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钢铁直男凡芒至尊
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钢铁直男凡芒至尊
03-14
我开仓了90.0股
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
08-06
我开仓了
$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$
,回仓开盘,问题不大,现货常持,笑死,被老板吊了,md
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
10-17
10.16 学习
1.有效的投资框架整理 投资这个事情,二 九八定律,2%的人盈利,98%的人亏损 降低预期:很多人学校不是顶尖,工作不是大厂投行,但是非常相信自己投资一定是top。 定投的beta大约是10%,每年以2倍beta为目标自己构建策略。 对于公司以及财报,建议更加关注ceo,一家公司所属的行业不论顺风逆风,ceo的作用更为重要。 交易周期选择更倾向于长周期,仓位建议增加10%-20%的杠杆 对于期权,了解越多亏的越多,掌握常见的四种 期权策略 1.cc cover call2. sp sell put 3.双卖 4.看点价差
10.16 学习
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
08-07
我开仓了
$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$
,博一个反弹,以后每次开贴都要喷我老板,用我老板完整写一个故事,我的老板盘子很小
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
08-08
我开仓了
$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$
,加仓,开多,今天老板没多说啥,让我自己把握节奏
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
11-09
我平仓了
$TLT 20250321 92.0 CALL$
,拿下短期利润,继续去换别的确定性更高的股票操作,慢慢改变自己的策略
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
08-06
我平仓了
$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$
,预计反弹先保护利润,离场,等后续盘面操作
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
08-07
我开仓了
$TMF 20250117 80.0 CALL$
,加仓国债等降息,熬时间,该死的老板,上班好烦,等时间时间
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
07-18
我开仓了
$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$
,加仓iwm防御
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
11-07
我开仓了
$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$
,跌到有性价比的位置了,入手一部分,常持收息慢慢加仓
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
01-29
这周多轮过山车,坐稳
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
07-19
那我有奖品吗[财迷]
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
07-19
1. 1手美股期权等于多少股股票 • 1手美股期权等于100股股票。 2. 期货的最小单位是? • 期货的最小单位是合约。 3. 道琼斯工业平均指数是由多少家公司组成的? • 道琼斯工业平均指数是由30家公司组成的。 4. 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在哪个城市? • 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在奥马哈市。 5. 以下哪个股票不属于 Magnificent 7? • C 奈飞”,奈飞不属于 Magnificent 7。 6. 苹果公司在哪年推出了第一代 iPhone? • 苹果公司在2007年推出了第一代 iPhone。 7. 小米公司在哪一年 IPO? • 小米公司在2018年进行 IPO。 8. 以下哪个股票市值高于3万亿? • D 英伟达 但nvda最近市值跌了低于3万亿。 9. 老虎证券是在哪一年成立的? • 老虎证券成立于2014年。 10. 夜盘可以下什么类型订单? • 夜盘可以下限价单(限价订单)。
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
07-19
大盘进入调整期,是否会利好小盘?
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
07-19
我开仓了
$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$
,持续看好小盘股
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
03-25
阅
“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
03-15
我开仓了
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
03-12
我开仓了100.0股
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
02-02
看跌,2月通常表现不佳
钢铁直男凡芒至尊
02-02
$TMF 20250117 80.0 CALL$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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,跌到有性价比的位置了,入手一部分,常持收息慢慢加仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368408939135104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360984619585928,"gmtCreate":1729171029675,"gmtModify":1729218418022,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"title":"10.16 学习","htmlText":"1.有效的投资框架整理 投资这个事情,二 九八定律,2%的人盈利,98%的人亏损 降低预期:很多人学校不是顶尖,工作不是大厂投行,但是非常相信自己投资一定是top。 定投的beta大约是10%,每年以2倍beta为目标自己构建策略。 对于公司以及财报,建议更加关注ceo,一家公司所属的行业不论顺风逆风,ceo的作用更为重要。 交易周期选择更倾向于长周期,仓位建议增加10%-20%的杠杆 对于期权,了解越多亏的越多,掌握常见的四种 期权策略 1.cc cover call2. sp sell put 3.双卖 4.看点价差","listText":"1.有效的投资框架整理 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4.看点价差","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360984619585928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336217963598240,"gmtCreate":1723120765568,"gmtModify":1723124838288,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a>,加仓,开多,今天老板没多说啥,让我自己把握节奏","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a>,加仓,开多,今天老板没多说啥,让我自己把握节奏","text":"我开仓了$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ 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15:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2422568490","media":"智通财经网","summary":"巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。</p><p>巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。</p><p>根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内生产总值(GDP)从疫情低点上涨了40%,上季度达27.94万亿美元。将前者除以后者,得出该指标读数为184%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbaa8096303ddace82ed257283e83576\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"502\"/></p><p>巴菲特在2001年《财富》杂志的一篇文章中宣称,以他名字命名的衡量标准“可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值状况的最佳单一标”。</p><p>巴菲特曾表示,股票估值达到100%时可能是公平的,达到70%或80%时则接近低价区,但也警告称,在接近200%时买入股票将是“玩火”。</p><p>这位传奇投资人还说,当该指标在飙升至科网泡沫期间历史最高点时,曾是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”,表明崩盘即将来临。</p><p>今年以来,美股屡创新高,促使部分评论家敲响了关于泡沫的警钟。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等人工智能相关股票的大幅上涨,以及华尔街对美联储将在今年降息、经济将摆脱衰退的预期不断升温,都助长了股市的狂飙。</p><p>这一指标曾在2022年初证明了价值,彼时该指标亮起红灯,飙升至超200%。在随后12个月里,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别暴跌了19%和33%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,这一指标远非完美。该指标是将股市当前价值与上一季度的经济增长数据进行比较。此外,该指标所依赖的G DP不包括海外收入,而美股价格却包含了公司国内和国际业务的价值。</p><p>然而,对于一些专家来说,这一指标再次回到以往市场灾难前的高水平,这显然是一个警示。</p><p>胡斯曼投资信托公司(Hussman Investment Trust)总裁约翰·胡斯曼(John Hussman)和B.莱利财富管理公司(B.Riley Wealth Management)首席投资策略师保罗·迪特里希(Paul Dietrich)都指出,该指标的飙升是泡沫的证据,以及此次涨势或将以痛苦的破裂告终。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-03-25 15:10 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2422568490","content_text":"巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内生产总值(GDP)从疫情低点上涨了40%,上季度达27.94万亿美元。将前者除以后者,得出该指标读数为184%。巴菲特在2001年《财富》杂志的一篇文章中宣称,以他名字命名的衡量标准“可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值状况的最佳单一标”。巴菲特曾表示,股票估值达到100%时可能是公平的,达到70%或80%时则接近低价区,但也警告称,在接近200%时买入股票将是“玩火”。这位传奇投资人还说,当该指标在飙升至科网泡沫期间历史最高点时,曾是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”,表明崩盘即将来临。今年以来,美股屡创新高,促使部分评论家敲响了关于泡沫的警钟。英伟达和微软等人工智能相关股票的大幅上涨,以及华尔街对美联储将在今年降息、经济将摆脱衰退的预期不断升温,都助长了股市的狂飙。这一指标曾在2022年初证明了价值,彼时该指标亮起红灯,飙升至超200%。在随后12个月里,标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别暴跌了19%和33%。但值得注意的是,这一指标远非完美。该指标是将股市当前价值与上一季度的经济增长数据进行比较。此外,该指标所依赖的G DP不包括海外收入,而美股价格却包含了公司国内和国际业务的价值。然而,对于一些专家来说,这一指标再次回到以往市场灾难前的高水平,这显然是一个警示。胡斯曼投资信托公司(Hussman Investment Trust)总裁约翰·胡斯曼(John Hussman)和B.莱利财富管理公司(B.Riley Wealth Management)首席投资策略师保罗·迪特里希(Paul Dietrich)都指出,该指标的飙升是泡沫的证据,以及此次涨势或将以痛苦的破裂告终。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284672282784040,"gmtCreate":1710505777695,"gmtModify":1721053754759,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 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1手美股期权等于多少股股票 • 1手美股期权等于100股股票。 2. 期货的最小单位是? • 期货的最小单位是合约。 3. 道琼斯工业平均指数是由多少家公司组成的? • 道琼斯工业平均指数是由30家公司组成的。 4. 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在哪个城市? • 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在奥马哈市。 5. 以下哪个股票不属于 Magnificent 7? • C 奈飞”,奈飞不属于 Magnificent 7。 6. 苹果公司在哪年推出了第一代 iPhone? • 苹果公司在2007年推出了第一代 iPhone。 7. 小米公司在哪一年 IPO? • 小米公司在2018年进行 IPO。 8. 以下哪个股票市值高于3万亿? • D 英伟达 但nvda最近市值跌了低于3万亿。 9. 老虎证券是在哪一年成立的? • 老虎证券成立于2014年。 10. 夜盘可以下什么类型订单? • 夜盘可以下限价单(限价订单)。","listText":"1. 1手美股期权等于多少股股票 • 1手美股期权等于100股股票。 2. 期货的最小单位是? • 期货的最小单位是合约。 3. 道琼斯工业平均指数是由多少家公司组成的? • 道琼斯工业平均指数是由30家公司组成的。 4. 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在哪个城市? • 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在奥马哈市。 5. 以下哪个股票不属于 Magnificent 7? • C 奈飞”,奈飞不属于 Magnificent 7。 6. 苹果公司在哪年推出了第一代 iPhone? • 苹果公司在2007年推出了第一代 iPhone。 7. 小米公司在哪一年 IPO? • 小米公司在2018年进行 IPO。 8. 以下哪个股票市值高于3万亿? • D 英伟达 但nvda最近市值跌了低于3万亿。 9. 老虎证券是在哪一年成立的? • 老虎证券成立于2014年。 10. 夜盘可以下什么类型订单? • 夜盘可以下限价单(限价订单)。","text":"1. 1手美股期权等于多少股股票 • 1手美股期权等于100股股票。 2. 期货的最小单位是? • 期货的最小单位是合约。 3. 道琼斯工业平均指数是由多少家公司组成的? • 道琼斯工业平均指数是由30家公司组成的。 4. 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在哪个城市? • 伯克希尔哈撒韦的总部在奥马哈市。 5. 以下哪个股票不属于 Magnificent 7? • C 奈飞”,奈飞不属于 Magnificent 7。 6. 苹果公司在哪年推出了第一代 iPhone? • 苹果公司在2007年推出了第一代 iPhone。 7. 小米公司在哪一年 IPO? • 小米公司在2018年进行 IPO。 8. 以下哪个股票市值高于3万亿? • D 英伟达 但nvda最近市值跌了低于3万亿。 9. 老虎证券是在哪一年成立的? • 老虎证券成立于2014年。 10. 夜盘可以下什么类型订单? • 夜盘可以下限价单(限价订单)。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329218690326600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":329213605134624,"gmtCreate":1721376290014,"gmtModify":1721376291735,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大盘进入调整期,是否会利好小盘?","listText":"大盘进入调整期,是否会利好小盘?","text":"大盘进入调整期,是否会利好小盘?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329213605134624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":328919407947864,"gmtCreate":1721326696896,"gmtModify":1723041007072,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL\">$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$ </a>,持续看好小盘股","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL\">$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$ </a>,持续看好小盘股","text":"我开仓了$IWM 20250117 285.0 CALL$ ,持续看好小盘股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328919407947864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":288154956054736,"gmtCreate":1711376066892,"gmtModify":1711376068503,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288154956054736","repostId":"2422568490","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2422568490","pubTimestamp":1711350616,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2422568490?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-03-25 15:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2422568490","media":"智通财经网","summary":"巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。</p><p>巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。</p><p>根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内生产总值(GDP)从疫情低点上涨了40%,上季度达27.94万亿美元。将前者除以后者,得出该指标读数为184%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbaa8096303ddace82ed257283e83576\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"547\" tg-height=\"502\"/></p><p>巴菲特在2001年《财富》杂志的一篇文章中宣称,以他名字命名的衡量标准“可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值状况的最佳单一标”。</p><p>巴菲特曾表示,股票估值达到100%时可能是公平的,达到70%或80%时则接近低价区,但也警告称,在接近200%时买入股票将是“玩火”。</p><p>这位传奇投资人还说,当该指标在飙升至科网泡沫期间历史最高点时,曾是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”,表明崩盘即将来临。</p><p>今年以来,美股屡创新高,促使部分评论家敲响了关于泡沫的警钟。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等人工智能相关股票的大幅上涨,以及华尔街对美联储将在今年降息、经济将摆脱衰退的预期不断升温,都助长了股市的狂飙。</p><p>这一指标曾在2022年初证明了价值,彼时该指标亮起红灯,飙升至超200%。在随后12个月里,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别暴跌了19%和33%。</p><p>但值得注意的是,这一指标远非完美。该指标是将股市当前价值与上一季度的经济增长数据进行比较。此外,该指标所依赖的G DP不包括海外收入,而美股价格却包含了公司国内和国际业务的价值。</p><p>然而,对于一些专家来说,这一指标再次回到以往市场灾难前的高水平,这显然是一个警示。</p><p>胡斯曼投资信托公司(Hussman Investment Trust)总裁约翰·胡斯曼(John Hussman)和B.莱利财富管理公司(B.Riley Wealth Management)首席投资策略师保罗·迪特里希(Paul Dietrich)都指出,该指标的飙升是泡沫的证据,以及此次涨势或将以痛苦的破裂告终。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“巴菲特指标”亮红灯!美股真的涨过头了?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-03-25 15:10 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1091345.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2422568490","content_text":"巴菲特最青睐的市场指标已飙升至两年来最高点184%,这表明美股估值过高,可能出现毁灭性崩盘。巴菲特指标是“将所有交易活跃的美国股票的总市值除以最新季度国内生产总值(GDP)的估计值”。投资者通常使用该指标以比较股市整体价值和国民经济规模。根据威尔希尔指数公司(Wilshire Indexes)数据,FT威尔希尔5000指数今年已跃升9%,创下历史新高,将其市值提升至约51.47万亿美元。美国国内生产总值(GDP)从疫情低点上涨了40%,上季度达27.94万亿美元。将前者除以后者,得出该指标读数为184%。巴菲特在2001年《财富》杂志的一篇文章中宣称,以他名字命名的衡量标准“可能是衡量任何特定时刻估值状况的最佳单一标”。巴菲特曾表示,股票估值达到100%时可能是公平的,达到70%或80%时则接近低价区,但也警告称,在接近200%时买入股票将是“玩火”。这位传奇投资人还说,当该指标在飙升至科网泡沫期间历史最高点时,曾是一个“非常强烈的警告信号”,表明崩盘即将来临。今年以来,美股屡创新高,促使部分评论家敲响了关于泡沫的警钟。英伟达和微软等人工智能相关股票的大幅上涨,以及华尔街对美联储将在今年降息、经济将摆脱衰退的预期不断升温,都助长了股市的狂飙。这一指标曾在2022年初证明了价值,彼时该指标亮起红灯,飙升至超200%。在随后12个月里,标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别暴跌了19%和33%。但值得注意的是,这一指标远非完美。该指标是将股市当前价值与上一季度的经济增长数据进行比较。此外,该指标所依赖的G DP不包括海外收入,而美股价格却包含了公司国内和国际业务的价值。然而,对于一些专家来说,这一指标再次回到以往市场灾难前的高水平,这显然是一个警示。胡斯曼投资信托公司(Hussman Investment Trust)总裁约翰·胡斯曼(John Hussman)和B.莱利财富管理公司(B.Riley Wealth Management)首席投资策略师保罗·迪特里希(Paul Dietrich)都指出,该指标的飙升是泡沫的证据,以及此次涨势或将以痛苦的破裂告终。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284672282784040,"gmtCreate":1710505777695,"gmtModify":1721053754759,"author":{"id":"3559865587376715","authorId":"3559865587376715","name":"钢铁直男凡芒至尊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e79043833619101d0a8a8e7270ceb478","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559865587376715","authorIdStr":"3559865587376715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 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