875,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"yinwj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","listText":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","text":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161369556","repostId":"1101656645","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101656645","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623902534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101656645?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 12:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛，本质上就是竞争稀缺资源，那各家家长使出吃奶的劲，花大钱去校外辅导，目的只有一个，在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育，大家接受的东西都一样，那我如何实现弯道超车呢？咱换个战场比，比钱多少，比父母辅导能力，比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战，不是以班级为单位展开的，而是以省为单位展开的，即使你在班上第一名，也没用，你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的，是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京，有家长花数百万买学区房，有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前，学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说，中国的家长疯了，为了孩子的教育，这么大的投资值得吗？</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211，985，大部分家长的投入就基本回来了，因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学，年支出经费就八十亿，如果按学生数量算，人均一年十六万，但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地，因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学，相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士，总补贴金额没有一百万，也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢？海外留学，国内公务员，国内名企，一生下来，收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出，当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然，教育这种东西，投资回报率是一种概率，读北大都可能读成废材，人不是工业品，偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时，都需要面向不确定性，进好学校有好前途，这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高，就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗？</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面，从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里，下了课没作业，然后开心的玩耍，然后父母晚上不再痛苦，不再逼孩子写作业了，不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗？</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现，张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏，看电视，她一下就欣喜若狂，什么是机会？对手放松，那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班，好办，咱把老师请回家，一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点，每个老师两小时，小样，瞧我家张三，那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱？你请的起，我就不能请？我能把985的位置让给你吗？不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请，我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请，全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你？不就是比钱多吗？比房子大吗？老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天，全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了，由于需求旺盛，普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了，优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班，一个老师教二十个孩子，我一小时八十一百就行了，现在我得花五百一小时，咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班，意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式，这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时，所有的在一二线城市的大学生们，将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师，哪怕挂科，也要疯狂，月入上万，谁不干？</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施，就算出的起钱，但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中，就不要想了，集体躺平吧，除了个别天才，你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了，五百一小时，一晚上可能上千的收入，还呆在五线县城和农村做什么？</p>\n<p>这时，中产还有新招。培训老师太贵，<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢？打个比方说，如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块，你去十公里外的公司上班要二百，那你会干什么？你会辞职去开滴滴，你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况，会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职，在家成为专职老师，白天就自学课程，天天在网上听名师讲课，晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度，以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了，立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败，知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教，而四五线小县城农村的学生，则集体躺平，真正实现素质教育，下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练，教不了，就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗？不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"ZME":"掌门教育","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","YQ":"一起教育科技","EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途","TAL":"好未来","09901":"新东方-S","COE":"51TALK","DAO":"有道"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛，本质上就是竞争稀缺资源，那各家家长使出吃奶的劲，花大钱去校外辅导，目的只有一个，在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育，大家接受的东西都一样，那我如何实现弯道超车呢？咱换个战场比，比钱多少，比父母辅导能力，比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战，不是以班级为单位展开的，而是以省为单位展开的，即使你在班上第一名，也没用，你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的，是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京，有家长花数百万买学区房，有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前，学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说，中国的家长疯了，为了孩子的教育，这么大的投资值得吗？\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211，985，大部分家长的投入就基本回来了，因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学，年支出经费就八十亿，如果按学生数量算，人均一年十六万，但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地，因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学，相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士，总补贴金额没有一百万，也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢？海外留学，国内公务员，国内名企，一生下来，收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出，当然要拼。\n当然，教育这种东西，投资回报率是一种概率，读北大都可能读成废材，人不是工业品，偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时，都需要面向不确定性，进好学校有好前途，这是大概率。\n既然概率高，就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗？\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面，从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里，下了课没作业，然后开心的玩耍，然后父母晚上不再痛苦，不再逼孩子写作业了，不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗？\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现，张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏，看电视，她一下就欣喜若狂，什么是机会？对手放松，那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班，好办，咱把老师请回家，一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点，每个老师两小时，小样，瞧我家张三，那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱？你请的起，我就不能请？我能把985的位置让给你吗？不行。\n你天天晚上请，我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请，全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你？不就是比钱多吗？比房子大吗？老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天，全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了，由于需求旺盛，普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了，优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班，一个老师教二十个孩子，我一小时八十一百就行了，现在我得花五百一小时，咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班，意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式，这就造成了供给不足。\n这时，所有的在一二线城市的大学生们，将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师，哪怕挂科，也要疯狂，月入上万，谁不干？\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施，就算出的起钱，但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中，就不要想了，集体躺平吧，除了个别天才，你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了，五百一小时，一晚上可能上千的收入，还呆在五线县城和农村做什么？\n这时，中产还有新招。培训老师太贵，我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢？打个比方说，如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块，你去十公里外的公司上班要二百，那你会干什么？你会辞职去开滴滴，你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况，会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职，在家成为专职老师，白天就自学课程，天天在网上听名师讲课，晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度，以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了，立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败，知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教，而四五线小县城农村的学生，则集体躺平，真正实现素质教育，下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练，教不了，就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗？不见得喔。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":684788829,"gmtCreate":1660612063064,"gmtModify":1660612063064,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"yinwj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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