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鱼鱼小师弟
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鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-06
$怪兽充电(EM)$
就没爆发过。
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-02-15
斗鱼加油加油!
鱼鱼小师弟
2020-12-03
斗鱼还不反弹?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-01-22
斗鱼合并还没有确定吗?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-07
$理想汽车(LI)$
最近中概真是
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-01-23
斗鱼加油吧,好久了
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-02-05
斗鱼开始起飞。
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-01-20
斗鱼加油!
鱼鱼小师弟
2020-12-14
斗鱼还能涨吗?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-06-14
去了门店,在万达广场里面,让回收了以前的一个手机。服务态度很好,然后生意也不错。在回收当中,很多来卖手机的。祝万物新生越来越好!
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-03-03
$百度(BIDU)$
本来好好的
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-06-09
斗鱼快回去吧
鱼鱼小师弟
2020-12-11
斗鱼什么时候能到20?
鱼鱼小师弟
2020-09-15
特斯拉加油~
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-12-24
斗鱼还有希望吗?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-06-10
涨的好好的,怎么又回去了
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-19
币圈不行了,股市开始?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-13
股市现在这德行哎
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-12
美股中概有点儿反弹?
鱼鱼小师弟
2021-05-11
发生了什么呢
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","text":"半导体在2021年大放异彩,但今年在通胀、加息、杀估值的情况下,成为美股最惨的板块之一。目前,市场最担忧的事情有2点:一是通胀高企,加息不断,半导体估值仍然较高;二是猛烈加息,美国经济可能陷入衰退。两者叠加,其实就是戴维斯双杀!这就是英伟达为何能短时间内暴跌53%的原因。但在一众半导体龙头股中,有一支是例外的,即台积电。首先,台积电的估值没有过高,市盈率TTM只有20倍,远低于阿斯麦的36倍:从估值历史分位上看,似乎台积电和阿斯麦都处于高位,但2022年的台积电和2015年时的台积电有了质的变化。7年前,台积电的制造工艺主要是28纳米和40/45纳米,合计占营收的比重高达42%。而2021年,先进工艺7纳米和5纳米合计贡献了50%的营收。28及以上的工艺制程,竞争对手多,产品盈利能力弱,而7纳米和5纳米,台积电的竞争对手只有三星,但在良率方面,台积电一枝独秀。基本上,台积电先进工艺根本不缺订单,何况2022年3纳米将量产!阿斯麦在EUV光刻机领域,自2016年开始集中量产,打遍天下无敌手,市盈率估值拿到了25+,而同样即将垄断芯片制造的台积电,市盈率常年低于20倍,未必合理?除了估值不高之外,台积电业绩强劲程度领先半导体。今年5月,台积电营收同比增速高达65.3%,预计2022年全年增长30%左右。在2022年,业绩还能加速的半导体巨头,真的不多了。而从台积电历年的资本开支与营收增速之间的关系来看,两者呈正相关,即当年资本开支增速高时,次年营收增速很有可能也会变高:2022年,台积电的资本开支预计为440亿美元,同比增速46.5%,因此,2022年和2023年的业绩,台积电稳了!$台积电(TSM)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ed9a7ab2aa0a6b31d1504ddcf772ee3","width":"632","height":"294"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57739d7c0063e852d1aa605b4362e67a","width":"632","height":"295"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfa7eecbbe1a13338639f5601f80182a","width":"632","height":"323"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680777488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633956725,"gmtCreate":1643705164967,"gmtModify":1643705164967,"author":{"id":"3557628125148696","authorId":"3557628125148696","name":"鱼鱼小师弟","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557628125148696","authorIdStr":"3557628125148696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMZN","listText":"AMZN","text":"AMZN","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633956725","repostId":"633962731","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":633962731,"gmtCreate":1643686156404,"gmtModify":1713510258111,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【新春大放送】小虎幸运转盘 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