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贾俊河
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IP属地:天津
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贾俊河
2021-03-12
好
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-03-08
噢
@小虎活动:吐槽比惨大会开始啦,看看有谁比我惨?
贾俊河
2021-03-03
行
@股姐Jessica:RLAY:成立即获软银3亿美元投资,这支生物科技股近期表现值得关注
贾俊河
2021-02-27
日
@发财致富中芯国际:
$快手 210225 330.00 PUT(KST.HK)$
昨天买了个这个今天不能交易,哪位大神可以告诉我,最后会怎么处理?因为我看错日期了 我以为今天是最后一个交易日………
贾俊河
2021-02-25
?
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-22
厉害
@华商韬略:58岁自立门户,5年比肩巴菲特,她是正被全世界追捧的新股神
贾俊河
2021-02-20
好
@锐问:重估京东物流,比特币交易平台估值暴涨 | 一周锐评
贾俊河
2021-02-18
好
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-15
好
@肖恩的美股长线价值投资: 美股#个股分析#美股分析 | 个股推荐 | 一支低价股HOFV,现在是买入时机!SPCE, NVDA, PLTR, LIQT, AQB, CURI, EH, FUV走势分析
贾俊河
2021-02-14
好
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-13
问
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-12
好
@美股研究社:ARK女神持仓每日跟踪|2021年02月11日
贾俊河
2021-02-11
期待
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-11
期待
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-10
好
@稳中求进嘭嘭嘭:
$Chegg Inc(CHGG)$
持股28天,刚开通老虎时最早买入的几支股之一,买时还是一根愣愣的青葱,卖时也算是个不急不躁的小油条了。虽然盈利不多,但是卖在高位了。纪念一下[可爱]
贾俊河
2021-02-07
期待
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-02-05
期待
@夏夏夏:谷歌Q4:广告增势强劲,YouTube&云计算助力长期前景!
贾俊河
2021-02-01
期待
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-01-31
期待
抱歉,原内容已删除
贾俊河
2021-01-27
好的
@财经正弦波:不要慌,今天下跌的原因找到了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,小虎君想邀请各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。 【参与方式】 在本贴评论区留言晒出即可 如何参与晒单? 点击“交易”页面,选择交易的股票,点击持仓盈亏分享,即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。(更新到6.8.9版本的虎友们,除了分享单只股票涨跌幅之外,还可以分享你赚、亏了多少钱哦) 好了我们言归正传,老虎社区第3届比惨大赛正式开始喽,欢迎在本帖评论区留言聊聊你最近亏了多少?是什么原因导致亏损的?也欢迎各位虎友分享一下自己的持仓,让其他虎友学(gao)习(xing)一下。凡是参与回复的虎友均可获得66虎积分奖励,我们还会随机赠出188,2","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a09835966fb70fa159deb78093175cf4","width":"1784","height":"1088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364210184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365828508,"gmtCreate":1614728973904,"gmtModify":1703480335298,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"行","listText":"行","text":"行","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365828508","repostId":"365975960","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":365975960,"gmtCreate":1614694615250,"gmtModify":1703479968344,"author":{"id":"3562494798388369","authorId":"3562494798388369","name":"股姐Jessica","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9488a8ae456848c71da38190c20a7c04","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562494798388369","authorIdStr":"3562494798388369"},"themes":[],"title":"RLAY:成立即获软银3亿美元投资,这支生物科技股近期表现值得关注","htmlText":"概 要2020年,全世界共有超过100家生物技术公司上市,这几乎是2019年的两倍,打破了有史以来的记录。这些公司从事药物发现和开发的生物技术公司(不包括诊断,医疗设备和生命科学工具公司),总共通过IPO筹集了超过200亿美元,创下了历史新高,超过了2018年和2019年总和。Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)成立于2016年,致力于通过建立一个独特的发现平台来创造对患者具有变革性影响的药物,该平台的核心是了解蛋白质的构象如何与功能相关。目前蛋白质成像方法仅限于静态图片,Relay的方法通过将计算能力与结构生物学、生物物理学、化学和生物学领域的前沿实验技术相整合,为蛋白质构象的动态性质如何调节功能提供重要见解。Relay Therapeutics的癌症候选药物尚处于早期临床阶段,但Relay仍在7月份的发行中募集了4.6亿美元,以20美元的价格售出了2300万股。其最先进的资产是与罗氏(Roche)共同开发的处于临床1期的SHP2抑制剂RLY-1971。 Relay成立当年就获软银投资3亿美元 2018年12月,Relay宣布融资4亿美元,由SoftBank Vision Fund(软银)领投,Foresite Capital、Perceptive Advisors、Tavistock Group、GV、Casdin Capital等参与投资。其中,软银投资3亿美元。资料来源:公司注册声明招股书显示,Relay暂无营收,其中,2018年净亏损为4878万美元,2019年净亏损为7531万美元。2020年第一季净亏2489万美元,上年同期净亏损为1418万美元。软银所持股价价值近10亿美元。自从我上次推荐该公司作为2020年9月的潜在投资机会以来,Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)的股价上涨了20%以上。Relay目前的交易价格为41.3美元,但在","listText":"概 要2020年,全世界共有超过100家生物技术公司上市,这几乎是2019年的两倍,打破了有史以来的记录。这些公司从事药物发现和开发的生物技术公司(不包括诊断,医疗设备和生命科学工具公司),总共通过IPO筹集了超过200亿美元,创下了历史新高,超过了2018年和2019年总和。Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)成立于2016年,致力于通过建立一个独特的发现平台来创造对患者具有变革性影响的药物,该平台的核心是了解蛋白质的构象如何与功能相关。目前蛋白质成像方法仅限于静态图片,Relay的方法通过将计算能力与结构生物学、生物物理学、化学和生物学领域的前沿实验技术相整合,为蛋白质构象的动态性质如何调节功能提供重要见解。Relay Therapeutics的癌症候选药物尚处于早期临床阶段,但Relay仍在7月份的发行中募集了4.6亿美元,以20美元的价格售出了2300万股。其最先进的资产是与罗氏(Roche)共同开发的处于临床1期的SHP2抑制剂RLY-1971。 Relay成立当年就获软银投资3亿美元 2018年12月,Relay宣布融资4亿美元,由SoftBank Vision Fund(软银)领投,Foresite Capital、Perceptive Advisors、Tavistock Group、GV、Casdin Capital等参与投资。其中,软银投资3亿美元。资料来源:公司注册声明招股书显示,Relay暂无营收,其中,2018年净亏损为4878万美元,2019年净亏损为7531万美元。2020年第一季净亏2489万美元,上年同期净亏损为1418万美元。软银所持股价价值近10亿美元。自从我上次推荐该公司作为2020年9月的潜在投资机会以来,Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)的股价上涨了20%以上。Relay目前的交易价格为41.3美元,但在","text":"概 要2020年,全世界共有超过100家生物技术公司上市,这几乎是2019年的两倍,打破了有史以来的记录。这些公司从事药物发现和开发的生物技术公司(不包括诊断,医疗设备和生命科学工具公司),总共通过IPO筹集了超过200亿美元,创下了历史新高,超过了2018年和2019年总和。Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)成立于2016年,致力于通过建立一个独特的发现平台来创造对患者具有变革性影响的药物,该平台的核心是了解蛋白质的构象如何与功能相关。目前蛋白质成像方法仅限于静态图片,Relay的方法通过将计算能力与结构生物学、生物物理学、化学和生物学领域的前沿实验技术相整合,为蛋白质构象的动态性质如何调节功能提供重要见解。Relay Therapeutics的癌症候选药物尚处于早期临床阶段,但Relay仍在7月份的发行中募集了4.6亿美元,以20美元的价格售出了2300万股。其最先进的资产是与罗氏(Roche)共同开发的处于临床1期的SHP2抑制剂RLY-1971。 Relay成立当年就获软银投资3亿美元 2018年12月,Relay宣布融资4亿美元,由SoftBank Vision Fund(软银)领投,Foresite Capital、Perceptive Advisors、Tavistock Group、GV、Casdin Capital等参与投资。其中,软银投资3亿美元。资料来源:公司注册声明招股书显示,Relay暂无营收,其中,2018年净亏损为4878万美元,2019年净亏损为7531万美元。2020年第一季净亏2489万美元,上年同期净亏损为1418万美元。软银所持股价价值近10亿美元。自从我上次推荐该公司作为2020年9月的潜在投资机会以来,Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)的股价上涨了20%以上。Relay目前的交易价格为41.3美元,但在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37ccaf373af891c5152ba7c337b795bf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b12727800a657ceb6075f2b374c3a59"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6100ec0e317d5efa8460a93b2b95a35"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365975960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366988545,"gmtCreate":1614384320387,"gmtModify":1703477113059,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"日","listText":"日","text":"日","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366988545","repostId":"368235996","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":368235996,"gmtCreate":1614327479715,"gmtModify":1703476398568,"author":{"id":"3573987035140742","authorId":"3573987035140742","name":"发财致富中芯国际","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a6cffe9a664dcf52c61f4b49b1f66a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573987035140742","authorIdStr":"3573987035140742"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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我以为今天是最后一个交易日………","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa45dfd75f04f7efb82e7906b9d8e080","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368235996","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361190573,"gmtCreate":1614211676492,"gmtModify":1614211676492,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361190573","repostId":"363781757","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360502802,"gmtCreate":1613952432306,"gmtModify":1613952432306,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"厉害","listText":"厉害","text":"厉害","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360502802","repostId":"360674552","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":360674552,"gmtCreate":1613913420000,"gmtModify":1712583354969,"author":{"id":"3524105760314666","authorId":"3524105760314666","name":"华商韬略","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbcbbcdfdd125576e4d9038a38b0dc86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524105760314666","authorIdStr":"3524105760314666"},"themes":[],"title":"58岁自立门户,5年比肩巴菲特,她是正被全世界追捧的新股神","htmlText":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","listText":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","text":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c15a5ee4b57428ba38a9bd0e5b17d73","width":"898","height":"642"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360674552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":387446961,"gmtCreate":1613781243453,"gmtModify":1613781243453,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387446961","repostId":"387883488","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":387883488,"gmtCreate":1613736241744,"gmtModify":1613773645220,"author":{"id":"3520134464145345","authorId":"3520134464145345","name":"锐问","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af67035e05acd3d551a6474ea3df0455","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3520134464145345","authorIdStr":"3520134464145345"},"themes":[],"title":"重估京东物流,比特币交易平台估值暴涨 | 一周锐评","htmlText":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 奈雪的茶背景:2月11日,中国农历新年除夕夜,奈雪的茶正式向港交所递交上市A1表,启动上市流程,摩根大通、招银国际、华泰国际为保荐人。问题:现制茶饮公司奈雪的茶为什么着急上市?锐评:奶茶行业属于疫情后修复弹性空间比较大的板块。抢先上市,主要是满足快速扩张产生的资金诉求。一方面,奈雪持续扩张,单店成本比较高,一直在亏损;另一方面,本身去年疫情和防控政策也加重了奶茶行业的盈利压力。网红茶饮在二级市场本身属于稀缺品种,成为奶茶第一股,还能拿到不错的溢价。比如,目前在国内新茶饮领域,奈雪的茶规模虽然仅次于喜茶。不过二者差距不小,今年市场给到奈雪的估值大概是20亿美元,喜茶估值则达到了250亿元(约40亿美元)。除此之外,抢先上市也是高调营销的一种方式,有利于应对更多竞品的挑战。包括蜜雪冰城、CoCo、茶颜悦色这些我们熟悉的品牌。它们在一线城市和下沉市场,对奈雪发起的挑战也不容忽视。2、# 京东物流背景:2月16日晚间,京东物流向港交所递交招股申请,成为京东集团旗下进行IPO的第三家子公司。此次募集资金主要用于物流网络和供应链技术。联席保荐人包括美国银行、高盛、海通国际。问题:业界预计京东物流估值将达到约400亿美元。截止2020年三季度,这家成立14年,还在亏钱的物流公司,值这么多钱吗?为什么?锐评:和三通一达相比,京东物流对标更多的是以顺丰为代表的高端物流。这是长期深耕的结果,稀缺性会直接产生溢价。而且现阶段京东物流除了服务京东之外,还在积极破圈。一个是营收结构上,京东以外的客户收入占比目前已经提升到了43%。另一个是覆盖广度上,京东物流已经基本覆盖中国几乎所有地区,已经拥有较深的护城河。可","listText":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 奈雪的茶背景:2月11日,中国农历新年除夕夜,奈雪的茶正式向港交所递交上市A1表,启动上市流程,摩根大通、招银国际、华泰国际为保荐人。问题:现制茶饮公司奈雪的茶为什么着急上市?锐评:奶茶行业属于疫情后修复弹性空间比较大的板块。抢先上市,主要是满足快速扩张产生的资金诉求。一方面,奈雪持续扩张,单店成本比较高,一直在亏损;另一方面,本身去年疫情和防控政策也加重了奶茶行业的盈利压力。网红茶饮在二级市场本身属于稀缺品种,成为奶茶第一股,还能拿到不错的溢价。比如,目前在国内新茶饮领域,奈雪的茶规模虽然仅次于喜茶。不过二者差距不小,今年市场给到奈雪的估值大概是20亿美元,喜茶估值则达到了250亿元(约40亿美元)。除此之外,抢先上市也是高调营销的一种方式,有利于应对更多竞品的挑战。包括蜜雪冰城、CoCo、茶颜悦色这些我们熟悉的品牌。它们在一线城市和下沉市场,对奈雪发起的挑战也不容忽视。2、# 京东物流背景:2月16日晚间,京东物流向港交所递交招股申请,成为京东集团旗下进行IPO的第三家子公司。此次募集资金主要用于物流网络和供应链技术。联席保荐人包括美国银行、高盛、海通国际。问题:业界预计京东物流估值将达到约400亿美元。截止2020年三季度,这家成立14年,还在亏钱的物流公司,值这么多钱吗?为什么?锐评:和三通一达相比,京东物流对标更多的是以顺丰为代表的高端物流。这是长期深耕的结果,稀缺性会直接产生溢价。而且现阶段京东物流除了服务京东之外,还在积极破圈。一个是营收结构上,京东以外的客户收入占比目前已经提升到了43%。另一个是覆盖广度上,京东物流已经基本覆盖中国几乎所有地区,已经拥有较深的护城河。可","text":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 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公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","listText":"整个2020年谷歌涨幅30.85%,跑输纳指的43.46%,同时为FAAMG阵营最低收益率。2021年刚开头至今,谷歌涨幅9.5%,相比之下苹果涨幅为1.7%,纳指涨幅5.62%。最新Q4财报后,谷歌盘后大涨7%,似乎要追回失落的2020。 公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","text":"整个2020年谷歌涨幅30.85%,跑输纳指的43.46%,同时为FAAMG阵营最低收益率。2021年刚开头至今,谷歌涨幅9.5%,相比之下苹果涨幅为1.7%,纳指涨幅5.62%。最新Q4财报后,谷歌盘后大涨7%,似乎要追回失落的2020。 公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519537dcb51727d6914ed81b1aba0e6d","width":"1034","height":"559"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edd452aaa3349b9008244bd26538c79d","width":"1060","height":"554"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6748a9a76ee345f7114c85ad197a4463","width":"1051","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314849607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312612110,"gmtCreate":1612139744230,"gmtModify":1703757849011,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312612110","repostId":"318530205","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312167767,"gmtCreate":1612069631559,"gmtModify":1703757619415,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312167767","repostId":"312193578","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313656001,"gmtCreate":1611712648803,"gmtModify":1703752546310,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好的","listText":"好的","text":"好的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313656001","repostId":"313090597","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":313090597,"gmtCreate":1611632020819,"gmtModify":1703751766884,"author":{"id":"3493097319011195","authorId":"3493097319011195","name":"财经正弦波","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567842adeba82a7e9a4260ab38cdb970","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3493097319011195","authorIdStr":"3493097319011195"},"themes":[],"title":"不要慌,今天下跌的原因找到了","htmlText":"市场下跌的原因今天一开盘三大股指就都出现了下跌,市场情绪突然转冷。转冷的消息可能和下面这则新闻有关系。上交所1月26日发布公告称500ETF(512500)融券卖出的量太多了占到了流通量的75%,所以现在暂停512500的融券卖出。华夏中证500ETF(512500)不等于中证500指数下面,我们先从500ETF(512500)这款产品入手来分析一下整个事件。上交所公告中提到的500ETF(512500)是华夏基金推出的一款追踪中证500指数的基金产品。今天因为时间有限我们先部位大家科普关于ETF的相关知识了。感兴趣的小伙伴可以自行到网上百度。简单的说华夏中证500ETF这只产品会一次性买入500只股票,这500只股票是根据中证指数有限公司构建的中证500指数所决定的。这里我们必须明确,市场上追踪中证500指数的产品有很多一共有69只相关产品,而华夏中证500(512500)只是其中之一。看空华夏中证500这只产品,并不是说有人融券卖出了整个中证500指数。中证500指数的构成下面我们再从中证500指数的构成看一下融券卖出的人到底在卖什么?中证500指数由全部A股中剔除沪深300指数成份股及总市值排名前300名的股票后,总市值排名靠前的500只股票组成,综合反映中国A股市场中一批中小市值公司的股票价格表现。从中证500指数的构成我们可以看出,被选出的500只股票全部都是中小盘股。完全不包含沪深300中的大盘股。这500只股票中市值最大的是阳光电源,市值为1419.06亿元,其他的所有个股都在1000亿以下。500只股票的总市值加起来也只有11.3万亿差不多5个茅台。所以卖空华夏中证500ETF(512500)的人看空的是小市值,跟大市值的龙头股压根没有什么关系。所以今天的下跌多半是恐慌性的下跌,是一种情绪上的宣泄。因为2021年以来股市涨的确实有点多。下一步会怎么走虽然是恐","listText":"市场下跌的原因今天一开盘三大股指就都出现了下跌,市场情绪突然转冷。转冷的消息可能和下面这则新闻有关系。上交所1月26日发布公告称500ETF(512500)融券卖出的量太多了占到了流通量的75%,所以现在暂停512500的融券卖出。华夏中证500ETF(512500)不等于中证500指数下面,我们先从500ETF(512500)这款产品入手来分析一下整个事件。上交所公告中提到的500ETF(512500)是华夏基金推出的一款追踪中证500指数的基金产品。今天因为时间有限我们先部位大家科普关于ETF的相关知识了。感兴趣的小伙伴可以自行到网上百度。简单的说华夏中证500ETF这只产品会一次性买入500只股票,这500只股票是根据中证指数有限公司构建的中证500指数所决定的。这里我们必须明确,市场上追踪中证500指数的产品有很多一共有69只相关产品,而华夏中证500(512500)只是其中之一。看空华夏中证500这只产品,并不是说有人融券卖出了整个中证500指数。中证500指数的构成下面我们再从中证500指数的构成看一下融券卖出的人到底在卖什么?中证500指数由全部A股中剔除沪深300指数成份股及总市值排名前300名的股票后,总市值排名靠前的500只股票组成,综合反映中国A股市场中一批中小市值公司的股票价格表现。从中证500指数的构成我们可以看出,被选出的500只股票全部都是中小盘股。完全不包含沪深300中的大盘股。这500只股票中市值最大的是阳光电源,市值为1419.06亿元,其他的所有个股都在1000亿以下。500只股票的总市值加起来也只有11.3万亿差不多5个茅台。所以卖空华夏中证500ETF(512500)的人看空的是小市值,跟大市值的龙头股压根没有什么关系。所以今天的下跌多半是恐慌性的下跌,是一种情绪上的宣泄。因为2021年以来股市涨的确实有点多。下一步会怎么走虽然是恐","text":"市场下跌的原因今天一开盘三大股指就都出现了下跌,市场情绪突然转冷。转冷的消息可能和下面这则新闻有关系。上交所1月26日发布公告称500ETF(512500)融券卖出的量太多了占到了流通量的75%,所以现在暂停512500的融券卖出。华夏中证500ETF(512500)不等于中证500指数下面,我们先从500ETF(512500)这款产品入手来分析一下整个事件。上交所公告中提到的500ETF(512500)是华夏基金推出的一款追踪中证500指数的基金产品。今天因为时间有限我们先部位大家科普关于ETF的相关知识了。感兴趣的小伙伴可以自行到网上百度。简单的说华夏中证500ETF这只产品会一次性买入500只股票,这500只股票是根据中证指数有限公司构建的中证500指数所决定的。这里我们必须明确,市场上追踪中证500指数的产品有很多一共有69只相关产品,而华夏中证500(512500)只是其中之一。看空华夏中证500这只产品,并不是说有人融券卖出了整个中证500指数。中证500指数的构成下面我们再从中证500指数的构成看一下融券卖出的人到底在卖什么?中证500指数由全部A股中剔除沪深300指数成份股及总市值排名前300名的股票后,总市值排名靠前的500只股票组成,综合反映中国A股市场中一批中小市值公司的股票价格表现。从中证500指数的构成我们可以看出,被选出的500只股票全部都是中小盘股。完全不包含沪深300中的大盘股。这500只股票中市值最大的是阳光电源,市值为1419.06亿元,其他的所有个股都在1000亿以下。500只股票的总市值加起来也只有11.3万亿差不多5个茅台。所以卖空华夏中证500ETF(512500)的人看空的是小市值,跟大市值的龙头股压根没有什么关系。所以今天的下跌多半是恐慌性的下跌,是一种情绪上的宣泄。因为2021年以来股市涨的确实有点多。下一步会怎么走虽然是恐","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75262c7150964ea8ba77323dcecf6904","width":"624","height":"315"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313090597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":388065645,"gmtCreate":1613003164887,"gmtModify":1703768218845,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388065645","repostId":"1131026868","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":976651888,"gmtCreate":1599713476244,"gmtModify":1703819440204,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"行,好的就这样","listText":"行,好的就这样","text":"行,好的就这样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976651888","repostId":"976199363","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":976199363,"gmtCreate":1599624343848,"gmtModify":1703819085841,"author":{"id":"3556669788355570","authorId":"3556669788355570","name":"GuruFocus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e1e28b3ff68411370a270b2aa9a76d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556669788355570","authorIdStr":"3556669788355570"},"themes":[],"title":"股票跌到位了没有?","htmlText":"股市大跌,尤其是一个星期前一直领涨的科技股大跌。特斯拉狂跌21%,这是前所未有的跌幅。特斯拉从最高处到现在已经跌了超过35%。苹果今天也跌了6%,市值跌到了2万亿美元以下。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 我在不到两个星期前写了“苹果和特斯拉的价值线太吓人了”。当时我并不知道这两只股票什么时候会跌。但在这样的高估值下,一个风吹草动就会造成股价大跌。现在我们再来看一看苹果和特斯拉的价值线。 苹果的大师价值线 特斯拉的大师价值线 虽然比上次好了很多,但是这两只股票还是极其高估。按照合理估值估计,特斯拉至少需要跌到150块以下,而苹果则需要跌到80块上下才能与合理估值相符。但即使这样,这两只股票也还是很贵。 特斯拉现在可能是股市里最遭恨的股票。第一恨它的是原来做空的人。那些人其实是对的,特斯拉估值的确是太高,但就是时机不对。第二恨它的是散户们,也就是韭菜们。特斯拉的散户平均不到10天就要全部换一轮,现在持有特斯拉的散户们大多是赔钱的。他们发现原来是被华尔街讲的故事忽悠了。可以想见空头们会再次上船,而散户们则会恐慌抛售。即使特斯拉跌到100以下,我也一点不奇怪。 所以股市跌到位了没有?在我看来还没有,因为特斯拉和苹果都是领头股,他们的估值还是过高。如果他们继续跌的话,其他股票很可能都跟着一起跌。 很不幸,很多特斯拉股东当了韭菜。特斯拉在股价最高的时候融资50亿美元,时机把握的恰到好处,正是韭菜最茁壮的时候。我不得不再次佩服特斯拉的马斯克一把,他真是太知道什么时候该割韭菜了。当然他对割韭菜非常有经验,因为他以前","listText":"股市大跌,尤其是一个星期前一直领涨的科技股大跌。特斯拉狂跌21%,这是前所未有的跌幅。特斯拉从最高处到现在已经跌了超过35%。苹果今天也跌了6%,市值跌到了2万亿美元以下。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 我在不到两个星期前写了“苹果和特斯拉的价值线太吓人了”。当时我并不知道这两只股票什么时候会跌。但在这样的高估值下,一个风吹草动就会造成股价大跌。现在我们再来看一看苹果和特斯拉的价值线。 苹果的大师价值线 特斯拉的大师价值线 虽然比上次好了很多,但是这两只股票还是极其高估。按照合理估值估计,特斯拉至少需要跌到150块以下,而苹果则需要跌到80块上下才能与合理估值相符。但即使这样,这两只股票也还是很贵。 特斯拉现在可能是股市里最遭恨的股票。第一恨它的是原来做空的人。那些人其实是对的,特斯拉估值的确是太高,但就是时机不对。第二恨它的是散户们,也就是韭菜们。特斯拉的散户平均不到10天就要全部换一轮,现在持有特斯拉的散户们大多是赔钱的。他们发现原来是被华尔街讲的故事忽悠了。可以想见空头们会再次上船,而散户们则会恐慌抛售。即使特斯拉跌到100以下,我也一点不奇怪。 所以股市跌到位了没有?在我看来还没有,因为特斯拉和苹果都是领头股,他们的估值还是过高。如果他们继续跌的话,其他股票很可能都跟着一起跌。 很不幸,很多特斯拉股东当了韭菜。特斯拉在股价最高的时候融资50亿美元,时机把握的恰到好处,正是韭菜最茁壮的时候。我不得不再次佩服特斯拉的马斯克一把,他真是太知道什么时候该割韭菜了。当然他对割韭菜非常有经验,因为他以前","text":"股市大跌,尤其是一个星期前一直领涨的科技股大跌。特斯拉狂跌21%,这是前所未有的跌幅。特斯拉从最高处到现在已经跌了超过35%。苹果今天也跌了6%,市值跌到了2万亿美元以下。$苹果(AAPL)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 我在不到两个星期前写了“苹果和特斯拉的价值线太吓人了”。当时我并不知道这两只股票什么时候会跌。但在这样的高估值下,一个风吹草动就会造成股价大跌。现在我们再来看一看苹果和特斯拉的价值线。 苹果的大师价值线 特斯拉的大师价值线 虽然比上次好了很多,但是这两只股票还是极其高估。按照合理估值估计,特斯拉至少需要跌到150块以下,而苹果则需要跌到80块上下才能与合理估值相符。但即使这样,这两只股票也还是很贵。 特斯拉现在可能是股市里最遭恨的股票。第一恨它的是原来做空的人。那些人其实是对的,特斯拉估值的确是太高,但就是时机不对。第二恨它的是散户们,也就是韭菜们。特斯拉的散户平均不到10天就要全部换一轮,现在持有特斯拉的散户们大多是赔钱的。他们发现原来是被华尔街讲的故事忽悠了。可以想见空头们会再次上船,而散户们则会恐慌抛售。即使特斯拉跌到100以下,我也一点不奇怪。 所以股市跌到位了没有?在我看来还没有,因为特斯拉和苹果都是领头股,他们的估值还是过高。如果他们继续跌的话,其他股票很可能都跟着一起跌。 很不幸,很多特斯拉股东当了韭菜。特斯拉在股价最高的时候融资50亿美元,时机把握的恰到好处,正是韭菜最茁壮的时候。我不得不再次佩服特斯拉的马斯克一把,他真是太知道什么时候该割韭菜了。当然他对割韭菜非常有经验,因为他以前","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3abdf417a2d4ebbcfdd2c110138460","width":"568","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/539d61808390f6c848870070d287b461","width":"1080","height":"1047"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb3ba4da57039add9517d41730af962","width":"577","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976199363","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386623193,"gmtCreate":1613175192612,"gmtModify":1613175192612,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"问","listText":"问","text":"问","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386623193","repostId":"1126503989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":388062785,"gmtCreate":1613003132147,"gmtModify":1703768217465,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388062785","repostId":"1131026868","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331114394,"gmtCreate":1609462388018,"gmtModify":1703739551472,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331114394","repostId":"1181505406","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":328897122,"gmtCreate":1615510660966,"gmtModify":1703490179335,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328897122","repostId":"1186498754","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320570812,"gmtCreate":1615163530436,"gmtModify":1703485026908,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"噢","listText":"噢","text":"噢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320570812","repostId":"364210184","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":364210184,"gmtCreate":1614853730945,"gmtModify":1703481996575,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0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谈谈这两天发生了啥? 港股方面,印花税提升、美债收益率飙升、内地公募发行降温,港股遭遇“三连击”。南向资金迅速撤退,遭遇断崖式下降的状态,受到“香港不排除进一步提高股票印花税”的消息打击,恒生指数连续2日下跌,科技股腾讯,美团等都遭受了北水抛售。 美国方面,随着新冠病例数据走低,疫苗持续铺开,市场参与者对美国经济前景的判断日益乐观,对加息的预期也逐渐升温,十年期国债收益率一度涨至1.5%以上。这一巨变导致美股科技公司股票遭到抛售。随着政府债券收益率走高,美国科技股周三再次大幅下挫。有机构认为美股已经进入熊市,下跌的这一势头未来几周都很难止住。 相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,小虎君想邀请各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。 【参与方式】 在本贴评论区留言晒出即可 如何参与晒单? 点击“交易”页面,选择交易的股票,点击持仓盈亏分享,即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。(更新到6.8.9版本的虎友们,除了分享单只股票涨跌幅之外,还可以分享你赚、亏了多少钱哦) 好了我们言归正传,老虎社区第3届比惨大赛正式开始喽,欢迎在本帖评论区留言聊聊你最近亏了多少?是什么原因导致亏损的?也欢迎各位虎友分享一下自己的持仓,让其他虎友学(gao)习(xing)一下。凡是参与回复的虎友均可获得66虎积分奖励,我们还会随机赠出188,2","listText":"全球股市一片暴跌,相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,欢迎各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。欢迎在本帖评论区留言聊聊你最近亏了多少?是什么原因导致亏损的?也欢迎各位虎友分享一下自己的持仓,让其他虎友学(gao)习(xing)一下,凡是参与回复的虎友均可获得66虎积分奖励,我们还会随机赠出188,288,888等积分。 谈谈这两天发生了啥? 港股方面,印花税提升、美债收益率飙升、内地公募发行降温,港股遭遇“三连击”。南向资金迅速撤退,遭遇断崖式下降的状态,受到“香港不排除进一步提高股票印花税”的消息打击,恒生指数连续2日下跌,科技股腾讯,美团等都遭受了北水抛售。 美国方面,随着新冠病例数据走低,疫苗持续铺开,市场参与者对美国经济前景的判断日益乐观,对加息的预期也逐渐升温,十年期国债收益率一度涨至1.5%以上。这一巨变导致美股科技公司股票遭到抛售。随着政府债券收益率走高,美国科技股周三再次大幅下挫。有机构认为美股已经进入熊市,下跌的这一势头未来几周都很难止住。 相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,小虎君想邀请各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。 【参与方式】 在本贴评论区留言晒出即可 如何参与晒单? 点击“交易”页面,选择交易的股票,点击持仓盈亏分享,即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。(更新到6.8.9版本的虎友们,除了分享单只股票涨跌幅之外,还可以分享你赚、亏了多少钱哦) 好了我们言归正传,老虎社区第3届比惨大赛正式开始喽,欢迎在本帖评论区留言聊聊你最近亏了多少?是什么原因导致亏损的?也欢迎各位虎友分享一下自己的持仓,让其他虎友学(gao)习(xing)一下。凡是参与回复的虎友均可获得66虎积分奖励,我们还会随机赠出188,2","text":"全球股市一片暴跌,相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,欢迎各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。欢迎在本帖评论区留言聊聊你最近亏了多少?是什么原因导致亏损的?也欢迎各位虎友分享一下自己的持仓,让其他虎友学(gao)习(xing)一下,凡是参与回复的虎友均可获得66虎积分奖励,我们还会随机赠出188,288,888等积分。 谈谈这两天发生了啥? 港股方面,印花税提升、美债收益率飙升、内地公募发行降温,港股遭遇“三连击”。南向资金迅速撤退,遭遇断崖式下降的状态,受到“香港不排除进一步提高股票印花税”的消息打击,恒生指数连续2日下跌,科技股腾讯,美团等都遭受了北水抛售。 美国方面,随着新冠病例数据走低,疫苗持续铺开,市场参与者对美国经济前景的判断日益乐观,对加息的预期也逐渐升温,十年期国债收益率一度涨至1.5%以上。这一巨变导致美股科技公司股票遭到抛售。随着政府债券收益率走高,美国科技股周三再次大幅下挫。有机构认为美股已经进入熊市,下跌的这一势头未来几周都很难止住。 相信大家最近的心情都不太好,又不太好跟朋友家人叙说,小虎君想邀请各位虎友来社区晒晒单,吐吐槽,发泄一些最近心里的不愉快,我们一起抱团取暖,以愉快的心情面对生活。 【参与方式】 在本贴评论区留言晒出即可 如何参与晒单? 点击“交易”页面,选择交易的股票,点击持仓盈亏分享,即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。(更新到6.8.9版本的虎友们,除了分享单只股票涨跌幅之外,还可以分享你赚、亏了多少钱哦) 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Therapeutics(RLAY)成立于2016年,致力于通过建立一个独特的发现平台来创造对患者具有变革性影响的药物,该平台的核心是了解蛋白质的构象如何与功能相关。目前蛋白质成像方法仅限于静态图片,Relay的方法通过将计算能力与结构生物学、生物物理学、化学和生物学领域的前沿实验技术相整合,为蛋白质构象的动态性质如何调节功能提供重要见解。Relay Therapeutics的癌症候选药物尚处于早期临床阶段,但Relay仍在7月份的发行中募集了4.6亿美元,以20美元的价格售出了2300万股。其最先进的资产是与罗氏(Roche)共同开发的处于临床1期的SHP2抑制剂RLY-1971。 Relay成立当年就获软银投资3亿美元 2018年12月,Relay宣布融资4亿美元,由SoftBank Vision Fund(软银)领投,Foresite Capital、Perceptive Advisors、Tavistock Group、GV、Casdin Capital等参与投资。其中,软银投资3亿美元。资料来源:公司注册声明招股书显示,Relay暂无营收,其中,2018年净亏损为4878万美元,2019年净亏损为7531万美元。2020年第一季净亏2489万美元,上年同期净亏损为1418万美元。软银所持股价价值近10亿美元。自从我上次推荐该公司作为2020年9月的潜在投资机会以来,Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)的股价上涨了20%以上。Relay目前的交易价格为41.3美元,但在","text":"概 要2020年,全世界共有超过100家生物技术公司上市,这几乎是2019年的两倍,打破了有史以来的记录。这些公司从事药物发现和开发的生物技术公司(不包括诊断,医疗设备和生命科学工具公司),总共通过IPO筹集了超过200亿美元,创下了历史新高,超过了2018年和2019年总和。Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)成立于2016年,致力于通过建立一个独特的发现平台来创造对患者具有变革性影响的药物,该平台的核心是了解蛋白质的构象如何与功能相关。目前蛋白质成像方法仅限于静态图片,Relay的方法通过将计算能力与结构生物学、生物物理学、化学和生物学领域的前沿实验技术相整合,为蛋白质构象的动态性质如何调节功能提供重要见解。Relay Therapeutics的癌症候选药物尚处于早期临床阶段,但Relay仍在7月份的发行中募集了4.6亿美元,以20美元的价格售出了2300万股。其最先进的资产是与罗氏(Roche)共同开发的处于临床1期的SHP2抑制剂RLY-1971。 Relay成立当年就获软银投资3亿美元 2018年12月,Relay宣布融资4亿美元,由SoftBank Vision Fund(软银)领投,Foresite Capital、Perceptive Advisors、Tavistock Group、GV、Casdin Capital等参与投资。其中,软银投资3亿美元。资料来源:公司注册声明招股书显示,Relay暂无营收,其中,2018年净亏损为4878万美元,2019年净亏损为7531万美元。2020年第一季净亏2489万美元,上年同期净亏损为1418万美元。软银所持股价价值近10亿美元。自从我上次推荐该公司作为2020年9月的潜在投资机会以来,Relay Therapeutics(RLAY)的股价上涨了20%以上。Relay目前的交易价格为41.3美元,但在","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37ccaf373af891c5152ba7c337b795bf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b12727800a657ceb6075f2b374c3a59"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6100ec0e317d5efa8460a93b2b95a35"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365975960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366988545,"gmtCreate":1614384320387,"gmtModify":1703477113059,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"日","listText":"日","text":"日","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366988545","repostId":"368235996","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":368235996,"gmtCreate":1614327479715,"gmtModify":1703476398568,"author":{"id":"3573987035140742","authorId":"3573987035140742","name":"发财致富中芯国际","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a6cffe9a664dcf52c61f4b49b1f66a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573987035140742","authorIdStr":"3573987035140742"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KST.HK\">$快手 210225 330.00 PUT(KST.HK)$</a>昨天买了个这个今天不能交易,哪位大神可以告诉我,最后会怎么处理?因为我看错日期了 我以为今天是最后一个交易日………","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KST.HK\">$快手 210225 330.00 PUT(KST.HK)$</a>昨天买了个这个今天不能交易,哪位大神可以告诉我,最后会怎么处理?因为我看错日期了 我以为今天是最后一个交易日………","text":"$快手 210225 330.00 PUT(KST.HK)$昨天买了个这个今天不能交易,哪位大神可以告诉我,最后会怎么处理?因为我看错日期了 我以为今天是最后一个交易日………","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa45dfd75f04f7efb82e7906b9d8e080","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368235996","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360502802,"gmtCreate":1613952432306,"gmtModify":1613952432306,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"厉害","listText":"厉害","text":"厉害","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360502802","repostId":"360674552","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":360674552,"gmtCreate":1613913420000,"gmtModify":1712583354969,"author":{"id":"3524105760314666","authorId":"3524105760314666","name":"华商韬略","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbcbbcdfdd125576e4d9038a38b0dc86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524105760314666","authorIdStr":"3524105760314666"},"themes":[],"title":"58岁自立门户,5年比肩巴菲特,她是正被全世界追捧的新股神","htmlText":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","listText":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","text":"寻找颠覆者,成为颠覆者。作 者丨三 川华商韬略原创文章,转载请联系客服微信:hstlkf华商韬略·华商名人堂 ID:hstl8888图片:网络、图虫创意2021年第一周,特斯拉创始人兼CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以近 2000亿美元身价成为新晋全球首富。首富换位的同时,背后的资本推手也在华尔街风光无限,这是另一个暴打华尔街空头的故事。与特斯拉一起狂欢的,除了马斯克和股民,还有一位美国基金投资经理。过去一年,特斯拉股价上涨了8倍,市值也从不到1000亿美元冲至8000多亿美元,成为全球历史上市值最高的汽车企业,且远超排在第二位的传统汽车大厂丰田。如果把时间拉长至10年,特斯拉从上市至今股价翻了60倍,超过苹果、亚马逊等任何一家科技大公司的涨幅。业内普遍认为,特斯拉暴涨的原因除了电动汽车产业前景越来越被看好外,还与空头助攻有关。特斯拉是全球被做空最多的股票,当股价持续上涨,空头机构做空失败时会不断高价买入平仓,这一操作反而推动股价继续大涨。如此几轮押注后,看空者损失惨重,坚定看多者则收获颇丰。据美国金融数据机构S3 Partners的数据,去年1-12月,做空机构因做空特斯拉共计损失了350亿美元。而基金投资经理凯瑟琳·伍德(Catherine Wood)因重仓特斯拉,封神为“女版巴菲特”。她创办的诺亚方舟投资公司(ARK)旗下最大一支基金ARKK,去年暴涨170%,该基金还超过摩根大通旗下基金,成为美国规模最大的主动管理型ETF(交易型开放指数基金)。凯瑟琳是特斯拉的长期看好者,四年前特斯拉股价还不到50美元时,她就大幅建仓,此后在跌宕起伏的行情中,她从来没有摇摆过。2018年特斯拉曾面临破产危机,公司账面亏损翻倍,现金流最多只能支撑10 周,每周量产5000辆Model 3的目标一拖再拖,市场对其烧钱也换不来增长的质疑甚嚣尘上。马斯克几度情绪失控,在采访中抽大麻","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c15a5ee4b57428ba38a9bd0e5b17d73","width":"898","height":"642"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360674552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":387446961,"gmtCreate":1613781243453,"gmtModify":1613781243453,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387446961","repostId":"387883488","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":387883488,"gmtCreate":1613736241744,"gmtModify":1613773645220,"author":{"id":"3520134464145345","authorId":"3520134464145345","name":"锐问","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af67035e05acd3d551a6474ea3df0455","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3520134464145345","authorIdStr":"3520134464145345"},"themes":[],"title":"重估京东物流,比特币交易平台估值暴涨 | 一周锐评","htmlText":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 奈雪的茶背景:2月11日,中国农历新年除夕夜,奈雪的茶正式向港交所递交上市A1表,启动上市流程,摩根大通、招银国际、华泰国际为保荐人。问题:现制茶饮公司奈雪的茶为什么着急上市?锐评:奶茶行业属于疫情后修复弹性空间比较大的板块。抢先上市,主要是满足快速扩张产生的资金诉求。一方面,奈雪持续扩张,单店成本比较高,一直在亏损;另一方面,本身去年疫情和防控政策也加重了奶茶行业的盈利压力。网红茶饮在二级市场本身属于稀缺品种,成为奶茶第一股,还能拿到不错的溢价。比如,目前在国内新茶饮领域,奈雪的茶规模虽然仅次于喜茶。不过二者差距不小,今年市场给到奈雪的估值大概是20亿美元,喜茶估值则达到了250亿元(约40亿美元)。除此之外,抢先上市也是高调营销的一种方式,有利于应对更多竞品的挑战。包括蜜雪冰城、CoCo、茶颜悦色这些我们熟悉的品牌。它们在一线城市和下沉市场,对奈雪发起的挑战也不容忽视。2、# 京东物流背景:2月16日晚间,京东物流向港交所递交招股申请,成为京东集团旗下进行IPO的第三家子公司。此次募集资金主要用于物流网络和供应链技术。联席保荐人包括美国银行、高盛、海通国际。问题:业界预计京东物流估值将达到约400亿美元。截止2020年三季度,这家成立14年,还在亏钱的物流公司,值这么多钱吗?为什么?锐评:和三通一达相比,京东物流对标更多的是以顺丰为代表的高端物流。这是长期深耕的结果,稀缺性会直接产生溢价。而且现阶段京东物流除了服务京东之外,还在积极破圈。一个是营收结构上,京东以外的客户收入占比目前已经提升到了43%。另一个是覆盖广度上,京东物流已经基本覆盖中国几乎所有地区,已经拥有较深的护城河。可","listText":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 奈雪的茶背景:2月11日,中国农历新年除夕夜,奈雪的茶正式向港交所递交上市A1表,启动上市流程,摩根大通、招银国际、华泰国际为保荐人。问题:现制茶饮公司奈雪的茶为什么着急上市?锐评:奶茶行业属于疫情后修复弹性空间比较大的板块。抢先上市,主要是满足快速扩张产生的资金诉求。一方面,奈雪持续扩张,单店成本比较高,一直在亏损;另一方面,本身去年疫情和防控政策也加重了奶茶行业的盈利压力。网红茶饮在二级市场本身属于稀缺品种,成为奶茶第一股,还能拿到不错的溢价。比如,目前在国内新茶饮领域,奈雪的茶规模虽然仅次于喜茶。不过二者差距不小,今年市场给到奈雪的估值大概是20亿美元,喜茶估值则达到了250亿元(约40亿美元)。除此之外,抢先上市也是高调营销的一种方式,有利于应对更多竞品的挑战。包括蜜雪冰城、CoCo、茶颜悦色这些我们熟悉的品牌。它们在一线城市和下沉市场,对奈雪发起的挑战也不容忽视。2、# 京东物流背景:2月16日晚间,京东物流向港交所递交招股申请,成为京东集团旗下进行IPO的第三家子公司。此次募集资金主要用于物流网络和供应链技术。联席保荐人包括美国银行、高盛、海通国际。问题:业界预计京东物流估值将达到约400亿美元。截止2020年三季度,这家成立14年,还在亏钱的物流公司,值这么多钱吗?为什么?锐评:和三通一达相比,京东物流对标更多的是以顺丰为代表的高端物流。这是长期深耕的结果,稀缺性会直接产生溢价。而且现阶段京东物流除了服务京东之外,还在积极破圈。一个是营收结构上,京东以外的客户收入占比目前已经提升到了43%。另一个是覆盖广度上,京东物流已经基本覆盖中国几乎所有地区,已经拥有较深的护城河。可","text":"一周锐评,是老虎证券投研团队与《锐问》联合出品的商业评论栏目。每周,我们就当下商业热点,给出自己的观点和思考。本周锐评:#奈雪的茶、#京东物流、#巴菲特、#Coinbase。1、# 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公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","listText":"整个2020年谷歌涨幅30.85%,跑输纳指的43.46%,同时为FAAMG阵营最低收益率。2021年刚开头至今,谷歌涨幅9.5%,相比之下苹果涨幅为1.7%,纳指涨幅5.62%。最新Q4财报后,谷歌盘后大涨7%,似乎要追回失落的2020。 公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","text":"整个2020年谷歌涨幅30.85%,跑输纳指的43.46%,同时为FAAMG阵营最低收益率。2021年刚开头至今,谷歌涨幅9.5%,相比之下苹果涨幅为1.7%,纳指涨幅5.62%。最新Q4财报后,谷歌盘后大涨7%,似乎要追回失落的2020。 公司这一绩后表现,也是本季度FAAMG最佳。当季谷歌营收、净利润、自由现金流新高,广告业务强势复苏,YouTube&云业务增长亮眼,具体来看: 业绩数字强势超预期 连续两个季度,谷歌财报均有大涨,而大涨的姿势也很熟悉,即财报数字大幅超出预期: 如图可看出,GAAP EPS超出预期6.58美元,对应幅度意味着超出40%。 广告强势拉动谷歌营收 当季谷歌营收569亿美元,同比增长23.5%,为近10个季度最高增速。尤其考虑到Q2公司营收一度负增长,这一数字更显惊喜。 当季广告业务营收461.99亿美元,同比增21.8%,整体营收占比81.2%。 具体来看广告业务的三块,YouTube广告以当季46%的同比增速吸引最多眼光,也创下公布这一数字来的最高增速。 YouTube广告近来表现强势,为财报关注焦点之一。市场倾向认为,YouTube营收增长加速似乎是可持续的,因为各品牌正将广告支出从线性电视转向数字视频广告。 受益于Q4假日季度数字广告支出的大幅增长,虽然增长主要来自零售和包装消费品广告支出的增加,但今年上半年旅游和酒店行业,也可能出现类似的增长。整体而言,好于预期的数字广告支出可能会持续到2021年,而公司在其搜索、地图和YouTube产品的用户参与增加的推动下,已扩大了广告客户基础。 谷歌云利润首次公布 谷歌云一直发展迅速,但此前只公开收入,不公开利润。这在本季度开始变化。公司报告谷歌云Q4营收38.3亿美元,,符合分析师预期,报告运营亏损12.4亿美元。 当季谷歌云营收增速46.6%,相对前两个季度有所提升。整个2020年,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519537dcb51727d6914ed81b1aba0e6d","width":"1034","height":"559"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edd452aaa3349b9008244bd26538c79d","width":"1060","height":"554"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6748a9a76ee345f7114c85ad197a4463","width":"1051","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314849607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312612110,"gmtCreate":1612139744230,"gmtModify":1703757849011,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312612110","repostId":"318530205","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312167767,"gmtCreate":1612069631559,"gmtModify":1703757619415,"author":{"id":"3558951351497397","authorId":"3558951351497397","name":"贾俊河","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2c3778c00fa616a856c63f0d70eb5b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558951351497397","authorIdStr":"3558951351497397"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待","listText":"期待","text":"期待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312167767","repostId":"312193578","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}